it is 63m in london and iam in washington and it is 6am in london and 1am in washington and you are watching the american elections 2022 on the bbc. one of the races we have been waiting is finally becoming clearer. i can show you what partners cbs news are reporting and that is that john fetterman is likely the winner in pennsylvania's senate race. flipping the senate seat from red to blue. this was the seat of the

retiring pat toomey. the pollsters suggested if the democrats could hold this, their chances of retaining control of the senate would be at 70%. still a lot of votes to count. our partner cbs saying it is leaning more towards john fetterman. this is not a final resultjust john fetterman. this is not a final result just yet but john fetterman. this is not a final resultjust yet but if confirmed it will be good news for the democrats on a night so far that has produced more good news for the democrats. john fetterman has tweeted it is official. you bet on the people of pennsylvania, i will not let you down. one o'clock in the morning here in washington. this result, if confirmed, and at the moment, cbs is projecting that is what it is going to be. it is indicative in a sense of the way the night is going for republicans. we sat at the beginning of the programme and ran three

reasons why this should be a good night for republicans. inflation at 8%. president biden not particularly popular. historically, it is the party in the white house that loses seats in midterm elections. yet here we are. the democrats have flipped a seat. it is looking, across the country, less like a big red wave. we have been talking about this all evening. republicans were optimistic that we had a good shot not only of retaining a majority in the house of representatives but also getting the united states senate. what has happened. ifjohn fetterman holds the seat, moving from pat toomey into the blue column, you have to ask, we have got to pick up nevada, we have to pick up a number of other seats because with a 50—50 united

states senate, a breaking vote. republicans did not do as well as projected but it is still too close to call. ~ . ., ., , to call. we have all of the races out west- _ to call. we have all of the races out west- in _ to call. we have all of the races out west. in particular - to call. we have all of the races out west. in particular where i to call. we have all of the races l out west. in particular where they have not even started counting on some of the counties out west. it might be awhile before we know that. christian, what if you got to give us a sense as to how did this? 49.4. 88% of the vote counted. in 2020, it is the mail in ballots open this morning at seven o'clock which are 69% democrat. beyond the day vote has been counted and they are now counting the mail in ballot which is a big hurdle for mehmet oz to get over. if you are looking for clues

as to why this has happened it is probably around philadelphia and pittsburgh. big democratic areas. this is the most swing county. it sometimes goes red. 51.46. it pretty much reflects the scale of the difference between the candidates. if we quickly go to arizona, we are seeing a similar pattern. we have been hearing about some of the complaints on the republican side about the way this vote is shaping up. you can see again from the colours, blue around the phoenix area. tucson. these are the big population areas. you can see here, with 75% in, 56% democrat, katie hobbs. 44%, kari lake. isaid at the beginning of the night she was the

standout republican candidate who has had all the coverage. you see her standing next to donald trump and here of her being the vice president if donald trump was elected. you see the scale of the difference. katie hobbs, 57%. kari lake on 41%. what does it do to the senate race? mark kelly, looking for his first full term as a senator. 74%, that his first full term as a senator. 7a%, that is not close. a lot of votes still to count. in phoenix, mark kelly, 59%. blake masters down at 38%. you see the bigger gulf around the suburban area. and this is the old seat ofjohn mccain. he is the old seat ofjohn mccain. he is a very different republican from kari lake, for voters to get their head around. we can bring up thejohn fetterman tweet. this is what he is saying.

a lot of questions aboutjohn fetterman�*s health. the stroke he had before the primary. a poor debate performance was the kind where you could put it. it looks like it has worked for him. going through the list, the trump endorsed candidates seem to be a problem for the republican party. kari lake seems to be a problem in arizona. you have doug mastriano, members ours. there is a pattern emerging. —— ro mehmet oz. high profile trump endorsed candidates. not necessarily what the republican party wanted to endorse. and john fetterman�*s

supporters enjoying this news. you supporters en'oying this news. you know what supporters enjoying this news. you know what we _ supporters enjoying this news. 7m, know what we saw earlier? we saw ron desantis the governor re—elected in florida. i think 2024 starts now. a lot of trump endorsed candidates, if they go down in flames as anticipated, if i am donald trump, will i run again? anticipated, ifi am donald trump, will i run again?— will i run again? somebody has tweeted, will i run again? somebody has tweeted. why _ will i run again? somebody has tweeted, why does _ will i run again? somebody has tweeted, why does the - will i run again? somebody has tweeted, why does the bbc - will i run again? somebody has i tweeted, why does the bbc think will i run again? somebody has - tweeted, why does the bbc think the uk public are so interested in this? why not tell that person why these issues should matter to an international audience? people should tune — international audience? people should tune in _ international audience? people should tune in because - international audience? people should tune in because it - international audience? people i should tune in because it matters what is happening in the house of representatives and who is in charge of the senate, what our foreign policy looks like, our goals on climate change. even the conversation around ukraine, there has been a debate in this election cycle. anyone tuning in, this race

really was shaping up. what does it mean an administration can do because they have done so much on the international front with allies, and bringing global goals back into the conversation. i and bringing global goals back into the conversation.— the conversation. i remember coverina the conversation. i remember covering the _ the conversation. i remember covering the g7 _ the conversation. i remember covering the g7 summit - the conversation. i remember covering the g7 summit when | the conversation. i remember. covering the g7 summit when joe covering the g7 summit whenjoe biden came to power in cornwall. the europeans asked how long will this last? we want to embrace the us again on foreign policy but how long is this guy around? they look at the noise around donald trump and the fact he might declare next week. what happens in this election lays the groundwork for 2024. it might signpost to europeans what is to come over the next six years. essen come over the next six years. even america first. _ come over the next six years. even america first, the _ come over the next six years. even america first, the policy— come over the next six years. even america first, the policy around trump. we will see what is going to happen. if trump and his candidates

won, people would wonder whether all these things we had jumped back into was just one data point. it looks like joe was just one data point. it looks likejoe biden will have some power and leveraged. we like joe biden will have some power and leveraged-— and leveraged. we spoke to the senator from _ and leveraged. we spoke to the senator from delaware - and leveraged. we spoke to the senator from delaware who - and leveraged. we spoke to the senator from delaware who is i and leveraged. we spoke to the - senator from delaware who is close to president biden. we spoke earlier tonight and asked him about what are the international implications of these elections. if the house of representatives were to take over, be taken over by republicans, it could mean americas stops financing the war effort in ukraine. he said december when the democrats are in power could be the last package of aid they could give to the ukrainians if the republicans take over the house of representatives and design that is something they do not want to do. there is a lot of reasons, it is a preview of the 24 elections. the first election in

america since the attack of january the 6th on the capitol. there are huge implications for what people are watching around the world which is why christian and i have been on television the past hours. and who is tuning in? president zelensky. he is gripped by this. they are just getting started in california. there are competitive house races that will make the difference to whether republicans can take control in the house tonight. they are potentially influential but we do not have the results yet. the room behind me now is pretty much deserted. it was a watch party at the university of southern california for students, who have gone home battling los angeles rain.

they will take time to count. i looked at the statistics and a lot of them were too close to call. probably 5—6. one where i livejust north of los angeles. santa theresa. we talked a lot about it four years ago. it is always close. it is held by a republican. the boundaries have changed. they have taken some of the republican areas out of that district which means it is possible democrat again. we might not know for several days. the other knees in california, the state governor has been re—elected. alex was elected. he has been elected for the remainder of the term. in the last hour, we have had that decision you

referred to a little while ago about a essentially co—defying abortion rights into the california state constitution which has passed and quite a debate here. some opponents suggesting it is a democratic state where it is unlikely the law is going to change. it is favourable to those in favour of abortion. and so why bother with the expense of a proposition on the ballot to essentially enshrine it in the constitution.— essentially enshrine it in the constitution. ., ., ., constitution. peter, we are going to “um in. constitution. peter, we are going to jump in- we — constitution. peter, we are going to jump in- we now— constitution. peter, we are going to jump in. we now have _ constitution. peter, we are going to jump in. we now have confirmation| jump in. we now have confirmation from cbs news, our partners, john fetterman has won his senate race, beating mehmet oz, the television doctor endorsed by donald trump. was seen as a weak candidate on the republican side. did not really live

in the state and did not seem to be in the state and did not seem to be in touch with the feelings of people in touch with the feelings of people in pennsylvania. john fetterman, from pittsburgh in the west of the state, who suffered a stroke just before his primary and has not managed to campaign very well. we are seeing his victory party rally. he is incredibly popular with people in pennsylvania, democrats in that state, seen as a person who can reach white working—class voters. cbs projecting the democrats have taken this seat. it is important. they have not held it, they have taken it from a retiring republican senator. so it is an addition to the democratic slate in the senate. that puts the focus on georgia and nevada for the republicans. i do not see

republicans galloping ahead in those states. it is looking pretty strong. we are not going to find out this evening what is going to happen in this case you mention. we are likely to have a run—off. you need 50.1 to win in georgia. i do not think they will get that with herschel walker. can the republicans get themselves over the finishing line? but this in pennsylvania is huge for the democrats.- line? but this in pennsylvania is huge for the democrats. every time we talk about _ huge for the democrats. every time we talk about elections _ huge for the democrats. every time we talk about elections in _ huge for the democrats. every time we talk about elections in america | we talk about elections in america we talk about elections in america we have to revisit polling. did it miss a certain chunk of the population. speculation that potentially they missed younger voters for example. they did not appreciate how many young voters would come out and vote. the democrats seem to be having a better

night than expected.— night than expected. young voters and women. _ night than expected. young voters and women. as — night than expected. young voters and women, as well. _ night than expected. young voters and women, as well. what - night than expected. young voters and women, as well. what we - night than expected. young voters | and women, as well. what we have seen with the excitement of women coming in in their early vote made a real difference. you are seeing the early vote was the missing piece in a lot of these different races which is why we are seeing pennsylvania right now. we is why we are seeing pennsylvania riaht now. ~ . ~ is why we are seeing pennsylvania riaht now. ~ ., ~ ., right now. we were talking to peter about california _ right now. we were talking to peter about california and _ right now. we were talking to peter about california and discussing - right now. we were talking to peter| about california and discussing what happens tonight matters to people in the rest of the world. climate change has not featured. we have cop27 and we have not mentioned it. i want to mention it in the context of california, where you are from, in the central valley, candidates fighting out over water rights. it is the only house race i can see across the country where maybe an issue of the future is being discussed. it goes above inflation

and abortion. in discussed. it goes above inflation and abortion-— discussed. it goes above inflation and abortion. in the central valley, it has always _ and abortion. in the central valley, it has always been _ and abortion. in the central valley, it has always been about _ and abortion. in the central valley, it has always been about water. - and abortion. in the central valley, | it has always been about water. you have signs that say water is life in spanish and english. that is where 39 spanish and english. that is where ag country lands. it has been affected by water. my parents ran out of water every summer. those are the dire straits people are in because the water table has gone so far down. we are not producing the same snow caps were used in california. it same snow caps were used in california-— same snow caps were used in california. it is the first tussle over water — california. it is the first tussle over water rights. _ california. it is the first tussle | over water rights. republicans california. it is the first tussle - over water rights. republicans who farm on the water for themselves. democrats diverting it. if it is true younger voters are not represented quite as much in polling because they have cell phones and do not want to pick up a number they don't know, we might be

misunderstanding the amount of importance of climate... we can go to pittsburgh. john fetterman is taking the stage. chanting: fetterman! i... iam not i... i am not really sure what to say right _ i am not really sure what to say right now — i am not really sure what to say right now. my goodness. i am...

