you'll get less to eat. eat less! as simple as that. stark decisions are already being made, as the affordability and accessibility of sport comes under increasing strain and authorities warn of a darker period ahead. laura scott, bbc news. and a glimmer of hope today for the young boxer paul you saw in that piece. after hearing his story on the bbc today, a viewer has come forward and offered to pay for him to continue boxing over the winter. time for a look at the weather. hello, it has been wet as we were discussing early for the start of november but perhaps something quieter as we go through tomorrow. we have got this bump of high pressure coming in and then as we see the satellite picture again, this is storm martin which is going to usher in yet more wet and windy weather as we go through the weekend. some rather large waves

around western coasts, down into sunday. just a brief respite. still flood warnings in force and yet more heavy downpours still to come throughout the rest of this evening and overnight, particularly in the south where we will see gusty went around this area of low pressure, 50-60 around this area of low pressure, 50—60 mph and some thunderstorms around. we should pick —— these should become confined to the south and east by the end of the night and and east by the end of the night and a high pressure ridge building elsewhere and a colder night with frost in the glens of scotland and perhaps northern england, a touch of grass rust further south and probably a few pockets of fog with light winds around, perhaps in the central belt and further south. the rain should clear quite quickly from the south and east, some spray and standing water on the motorways but it looks as though tomorrow will be the driest and brightest day of the week. the fog will in places take time to clear but 10—14, about average for the time of year but as i mentioned, it isjust a brief window of dry weather as you saw on that satellite picture because income is the next band of rain

through tomorrow night and for the start of the weekend. this could once again drag its heels across southern and eastern areas, some uncertainty as to how quickly it will clear but once it does, blustery showers following behind, 10-14 is blustery showers following behind, 10—14 is about average for this time of year. if you are planning on heading out on bonfire night, there is the chance that the rain could get stuck in east anglia and the south—east and showers following as well. as we head into sunday, it is just more of the same. that's all from us tonight. there's more analysis of the day's main stories on newsnight with victoria, which isjust getting under way on bbc two. the news continues here on bbc one, as now its time to join our colleagues across the nations and regions for the news where you are. hello, and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

bringing us tomorrow. with me are lizzy buchan, who's the deputy online political editor at the daily mirror, and mo hussein, former chief press officer at downing street when david cameron was conservative prime minister. tomorrow's front pages, then, let us get stuck in. the metro is leading on news of the biggest single increase of interest rates in 33 years — the paper warns that "this will hurt." the i also lead on the bank of england's prediction that the uk is facing its longest recession ever, comparing it to the 19705 oil crisis. the front page of the financial times claims the bank of england is taking a "dovish" stance on the matter, and says the bank is staying optimistic about future increases in borrowing costs. the daily mirror lead on today's report from the inquiry into the 2017 manchester arena bombing. it focuses on eight—year—old saffie—rose roussos, quoting her dad, andrew, who says "she was badly let down".

and the manchester evening news have a striking front page after the report — it simply says "never again". and finally, the sun's front page features a luxury liner taking the england football squad's wives and girlfriends to qatar, dubbing the boat "hms wag". so let us begin, and we will start with the metro, let's look at the economy. the phrase "this will hurt — bank warns of longest recession ever with biggest rates in 33 years." how much will this hurt? the bank of years." how much will this hurt? tue: bank of england years." how much will this hurt? tte: bank of england isn't really mincing its words there, and the metro picks up its words there, and the metro picks up with the warning from the chancellor, jeremy hunt, that things will get really tough for families and businesses going into the

winter. obviously the news today, the bank of england has said there's been predictions the uk would head into a recession possibly in the winter, but it now seems that recession has already begun and started in the summer, and they're predicting the longest recession since records began in the 19205, and this will be a two—year downturn of the economy. so really challenging times for people and the metro picks up on the threat to evil with mortgages, ri5ing metro picks up on the threat to evil with mortgages, rising interest rates. and if you take that with the backdrop of rising energy prices, inflation, all of that, it'll be a really difficult time.— inflation, all of that, it'll be a really difficult time. when interest rates used to _ really difficult time. when interest rates used to go _ really difficult time. when interest rates used to go up _ really difficult time. when interest rates used to go up when - really difficult time. when interest rates used to go up when i - really difficult time. when interest rates used to go up when i was - rates used to go up when i was younger, we always said there were winners or lo5er5. people who tended to be 5aver5, those looking to get a house might now think they have a chance to get a house they can

