this is bbc news, i'm shaun ley. the headlines at two... as food prices and energy bills drive up the cost of living, it makes people poorer, that's what inflation does, and it's the enemy that we need to face down. i want to make sure that we do that, and we do it as quickly as possible. nato says the missile that killed two people in poland was probably fired by ukrainian air defences. the deputy prime minister asks for an independent investigation after two formal complaints have been made against him about his behaviour.

third time lucky as nasa finally manage to launch their artemis one manage to launch their artemis i rocket on a new mission to the moon. and in football, squads for england and wales begin preparations ahead of their opening world cup matches in qatar. prices are rising at their fastest rate for more than a0 years, with the soaring cost of energy and food largely responsible. the inflation rate hasjumped to 11.1% in the year to october, that's up from 10.1% the previous month. it puts more pressure on the chancellor ahead of his autumn statement tomorrow in which he's expected to announce

tax rises and spending cuts. here's our economics correspondent andy verity. at this environmentally—friendly brewery and pub in stroud in gloucestershire, the raw ingredients aren't getting any cheaper. it wasn't long ago when the value of the pound really dropped, and overnight the prices went up 10, 12%. devaluation of the pound in the past year means businesses have to pay more in pounds to buy goods priced in dollars or euros, from hops to oil and gas. how much do you pay for a bag of these? it varies anywhere between sort of £15—£40 a kilo. the biggest rise is power — electricity has doubled over the last year, gas has gone up by at least half. our raw materials, so malt and hops, cans, labels, they have gone up between 10—15%. global inflationary pressure is now

coming home in higher wage costs, as employers pay more to compete for an unexpectedly small pool of available workers. labour, we are a living wage employer, lowest wages have gone up by 10%. for us that's at least 40, 50, £60,000 a year additional costs, which means we have to sell somewhere between £150,000, £200,000 worth more beer to cover the additional wages cost. but some global inflationary pressures have recently been easing. shipping goods like beer across the world now cost less than a third of what it did in 2021. that is one reason the bank of england expects double digit inflation to drop back to single digits in the spring. for now, though, it's all about those price hikes. all about those price shocks. milk, butter, dairy foods, bread. filling up the car. strangely, fruit teas. they have gone from £1 to £2.25, and you think how can that be? . until recently, most

of the inflationary pressure was global. the price of food, the price of fuel — there is not much the bank of england can do about those global prices, but what they are now worried about is that inflation is becoming embedded domestically in the price of services, like a restaurant meal. the uk is not the only country hit by soaring inflation, it is even higher in germany and italy, which depend far more on imported russian gas. what's people's number one anxiety is the rising cost of things, that is what is eating into people's living standards. the chancellor rightly described it as insidious. it makes people poorer, that is what inflation does and it is the enemy we need to face down. we know that the tories have crashed the economy, and to make matters worse, families will be incredibly worried about rising inflation that we have seen announced today. it is already a really worrying time. labour's plan will be to get the economy growing and we will be making different choices in the statement coming up in parliament.

to stop inflation bedding down in the domestic economy, interest rates were expected after the mini budget to have to rise to 6%. now they are expected to peak in the spring at 4.5%, much higher than a year ago, but lower than many economists feared. andy verity, bbc news, stroud. and in a few minutes' time we'll be crossing to westminster where the bank of england governor andrew bailey and other senior officials will be giving evidence in front of the commons treasury select committee. stay with us for that. nato now says the missile that killed two people yesterday in eastern poland was probably fired by ukrainian air defences, rather than russia. moscow had already strongly denied it was responsible for the rocket

that hit the village of przewodow in the east of poland near the border with ukraine. 0ur correspondent dan johnson has this report. it looks like this is where the war in ukraine spilled over on to polish turf and claimed polish lives. two civilians were killed here in the explosion yesterday afternoon on this farm close to the border with ukraine. the questions now are what landed here and who fired it. this man lives close by, he heard the explosion and says his family were really scared. he said one of those killed was a farmer, the other worked in the village shop. there is now a huge investigation involving polish military experts who are assessomg what caused this explosion and where it came from. this lunchtime the polish president said what happened here appeared to be an unfortunate accident and not an intentional attack — a statement echoed at nato headquarters. we have no indication that this was the result

of a deliberate attack. and we have no indication that russia is preparing offensive military actions against nato. more military teams are coming in to join the investigation which is taking place at the farm just a few hundred metres up that road. this is as close as we are allowed to get but we're very near to the ukrainian border here, just about 10 miles away and people living in this area had been concerned they would feel the impact of this war at some point. russia attacked cities across ukraine yesterday, including lviv, just a0 miles from the polish border. the russians say it wasn't their missile. ukraine has russian—made weapons as part of its air defences, but ukraine's president was clear who he believes is responsible. translation: russian missiles hit territory in poland, _ there must be a quick reaction, this attack is a message from russia to the g20 summit,

so when i say it is really the g19 i'm not wrong because russia is a terrorist state and we are defending ourselves against it. us presidentjoe biden who himself visited poland earlier this year questioned that. it's unlikely in the minds of the trajectory that it was fired from russia, but we'll see. so, political leaders in poland and other countries are urging calm responses and careful next steps as the full details are confirmed. nato is strengthening air defences across eastern europe as well as ukraine because it's clear now to people here and elsewhere, as long as this conflict continues, there is a risk even indirectly of others being caught up in it. danjohnson, bbc news in eastern poland. a former foreign minister of poland and former speaker of the parliament

and former speaker of the parliament and now a member of the european parliament, joins us now. always a pleasure to speak to you, let me ask you, what do you make of the findings of this, china, because presumably it does not entirely eliminate the problem from the point of view of poland? m0. eliminate the problem from the point of view of poland?— of view of poland? no, it doesn't, we arieve of view of poland? no, it doesn't, we grieve for— of view of poland? no, it doesn't, we grieve for our— of view of poland? no, it doesn't, we grieve for our compatriots, - of view of poland? no, it doesn't, | we grieve for our compatriots, and we grieve for our compatriots, and we are still very concerned, because, yes, it does not look like a deliberate russian provocation to escalate this war, so hopefully this is a one—off incident, but the russians have been missing their targets all along, and they are now rocketing and bombing western ukraine, which is your report mentioned is very close to the polish border, so we cannot eliminate the risk of such actions in future, and remember, the main story is this huge russian attack on ukrainian cities. they really are terrorising the civilian population, and that is a war crime. so, even if

and that is a war crime. so, even if a ukrainian weapon misfired, the responsibility for this is borne by the . ., responsibility for this is borne by the ~ ., ., , ., ., ., the aggressor. what does poland do to rotect z- �* happening so f- �* happening so to f.- �* happening so to its well, military that ¥ can é exposed the exposed . do he | not be osed . do he | not have be very . do he | not have be very . do he i our have be very a do he] be have- be very a do so, be have- be very a do so, we have- be very a do so, we need —

beef nato's anti—aircraft to beef up nato's anti—aircraft and anti—missile on the to beef up nato's anti—aircraft and anti—mis of: on the to beef up nato's anti—aircraft and anti—mis of this on the to beef up nato's anti—aircraft and anti—mis of this conflict. the to beef up nato's anti—aircraft and anti meanithis conflict. the to beef up nato's anti—aircraft and anti mean i this c01 revisiting this that ' right at start ' right at start of ' right at start of the ' right at start of the where it at start of the where he t to close we to close are otherwise are and herwise are and the vise missile attacks, and the missile attacks yesterday were pretty extensive? we attacks yesterday were pretty extensive?— attacks yesterday were pretty extensive? , ., , ~ ., ., , extensive? we should help ukrainians close the airspace _ extensive? we should help ukrainians close the airspace over _ extensive? we should help ukrainians close the airspace over their— close the airspace over their country themselves. we have mig 29s in nato, we have capable anti—aircraft systems, the ukrainians have proven to be learning quickly and even finding ways of using our weapons that are creative and extremely effective. we should continue the policy of helping ukrainians to do what they need to do anyway. the helping ukrainians to do what they need to do anyway.— need to do anyway. the prime minister and _ need to do anyway. the prime minister and the _ need to do anyway. the prime minister and the president - need to do anyway. the prime - minister and the president yesterday were very circumspect, it turns out

very wisely, saying, people should not panic. how would you characterise the mood in poland overnight and this morning since this news broke of these deaths? well, there is concern, it is somewhat lessened now, but it is still the fact that a major incident happened like this in poland in decades. and i will repeat this, russian weapons are imprecise, they hit themselves, and whereas this doesn't seem to be there doing, when you're so close to such major fighting, stuff happens. i you're so close to such ma'or fighting, stuff happens. i 'ust wonder what i fighting, stuff happens. i 'ust wonder what you i fighting, stuff happens. i 'ust wonder what you think i fighting, stuff happens. ijust wonder what you think should be the attitude now, we have heard president zelensky saying today, we want our country back. as one observer put it, jeremy pointing out at

the was he the ffljés he it's: ffljés he it's: about 25? it's it's: about 25? the �*s it's: about ff thewar, it's: aboutff the war, now: aboutff more ii’, now 5 about ff more gung n! aboutff more gung n! again iutff? more gung n! again about slightly more gung ho again about that, that puts nato a it, slightly more gung ho again about that, that puts nato a�* and slightly more gung ho again about that, the puts nato a�* and slightly more gung ho again about that, the russian :o a�* and �* the day europeans but at the end of the day europeans were willing to see a situation where crimea was annexed, they accepted it, they were part of the belarus peace process... ida. accepted it, they were part of the belarus peace process. . .- belarus peace process... no, we never accepted _ belarus peace process... no, we never accepted the _ belarus peace process... no, we never accepted the annexation i belarus peace process... no, we| never accepted the annexation of crimea. , .,. ., , never accepted the annexation of crimea. , .. ., , ., crimea. they were actually involved in it? no, in — crimea. they were actually involved in it? no, in international— crimea. they were actually involved in it? no, in international law, - crimea. they were actually involved in it? no, in international law, it. in it? no, in international law, it is not acceptable. _ in it? no, in international law, it is not acceptable. perhaps - in it? no, in international law, it is not acceptable. perhaps i - in it? no, in international law, it is not acceptable. perhaps i put| in it? no, in international law, it| is not acceptable. perhaps i put it in the wrong _ is not acceptable. perhaps i put it in the wrong terms. _ is not acceptable. perhaps i put it in the wrong terms. they - is not acceptable. perhaps i put it| in the wrong terms. they accepted that it happened as a realpolitik even though it was de facto if not they generate?— even though it was de facto if not they generate? look, the ukrainians won the battle _ they generate? look, the ukrainians won the battle of— they generate? look, the ukrainians won the battle of kyiv, _ they generate? look, the ukrainians won the battle of kyiv, they - they generate? look, the ukrainians won the battle of kyiv, they have - won the battle of kyiv, they have won the battle of kyiv, they have won the battle of kyiv, they have won the battle of kaki of, the battle of kherson, the russian army is compromised, the russians seem incapable of recreating their reserves, with a couple more pushers, the ukrainians could

actually win this war, and then we would have perhaps a transition to a more peaceful and more law—abiding regime in russia. the more peaceful and more law-abiding regime in russia.— regime in russia. the point i am makin: , regime in russia. the point i am making. does — regime in russia. the point i am making, does that _ regime in russia. the point i am making, does that mean - regime in russia. the point i am making, does that mean that. regime in russia. the point i am l making, does that mean that nato should support ukraine, even if ukraine is now looking, judging by the words of zelensky, at regaining control, militarily if necessary, of crimea, which was annexed eight years ago? it crimea, which was annexed eight ears ato? , crimea, which was annexed eight years ago?— years ago? it is internationally recognised _ years ago? it is internationally recognised territory. _ years ago? it is internationally recognised territory. there - years ago? it is internationally recognised territory. there is. years ago? it is internationally - recognised territory. there is never a shortage of pocket chamberlains who would trade other people's land for their own peace of mind ukraine has every right to fight for its territory. has every right to fight for its territo . �* , , ., territory. but is the question, would nato — territory. but is the question, would nato support _ territory. but is the question, would nato support it - territory. but is the question, would nato support it in - territory. but is the question, - would nato support it in militarily doing that? would nato support it in militarily doint that? ~ ., , doing that? well, we are supporting it... i'm doing that? well, we are supporting it--- i'm sorry _ doing that? well, we are supporting it... i'm sorry to _ doing that? well, we are supporting it... i'm sorry to enter _ doing that? well, we are supporting it... i'm sorry to enter up _ doing that? well, we are supporting it... i'm sorry to enter up you, -

doing that? well, we are supporting it... i'm sorry to enter up you, you i it... i'm sorry to enter up you, you were supporting — it... i'm sorry to enter up you, you were supporting it _ it... i'm sorry to enter up you, you were supporting it in _ it... i'm sorry to enter up you, you were supporting it in protecting . were supporting it in protecting itself from an invasion by russia in the spring of this year, which is different from supporting militarily eight years ago? no, it's not, why? because it involves a much more direct influence, providing weapons and support and training. ukrainian democracy is in good standing, and it has been attacked by a foreign aggressor. of course we should be helping ukraine. i aggressor. of course we should be helping ukraine.— aggressor. of course we should be helping ukraine. i don't understand our helping ukraine. i don't understand your point- — helping ukraine. i don't understand your point- my _ helping ukraine. i don't understand your point. my point _ helping ukraine. i don't understand your point. my point is _ helping ukraine. i don't understand your point. my point is this, - helping ukraine. i don't understand your point. my point is this, maybe j your point. my point is this, maybe i am not making — your point. my point is this, maybe i am not making it _ your point. my point is this, maybe i am not making it clearly, - your point. my point is this, maybe i am not making it clearly, i'm - your point. my point is this, maybe j i am not making it clearly, i'm sure thatis i am not making it clearly, i'm sure that is my fault but what i am saying is, if president zelensky is now changing his tack and saying actually it is not enough for us to push russia back to where it was in march of this year, we now want crimea back, then that is a differentjudgment, isn't it? it differentjudgment, isn't it? if england was invaded, how much of england was invaded, how much of england would you be prepared to give up for peace? that england would you be prepared to give up for peace?— give up for peace? that is not answering _ give up for peace? that is not answering the _ give up for peace? that is not answering the question. - give up for peace? that is not answering the question. yes, | give up for peace? that is not i answering the question. yes, it give up for peace? that is not - answering the question. yes, it is, actuall , answering the question. yes, it is, actually, because _ answering the question. yes, it is, actually, because you _ answering the question. yes, it is, actually, because you are - answering the question. yes, it is, i actually, because you are suggesting that that is what zelensky should do. t that that is what zelensky should do. ., ., , , .,

do. i am not suggesting it, i am askin: do. i am not suggesting it, i am asking you _ do. i am not suggesting it, i am asking you what _ do. i am not suggesting it, i am asking you what your _ do. i am not suggesting it, i am asking you what your view - do. i am not suggesting it, i am asking you what your view is. i i do. i am not suggesting it, i am - asking you what your view is. i have told ou, asking you what your view is. i have told you, ukraine _ asking you what your view is. i have told you, ukraine should _ asking you what your view is. i have told you, ukraine should recover. asking you what your view is. i have told you, ukraine should recover itsj told you, ukraine should recover its territory, change the invader out of their country. territory, change the invader out of their country-— territory, change the invader out of| their country._ all their country. including crimea? all of its internationally _ their country. including crimea? all of its internationally recognised - of its internationally recognised territory. of its internationally recognised territo . ., ., ,, ., , territory. rodoslaw sikorski, lovely to seak territory. rodoslaw sikorski, lovely to speak you _ territory. rodoslaw sikorski, lovely to speak you again, _ territory. rodoslaw sikorski, lovely to speak you again, thanks - territory. rodoslaw sikorski, lovely to speak you again, thanks for - territory. rodoslaw sikorski, lovelyj to speak you again, thanks for your time. thejustice secretary, dominic raab, says he's asked for an independent investigation into two formal complaints that have been made about his behaviour. mr raab , who's also deputy prime minister, mr raab, who's also deputy prime minister, says one complaint relates to his period as foreign secretary, and another to his previous time as justice secretary. he's rejected the allegations, saying he's never tolerated bullying. number 10 said an independent investigator will be appointed to establish the facts. our political correspondent iain watson reports. thejustice secretary has asked for an investigation. this one, though, is rather unconventional, he has asked for an independent probe into his own conduct, following allegations in the media that he bullied staff. asked about these allegation, this was the prime minister's line. i don't recognise

the characterisation of dominic's behaviour, personally, and i was not aware and am not aware of any formal complaints about that. today, all that changed. in a letter to the prime minister, dominic raab said i have been notified two separate complaints have been formally made against him from my time as foreign secretary and justice secretary, i am writing to request that you commission an independent investigation as soon as possible. he goes on to say he has never tolerated bullying, but he was subjected to some robust questioning when he stood in at pmqs. this morning the deputy prime minister finally acknowledged formal complains about his misconduct buzz his letter contains no hint of admission or apology, this is anti bullying week. will he apologise? she asked about the complaint, i received notification this morning, i immediately asked the prime minister to set up an independent inquiry into them,

i am confident i behaved professionally throughout but of course i will engage thoroughly and look forward mr speaker, may i say, look forward to transparently addressing any claims made. the person who would have looked into any allegations resigned as ethics adviser injune, the government hasn't replaced him which has led civil service unions to question how an investigation would be conducted. if a civil servant wanted to challenge the most senior official in the department, the permanent secretary their permanent secretary, there a clear procedure that lays out what is bullying, what is not. how will it be conducted. how can they challenge that if they were unhappy? there is none of that when it comes to ministers, all we have is vague wording in the ministerial code and everything is essentially up to the prime minister to decide ona whim. i have been told of concerns that some civil servants have about dominic raab's conduct but i don't i have any details of the formal complaints, but the danger for downing street is that the focus shifts away from thejustice secretary

and on to the prime minister's ownjudgment. iain watson, bbc news, westminster. the foreign secretary, james cleverly, hasjust the foreign secretary, james cleverly, has just come the foreign secretary, james cleverly, hasjust come back the foreign secretary, james cleverly, has just come back from bali and made a statement in the commons about last night. he said... we will not rush to judgment on this incident but the only reason why missiles are sailing through the skies is russia's brutal invasion. another bit of defence news, a statement from james wallace, sorry, ben wallace, forgive me... we will leave that, i will bring you that after we have heard from the governor of the bank of england andrew bailey, who, currently you see that is harriett baldwin who is the new chairperson of the treasury select committee.— select committee. potential inflationary _ select committee. potential inflationary upside _ select committee. potential inflationary upside risks - select committee. potential inflationary upside risks in i select committee. potential i inflationary upside risks in the economy. the goal is to present,

what has gone wrong with your forecast modelling? it what has gone wrong with your forecast modelling?— what has gone wrong with your forecast modelling? if you don't mind, forecast modelling? if you don't mind. let's _ forecast modelling? if you don't mind. let's go — forecast modelling? if you don't mind, let's go back— forecast modelling? if you don't mind, let's go back to _ forecast modelling? if you don't mind, let's go back to covid - forecast modelling? if you don't mind, let's go back to covid for| forecast modelling? if you don't| mind, let's go back to covid for a moment— mind, let's go back to covid for a moment and work forwards. so obviously. _ moment and work forwards. so obviously, two and a half years ago, the economy was hit by a huge shock in terms _ the economy was hit by a huge shock in terms of— the economy was hit by a huge shock in terms of the pandemic, and i think— in terms of the pandemic, and i think it — in terms of the pandemic, and i think it was _ in terms of the pandemic, and i think it was obvious necessary and appropriate that we responded to that _ appropriate that we responded to that. what we have had since then is a series— that. what we have had since then is a series of— that. what we have had since then is a series of supply shocks, essentially, in the uk economy. which _ essentially, in the uk economy. which have reduced the, particularly when _ which have reduced the, particularly when you _ which have reduced the, particularly when you look at the labour force, reduced _ when you look at the labour force, reduced the supply capacity of the uk economy relative to demand. and to put— uk economy relative to demand. and to put those shocks in chronological order, _ to put those shocks in chronological order, there was what we tend to call a _ order, there was what we tend to call a supply chain shock in the recovery— call a supply chain shock in the recovery from covid, that is a global— recovery from covid, that is a global shock, because it reflected goods— global shock, because it reflected goods and services demand and stretched — goods and services demand and stretched supply chains, particularly involving china. and

