the weekend is conditions there. the weekend is going to be more or less the same. heavy rain the further east and north you are. places like the south—west should be much drier and brighter. goodbye. this is bbc news. the headlines: uk inflation hits 11.1 % — the highest for more than a0 years — with the bank of england governor warning it may not return to normal for three years. get through this winter, because of the way the gas price effects are going to work through this winter, there should be quite a pronounced fall of inflation thereafter. there were forecast brings it back to target and actually takes it below target and actually takes it below target towards zero. nato says the missile that killed two people in poland was probably fired by ukrainian air defences. the deputy prime minister asks for an independent investigation after two formal complaints

against him about his behaviour. donald trump confirms he does plan to run for the white house again, but does he have the republican support? we but does he have the republican su ort? ~ , ., but does he have the republican su--ort?~ , ., ., support? we rise together back to the moon and _ support? we rise together back to the moon and beyond. _ support? we rise together back to the moon and beyond. and - support? we rise together back to the moon and beyond. and the . support? we rise together back to - the moon and beyond. and the artemis rocket finally — the moon and beyond. and the artemis rocket finally heads _ the moon and beyond. and the artemis rocket finally heads to _ the moon and beyond. and the artemis rocket finally heads to the _ the moon and beyond. and the artemis rocket finally heads to the moon - the moon and beyond. and the artemis rocket finally heads to the moon in - rocket finally heads to the moon in an historic moment for nasa. good afternoon and welcome to bbc news. prices are rising at their fastest rate for more than a0 years, with the soaring cost of energy and food largely responsible. the inflation rate hasjumped to 11.1% in the year to october — that's up from 10.1%

the previous month. it puts more pressure on the chancellor ahead of his autumn statement tomorrow, in which he's expected to announce tax rises and spending cuts. here's our economics correspondent andy verity. at this environmentally friendly brewery and pub in stroud in gloucestershire, the raw ingredients aren't getting any cheaper. it wasn't long ago when the value of the pound really dropped, and overnight the prices went up 10, 12%. devaluation of the pound in the past year means businesses have to pay more in pounds to buy goods priced in dollars or euros, from hops to oil and gas. how much do you pay for a bag of these? it varies anywhere between sort of £15—£40 a kilo. the biggest rise is power — electricity has doubled over the last year, gas has gone up by at least half. our raw materials, so malt and hops, cans, labels, they have gone up between 10—15%. global inflationary pressure is now

coming home in higher wage costs, as employers pay more to compete for an unexpectedly small pool of available workers. labour, we are a living wage employer, lowest wages have gone up by 10%. for us that's at least 40, 50, £60,000 a year additional costs, which means we have to sell somewhere between £150,000, £200,000 worth more beer to cover the additional wages cost. but some global inflationary pressures have recently been easing. shipping goods like beer across the world now cost less than a third of what it did in 2021. that is one reason the bank of england expects double digit inflation to drop back to single digits in the spring. for now, though, it's all about those price shocks. milk, butter, dairy foods, bread. filling up the car. strangely, fruit teas. they have gone from £1 to £2.25,

and you think how can that be? . until recently, most of the inflationary pressure was global. the price of food, the price of fuel — there is not much the bank of england can do about those global prices, but what they are now worried about is that inflation is becoming embedded domestically in the price of services, like a restaurant meal. the uk is not the only country hit by soaring inflation, it is even higher in germany and italy, which depend far more on imported russian gas. what's people's number one anxiety is the rising cost of things, that is what is eating into people's living standards. the chancellor rightly described it as insidious. it makes people poorer, that is what inflation does and it is the enemy we need to face down. we know that the tories have crashed the economy, and to make matters worse, families will be incredibly worried about rising inflation that we have seen announced today. it is already a really worrying time. labour's plan will be to get the economy growing and we will be making different choices in the statement coming

up in parliament. to stop inflation bedding down in the domestic economy, interest rates were expected after the mini budget to have to rise to 6%. now they are expected to peak in the spring at 4.5%, much higher than a year ago, but lower than many economists feared. andy verity, bbc news, stroud. the governor of the bank of england, andrew bailey, has been speaking to mps at the treasury select committee this afternoon, and identified three key areas which have caused inflation to rise. so, obviously, two and a half years ago now the economy was hit by a huge shock in terms of the pandemic, and i think it was obviously necessary and appropriate that monetary policy responded to that. what we have had since then, i think, is a series of supply shocks, essentially, in the uk economy, which have reduced the... particularly when you look at the labour force, reduced the capacity and the supply

capacity of the uk economy relative to demand. and to put those shocks in sort of chronological order, there was what we tend to call a supply chain shock in the recovery from covid — that is a global shock, actually, because it reflected goods and services demand and stretched supply chains, particularly involving china. and just as you sort of say, i think we are now seeing the evidence of that shock is beginning to come off. the next shock i would highlight is the big one, which, as you said, is russia—ukraine. it has had a very big impact in two areas, i would say — energy and food. and the third one is a domestic shock, which is the tightness of the uk labour market, and the fact that the uk labour force has reduced in size relative to the pre—covid number. and i think i am right in saying our colleague jonathan haskel made a speech

where he covered this, i think last week, and had a very interesting chart which shows that the uk is the only 0ecd country showing this pattern of labour force shock. that is the governor of the bank of england. he also told mps that they expect to see interest rates fall dramatically next year after this winter. once we get through this winter, because of the way the gas price effects are going to work through this winter, there should be quite a pronounced fall in inflation thereafter, and our forecast brings it back to target and actually takes it below target towards actually to zero. for more on this let's talk to the chief economist at the office for national statistics, grant fitzner. it is 11.1% as we have been hearing.