afford of housing prices go down. should we start looking at winners and losers when we see a recession? i definitely think there is something beyond these numbers and figures, _ something beyond these numbers and figures, and big interventions from institutions. we have to remember this will_ institutions. we have to remember this will have a real impact on pe0ple's— this will have a real impact on people's lives, and lots of people's lives, _ people's lives, and lots of people's lives, not _ people's lives, and lots of people's lives, not only the lowest paid or most _ lives, not only the lowest paid or most vulnerable, but across the board — most vulnerable, but across the board 50 — most vulnerable, but across the board. so you think it's too early to be _ board. so you think it's too early to be thinking about any winners in this _ to be thinking about any winners in this we've — to be thinking about any winners in this. we've got to remember we also have yet— this. we've got to remember we also have yet to _ this. we've got to remember we also have yet to come to the autumn statement where the new prime mihister— statement where the new prime minister and chancellor have sought to try— minister and chancellor have sought to try and _ minister and chancellor have sought to try and calm the markets and reassure — to try and calm the markets and reassure investors. ordinarily when you go— reassure investors. ordinarily when you go into — reassure investors. ordinarily when you go into a recession, you might think— you go into a recession, you might think you'll— you go into a recession, you might think you'll get a slight loosening of economic policy, but you have the ability— of economic policy, but you have the ability to— of economic policy, but you have the ability to do — of economic policy, but you have the ability to do that because they'll find ways— ability to do that because they'll find ways of plucking this £50 iiiiiioh—

find ways of plucking this £50 billion hold in our dutch hole in our public— billion hold in our dutch hole in our public finances through tax rises _ our public finances through tax rises or— our public finances through tax rises or public spending cuts. so i'm rises or public spending cuts. so i'm afraid — rises or public spending cuts. so i'm afraid it'll be pretty bad news all around — i'm afraid it'll be pretty bad news all around for the mid to long term. are in _ all around for the mid to long term. are in -- _ all around for the mid to long term. are in -- our— all around for the mid to long term. are in —— our next newspaper continues the conversation on this same subject, the i — "britain faces longest ever recession and what it describes as a toxic shock." it shows the growth and dips in the uk economy since the 705, the oil cri5i5, black wednesday 1992, the 2008 crash pandemic, now this forecast. how do we look forwards and plan ahead for two years? it’s and plan ahead for two years? it's ve and plan ahead for two years? it�*s very difficult, like most says, we don't know yet — there's been lots of speculation as to what the chancellor will do on 17 november in the autumn statement, but we don't

know yet exactly what that will be. and it's very hard for people to think about making plans. we've been asking questions over the last few weeks about what the government's plans are around tax rises in social care, all sorts of policies. and we don't really have any answers. we have a new prime minister and chancellor who are on picking things done by the previous administration, they don't know where the manifesto stands or what rishi sunak�*s plans are. anyone trying to make long—term plans, it's difficult because there's no solid ground here. so i think it's very hard for anybody to look ahead. taste think it's very hard for anybody to look ahead-— think it's very hard for anybody to look ahead. ~ . ~ . ,., look ahead. we talked about the new administration, _ look ahead. we talked about the new administration, but _ look ahead. we talked about the new administration, but looking _ look ahead. we talked about the new administration, but looking at - administration, but looking at historically, it is the same party in government that's been leading the government since 2010, albeit for the first five years in a coalition with ad liberal democrats.