'ust particularly involving china. and just to _ particularly involving china. and just to add, i think we are now seeing — just to add, i think we are now seeing the _ just to add, i think we are now seeing the evidence of that that shock— seeing the evidence of that that shock is— seeing the evidence of that that shock is coming off. the next shock i shock is coming off. the next shock iwouid _ shock is coming off. the next shock i would highlight in many ways is the big _ i would highlight in many ways is the big one, which is russia— ukraine, _ the big one, which is russia— ukraine, which has had a very big impact _ ukraine, which has had a very big impact in — ukraine, which has had a very big impact in two areas, i would say, energy— impact in two areas, i would say, energy and — impact in two areas, i would say, energy and food. in the third one is a domestic— energy and food. in the third one is a domestic shock, which is the tightness— a domestic shock, which is the tightness of the uk labour market and the fact that the uk labour force _ and the fact that the uk labour force has— and the fact that the uk labour force has reduced in size relative to the _ force has reduced in size relative to the pre—covid number, and i think i am to the pre—covid number, and i think i am right— to the pre—covid number, and i think lam right in— to the pre—covid number, and i think i am right in saying, our colleague jonathan _ i am right in saying, our colleague jonathan haskell made a speech where he covered _ jonathan haskell made a speech where he covered this i think last week and had — he covered this i think last week and had a — he covered this i think last week and had a very interesting chart which _ and had a very interesting chart which shows that the uk is the only 050)— which shows that the uk is the only oecd country which is showing this pattern— oecd country which is showing this pattern of— oecd country which is showing this pattern of labour force shock. she's due to _ pattern of labour force shock. she's due to come — pattern of labour force shock. she's due to come back to your question, i think— due to come back to your question, i think the _ due to come back to your question, i think the one — due to come back to your question, i think the one that, we look back on

this and _ think the one that, we look back on this and i_ think the one that, we look back on this and i ask the question, if we io this and i ask the question, if we go back— this and i ask the question, if we go back a — this and i ask the question, if we go back a year now, actually, howm? _ go back a year now, actually, how...? how easy would it have been to forecast— how...? how easy would it have been to forecast that pattern of uk labour— to forecast that pattern of uk labour supply? in many ways, i think russia _ labour supply? in many ways, i think russia - _ labour supply? in many ways, i think russia — ukraine, if you don't mind me saying — russia — ukraine, if you don't mind me saying so, _ russia — ukraine, if you don't mind me saying so, it was very hard even a year— me saying so, it was very hard even a year ago _ me saying so, it was very hard even a year ago to— me saying so, it was very hard even a year ago to forecast what was going _ a year ago to forecast what was going to — a year ago to forecast what was going to happen there. obviously a year ago _ going to happen there. obviously a year ago there was a question over the supply— year ago there was a question over the supply chain shock, was it going to he _ the supply chain shock, was it going to be transient or not? i would say taken _ to be transient or not? i would say taken on _ to be transient or not? i would say taken on its — to be transient or not? i would say taken on its own at the evidence is that it _ taken on its own at the evidence is that it is _ taken on its own at the evidence is that it is now wearing off, actually _ that it is now wearing off, actually. the problem is that we have _ actually. the problem is that we have had — actually. the problem is that we have had a — actually. the problem is that we have had a sequence of shocks. if i can go— have had a sequence of shocks. if i can go lrack— have had a sequence of shocks. if i can go back to the labour force shock, — can go back to the labour force shock, i— can go back to the labour force shock, i think it was very hard a year— shock, i think it was very hard a year ago. — shock, i think it was very hard a year ago. it— shock, i think it was very hard a year ago, it dominated our thinking a year— year ago, it dominated our thinking a year ago. — year ago, it dominated our thinking a year ago, is the furlough scheme came _ a year ago, is the furlough scheme came to _ a year ago, is the furlough scheme came to an— a year ago, is the furlough scheme came to an end, 1 millionjobs were furloughed — came to an end, 1 millionjobs were furloughed right to the end of the scheme, — furloughed right to the end of the scheme, it was around about this time _ scheme, it was around about this time last— scheme, it was around about this time last year when we were beginning to get the evidence as to what was _ beginning to get the evidence as to what was going to happen to the lahour— what was going to happen to the labour market is that the scheme ended, _ labour market is that the scheme ended, and there was a real uncertainty and you can see this not

just in— uncertainty and you can see this not just in our— uncertainty and you can see this not just in our forecasts but in all the outside _ just in our forecasts but in all the outside forecasts as well. was it going _ outside forecasts as well. was it going to — outside forecasts as well. was it going to lead to an upturn in unemployment, as frink frankly nearly— unemployment, as frink frankly nearly all— unemployment, as frink frankly nearly all forecasts said it would? we were — nearly all forecasts said it would? we were at the low end of that distribution, because it didn't, and one reason— distribution, because it didn't, and one reason it didn't winds of the shrinkage — one reason it didn't winds of the shrinkage of the labour force. now, i am happy, — shrinkage of the labour force. now, lam happy, and i am sure shrinkage of the labour force. now, i am happy, and i am sure a lot of people— i am happy, and i am sure a lot of people will— i am happy, and i am sure a lot of people will spend a lot of time trying — people will spend a lot of time trying to— people will spend a lot of time trying to work out what we could have _ trying to work out what we could have foreseen about that at this time _ have foreseen about that at this time last— have foreseen about that at this time last year but i think it was a very— time last year but i think it was a very difficult call to make this time — very difficult call to make this time last— very difficult call to make this time last year.— very difficult call to make this time last ear. ~ ., ~ ., ., , time last year. working forwards... there was nothing _ time last year. working forwards... there was nothing wrong _ time last year. working forwards... there was nothing wrong with - time last year. working forwards... there was nothing wrong with your| there was nothing wrong with your models? ., ., ., ~' there was nothing wrong with your models? ., ., ., ~ , models? no. look, with the benefit of hindsight — models? no. look, with the benefit of hindsight obviously _ models? no. look, with the benefit of hindsight obviously there - models? no. look, with the benefit of hindsight obviously there were i of hindsight obviously there were things— of hindsight obviously there were things that would have been different. the one i ask myself, and i different. the one i ask myself, and i have _ different. the one i ask myself, and i have said — different. the one i ask myself, and i have said this in speeches, is about— i have said this in speeches, is about the _ i have said this in speeches, is about the labour force, because i don't _ about the labour force, because i don't think— about the labour force, because i don't think we could foresee that russia _ don't think we could foresee that russia was going to invade ukraine... | russia was going to invade ukraine. . ._ russia was going to invade ukraine... ., , ., , ukraine... i agree we should put that to one _ ukraine... i agree we should put that to one side, _ ukraine... i agree we should put that to one side, i _ ukraine... i agree we should put that to one side, i think - ukraine... i agree we should put that to one side, i think we - ukraine... i agree we should putj that to one side, i think we need ukraine... i agree we should put i that to one side, i think we need to focus on these supply chain and domestic factors, which i think you are now acknowledging, governor, you

did miss the potential risks when furloughed came to an end, that is what i am hearing you say? take both of those, what i am hearing you say? take both of those. perfectly — what i am hearing you say? take both of those, perfectly reasonable, i what i am hearing you say? take both of those, perfectly reasonable, and i of those, perfectly reasonable, and try of those, perfectly reasonable, and by the _ of those, perfectly reasonable, and by the way — of those, perfectly reasonable, and by the way i think one of the challenges we have here is that the view that— challenges we have here is that the view that if— challenges we have here is that the view that if you take an individual single _ view that if you take an individual single supply shock that they work their way— single supply shock that they work their way through and you don't necessarily respond to the first round — necessarily respond to the first round of — necessarily respond to the first round of effects of them, it is the sort of— round of effects of them, it is the sort of what might happen after, that if— sort of what might happen after, that if we — sort of what might happen after, that if we had only had one supply shock, _ that if we had only had one supply shock, erm. — that if we had only had one supply shock, erm, which, in the period when _ shock, erm, which, in the period when we — shock, erm, which, in the period when we were initially recovering from _ when we were initially recovering from covid — when we were initially recovering from covid i think was a reasonable assumption, as the supply chain shock— assumption, as the supply chain shock effect, i think the response to that _ shock effect, i think the response to that would be very different to the situation we now have, where we have had _ the situation we now have, where we have had a _ the situation we now have, where we have had a sequence of supply shocks with no _ have had a sequence of supply shocks with no breaks in between, this is one of— with no breaks in between, this is one of the — with no breaks in between, this is one of the challenges i think of central— one of the challenges i think of central banks around the world, that we have _ central banks around the world, that we have had a sequence of supply shocks. _ we have had a sequence of supply shocks, which you couldn't predict i think— shocks, which you couldn't predict i think at— shocks, which you couldn't predict i think at the — shocks, which you couldn't predict i think at the time that we were going to get _ think at the time that we were going to get but _ think at the time that we were going to get. but taking the two ones you mentioned, — to get. but taking the two ones you

mentioned, the supply chain shock... but governor, do you not acknowledge that having very, very loose monetary policy and very, very loose fiscal policy at the time and a situation where you had your foot on the floor with the quantitative tightening programme... easing. quantitative easing programme, we will get to quantitative tightening later on. but the risks in that scenario were for inflation to take hold and for it to become the kind of wage price spiral that we are currently seeing our constituents suffer from? currently seeing our constituents sufferfrom? i currently seeing our constituents suffer from?— suffer from? i totally understand that but can _ suffer from? i totally understand that but can i _ suffer from? i totally understand that but can i respond _ suffer from? i totally understand that but can i respond by - suffer from? i totally understand that but can i respond by saying, j that but can i respond by saying, that but can i respond by saying, that would — that but can i respond by saying, that would have required us to tighten— that would have required us to tighten monetary policy at the height— tighten monetary policy at the height of the pandemic. because of the transmission mechanism. now, i don't _ the transmission mechanism. now, i don't think — the transmission mechanism. now, i don't think... put like that, i'm afraid _ don't think... put like that, i'm afraid i— don't think... put like that, i'm afraid i don't think that is a very plausible — afraid i don't think that is a very plausible thing. 0.1%, i mean... but

in the _ plausible thing. 0.1%, i mean... but in the middle — plausible thing. 0.1%, i mean... but in the middle of a pandemic, when it was having _ in the middle of a pandemic, when it was having the economic effects that it was— was having the economic effects that it was having, i don't think, i really— it was having, i don't think, i really don't think that is a reasonable thing to have done, based on what _ reasonable thing to have done, based on what we _ reasonable thing to have done, based on what we knew at the time. | reasonable thing to have done, based on what we knew at the time. i am atoin to on what we knew at the time. i am going to turn _ on what we knew at the time. i am going to turn to — on what we knew at the time. j—h going to turn to catherine if on what we knew at the time. i—fh going to turn to catherine if i may because catherine you have been very much at the hawkish end of the spectrum in terms of the monetary policy committee, and i know you've been calling for a higher bank rate increase and your colleagues, i think four times now, so, how do you respond to this criticism, or are you happy with what the governor is saying, that there was absolutely no way this terrible price spiral which we are now experiencing could have been...? we are now experiencing could have been. . . ? ., , ., we are now experiencing could have been...? ., , ., been...? can i 'ust, i did not say that, i been...? can i 'ust, i did not say that, | an — been...? can i 'ust, i did not say that, | did not _ been...? can ijust, i did not say that, i did not get _ been...? can ijust, i did not say that, i did not get to _ been...? can ijust, i did not say that, i did not get to the - been...? can ijust, i did not say that, i did not get to the end i been...? can ijust, i did not say that, i did not get to the end of. that, i did not get to the end of the point — that, i did not get to the end of the point on the labour market, but we welcome back to that. well, first, i am _ we welcome back to that. well, first. i am very _ we welcome back to that. well, first, i am very delighted i we welcome back to that. well, first, i am very delighted to i we welcome back to that. well, first, i am very delighted to be | first, i am very delighted to be here with in person. now, you have noted that my votes have tended to

be more forceful than that reached by the committee, and the foundation of that is twofold, one is, i have been particularly attuned to data on price expectations, firms, households and in financial markets, so i put a very high weight on price expectations, and that is one way of trying to gauge aspects going forward. i also put a very high weight on research that has tended to find that under conditions of inflation uncertainties, when you do not exactly know how it is going to proceed going forward, that frontloaded policy tightening is more likely to achieve an outcome thatis more likely to achieve an outcome that is a better controlling of inflation. with all that said, however, the shocks that are external shocks to the uk economy

specifically, the energy shock and the global goods shock, these continue to dominate the numbers, but what we care about is the extent to which they become embedded. and looking at where we are now, we have taken over our last few meetings much more aggressive approach. is this embeddedness has become more apparent. this embeddedness has become more a- arent. �* ., ., ~ this embeddedness has become more a- arent. �* ., ., ,, i. apparent. but, catherine, thank you for that, apparent. but, catherine, thank you for that. are — apparent. but, catherine, thank you for that, are you _ apparent. but, catherine, thank you for that, are you saying _ apparent. but, catherine, thank you for that, are you saying that - apparent. but, catherine, thank you for that, are you saying that if- apparent. but, catherine, thank you for that, are you saying that if the i for that, are you saying that if the whole committee had agreed with you and that you had moved earlier and faster, that the overall picture on inflation now would be better, we wouldn't be suffering from 11.1% inflation today? i wouldn't be suffering from 11.1% inflation today?— wouldn't be suffering from 11.1% inflation today? i think we have to to back to inflation today? i think we have to go back to the _ inflation today? i think we have to go back to the magnitude - inflation today? i think we have to go back to the magnitude of i inflation today? i think we have to go back to the magnitude of the i go back to the magnitude of the energy shock, and the way in which it has been calculated. last

energy shock, and the way in which it has been calculated.— energy shock, and the way in which it has been calculated. last time we heard from — it has been calculated. last time we heard from the _ it has been calculated. last time we heard from the governor— it has been calculated. last time we heard from the governor i _ it has been calculated. last time we heard from the governor i think i i heard from the governor i think i said that 80% of inflation was coming from the invasion shock, and the remaining 20% you felt was more widespread, does that continue to be your assessment, catherine? widespread, does that continue to be yourassessment, catherine? i widespread, does that continue to be your assessment, catherine?- your assessment, catherine? ithink that the general _ your assessment, catherine? ithink that the general view _ your assessment, catherine? ithink that the general view is _ your assessment, catherine? i think that the general view is that - your assessment, catherine? i think that the general view is that there i that the general view is that there is more of these shocks have become embedded into the actual price and wage setting in the economy, and continue to support a higher wage and price expectations. and in that look, taking more forceful action earlier on, as i say, the research identifies a frontloaded policy strategy is potentially having better outcomes with look to inflation. . , better outcomes with look to inflation. ., , ., , inflation. that is really interesting _ inflation. that is really interesting and - inflation. that is really interesting and we i inflation. that is really i interesting and we would be inflation. that is really _ interesting and we would be really interested to see that research because clearly that is different from what has actually happened, and to go back to the governor in terms

of the quantitative easing point, hugh pill last week told the house of lords economic affairs committee that previous rounds of quantitative easing during the pandemic might have been a contributory factor to this upsurge in inflation, is that what your assessment would suggest now? he said it was always... none of it could be foreseen? _ he said it was always... none of it could be foreseen? he _ he said it was always... none of it could be foreseen? he made i he said it was always... none of it could be foreseen? he made the i he said it was always... none of it i could be foreseen? he made the point i have 'ust could be foreseen? he made the point i have just made _ could be foreseen? he made the point i have just made about _ could be foreseen? he made the point i have just made about the _ could be foreseen? he made the point i have just made about the scale i could be foreseen? he made the point i have just made about the scale of. i have just made about the scale of the i9— i have just made about the scale of the 19 after—shock, he also made the point, _ the 19 after—shock, he also made the point, yes, _ the 19 after—shock, he also made the point, yes, qe did contribute. that is what _ point, yes, qe did contribute. that is what it— point, yes, qe did contribute. that is what it was designed to do. it is a policy— is what it was designed to do. it is a policy loosening tool, in that sense — a policy loosening tool, in that sense. but he made the point, and i think— sense. but he made the point, and i think that _ sense. but he made the point, and i think that it— sense. but he made the point, and i think that it was consistent with what _ think that it was consistent with what both catherine and i have been saying _ what both catherine and i have been saying about the shocks we were experiencing, it was not a very big

contribution. you have to bear in mind _ contribution. you have to bear in mind the — contribution. you have to bear in mind the hindsight points in which he made _ mind the hindsight points in which he made the comment, he was doing it deliberately— he made the comment, he was doing it deliberately with the benefit of hindsight. as he said at the time, we don't — hindsight. as he said at the time, we don't have hindsight when we set policy _ we don't have hindsight when we set oli . ,., we don't have hindsight when we set oli _ we don't have hindsight when we set policy. going back to the labour market, policy. going back to the labour market. and — policy. going back to the labour market, and i— policy. going back to the labour market, and i want _ policy. going back to the labour market, and i want to - policy. going back to the labour market, and i want to ask- policy. going back to the labour market, and i want to ask ben i policy. going back to the labour| market, and i want to ask ben a quick question before moving on to colleagues. it's clear now, isn't it, that we are in a wage price spiral. there is a lot of wage pressure out there. ijust spiral. there is a lot of wage pressure out there. i just wondered if you could share with us, governor, how much you are going to be increasing pay at the bank of england this year?— be increasing pay at the bank of england this year? well, we haven't unsettled our _ england this year? well, we haven't unsettled our pay _ england this year? well, we haven't unsettled our pay round _ england this year? well, we haven't unsettled our pay round up - england this year? well, we haven't unsettled our pay round up yet. i england this year? well, we haven't unsettled our pay round up yet. we| unsettled our pay round up yet. we are still— unsettled our pay round up yet. we are still in— unsettled our pay round up yet. we are still in the process of doing it. are still in the process of doing it so. — are still in the process of doing it so. i— are still in the process of doing it. so, ican't are still in the process of doing it. so, i can't give you that number, _ it. so, i can't give you that number, actually.- it. so, i can't give you that number, actually. what are you proposing? _ number, actually. what are you proposing? you _ number, actually. what are you proposing? you can _ number, actually. what are you proposing? you can observe i number, actually. what are you i proposing? you can observe that total economy — proposing? you can observe that total economy pay _ proposing? you can observe that total economy pay is _ proposing? you can observe that total economy pay is something i proposing? you can observe that i total economy pay is something over 6%. ~ total economy pay is something over 6%. . ., ., total economy pay is something over 6%. ~ ., ., ., total economy pay is something over

6%.~ ., ., ., ., total economy pay is something over 6%.. ., ., ., ., ~ 6%. we are going to pay over 696 ruestion 6%. we are going to pay over 6% question on — 696. we are going to pay over 696 question on no, _ 696. we are going to pay over 696 question on no, i— 696. we are going to pay over 696 question on no, i don't— 696. we are going to pay over 696 question on no, i don't think i 696. we are going to pay over 696 question on no, i don't think so. | question on no, i don't think so. the mix of— question on no, i don't think so. the mix of pay. _ question on no, i don't think so. the mix of pay, these _ question on no, i don't think so. i the mix of pay, these settlements, it has _ the mix of pay, these settlements, it has changed. we picked us up when we go _ it has changed. we picked us up when we go around the country, talking to businesses — we go around the country, talking to businesses. there are more businesses. there are more businesses talking about using one-off— businesses talking about using one—off payments, rather than permanent pay rises, and also directing — permanent pay rises, and also directing their use of the settlements of the pay components towards _ settlements of the pay components towards the low—paid. and that is part of— towards the low—paid. and that is part of our— towards the low—paid. and that is part of our approach to what we are doing _ part of our approach to what we are doing we — part of our approach to what we are doing. we want to ensure that our lower— doing. we want to ensure that our lower paid — doing. we want to ensure that our lower paid staff actually get a larger — lower paid staff actually get a larger share of the pay pot that we are offering this year. because i think— are offering this year. because i think that — are offering this year. because i think that is the fair way to do it in the _ think that is the fair way to do it in the context of the situation we find ourselves in. will in the context of the situation we find ourselves in.— find ourselves in. will you be takini find ourselves in. will you be takin: a find ourselves in. will you be taking a pay _ find ourselves in. will you be taking a pay rise _ find ourselves in. will you be taking a pay rise this - find ourselves in. will you be taking a pay rise this year? i find ourselves in. will you bej taking a pay rise this year? it find ourselves in. will you be i taking a pay rise this year? it is not for me _ taking a pay rise this year? it is not for me to _ taking a pay rise this year? it is not for me to decide, _ taking a pay rise this year? it is not for me to decide, but if i was offered _ not for me to decide, but if i was offered one, i would not accept it, i offered one, i would not accept it, i would _ offered one, i would not accept it, i would politely decline, as i have before _ i would politely decline, as i have before. . ~ i would politely decline, as i have before. ., ~' , ., i would politely decline, as i have before. ., ,, ., before. thank you, governor. quickly. _ before. thank you, governor. quickly. to — before. thank you, governor. quickly, to ben, _ before. thank you, governor. quickly, to ben, where i before. thank you, governor.