cheering — cheering yeah. yeah, i mean, so, iam so humbled. thank_ yeah, i mean, so, lam so humbled. thank you— yeah, i mean, so, iam so humbled. thank you so— yeah, i mean, so, lam so humbled. thank you so much, really, thank you _ you. what is you. - what is it? you. — what is it? 1.30 in the morning you. what is it? 1.30 in the mornin- and what is it? 1.30 in the morning and you are _ what is it? 1.30 in the morning and you are still— what is it? 1.30 in the morning and you are still here, hanging in. we launched this campaign almost two years ago _ we launched this campaign almost two years ago. we had our slogan. it is on every— years ago. we had our slogan. it is on every sign — years ago. we had our slogan. it is on every sign right now. every county, — on every sign right now. every county, every vote. every county, every — county, every vote. every county, every vote. — county, every vote. every county, every vote. that is exactly what happened. we jammed them up.

we held — happened. we jammed them up. we held the line. i never expected that we _ we held the line. i never expected that we were going to turn the red counties _ that we were going to turn the red counties blue but we did what we needed _ counties blue but we did what we needed to— counties blue but we did what we needed to do and we had that conversation across every one of those _ conversation across every one of those counties. and, tonight, that is why— those counties. and, tonight, that is why i_ those counties. and, tonight, that is why i wiii— those counties. and, tonight, that is why i will be the next us senator for pennsylvania. thanks to all of you _ for pennsylvania. thanks to all of you all_ for pennsylvania. thanks to all of you all of— for pennsylvania. thanks to all of you. all of you, thank you. thank you. all of you, thank you. thank you so— you. all of you, thank you. thank you so much _ you. all of you, thank you. thank you so much. you make me grateful i’ili'it you so much. you make me grateful right now _ right now. i - right now. i want to thank, of right now. — i want to thank, of course, all these — i want to thank, of course, all these supporters. all across pennsylvania. all in this room, all

across— pennsylvania. all in this room, all across the — pennsylvania. all in this room, all across the nation. everyone who chipped — across the nation. everyone who chipped in — across the nation. everyone who chipped in ten bucks. thank you. we chipped in ten bucks. thank you. w's. believe chipped in ten bucks. thank you. believe in chipped in ten bucks. thank you. we believe in you! and. _ believe in you! and, also, - believe in you! and, also, i. believe in you! i and, also, i really believe in you! - and, also, i really want believe in you! _ and, also, i really want to thank believe in your — and, also, i really want to thank my family _ family. cheering my my mother, my father. my brother. where is giselle? _ where is giselle? who, _ where is giselle? who, six months ago, she saved my life. walking nfe. - walking out, nfe. — walking out, white as a life. walkin- out, white as a sheet, she walking out, white as a sheet, she recognised — walking out, white as a sheet, she recognised. and my children. carl,

grace _ so, everyone, thank you. ialso so, everyone, thank you. i also want to thank— so, everyone, thank you. i also want to thank my— so, everyone, thank you. i also want to thank my team. this team. so many names _ to thank my team. this team. so many names. brendan. my campaign manager. rehecca _ names. brendan. my campaign manager. rebecca. joe _ names. brendan. my campaign manager. rebecca. joe. jason, everybody. all my team _ rebecca. joe. jason, everybody. all my team so — rebecca. joe. jason, everybody. all my team. so many are of it. and, also, _ my team. so many are of it. and, also, thank— my team. so many are of it. and, also, thank all the supporters, also _ also, thank all the supporters, also i— also, thank all the supporters, also i am _ also, thank all the supporters, also. i am just so proud of the race we ran _ also. i am just so proud of the race we ran this— also. i am just so proud of the race we ran. this campaign has always been _ we ran. this campaign has always been about— we ran. this campaign has always been about fighting for everyone who -ot been about fighting for everyone who got knocked down and whoever got back up _

got knocked down and whoever got back up. this race is for the future of every— back up. this race is for the future of every community all across pennsylvania. for every small town, or person _ pennsylvania. for every small town, or person who ever felt left behind. for every— or person who ever felt left behind. for everyjob that has ever been lost, _ for everyjob that has ever been lost, for— for everyjob that has ever been lost, for every factory that was ever _ lost, for every factory that was ever closed. for every person who works _ ever closed. for every person who works hard — ever closed. for every person who works hard but never got ahead. i am proud _ works hard but never got ahead. i am proud of— works hard but never got ahead. i am proud of what we ran on. protecting a wornan's— proud of what we ran on. protecting a woman's right to choose. cheering — . raising the minimum wage. cheering . raisin the minimum wae. health . raising the minimum wage. health care is a fundamental— . raising the minimum wage. health care is a fundamental human - . raising the minimum wage. health care is a fundamental human rights. | care is a fundamental human rights. it care is a fundamental human rights. it saved _

care is a fundamental human rights. it saved my— care is a fundamental human rights. it saved my life and it should be there _ it saved my life and it should be there for— it saved my life and it should be there for you. standing up to corporate greed. making — standing up to corporate greed. making the more things right here in america _ making the more things right here in america and right here in pennsylvania. and _ pennsylvania. and standing up for our democracy. 20 years— and standing up for our democracy. 20 years ago, i came to start a programme and i have spent the last two decades fighting for the gotten communities. because no community deserves— communities. because no community deserves to _ communities. because no community deserves to be left behind. no one deserves— deserves to be left behind. no one deserves to be left behind. no one deserves to be left behind. no one deserves to be abandoned. every place _ deserves to be abandoned. every place matters. and i want to thank all of— place matters. and i want to thank all of you _ place matters. and i want to thank all of you amazing supporters. all of you _ all of you amazing supporters. all of you and —

all of you amazing supporters. all of you. and all watching. we bet on the people — of you. and all watching. we bet on the people of pennsylvania and you did not— the people of pennsylvania and you did not let — the people of pennsylvania and you did not let us down. and my promise to all— did not let us down. and my promise to all of— did not let us down. and my promise to all of you — did not let us down. and my promise to all of you is i will never let you _ to all of you is i will never let you down _ to all of you is i will never let you down. thank you, pennsylvania. thank— you down. thank you, pennsylvania. thank you _ you down. thank you, pennsylvania. thank you so — you down. thank you, pennsylvania. thank you so much. cheering studio: john fetterman very happy. with his family. i had the chance to meet his wife, giselle, a brazilian immigrant. she came to the country illegally, but she has been a rock star on the campaign trail while her husband was incapacitated, while he was healing, and was not making any campaign appearances. it was giselle. she runs a charity shop, food bank in braddock county and has been a force on the campaign. an

interesting person to watch in her own right. i actually beat mehmet oz myself onyx celebrity quiz show called jeopardy. he is six foot nine. and has a lot of tatties. is his family really small or is he really tall? he is really that big. where are we at? 47—46 in the senate. i said where are we at? 47—46 in the senate. isaid if where are we at? 47—46 in the senate. i said if pennsylvania went to the democrats, the democrat chances of holding the senate would rise to about 70%. it puts more focus on the other crucial races in the battleground states. we can look at georgia. almost wrapping up for the night in georgia. 99% of the

vote counted. 49—49. herschel walker, republican, former nfl star, raphael warnock, a democrat. one of them has to get to 50%. we never talk about the independent candidates. an independent candidate in that race is taking votes from either side. that is most likely to go to a run—off in december because neither looks like they will reach the magic 50%. what else? we are looking at nevada. catherine cortez masto. and down here, they are not going to continue counting until the morning. a lot of that vote, 64%, is counted. you can see at the moment 54% democrat.

inflation is a key issue in this working—class state. inflation higher than the national average. catherine cortez masto has been in trouble but the trend tonight, when looking at senate seats like the one in new hampshire. we talked about maggie hassan who was in trouble. is that going the same way? we can look at arizona. mark kelly, the former astronaut in arizona. john mccain's old seat. he is up against blake masters, a trump indoors candidate. 74% is a healthy lead at the moment for mark kelly. a lot of the vote coming in around this area. this is the key battleground county where most people live. elsewhere more rural. and this is the grand canyon. 59%. 38% of the vote counted. i

think mark kelly will fancy his chances. we might not get the results for a while but not looking so bad for democrats. we can get reaction to thejohn fetterman victory from someone who knows about unions, democratic politics and political victories. robert rice. unions, democratic politics and politicalvictories. robert rice. he joins us now from out in california. when you look at what is happening and you look at thejohn when you look at what is happening and you look at the john fetterman victory in pennsylvania, how are you feeling about the democrat chances of holding onto the senate? they are looking better and better. ithink the biggest surprise tonight for many people looking at american politics is how well democrats have done overall. generally speaking, the assumption is the party in the white house tends to lose ground in congress in midterm elections.

almost always the case. we are seeing a different pattern tonight. the biggest factor i think at play is the former president donald trump. because donald trump has been visible during the campaign. unlike joe biden. president biden has been relatively invisible. donald trump has been visible. he is not well liked. his approval ratings are low. that visibility has hurt him and across the country. his campaign has centred on people like mehmet oz, blake masters, herschel walker. these are people who either have lost or are in the process very closely of losing their races. this repudiation of donald trump i think is a big deal. it does not portend well for the former president in terms of his running again for the

presidency in 2024. talk to us about john fetterman who hasjust presidency in 2024. talk to us about john fetterman who has just won presidency in 2024. talk to us about john fetterman who hasjust won in pennsylvania. a different type of democrat with tattoos all the way up his arms, wearing hoodies in shorts. even his wife told me she wished he would dress up occasionally when they went out on a date. interesting to see if he arrives in the senate like that. but he is a democratic candidate who has made an effort to appeal to the kind of voters, white, noncollege educated, working—class voters that democrats have lost in the far last cycles. did the democrats need to do more of what john fetterman has done? absolutely. one of the biggest problems it has faced over the last 30 years is it has lost much of the working class base it used to have, and john fetterman's when i think is emblematic of what can be done with

a democratic candidate who identifies with working people, with people who are not necessarily couege people who are not necessarily college educated, and people whose wages have stagnated over the last 30 years, and people who have been easy pickings for the republicans because of the void that democrats have created. because of the void that democrats have created-— have created. robert, can i talk to... i have created. robert, can i talk to--- i was _ have created. robert, can i talk to... i was talking _ have created. robert, can i talk to... i was talking about - have created. robert, can i talk to... i was talking about clark l to... i was talking about clark county in nevada, that they wouldn't be counting until tomorrow morning but it is tomorrow morning and they blend into one another when you do along programme like this. but does that create suspicion? why would election workers call it a day when everybody is looking for a result in a pivotal state like that? i everybody is looking for a result in a pivotal state like that?— a pivotal state like that? i think it depends _ a pivotal state like that? i think it depends an — a pivotal state like that? i think it depends an awful _ a pivotal state like that? i think it depends an awful lot - a pivotal state like that? i think it depends an awful lot how - a pivotal state like that? i think| it depends an awful lot how that a pivotal state like that? i think i it depends an awful lot how that is understood the public. the reality is that election workers are some of

the bravest and best public servants we have. i salute all of them. they are doing a very difficultjob and they want to do it very, very carefully. if it takes a little bit longer, that's ok. they want to make sure that their account is accurate and reliable, and particularly now when there is so much suspicion. so i think if it's explained to people, they will understand it.— they will understand it. there is speculation _ they will understand it. there is speculation that _ they will understand it. there is speculation that things - they will understand it. there is speculation that things may i they will understand it. there is speculation that things may noti they will understand it. there is i speculation that things may not have gone the republicans are' way in arizona. arizona is a very tense state. i spent some time there this year. if you have a combination of the voting machines that didn't work, it was just a regular glitch, thatis work, it was just a regular glitch, that is what we have been told on this programme, nothing out of the ordinary, but it happened. if you have a combination of that, republicans asking for the polls to stay open an extra three hours but a judge saying no, there is no need, and then you have republican candidates not doing well and the