you worked for that party back in 2012, it surely stands to reason that the public will look back at the last 12 years and think that the current situation does fall on the foot of the party that spending control for the last 12 years. that's a fair assessment and people will look— that's a fair assessment and people will look at — that's a fair assessment and people will look at it collectively even though there have been different prime _ though there have been different prime ministers and very different ways— prime ministers and very different ways of— prime ministers and very different ways of doing things. and what we are seeing — ways of doing things. and what we are seeing now is rishi sunak as the new prime _ are seeing now is rishi sunak as the new prime minister and jeremy hunt as the _ new prime minister and jeremy hunt as the new_ new prime minister and jeremy hunt as the new chancellor retrying to draw _ as the new chancellor retrying to draw some — as the new chancellor retrying to draw some clear water between themselves and last administration, themselves and last administration, the economic disaster that was the liz truss— the economic disaster that was the liz truss plan for the economy. to some _ liz truss plan for the economy. to some extent — liz truss plan for the economy. to some extent the prime minister is somewhat— some extent the prime minister is somewhat vindicated because he did say a lot— somewhat vindicated because he did say a lot of— somewhat vindicated because he did say a lot of this would unfortunately happen in the leadership contest in the summer, and he _ leadership contest in the summer, and he has — leadership contest in the summer, and he has been proven right. sol

think— and he has been proven right. sol think he _ and he has been proven right. sol think he can — and he has been proven right. sol think he can say he's making decisions _ think he can say he's making decisions that may not be popular, and they— decisions that may not be popular, and they won't be popular because they'll— and they won't be popular because they'll be — and they won't be popular because they'll be spending cuts and tax rises, _ they'll be spending cuts and tax rises, but — they'll be spending cuts and tax rises, but is trying to undo the mass — rises, but is trying to undo the mass but— rises, but is trying to undo the mass. but broadly speaking, people will still— mass. but broadly speaking, people will still see it as a conservative administration undoing the last administration's mass, which was also conservative. often in politics to hear— also conservative. often in politics to hear about one party talking about — to hear about one party talking about the — to hear about one party talking about the last government and it's a different— about the last government and it's a different party, is the opposition. here _ different party, is the opposition. here it's— different party, is the opposition. here it's the same, so this does not bode _ here it's the same, so this does not bode well— here it's the same, so this does not bode well for the conservative party moving _ bode well for the conservative party moving forward, i'm afraid.- moving forward, i'm afraid. moving to the financial— moving forward, i'm afraid. moving to the financialtimes, _ moving forward, i'm afraid. moving to the financial times, there's - moving forward, i'm afraid. moving to the financial times, there's a i to the financial times, there's a picture of the bank of england, andrew bailey there. that compares with the fed's hawkish position, but

there's also optimism over inflation — inflation is at its worst point in a0 years. where is that optimism? it's a glimmer of optimism and that the bank of england was suggesting that inflation was just above 10% now, it could go to 11% towards the end of the winter, and then it might start to fall, they hoped. the financial times contrasts their rhetoric with the us who have been much more warning against complacency and are much more gloomy, whereas the bank of england is taking into account that this is all dreadful, but they've suggested that maybe government borrowing costs might rise as much as expected, may be inflation won't rise as much as expected, and trying to say some things around the bank of england, the government talk about mortgages, saying mortgage providers have baked in, because of

the chaos that came after liz tru55 and kwasi kwarteng's mini budget, maybe things will be quite as bad as expected. maybe things will be quite as bad as exected. �* , , , expected. briefly, optimism, is there any cause _ expected. briefly, optimism, is there any cause for _ expected. briefly, optimism, is there any cause for optimism? | expected. briefly, optimism, is - there any cause for optimism? when we look at a potential two year recession and people struggling with their bills? trio. recession and people struggling with their bills? ., , ~ , , their bills? no, but i think this is about audiences. _ their bills? no, but i think this is about audiences. the _ their bills? no, but i think this is about audiences. the message l their bills? no, but i think this is l about audiences. the message the markets _ about audiences. the message the markets are trying to get is that things— markets are trying to get is that things will be calmer for you because _ things will be calmer for you because we have some more sensible beobie _ because we have some more sensible people how— because we have some more sensible people now running the show. but this is— people now running the show. but this is the — people now running the show. but this is the tension between the fiscal— this is the tension between the fiscal policy and the politics of this, _ fiscal policy and the politics of this, because actually the way things— this, because actually the way things get calmer in the markets is when _ things get calmer in the markets is when you _ things get calmer in the markets is when you see the results of the autumn statement, which is basically, how do you find this £50 billion— basically, how do you find this £50 billion which is politically difficult for mps having to sell when — difficult for mps having to sell when they talk about public sector