quickly, to ben, where the i before. thank you, governor. i quickly, to ben, where the upside risks to inflation, and particularly with quantitative easing as well, were those subjects the monetary policy committee was discussing long before the invasion of ukraine? filth. before the invasion of ukraine? ch, of course. before the invasion of ukraine? ch, of course- we _ before the invasion of ukraine? ch, of course. we do _ before the invasion of ukraine? oft, of course. we do every before the invasion of ukraine? (h, of course. we do every time before the invasion of ukraine? 6jfu, of course. we do every time we meet. that is what we do. can i make a couple of other points in relation to the other questions? just a random couple of points about taking care, with hindsight. after that qe decision, the last one, at the end of 2020, if you look at the consensus forecast, an average of 20 or 25 main forecasters of the uk economy, what they expected inflation to average during the course of this year, 2022, between one and two years later, the figure was exactly 2%. in financial markets, where they spend a great deal of time as well, just like us, thinking what inflation will be, the

figure for rpi inflation, priced into financial markets, at that time, wasjust into financial markets, at that time, was just over 3%. into financial markets, at that time, wasjust over 3%. so into financial markets, at that time, was just over 3%. so that was consistent with a cpi inflation rate of two between them. that was just after the qe decision. so it's fine to say after the event, well, this happened and that happened. but the fact something happened that was not forecast does not mean the focus was wrong. it means we live in a highly uncertain world. and we've had these extraordinary, extraordinary shocks. bigger energy price shocks than even in the 70s. notjust energy but food, notjust energy and food, but core goods after the pandemic as well. i think we have to be careful to put ourselves in a position at the time. and of course, every time we meet, we discuss both upsizing and downsizing risks. one hopes that the forecast is not, and it is never meant to be, a prediction of what will happen. but it is precisely the point where you think, well, the risks of being wrong on one side are

more or less the same as the risks of being wrong on the other. j of being wrong on the other. i wouldn't be asking these questions if i hadn't in real time been asking about some of the inflation risks. it was not a year ago, it was two years ago, given the lags of monetary policy. of course, if i had to think back and say what could we have known better, certainly not russia and ukraine, not even the development of the labour markets. the good point pointed out that at the time the furlough scheme was coming to an end, we were right at one end, we were at the more hawkish end of the labour market forecast. the uk has had exceptional developments. quite unlike any other country. so i think that either is the biggest contributor to inflation, i think it is relatively minor, and i think it was not forecast above. the one area where i think all central banks, all economic forecasters, given what i have said about those numbers earlier, might have picked up

earlier, might have picked up earlier, the effects of the pandemic on supply chains. we did begin to see evidence, in early 2021. as it happens, that particular source of inflation, the direct effects of it, at least, do seem to have picked now. so, we are seeing some evidence that core goods price inflation is declining, not shipping costs, computer chip prices, all the things that were pushed up dramatically in the first half of 2021, that those things were beginning to ease off. so, at any one time, you can find some people forecasting higher inflation and find some people forecasting lower inflation than us. i think the relevant point is not a year ago, the relevant point, given lags in monetary policy, is two years ago. i'm giving you the consensus forecast at the time. j consensus forecast at the time. i was worried about it, as the record will show. was worried about it, as the record willshow. in was worried about it, as the record will show. in terms of our constituents, who all now are

suffering from this terrible, terrible inflation, can they feel confident that with 3% as the base rate, you are going to be able to bring inflation back within the range that you are independently there to target? governor, can i also ask, as you answer that question, in your previous evidence to us, you implied you always look at what is priced into the market. you havejust at what is priced into the market. you have just heard that from the deputy governor now. but in your latest forward guidance to the market, you gave a very strong steer that you thought the market was incorrectly pricing in forward interest rates. can you talk us through your logic? let interest rates. can you talk us through your logic?— interest rates. can you talk us through your logic? let me do that in two points. _ through your logic? let me do that in two points, because _ through your logic? let me do that in two points, because there i through your logic? let me do that in two points, because there were | in two points, because there were two questions, really. let me start with what we said, we said should the economy evolve broadly in line with our latest productions? further

increases might be required for a sustainable return of inflation to target. albeit to a peak lower than priced into markets. that is the key sentence, i think, priced into markets. that is the key sentence, ithink, with priced into markets. that is the key sentence, i think, with both parts of your question referring to that. let me take the first part. we think that other things equal, the path of the shocks will lead to... once we get through this winter, because of the way the gas price effects are going to work through this winter, there should be quite a pronounced fall of inflation thereafter. the forecast brings it back to target, and actually brings below target. it brings it to zero. i will come back to that point, because it is key for the second question. however, you might say, why are you raising interest rates like this? however, other things equal, we also have the largest size risk to inflation in the history of the npc. 25 years.

it's about 0.5%. we don't construct the risks bottom up, we don't do a bit of this and a bit of that, we tend to do it a top down and then a tribute to the broad story. it's the one we've been talking about already. for me, we can all probably take different views on how this works, by the way, it is predominantly the labour market and the risk of price setting and wage setting effects, from what is a very tight labour market. although i was around the north of england last week, employers are beginning to say that they are in competition for hiring. it's still a tight labour market, as yesterday's statistics demonstrated. it's a very tight labour market. the reason that we said it is likely that we will be, you know, increasing interest rates further, it is that risk, notwithstanding the fact that the central case, the central

projection, has inflation coming down rapidly. either way, the main reason inflation comes rapidly in that case is arithmetic, really. as the annual effects of the energy price rises come out, inflation comes down quite quickly. that, of course, presumes that energy prices don't go further. we can come back to that if you like. there is some risk there. but that is the basis of the projection. let's come onto the second part, the markets. we condition our forecast on the market curve of interest rates. now, just to illustrate this in terms of what the market has thought is going to be the peak of our interest rate cycle, back in august, the beginning of august, when we published the report, the market was predicting 3% as the peak. by the end of september, that number had gone up to 6.2%. now, we operable become back to the reasons that happened, a

lot of things were going on. by the time we did the forecast for the november mpr, and we cut the forecast off in the later part of october, that number was down to 5.2. today it is 4.6. we had 5.2 in the for the forecast. as i said, when we look at the profile of inflation that generates, it brings it down to zero in the third year. our view was that profile, in our view, it had a curve that was higher than was consistent with our view on the likely path. you may want to say, well, 4.6? well, we don't have precise such numbers, it is clearly lower than it was when we did the forecast. the final point i will make on this, we don't push against markets likely. it is not something... we rarely do it, frankly. but we knew the story

behind why this was. let's be honest, there was something of a uk risk premium built into the markets, and i gave that 3.6, 4.2, 4.6 profile. we thought that was too high a profile. it wasn't consistent with what we think is the most likely thing. with what we think is the most likely thing-— with what we think is the most likel thin. ., . , likely thing. how much is the uk risk premium — likely thing. how much is the uk risk premium to _ likely thing. how much is the uk risk premium to a? _ likely thing. how much is the uk risk premium to a? it's - likely thing. how much is the uk risk premium to a? it's hard i likely thing. how much is the uk risk premium to a? it's hard to l risk premium to a? it's hard to tell. i would _ risk premium to a? it's hard to tell. i would say _ risk premium to a? it's hard to tell. i would say in _ risk premium to a? it's hard to tell. i would say in the - risk premium to a? it's hard to i tell. i would say in the markets, most of it has come out. we: tell. i would say in the markets, most of it has come out. it's not zero, most of it has come out. it's not zero. then? _ most of it has come out. it's not zero, then? it's _ most of it has come out. it's not zero, then? it's not _ most of it has come out. it's not zero, then? it's not probably i most of it has come out. it's not. zero, then? it's not probably back to zero. zero, then? it's not probably back to zero- 0ne _ zero, then? it's not probably back to zero. one way _ zero, then? it's not probably back to zero. one way of— zero, then? it's not probably back to zero. one way of looking i zero, then? it's not probably back to zero. one way of looking at - zero, then? it's not probably back| to zero. one way of looking at this is to look at the evolution of the uk curve, the euro area curve and the us curve since the beginning of august. i think we have published those charts. you can see the uk premium, you can see they have come back. ~ . , ., ., , premium, you can see they have come back. ~ . , ., . , the premium, you can see they have come back-_ they are - back. what is it today? they are fairly aligned. _ back. what is it today? they are fairly aligned. that _ back. what is it today? they are fairly aligned. that is _ back. what is it today? they are fairly aligned. that is in - back. what is it today? they are fairly aligned. that is in terms i back. what is it today? they are | fairly aligned. that is in terms of tracking the movement, the levels are different, but the movements

are... a lot of it has come out, in other words. white matter i'm going to hand over to anthony.— to hand over to anthony. thank you. m initial to hand over to anthony. thank you. my initial questions _ to hand over to anthony. thank you. my initial questions are _ to hand over to anthony. thank you. my initial questions are going - to hand over to anthony. thank you. my initial questions are going to - to hand over to anthony. thank you. my initial questions are going to be. my initial questions are going to be about— my initial questions are going to be about the _ my initial questions are going to be about the economic outlook. you predicted — about the economic outlook. you predicted in the monetary policy report— predicted in the monetary policy report a — predicted in the monetary policy report a recession, which was not as deep _ report a recession, which was not as deep as_ report a recession, which was not as deep as previous recessions we have had in _ deep as previous recessions we have had in the _ deep as previous recessions we have had in the latter half of the 20th century. — had in the latter half of the 20th century, but possibly longer. i'm 'ust century, but possibly longer. i'm just wondering how much uncertainty there was_ just wondering how much uncertainty there was around that? there is also lots there was around that? there is also tots of— there was around that? there is also lots of uncertainty about how long and deep — lots of uncertainty about how long and deep it is going to be. if you could _ and deep it is going to be. if you could just — and deep it is going to be. if you could just describe what you think outer— could just describe what you think outer limits are. | could just describe what you think outer limits are.— outer limits are. i am sure my colleagues — outer limits are. i am sure my colleagues will _ outer limits are. i am sure my colleagues will want _ outer limits are. i am sure my colleagues will want to - outer limits are. i am sure my colleagues will want to come l outer limits are. i am sure my l colleagues will want to come in. outer limits are. i am sure my . colleagues will want to come in. i think it goes back to the previous question. in part, the uncertainty around this reflects the impact of the tightening of financial conditions we saw between the august monetary policy report and the november public policy report. that is why we put more emphasis on the other forecasts we produce, is why we put more emphasis on the otherforecasts we produce, the so—called constant rate forecast, not because we don't... and i read

the language out a few minutes ago, not that we don't think that rates... this is michael gove in the house of commons, making a statement about the inquest yesterday, the reason he summoned the head of rochdale housing to the department today. december 2020, just days after his second birthday, following prolonged exposure to mould in his parent's one—bedroom flat in rochdale. awaab�*s parents had repeatedly raised concerns with their landlord, the local housing association. awaab�*s father first started giving concerns in 2017, and others, including health professionals, also raised the alarm. the landlord failed to take any meaningful action. rochdale borough housing's repeated failure to heed the police

to remove the mould was a terrible dereliction of duty. worse still, the apparent attempts by rochdale boroughwide housing to a tribute to the existence of mould to the actions of awaab�*s parents was beyond insensitive and deeply unprofessional. as the housing ombudsman has made clear, damp and mould in rented housing is not a lifestyle issue. and we all have a duty to call out any behaviour rooted in ignorance or prejudice. the family's lawyers have also made clear that, the family's lawyers have also made clearthat, in the family's lawyers have also made clear that, in their view, the inaction of the landlord was rooted inaction of the landlord was rooted in prejudice. the coroner who investigated awaab�*s death has performed a vital public service in laying out all the facts behind the tragedy. i wish on behalf the house to record my gratitude to her. she said, it is scarcely believable that a child could die from mould in 21st—century britain, or that his parent should have to fight tooth and nail, as they did in vain, to save him. i'm sure the house will

join me in paying tribute to his family, for their tireless fighter forjustice over the last two years. they deserved better and their son deserved better. as so many have rightly concluded, awaab�*s case has thrown into sharp relief the need for renewed action to ensure every landlord in the country makes sure that tenants are housed in decent homes and they are treated with dignity and fairness. that is why the government is bringing forward further reforms. last week, this house debated the second reading of the social housing regulation bill. the measures were inspired by the experience of tenants, leading to the terrible tragedy of the grenfell fire. the way in which tenant voices were ignored and interests neglected in the grenfell tragedy is a constant spur to action for me in this role. however, before i say more than the substance of the wider reforms, i would first like to update the house my department has been taking with regards to awaab�*s case. firstly, as the excellent

public service journalism of the manchester evening news shows, we are aware that the family was not alone in raising serious issues with the condition of homes managed by the condition of homes managed by the local housing association. i've already been in touch with the chair on the chief executive of rochdale boroughwide housing to demand answers, to explain to me why a tragedy like awaab�*s case was ever allowed to have and hear what steps they are undertaking immediately to improve the living conditions of the tenants for which they are responsible. i've also been in touch with the honourable member for rochdale and the honourable member for heywood and middleton, both of whom are powerful champions for the people of rochdale. i have discussed with them finding suitable accommodation for tenants in rochdale who are still during unacceptable conditions. i also hope to meet awaab�*s family and those who live on the freehold estate, so that they know that the government is there to support them. and it is right that the regulator for social housing has considered whether this landlord has systematically failed to meet the standards to provide for

tenants. they have my full support in taking whatever action they deem necessary. finally, the coroner has written to me, and i can assure the house that i will act immediately on her recommendations. if i can turn to the broader urgent issues this tragedy raises, let me be perfectly clear, since some landlords apparently still need to hear this from this house, every single person in this country, irrespective of where they are from, what they do or how much they earn, deserves to live in a home that is decent, safe and secure. and that is the relentless focus on my department, and i know everyone across this house. since the publication of our social housing white paper, we have sought to raise the bar and the quality of social housing, while empowering tenants so that their houses are truly heard. we started by strengthening the housing ombudsman service, so all residents have somewhere to turn when they are not get the answers they need from their landlords, and in addition, we have change the law so residents can now complain directly to the ombudsman,

instead of waiting eight weeks while the case was handled by a local mp or another designated person. one of the principal roles of the housing ombudsman services to ensure that robust complaint processes are put in place, so problems are resolved as soon as they are found. it can order landlords to pay compensation to residents and it can also refer cases to the regulator of social housing, who in future, will be able toissue housing, who in future, will be able to issue unlimited fines to households they find at fault. —— landlords they find at fault. all decisions are published for the whole world to see which landlords are consistently letting tenants a re consistently letting te na nts down. are consistently letting tenants down. it is clear from awaab�*s case, which sadly did not go before the ombudsman, that more needs to be done to ensure vital services are better promoted and it reaches those that it needs. we are already ensuring more residents know how to make complaints, but we are now planning, and i think it is necessary, another targeted, multi—year campaign, so that

everyone living in the social housing sector knows their rights, knows how to sound the alarm when the landlord fails to meet the grade, and knows how to seek redress without delay. where some providers have performed poorly in the past, they have now been given ample opportunity to change their ways and to start treating residents with this respect they deserve. the time for empty promises of improvement is over. my department will now name and shame those who have been found by the regulator to have breached consumer standards, by the regulator to have breached consumerstandards, or by the regulator to have breached consumer standards, or who have been found by the ombudsman to have committed severe maladministration. and while there is no doubt that this property fell below the standards which we expect all social landlords to meet, awaab�*s death makes painfully clear why we must do everything we can to better protect tenants. so our social housing regulation bill will bring in a rigorous new regime that holds landlords like these to account for the decency of their homes. at the moment, as i mentioned, the system has been too reliant on people fighting their own corner, and we are determined to change this so

that the reforms were making helps to relieve the issues with tenants. they will issue unlimited fines that i mention. it will be able to intervene in cases where lives are being put at risk. and the very worst cases, it will have the power to instruct the properties to be brought under new management. landlords will also be judged against tenant satisfaction measures, allowing tenants and all of us to see transparently which landlords are failing to deliver what residents expect and deserve. it is the right of everyone to feel safe in the place they sleep at night, which is universal, that is why both are levelling up and the private rented sector white paper set out how we will introduce a new, stronger, legally binding decent homes standard in the private rented sector as well, for the first time. we have recently consulted on that decent home standards and we are

reviewing the responses so we can move forward again. it is a key plank of our mission to ensure that the number of non—decent homes across all tenures is reduced by 2030, with the biggest improvement is occurring in the lowest performing areas. madam deputy speaker, although the legislation is important, we hope as a result that no family has to suffer in the way that awaab�*s family has suffered. we hope we will end the scandal residents having to live in shoddy, substandard homes like some of those on the freehold estate, and we want to restore the right of everyone in this country, whatever their race or cultural background, to live somewhere warm, decent, safe and secure, a place that they can be proud to call home. i commend the statement to the house.— statement to the house. thank you very much. — statement to the house. thank you very much, madam _ statement to the house. thank you very much, madam deputy - statement to the house. thank you | very much, madam deputy speaker. statement to the house. thank you - very much, madam deputy speaker. can i thank the sect of state for his

statement and for advance sight of it. can ijoin him in sending our condolences to the family of awaab ishak. it is the worst thing that any family could possibly imagine, and it is very difficult to come to terms with the fact that in 21st century britain, one of the world, a family could find a child dying at the age ofjust two years old through completely, utterly, avoidable circumstances, that could and should have been prevented. i want to acknowledge that their only ask as a family is that once and for all the conditions for those in social housing are improved. i want to say that today has to mark the start of a real step change in the levels of urgency that we have about improving the condition of social housing stock and the rights of

people in it. and this isn'tjust about social housing stock, as the housing ombudsman made absolutely clear in every form of tenure there are people who are forced to endure these appalling, unconscionable editions in 21st—century britain. the coroner said that the death of awaab, who suffered prolonged exposure to mould, will and should be a defining moment for the housing sector. but it should also be a defining moment for us, they wake up call that every single person in this house who has, in whatever limited form, and to whatever extent, the power and the platform to make sure this never, ever happens again. it should not take the death of a two—year—old boy in completely avoidable circumstances to get us to get together and act. the truth is, although this is the most shocking outcome anybody could imagine, it is not an unusual

situation. our inboxes and constituency surgeries are overflowing in every part of the country with people in this position, who have sounded the alarm over, and over, and over again, and havejust simply been over, and over, and over again, and have just simply been rendered invisible by decision—makers who do not respond. i know the secretary of state and i are wholly united on this issue and i know he is sincere about getting a grip of this and doing something about it. it was only a week ago that he and i stood across from the dispatch box and talked about what we could do to strengthen the measures in the social housing bill, to ensure this house delivers the strongest possible piece of legislation that we can possibly provide. but if there is unity, then it means there is no excuse whatsoever for delay. and it is time for urgency. can i say to the secretary of state, in

that spirit, what further steps is his department going to take? there is a systemic issue of housing unfit for human habitation in both the social and private rented sector, too many families in overcrowded, damp, mouldy, squalid conditions, and disproportionately likely to be bame families in poverty. the nhs in england already spends £1.3 billion every year treating preventable illnesses caused by cold and damp homes. the consultation closed weeks ago. can the secretary of state give ago. can the secretary of state give a timescale with which that could be brought forward and brought into law without delay for both the private and social rented sector? we are 100% committed to a decent homes standard. we will work with the government day and night to make sure it is fit for the 21st century and delivered quickly. new regulation matters, but as he knows,