results taking a while, are you worried about what might happen in a state like that?— state like that? well, i'm worried venerall state like that? well, i'm worried generally speaking. _ state like that? well, i'm worried generally speaking. certainly i state like that? well, i'm worried generally speaking. certainly in l state like that? well, i'm worried generally speaking. certainly in a i generally speaking. certainly in a state like that but one of the biggest problems america faces now is the lack of trust that people have for the other side, for the other political party, and that has spilled over into a lack of trust in the system as a whole. you know... our democracy depends on people being willing to live with the results they don't like if they trust the system that produces those results but if you don't trust the system that produces those results that you don't like, then you have very little basis for the democracy to begin with. that is what is being eroded, that is what has been eroded really since the 2020 election, since the election deniers, donald trump's assertion that the election was stolen from him. again, it is

worth repeating that 60 federal judges found no basis for that allegation, and donald trump's own department ofjustice found no basis for that allegation. but the majority of republicans running in this election have been election deniers. they have gone along with donald trump's allegation of that has eroded trust in a way that does micro if it comes back, it will take years to rebuild. fiic micro if it comes back, it will take years to rebuild.— micro if it comes back, it will take years to rebuild. 0k. former labour secreta , years to rebuild. 0k. former labour secretary, thank _ years to rebuild. 0k. former labour secretary, thank you _ years to rebuild. 0k. former labour secretary, thank you very _ years to rebuild. 0k. former labour secretary, thank you very much i years to rebuild. 0k. former labour secretary, thank you very much for| secretary, thank you very much for joining us. ii secretary, thank you very much for “oininr us. , , ., joining us. if the results pan out as the trend _ joining us. if the results pan out as the trend is _ joining us. if the results pan out as the trend is suggesting i joining us. if the results pan out as the trend is suggesting at i joining us. if the results pan out| as the trend is suggesting at the moment, what is this going to mean forjoe biden? i think it is really telling him that— i think it is really telling him that he _ i think it is really telling him that he is— i think it is really telling him that he is on the right track, has to start — that he is on the right track, has to start working with the house, but it really— to start working with the house, but it really does... again, the expectation. this administration really— expectation. this administration really set — expectation. this administration really set out and said, listen, thank— really set out and said, listen, thank you _ really set out and said, listen, thank you for all you have done, we know—

thank you for all you have done, we know this _ thank you for all you have done, we know this is — thank you for all you have done, we know this is hard, this is what will happen _ know this is hard, this is what will happen. they did a lot of communication internally to make people _ communication internally to make people aware of what we can expect. so now _ people aware of what we can expect. so now you _ people aware of what we can expect. so now you come out of today feeling like this— so now you come out of today feeling like this actually wasn't as big a referendum on this president, that people _ referendum on this president, that people did — referendum on this president, that people did come around, that it mattered — people did come around, that it mattered that roe v wade was out there _ mattered that roe v wade was out there so— mattered that roe v wade was out there so it — mattered that roe v wade was out there so it really validates what this administration is doing and gives— this administration is doing and gives the — this administration is doing and gives the administration now to really— gives the administration now to really come to the house and start working _ really come to the house and start working again. really come to the house and start working again-— really come to the house and start working again. there is no question that inflation _ working again. there is no question that inflation was _ working again. there is no question that inflation was the _ working again. there is no question that inflation was the top _ working again. there is no question that inflation was the top issue i working again. there is no question that inflation was the top issue forl that inflation was the top issue for voters and there is no question who they held responsible for that. when i went out and talked to voters here in the run—up to the election, they didn't say, well, you know, this is a global thing, didn't say, well, you know, this is a globalthing, it didn't say, well, you know, this is a global thing, it is the supply—side crisis, it is the price of energy in europe, the shutdowns in china. no one is looking outside america. they are looking atjoe biden and they blame him. america. they are looking at joe biden and they blame him. yeah, and what i will biden and they blame him. yeah, and what i will say. _ biden and they blame him. yeah, and what i will say, the _ biden and they blame him. yeah, and what i will say, the last _ biden and they blame him. yeah, and what i will say, the last 48 _ biden and they blame him. yeah, and what i will say, the last 48 hours, i what i will say, the last 48 hours, the biden— what i will say, the last 48 hours, the biden administration, there was a heck— the biden administration, there was a heck of— the biden administration, there was

a heck of a — the biden administration, there was a heck of a lot more work on talking about— a heck of a lot more work on talking about the _ a heck of a lot more work on talking about the economic plan and that democrats had a plan and republicans didn't _ democrats had a plan and republicans didn't and _ democrats had a plan and republicans didn't. and now, coming back into this, _ didn't. and now, coming back into this, after— didn't. and now, coming back into this, after this election, didn't. and now, coming back into this, afterthis election, it didn't. and now, coming back into this, after this election, it will be important for everyone to come together— be important for everyone to come together and say what is now the plan that — together and say what is now the plan that you have to work with, it is looking — plan that you have to work with, it is looking like a house, a change in the house. — is looking like a house, a change in the house, and potentially keeping the house, and potentially keeping the senate. now what is your plan? and so— the senate. now what is your plan? and so i_ the senate. now what is your plan? and so i think the initiative here that the — and so i think the initiative here that the president has to have is to have a _ that the president has to have is to have a plan — that the president has to have is to have a plan-— that the president has to have is to have a plan. republicans only need one extra seat _ have a plan. republicans only need one extra seat beyond _ have a plan. republicans only need one extra seat beyond what i have a plan. republicans only need one extra seat beyond what the i one extra seat beyond what the majority in the house, and they still control the house, which means they will still be investigations into joe they will still be investigations intojoe biden and the next two years will be spent by the republicans trying to weakenjoe biden and he will be two years older than he is now which will also raise a lot of questions. europe is waking up to these american mid—term election results. let's get some perspective from there. susannah lynch is the chief brussels correspondent at politico europe and joins us now. as you wake up europe and joins us now. as you wake up to these results i imagine you went to bed last night with no sense

of where this is going. you have woken up and had a chance to digester at least the headlines. what do you think they will make of it where you are?— it where you are? absolutely. i can sense that — it where you are? absolutely. i can sense that officials _ it where you are? absolutely. i can sense that officials around - it where you are? absolutely. i can sense that officials around the i it where you are? absolutely. i can sense that officials around the city | sense that officials around the city are all checking their phones, watching tv to see the latest. it has been a better night for democrats than people expected but we do not have a final result yet. i think what people here were looking for were any signs that this could be a bellwether for the 2024 elections and the return of donald trump. i think the last few years have seen something of a renaissance in eu us relations under president joe biden. he is a committed transatlantic sister, very pro—eu, and relations got back on even keel after the donald trump years. in contrast during donald trump's tenure he repeatedly clashed with the eu and europe, generally. he criticised nato, he called on other european allies to give more. he was

much more critical of nato. at one point he called the european union foe and effectively a trade war with europe as he tried to reduce the us trade deficit with other trade partners including the eu. so things were not good during the trump years. there is a fear that in 2024 they could be a return of donald trump and then that collapsed relations. that is one of the main thing is people are looking for here as they wake up this morning. hagar as they wake up this morning. how concerned are _ as they wake up this morning. how concerned are people in brussels about the funding thatjoe biden has already pledged to ukraine as to president zelensky and whether that funding will come through? that president zelensky and whether that funding will come through?- funding will come through? that is another big theme _ funding will come through? that is another big theme here. _ funding will come through? that isj another big theme here. obviously republicans may take control of the house of representatives went this election is done and dusted and we have heard from kevin mccarthy, a senior republican in the house, that republicans will not necessarily write a blank cheque to ukraine. that took a lot of people back here

in europe. america has been leading the way in terms of both military support and financial help for ukraine. if that was to stop in any way, and the hint was it would be more financial support than military, i think that would place more of the burden onto europe, european partners to give more to ukraine. the european individual countries have been increasing their military help for ukraine, increasing their funding, military help for ukraine, increasing theirfunding, but military help for ukraine, increasing their funding, but there is nothing like in terms of financial help the package that had been going through the us congress. so i think there will be questions asked about the eu's ability to fill that gap if the us was to slow down its funding for ukraine at any point. we are expecting actually today the european commission, as it happens, is coming forward with more details on how it plans to provide more support for ukraine next year. even though they still haven't paid out 3 billion of what they agreed

this year. that is a huge think about what this means from ukraine policy. we are hearing from biden administration officials who are briefing eu officials last night that they don't expect too much of a change but it is a worry.— change but it is a worry. susanna l nch change but it is a worry. susanna lynch joining _ change but it is a worry. susanna lynch joining us _ change but it is a worry. susanna lynch joining us from _ change but it is a worry. susanna lynch joining us from brussels. l change but it is a worry. susanna lynch joining us from brussels. i | lynchjoining us from brussels. i love the idea of all these brussels officials waking up and checking their phones to find out what is going on in the mid—term elections. thanks forjoining us. there are real implications for europe with these elections. we have been sane during the course of the evening, it is being seen as a springboard, an indication of what the rest of the world might expect from 2024. here is what nancy pelosi, the speaker of the house, democratic speaker of the houseis the house, democratic speaker of the house is saying tonight. the democrats do not know whether she will still be speaker but that

is what she is saying. really interesting watching last night on cnn, i watched it all and he asked her at the end whether what happened to her husband paul in san francisco, ten days ago, he was hit over the head by an intruder in the house with a hammer, fractured his skull into places and she was asked whether that had affected her decision or not to carry on if democrats retained the house and she said, yes, it had affected her decision, but it left that question hanging. had it made her more steely and wanting to carry on? does that mean she wants to be at home with paul or carry on to finish the fight? paul or carry on to finish the fi.ht? . ., , , paul or carry on to finish the fiuht? . , paul or carry on to finish the fight? was she assuming they would win or lose? — fight? was she assuming they would win or lose? if— fight? was she assuming they would win or lose? if she _ fight? was she assuming they would win or lose? if she was _ fight? was she assuming they would win or lose? if she was assuming i win or lose? if she was assuming they would lose, was it a way to get

out of it? but look, nancy pelosi is a woman of great faith, she is very loyal. i have heard her speak about her husband paul on several occasions, she is incredibly fond of him, very dedicated to herfamily, and she must know that that interlude it was after her. he was saying the same things that they were saying onjanuary saying the same things that they were saying on january the saying the same things that they were saying onjanuary the 6th when they invaded the capitol. he was saying where is nancy? that was the same language that was used. it must make you rethink what you are doing or what your plans are. i make you rethink what you are doing or what your plans are.— or what your plans are. i really saw her re or what your plans are. i really saw her pretty shaken _ or what your plans are. i really saw her pretty shaken up _ or what your plans are. i really saw her pretty shaken up with - or what your plans are. i really saw her pretty shaken up with the i or what your plans are. i really saw| her pretty shaken up with the whole thing _ her pretty shaken up with the whole thing it— her pretty shaken up with the whole thing. it was somebody else. looking for her. _ thing. it was somebody else. looking for her. but _ thing. it was somebody else. looking for her, but her husband. her family was harmed — for her, but her husband. her family was harmed. i think that cuts in a was harmed. ! think that cuts in a different— was harmed. i think that cuts in a different kind of way, you could really _ different kind of way, you could really see — different kind of way, you could really see that in that conversation. it really see that in that conversation.- really see that in that conversation. , , ., , conversation. it is very easy-to-use the word historic _ conversation. it is very easy-to-use the word historic on _ conversation. it is very easy-to-use the word historic on nights - conversation. it is very easy-to-use the word historic on nights like i the word historic on nights like this and that is why we have with us historians that can actually talk about whether this is historic or