thank you for being with us. what is fuelling inflation in your view? it is a range of factors. the big increase in energy prices over the past year. the latest numbers published this morning include the increase with the october cap, although obviously the energy price guarantee is reducing significantly the extent of that increase. but if you look more broadly, we are seeing inflation across many goods, items come up around 15% over the past year. even services are starting to pick up as well, up to around 6.3% over the last year. inflation is quite broad—based across most areas. broad—based and very high indeed, the highest since 1981. it has been said by many commentators that it is disproportionately affecting less well—off households, in words poorer families are facing a higher

inflation rate.— families are facing a higher inflation rate. ., , , inflation rate. that is right. it is not always _ inflation rate. that is right. it is not always the _ inflation rate. that is right. it is not always the case _ inflation rate. that is right. it is not always the case that - inflation rate. that is right. it is not always the case that lower. not always the case that lower income households face a higher rate of inflation, but if you think about household spending more on food and energy bills, which is true of most low income households, they are certainly facing a higher rate than the average. we publish new analysis on that this morning which makes that point very clear. [30 on that this morning which makes that point very clear.— on that this morning which makes that point very clear. do you expect inflation, do — that point very clear. do you expect inflation, do you _ that point very clear. do you expect inflation, do you think _ that point very clear. do you expect inflation, do you think it _ that point very clear. do you expect inflation, do you think it has - inflation, do you think it has reached a peak now, 11.1%, or will it go even higher? taste reached a peak now, 11.1%, or will it go even higher?— reached a peak now, 11.1%, or will it go even higher? we do not make forecasts, it go even higher? we do not make forecasts. but _ it go even higher? we do not make forecasts, but certainly _ it go even higher? we do not make forecasts, but certainly some - forecasts, but certainly some commentators are making that observation today. whether that in fact turns out to be the case will obviously depend on what happens to energy prices in the future, what happens to the war in ukraine, and in terms of what is going on in china with lockdowns and global supply chains. there are some signs of easing, we have seen petrol prices come down for the last couple

of months, we have seen used car prices, which were very high during the pandemic, come down a lot. there are certainly some signs. if you look at what businesses are paying in terms of factory prices, they have been coming down in terms of the annual rate for the last couple of months, so there are some positive signs. it of months, so there are some positive signs.— of months, so there are some ositive sins. , ., ., positive signs. it spare to say that other leading _ positive signs. it spare to say that other leading economies - positive signs. it spare to say that other leading economies are - positive signs. it spare to say that | other leading economies are facing very high inflation, well, some countries like germany have a higher inflation rate at the moment, just reflecting that there are a lot of global factors reflecting that there are a lot of globalfactors behind reflecting that there are a lot of global factors behind this reflecting that there are a lot of globalfactors behind this inflation rate. global factors behind this inflation rate. . , global factors behind this inflation rate. ., , , ., i, global factors behind this inflation rate. ., , , ., , rate. that is right. germany is a little bit higher— rate. that is right. germany is a little bit higher than _ rate. that is right. germany is a little bit higher than the - rate. that is right. germany is a little bit higher than the uk - rate. that is right. germany is a little bit higher than the uk at l rate. that is right. germany is a l little bit higher than the uk at the moment, france is a bit lower. interestingly, over the last 12—18 months, the inflation rate is broadly matched the eu average in the uk. people are looking for a brexit effect, but it is hard to see that in the headline numbers. thank ou ve that in the headline numbers. thank you very much _ that in the headline numbers. thank you very much indeed _ that in the headline numbers. thank you very much indeed will _ that in the headline numbers. thank you very much indeed will stop - that in the headline numbers. thank you very much indeed will stop thank you very much indeed will stop thank you for your time. nato now says the missile that killed two people yesterday

in eastern poland was probably fired by ukrainian air defences, rather than russia. moscow had already strongly denied it was responsible for the rocket that hit the village of przewodow, in the east of poland near the border with ukraine. 0ur correspondent dan johnson has this report. it looks like this is where the war in ukraine spilled over on to polish turf and claimed polish lives. two civilians were killed here in the explosion yesterday afternoon on this farm close to the border with ukraine. the questions now are what landed here and who fired it. jevhen lives close by. he heard the explosion and says his family were really scared. he said one of those killed was a farmer. the other worked in the village shop. there's now a huge investigation involving polish military experts, who are assessing what caused this explosion and where it came from. this lunchtime, the polish president

said what happened here appeared to be an unfortunate accident and not an intentional attack, a statement echoed at nato headquarters. we have no indication that this was the result of a deliberate attack. and we have no indication that russia is preparing offensive military actions against nato. more military teams are coming in to join the investigation which is taking place at the farm just a few hundred metres up that road. this is as close as we're allowed to get but we're very near to the ukrainian border here, just about ten miles away, and people living in this area had been concerned they would feel the impact of this war at some point. russia attacked cities across ukraine yesterday, including lviv, just a0 miles from the polish border. the russians say it wasn't their missile that crossed into poland. ukraine does have russian—made weapons as part of its air defences,