there is a crisis for local authorities in this country. it would be wrong of me not to acknowledge that for those well—intentioned local authorities, the ones that are good landlords and responsive to the needs of tenants, there is still a huge gaping hole in their finances. there is still a huge gaping hole in theirfinances. will he there is still a huge gaping hole in their finances. will he ensure that he sits down and works through these problems with authorities? everybody understands there is a major problem with the public finances, but we have to find creative ways to help local authorities, including longer—term funding settlements. will he particularly ensure that any social cap is funded, otherwise all we will do is load more and more cuts onto local authorities that can't afford them, and make sure that it can't afford them, and make sure thatitis can't afford them, and make sure that it is stripped out of local housing stock? damp is more common in homes that are excessively cold,

and with energy spikes going through the roof, that will lead to an increase in mould cases. can he confirm what he is going to bring about the retrofitting and insulation of social housing stock, to make houses cheaper to heat? we have a housing crisis in this country, but also a growth crisis, and lots of people who could use good jobs around the country, bringing homes up to standard and literally saving lives this winter. madam deputy speaker, i welcome the fact that the secretary of state has been called to explain himself. but could i ask for a wider investigation into this case and what can be learned, including the structure and governance of rochdale boroughwide housing, and whether the lack of democratic representation on its board may have played a part in its board may have played a part in its lack of responsiveness? and i was really grateful to him for acknowledging repeatedly during this statement that awaab�*s family has said beyond doubt that come in their view, racism played a role in their treatment and the handling of their

concerns. i would like to see some action to deal with this. nobody should be subject to personal and intrusive questions about their private lives, their lifestyle and their bathing habits in their own home. i was glad to see the coroner recognise that rochdale boroughwide housing now knows that. but how on earth was not allowed to happen? that they would conclude that lifestyle and bathing habits contributed to the majority of the mould? furtherto contributed to the majority of the mould? further to this, an important part of the system is providing legitimate rye —— migrants with housing, so will he commit to a review on how housing is provided for refugees in this country? i am convinced that awaab�*s family are right, that the imbalance of power posed an acute problem for those unfamiliar with the system. i want

to pay tribute to the member for rochdale who is in his place today, and to the manchester evening news. they are a powerful voice for people who don't understand the system. but there is a problem here, and it needs to be addressed. will he look to come out the overrepresentation of bame people in poor quality housing? finally, iwill come of bame people in poor quality housing? finally, i will come to a close, because i know that there is huge interest across the house. we stood in this place five years ago after the shocking events of grenfell and said never again. never again has to mean something, it has to mean something in terms of legacy for the people who have lost loved ones as a consequence of the shocking imbalance of power in the housing system. will he committed to working with us on the side of the house in order to deliver a housing system fit for the 21st century? it is three o'clock, you're watching bbc news. in the house of commons michael gove is making a statement on the death of awaab ishak and his

call for more information from rochdale housing. we havejust heard the shadow secretary of state lisa nandy and this is michael gove's reply to her. she nandy and this is michael gove's reply to her-— nandy and this is michael gove's reply to her. she is right that the roblems reply to her. she is right that the problems identified _ reply to her. she is right that the problems identified by _ reply to her. she is right that the problems identified by the - reply to her. she is right that the l problems identified by the coroner exist in— problems identified by the coroner exist in every form of tenure across england. _ exist in every form of tenure across england, and it is not an unusual set of— england, and it is not an unusual set of circumstances, it is a problem _ set of circumstances, it is a problem that afflicts constituents that all— problem that afflicts constituents that all of us know of, all of us represent, _ that all of us know of, all of us represent, there should not be such a problem _ represent, there should not be such a problem with which people have to live with _ a problem with which people have to live with the impact of which, and actioh_ live with the impact of which, and action does— live with the impact of which, and action does need to be taken. across the country. — action does need to be taken. across the country, by all of us, in order to ensure — the country, by all of us, in order to ensure that this scandal ends. the honourable lady is also right to say that _ the honourable lady is also right to say that poor housing quality is particularly concentrated across england — particularly concentrated across england in certain communities, and it disproportionately affects families from black and minority

ethnic— families from black and minority ethnic backgrounds. this is part of a broader— ethnic backgrounds. this is part of a broader pattern of unequal outcomes that we do need to address which _ outcomes that we do need to address which requires a sensitivity in handling _ which requires a sensitivity in handling but she also is right that it requires— handling but she also is right that it requires urgency on the part of all of— it requires urgency on the part of all of us — it requires urgency on the part of all of us in — it requires urgency on the part of all of us in investigating the factors— all of us in investigating the factors that live behind it. she asks _ factors that live behind it. she asks about the decent homes standard and when _ asks about the decent homes standard and when we will bring forward new regulations in response to the consultation. we hope to do so as early— consultation. we hope to do so as early as— consultation. we hope to do so as early as possible, it may not be until— early as possible, it may not be until the — early as possible, it may not be until the beginning of the new year, but we _ until the beginning of the new year, but we will— until the beginning of the new year, but we will do so i hope in a way which _ but we will do so i hope in a way which ensures that we can legislate effectively either in this session or the _ effectively either in this session or the next. she effectively either in this session orthe next. she makes effectively either in this session or the next. she makes a fair point about— or the next. she makes a fair point about local— or the next. she makes a fair point about local authority funding, every part of— about local authority funding, every part of the — about local authority funding, every part of the public realm faces public— part of the public realm faces public challenges —— funding challenges at the moment, the chancellor of the exchequer is very sensitive _ chancellor of the exchequer is very sensitive to — chancellor of the exchequer is very sensitive to these concerns and in the autumn statement tomorrow we will be _ the autumn statement tomorrow we will be seeing more about what can be done _ will be seeing more about what can be done to— will be seeing more about what can be done to help including with reference to the social rent cap which _ reference to the social rent cap which as — reference to the social rent cap which as we all know is important to balance _ which as we all know is important to balance the — which as we all know is important to balance the additional sums that individuals may be required to pay at a time — individuals may be required to pay at a time of inflation in order to

ensure — at a time of inflation in order to ensure that housing associations are appropriately funded for the work that they— appropriately funded for the work that they need to do. there is a difficult — that they need to do. there is a difficult balance to strike but i have — difficult balance to strike but i have talked to kate henderson and others _ have talked to kate henderson and others in _ have talked to kate henderson and others in the housing association sector— others in the housing association sector and — others in the housing association sector and i believe that the way forward — sector and i believe that the way forward that we have found is one that we _ forward that we have found is one that we will be considered to be fair in _ that we will be considered to be fair in admittedly tough circumstances. she asked about the wider— circumstances. she asked about the wider investigation into the governance of rochdale boroughwide housing~ _ governance of rochdale boroughwide housing~ i_ governance of rochdale boroughwide housing. i had the opportunity to talk briefly to the chief executive earlier _ talk briefly to the chief executive earlier today and in the course of that conversation it became even more _ that conversation it became even more clear— that conversation it became even more clear to me that there are systemic— more clear to me that there are systemic problems in the governance and leadership of that organisation and leadership of that organisation and i_ and leadership of that organisation and i look— and leadership of that organisation and i look forward to working with her and _ and i look forward to working with her and the two members of parliament covering the metropolitan borough _ parliament covering the metropolitan borough in order to address that. and she — borough in order to address that. and she also made a point about not 'ust and she also made a point about not just a _ and she also made a point about not just a campaigning work of local mps but also _ just a campaigning work of local mps but also the manchester evening new5, _ but also the manchester evening news, as — but also the manchester evening news, as i— but also the manchester evening news, as i referenced, i but also the manchester evening news, as i referenced, lam but also the manchester evening news, as i referenced, i am grateful to the _ news, as i referenced, i am grateful to the manchester evening news, an exemplar— to the manchester evening news, an exemplar when it comes to a local newspaper— exemplar when it comes to a local newspaper that speaks for its communities and campaigns effectively. a final point about safe and —

effectively. a final point about safe and housing is one which i absolutely take on board, and we do need to— absolutely take on board, and we do need to ensure that people fleeing persecution are welcomed into this country— persecution are welcomed into this country and that they know that this country— country and that they know that this country is _ country and that they know that this country is a — country and that they know that this country is a safe home for them and that they— country is a safe home for them and that they have a safe home within this country. i will only say that it is our— this country. i will only say that it is our responsibility and duty to ensure _ it is our responsibility and duty to ensure that every citizens of the united _ ensure that every citizens of the united kingdom believe that everyone in this— united kingdom believe that everyone in this house believes that they should — in this house believes that they should have somewhere safe, secure and decent _ should have somewhere safe, secure and decent to live. john should have somewhere safe, secure and decent to live.— and decent to live. john redwood? rou~hl and decent to live. john redwood? roughly how _ and decent to live. john redwood? roughly how many _ and decent to live. john redwood? roughly how many social - and decent to live. john redwood? roughly how many social housing i roughly how many social housing homes are below standard and what proportion of the stock is that? well, a significant proportion of social— well, a significant proportion of social housing homes are below standard... studio: we are going to leave standard... — studio: we are going to leave the statement there because we believe that at some point we should hear from sir tony lloyd, who spoke briefly in the commons yesterday. here we go... briefly in the commons yesterday. here we go- - -_ briefly in the commons yesterday. here we go... there is no doubt that the death here we go. .. there is no doubt that the death of— here we go... there is no doubt that the death of awaab _ here we go... there is no doubt that the death of awaab was _ here we go... there is no doubt that the death of awaab was tragic, - here we go... there is no doubt that the death of awaab was tragic, but l the death of awaab was tragic, but also was preventable, and unforgivable. if i can endorse the

exchange between the secretary of state and my right honourable friend for wigan, some very important points were raised and because i only have limited time perhaps i can make a few points. at the national level the secretary of state rightly says we need a new definition of decent homes. does that include for example classifying mould as a category one hazard? because that would be an important step in protection. will he also guarantee, and this is important, there is a debate about funding of local authorities, but actually there needs to be a specific recognition that if we are to prevent this kind of tragedy, we have to have enforcement, and we have to have structures which have the resources to enforce local authority housing enforcement. at local level he made reference to rochdale boroughwide housing, i have very little faith i have got to say in the senior management of that body, there were so many ways in which this tragedy

could have been prevented, so, it is unforgivable that that has happened. exemplary fines, though, will not necessarily do the trick because its mp penalises those who pay rent and those penalises the taxpayer. there needs to be some personal responsibility in this, and the capacity for those at senior level to face the consequences either legal or in any case in terms of the lack of... i welcome an investigation into rochdale boroughwide housing, i hope this can now be done, because there are serious issues and i really do think the chief executive and perhaps some of those on other executive bodies need to question weather they should be there any longer. i’m need to question weather they should be there any longer.— be there any longer. i'm very crateful be there any longer. i'm very grateful to — be there any longer. i'm very grateful to the _ be there any longer. i'm very grateful to the honourable i be there any longer. i'm very - gratefulto the honourable member grateful to the honourable member for the _ grateful to the honourable member for the points he makes and again, my sympathy to his constituents who have had _ my sympathy to his constituents who have had to — my sympathy to his constituents who have had to deal with some of the defects— have had to deal with some of the defects that rochdale boroughwide housing have exhibited for some years— housing have exhibited for some years now, and i know that he has been _ years now, and i know that he has been consistently questioning the service _ been consistently questioning the service that they have received. on

the first _ service that they have received. on the first point about damp and mould. — the first point about damp and mould. it _ the first point about damp and mould, it is the case already on the legislation— mould, it is the case already on the legislation that was introduced by the member for kensington north of that damp— the member for kensington north of that damp and mould became a number one concern— that damp and mould became a number one concern when it comes to weather or not— one concern when it comes to weather or not a _ one concern when it comes to weather or not a house — one concern when it comes to weather or not a house is fit for human habitation. _ or not a house is fit for human habitation, but he is right to say that when— habitation, but he is right to say that when it comes to identifying what _ that when it comes to identifying what a _ that when it comes to identifying what a degree one hazard is, that reviewing — what a degree one hazard is, that reviewing that in the context of looking — reviewing that in the context of looking at the decent homes standard is something that we do have to do. ithink— is something that we do have to do. l think under— is something that we do have to do. ithink underany is something that we do have to do. i think under any circumstances, under— i think under any circumstances, under any— i think under any circumstances, underany standard, i think under any circumstances, under any standard, the conditions under— under any standard, the conditions under which awaab's family were living _ under which awaab's family were living would have failed the decent homes _ living would have failed the decent homes standard but he is quite right that we _ homes standard but he is quite right that we need to keep these under constant — that we need to keep these under constant review. he is also right to stress _ constant review. he is also right to stress that — constant review. he is also right to stress that when it comes to appropriate support for people in all types — appropriate support for people in all types of tenure, we need to make sure that _ all types of tenure, we need to make sure that local authorities are appropriately resourced in order to ensure _ appropriately resourced in order to ensure that they can be the champions of those whom they are elected _ champions of those whom they are elected to— champions of those whom they are elected to represent. studio: that was michael gove. we are going to leave the house of

commons there butjust to sum up what the secretary of state for housing had to say, he was excoriating in his criticism of rochdale boroughwide housing, which was spun off ten years ago, as most local authorities have done, the former housing being transferred to a social landlord, what is called a social landlord, what we used to call council housing, when i grew up in a council house, it was owned by the local authority. and it had been built by the local authority back in the '60s. the housing stock now is not owned by local authorities, it is either sold off to private tenants, may have been sold on beyond them, or it has remained in social housing. these are the sorts of pictures that were filmed as a result of the death of awaab ishak, who was two years old when he died, suffering severe problems with his breathing, and his family has repeatedly reported it to their landlord. one of the judgements repeatedly reported it to their landlord. one of thejudgements made which upset miss to go so much was

that the conclusion the landlord had made was that it was the way the family were living their lives that was causing the mould, or was the primary cause of mould. you hear this quite a lot, the criticism people have to endure if they are in social housing, well, if you did this, if you open your windows and so on... often that is not the only problem, there can be problems in terms of heating, poorly maintained windows, for example, and so on, all of which can affect mould growth in a property. now, what the secretary of state said, and he made reference to it here when he was answering lisa lisa nandy, the shadow secretary of state, was that yesterday he summoned the chief executive of rochdale boroughwide housing, gareth swarbrick, to the department, and he said it beggars belief that this man is still in his post. well, he said he spoke briefly, as he put it, rather

bluntly, just before he came to the house of commons, he said he spoke briefly to gareth swarbrick and even in that conversation he said it became apparent that there are fundamental problems in the way that the former local authority, rochdale boroughwide housing, is managed, i think the location of that is that there was no meeting of minds between mr swarbrick and the secretary of state, there was no suggestion that he had actually met him in person, it may even have been a phone call, but he is pretty angry about it, i think he has tried to put pressure on in the past. saying, i cannot understand why this person is in post. in the past that might have meant that they would not be in post the following day, but clearly rochdale boroughwide housing has taken the view that it is not directly answerable to the secretary of state, and that there are processes and that it is responsible to its board to decide about the future of its employees, and he may well have argued, and we are waiting to hear more details from the rochdale boroughwide housing in response to the inquest yesterday,

he may well argue that it is his job to put the problems right but clearly mystic over believes that there is a significant problem, labour believes there is almost a systemic problem, i suspect some of the political arguments will re—emerge after an appropriate period of respect for awaab ishak and his family. who had complained so passionately in the hopes of attracting their sun, and in the end, as the inquest made clear, they were let down by those who should have been helping to protect them. there will be those who will argue that part of the problem is a consistent underfunding of local housing. others will say, we have lived with those funding problems but we have still managed to deliver safe housing. but i hope that no—one will forget the case of awaab ishak. prices are rising at their fastest rate for more than 110 years.

with the soaring cost of energy and food largely responsible. the inflation rate hasjumped to 11.1 % in the year to october — that's up from % the previous month. it puts more pressure on the chancellor ahead of his autumn statement tomorrow, in which he's expected to announce tax rises and spending cuts. here's our economics correspondent andy verity. at this environmentally—friendly brewery and pub in stroud in gloucestershire, the raw ingredients aren't getting any cheaper. it wasn't long ago when the value of the pound really dropped, and overnight the prices went up ten, 12%. devaluation of the pound in the past year means businesses have to pay more in pounds to buy goods priced in dollars or euros, from hops to oil and gas. how much do you pay for a bag of these? it varies anywhere between sort of £15—£40 a kilo. the biggest rise is power — electricity has doubled over the last year, gas has gone up by at least half. our raw materials, so malt and hops, cans, labels, they have

gone up between 10—15%. global inflationary pressure is now coming home in higher wage costs, as employers pay more to compete for an unexpectedly small pool of available workers. labour, we are a living wage employer, lowest wages have gone up by 10%. for us that's at least 40, 50, £60,000 a year additional costs, which means we have to sell somewhere between £150,000, £200,000 worth more beer to cover the additional wages cost. but some global inflationary pressures have recently been easing. shipping goods like beer across the world now cost less than a third of what it did in 2021. that is one reason the bank of england expects double digit inflation to drop back to single digits in the spring. for now, though, it's all about those price shocks. milk, butter, dairy foods, bread.

filling up the car. strangely, fruit teas. they have gone from £1 to £2.25, and you think how can that be? . until recently, most of the inflationary pressure was global. the price of food, the price of fuel — there is not much the bank of england can do about those global prices, but what they are now worried about is that that inflation is becoming embedded domestically in the price of services, like a restaurant meal. the uk is not the only country hit by soaring inflation, it is even higher in germany and italy, which depend far more on imported russian gas. what's people's number one anxiety is the rising cost of things, that is what is eating into people's living standards. the chancellor rightly described it as insidious. it makes people poorer, that is what inflation does and it is the enemy we need to face down. we know that the tories have crashed the economy, and to make matters worse, families will be incredibly worried about rising inflation that we have seen announced today. it is already a really worrying time. labour's plan will be to get

the economy growing and we will be making different choices in the statement coming up in parliament. to stop inflation bedding down in the domestic economy, interest rates were expected after the mini budget to have to rise to 6%. now they are expected to peak in the spring at 4.5%, much higher than a year ago, but lower than many economists feared. andy verity, bbc news, stroud. nato now says the missile that killed two people yesterday the governor of the bank of england is still appearing before a committee in the house of commons. earlier he identified three key areas of inflation which have caused inflation to rise.— inflation to rise. obviously 2.5 ears inflation to rise. obviously 2.5 years ago. _ inflation to rise. obviously 2.5 years ago. the _ inflation to rise. obviously 2.5 years ago, the economy - inflation to rise. obviously 2.5 years ago, the economy was l inflation to rise. obviously 2.5 i years ago, the economy was hit inflation to rise. obviously 2.5 - years ago, the economy was hit by a huge shock in terms of the pandemic. and i think it was obviously necessary and appropriate that monetary policy responded to that.