not. nicole hemmer is associate professor of history at vanderbilt university. she joins us from nashville, tennessee. there has been a long debate during the course of the last three months between fat why is it political heads than i am about whether this would be an election that went with the trend of history or that defied the trend of history or that defied the trend of history. how do you see it? ~ ,., the trend of history. how do you see it? . ,., ., the trend of history. how do you see it? ., ., it? well, so far, based on the results we — it? well, so far, based on the results we have _ it? well, so far, based on the results we have seen, i it? well, so far, based on the results we have seen, it i it? well, so far, based on the results we have seen, it has l it? well, so far, based on the i results we have seen, it has really defied the trend of history. there have only been a few mid—term elections in modern us history where the president's party has gained seats. that is not going to happen with these results but we would have expected something much more in line with1994, expected something much more in line with 1994, when republicans had an historic victory after bill clinton's of victory in 1992, or in 2010, two years after barack obama's election, especially given the state of the economy right now. the fact

that it seems that republican victories have been limited so sharply suggests a real break with the kinds of almost backlash that democratic presidents have got used to experiencing in their first two years. given that this also cuts against what we were expecting based on the pulse, it suggests there is something going on in american politics that wejust something going on in american politics that we just haven't quite figured outjust yet. i politics that we just haven't quite figured outjust yet.— figured out 'ust yet. i was following — figured outjust yet. i was following you _ figured outjust yet. i was following you on - figured outjust yet. i was following you on twitter l figured outjust yet. i was i following you on twitter and figured outjust yet. i was following you on twitter and reading a tweet she sent out a couple of hours ago. you are saying that republicans underperforming will have big implications for 2024. what do you mean by that? 50. have big implications for 2024. what do you mean by that?— do you mean by that? so, if there had been that _ do you mean by that? so, if there had been that massive _ do you mean by that? so, if there had been that massive red i do you mean by that? so, if there had been that massive red wave l do you mean by that? so, if there i had been that massive red wave that so many people had been expecting, that would have set the stage for donald trump to come out and declare his candidacy and for the party to really coalesce behind him. instead, what you are seeing tonight is ron

desantis, most likely the challenge it to donald trump, having a phenomenal night in florida and the rest of the party, particularly people who donald trump seemed to have hand—picked, people like mehmet oz, even someone like kari lake, we don't know what will happen to her. doug mastriano. all of these people who have underperformed tonight were associated with donald trump. if you are tuned into conservative media tonight, what you are hearing are a number of recriminations against donald trump, a party that feels divided in a way that it hasn't felt since the 2020 election, it really since the 2020 election, it really since the 2020 election, it really since the 2016 election. and that suggests that there might be some intraparty fights coming up based on these outcomes tonight. [30 intraparty fights coming up based on these outcomes tonight.— intraparty fights coming up based on these outcomes tonight. do you think that could mean _ these outcomes tonight. do you think that could mean that _ these outcomes tonight. do you think that could mean that donald - these outcomes tonight. do you think that could mean that donald trump . that could mean that donald trump decides not to make the big

announcement he has been teasing for the last few days? it’s announcement he has been teasing for the last few days?— the last few days? it's hard to imaaine the last few days? it's hard to imagine donald _ the last few days? it's hard to imagine donald trump i the last few days? it's hard to imagine donald trump not i the last few days? it's hard to i imagine donald trump not running the last few days? it's hard to - imagine donald trump not running for president, and if he decides to run he will want to announce soon in order to wrest the narrative away from what happened this evening. so i wouldn't count donald trump out. i think you will probably stick with his plant. think you will probably stick with his lant. ., ., his plant. one thing we have learnt in american — his plant. one thing we have learnt in american politics, _ his plant. one thing we have learnt in american politics, don't - his plant. one thing we have learnt in american politics, don't count i in american politics, don't count donald trump out. nicole hemmer, thank you forjoining us. ron, do you think there is any chance that donald trump looks at this landscape, and we don't have all the results and have to keep adding that caveat, we don't know about nevada or arizona in terms of those senate races. but if donald trump candidates have underperformed, and ron desantis has over performed in his margins in florida, do you think it changes his equation? ila. his margins in florida, do you think it changes his equation?— his margins in florida, do you think it changes his equation? no. i think donald trump _ it changes his equation? no. i think donald trump will _ it changes his equation? no. i think donald trump will look _ it changes his equation? no. i think donald trump will look at _ it changes his equation? no. i think donald trump will look at these i donald trump will look at these candidates and say they are flawed, they messed up, they should have

won _ they messed up, they should have won it _ they messed up, they should have won it is — they messed up, they should have won. it is nothing to do with me, it wasn't _ won. it is nothing to do with me, it wasn't a _ won. it is nothing to do with me, it wasn't a repudiation of me. i think he runs _ wasn't a repudiation of me. i think he runs i— wasn't a repudiation of me. i think he runs. ithink wasn't a repudiation of me. i think he runs. i think he wasn't a repudiation of me. i think he runs. ithink he runs wasn't a repudiation of me. i think he runs. i think he runs but what i'm he runs. i think he runs but what i'm looking — he runs. i think he runs but what i'm looking at is the ripple effect. if i'm looking at is the ripple effect. if the _ i'm looking at is the ripple effect. if the republicans don't do as well as expected in the house of representatives, will kevin mccarthy be the _ representatives, will kevin mccarthy be the presumed next speaker of the house? _ be the presumed next speaker of the house? i_ be the presumed next speaker of the house? i don't think he makes it. but i _ house? i don't think he makes it. but i read — house? i don't think he makes it. but i read somewhere that he had endorsed 289 primary candidates and he was 89% successful in getting those candidates through to the next round, the general election. if he is saying, well, look at the calibre of our candidates, and republicans going to turn around and say, in pennsylvania?! in new hampshire?! in maryland?! in arizona?! inte nevada?! these were your candidate! i think that is the real dilemma. republicans are having a real difficult — republicans are having a real difficult time, i believe, coming off tonight of what is the future of the republican party? is it still the republican party? is it still the donald trump stranglehold we

have seen for the last several years. — have seen for the last several years. or— have seen for the last several years, or do republicans say it is time _ years, or do republicans say it is time for— years, or do republicans say it is time for us — years, or do republicans say it is time for us to move on, let's get ron desantis, a fresh face in there that is— ron desantis, a fresh face in there that is not— ron desantis, a fresh face in there that is not as divisive and i think that is not as divisive and i think that is— that is not as divisive and i think that is the — that is not as divisive and i think that is the question we will be grappling with. that is the question we will be grappling with-— grappling with. let's flip this commissary. _ grappling with. let's flip this commissary, what _ grappling with. let's flip this commissary, what does i grappling with. let's flip this commissary, what does it i grappling with. let's flip this i commissary, what does it mean for joe biden? is it all but certain he runs? he has always said he is running, everyone i know he was close to him has said he is running, he firmly believes he is the only candidate who can beat donald trump but he is not young and won't be any younger in two years. he is but he is not young and won't be any younger in two years.— younger in two years. he is the only candidate who _ younger in two years. he is the only candidate who has _ younger in two years. he is the only candidate who has ever— younger in two years. he is the only candidate who has ever beaten i younger in two years. he is the only i candidate who has ever beaten donald trump _ candidate who has ever beaten donald trump so _ candidate who has ever beaten donald trump so he _ candidate who has ever beaten donald trump so he has — candidate who has ever beaten donald trump so he has that— candidate who has ever beaten donald trump so he has that in— candidate who has ever beaten donald trump so he has that in his _ trump so he has that in his favourite _ trump so he has that in his favourite delac— trump so he has that in his favourite delac a _ trump so he has that in his favourite delac a favour. i trump so he has that in hisl favourite delac a favour. we trump so he has that in his - favourite delac a favour. we could be having — favourite delac a favour. we could be having completely— favourite delac a favour. we could be having completely different i be having completely different station — be having completely different station tonight _ be having completely different station tonight and _ be having completely different station tonight and we - be having completely different station tonight and we could i be having completely different i station tonight and we could say that is— station tonight and we could say that is it. — station tonight and we could say that is it. it— station tonight and we could say that is it, it has— station tonight and we could say that is it, it has put— station tonight and we could say that is it, it has put paid - station tonight and we could say that is it, it has put paid to- station tonight and we could say that is it, it has put paid tojoe i that is it, it has put paid tojoe biden's— that is it, it has put paid tojoe biden's chances. _ that is it, it has put paid tojoe biden's chances. very- that is it, it has put paid tojoe biden's chances. very few i that is it, it has put paid tojoe i biden's chances. very few elected democrats — biden's chances. very few elected democrats have _ biden's chances. very few elected democrats have come _ biden's chances. very few elected democrats have come up- biden's chances. very few elected democrats have come up to i biden's chances. very few elected democrats have come up to say i biden's chances. very few elected i democrats have come up to say he shouldn't _ democrats have come up to say he shouldn't run— democrats have come up to say he shouldn't run again _ democrats have come up to say he shouldn't run again in _ democrats have come up to say he shouldn't run again in 2024. - democrats have come up to say he shouldn't run again in 2024. we i shouldn't run again in 2024. we could _ shouldn't run again in 2024. we could have _ shouldn't run again in 2024. we could have had _ shouldn't run again in 2024. we could have had a _ shouldn't run again in 2024. we could have had a slew— shouldn't run again in 2024. we could have had a slew of- shouldn't run again in 2024. we could have had a slew of people saying _ could have had a slew of people saying that _ could have had a slew of people saying that is _ could have had a slew of people saying that is it, _ could have had a slew of people saying that is it, we _ could have had a slew of people saying that is it, we need - could have had a slew of people saying that is it, we need a i could have had a slew of people i saying that is it, we need a change at the _ saying that is it, we need a change at the top — saying that is it, we need a change at the t0p. joe _ saying that is it, we need a change at the top. joe biden _ saying that is it, we need a change at the top. joe biden is _ saying that is it, we need a change at the top. joe biden is clearly- at the top. joe biden is clearly unpoputar_ at the top. joe biden is clearly unpcputar with— at the top. joe biden is clearly unpopular with the _ at the top. joe biden is clearly unpopular with the voters, - at the top. joe biden is clearly unpopular with the voters, we| unpopular with the voters, we shoutdh't_ unpopular with the voters, we shouldn't go _ unpopular with the voters, we shouldn't go into _ unpopular with the voters, we