but ukraine's president was clear who he believes is responsible. translation: russianl missiles hit the territory of neighbouring poland yesterday. there must be a quick reaction. this attack is a message from russia to the g20 summit, so when i say it's really the g19, i'm not wrong, because russia is a terrorist state and we are defending ourselves against it. us presidentjoe biden, who himself visited poland earlier this year, questioned that. it's unlikely in the minds of the trajectory that it was fired from russia, but we'll see. so, political leaders in poland and other countries are urging calm responses and careful next steps as the full details are confirmed. nato is strengthening air defences across eastern europe, as well as ukraine, because it's clear now to people here and elsewhere — as long as this conflict continues, there is a risk, even indirectly, of others being caught up in it. danjohnson, bbc news

in eastern poland. and at six here on the bbc news, you can see a special programme on the war in ukraine — including an interview with nato secretary general. stay with us for that. thejustice secretary, dominic raab, says he's asked for an independent investigation into two formal complaints that have been made about his behaviour. mr raab, who's also deputy prime minister, says one complaint relates to his period as foreign secretary, and another to his previous time as justice secretary. he's rejected the allegations, saying he's never tolerated bullying. number 10 said an independent investigator will be appointed to establish the facts. 0ur political correspondent iain watson reports. thejustice secretary has asked for an investigation. this one, though, is rather unconventional, he has asked for an independent probe into his own conduct, following allegations in the media that he bullied staff. asked about these allegation,

this was the prime minister's line. i don't recognise the characterisation of dominic's behaviour, personally, and i was not aware and am not aware of any formal complaints about that. today, all that changed. in a letter to the prime minister, dominic raab said i have been notified two separate complaints have been formally made against him from my time as foreign secretary and justice secretary, he goes on to say he has never tolerated bullying, but he was subjected to some robust questioning when he stood in at pmqs. this morning the deputy prime minister finally acknowledged formal complaints about his misconduct buzz his letter contains no hint of admission or apology, this is anti bullying week. will he apologise? she asked about the complaint, i received notification this morning, i immediately asked the prime minister to set up

an independent inquiry into them, i am confident i behaved professionally throughout but of course i will engage thoroughly and look forward mr speaker, may i say, look forward to transparently addressing any claims made. the person who would have looked into any allegations resigned as ethics adviser injune, the government hasn't replaced him which has led civil service unions to question how an investigation would be conducted. if a civil servant wanted to challenge the most senior official in the department, their permanent secretary, there a clear procedure that lays out what is bullying, what is not. how will an investigation be conducted. how can they challenge that if they were unhappy? there is none of that when it comes to ministers, all we have is vague wording in the ministerial code and everything is essentially up to the prime minister to decide ona whim. i have been told of concerns that some civil servants have about dominic raab's conduct but i don't i have any details of the formal complaints,

but the danger for downing street is that the focus shifts away from thejustice secretary and on to the prime minister's ownjudgment. iain watson, bbc news, westminster. the headlines on bbc news: uk inflation hits 11.1% — the highest for more than a0 years — with the bank of england governor warning it may not return to normal for three years. nato says the missile that killed two people in poland was probably fired by ukrainian air defences. the deputy prime minister asks for an independent investigation after two formal complaints against him about his behaviour. a toddler who died from a respiratory condition caused by mould in his flat "deserved better", according to the housing secretary michael gove. speaking in the commons this afternoon, he said it's "scarcely believable" a child could die in those conditions in 21st century britain.

and he accused the landlord of a "terrible dereliction of duty". let's hear what he had to say. one of the principal roles of the housing 0mbudsman service is to ensure that robust complaint processes are put in place so problems are resolved as soon as they are flagged. it can order landlords to pay compensation to residents, and it can also refer cases to the regulator of social housing, who in future would be able to issue unlimited fines to landlords that they find at fault. and of course all decisions made by the ombudsman are also published for the whole world to see which landlords are consistently letting tenants down. and it is clear from awaab's case, which sadly did not go before the ombudsman, that more needs to be done to ensure that this vital service is better promoted and that it reaches those who really need it. we have already run the nationwide make things right campaign to ensure that more social housing residents know how they can make complaints, but we are now planning — and i think it is necessary — another targeted, multi—year campaign so that everyone living

in the social housing sector knows their rights, knows how to sound the alarm when their landlord is failing to make the grade and knows how to seek redress without delay. where some providers have performed poorly in the past, they have now been given ample opportunity to change their ways and to start treating residents with the respect they deserve. the time for empty promises of improvement is over, and my department will now name and shame those who have been found by the regulator to have breached consumer standards or who have been found by the ombudsman to have committed severe maladministration. michael gove in the commons earlier. members of the rmt union working at network rail and 1a train companies have voted to continue striking in their long—running dispute over pay, jobs and conditions. the union said a fresh ballot of its members showed overwhelming support to carry on with industrial action. rail operators said passengers would be "dismayed by this outcome" and that more strikes would be counterproductive.