what we have had since then i think is a series of supply shocks, essentially, in the uk economy. which have reduced the, particularly when you look at the labour force, reduced the supply capacity of the uk economy, relative to demand. and to put those shocks into chronological order, there was what we tend to call a supply chain shock in the recovery from covid, that is a global shock because it reflected goods and services demand and stretched supply chains, particularly involving china. and i think we are now seeing the evidence that that shock is coming off. the next shot i would highlight in many ways is the big one, which as you said is russia— ukraine. which has had a very big impact in two areas, i would say, energy and food. and the third one is a domestic shop,

which is the tightness of the uk labour market, and the fact that the uk labour force is labour market, and the fact that the uk labourforce is reduced in size relative to the pre—covid number and i think i am right in saying, our colleaguejonathan haskell made a speech where he covered this i think last week and he had a very interesting chart which shows that the uk is the only oecd country which is showing this pattern of labour force shock. mr which is showing this pattern of labour force shock.— which is showing this pattern of labour force shock. mr badie has also been telling _ labour force shock. mr badie has also been telling the _ labour force shock. mr badie has also been telling the committee | labour force shock. mr badie has - also been telling the committee that the bank expects to see interest rates fall dramatically next year, once this winter is out of the way. once we get through this winter, because the way the gas price affects are going to work through this winter, there should be quite a pronounced fall in inflation thereafter, and are forecast brings it back to target and actually takes it back to target and actually takes it below target, actually to zero. the governor of the bank of england talking to the treasury select committee. he is still speaking at the moment and we will bring you

anything further he has to say. we can speak to a senior economist from thejoseph can speak to a senior economist from the joseph rowntree can speak to a senior economist from thejoseph rowntree foundation. we have spoken before, in lots of ways by situation has deteriorated since our last conversation, when you were talking about your concerns about particular lido's on the lowest income is being hit by the shock we saw back in september. as that reinforce your concern about what happens to universal credit in particular come the start of the next financial year?— next financial year? yeah, absolutely, _ next financial year? yeah, absolutely, i— next financial year? yeah, absolutely, i think- next financial year? yeah, absolutely, i think the - next financial year? yeah, l absolutely, i think the price next financial year? yeah, - absolutely, i think the price rises that we have seen today, with inflation at 11.1%, which is the highest rate it has been in over 110 years, that is hitting everyone's budget but it is absolutely decimating the budget and the financial position of households on the lowest income is, and particularly for those on benefits like universal credit. we have got to see those updated in line with inflation in april as we normally

do, but actually what we are saying is, people are struggling now, we are seeing parents having to go and pawn items in shopsjust are seeing parents having to go and pawn items in shops just to get £1o pawn items in shops just to get £10 on their electricity metre. we are seeing homeless shelters providing showers because people can't afford to have as many showers as they need in their own homes. so what we really need is to see notjust a commitment to updating benefits in line with inflation in april but actually bringing that forward now because these are households and families that need that support through the winter or quite frankly they are going to struggle to survive it offers the government would say, hang on, we put in an energy price guarantee, we are providing that health already? and thatis providing that health already? and that is right and the price guarantee is welcome. and so was the support that was announced in may through the cost—of—living payments, but if you look at the increasing number of stories of hardship that we are seeing every single day come through, and they are getting worse,

thatis through, and they are getting worse, that is despite that support being in place. that is before we see the need for increased heating throughout the winter. we've had a really, really mild autumn so far and yet the inflation looking at household energy usage in october was 26.6%, that's huge. and that is despite people cutting back already and not turning on their heating, reducing their use of appliances. and quite frankly even though it is a lot of support, it's just not enough because the problem is so big right now. the enough because the problem is so big riaht now. . ., right now. the particular figure that people — right now. the particular figure that people have _ right now. the particular figure that people have been - right now. the particular figure that people have been drawing j that people have been drawing attention to today is the 14.5% increase obviously in september has gone up to 16.2% in terms of flow food inflation in october, and given that food represents a bigger proportion of household income, the further down the income scale you 90, further down the income scale you go, the wealthier people spend a smaller proportion of their income on food, presumably that height hits

poorer households, or is felt by poorer households, or is felt by poorer households, or is felt by poorer households, that much more acutely? poorer households, that much more acutel ? .. . . acutely? that is executive right. and like you say, _ acutely? that is executive right. and like you say, food _ acutely? that is executive right. and like you say, food is - acutely? that is executive right. and like you say, food is one - acutely? that is executive right. and like you say, food is one of| acutely? that is executive right. i and like you say, food is one of the things that has led to much higher inflation, and seeing it in october, food, the use of food banks that we are seeing at the moment has absolutely soared. yesterday the food standards agency reported that people across the country are eating food past its use by date, they are turning fridges and freezers and eating cold food because they can't afford to cook it and store it. just afford to cook it and store it. just a completely dire situation for a country like the uk to be in. but it is also notjust food, it is other things like transport, you've got very, very limited control over them because they are essential things and like you say low income households spend a far greater proportion of their income on them and they are being squeezed and squeezed and now this is hitting almost every single essential that a household needs. it

almost every single essential that a household needs.— household needs. it will be interesting _ household needs. it will be interesting to _ household needs. it will be interesting to see - household needs. it will be interesting to see how- household needs. it will be interesting to see how the | interesting to see how the chancellor response to the point you're making, thanks for being with us. nato now says the missile that killed two people yesterday in eastern poland was probably fired by ukrainian air defences, rather than russia. moscow had already strongly denied it was responsible for the rocket that hit the village of przewodow in the east of poland near the border with ukraine. two people were killed when the missile struck a farm field outside the village yesterday, late afternoon. our correspondent dan

johnson has this report. it looks like this is where the war in ukraine spilled over on to polish turf and claimed polish lives. two civilians were killed here in the explosion yesterday afternoon, on this farm close to the border with ukraine. the questions now are what landed here and who fired it. this man lives close by, he heard the explosion and says his family were really scared. he said one of those killed was a farmer, the other worked in the village shop. there is now a huge investigation involving polish military experts who are assessing what caused this explosion and where it came from. this lunchtime, the polish president said what happened here appeared to be an unfortunate accident and not an intentional attack. and not an intentional attack, a statement echoed at nato headquarters. we have no indication that this was the result of a deliberate attack. and we have no indication that russia is from pair,

and we have no indication that russia is preparing offensive military actions against nato. more military teams are coming in to join the investigation, which is taking place at the farm just a few hundred metres up that road. this is as close as we're allowed to get but we're very near to the ukrainian border here, just about ten miles away and people living in this area had been concerned that they would feel the impact of this war at some point. russia attacked cities across ukraine yesterday, including lviv. the russians say it wasn't their missile. ukraine does have russian—made weapons but ukraine's president was clear who he believes is responsible. translation: russian missiles hit territory in poland, _ there must be a quick reaction, this attack is a message from russia to the g20 summit so when i say

it is the g19 i'm not wrong because russia is a terrorist state and we are defending ourselves against it. us presidentjoe biden who himself visited poland earlier this year questioned that. it's unlikely in the minds of the trajectory that it was fired from russia but we'll see. so, political leaders in poland and other countries are urging calm responses and careful next steps as the full details are confirmed. nato is strengthening air defences across eastern europe as well as ukraine because it's clear now to people here and elsewhere, that as long as this conflict continues, there is a risk even indirectly of others being caught up in it. danjohnson, bbc news in eastern poland. members of the rmt union working at network rail and 1a train companies have voted to continue striking in their long—running dispute over pay, jobs and conditions. the union said a fresh ballot of its members showed overwhelming support to carry on with industrial action. rail operators said passengers would be dismayed by this outcome and that more strikes

would be counterproductive. our transport correspondent katy austin is here. katy austin, we saw this ballot and we saw the unions and operators talking about some kind of fresh attempt to resolving their dispute, what has happened?— attempt to resolving their dispute, what has happened? well, what has ha--ened what has happened? well, what has happened is — what has happened? well, what has happened is the _ what has happened? well, what has happened is the result _ what has happened? well, what has happened is the result of _ what has happened? well, what has happened is the result of a - happened is the result of a re—ballot of members of the rmt, thatis re—ballot of members of the rmt, that is because they were initially balloted for strike action earlier this year, the result was announced in may and after six months they then had to seek a fresh mandate, and what has happened is that these members who work at network rail and for 1h train companies, apparently 70% of those eligible to vote did so, and of those who voted, 91% voted in favour of continuing strikes. so it means there could be more strikes for another six months unless a deal is reached to end this dispute. today, the rmt general secretary mick lynch said the union was determined to continue with its

campaign until the employers understood, he said, they needed to respond to members' aspirations on job security, pay and conditions. the rail delivery group which represents the train companies said it does recognise the strength of feeling among its staff and it called on the rmt to keep on negotiating to try and reach agreement over the reforms that the industry you are necessary to afford a a rise. . industry you are necessary to afford a a rise. , a a rise. there is something in the rhetoric, isn't _ a a rise. there is something in the rhetoric, isn't there? _ a a rise. there is something in the rhetoric, isn't there? it _ a a rise. there is something in the rhetoric, isn't there? it got - a a rise. there is something in the rhetoric, isn't there? it got very i rhetoric, isn't there? it got very belligerent on both sides at one point, saying, it is completely irrational to ask for this, we can't promise anything until we get the reform, the unions are saying, we can't give you an open ended support for reform when we don't know what the implications might be. now it sounds like they are both trying at least in their language to be a bit more collaborative and we had this push from anne—marie trevelyan, who was briefly in the liz truss government, who actually sat down and met the rmt general secretary, a

feeling that the mood music has changed, notwithstanding the fact that the threat remains? i changed, notwithstanding the fact that the threat remains?— that the threat remains? i think there are two — that the threat remains? i think there are two parts _ that the threat remains? i think there are two parts to _ that the threat remains? i think there are two parts to that. - there are two parts to that. politically, the rhetoric has certainly changed since may, june, when we first saw these strikes, then we had grant shapps who was transport secretary, it is fair to say his tone was you might say a bit more aggressive towards the unions, we have since had two other transport secretaries. and rachel valium was the one who said she would meet with the union leaders, and at least two of more conciliatory. mark harper i understand, he is the newer transport secretary, the current one. ., , ., , ., one. forest of dean, member of parliament. _ one. forest of dean, member of parliament. l— one. forest of dean, member of parliament, i don't _ one. forest of dean, member of parliament, i don't think - one. forest of dean, member of parliament, i don't think they i one. forest of dean, member of. parliament, i don't think they have many railway stations! riff parliament, i don't think they have many railway stations!— parliament, i don't think they have many railway stations! of the top of many railway stations! of the top of m head, many railway stations! of the top of my head. i — many railway stations! of the top of my head. i don't — many railway stations! of the top of my head, i don't know! _ many railway stations! of the top of my head, i don't know! but - many railway stations! of the top of my head, i don't know! but he i many railway stations! of the top of my head, i don't know! but he has. my head, i don't know! but he has said that he is also intending to invite the members of the unions for talks, so there has been a bit of a change in the air politically, however there has not been anything from the government to say that

actually this would change their substantial position. and then earlier this month, there were due to be three more days of strike action by the rmt, they were called off at the 11th hour, to enable a period of what the rmt said would be intensive talks. because those talks have got underway, they are continuing. have got underway, they are continuing-— have got underway, they are continuinu. , ., �* continuing. so, they haven't ended. exactl . continuing. so, they haven't ended. exactly- ballot _ continuing. so, they haven't ended. exactly. ballot result _ continuing. so, they haven't ended. exactly. ballot result we _ continuing. so, they haven't ended. exactly. ballot result we have i continuing. so, they haven't ended. exactly. ballot result we have had l exactly. ballot result we have had is really unconnected to those the talks continue, and everybody involved says they want to carry on talking to try and reach an agreement if they can. find talking to try and reach an agreement if they can. and briefly, no indication _ agreement if they can. and briefly, no indication that _ agreement if they can. and briefly, no indication that the _ agreement if they can. and briefly, no indication that the rmt - agreement if they can. and briefly, no indication that the rmt is i agreement if they can. and briefly, no indication that the rmt is about| no indication that the rmt is about to announce new strike dates they say, we have the mandate, but they haven't yet issued new dates? irate haven't yet issued new dates? we haven't yet issued new dates? - haven't had any dates at the moment, no. haven't had any dates at the moment, no, 2 . ., , haven't had any dates at the moment, no. �* .. , , ., haven't had any dates at the moment, no. �* , , ., , haven't had any dates at the moment, no. , , .,, no. because everyone is worrying about christmas. _ no. because everyone is worrying about christmas. actually, i no. because everyone is worrying about christmas. actually, yes, l no. because everyone is worrying i about christmas. actually, yes, that is something which everyone has mentioned today. there is one strike date in the diary already across the country, but that is not by the rmt, thatis country, but that is not by the rmt, that is by the drivers union aslef

which has its own dispute, and that is 26 november. it's been third time lucky for the us space agency nasa, which has finally managed to launch its artemis rocket on a journey to the moon. artemis will send an uncrewed capsule on a 26 day test trip around the moon, a first step to taking astronauts back to the lunar surface by 2025. this morning's launch from florida followed two previous attempts in august and september that were aborted during countdown because of technical problems. our science editor, rebecca morelle, is at goonhilly earth station in cornwall which is tracking the rocket�*s progress. well, meanwhile, spaceport cornwall will be allowed to host the uk's first space launch after it was granted an operating licence by the aviation regulator. the site in newquay could be used for sending satellites into space. joining us now is colin macleod, head of uk space

presumably that is a relatively newly created post?— presumably that is a relatively newly created post? good afternoon, thank ou. newly created post? good afternoon, thank you- l — newly created post? good afternoon, thank you. i have _ newly created post? good afternoon, thank you. i have been _ newly created post? good afternoon, thank you. i have been in _ newly created post? good afternoon, thank you. i have been in post i newly created post? good afternoon, thank you. i have been in post for i thank you. i have been in post for about a year—and—a—half. that is when the uk civil aviation authority took over responsibility for licensing these activities. we have actually been undertaking things like satellite licensing in the uk for many decades.— like satellite licensing in the uk for many decades. what is going to ha en at for many decades. what is going to happen at the _ for many decades. what is going to happen at the newquay _ for many decades. what is going to happen at the newquay site? i for many decades. what is going to l happen at the newquay site? today, it is a great moment for the uk and for the civil aviation authority. they satisfied us on some key areas set out by parliament, such as safety, primarily, but also the environment. now that they have that

license, they can hope that space operators can come forward and launch from the newquay spaceport. how does this work to ensure safety? if you visit cape kennedy in florida, it is a huge site. if you're watching the rockets, it is from many miles away. that is the reality of the situation. newquay is a relatively small place. it is right next to the sea. have you got a big space around you, or are you using smaller rockets? it might sound a daft question, but i think it is one that might potentially worry people that live in the area. it is certainly not a daft question. it is certainly not a daft question. i think the way to think about this is the large stage of the rocket you talk about, that is called the first stage, and it contains a huge amount of energy. the first ignition of the

rocket is normally the place where the highest failure risk occurs. for the highest failure risk occurs. for the launch in cornwall, where you have a much, much smaller rocket underneath the wing of an aircraft, which has got great heritage, it means that it is a much lower risk from the take—off to the point where the rocket is then launched in the atlantic. ih the rocket is then launched in the atlantic. ., ., . the rocket is then launched in the atlantic. ., ., , , ., , atlantic. in other words, 'ust to be clear, atlantic. in other words, 'ust to be cear.l what — atlantic. in other words, 'ust to be ceanl what we * atlantic. in other words, 'ust to be clear, what we are i atlantic. in other words, just to be clear, what we are seeing - atlantic. in other words, just to be clear, what we are seeing is i atlantic. in other words, just to be clear, what we are seeing is a i atlantic. in other words, just to be | clear, what we are seeing is a plane taking off and then a rocket are being released from the plane? is that right? being released from the plane? is that riwht? ., . ., �* ., ., that right? correct. i don't want to make it sound _ that right? correct. i don't want to make it sound like _ that right? correct. i don't want to make it sound like it's _ that right? correct. i don't want to make it sound like it's not - make it sound like it's not interesting, because it's really exciting and a great moment. at what you would see at a uk airport, you would see a small commercial airliner taking off, with a small rocket flying under it when, coming back half an hour later without the rocket, hopefully, with the rocket depositing satellites in space. do

ou depositing satellites in space. do you have a timetable? you will have learned from nasa's experience, you don't put a date specifically in the diary, where you are confident you can launch on time? is diary, where you are confident you can launch on time?— can launch on time? is an independent _ can launch on time? is an independent regulator, i can launch on time? is an | independent regulator, we can launch on time? is an i independent regulator, we don't licence to a date, we licence for safety. as long as we can be satisfied, we can then issue the license. as you havejust satisfied, we can then issue the license. as you have just intimated, the vast majority of delays are due to operational reasons. these are very technical pieces of equipment. they are often bespoke. there are a lot of other issues such as weather and, in the case of spaceport cornwall, we have to integrate those operations with the operations of the airport. and the flight path for the airport. and the flight path for the rocket also goes past the countries of spain, portugal and france. there is an awful lot of work that goes into making this a safe launch for all airspace users,

as well as those on the ground at newquay. as well as those on the ground at new ua . ., as well as those on the ground at newaua . ., ~. ., as well as those on the ground at newaua . ., n ., ., as well as those on the ground at newaua . ., ~. ., ., ., as well as those on the ground at newwua. ., ~. ., ., ., newquay. colin mcleod, head of space reaulation newquay. colin mcleod, head of space regulation of — newquay. colin mcleod, head of space regulation of the _ newquay. colin mcleod, head of space regulation of the civil— newquay. colin mcleod, head of space regulation of the civil aviation - regulation of the civil aviation authority. a new role created. congratulations for that, and congratulations for the announcement today that you have given the go—ahead for rocket launchers to take place from what is known as newquay airport, but now also known as spaceport cornwall. thanks very much. now, onto more immediate matters, the imminent start of the football world cup in qatar. here is hugh. all 26 england players were able to take part in their first training session in qatar ahead of their opening game of the world cup against iran on monday. that includes kyle walker. with the manchester city defender onlyjust recovering from groin surgery but fit enough to play a part the session at england's training base in al wakrah.

james maddison, went back down to the changing room afterwards and had a missed call from gareth southgate. the heart starts beating. i had his number saved, still. when dad called him back, and he gave me the good news. like i said to you there, it was all a little bit of a blur. after the call finished, and he had told me i was in, it was a head on a wall moment, deep breath, then called my parents. with four days to go until the start of the tournament, new controversies have surfaced which have led to both an apology and a denial from the organisers. a danish tv crew were live on air when security staff arrived and then appeared to threaten them. the footage of rasmus tanthloldt

remonstrating with officials, who he goes on to claim want to break his camera, has gone viral. mr, you invited the whole world to come here, why can't you tell it like a wee film question not on a back look and feel with this permit, this is the upgrade pass, this is the accreditation. a statement from the supreme committee said the broadcasters were mistakenly interrupted... and they apologised once they saw the crew's valid accreditation and filming permit. meanwhile the supreme committee have also issued a statement denying fake fans have been recruited to welcome teams, including england, to qatar. as has been speculated in some media outlets. "we thoroughly reject these assertions, which are both disappointing and unsurprising. are realising the reality." are unlikely to go away when the football starts, fifa would very much hope that we will stop talking about these kind of things.

that is not going to happen, by the way. england tomorrow will invite migrant workers to train with them, as the usa did yesterday. england and wales will wear the one love armband in solidarity with lgbtq plus people. homosexuality is banned here and that is very much going to continue, i think. these quiet shows of defiance from players and fans throughout the tournament. if fifa think they are going to be quite, that is wishful thinking. former england defender gary cahill has retired at the age of 36. although he played for five teams in the premier league he was best known for his time at chelsea. cahill won eight major honours during seven years at stamford bridge, that included two premier league titles, two fa cups and the champions league. he also won 61 england caps and appeared at two world cups. he has been a free—agent since leaving bournemouth last season. novak djokovic says he's very happy to be able to play at the australian open after he confirmed the country's government had overturned his visa ban and granted him one for the tournament injanuary.

the 21—time grand slam champion was detained earlier this year over his refusal to be vaccinated against covid and deported shortly afterwards. the world number eight was reacting to the news after he beat russia's andrey rublev to reach his eleventh semifinal at the atp finals. the serbian tookjust over an hour to secure a straight sets victory in turin. dokovic is hoping for a record equalling sixth title at the season ending championships. ronnie o'sullivan is through to the quarter finals of the uk snooker championship after beating zhou yuelong of china six frames to nil. the whitewash included a break of 139, the highest break of the tournament so far. o'sullivan is attempting to win the uk title for the eighth time. it continues this afternoon with the other match taking place at the

barbican. the belgian is trailing tom ford of england by 3—2. it is first to six to make the quarterfinals in the second round stage of the uk snooker championships. you can follow that on multiple bbc outlets, including on multiple bbc outlets, including on the bbc sport website and app, and through the iplayer and red and red button as well. that is the live snooker. i imagine by now, you have had an opportunity to gather yourself. the excitement you had for an england training session. ihleed yourself. the excitement you had for an england training session.- an england training session. need to wet m an england training session. need to get my teeth — an england training session. need to get my teeth in- _ an england training session. need to get my teeth in. you _ an england training session. need to get my teeth in. you ferris. - an england training session. need to get my teeth in. you ferris. i- an england training session. need to get my teeth in. you ferris. i have . get my teeth in. you ferris. i have been enunciating, gargling with water, since speaking to you. the uk must be ready for russian aggression for years to come, the head of m15 has warned. ken mccallum was giving an annual update on the threats the uk faces at security service headquarters. let's listen to some of what he said. (sot next)

this year, a concerted campaign has seen a massive number of russian officials expelled from countries around the world, including more than 600 from europe, over 400 of whom wejudge our spies. this has struck the most significant strategic blow against the russian intelligence services in recent european history. together with coordinated waves of sanctions, the scale has taken putin by surprise. this year's expulsions follow the template set by the uk led international response to salisbury international response to salisbury in 2018. alongside the wave expulsions, the other part of that template is staying the course and preventing russian intelligence restocking. in the uk's case, since our removal of 23 russian spies posing as diplomats, we have refused on national security grounds over 100 russian diplomatic visa applications. we have continued to work intensively to make the uk the hardest possible operating environment or russian covert action

and we will need to keep at it. alongside assassination attempts, the russian covert toolkit include cyber attacks, disinformation, espionage, democratic interference and the use of pretty macrolide oligarchs and others as tools for influence. let's talk more about this with our security correspondent frank gardner. russia is the obvious potential threat because we had salisbury, recent enough for us all to remember, and for it to have made a huge impact on people. how significant a threat did he think russia remains for britain? i think ou've russia remains for britain? i think you've heard _ russia remains for britain? i think you've heard it — russia remains for britain? i think you've heard it there, _ russia remains for britain? i think you've heard it there, he - russia remains for britain? i think you've heard it there, he lists i russia remains for britain? i think you've heard it there, he lists the | you've heard it there, he lists the things that they have tried to do in this country, with varying degrees of success. assassination. don't forget that britain blames the kremlin for the assassination not of sergei skripal, which was a failed assassination attempt, but on alexander litvinenko, 15 years ago, roughly, using radioactive polonium