shouldn't go into 2020 - unpopular with the voters, we shouldn't go into 2020 for - unpopular with the voters, we shouldn't go into 2020 for it l unpopular with the voters, we i shouldn't go into 2020 for it with him _ shouldn't go into 2020 for it with him we — shouldn't go into 2020 for it with him we woh't— shouldn't go into 2020 for it with him. we won't hear— shouldn't go into 2020 for it with him. we won't hear people - shouldn't go into 2020 for it withi him. we won't hear people saying that after— him. we won't hear people saying that after what _ him. we won't hear people saying that after what has _ him. we won't hear people saying that after what has happened - that after what has happened tonight, _ that after what has happened tonight, where _ that after what has happened tonight, where democrats. that after what has happened . tonight, where democrats have that after what has happened - tonight, where democrats have kind of snatched — tonight, where democrats have kind of snatched some _ tonight, where democrats have kind of snatched some form _ tonight, where democrats have kind of snatched some form of _ tonight, where democrats have kind of snatched some form of victory. it| of snatched some form of victory. it is funny, _ of snatched some form of victory. it is funny, we — of snatched some form of victory. it is funny, we are _ of snatched some form of victory. it is funny, we are talking _ of snatched some form of victory. it is funny, we are talking as - of snatched some form of victory. it is funny, we are talking as though l is funny, we are talking as though they are _ is funny, we are talking as though they are winning _ is funny, we are talking as though they are winning because - is funny, we are talking as though they are winning because they- is funny, we are talking as thoughi they are winning because they are doing _ they are winning because they are doing better— they are winning because they are doing better than _ they are winning because they are doing better than the _ they are winning because they are | doing better than the expectations we had~ _ doing better than the expectations we had. joe — doing better than the expectations we had. joe biden _ doing better than the expectations we had. joe biden is _ doing better than the expectations we had. joe biden is still- doing better than the expectations we had. joe biden is still going - doing better than the expectations we had. joe biden is still going toi we had. joe biden is still going to be stuck— we had. joe biden is still going to be stuck with— we had. joe biden is still going to be stuck with the _ we had. joe biden is still going to be stuck with the problem - we had. joe biden is still going to be stuck with the problem he - we had. joe biden is still going to be stuck with the problem he has| be stuck with the problem he has house _ be stuck with the problem he has house of— be stuck with the problem he has house of representatives - be stuck with the problem he has house of representatives he - be stuck with the problem he has| house of representatives he can't -et house of representatives he can't get any— house of representatives he can't get any legislation— house of representatives he can't get any legislation through, - house of representatives he can't get any legislation through, but . house of representatives he can'ti get any legislation through, but his party— get any legislation through, but his party have — get any legislation through, but his party have done _ get any legislation through, but his party have done better— get any legislation through, but his party have done better tonight- get any legislation through, but his party have done better tonight and| party have done better tonight and that probably— party have done better tonight and that probably means _ party have done better tonight and that probably means it _ party have done better tonight and that probably means it will- party have done better tonight and that probably means it will be - party have done better tonight and that probably means it will be veryi that probably means it will be very difficult _ that probably means it will be very difficult for — that probably means it will be very difficult for somebody— that probably means it will be very difficult for somebody to _ that probably means it will be very difficult for somebody to unseat i difficult for somebody to unseat him~ _ difficult for somebody to unseat him. . difficult for somebody to unseat him. , , . ~ him. he will be stuck with the roblem him. he will be stuck with the problem that _ him. he will be stuck with the problem that for _ him. he will be stuck with the problem that for the - him. he will be stuck with the problem that for the next - him. he will be stuck with the problem that for the next two i him. he will be stuck with the - problem that for the next two years, if the republicans take the house by even only one seat majority, they will spend two years launching investigations againstjoe biden, the withdrawal from afghanistan, his son hunter biden, the state of the border on the border with mexico, maybe impeachment. it almost won't matter what the investigation is for, they will do it with the aim of weakening him and making him a less plausible candidate in 2024, which is another reason why tonight is so important in the context of 202a. they could effectively damage his

presidency and his chances of re—election just by launching these investigations. that re-election just by launching these investigations.— investigations. that is the expectation, _ investigations. that is the expectation, that - investigations. that is the expectation, that that - investigations. that is the i expectation, that that would investigations. that is the _ expectation, that that would happen one expectation, that that would happen ohe way— expectation, that that would happen one way or— expectation, that that would happen one way or another— expectation, that that would happen one way or another by _ expectation, that that would happen one way or another by the _ expectation, that that would happen one way or another by the end - expectation, that that would happen one way or another by the end of- one way or another by the end of tonight — one way or another by the end of tonight what _ one way or another by the end of tonight. what is _ one way or another by the end of tonight. what is interesting - one way or another by the end of tonight. what is interesting is i one way or another by the end ofi tonight. what is interesting is one could _ tonight. what is interesting is one coutd took— tonight. what is interesting is one could took at _ tonight. what is interesting is one could look at not _ tonight. what is interesting is one could look at not only _ tonight. what is interesting is one could look at not only that - tonight. what is interesting is one could look at not only that donald| could look at not only that donald trump _ could look at not only that donald trump had — could look at not only that donald trump had not _ could look at not only that donald trump had not a _ could look at not only that donald trump had not a great _ could look at not only that donald trump had not a great mid - could look at not only that donald trump had not a great mid term i could look at not only that donald - trump had not a great mid term when he was _ trump had not a great mid term when he was president. _ trump had not a great mid term when he was president, but— trump had not a great mid term when he was president, but this _ trump had not a great mid term when he was president, but this also - he was president, but this also feets _ he was president, but this also feels a — he was president, but this also feels a little _ he was president, but this also feels a little like _ he was president, but this also feels a little like he _ he was president, but this also feels a little like he has - he was president, but this also feels a little like he has not - he was president, but this also . feels a little like he has not done well here — feels a little like he has not done well here. , . well here. the elephant in the room, 12 da s well here. the elephant in the room, 12 days from — well here. the elephant in the room, 12 days from now _ well here. the elephant in the room, 12 days from now we _ well here. the elephant in the room, 12 days from now we might _ well here. the elephant in the room, 12 days from now we might still - well here. the elephant in the room, 12 days from now we might still be i 12 days from now we might still be counting the votes in nevada. 12 days from nowjoe biden turns 80 and that little job to the helicopter is not going to convince a lot of voters out there that he should be running for president. he would be 86 by the end of his term. there running for president. he would be 86 by the end of his term.- 86 by the end of his term. there is a photograph _ 86 by the end of his term. there is a photograph of— 86 by the end of his term. there is a photograph of him _ 86 by the end of his term. there is a photograph of him on _ 86 by the end of his term. there is a photograph of him on the - 86 by the end of his term. there is a photograph of him on the phone | 86 by the end of his term. there is i a photograph of him on the phone to some _ a photograph of him on the phone to some of— a photograph of him on the phone to some of the — a photograph of him on the phone to some of the victorious democratic candidates — some of the victorious democratic candidates and he just looked so much _ candidates and he just looked so much like — candidates and he just looked so much like your grandpa! laughter it was not a good campaign advert, the photo _ it was not a good campaign advert, the photo they chose. if it was not a good campaign advert, the photo they chose.—

the photo they chose. if 2024 is a rerun of 2016. — the photo they chose. if 2024 is a rerun of 2016, of _ the photo they chose. if 2024 is a rerun of 2016, of 2020, _ the photo they chose. if 2024 is a rerun of 2016, of 2020, you - the photo they chose. if 2024 is a rerun of 2016, of 2020, you have | the photo they chose. if 2024 is a . rerun of 2016, of 2020, you have the two candidates running again, both four years old and they both look it. . , if four years old and they both look it._ if donald - it. that is the thing. if donald trump declares _ it. that is the thing. if donald trump declares he _ it. that is the thing. if donald trump declares he wants - it. that is the thing. if donald trump declares he wants to l it. that is the thing. if donald l trump declares he wants to run again. — trump declares he wants to run again. if— trump declares he wants to run again. if he _ trump declares he wants to run again, if he wins— trump declares he wants to run again, if he wins the _ trump declares he wants to run i again, if he wins the nomination, joe biden— again, if he wins the nomination, joe biden does— again, if he wins the nomination, joe biden does not— again, if he wins the nomination, joe biden does not have - again, if he wins the nomination, joe biden does not have a - again, if he wins the nomination, i joe biden does not have a youthful opponent~ — joe biden does not have a youthful o- onent. ., . ., opponent. tonight in orlando, the first gen 2 candidate _ opponent. tonight in orlando, the first gen 2 candidate elected. - opponent. tonight in orlando, the first gen 2 candidate elected. he i opponent. tonight in orlando, the| first gen 2 candidate elected. he is first gen z candidate elected. he is 55 years older than the youngest democrat in the house! extraordinary.— democrat in the house! extraordina . . , . extraordinary. there is definitely a sea change- _ extraordinary. there is definitely a sea change- a _ extraordinary. there is definitely a sea change. a sea _ extraordinary. there is definitely a sea change. a sea change - extraordinary. there is definitely a sea change. a sea change and - extraordinary. there is definitely a sea change. a sea change and i i extraordinary. there is definitely a i sea change. a sea change and i also think the younger _ sea change. a sea change and i also think the younger voters _ sea change. a sea change and i also think the younger voters will - sea change. a sea change and i also think the younger voters will really i think the younger voters will really have a _ think the younger voters will really have a very— think the younger voters will really have a very important impact on the election— have a very important impact on the election in— have a very important impact on the election in 2024. you look at americans, have so many younger people _ americans, have so many younger people engaged in the political process— people engaged in the political process as opposed to those who are in social— process as opposed to those who are in social security or medicare. the youth _ in social security or medicare. the youth vote — in social security or medicare. the youth vote is something to be reckoned _ youth vote is something to be reckoned with. fire youth vote is something to be reckoned with.— youth vote is something to be reckoned with. . . , ., reckoned with. are we really going to want younger— reckoned with. are we really going to want younger candidates - reckoned with. are we really going to want younger candidates at - reckoned with. are we really going to want younger candidates at the | to want younger candidates at the top of the ticket? i to want younger candidates at the top of the ticket?— top of the ticket? i am not saying the to of top of the ticket? i am not saying the top of the _ top of the ticket? i am not saying the top of the ticket _ top of the ticket? i am not saying the top of the ticket but - top of the ticket? i am not saying the top of the ticket but as - top of the ticket? i am not saying the top of the ticket but as we .

top of the ticket? i am not saying | the top of the ticket but as we are seeing _ the top of the ticket but as we are seeing from congress, i think we will have — seeing from congress, i think we will have younger folks running for office. _ will have younger folks running for office, winning office, that sets them _ office, winning office, that sets them up — office, winning office, that sets them up in a position where they can _ them up in a position where they can... ~' them up in a position where they can... ~ , ., them up in a position where they can... ~ i. ., . , can... like the young woman we 'ust interviewed — can... like the young woman we 'ust interviewed from fl can... like the young woman we 'ust interviewed from texas, i can. .. like the young woman we 'ust interviewed from texas, jasmine]- interviewed from texas, jasmine crockett. fin interviewed from texas, jasmine crockett. . . interviewed from texas, jasmine crockett. , , ., interviewed from texas, jasmine crockett. ,, ., :: crockett. on the issue of 2024, you look at what — crockett. on the issue of 2024, you look at what is _ crockett. on the issue of 2024, you look at what is happening _ crockett. on the issue of 2024, you look at what is happening on - crockett. on the issue of 2024, you look at what is happening on the i look at what is happening on the republican side and florida it looks like it will be ground zero in declaring who is the presumptive candidate, ron desantis or donald trump, but you look at the democrat field will stop you do you either? who are the young pretenders tojoe biden? who are the young pretenders to joe biden? . . who are the young pretenders to joe biden? , , , , ., . ., biden? this is the big question. who are we seeing _ biden? this is the big question. who are we seeing tonight _ biden? this is the big question. who are we seeing tonight who _ biden? this is the big question. who are we seeing tonight who looks - biden? this is the big question. who are we seeing tonight who looks like | are we seeing tonight who looks like some _ are we seeing tonight who looks like some one _ are we seeing tonight who looks like some one who— are we seeing tonight who looks like some one who could _ are we seeing tonight who looks like some one who could take _ are we seeing tonight who looks like some one who could take that - are we seeing tonight who looks like some one who could take that on . are we seeing tonight who looks like some one who could take that on in| some one who could take that on in 2024? _ some one who could take that on in 2024? we — some one who could take that on in 2024? we haven't— some one who could take that on in 2024? we haven't seen— some one who could take that on in 2024? we haven't seen any- some one who could take that on in l 2024? we haven't seen any victorious candidates _ 2024? we haven't seen any victorious candidates. �* 2024? we haven't seen any victorious candidates. ~ ., candidates. apart from gavin newsom in california- — candidates. apart from gavin newsom in california. and _ candidates. apart from gavin newsom in california. and he _ candidates. apart from gavin newsom in california. and he clearly _ candidates. apart from gavin newsom in california. and he clearly is - in california. and he clearly is thinkin: in california. and he clearly is thinking about _ in california. and he clearly is thinking about a _ in california. and he clearly is thinking about a run - in california. and he clearly is thinking about a run because | in california. and he clearly is i thinking about a run because he in california. and he clearly is - thinking about a run because he is running _ thinking about a run because he is running adverts _ thinking about a run because he is running adverts in _ thinking about a run because he is running adverts in other— thinking about a run because he is running adverts in other states, i thinking about a run because he is. running adverts in other states, not 'ust running adverts in other states, not just california! _ running adverts in other states, not just california!— just california! california reminds me of paris- _ just california! california reminds me of paris. the _ just california! california reminds me of paris. the rest _ just california! california reminds me of paris. the rest of - just california! california reminds me of paris. the rest of the - just california! california reminds i me of paris. the rest of the country looks at it and says, no, we can't do that! is not a problem for a california democrat the democrat?