0ur transport correspondent katy austin is here. lets talk about the vote first of all. it was pretty overwhelming. that is right. we have already had eight days of strike action since june by rmt members, now there has been a ballot. the outcome is pretty similar to the result of first strike ballot that has seen all these strikes we have already seen so far. turnout was about 70% on average, that is across network rail and the 1a train companies. and over 91% of those who voted voted in favour. so the rmt is saying it thinks this is a strong mandate essentially for action that could continue over six months. that is of course unless an agreement is reached in talks to end the dispute between the unions and the train companies and network rail. so, the general secretary of the rmt said negotiations would continue, but he said the union was determined to

continue with its campaign until employers understood the need to respond to members' demand. in response, the train companies said it recognises the strength of feeling among its people, among its staff, but it has called on the union to keep talking and try to agree on the reforms which the industry says are needed to afford a pay rise. industry says are needed to afford a -a rise. , , ., ., pay rise. give us an idea, travellers _ pay rise. give us an idea, travellers will _ pay rise. give us an idea, travellers will be - pay rise. give us an idea, travellers will be worried | pay rise. give us an idea, - travellers will be worried about the prospect of more industrial action in the run—up to christmas. that prospect of more industrial action in the run-up to christmas. that is riuht. in the run-up to christmas. that is right- that — in the run-up to christmas. that is right- that is _ in the run-up to christmas. that is right. that is something _ in the run-up to christmas. that is right. that is something the - in the run-up to christmas. that is right. that is something the rail. right. that is something the rail industry has highlighted and the government have highlighted today, they are worried about the impact on passengers and businesses in the run—up to christmas. i should say talks are continuing. you might remember that they were meant to be some strikes earlier this month involving the rmt, but they were called off at the 11th hour so that unions and the real employers could go into a period of what has been described as intensive negotiations. that is happening at the moment. the

ballot result was due to come back anyway, the talks are continuing in the meantime to see if they can find a breakthrough so that there is not more action ahead. $5 a breakthrough so that there is not more action ahead.— a breakthrough so that there is not more action ahead. as you have said, a bi aer more action ahead. as you have said, a bigger vote — more action ahead. as you have said, a bigger vote in _ more action ahead. as you have said, a bigger vote in favour _ more action ahead. as you have said, a bigger vote in favour of _ more action ahead. as you have said, a bigger vote in favour of renewing i a bigger vote in favour of renewing this industrial action mandate. just remind us exactly what the rmt are asking for, what do they want, what is this dispute all about?— is this dispute all about? broadly s-ueakin , is this dispute all about? broadly speaking. the — is this dispute all about? broadly speaking, the rail— is this dispute all about? broadly speaking, the rail industry - is this dispute all about? broadly speaking, the rail industry is - is this dispute all about? broadly i speaking, the rail industry is under pressure to save money after the impact of the pandemic, which the industry says has left a hole in finances and changed travelling patterns. but you've also got rail workers in the rmt and other unions who say they need a pay rise to cope with the cost of living, they have not had one for a while. the industry is seeing the need to save money because of that financial backdrop, therefore we have to agree some changes, some reforms if we are going to be able to offer pay rises. so they are linked, really, the idea of reforms and the pay rise on this dispute. but the unions have been

saying they need to pay rise anyway and they disagree with some of the changes are being proposed. at network rail, for example, there is a bone of contention over the future of maintenance teams, how they work and somejob of maintenance teams, how they work and some job losses there. there are and some job losses there. there are a lot of parts to this, but broadly the rmt says it is aboutjob security, working conditions and pat’- security, working conditions and pay. the industry says it is about trying to agree reforms that can pay for those. . ., trying to agree reforms that can pay for those. ., ,, , ., , trying to agree reforms that can pay for those. . ~' ,, , . donald trump has finally confirmed he is running again for president in 202a. he made the announcement from his mar—a—lago estate in florida, claiming that "america's comeback starts right now." but mr trump has found himself being blamed for the poor performance of the republican party at the recent midterm elections. 0ur north america correspondent, nomia iqbal, reports. # and i won't forget the men who died...# in front of his crowd, inside his home, donald trump officially announced his comeback. america's comeback starts right now.

cheering. it was classic trump. he painted america as a dystopia that only he could rescue. because this is notjust a campaign, this is a quest to save our country. talking about saving our country... he boasted about his time in office... everybody was thriving like never before. ..had a go at president biden... now we have a president who falls asleep at global conferences. ..and hit out at the various legal investigations into him. and i'm a victim, i will tell you. i'm a victim. many of donald trump's supporters were celebrating outside mar—a—lago when he made his announcement. he is hugely popular here in his home state. but given this was his big moment, his speech appeared low in energy. many members of his own party are questioning whether his political influence is fading.

many republicans blame him for their party's underwhelming performance in the mid—term elections. most of the candidates mr trump publicly endorsed in crucial races lost. and his potential rival, 44—year—old florida governor ron desantis, had this to say after being called average by mr trump. i think what you learn is all that'sjust noise. and, really, what matters is, are you leading, are you getting in front of issues, are you delivering results for people and are you standing up for folks? and if you do that, then none of that stuff matters. donald trump's announcement is a way for him to seize early momentum in the race. but there's a long way to go and with his legal problems mounting, it may impact him both personally and politically. nomia iqbal, bbc news.