2010. interference with democracy, and so on. �* 2010. interference with democracy, andsoon.�* , and so on. and somebody died in salisbury? _ and so on. and somebody died in salisbury? it _ and so on. and somebody died in salisbury? it was _ and so on. and somebody died in salisbury? it was not _ and so on. and somebody died in salisbury? it was not the - and so on. and somebody died in salisbury? it was not the target l and so on. and somebody died in| salisbury? it was not the target of the assassination, but there were consequences for british people. dawn stu rgess consequences for british people. dawn sturgess picked up what looked like a perfume bottle, it was a perfume bottle. unfortunately, it was full of poisonous nerve agent, novichok, she died because of that. it was a chemical attack, it was classed as that. i think the russians were surprised, both at how quickly m15 and the police were able to trace who are done that, but also at the strength of the expulsions. as he mentioned there, britain expeued as he mentioned there, britain expelled 23 so—called russian diplomats who, of course, where actually spies. that was followed by about 120 others around the world. so, that really undermined the russian spy network in this country. it's hard to say exactly how many they've got left, probably m15 don't know the exact number. but they are

trying to make this country what they call a hard target, as difficult a target to spy on as possible. but they say russia is not giving up, and you only have to look at some of the antipathy in the russian media towards britain to show how low relations between moscow and britain.— show how low relations between moscow and britain. another country where relations _ moscow and britain. another country where relations are _ moscow and britain. another country where relations are difficult - moscow and britain. another country where relations are difficult is i where relations are difficult is iran, there are long—standing reasons. very specifically, we have this situation just a few days ago, being summoned to the foreign office to be rebuked for what was effectively an accusation that people were targeting, iranians were targeting journalists, many of them reinier extraction, threatening them, and really putting them under intense pressure to try to influence their reporting on the protests we have seen in iran.— their reporting on the protests we have seen in iran. kevin mccallum, the director-general— have seen in iran. kevin mccallum, the director-general of— have seen in iran. kevin mccallum, the director-general of m15, i have seen in iran. kevin mccallum, the director-general of m15, he i have seen in iran. kevin mccallum, | the director-general of m15, he was the director—general of m15, he was explicit about this. he said there had been ten cases in recent months in this country where the regime have attempted to kill or kidnap...

ten cases!? have attempted to kill or kidnap... ten cases! ? kill]! have attempted to kill or kidnap... ten cases”— ten cases!? kill or kidnap iranian journalists- _ ten cases!? kill or kidnap iranian journalists. this _ ten cases!? kill or kidnap iranian journalists. this is _ ten cases!? kill or kidnap iranian journalists. this is pretty - ten cases!? kill or kidnap iranian| journalists. this is pretty serious. there have been cases and he did not mention this, but it has come out in the press about hostile covert surveillance of the homes and workplaces where they work. and this is pretty serious. if any of them get abducted, then the government view here is that they would be put on trial and executed back in iran. what the irg sea, the iranian revolutionary guards corps, what they are trying to do is trying to silence the opposition forces and blame the west for these riots, well, not riots, protests... saying it was stated _ well, not riots, protests... saying it was stated by _ well, not riots, protests... saying it was stated by western - well, not riots, protests... saying i it was stated by western influences? it is all provocateurs, it is not a social problem, it is the west doing this. ignoring the fact that these were spontaneous protests after the

death of the 22—year—old kurdish iranian woman who was allegedly beaten to death in an iranian police station for not wearing her hijab properly. station for not wearing her hi'ab ro erl . .. station for not wearing her hi'ab ”roerl . ., ,., , . station for not wearing her hi'ab n-roerl. ., , . , properly. that statistic, ten cases, a lot of people _ properly. that statistic, ten cases, a lot of people will _ properly. that statistic, ten cases, a lot of people will be _ properly. that statistic, ten cases, a lot of people will be genuinely i a lot of people will be genuinely shocked by that. in the days of the cold war, when there are quite a number of russians and other allied nations, we know that people were killed, we know that people were targeted. but those numbers sound a lot, somehow, in one year? i targeted. but those numbers sound a lot, somehow, in one year?— lot, somehow, in one year? i don't know if it is — lot, somehow, in one year? i don't know if it is all _ lot, somehow, in one year? i don't know if it is all entirely _ lot, somehow, in one year? i don't know if it is all entirely within i know if it is all entirely within one year, but nevertheless, i think sometimes the authorities in this country have been a little late to wake up to things. for a long time, they underestimated the threat, and this was 20 years ago, finsbury park mosque, which was taken over, there were nice people running up mosques, moderates, they got taken over by apple ham is, the hook handed cleric, with his hardline people. ——

by abu hamza. they found pistols, forged documents, things that don't deserve to be in a place of worship. although he was not letting overt acts of terrorism himself, he was encouraging others to do it, such as the shoe bomber. there were some very dangerous people operating in this country, espousing unpleasant extremist views. and the view of the government, of the cleric, —— the police service, they would say, they have not broken any laws here. people would say, how are you allowing people to do this, they are encouraging acts of terrorism in our country, this is dangerous. band encouraging acts of terrorism in our country, this is dangerous. and some chickens came _ country, this is dangerous. and some chickens came home _ country, this is dangerous. and some chickens came home to _ country, this is dangerous. and some chickens came home to rest. -

dominic raab has said he has asked for an investigation into his behaviour. he has rejected the allegations, saying he has never tolerated bullying. number 10 says an independent investigator will be appointed to establish the facts, although that post has been vacant for some months. thejustice secretary has asked for an investigation. this one, though, is rather unconventional, he has asked for an independent probe into his own conduct, following allegations in the media that he bullied staff. asked about these allegation, this was the prime minister's line. i don't recognise the characterisation of dominic's behaviour, personally, and i was not aware and am not aware of any formal complaints about that. today, all that changed. in a letter to the prime minister, dominic raab said i have been notified two separate complaints

have been formally made against him from my time as foreign secretary and justice secretary, i am writing to request that you commission an independent investigation as soon as possible. he goes on to say he has never tolerated bullying, but he was subjected to some robust questioning when he stood in at pmqs. this morning the deputy prime minister finally acknowledged formal complains about his misconduct buzz his letter contains no hint of admission or apology, this is anti bullying week. will he apologise? she asked about the complaint, i received notification this morning, i immediately asked the prime minister to set up an independent inquiry into them, i am confident i behaved professionally throughout but of course i will engage thoroughly and look forward mr speaker, may i say, look forward to transparently addressing any claims made. the person who would have looked into any allegations resigned as ethics adviser injune, the government hasn't replaced him

which has led civil service unions to question how an investigation would be conducted. if a civil servant wanted to challenge the most senior official in the department, their permanent secretary, there a clear procedure that lays out what is bullying, what is not. how will it be conducted? how can they challenge that if they were unhappy? there is none of that when it comes to ministers, all we have is vague wording in the ministerial code and everything is essentially up to the prime minister to decide ona whim. i have been told of concerns that some civil servants have about dominic raab's conduct but i don't i have any details of the formal complaints, but the danger for downing street is that the focus shifts away from thejustice secretary and on to the prime minister's ownjudgment. iain watson, bbc news, westminster.

some supermarkets have restricted the number of eggs that customers can buy, at asda you can only buy two boxes of eggs at any one time. i think, but i stand to be corrected. uk poultry farmers are battling with an outbreak of avian flu, which has led to millions of views 999 egg producers have been facing soaring costs. we all know about rising energy bills, rising feed bills for producers and the british free range producers association says that many of their members are losing money. some arejust leaving the industry altogether or pausing production, they claim they are not being paid enough. we have had avian

flu in the uk, it's been kicking around for a few years. i think you've also got some producers who have just paused, waiting for that to pass, because you can lose a whole flock overnight. and then we have had this uptick in avian flu, which is such a severe outbreak. it has caused havoc and make the situation worse. i am told about the loss of 700,000 hens since the start of october. that has exacerbated the situation and supply is tight. the world cup kicks off in qatar this weekend, with attention focussed on the country's human rights record. qatari society has a strict interpretation of islamic law — and an ancient tribal system. our religion editor aleem maqbool has been looking at what that means — in particular — for women there and the gay community. qatar wants to show off its fun—loving side ahead of the world cup,

its modernity and its hospitality. this little country, with huge oil and gas reserves, was economically catapulted into the future. but underneath its bedrock remains cultural and religious traditionalism. it's difficult to speak to people freely without permission from the authorities. but these students in doha's education city talked of their excitement. it's definitely a marking of history for the arabs, and we're all very proud, especially as a qatari, i'm very proud that my country is hosting such a big event. qatar has repeatedly said that it will be welcoming of all people, of all races, of all sexual orientations. and i think that a lot of the people here in qatar know that this is a great opportunity for qatar, who have seemingly been in the shadows for a really long time. but there are, of course, qataris who remain in the shadows.

i would like my existence not to be illegal in this country. worry about being killed. aziz is gay in a country where homosexuality is against the law. he couldn't meet in person and needed his face and voice disguised on a video call. the law's on your side when you're outside of qatar, if somebody attacks you, you'd go to the police station, you would be protected. whereas here, if something happens to me, i'll get blamed. zainab now lives here in the uk, but even then she's also worried about revealing her identity because of possible repercussions for family back in qatar. she, like aziz, says she thought about suicide. for her, it was the so called guardianship rules for women that had an impact. for every single major life decision you required explicit written permission from a male guardian. and if you don't get that permission, you cannot take that life decision, whether it's enrolling at university

and studying abroad, travelling, getting married or even getting divorced. zainab says she feels many qataris look at women's rights somehow being a western idea that clashes with islamic values. within decades, energy reserves turned qatar's population from among the poorest in the world to the richest. for all the technological advancements, society is based on a traditional tribal system, one that remains religiously very conservative. some of those negatively affected by the current laws told us they worried a successful world cup could make it even less likely that qatari society will change. aleem maqbool, bbc news. mexicans

are mourning the death of a labrador named frida — who became a national icon after rescuing people after an earthquake in 2017. this is frida, when she was getting dressed up in her protective goggles and boots. during her military career, frida was credited with finding at least 41 bodies and a dozen people alive. the mexican navy said she died of old age. now it's time for a look at the weather with tomasz. you know, it's been so wet so far this november. parts of southeastern england, for example, have already exceeded their monthly rainfall and there's more to come. on top of that, some strong winds in the next few days. and certainly through today and tonight there'll be some very strong winds around in places. now, this is the jet stream. it's generally to the south of us. notice this weather system here will stall across the uk over the next three days or so. what does that mean? that means that northern and northeastern parts of the country will have most of the rainfall. here's the rainfall accumulation over the next few days. obviously, many of us

catching rainfall. not that much rainfall actually in western parts of northern ireland, but here from eastern scotland into the north east of england and into yorkshire, potentially around 80 millimeters of rain. so here's the weather map for today. that low pressure approaching the south, the one that's going to stall over us in the next few days. so initially it does bring rain to southern parts of the uk through the afternoon, very windy with showers in the north east of scotland and then elsewhere today it's a mixture of sunny spells and occasional showers. so, gates in the northern isles. later gales also expected through the english channel and very blustery along the channel coast. and look at all of that rain spreading across the country during the course of the night with this area of low pressure. so it parks itself around about here with heavy rain from northern england through the midlands into the southeast. this is early on thursday morning and this is pretty much where it's going to stay for the next few days.

in fact, it's there through the middle of thursday. and again, that heavy rain affecting eastern scotland, the north of england. not too bad, i think tomorrow on thursday, southern wales and along the channel coast. now this is friday. the low pressure is still here. it's still pushing in moisture, cloud, rain clouds into eastern areas through the course of the day. so that's why we'll get most of the rainfall through the rest of the week, the further north east you are, whereas in the southwest it's actually going to be better in places like plymouth. and then at the weekend, again, a bit of a mixed bag. i suspect southern areas on saturday may not be too bad.

this is bbc news, i'm shaun ley. the headlines at four... uk inflation hits 11.1%, the highest for 41 years, as food prices and energy bills drive up the cost of living. i want to make sure we faced down inflation and we do it as quickly as possible. nato says the missile that killed two people in poland was probably fired by ukrainian air defences. after the death of two—year—old awaab ishakfrom exposure to mould in his rochdale home, the housing secretary says new legislation will name and shame failing landlords. the deputy prime minister asks

for an independent investigation after two formal complaints have been made against him about his behaviour. members of the rmt union have voted to extend the mandate on industrial action for another six months. good afternoon and welcome to bbc news. prices are rising at their fastest rate for more than 40 years with the soaring cost of energy and food largely responsible. the inflation rate hasjumped to 11.1% in the year to october, that's up from 10.1% the previous month. it puts more pressure on the chancellor ahead of his autumn statement tomorrow in which he's expected to announce

tax rises and spending cuts. here's our economics correspondent andy verity. at this environmentally—friendly brewery and pub in stroud in gloucestershire, the raw ingredients aren't getting any cheaper. it wasn't long ago when the value of the pound really dropped, and overnight the prices went up 10%, 12%. devaluation of the pound in the past year means businesses have to pay more in pounds to buy goods priced in dollars or euros, from hops to oil and gas. how much do you pay for a bag of these? it varies anywhere between sort of £15—£4o a kilo. the biggest rise is power — electricity has doubled over the last year, gas has gone up by at least half. our raw materials, so malt and hops, cans, labels, they have gone up between 10—15%. global inflationary pressure is now coming home in higher wage costs, as employers pay more to compete for an unexpectedly small pool

of available workers. labour, we're a living wage employer, lowest wages have gone up by 10%. for us that's at least 40, 50, £60,000 a year additional costs, which means we have to sell somewhere between £150,000, £200,000 worth more beer to cover the additional wages cost. but some global inflationary pressures have recently been easing. shipping goods like beer across the world now cost less across the world now costs less than a third of what it did in 2021. that is one reason the bank of england expects double digit inflation to drop back to single digits in the spring. for now, though, it's all about those price shocks. milk, butter, dairy foods, bread. filling up the car. strangely, fruit teas. until recently, most of the inflationary pressure was global. the price of food,

the price of fuel — worried about is that that inflation is becoming embedded domestically in the price of services, in the price of services like a restaurant meal. on imported russian gas. what's people's number one anxiety is the rising cost of things, that is what is eating into people's living standards. the chancellor rightly described it as insidious. it makes people poorer, that is what inflation does and it is the enemy we need to face down. we know that the tories have crashed the economy, and then to make matters worse, families will be incredibly worried about rising inflation that we've seen announced today. it is already a really worrying time. labour's plan will be to get the economy growing and we will be making different choices

in the statement that's coming up in parliament. to stop inflation bedding down in the domestic economy, interest rates were expected after the mini budget to have to rise to 6%. now they are expected to peak in the spring at 4.5%, much higher than a year ago, but lower than many economists feared. andy verity, bbc news, stroud. the governor of the bank of england, andrew bailey, has been speaking to mps at the treasury select committee this afternoon and he identified three key areas which have caused inflation to rise. obviously two—and—a—half years ago now the economy was hit by a huge shockin now the economy was hit by a huge shock in terms of the pandemic and i think it was obviously necessary and appropriate that ministry policy responded to that. —— monetary policy. what we have since then i think is a series of supply shocks in the uk economy, which have reduced the, particularly when you look at the labour force, reduced the supply capacity of the uk economy, relative to demand. and to

put those shocks in chronological order, there was what we tend to call a supply chain shock in the recovery from covid, that is a global shock, recovery from covid, that is a globalshock, because recovery from covid, that is a global shock, because it reflected goods and services demand and stretched supply chains, particularly involving china. and then just to add to that, i think we are now seeing the evidence that that shock is coming off. the next shot i would highlight in many ways is the big one, which is russia — ukraine, which has had a very big impact in two areas, i would say, energy and food. and the third one is a domestic shop, which is the tightness of the uk labour market, and the fact that the uk labour force has reduced in size relative to the pre—covid number, and i think i am right in saying, our colleague jonathan haskell made a speech where he covered this i think last week,

and had a very interesting chart which shows that the uk is the only oecd country which is showing this pattern of labourforce shop. but mr bailey also told mps that the bank expected to see interest rates fall dramatically next year, after this winter. once we get through this winter, because of the way the gas price effects are going to work through this winter, there should be quite a pronounced fall in inflation thereafter, and ourforecast brings it back to target and actually takes it back to target and actually takes it below target, actually to zero. joining us now is sabine goodwin, a coordinator at the independent food aid network. sabine, you obviously do a lot of work with food banks, and those who are advocating to try to ensure greater help for those who become dependent on those kinds of

resources. although we talk about a headline figure of 11%, food price inflation actually hit 16% in the year to october, and as we were saying earlier today, the impact on those on lower incomes because they spend a greater proportion of their income on foods, is considerably more significant than it is for other people?— more significant than it is for other people? more significant than it is for other eole? , ., ., other people? exactly, thanks for havin: other people? exactly, thanks for having me. _ other people? exactly, thanks for having me. it's — other people? exactly, thanks for having me, it's devastating i other people? exactly, thanks for having me, it's devastating for i having me, it's devastating for people to be hearing this and to be affected by this, but it's really important to remember that there was a food insecurity crisis, a significant poverty crisis, before the pandemic, in dwt data, government data, we know that 43% of households on universal credit where food insecure in the year up to the pandemic, and what we are seeing four people on low incomes is a pre—existing poverty crisis deepening and getting worse and worse every day. we are also seeing food bank teens are struggling to cope. they are actually running out

of options at this point. many of our food of options at this point. many of ourfood banks are having of options at this point. many of our food banks are having to of options at this point. many of ourfood banks are having to reduce the size of their food parcels because they don't have the food or financial donations to support people in the way that they have donein people in the way that they have done in the past. and what we are seeing is proof that this is a situation that is unsustainable, that charitable food aid provision is an unsustainable respect response to growing poverty, we must see the government take steps to ensure that people have adequate incomes, first and foremost at the very least social security payments must rise in line with september's rate of inflation in tomorrow's autumn statement. inflation in tomorrow's autumn statement-— inflation in tomorrow's autumn statement. ., ., ., . statement. that would not close the i a . statement. that would not close the aa- but it statement. that would not close the gap but it would _ statement. that would not close the gap but it would significantly - gap but it would significantly reduce some of the impacts, presumably. you must have been lobbying on this quite hard, on behalf of your members and the local organisations, goodness me, mps will know food banks in their constituency, they will be getting this information directly, do you believe that message is getting through to government? i

believe that message is getting through to government?- believe that message is getting through to government? i hope so. we will have to see — through to government? i hope so. we will have to see what _ through to government? i hope so. we will have to see what happens - will have to see what happens tomorrow. as you say, it's the very least that they can do to put up benefit payments in line with inflation, there needs to be a complete rethink of how the social security system works in our country. we need to have social security payments and indeed wages and job security that maps the rising cost of, we cannot be relying on volunteers and food aid charities to keep filling this gap. what we are hearing again and again is that volunteers are exhausted and overstretched.— volunteers are exhausted and overstretched. you also made a owerful overstretched. you also made a powerful point _ overstretched. you also made a powerful point in _ overstretched. you also made a powerful point in your _ overstretched. you also made a powerful point in your previous | powerful point in your previous answer, you are making the point that the nations have fallen. you can put money in people's pockets and give them the autonomy to buy the food and to choose what they want to have for their families and make those choices and engage in the wake lots of us take for granted,