the record will always be a problem when _ the record will always be a problem when you _ the record will always be a problem when you go — the record will always be a problem when you go into _ the record will always be a problem when you go into that. _ the record will always be a problem when you go into that. there - the record will always be a problem when you go into that. there are i when you go into that. there are other— when you go into that. there are other people _ when you go into that. there are other people who _ when you go into that. there are other people who are _ when you go into that. there are other people who are talked i when you go into that. there are i other people who are talked about. pete buttigieg _ other people who are talked about. pete buttigieg his _ other people who are talked about. pete buttigieg his name _ other people who are talked about. pete buttigieg his name always- other people who are talked about. i pete buttigieg his name always comes up, pete buttigieg his name always comes up. secretary — pete buttigieg his name always comes up. secretary. some _ pete buttigieg his name always comes up, secretary. some of— pete buttigieg his name always comes up, secretary. some of the _ up, secretary. some of the candidates _ up, secretary. some of the candidates who— up, secretary. some of the candidates who ran - up, secretary. some of the candidates who ran it i up, secretary. some of the candidates who ran it last i up, secretary. some of the i candidates who ran it last time, stacey— candidates who ran it last time, stacey abrams, _ candidates who ran it last time, stacey abrams, beto _ candidates who ran it last time, stacey abrams, beto 0'rourke, doesn't — stacey abrams, beto 0'rourke, doesn't set _ stacey abrams, beto 0'rourke, doesn't set them _ stacey abrams, beto 0'rourke, doesn't set them up _ stacey abrams, beto 0'rourke, doesn't set them up for - stacey abrams, beto 0'rourke, doesn't set them up for any i stacey abrams, beto 0'rourke,| doesn't set them up for any sort stacey abrams, beto 0'rourke, i doesn't set them up for any sort of run tonight~ — doesn't set them up for any sort of run tonight~ it— doesn't set them up for any sort of run tonight. it is _ doesn't set them up for any sort of run tonight. it is interesting - doesn't set them up for any sort of run tonight. it is interesting to- run tonight. it is interesting to see who — run tonight. it is interesting to see who in _ run tonight. it is interesting to see who in the _ run tonight. it is interesting to see who in the field _ run tonight. it is interesting to see who in the field will - run tonight. it is interesting to see who in the field will be i run tonight. it is interesting to. see who in the field will be able run tonight. it is interesting to- see who in the field will be able to take on— see who in the field will be able to take on a — see who in the field will be able to take on a sitting _ see who in the field will be able to take on a sitting president. - see who in the field will be able to take on a sitting president. filter. take on a sitting president. after toniuht, take on a sitting president. after tonight. the _ take on a sitting president. after tonight, the chances _ take on a sitting president. after tonight, the chances that i take on a sitting president. tonight, the chances that this is take on a sitting president.- tonight, the chances that this is a biden trump rematch has grown. questions aboutjoe biden and his fitness to run and whether he can be the person that keeps democrats in office will fall away if republicans carry on performing as they have done so far. taste carry on performing as they have done so far-— carry on performing as they have done so far. ~ . ., , , . done so far. we will have to spend a lot of money — done so far. we will have to spend a lot of money marketing _ done so far. we will have to spend a lot of money marketing that. i done so far. we will have to spend a lot of money marketing that. that i done so far. we will have to spend a lot of money marketing that. that is the sequel that nobody wants. == the sequel that nobody wants. -- the sequel that nobody wants. -- the will the sequel that nobody wants. » they will have to spend a lot. they have a lot of money. laughter it is a horror movie. ~ . it is a horror movie. we bought that movie once — it is a horror movie. we bought that movie once before _ it is a horror movie. we bought that

movie once before and _ it is a horror movie. we bought that movie once before and we - it is a horror movie. we bought that movie once before and we were i it is a horror movie. we bought that| movie once before and we were very tired by the end of it. it is very true, but ijust don't see what tired by the end of it. it is very true, but i just don't see what the alternative becomes. 0k, ron christie. i havejust been alternative becomes. 0k, ron christie. i have just been told very sadly that this is the last time we see you in the studio with us. amanda, thank you. we started the night thinking one thing and ended up night thinking one thing and ended up thinking quite another. very quickly, a few seconds, what is your takeaway? i quickly, a few seconds, what is your takeawa ? ~' , , , takeaway? i think the republicans will be very _ takeaway? i think the republicans will be very disappointed - takeaway? i think the republicans will be very disappointed with i will be very disappointed with tonight~ — will be very disappointed with tonight. i think they really thought they would have a great red wave but it was _ they would have a great red wave but it was a _ they would have a great red wave but it was a ripple but i think they will still— it was a ripple but i think they will still take the house and will -et will still take the house and will get nothing done in washington for the next _ get nothing done in washington for the next two years. | get nothing done in washington for the next two years.— the next two years. i feel very ho eful the next two years. i feel very hopeful that — the next two years. i feel very hopeful that people _ the next two years. i feel very hopeful that people got i the next two years. i feel very i hopeful that people got engaged, came _ hopeful that people got engaged, came out— hopeful that people got engaged, came out and _ hopeful that people got engaged, came out and voted _ hopeful that people got engaged, came out and voted into - hopeful that people got engaged, came out and voted into the i came out and voted into the democratic— came out and voted into the democratic party— came out and voted into the democratic party figured i came out and voted into the | democratic party figured out came out and voted into the i democratic party figured out a came out and voted into the - democratic party figured out a way through— democratic party figured out a way through state—by—state _ democratic party figured out a way through state—by—state and - democratic party figured out a way through state—by—state and we i democratic party figured out a way| through state—by—state and we will see how _ through state—by—state and we will see how it— through state—by—state and we will see how it goes— through state—by—state and we will see how it goes but _ through state—by—state and we will see how it goes but i'm _ through state—by—state and we will see how it goes but i'm hopeful. i see how it goes but i'm hopeful. serra, _ see how it goes but i'm hopeful. serra, i— see how it goes but i'm hopeful. serra, i will_ see how it goes but i'm hopeful. serra, i will not _ see how it goes but i'm hopeful. serra, i will not get _ see how it goes but i'm hopeful. serra, i will not get your- see how it goes but i'm hopeful. serra, i will not get your final i serra, i will not get your final thoughts because i want to tell

everyone to go and watch americast so save it, keep it in the green room. you can find that on the website. or it is on the bbc sounds ap. get more americast with sarah smith. we ap. get more americast with sarah smith. ~ . ., ap. get more americast with sarah smith. ~ . . . ., . smith. we are hanging around and we will be riaht smith. we are hanging around and we will be right back. _ hello, there. ultimately, wednesday is going to be another day of sunny spells and scattered showers but with lighter winds than tuesday. hopefully the shower is not as widespread and not as heavy. so we will start off with a band of more persistent showery rain across south—east england. wind direction changes somewhat to more westerly so most of the show was to begin with a long west facing coasts. that rain will ease away from the south—east, and chang comes through and as we go through the afternoon we will see more widespread showers developing

to the north—west of the great glen. here it was to be quite breezy but on the whole, lighter winds in comparison to the last few days. if you wish i was particularly into the afternoon and temperatures not bad for this time of year, highs between 11 and 15 celsius. now, there is ii and 15 celsius. now, there is going to be an area of high pressure that will drift across europe as we move into thursday. so this height here. it will keep the weather story across england and wales quite dry and settled. it will deflect the weather fronts into the fight north—west where it stays wet and windy, but we will tap into that very warm air coming all the way up from africa. so for this time of year, temperatures will be very, very mild indeed. does come with a price in november. that south—westerly wind bringing a lot of low cloud. it will be murky and drizzly on exposed coasts, it will be very windy, as well. the heaviest rain in the far north, gusts in excess of 50 to 60 mph at times. but mild with it. we are looking at around 13 degrees in the northern

isles, 17 degrees down in the south. and it's not onlyjust mild by day, but also potentially through the night. now, these are the current record november minimum as they stand. you can see. mid—teens quite widely. but as we move into the early hours of friday morning, potentially in northern ireland and in scotland, we might break those records. it's going to be an incredibly male starch to the day. still be wet and windy at times in the far north—west, still a lot of low cloud, drizzly, murky conditions on exposed west coasts. the best of the through england and england and wales and again, highs are still possible of 17 degrees, 63 fahrenheit. now, as we move into the we move into the weekend hopefully the showers will stay away. at high pressure continues to dominate. a better weekend than the one just passed, and it stays pretty mild.

it's 7am in london, 2am in the state of pennslyvania, where voters have elected john fetterman as their next senator. this puts the democrats in a strong position to hold onto the senate. we can look at some of the results so far. north carolina senate, it was a republican hold. they kept that. in ohio. republicans held on to ohio, jd vance, there trump

endorsed candidate defeating tim ryan. in florida, marco rubio has held onto the senate seat defeating the democrat challenger. in new hampshire, the democrats have held onto their seat. this was a little tighter. they held it comfortably. maggie hassan holding on, 54% for the democrats. and the big one. this is the one they flipped, the democrats have taken the senate seat in pennsylvania, john fetterman, the most unusual democratic candidate. loved in his state. he beats the donald trump candidate, the celebrity doctor, mehmet oz. bryan, what do they make of it in the republican team? they are angry.