nomia iqbaljoins me now from florida. a long way to go. what are people saying about donald trump's chances about getting the republican nomination? $5 about getting the republican nomination?— about getting the republican nomination? a ,, ., ., about getting the republican nomination? r ~' ., ., , nomination? as we know, donald trump loves media attention, _ nomination? as we know, donald trump loves media attention, and _ nomination? as we know, donald trump loves media attention, and that - nomination? as we know, donald trump loves media attention, and that was - loves media attention, and that was quite obvious given the thousands of media outlets were invited to mar—a—lago for his announcement. but i think it is safe to say that if donald trump's where to look at the media coverage today, look at what his chances were, he probably would not be very happy. during the announcement itself, the main us networks did not cut into his speech, date and not cut away from their programme to deliver the speech live, so he did not get the prime—time treatment. fox news which used to back him but does not any more, cut away from his speech midway. then the review started coming in from conservative media outlets pulled up one example is the

national review were very conservative publication, they had a picture donald trump on the announcement with the word no. they do not believe he is worthy of the nomination. today the new york post, which is... used to be donald trump's favourite newspaper, from the state that he was born and bred in, they were quite clear what they felt. 2020, they endorsed him, he was on the front cover, but today he is at the bottom of the front page. it says," florida man makes announcement. page 26." that is the kind of media coverage is getting. there are those who are loyal to him, who back him, but a lot of the more moderate republicans have not said much about his speech. and do remember that in order front to secure the nomination, he has to get the backing of the republican party. right now, he is the frontrunner because he is the only one running, but that will not last for long.

including ron desantis, we think, who he calls sanctimonious. he is a big rival. donald trump must be worried about him.— big rival. donald trump must be worried about him. they love ron desantis in _ worried about him. they love ron desantis in florida. _ worried about him. they love ron desantis in florida. especially - desantis in florida. especially after his astonishing victory in the mid—term elections where he was re—elected as governor. when you walk around, you certainly here, you do see ron desantis signs on people's lawrence. when you ask people's lawrence. when you ask people about ron desantis and donald trump, some people want ron desantis to run for the presidential nomination. he has not said anything of the sort yet. here's the thing with ron desantis, he is quite floridian love ona on a level, is him, but on a national level, is still z: popular stillhard to say how popular he republicans have a could be. republicans have a history of falling in with on paper of falling in love with on the paper think jeb bush, for cagdrdates think of eeb 83h is

he candidates think ef'eb bf“ fe he against candidates think af'ab bf“ fa he against donald zi—= :;= back in 2016, t back in 2016, he back in 2016, fie did back in 2016, he did not win. trump, back in 2016, he did not win. 0n trump, back in 2016, he did not win. on paper, ron desantis looks really good, he is someone who is onto a top university, he was in the military, he has the conservative style that is a bit more measured, he does not go on rants on twitter, his policies are very popular. whilst they do back him, at the moment it seems, whether or not that on the paper quality will transfer into a charismatic politician, we do not know. we still do not know if he will make an announcement that he will make an announcement that he will take on donald trump, but i think it is safe to say that if that does happen, donald trump will not go down without a fight. inert; go down without a fight. very ruickl , go down without a fight. very quickly. i _ go down without a fight. very quickly, i mentioned - go down without a fight. very quickly, i mentioned at - go down without a fight. very quickly, i mentioned at the beginning that trump is being blamed by many republicans for their pretty disappointing performance in the mid—term elections, how much is that going to cost him in terms of support? going to cost him in terms of su ort? . , going to cost him in terms of su ort? ., , ., ., going to cost him in terms of su - ort? ., , ., ., ., support? that is what we have to wait and see- _

support? that is what we have to wait and see. the _ support? that is what we have to wait and see. the republicans, l support? that is what we have to wait and see. the republicans, it does look like they are moving away from him, but they did that after the january riots. they started moving away, sensing he was toxic, but then they coalesced around him again and had an opportunity to impeach him and they chose not to. whilst he is being blamed, there are lots of recent probably why the republicans performed underwhelming lay, we have to wait and see if they do move away from him entirely. as i said, he is still hugely popular. many thanks indeed. it looks like lovely weather, let's see what the forecast is here. i suspect not quite as beautiful. rain, rain, rain, a lot of it. that is what is heading our way. here is the rain reaching the south right now. this is the radarfrom the the rain reaching the south right now. this is the radar from the last few hours. if you want to escape the rain and you're in the midlands, do it now, it is heading towards you. this is the forecast. it will be

quite heavy, also strong winds developing through this evening and overnight. heavy showers in the north—east of scotland, deals blowing in the north isles. by the end of the night, you can see many towns and cities shrouded by the clouds. but not in northern ireland. it could be chilly and clear. the western isles pretty clear. a few showers and south—western parts of england. you can see where the bulk of the rain is tomorrow, close to this area of low pressure spinning around the wash. i towards the south—west, sunny spells, a few showers, quite brisk winds. the temperatures on thursday in the afternoon will be... if they come up. no, they are not going to come up. no, they are not going to come up. it will be about double figures in the south and single figures in the north. that is it.