but you can't do that if a food bank doesn't have the food, the option of saying, there are charities who will help, actually that option will disappear?— help, actually that option will disa ear? , , , disappear? exactly. this is the oint at disappear? exactly. this is the point at which _ disappear? exactly. this is the point at which there _ disappear? exactly. this is the point at which there is - disappear? exactly. this is the point at which there is no... i disappear? exactly. this is the l point at which there is no... we disappear? exactly. this is the i point at which there is no... we are reaching the end of the road with this conversation about weather it should be donors or food this conversation about weather it should be donors orfood banks or social security system, this is it, we need to have a social security system that is fit for purpose and we need to engage with this problem and not keep ignoring it because it is getting worse and worse and actually food banks are not the answer and it is now been proved to be the case that they are not the answer to this problem. i appreciate ou answer to this problem. i appreciate you haven't — answer to this problem. i appreciate you haven't been _ answer to this problem. i appreciate you haven't been able _ answer to this problem. i appreciate you haven't been able to _ answer to this problem. i appreciate you haven't been able to listen i answer to this problem. i appreciate you haven't been able to listen to i you haven't been able to listen to everything the governor of the bank of england has been saying, but he seems to think there are causes for hope that the inflation rate is going to significantly drop back this year, in a sense it may be that almost what we need is something that binds us time, in other words as you say some kind of help from government that gets people over

that hump until things settle down again? that hump until things settle down awain? .. that hump until things settle down awain? . ., , again? yeah, we need that help, tarweted again? yeah, we need that help, targeted cash — again? yeah, we need that help, targeted cash first _ again? yeah, we need that help, targeted cash first to _ again? yeah, we need that help, targeted cash first to support i again? yeah, we need that help, | targeted cash first to support over the winter, certainly. but as i said before, there was a poverty crisis in this country way before the pandemic so if you have got 43% of m households on universal credit with severe or moderate households on universal credit with there or moderate households on universal credit with there is r moderate households on universal credit with there isr problem, and households on universal credit knowh there isr problem, and households on universal credit know thatzre isr problem, and households on universal credit know that a a is r problem, and households on universal credit know that a a is rfirstylem, and we know that a cash first intervention, and raising universal payments works, because in year iii year subsequent to that data i the year subsequent to that data i have just referred to, there was a 16% drop in food insecurity when the uplift was brought in. so we need to see social security payments increased beyond the rate of inflation and a proper look at household and how the security system, the social security system, works in the future.— system, the social security system, works in the future. sabine goodwin, on behalf of — works in the future. sabine goodwin, on behalf of charitable _ works in the future. sabine goodwin, on behalf of charitable food - works in the future. sabine goodwin, on behalf of charitable food aid i on behalf of charitable food aid providers across the uk, including i think over 500 independent food banks, thank you very much for being with us. nato now says the missile that

killed two people yesterday in eastern poland was probably fired by ukrainian air defences, rather than russia. that hit the village of przewodow in the east of poland near the border with ukraine. our correspondent dan johnson has this report. it looks like this is where the war in ukraine spilled over on to polish turf and claimed polish lives. two civilians were killed here in the explosion he said one of those killed was a farmer, the other worked in the village shop.

there is now a huge investigation involving polish military experts to be an unfortunate accident and not an intentional and we have no indication that russia is preparing offensive military actions against nato. more military teams are coming in to join the investigation which is taking place at the farm just a few hundred metres up that road. this is as close as we're allowed to get but we're very near to the ukrainian border here just about ten miles away and people living in this area had been concerned they would feel russia attacked cities

across ukraine yesterday, including lviv, just 40 miles from the polish border. the russians say it wasn't their missile that crossed into poland. ukraine does have russian—made weapons as part of its air defences, but ukraine's president was clear who he believes is responsible. of neighbouring poland yesterday, there must be a quick reaction. this attack is a message from russia to the g20 summit, so when i say it's really the g19, i'm not wrong, because russia is a terrorist state and we are defending ourselves against it. us presidentjoe biden who himself visited poland earlier this year questioned that. it's unlikely in the minds of the trajectory that it was fired from russia but we'll see. so, political leaders in poland and other countries are urging calm responses and careful next steps as the full details are confirmed. nato is strengthening air defences across eastern europe as well as ukraine because it's clear now to people here

and elsewhere, as long as this conflict continues, there is a risk even indirectly of others being caught up in it. danjohnson, bbc news in eastern poland. earlier i spoke to the mep rodoslaw sikorski, who was poland's minister of foreign affairs between 2007 and 2014. he told me that even though it wasn't russia that fired the missile, poland is still very concerned by russian action in ukraine. we grieve for our compatriots, and we are still very concerned, because, yes, doesn't look like a deliberate russian provocation to escalate this war, so hopefully, this is a one—off incident, but the russians have been missing their targets all along, and they are now rocketing and bombing western ukraine, which, as your report mentioned, is very close to the polish border, so we can't eliminate

the risk of such actions before. in future. and remember, the main story is this huge russian attack on ukrainian cities. they really are terrorising the civilian population, and that's a war crime. so, even if and that's a war crime. so, even if a ukrainian weapon misfired, the responsibility for this is borne by the aggressor. responsibility for this is borne by the aggressor-— responsibility for this is borne by the aggressor. responsibility for this is borne by the an wressor. . ., ., . ., . ., the aggressor. what does poland do to rotect the aggressor. what does poland do to protect itself, _ the aggressor. what does poland do to protect itself, given _ the aggressor. what does poland do to protect itself, given that - the aggressor. what does poland do to protect itself, given that there i to protect itself, given that there is a war happening so close to its territory? is a war happening so close to its territo ? ~ , ., ., territory? well, i understand from the military _ territory? well, i understand from the military that _ territory? well, i understand from the military that no _ territory? well, i understand from the military that no country i territory? well, i understand from the military that no country can i the military that no country can protect all of its territory all the time. but south—eastern poland is more exposed than the great majority of nato territory. d0 more exposed than the great ma'ority of nato territory.i of nato territory. do you not have air cover. — of nato territory. do you not have air cover. do _ of nato territory. do you not have air cover, do you _ of nato territory. do you not have air cover, do you not _ of nato territory. do you not have air cover, do you not have - of nato territory. do you not have i air cover, do you not have defensive systems to monitor the risk of...? clearly not enough, we would be very pleased if our allies rallied round,

because there is a major logistical hub not far, and it must have crossed the minds of the russians that that would be a good target for them, and it needs to be protected, it is a major polish city with an airfield. so, we need to beef up nato's anti—aircraft and anti—missile defences on the frontline of this conflict. anti-missile defences on the frontline of this conflict. does that mean _ frontline of this conflict. does that mean perhaps _ frontline of this conflict. does that mean perhaps revisiting l frontline of this conflict. does that mean perhaps revisiting this request, in yourjudgment, that was made by president zelensky right at the start of the invasion, where he said, we need so somebody to close the skies, we need air defences because we are vulnerable otherwise to missile attacks, missile attacks which were pretty extensive yesterday? irate which were pretty extensive yesterday?— which were pretty extensive esterda 7. , ., , ,, ., ., , yesterday? we should help ukrainians close the space _ yesterday? we should help ukrainians close the space over— yesterday? we should help ukrainians close the space over the _ yesterday? we should help ukrainians close the space over the country i close the space over the country themselves. we have made 29s in nato, we have capable anti—aircraft systems, the ukrainians have proven learning quickly and even finding

ways of using our weapons, that are creative and extremely effective. we should continue the policy of helping ukrainians to do what they need to do anyway. and at six here on the bbc news you can see a special programme on the war in ukraine including an interview with nato secretary general. stay with us for that. a toddler who died from a respiratory condition caused by mould in his flat deserved better according to the housing secretary michael gove. speaking in the commons this afternoon he said it's "scarcely believable" a child could die in those conditions in 21st—century britain. and he accused the landlord of a terrible dereliction of duty. let's hear what he had to say. one of the principal roles of the housing ombudsman service is too sure that a robust plate process is put in place so that problems are resolved as soon as they are flagged. it can order landlords to pay compensation to residents and

you can also refer cases to the regulator of social housing who in future will be able to issue unlimited fines to landlords who they find out. all decisions made by they find out. all decisions made by the ombudsman are also published for the ombudsman are also published for the whole world to see which landlords are consistently letting tenants down. and it is clear from the case of sapp awaab, which sadly did not go before the ombudsman, that more needs to be done to ensure that more needs to be done to ensure that this vital service is best promoted and that it reaches those really need it. we have already run the nationwide make things right campaign to ensure that more social housing residents are aware of how to make complaints, but we are now also planning another, targeted, multi—year campaign so that everyone living in the social housing sector knows their rights, knows how to sound the alarm when their landlord is failing to make the grade and knows how to seek redress without delay. where some providers have performed poorly in the past, they have now been given ample opportunity to change their ways to start treating residents with the respect they deserve. the time for

empty promises is over and my department will now name and shame those who have been found by the rig later to have breached consumer standards or who have been found by the ombudsman to have committed severe maladministration. thejustice secretary, dominic raab, says he has asked for an independent investigation into two formal complaints that have been made about his behaviour. mr raab, who's also deputy prime minister, says one complaint relates to his period as foreign secretary and another to his previous time as justice secretary. he's rejected the allegations, saying he's never tolerated bullying. no 10 said an independent investigator will be appointed to establish the facts. our political correspondent iain watson reports. thejustice secretary has asked for an investigation. this one, though, is rather

unconventional, he has asked for an independent probe into his own conduct, following allegations in the media that he bullied staff. asked about these allegations, this was the prime minister's line. i don't recognise the characterisation of dominic's behaviour, personally, and i was not aware and am not aware of any formal complaints about that. today, all that changed. in a letter to the prime minister, dominic raab said i have been notified that two separate complaints have been formally made against him... he goes on to say he has never tolerated bullying, but he was subjected to some robust questioning when he stood in at pmqs. this morning the deputy prime minister finally acknowledged formal complaints about his misconduct but his letter contains no hint of admission or apology, this is anti bullying week.

will he apologise? she asked about the complaint, i received notification this she asked about the complaints, i received notification this morning, i immediately asked the prime minister to set up an independent inquiry into them, i am confident i behaved professionally throughout but of course i will engage thoroughly and look forward mr speaker, may i say, look forward to transparently addressing any claims made. the person who would have looked into any allegations resigned as ethics adviser injune, the government hasn't replaced him which has led civil service unions to question how an investigation would be conducted. if a civil servant wanted to challenge the most senior official in the department, their permanent secretary, there a clear procedure that lays out what is bullying, what is not. how will it be conducted. how can they challenge that if they were unhappy? there is none of that when it comes to ministers, all we have is vague wording in the ministerial code and everything is essentially up to the prime minister to decide

ona whim. i have been told of concerns that some civil servants have about dominic raab's conduct but i don't i have any details of the formal complaints, but the danger for downing street is that the focus shifts away from thejustice secretary and on to the prime minister's ownjudgment. iain watson, bbc news, westminster. members of the rmt union working at network rail and 14 train companies have voted to continue striking in their long—running dispute over pay, jobs and conditions. the union said a fresh ballot of its members showed overwhelming support to carry on with industrial action. rail operators said passengers would be dismayed by this outcome and that more strikes would be counterproductive. earlier i spoke to our transport correspondent katy austin. she said there could be more strikes for another six months unless a deal is reached. well, this, what has happened, is the result of a re—ballot of members

of the rmt, that is because they were initially balloted for strike action earlier this year, the result was announced in may and after six months they then had to seek a fresh mandate, basically. and what has happened is that these members who work at network rail and for 14 train companies, apparently 70% of those eligible to vote did so, and of those who voted, 91% voted in favour of continuing strikes. so, that does mean that there could be more strikes for another six months, unless of course a deal is reached to end this dispute. today, the rmt's to end this dispute. today, the rmt�*s general secretary mick lynch said the union was determined to continue with its campaign until the employers understood, he said, they needed to respond to the aspirations of members onjob needed to respond to the aspirations of members on job security, pay and conditions. the rail delivery group which represents the train companies said that it does recognise the strength of feeling among its staff and it called on the rmt to keep on negotiating to try and reach agreement over the reforms that the industry you are necessary to be able to afford a pay rise.-

industry you are necessary to be able to afford a pay rise. there is something _ able to afford a pay rise. there is something here _ able to afford a pay rise. there is something here about _ able to afford a pay rise. there is something here about the i able to afford a pay rise. there is l something here about the rhetoric, because it got very belligerent on both sides at one point, the rail operators are saying it is irrational to ask for this, we can't promise anything until we get the reform, the unions saying, we can't give you open ended support for reform when we don't know what the implications will be, now it sounds like they are both trying at least in their language to be a bit more collaborative and we had this push from anne—marie trevelyan who was very briefly in the liz truss government transport secretary who actually sat down and met the rmt general secretary that there is a feeling that the mood music has changed, notwithstanding the fact that the threat remains?— that the threat remains? yeah, i think there _ that the threat remains? yeah, i think there are _ that the threat remains? yeah, i think there are two _ that the threat remains? yeah, i think there are two parts - that the threat remains? yeah, i think there are two parts to i that the threat remains? yeah, i | think there are two parts to that. politically, the rhetoric has certainly changed since may, june, june, when we first saw these strikes and then we had grant shapps who was transport secretary, it is fair to say his tone was you might say a bit more aggressive towards the unions, we have since had two

other transport secretaries, anne—marie trevelyan was the one to say, actually i am going to meet with the union leaders and at least to appear more conciliatory. mark harper, i understand, to appear more conciliatory. mark harper, iunderstand, he to appear more conciliatory. mark harper, i understand, he is the newer transport secretary, the current one... newer transport secretary, the current one. . ._ newer transport secretary, the current one... forest of dean. i don't current one. .. forest of dean. i don't think— current one... forest of dean. i don't think there _ current one... forest of dean. i don't think there are _ current one... forest of dean. i don't think there are many i current one... forest of dean. i i don't think there are many railway stations in the forest of dean, but... ., , stations in the forest of dean, but... ., . ., , stations in the forest of dean, but... ., , ., but... of the top of my head, i don't know- — but... of the top of my head, i don't know. good _ but... of the top of my head, i don't know. good question i but... of the top of my head, i don't know. good question to l but... of the top of my head, i i don't know. good question to ask him when ou don't know. good question to ask him when you meet _ don't know. good question to ask him when you meet him. _ don't know. good question to ask him when you meet him. it _ don't know. good question to ask him when you meet him. it would - don't know. good question to ask him when you meet him. it would be. i don't know. good question to ask him when you meet him. it would be. hel when you meet him. it would be. he has said that — when you meet him. it would be. he has said that he _ when you meet him. it would be. he has said that he is _ when you meet him. it would be. he has said that he is also _ when you meet him. it would be. he has said that he is also intending i has said that he is also intending to invite the members of the unions for talks, so there has been a bit of a change in the air politically, however there has not been anything from the government to say they would change their substantial position. and then earlier this month, there were due to be three more days of strike action by the rmt, they were called off at the 11th hour to enable a period of what the rmt said would be intensive talks. now, those talks have got underway, they are continuing... 50. underway, they are continuing... so, they haven't — underway, they are continuing... so, they haven't ended. this _

underway, they are continuing... so, they haven't ended. this ballot i they haven't ended. this ballot result is unconnected - they haven't ended. this ballot result is unconnected to i they haven't ended. this ballot result is unconnected to those | result is unconnected to those talks, which continue. everybody involved has said they want to carry on talking to try and reach an agreement through negotiations if they can. agreement through negotiations if the can. �* agreement through negotiations if the can. . ., ., they can. and no indication, briefl , they can. and no indication, briefly. that _ they can. and no indication, briefly, that the _ they can. and no indication, briefly, that the rmt - they can. and no indication, briefly, that the rmt is i they can. and no indication, l briefly, that the rmt is about they can. and no indication, i briefly, that the rmt is about to announce new strike dates, they say, we have the mandate but they have not issued new dates yet? idat we have the mandate but they have not issued new dates yet?— we have the mandate but they have not issued new dates yet? not at the moment none _ not issued new dates yet? not at the moment none because _ not issued new dates yet? not at the moment none because everyone i not issued new dates yet? not at the moment none because everyone is i moment none because everyone is worrying about christmas. christmas is something that everyone has mentioned today, the threat of disruption. there is one strike date already in the diary, but that is not by the rmt, that is by the drivers union aslef, which has its own dispute, that is for the 26th of november. �* . own dispute, that is for the 26th of november. . , ., own dispute, that is for the 26th of november. . , . ., november. and 'ust a reminder, that was ka november. andjust a reminder, that was katy austin. _ november. andjust a reminder, that was katy austin, the _ november. andjust a reminder, that was katy austin, the unions - november. andjust a reminder, that was katy austin, the unions are i was katy austin, the unions are required to give notice. they can't just call a strike for next week. time for the weather, with tomasz schafernaker. probably a weekend to sit in and watch the football rather than going and standing on terraces or playing yourself, if you have the

choice? ., �* ., , , . choice? you're absolutely right. we have had torrents _ choice? you're absolutely right. we have had torrents of _ choice? you're absolutely right. we have had torrents of rain _ choice? you're absolutely right. we have had torrents of rain through i have had torrents of rain through much of november, it has been so wet. but rainfall is not such a bad thing for some parts of the country, it is making up for that deficit that we had during the course of the summer. 50, yes, rainy days over the next so, yes, rainy days over the next couple of days is not necessarily a bad thing. it's been incredibly mild touch but this is what it looks like right now and tonight we will see an right now and tonightwewillrsee an of low pressure across area of low pressure across southern parts of uk is going to := 22 —= 55 a blast of wind 77 77 ablastofwind in 77 77 a bi with severe n g e— 7 a bi with severe nfiale a bi with severe galgs, afid a bi with severe gales, afid it "";l;;il;;w'..;” t w 7 also blowing pretty; 7 also blowing prettyfhard in the is also blowing pretty hard in the north—east and the northern isles, elsewhere, plenty of rain to come tonight. relatively mild in the south tonight. a little bit colder in western scotland where the sky is clear. tomorrow, a really wet day around eastern parts of the country as well as central areas. parts of

northern ireland and also south—western england and wales will probably have some decent sunshine. hello this is bbc news. uk inflation hits ii.i % — the highest for 41 years — as food prices and energy bills drive up the cost of living nato says the missile that killed two people in poland was probably fired by ukrainian air defences. after the death of two—year—old awaab ishak from exposure to mould in his rochdale home — the housing secretary says new legislation will 'name and shame' failing landlords. the deputy prime minister asks for an independent investigation after two formal complaints have been made against him about his behaviour. members of the rmt union have voted to extend the mandate on industrial action for another six months.