angry at him? republican leadership. senate leadership, house leadership. not donald trump. we are talking mar—a—lago. this ran contrary to history. only the second time in the past 40, 50 years an incumbent president has not been wiped out. george w bush, the last time. a huge event with september the 11th. find event with september the 11th. and none has gone _ event with september the 11th. and none has gone to the country in midterms with inflation at this level, not for 40 years. since ronald reagan. does it have a bearing on whether donald trump decides to have another run at the white house? i do decides to have another run at the white house?— white house? i do not think so. i think it is thought _ white house? i do not think so. i think it is thought about, - white house? i do not think so. i | think it is thought about, probably he thinks about it 30 seconds when he thinks about it 30 seconds when he wakes up. trump believes in himself more than anybody else. he

may see what is taking place on a rejection night where we got a report. and he might think you can fix it. 50 report. and he might think you can fix it. . ~ ., fix it. so far, it looks like it has been a better— fix it. so far, it looks like it has been a better night _ fix it. so far, it looks like it has been a better night for- fix it. so far, it looks like it has i been a better night for democrats than might have been expected. talking about the 2024 election, this is the springboard. does it change the calculation? whispering among democrats, joe biden, turning 80 soon, that he should not be their candidate. are we looking at him as a candidate next time around? the democrats a candidate next time around? tue: democrats will a candidate next time around? tte: democrats will not a candidate next time around? t'te: democrats will not only a candidate next time around? tte: democrats will not only hold the senate they have a shot at keeping the house and if that happens, it emboldens everyone. if you arejoe biden, you look at the cards dealt and you say kept the house and senate. i beat donald trump. of course i can do this again. on the other hand, i am sure there democrats. everybody was up in new hampshire. they are saying this is

my chance. time for change. a lot of younger voters came out. you see a shift. the republicans did a great job setting up this election and the media bought it. the democrats. same media bought it. the democrats. some reall bi media bought it. the democrats. some really big seats — media bought it. the democrats. some really big seats up _ media bought it. the democrats. some really big seats up a _ media bought it. the democrats. some really big seats up a macro _ media bought it. the democrats. some really big seats up a macro play. in california. the truth is that they could do really well tonight, the democrats, and if they lose the house by one seat, it changes the picture. tt house by one seat, it changes the icture. ., , . _ picture. it does. nancy bolasie knows that- — picture. it does. nancy bolasie knows that. i _ picture. it does. nancy bolasie knows that. i have _ picture. it does. nancy bolasie knows that. i have to - picture. it does. nancy bolasie knows that. i have to give - picture. it does. nancy bolasie knows that. i have to give her| knows that. i have to give her credit. she predicted the democrats could keep the house and she meant it. if that happens, it will be tough. it. if that happens, it will be toulh, , ., ., it. if that happens, it will be tou~h. , . ., , tough. investigations? possible impeachment? _ tough. investigations? possible impeachment? that _ tough. investigations? possible impeachment? that is - tough. investigations? possible impeachment? that is possible | tough. investigations? possible- impeachment? that is possible but who will lead _ impeachment? that is possible but who will lead to _ impeachment? that is possible but who will lead to the _ impeachment? that is possible but who will lead to the republicans i impeachment? that is possible but who will lead to the republicans in | who will lead to the republicans in the house? we do not know. i watched

an interview last night and there was a belief she would run for re—election and stay. the calculation has changed with what happened in her house. the disinformation _ happened in her house. the disinformation correspondent is with us. we have a situation in several states. arizona and nevada where we are not going to have a result for days. when there is a gap, you deal with disinformation and you have watched what has happened in this campaign. we saw what happened in 2020. when there is a gap with no news, what happens in terms of disinformation? gm? news, what happens in terms of disinformation?— disinformation? any kind of uncertainty _ disinformation? any kind of uncertainty is _ disinformation? any kind of uncertainty is the _ disinformation? any kind of uncertainty is the perfect i uncertainty is the perfect circumstance for misinformation and disinformation to spread. we have seenin disinformation to spread. we have seen in the past 12 hours how problems with the ballot machines and issues with counting votes, the delays, are fuelling narratives about fraudulent elections and rigged votes. the same narratives we saw in 2020. what is important to

remember, and i have looked at this through undercover voters. they are characters i have created and i can investigate topics through their social media. they are not real, they are mean. but this stuff has a real—world impact and affects people and might affect how they vote but now, as votes come in and there are delays, we saw what happened in 2020. it does not take much for people to become angry and agitated and possibly take action off—line. what i am looking at now is the way particularly far right groups have been drawing on some of these claims there have been issues with voting. there are some niche groups like the 3% group linked to the riots. this is britney. _

396 group linked to the riots. this is britney, you're _ 3% group linked to the riots. this is britney, you're far writes... 396 group linked to the riots. this| is britney, you're far writes... my --oulist is britney, you're far writes... tj�*i populist right is britney, you're far writes... m1: populist right voter. is britney, you're far writes... my populist right voter. it _ is britney, you're far writes... my populist right voter. it has - is britney, you're far writes... my populist right voter. it has been l populist right voter. it has been fascinating _ populist right voter. it has been fascinating watching _ populist right voter. it has been fascinating watching her - populist right voter. it has been fascinating watching her feet. i populist right voter. it has been i fascinating watching her feet. we will see fascinating watching her feet. - will see what she is seeing. this is an example of a post suggested to her. essentially talking about one of these far right groups and promoting their cause. this was something recommended to her. she did not have to seek it out. it tells us these groups are waiting and looking to capitalise on social media narratives. it did not take much to set them alight. they have continued since 2020. it took a few problems and delays and questions. any discrepancy between ron desantis and donald trump who she is hearing more from? ron and donald trump who she is hearing more from?— and donald trump who she is hearing more from? ., , , , . more from? ron desantis has started to dominate — more from? ron desantis has started to dominate some _ more from? ron desantis has started to dominate some of— more from? ron desantis has started to dominate some of the _ to dominate some of the right—leaning character feeds. to dominate some of the right—leaning characterfeeds. trump right—leaning character feeds. trump has right—leaning characterfeeds. trump has taken centre stage in the build up has taken centre stage in the build up to now. our apolitical voter

gabriella has seen more of ron desantis and she was not interested in politics when i set up her account. she is based in miami. interesting to see how different personalities win their social media war. the left leaning vote has not seen the same disinformation and hate. a lot of bows have been concerns for democracy. celebrating where democratic candidates have done well. it will be interesting to see how it plays out. sometimes off—line action and protests does not come immediately. it takes time for that to grow. if there is uncertainty, i have no doubt they will intensify. it uncertainty, i have no doubt they will intensify.— will intensify. it is the vacuum which is the _ will intensify. it is the vacuum which is the danger _ will intensify. it is the vacuum which is the danger of - will intensify. it is the vacuum which is the danger of having l will intensify. it is the vacuum i which is the danger of having this delay and counting. we do not like a vacuum because this spreads. mariano with her six phones so we do not have to have them and her multiple personalities. great to have you. keep us posted.

christian, what results? back in 2020i christian, what results? back in 20201 was counting the vote in pennsylvania on the saturday, several days after the election. no such problems tonight. because they have counted 90%. john fetterman, the democrat is in a commanding position over doctor mehmet oz, a republican candidate endorsed by donald trump. 69% of the early ballot in pennsylvania was democrats so it is fair to assume that will lean heavily to the democrats which is why cbs our partner have called it. where were the clues that would happen? you can look here. this county, it the one with the most swing in pennsylvania. montgomery county, 62—34. these counties can tilt towards republicans in a bad year but they went heavily tonight.

and this one, the birthplace ofjoe biden. add another clue. at the top of the ticket. doug mastriano, endorsed by donald trump. a long way behind. josh shapiro winning the seat. the top of the ticket might be lifting john fetterman over the line, creating enthusiasm in democrat places. another signal tonight of where things were going well for democrats. ignore the top line because these will change. plenty of votes to be counted. they are in virginia. i said at the beginning, there were three seats we were looking at. this one, the second district thatjoe biden won by two points. the democrat candidate was up against it. if

there was a slight tilt, you can see where that went up macro this seat was more important for the democrats because it was a clue. another of the 2018 democrat intake, these women who gave the democrats the house hanging on. at one stage at the night, this was tilting republican and suddenly it drifted back the other way. 51—47. and this. a districtjoe biden won by ten points. if republicans had won that, that would have been a blow out but quite comfortably, jennifer wexton hand on. virginia looks like a good picture for the democrats and it is being repeated across the map. plenty more votes to be counted but, so far, it is looking healthy for democrats. we had a response from the man who

would like to have been the republican speaker of the house in the next congress if republicans take over, and even if they do there will be questions over whether kevin mccarthy will get that job because he will be saddled with some of the blame over why the republicans did not do better tonight but here he is speaking earlier. tiara not do better tonight but here he is speaking earlier.— not do better tonight but here he is speaking earlier. two years ago when i became leader, _ speaking earlier. two years ago when i became leader, republicans - speaking earlier. two years ago when i became leader, republicans had - i became leader, republicans had less than 200 seats in the house. that cycle we picked up 14 seats, when every single person said it would be impossible. if you believe in freedom, hard work, and the american dream, these results proved that there is a place for you in the republican party. cheering . tonight, we built upon those gains two years ago and it is clear that we are going to take the house back.

studio: kevin mccarthy, who wants to be the speaker of the house should republicans take control. i can show you reaction from donald trump who has spoken briefly tonight. this is what he says. quite a few candidates the former president himself endorsed have not been elected and there will be questions about whether his endorsement is enough to get republicans a victory. that is a positive spin that bryan would be proud of. i am very proud. is that putting a shine on what has been a disappointing evening? it is a been a disappointing evening? it 3 a disappointing evening. we expected the senate, 30 seats, it looks like

we are scraping to get something in the house. candidates matter. president trump endorsed marginal candidates and got them through the primary. when you come to the general election... primary. when you come to the general election. . .— primary. when you come to the general election... does he have to -a a general election... does he have to pay a price — general election... does he have to pay a price acrobat? _ general election... does he have to pay a price acrobat? he _ general election... does he have to pay a price acrobat? he has - general election... does he have to pay a price acrobat? he has not - general election... does he have to | pay a price acrobat? he has not yet, so why start — pay a price acrobat? he has not yet, so why start now? _ pay a price acrobat? he has not yet, so why start now? -- _ pay a price acrobat? he has not yet, so why start now? -- does - pay a price acrobat? he has not yet, so why start now? -- does he - pay a price acrobat? he has not yet, so why start now? -- does he have l pay a price acrobat? he has not yet, l so why start now? -- does he have to so why start now? —— does he have to pay a price for that? you call it the way it is. it pay a price for that? you call it the way it is. it is the onl wa you call it the way it is. it is the only way to _ you call it the way it is. it is the only way to see _ you call it the way it is. it is the only way to see it. _ you call it the way it is. it is the only way to see it. he _ you call it the way it is. it is the only way to see it. he has - you call it the way it is. it is the only way to see it. he has not l you call it the way it is. it is the i only way to see it. he has not paid a single price, why would he start now? �* . , a single price, why would he start now? ~ . , ., now? and a better night for democrats. _ now? and a better night for- democrats. better-than-expected? i have believed — democrats. better-than-expected? i have believed it _ democrats. better-than-expected? i have believed it a _ democrats. better-than-expected? i have believed it a long _ democrats. better-than-expected? i have believed it a long time. - democrats. better-than-expected? i have believed it a long time. i i have believed it a long time. i consistently said that. a great night — consistently said that. a great night no— consistently said that. a great night. no matter how this ends up. it night. no matter how this ends up. it would _ night. no matter how this ends up. it would he — night. no matter how this ends up. it would be tough to have the republicans in the house. every democrat has _ republicans in the house. every democrat has to _ republicans in the house. every democrat has to feel— republicans in the house. every democrat has to feel good. i democrat has to feel good. elections, it is like the financial

markets, it is expectations. democrats will say they beat the expectations on their earnings even if they lose the house. last night the media said maggie hassan in new hampshire was in trouble. and she has won tonight. and you said she would. we will see. we will see where the map goes tonight and how many of your predictions are right but she is quite good at this. funny that! we have talked a lot about what the elections mean to the american public, but this is being watched around the world and nowhere more closely perhaps than in ukraine. we can go to keogh. —— to kyiv. i imagine as they wake up to these results, they will be feeling quite relieved.