hello this is bbc news. the headlines. uk inflation hits 11.1 % — the highest for more than a0 years — with the bank of england governor warning it may not return to normal for three years. get through this winter, because of the way the gas price effects are going to work through this winter, there should be quite a pronounced fall of inflation thereafter. there were forecast brings it back to target and actually takes it below target towards zero. nato says the missile that killed two people in poland was probably fired by ukrainian air defences. the deputy prime minister asks for an independent investigation after two formal complaints against him about his behaviour. donald trump confirms he plans to run for the white house again — but does he have the republicans' support?

we rise together back to the moon and beyond. and four times a charm — the artemis one rocket finally heads to the moon in an historic moment for nasa. sport and for a full round—up, from the bbc sport centre here's hugh ferris. good evening. all 26 england players were able to take part in their first training session in qatar ahead of their opening game of the world cup against iran on monday. that includes kyle walker. with the manchester city defender onlyjust recovering from groin surgery but fit enough to join the session at england's training base in al wakrah. james maddison was also there after coming off early during leicester's last premier league match i wanted to go and see them,

but i went back and had dinner at home in coventry with my mum, dad, my little boy and my partner. it's a moment that i will cherish forever. the actual phone call was a bit of a blur. i couldn't tell you what gareth said, to be fair. it was all very heart in mouth moments. but i wanted to see them and give my bum a big hug. it was a special day for all of us, and when i will definitely never forget. the world cup is still four days away, but there is some international football today. including a few warm up games for those in qatar who don't play their opening match until the latter part of next week. while there are some friendlies between teams that haven't qualified. including scotland, who kicked off in turkeyjust over half an hour ago. yet to score in that game. fourteen venues across the uk and ireland have been shortlisted for theirjoint bid to host the european championship in 2028. they include everton's yet to be built new stadium in bramley—moore dock,

one of nine english venues in all. belfast�*s casement park is also on the list. with the gaelic sports venue in line to be redevloped. there'll be ten stadia eventually submited to uefa in april. england's alex hales has been reprimanded for a historic social media post that showed him wearing black makeup. the batter, who was part of the t20 world cup winning squad, had previously apologised for the photo which was published last year. the cricket discipline commission decided the post amounted to �*racist and discriminatory conduct�*. meanwhile just four days after that world cup win... most of the england team involved will be playing tomorrow in the first of three one day internationals against australia. a slight change in format maybe, but there have been wide—spread criticisms about the packed schedule. moeen ali called it horrible and sam billings says the fixture congestion could hamper player development. captainjos buttler admits it is not ideal, but he hopes england can use the momentum from their t20 success as they now look to continue preparations for next year's

0di world cup in india. it is a fast turnaround and there is no point hiding away from it, it will be a challenge for us. having had such a high 80 days ago. but i think at the same time, we canjust go into it and try and enjoy the games and play with freedom, not that we need any excuse to do that. once we get over the line, playing against australia, those competitive juices will get going. ronnie 0'sullivan is through to the quarter finals of the uk snooker championship for the 19th time, after beating zhou yuelong of china 6 frames to nil. the whitewash included a break of 137. the highest break of the tournament so far, and this century break to clinch the final frame. 0'sullivan is attempting to win the uk title for the eighth time, but he says that success brings its own pressure. for me it is not easy when you get back to winning, it brings a lot of other stuff with it.

and, you know, it takes a lot of enjoyment out of it sometimes, because anything but a win becomes no good. last year, i was happy with the quarterfinals, this year i'm thinking if i don't when it it is a disaster. it's ridiculous really. let's just say your perception changes. before i go, there's been a lot of coverage surrounding the auction of maradona's hand of god ball. the one he used to score that goal against england in the 1986 world cup. despite a bid of 2 million pounds it failed to reach its reserve this afternoon. negotiations with the interested parties are continuing apparently. might have an outcome by the time of sportsday at 6:30. i'm not surprised it can't be worth 2 million. ,, ., i'm not surprised it can't be worth 2 million. ,, . . i'm not surprised it can't be worth 2 million. ,, ., ., ' .,

2 million. started at 1.4 million went to two — 2 million. started at 1.4 million went to two he _ 2 million. started at 1.4 million went to two he wanted - 2 million. started at 1.4 million went to two he wanted more. l went to two he wanted more. 0utrageous. thank you very much indeed. back to one of our top stories this hour. inflation has hit its highest rate for 41 years. the consumer prices index stood at 11 point 1% in october as energy and fuel prices pushed up the cost of living again. so how are households coping with the spiralling cost of living? 0ur consumer affairs correspondent colletta smith has spent the morning in gloucester talking to people there about how higher prices are affecting them. it felt like a never ending tidal wave of price rises for your household than you are not alone. it has been a long slog since we have hit those record rates injanuary and we have had a month after month after month of new records. the

country's talks measure hundreds right across the country every month. then they put out a figure for how much the average price is going up, this month is 11.1% which is crazy. so what is going on? it is not auoin is crazy. so what is going on? it is not going uo _ is crazy. so what is going on? it is not going uo five _ is crazy. so what is going on? it is not going up five or 10p it is going up not going up five or 10p it is going up a lot— not going up five or 10p it is going up a lot more than that. and the gas and electric, — up a lot more than that. and the gas and electric, cutting down on even using _ and electric, cutting down on even using heating at the moment. so what i want _ using heating at the moment. so what i want to— using heating at the moment. so what i want to know is why inflation going — i want to know is why inflation going up— i want to know is why inflation going up so high? this i want to know is why inflation going up so high? this month's big rice going up so high? this month's big price increase _ going up so high? this month's big price increase is _ going up so high? this month's big price increase is because _ going up so high? this month's big price increase is because of- going up so high? this month's big price increase is because of the - price increase is because of the huge increase of energy bills and the beginning of october. but is not just households facing those prices, businesses are too and they are passing on those costs to us as customers by upping all of their prices. there is behind all of this is a global gas and oil prices that have really been skyrocketing from the beginning of this year as we came out of the pandemic and then went straight into the war in ukraine. ., , ,, ., .,