cuts or _ when they talk about public sector cuts or tax — when they talk about public sector cuts or tax rises, none of which will be popular with the electorate. this is— will be popular with the electorate. this is the — will be popular with the electorate. this is the underlying tension between _ this is the underlying tension between what the markets are looking for and _ between what the markets are looking for and what people in the political side of— for and what people in the political side of our— for and what people in the political side of our society will be looking for. ., . ., ., for. turning to another of the stories we — for. turning to another of the stories we are _ for. turning to another of the stories we are covering, - for. turning to another of the stories we are covering, it. for. turning to another of the stories we are covering, it is| for. turning to another of the . stories we are covering, it is one of the most heartbreaking stories britain has had for several years — the aftermath of the manchester arena bombing in 2017 in which 22 people were killed. without many words, there's the front page of the manchester evening news, that story is in the news because in the news, at least one of the 22 people killed in that bombing would probably have survived if help had a rights —— had arrived sooner. we will come to the mayor of�*s coverage in a moment, but firstly, that stark image on the manchester evening news —— in the metro's coverage. the

manchester evening news -- in the metro's coverage.— metro's coverage. the date of the attack in the _ metro's coverage. the date of the attack in the picture _ metro's coverage. the date of the attack in the picture of _ metro's coverage. the date of the attack in the picture of the - metro's coverage. the date of the attack in the picture of the b - metro's coverage. the date of the | attack in the picture of the b which symbolises manchester. it is so powerful, that attack was such a shock and such a scar on the city that they don't really need to say anything more than that for people to understand what they are trying to understand what they are trying to say. i think it's a really moving front page, actually.— to say. i think it's a really moving front page, actually. your thoughts? it 'ust front page, actually. your thoughts? it just brings — front page, actually. your thoughts? itjust brings back— front page, actually. your thoughts? itjust brings back memories - front page, actually. your thoughts? itjust brings back memories of - front page, actually. your thoughts? itjust brings back memories of a - itjust brings back memories of a horrific— itjust brings back memories of a horrific incident that happened in one of— horrific incident that happened in one of our— horrific incident that happened in one of our great cities. and when you read — one of our great cities. and when you read the editorial in here the contents— you read the editorial in here the contents of this report, whilst there — contents of this report, whilst there were clearly people who did act courageously and selflessly, there _ act courageously and selflessly, there were clearly failings in terms of organisation, planning, coordination, the emergency services _ coordination, the emergency services. people expect and deserve better, _ services. people expect and deserve better, so— services. people expect and deserve better, so it — services. people expect and deserve better, so it does make for difficult _ better, so it does make for difficult reading for lots of people. you often hear that lessons will be _

people. you often hear that lessons will be learnt, but they definitely need _ will be learnt, but they definitely need to — will be learnt, but they definitely need to be learnt. in any report, any inquiry— need to be learnt. in any report, any inquiry will never be a substitute and bring closure for many _ substitute and bring closure for many people. i think that's the context— many people. i think that's the context we have this evening. you talked about _ context we have this evening. you talked about the _ context we have this evening. tm. talked about the people who could've been done better by, the authorities could've helped more, that's where the mirror focuses its coverage. this is about the story of saffie rose—roussos who was just eight years old. 50 rose-roussos who was 'ust eight ears old. ., rose-roussos who was 'ust eight ears old, ., ., rose-roussos who was 'ust eight ears old. ., ., ,. rose-roussos who was 'ust eight earsold. ., ., , , years old. so our front page focuses on schauffele. _ years old. so our front page focuses on schauffele, the _ years old. so our front page focuses on schauffele, the youngest - years old. so our front page focuses on schauffele, the youngest victim i on schauffele, the youngest victim of the attack, and just the words of her family. of the attack, and just the words of herfamily. it is of the attack, and just the words of her family. it is so distressing, all the victims of carried themselves with grace and courage in subjects ordinary circumstances and i cannot imagine how distressing it must be to listen today and be told that there were things that could have been done to save their lives that weren't. the pain that