exactly. the us mid—term elections have been closely followed in ukraine. people wondering what a change in the balance of power could have on us foreign policy here. as you mention, the us minority leader kevin mccarthy had said the republicans would not give a blank cheque for us military spending here in ukraine. we have seen the americans react. there have been several american diplomats who have come to ukraine to reassure the country that us support for ukraine will continue. taste country that us support for ukraine will continue.— will continue. we 'ust lost your icture. will continue. we 'ust lost your picture. one _ will continue. we 'ust lost your picture. one of i will continue. we just lost your picture. one of those - will continue. we just lost your| picture. one of those democrat senators you are talking about was on the programme, and he is very close to the president and he seemed

to suggest that if democrats can hold on to the senate tonight, the prospect of keeping the money flowing to kyiv is in better shape. is that how they see it?— is that how they see it? exactly, because the _ is that how they see it? exactly, because the democrats - is that how they see it? exactly, because the democrats have i is that how they see it? exactly, i because the democrats have been close allies to the people in ukraine. the us has pledged $54 billion in military, humanitarian and budgetary support for ukraine since the war began. the expectation is if democrats hold power, this would mean support can continue. we must remember this is a large amount of support for ukraine. 54 billion accounts for two thirds of the entire annual budget of the department for state. this is a lot of money in the us is sending to ukraine. there were already discussions that the us might have to slow down in support for ukraine.

but we do have republican politicians who have been supportive of ukraine who say there needs to be victory in ukraine to push back the russian advance. what the united states officials have said to ukraine is that even if the democrats lose the house in the united states, they expect there would be bipartisan support for continued budgetary support for ukraine. has continued budgetary support for ukraine. �* , . continued budgetary support for ukraine. a . . ., ukraine. as i travelled around the country this _ ukraine. as i travelled around the country this summer, _ ukraine. as i travelled around the country this summer, i _ ukraine. as i travelled around the country this summer, i was i ukraine. as i travelled around the country this summer, i was not i country this summer, i was not asking voters about ukraine but several times, asking voters about ukraine but severaltimes, both asking voters about ukraine but several times, both democrats and republican voters raised the issue of financing of ukraine, particularly in the context of the us economy and inflationary pressures here. a democrat said to me frankly, why are we sending this money to ukraine, i do not understand it, we should spend money at home. we do not have the result yet but it is still possible the

republicans take the house of representatives. whether it is immediate, i imagine in ukraine, they are worried, when they watch this closely, they must be worried when they see the softening of support from the american public towards the war effort in ukraine? exactly. people here and around the world have heard the economy is a keyissue world have heard the economy is a key issue for voters in the us and that goes in terms of the massive economic budgetary support to the us is giving to ukraine. also the inflationary impact of the war in ukraine. we have seen it impact fuel prices in the united states. food prices, as well. we have seen a change in tone from american and western officials to ukraine. they have been talking about maybe changing their position when it comes to talking about negotiations with russia. we are seeing that

influence. people all over the world are feeling the impact of the war with ukraine. we are seeing politicians saying maybe start thinking about having talks with russia. that is changing the conversations in kyiv. catherine, thank you. anthony has joined us. put some detail on this. marianne thinks the democrats have a path to holder house. but let's say the republicans take control. what happens to the spending commitments joe biden has made ukraine? you happens to the spending commitments joe biden has made ukraine?— joe biden has made ukraine? you can see from what — joe biden has made ukraine? you can see from what some _ joe biden has made ukraine? you can see from what some of _ joe biden has made ukraine? you can see from what some of the _ see from what some of the republicans have said there is a certain amount of reluctance to write what they call a blank cheque, but a blank cheque means it will be harder to get new funding through, especially if it is a narrow republican majority. when they have

people in that majority who do not want to give any more to ukraine. that will be a headache for republicans to get something through with republican support. if it slits with republican support. if it splits controlling congress there is nothing the senate can do? thea;r splits controlling congress there is nothing the senate can do? they will need the house _ nothing the senate can do? they will need the house to _ nothing the senate can do? they will need the house to pass _ nothing the senate can do? they will need the house to pass legislation i need the house to pass legislation supporting ukraine. maybe the republican leadership can decide whether they will cooperate with democrats and pass something. there is an avenue for that, but do they want to risk defections in their caucus early on? if they want to divide the caucus early on, it will not be a great way to start. it is an issue for them and they could end “p an issue for them and they could end up with internal conflicts spread. we are frustrated because we cannot bring viewers, having been on air hours, i cannot count, we cannot bring viewers all of the results.

some of them are close and some have not been counted yet and some places are waiting for ballots to come in. we had a big result which wasjohn fetterman in pennsylvania. he had had a stroke. there were questions about whether he could run this campaign. even more important, that had been a republican senate seat the democrats took. when you look at john fetterman, is he the kind of candidate now? is he the democratic equivalent to some of the more wacky candidates that had been running on the republican side? is he the unusual type of candidate democrats need to think about running? fin need to think about running? on appearance, yes. however, it is clear, he has developed a bond with voters in pennsylvania. we talked about it, he has a way of getting blue—collar workers, lower income workers across the board. you heard

him talking about he was going to be the senatorfor him talking about he was going to be the senator for everybody. he cleaned up in the eastern part of the state and in the western part. he is from there, but it helps. he picked up some in the middle. and you look at scranton, a joe biden area. he appeals to that. and democrats would do well to appeal to more of those voters in addition to the coalition they put together to keep the senate and possibly the house. is keep the senate and possibly the house. , ., , . ,, . ., house. is the worrying aspect for democrats _ house. is the worrying aspect for democrats the _ house. is the worrying aspect for democrats the way _ house. is the worrying aspect for democrats the way the _ house. is the worrying aspect for democrats the way the florida i house. is the worrying aspect for. democrats the way the florida has turned out. there is a lot of red in florida and it is the hispanic, venezuela and vote that has turned against democrats. it makes it difficult for democrats there. it does. miami dade area especially. florida has always been pretty republican but on the east coast, it was always more democratic. when you

see miami, miami dade, up to palm beach going republican, especially the transition in the hispanic, latin, venezuela and vote, that is bedevilling democrats because i think for is so long democrats believed demographics where their destiny but as they change, democrats would inevitably become more invincible.— more invincible. ironically candidates _ more invincible. ironically candidates on _ more invincible. ironically candidates on the - more invincible. ironically candidates on the left i more invincible. ironically candidates on the left of. more invincible. ironically. candidates on the left of the more invincible. ironically- candidates on the left of the party like john candidates on the left of the party likejohn fetterman are turning off hispanic people. what i am saying is the progressives on the left of the democratic party pulling the party that way is the reason hispanics are turning off democratic support. thea;r turning off democratic support. they come to this — turning off democratic support. they come to this country _ turning off democratic support. they come to this country for economic... particularly— come to this country for economic... particularly those in florida. it is not true all hispanics are the same.

42% of americans, american voters, our white voters without a college degree. it is difficult for any democrat to win this country if they cannot find a way to appeal to those voters and donald trump did a good job of making inroads into them. they will have to work out between now and 2024. joe biden was the answer in 2020. john fetterman is the answer to that when he won this time around. you have been watching this all night, what do you make of the picture? we this all night, what do you make of the picture?— this all night, what do you make of the .icture? . ., ., ., ., . ., the picture? we have not got a clear result. it the picture? we have not got a clear result- it is — the picture? we have not got a clear result. it is clear— the picture? we have not got a clear result. it is clear to _ the picture? we have not got a clear result. it is clear to say _ the picture? we have not got a clear result. it is clear to say there i the picture? we have not got a clear result. it is clear to say there is i result. it is clear to say there is no republican wave. the result in pennsylvania sort of affirms that. interesting talking aboutjoe biden and he as an anchor for democrats and he as an anchor for democrats and they did not want to put in front and centre because it might hurt but he campaigned in

pennsylvania a lot. pennsylvania democrats, he might be the brightest shining starfor the democrats, he might be the brightest shining star for the democrats nationally. you have to wait to see what will happen in arizona because it seems to trend there as well. this is a divided country. and a wave is not going to sweep over those divisions. democrats winning a lot of seats where democrats are won and republicans picking up a view but winning in places where republicans have won and nothing is getting hugely reshaped because of the trends right now. even ifjoe biden is a little unpopular and the economy bad, it has not changed the essential dynamic.— essential dynamic. bryan, we saw kevin mccarthy — essential dynamic. bryan, we saw kevin mccarthy who _ essential dynamic. bryan, we saw kevin mccarthy who wants - essential dynamic. bryan, we saw kevin mccarthy who wants to i essential dynamic. bryan, we saw kevin mccarthy who wants to be l essential dynamic. bryan, we saw l kevin mccarthy who wants to be the house speaker. he has a lot of people to the far right of the party who have a lot of power at the

moment. how big does his majority need to be for him to do hisjob effectively? ile need to be for him to do his 'ob effectivetyafi effectively? he will not get the ma'ori effectively? he will not get the majority needed _ effectively? he will not get the majority needed to _ effectively? he will not get the majority needed to do - effectively? he will not get the majority needed to do the i effectively? he will not get the majority needed to do the job | majority needed to do the job effectively. he will probably get around low 20s. he needed to be into the 230s range. i think the question he has if someone in the far right of the party wants to challenge and be a thorn in his side, he does not have the votes on the floor at 225. what does it mean to the character of the party in the house? we dumped kevin and we — of the party in the house? we dumped kevin and we forget _ of the party in the house? we dumped kevin and we forget where _ of the party in the house? we dumped kevin and we forget where to - of the party in the house? we dumped kevin and we forget where to go i kevin and we forget where to go next. this is what we do now. thea;r next. this is what we do now. they keep cycling _ next. this is what we do now. they keep cycling through. _ next. this is what we do now. they keep cycling through. 0n the keep cycling through. on the republican side, who is the big winner? , ., , , ., republican side, who is the big winner? , ., _ ., , , winner? obviously ron desantis. let's not take — winner? obviously ron desantis. let's not take away _ winner? obviously ron desantis. let's not take away the _ winner? obviously ron desantis. let's not take away the win i winner? obviously ron desantis. let's not take away the win for i let's not take away the win for governor abbott in texas who did well with the latin and african—american community.

candidates ultimately matter. we had some candidates with an artificial sugar high because of inflation and it was not enough. artificial candidates with the trump endorsement but they underperformed. even the bad candidates from 2020, lauren in colorado, she is losing out. they are exposed as bad candidates.— out. they are exposed as bad candidates. �* ., ., , ., . ~ , ., candidates. both of you, thank you. brinauin candidates. both of you, thank you. bringing your _ candidates. both of you, thank you. bringing your titbits _ candidates. both of you, thank you. bringing your titbits during - candidates. both of you, thank you. bringing your titbits during the i bringing your titbits during the course of the night. and anthony. thank you for bringing us the news that has been happening. it has been a long night and we have not had all the results but it has been an interesting night because it ended up interesting night because it ended up not as we expected. and i have learned about you. your sporting prowess, horse riding. it has been illuminating. and who knew about georgia football and how important that would be. pennsylvania turned into the big story of the evening with victory by

john fetterman. the georgia senate races too close to call. the democrat should be breathing easier than they did at the beginning of the night if they go to bed, if they are still awake. tomorrow a lot of discussion about what went right and what went wrong for each party. and then all eyes on 2024. it has started. the next election on the never—ending, always engaging, sometimes infuriating american political calendar. 2022 ushers in 2024. we will cover that also, i suspect. and some of the same characters may be there from tonight. our coverage of the elections on bbc world news continues from london injust a moment, and you can follow events on the live page on the bbc news app. they will bring you the results as they come in. thanks so much for joining us.

hello, this is breakfast with ben thompson and sally nugent. voters in the united states have been taking part in the crucial midterm elections when members of the us congress are elected. congress is split into the house of representatives, the lower house, like the house of commons, and the us senate, the upper house, which can approve, change or block laws passed by the house. for the past two years the democratic party has controlled both house and senate, which has allowed president biden to pass the laws he wants.

but if either the house or senate or both are controlled by the republicans, the president's agenda is likely to be blocked.