ukraine. probably spending an extra £40 a week- — ukraine. probably spending an extra £40 a week. which _ ukraine. probably spending an extra £40 a week. which is _ ukraine. probably spending an extra £40 a week. which is all _ ukraine. probably spending an extra £40 a week. which is all most - ukraine. probably spending an extra £40 a week. which is all most a - £40 a week. which is all most a couple of hundred pounds a month. so what i wanted to know really, when will prices start to fall again? the bank of england are hoping by raising interest rates that they will slow down inflation. we are also seeing global food will slow down inflation. we are also seeing globalfood prices will slow down inflation. we are also seeing global food prices start to fall so that might give us a little bit of relief in the supermarkets. it is worth remembering even when inflation begins to slow down, that does not mean the prices will fall in the shops. they willjust be increasing by a little less. shops. they will 'ust be increasing by a little less.— by a little less. petrol. so i have to drive the _ by a little less. petrol. so i have to drive the kids _ by a little less. petrol. so i have to drive the kids to _ by a little less. petrol. so i have to drive the kids to and - by a little less. petrol. so i have to drive the kids to and from - by a little less. petrol. so i have i to drive the kids to and from school every _ to drive the kids to and from school every day _ to drive the kids to and from school every day so — to drive the kids to and from school every day so it is really, really exuensive _ every day so it is really, really expensive. what i would like to know is how _ expensive. what i would like to know is how we _ expensive. what i would like to know is how we can beat inflation? most --eole is how we can beat inflation? most people have _ is how we can beat inflation? most people have already _ is how we can beat inflation? i’j�*itsif people have already been making those choices for months. cutting back on luxuries in life, coffees, meals out, take only using the cars we have to energy use in the house just to try and keep on top of those bills. of course a pay rise would

help but lots of economists would think businesses would put their prices up more to cover those wage bills. if you are lucky enough to have some savings, don't forget that interest rates are going up so the savings will be earning a little bit more. it's been third time lucky for the us space agency nasa, which has finally managed to launch its artemis rocket on a journey to the moon. artemis will send an uncrewed capsule on a 26 day test trip around the moon — a first step to taking astronauts back to the lunar surface by 2025. this morning's launch from florida followed two previous attempts in august and september that were aborted during countdown because of technical problems. 0ur science editor rebecca morelle is at goonhilly earth station in cornwall which is tracking the rocket�*s progress. it was the moment they'd been waiting for. and here we go. four stage engine start. three, two, one... and liftoff of artemis i!

after months of setbacks, nasa's most powerful rocket was finally on its way. the start of humanity's return to the lunar surface. we rise together, back to the moon, and beyond. took a long time coming to get here. last time we were on the moon, apollo 17. and we still have a long ways to go. and this is just the test flight. but the run up to launch wasn't without drama. during fuelling a hydrogen leak was spotted, so a team was sent to the launch pad to repair it. then, something unexpected. they reported that they had an issue that was actually a bad ethernet switch. a radar station essential for tracking the rocket and destroying it if it veered off course, lost its signal. but a last minute fix worked, and the rocket was on its way. no people are on board this time, but this test flight will show

if it's safe for astronauts. the ultimate plan is to land the first woman and first person of colour on the moon. i wanted to be an astronaut from the time that i was five years old. and, you know, for anybody that has a dream or some kind of aspiration, if they see somebody that they can identify with a little bit, it puts them into a totally different perspective where they can say, well, wait a minute, that person was just like me and they did it, so i can do it to. and in a remote part of cornwall, the goonhilly earth station has an important role to play. this huge dish is part of a network of antennas that will be tracking the orion spacecraft. this will help nasa to work out very precisely exactly where the spacecraft is and how fast it's moving as it heads to the moon. and this was the moment the signal came through. we have aos on 0rion. good carrier level. this doesn't look like very much, i think, to most people, but to communication engineers,

this is pure magic. what you would normally see is just a flat line of noise. but we're picking up the signal from space, from the artemis spacecraft. with a last look back at the earth, the spacecraft now has a 26 dayjourney ahead. this isjust the beginning, the start of a million mile journey that's being described as apollo for a new generation. rebecca morelle, bbc news. dr hina khan is a space scientist and joins me now with more on this story. just give us the bigger picture, why is this mission a part of such an important piece of space expiration? it is, it is a very exciting time as your report has outlined. it is the first time that we are going back to the moon in almost 60—70 years. and really it is part of a much bigger programme of exploration which we are excited about undertaking. we