good afternoon. session in qatar ahead of their opening game of the world cup against iran on monday. that includes kyle walker, with the manchester city defender onlyjust recovering from groin surgery but fit enough to join the session at england's training base in al wakrah. james maddison was also there after coming off early during leicester's last premier league match, the day of the announcement, the

thursday, after training i wanted to go and see them, but i went back and had dinner at home in coventry with my mum, dad, my little boy and my partner. it's a moment that i will cherish forever. the actual phone call was a bit of a blur. i couldn't tell you what gareth said, to be fair. it was all very heart in mouth moments. but i wanted to see them and give my bum a big hug. it was a special day for all of us, and when i will definitely never forget. —— give my mum a big hug. 14 venues across the uk and ireland have been shortlisted for theirjoint bid to host the european championship in 2028. they include everton�*s yet to be built new stadium in bramley—moore dock, one of nine english venues and preferred to anfield. belfast�*s casement park is also on the list, with the gaelic sports venue in the process of being redevloped. there'll be ten stadia eventually submited to uefa in april. novak djokovic says he's very happy to be able to play at the australian open after he confirmed the country's government had overturned his visa ban and granted him one for the tournament injanuary. the 2i—time grand slam champion

was detained earlier this year over his refusal to be vaccinated against covid and deported shortly afterwards. the world number eight was reacting to the news after he beat russia's andrey rublev to reach his eleventh semi—final at the atp finals. the serbian tookjust over an hour to secure a straight sets victory in turin. dokovic is hoping for a record equalling sixth title at the season ending championships. england's alex hales has been reprimanded for a historic social media post that showed him wearing black makeup. the batter, who was part of the t20 world cup winning squad, had previously apologised for the photo, which was published last year. the cricket discipline commission decided the post amounted to 'racist and discriminatory conduct�*. meanwhile just four days after most of the team won that world cup, england are involved in the first of three one day internationals

but there have been wide—spread criticisms about the packed schedule. moeen ali called it horrible and sam billings says the fixture congestion could hamper player development. captainjos buttler admits it is not ideal, but he hopes england can use the momentum from their t20 success as they now look to continue preparations for next year's odi world cup in india. it's a fast turnaround, there is no point hiding away from it, it will be a challenge for us. obviously having had such a high a few days ago. at the same time, i can go into it and try to really enjoy the game, play with lots of freedom, not that we need any excuse to do that. once you get over the line, playing against australia, i am sure those competitive juices will get going. ronnie o'sullivan is through to the quarterfinals of the uk snooker championship after beating zhou yuelong of china 6 frames to nil. the whitewash included a break of 139, the highest break of the tournament so far. o'sullivan is attempting to win the uk title for the eighth time.

so, he has already departed, but there is another match on going. it includes the belgian, luca brussel, playing tom ford of england. as you can say, tom ford isjust one playing tom ford of england. as you can say, tom ford is just one frame away from getting to the six that he needs to get to the last eight of the uk snooker championship. more in the uk snooker championship. more in the next hour. sports scientists are highlighting the lack of football kits designed for women. they say the use of boots and balls created for male players could be putting female ones at higher risk of injury. it comes as the women's elite game grapples with problems of knee—ligament damage among many of its players. let's talk more about this to our health correspondent, philippa roxby.

this is a report in the journal sport engineering, and it includes england captain neil hilux? it is a u-rou england captain neil hilux? it is a a-rou of england captain neil hilux? it is a grow) of sports — england captain neil hilux? it is a group of sports scientists, - england captain neil hilux? it is a group of sports scientists, and . england captain neil hilux? it 3 — group of sports scientists, and they have pinpointed the fact that many football products are designed for men. they say very little attention is paid to the needs of women, and their body shape. they are highlighting bits of kit where more research is needed to help women. one of those as football books. there is a logic to it. a lot of injuries are leg and foot related, all the muscles that supply those. but the boot itself could be making the problem worse. is that because women's feet are differently constructed?— women's feet are differently constructed? ~ ., �* , ., women's feet are differently constructed? ~ ., �*, ., ., constructed? women's feet are a different shape, _ constructed? women's feet are a different shape, there _ constructed? women's feet are a different shape, there archers . constructed? women's feet are a l different shape, there archers tend to be lower and the template that many football boots are based on is

based on men's weights, the way that they move, and the studs at the bottom of football boots is all attraction, getting rep. the? bottom of football boots is all attraction, getting rep. they are ositioned attraction, getting rep. they are positioned for _ attraction, getting rep. they are positioned for that? _ attraction, getting rep. they are positioned for that? exactly. - positioned for that? exactly. researchers _ positioned for that? exactly. researchers are _ positioned for that? exactly. researchers are saying - positioned for that? exactly. researchers are saying that l positioned for that? exactly. i researchers are saying that we positioned for that? exactly. - researchers are saying that we need to look at what is required for women pub grip, and it is not necessarily the same thing. they think there could be a risk of football boots designed for men are causing twisting injuries. that is a concern. causing twisting in'uries. that is a concern. ., , , .,~ concern. that contributes to knee li . ament concern. that contributes to knee ligament injuries. _ concern. that contributes to knee ligament injuries. potentially. - concern. that contributes to knee | ligament injuries. potentially. are ligament in'uries. potentially. are the ligament injuries. potentially. are the extensive _ ligament injuries. potentially. are the extensive in _ ligament injuries. potentially. are the extensive in women's - ligament injuries. potentially. are | the extensive in women's football? one club doctor says he thinks the acl injuries are twice as common in women in elite football than men. 50 comparing like with like, players at the top of their game, playing competitively, playing professionally, and they are potentially getting injuries twice as much. presumably more research is needed? , , , ., needed? yes, boots could be one factor, needed? yes, boots could be one factor. there _ needed? yes, boots could be one factor, there are _ needed? yes, boots could be one factor, there are many _ needed? yes, boots could be one factor, there are many other- factor, there are many other factors. more research is needed into the women pub game. there is also talk about pictures, because

women, up until now, they are used to play on pitches that men have played on the day before, so they are not as flat and nice as they could be. potentially it is an injury risk. could be. potentially it is an injury risk-— could be. potentially it is an in'u risk. ., ., , ., _ injury risk. what do they mean by the balls not _ injury risk. what do they mean by the balls not been _ injury risk. what do they mean by the balls not been designed - injury risk. what do they mean by the balls not been designed for l the balls not been designed for women? i'm not making a joke here, but that is one that i am struggling to get my head around. this but that is one that i am struggling to get my head around.— to get my head around. this is all to get my head around. this is all to do with — to get my head around. this is all to do with the _ to get my head around. this is all to do with the concussion - to get my head around. this is all to do with the concussion risk - to get my head around. this is all. to do with the concussion risk from heading a ball. to do with the concussion risk from heading a ball-— heading a ball. thank you, that makes good — heading a ball. thank you, that makes good sense. _ heading a ball. thank you, that makes good sense. women's l heading a ball. thank you, that - makes good sense. women's brains are different to men. _ makes good sense. women's brains are different to men, and _ makes good sense. women's brains are different to men, and more _ makes good sense. women's brains are different to men, and more research i different to men, and more research is needed to find out if heading a ball is more of a concussion risk for women than for men. i think at a brain scan level, we have discovered that white matter in the brain reacts slightly differently there is more trauma in women's brains, potentially. again, that is something else to look at. if you have 'ust something else to look at. if you have just started _ something else to look at. if you have just started out _ something else to look at. if you have just started out a _ something else to look at. if you have just started out a career- something else to look at. if you have just started out a career in| have just started out a career in women's football, you are a mum or dad, these things are foot injuries

and leg injuries, potential head injuries being worse. would you get a bit nervous? kids injuries being worse. would you get a bit nervous?— a bit nervous? kids are not encouraged _ a bit nervous? kids are not encouraged to _ a bit nervous? kids are not encouraged to head - a bit nervous? kids are not encouraged to head the - a bit nervous? kids are not l encouraged to head the ball, a bit nervous? kids are not - encouraged to head the ball, there are regulations on that which have changed. generally, it's much better to be out there playing sport, keeping fit and healthy, than worrying too much about this detail. at an elite level, it is a call for more research. is their interest in manufactures listening to this? absolutely. researchers say a lot of progress has been made, there is a women's world cup next year and manufacturers are set on developing football clubs new boots ahead of that tournament.— football clubs new boots ahead of that tournament. good to see you aaain. the world cup kicks off in qatar this weekend, with attention focussed on the country's human rights record. qatari society has a strict interpretation of islamic law — and an ancient tribal system. our religion editor aleem maqbool has been looking at what that means — in particular — for women there and the gay community. qatar wants to show off its fun—loving side

ahead of the world cup, its modernity and its hospitality. this little country, with huge oil and gas reserves, was economically catapulted into the future. but underneath its bedrock remains cultural and religious traditionalism. it's difficult to speak to people freely without permission from the authorities. but these students in doha's education city talked of their excitement. it's definitely a marking of history for the arabs, and we're all very proud, especially as a qatari, i'm very proud that my country is hosting such a big event. qatar has repeatedly said that it will be welcoming of all people, of all races, of all sexual orientations. and i think that a lot of the people here in qatar know that this is a great opportunity for qatar, who have seemingly been in the shadows for a really long time. but there are, of course, qataris who remain in the shadows. i would like my existence not to be illegal in this country.

i would like something that would say that i can be gay and not worry about being killed. aziz is gay in a country where homosexuality is against the law. he couldn't meet in person and needed his face and voice disguised on a video call. the law's on your side when you're outside of qatar, if somebody attacks you, you'd go to the police station, you would be protected. whereas here, if something happens to me, i'll get blamed. zainab now lives here in the uk, but even then she's also worried about revealing her identity because of possible repercussions for family back in qatar. she, like aziz, says she thought about suicide. for her, it was the so called guardianship rules for women that had an impact. for every single major life decision you required explicit written permission from a male guardian.

and if you don't get that permission, you cannot take that life decision, whether it's enrolling at university and studying abroad, travelling, getting married or even getting divorced. zainab says she feels many qataris look at women's rights somehow being a western idea that clashes with islamic values. within decades, energy reserves turned qatar's population from among the poorest in the world to the richest. for all the technological advancements, society is based on a traditional tribal system, one that remains religiously very conservative. some of those negatively affected by the current laws told us they worried a successful world cup could make it even less likely that qatari society will change. aleem maqbool, bbc news.

the headlines on bbc news... uk inflation hits ii.i % — the highest for 41 years — as food prices and energy bills drive up the cost of living nato says the missile that killed two people in poland was probably fired by ukrainian air defences. after the death of two—year—old awaab ishak from exposure to mould in his rochdale home, the housing secretary says new legislation will 'name and shame' failing landlords. the uk must be ready for russian aggression for years to come — according to a warning by the head of mi5. ken mccallum also said this year has seen the most significant blow against russian intelligence services in recent european history. it was part of a wide—ranging speech delivered at the headquarters of the uk's security services.

this year, a concerted campaign has seen a massive number of russian officials expelled from countries around the world, including more than 600 from europe, over 400 of whom we judge our spies. ——we judge are spies. this has struck the most significant strategic blow against the russian intelligence services in recent european history. together with coordinated waves of sanctions, the scale has taken putin by surprise. this year's expulsions follow the template set by the uk led international response to salisbury in 2018. alongside the wave of expulsions, the other part of that template is staying the course and preventing russian intelligence restocking. in the uk's case, since our removal of 23 russian spies posing as diplomats, we have refused on national security grounds over 100 russian diplomatic visa applications. we have continued to work intensively to make the uk

the hardest possible operating environment for russian covert action and we will need to keep at it. alongside assassination attempts, the russian covert toolkit include cyber attacks, disinformation, espionage, democratic interference and the use of putin allied oligarchs and others as tools for influence. our security correspondent frank gardner has more on this story. britain expelled 23 so—called russian diplomats who, of course, where actually spies. that was followed by about 120 others around the world. so, that really undermined the russian spy network in this country. it's hard to say exactly how many they've got left, probably mi5 don't know the exact number. but they are trying to make this country what they call a hard target, as difficult a target to spy on as possible. but they say russia is not giving up, and you only have to look at some of the antipathy in the russian media towards britain to show how low relations between moscow and britain. another country where relations

are difficult is iran, there are long—standing reasons. very specifically, we have this situation just a few days ago, being summoned to the foreign office to be rebuked for what was effectively an accusation that people were targeting, iranians were targeting journalists, many of them of iranian extraction, threatening them, and really putting them under intense pressure to try to influence their reporting on the protests we have seen in iran. kevin mccallum, the director—general of mi5, he was explicit about this. he said there had been ten cases in recent months in this country where the regime have attempted to kill or kidnap... ten cases! ? kill or kidnap iranian journalists. british—based opposition journalists. british-based opposition journalists.— british-based opposition 'ournalists. ., ., ., , journalists. some of our colleagues at the bbc world _ journalists. some of our colleagues at the bbc world service, - journalists. some of our colleagues at the bbc world service, or- journalists. some of our colleagues| at the bbc world service, or persian

service? ., ., , ., service? the other one being iran international. _ this is pretty serious. there have been cases and he did not mention this, but it has come out in the press about hostile covert surveillance of the homes and workplaces where they work. and this is pretty serious. if any of them get abducted, then the government view here is that they would be put on trial and executed back in iran. what the irgc, the iranian revolutionary guards corps, what they are trying to do is trying to silence the opposition voices and blame the west for these riots, well, not riots, protests... saying it was stirred up by western influences? it is all provocateurs, it is not a social problem, it is the west doing this. ignoring the fact that these were spontaneous protests after the death of the 22—year—old kurdish iranian woman who was allegedly beaten to death in an iranian police station for not wearing her hijab properly. that statistic, ten cases, a lot of people will be genuinely shocked by that.

in the days of the cold war, when there are quite a number of russians and other allied nations, we know that people were killed, we know that people were targeted. but those numbers sound a lot, somehow, in one year? i don't know if it is all entirely within one year, but nevertheless, i think sometimes the authorities in this country have been a little late to wake up to things. for a long time, they underestimated the threat, and this was 20 years ago, finsbury park mosque, which was taken over, there were nice people running up mosques, moderates, they got taken over by abu hamza, the hook handed cleric, with his hardline people. they found replica pistols, forged bank notes, things that don't deserve

to be in a place of worship. although he was not comitting overt acts of terrorism himself, he was encouraging others to do it, such as the shoe bomber. there were some very dangerous people operating in this country, espousing unpleasant extremist views. and the view of the government, of the police service, they would say, they have not broken any laws here. foreign governments were saying, why are you allowing people to do this stuff? this is dangerous, they are encouraging acts of terrorism in our country. we have breaking news at lunchtime on defence spending, the government has announced there will be three support ships for the royal navy, they are designing and building them at shipyards in belfast and in north devon. there will be a total of 1200 jobs divided between the shipyard in

belfast, and arguably a greater one in scale in its day, on the coast outside bideford, which was in danger of being shot. they have said there will be 800 newjobs across there will be 800 newjobs across the supply chain for the united kingdom in defence industries. as ukrainian forces have liberated kherson, many soldiers who are from that city and nearby villages can finally visit their home and see relatives for the first time since the start of the russian invasion. the bbc�*s abdujalil abdurasulov has travelled with some of those fighters and witnessed their emotional reunions. villages surrounding kherson still bear scars of heavy fighting. but ukrainian forces stand on guard here now. it's incredible to drive like this here and breathe his unit fought in this area, pushing towards kherson.

region and they haven't been home for nine months. and finally they are back. this is the first time when these soldiers can visit their hometown. all these days and months, they've been fighting against the russian forces. say they were beaten and tortured. "you did well", oleg says. "i knew you would hold on." olexander�*s relatives cannot recognise him in sunglasses.

in a trolleybus but alexander tells her to switch video on. "we're alive!" this woman cries. olexander�*s aunt is full ofjoy, too. the life under occupation, she tells him, was full of fear. translation: my colleague, was tortured to death. - he was taken in the ist of november and on the ninth, when they started retreating, they threw his body in the dump. his hands were burned, his arms and legs were broken. i don't understand such a cruelty.

oleg's friends get a ukrainian football scarf out to take a group photo. this is the moment they will never forget. abdujalil abdurasulov, bbc news, kherson region. a man has admitted the murder of a lancashire woman whose body was found in a makeshift grave in a forest. andrew burfield changed his plea to admit the murder of the mother—of—two katie kenyon on the third day of his trial at preston crown court. phil cunliffe reports. the court heard that 51—year—old andrew burfield killed katie kenyon in april. he put her body in a shallow grave in the forest of bowland, a grave that he dug the day before. he then tried to cover up his tracks. the jury heard how he had sent messages to himself and her children using her phone. at the opening of the trial on monday, prosecutors also said that they had interviewed him on four occasions, which initially he'd actually said that he didn't know anything about her whereabouts.

but in the penultimate interview, there was a revelation and he changed his version of events. burfield of todmorden road in burnley told police that he'd taken miss kenyon, who he'd been having a relationship on and off with since 2019, to a picnic in the forest of gisburn, and that she had bet him that he could not hit her can of coke with his axe. the court heard that he told police, i went for the tree at the side of her and it hit her in her head. he claimed that she had been hit with the back of the axe and that she had not suffered any other injuries. but a postmortem examination revealed, in fact that she had been hit on the head probably around 12 times. he was re—arraigned on the murder charge this morning and the jury in the case formally found him guilty before being discharged. he is back here in preston tomorrow where he is due to be sentenced. a leading surgeon who was paralysed as a result of a freak accident is back operating again today with the help of a specially adapted chair.

mohammed belal works at the queen elizabeth hospital in birmingham and says he's delighted to be helping patients again. michele paduano reports. not a birthday but a celebration of a return to work after 21 months that not many thought possible, but one man never stopped believing. it's so important to have hope. hope allows you to push on and i knew that i was going to try my best. whatever happens, you know, you can try your best and accept it may end in failure, it may not do, but if you don't try, you will never know. he has never given up and he has tried hard and he is inspirational for us. in february 2021, whilst cycling at 25 mph, mohammed belal was struck by a falling tree. as soon as he awoke, he knew that he was paralysed. when i first met him injanuary, he'd been through several operations and months of physiotherapy. you have to be realistic

but at the same time you have to push as hard as you can and not give up. i reframed my rehab as my newjob. his return to work is thanks to this £25,000 chair that elevates to allow him to stand whilst operating. at first, this leading surgeon will be working under the supervision of the man he trained — until he finds his feet. he says it's a complete reversal but really it's going to be - carrying on the same. i'm going to be a pairj of hands to help him. he's still going to tell me what i need to do| and what needs to be done. his first operation requires just 20 minutes' standing. it requires a lot of core strength to remain upright. i think there will be a few tears. i think there will. why is that? because we never thought we would have him back here, and it's good to have him back. he is an absolutely fantastic surgeon and to be able to come back and do what he does, i think it will be an emotional day for the theatre team and i'm sure for mr belal himself as well.

it was something i always wanted to go back to and, you know, i understood the challenges involved but it's going to be amazing to go back to doing what i trained for and what i love doing. michele paduano, bbc midlands today. it was the anniversary of 100 years of the bbc earlier this week, and there was a wonderful interview with joy whitby, he was the head of children's. some of us remember looking through the rectangular window. let's talk to tomasz schafernaker, standing outside another window, schafernaker, standing outside anotherwindow, it schafernaker, standing outside another window, it is far too young to remember playschool. one window to another, we have been looking at this picture, quite

artistic with strips of rain and the wind. the rain and wind will be a feature of the weather over the next few days and indeed into next week. it is going to be a very unsettled pattern, weather pattern, across the whole atlantic. i am going to show it to you now. the jet stream to the south, when that happens we are usually in a slightly cooler air. crucially, this low pressure detaches itself from this jet stream and stalls across the uk, bringing heavy rain. and then through the weekend, later in the weekend, we weekend, later in'theweekendrwe see the weekend, later in'the'weekendrwe see the jet stream returning will see the jet stream returning pushing another weather and pushing on another weather system, so it will change a fair bit. this rainfall accumulation, a lot of us will get rain, so more than others. particularly looking at eastern scotland, the north—east of england through yorkshire, darker blues and even some bright green colours indicating rainfall in excess of 80 millimetres. this is what is happening right now. it is already raining very heavily on the south—west of england and along the

channel coast, into the isle of wight. the weather front will progressively... excuse me... move northwards into parts of the midlands and northern england. and further north, some heavy showers. very strong winds in the northern isles and gale force winds expected in the channel islands. in the lowlands of scotland, seven or nine. see this low? see the motion here? it is rotating and stuck yeah, and thatis it is rotating and stuck yeah, and that is where it will be pretty much until about sunday. the weather pattern will be the same, so we will keep seeing the wind blowing off the north sea, a cold wind, i am sure you will know if you're on the north sea, heavy rain, the north—east of etman. the south—west, not so bad, and copycat conditions expected on friday. the worst of the weather is further north and east. the best of

the weather, the far west of northern ireland, wales and along the channel coasts, pleasant conditions there. the weekend is going to be more or less the same. heavy rain the further east and north you are. places like the south—west should be much drier and brighter. goodbye. this is bbc news. the headlines: uk inflation hits 11.1 % — the highest for more than a0 years — with the bank of england governor warning it may not return to normal for three years. get through this winter, because of the way the gas price effects are going to work through this winter, there should be quite a pronounced fall of inflation thereafter. there were forecast brings it back to target and actually takes it below target and actually takes it below target towards zero. nato says the missile that killed two people in poland was probably fired by ukrainian air defences. the deputy prime minister asks for an independent investigation

after two formal complaints against him about his behaviour.