are excited about undertaking. we are talking about what would it be to travel to places like mars. that is significantly farther distance away, so before we can take the steps we need to try and make sure that the systems that we are going to be using are able to sustain that level of travel and people can manage those sorts of environments. so it means going back to the moon, notjust transiting the moon or having a little bit of a lunar landing and then coming back, but actually setting up a habitat. a zonein actually setting up a habitat. a zone in the moon on the lunar surface which allows us to live for extended periods of time as necessary to look at the further exploration to other planets. find exploration to other planets. and the moon landings that you refer to many decades ago, they are etched on peoples memories, why did b stop exploring? i

peoples memories, why did b stop exlorin: ? ., peoples memories, why did b stop ex - lorin: ? ~' ., peoples memories, why did b stop exlorin: ? ~' ., ., , ., exploring? i think there are lots of different reasons, _ exploring? i think there are lots of different reasons, political, - different reasons, political, funding, environmental issues i think the technology, the developments that happened during that time did not continue on in other manners. nasa continued to do their high—tech science and technology development and really has seen the growth of the commercial space market. see how people like space acts and other record providers which are allowing us to use commercial services to get our technology to space which i think it's really important. because it all builds on the development that we need to do to get to other places like the moon and further. just tell us a bit more about artemis i. this is unmanned but if it is successful, the next mission will be manned as i write? $5 it is successful, the next mission will be manned as i write? as your reort will be manned as i write? as your report suggested. _ will be manned as i write? as your report suggested, yes _ will be manned as i write? as your report suggested, yes that - will be manned as i write? as your report suggested, yes that is - report suggested, yes that is correct. the plan for this mission

is to test the systems required to see if we could have a manned mission. to ensure that the rocket can do thejob mission. to ensure that the rocket can do the job that needs to do provide propulsion and energy to get to the lunar surface, but also the module, the orion module, which will take that further step and make sure that we can get to the moon safely. and return, we have to get our personnel backed so there is a heat shield on that 0rion module that needs to be tested. the retrieval of the module. so it is lots of different critical stages which need to be tested to much further beyond what we would expect in a manned flight, but we need to be very confident beyond any level of doubt that this is going to be a successful, if and when we put manned personnel in it.-

manned personnel in it. even launching _ manned personnel in it. even launching artemis _ manned personnel in it. even launching artemis i _ manned personnel in it. even launching artemis i has - manned personnel in it. even launching artemis i has had l manned personnel in it. evenj launching artemis i has had a manned personnel in it. even launching artemis i has had a few hiccups along the way as we mentioned at the beginning. there were a couple of thwarted attempts during countdown august and september during, when the launch could not happen. yes september during, when the launch could not happen.— could not happen. yes absolutely nothin: could not happen. yes absolutely nothing that _ could not happen. yes absolutely nothing that is _ could not happen. yes absolutely nothing that is important. - could not happen. yes absolutely nothing that is important. it - could not happen. yes absolutely nothing that is important. it was | nothing that is important. it was absolutely the right thing to do. if there is any doubt, any anomaly within the system which is what the ground crew, mission control, all of the personnel checking continuously, rechecking that everything is exactly within the parameters that they need. if there is any variation in that then it must be considered a vital part of the programme. so we do need to be sure that everything is a certain that it works the way that we needed to. a member this vehicle is much bigger than anything that has been launched before. the shadow in a bottle —— a shuttle will

see it in the kennedy space centre it is much bigger than that. it is much bigger than the vulcan as well. because of the distance and what the system needs to do. so we need to be absolutely confident that it will do the job that he needs to. let’s absolutely confident that it will do the job that he needs to. the 'ob that he needs to. let's hope it the job that he needs to. let's hope it all works — the job that he needs to. let's hope it all works very _ the job that he needs to. let's hope it all works very well— it all works very well and swimmingly thank you so much for talking us through all of that. space scientist talking about artemis i successfully launched today. the g—20 summit has approved a final declaration saying most members strongly deplored russia's aggression on ukraine, but also stressed disagreements on the issue. the document said the conflict was causing immense human suffering and damaging the global economy and that many participants wanted russia to withdraw from ukraine unconditionally. but it added that there were also other views and assessments of the situation. jonathan head reports from bali. the last day of the summit

was disrupted by news of russia's missile attacks, though by then, the russian foreign minister had left. containing some harsh words for what russia has done in ukraine. the most debated issue is the war on ukraine. the discussion was a very, very tough. but eventually the leaders agreed on the content of the declaration. which is a condemnation of the war in ukraine. because it is violated borders and violated the integrity of the region. the planned planting of young mangrove trees was delayed for a bit while western allies discussed the missile explosion in poland. but most leaders did make it to an event that mattered to their indonesian hosts.

showcasing his government's willingness to reverse deforestation and its huge impact on carbon emissions. he wanted more focus here on food and energy security, post pandemic health measures, and the global economy but the conflict in ukraine overshadowed everything. we shall be clear, none of this would be happening if it were not for russia's invasion of ukraine. this is the cruel and unrelenting reality of putin's war. as long as it goes on it poses a threat to our security and that of our allies. and as long as it goes on, it will continue to devastate the global economy. the summit began in a world that seemed badly divided, it has closed with a lot more unity than many of those attending would have expected. russia has had to accept a final statement that condemns its war in ukraine and surprisingly strong terms. and most of all, the us and china

have agreed to squabble less and cooperate more in addressing the multiple crisis that affects many countries. the idea of global governance which underpins the g20 has lost much of its potency in this year of volatile international relations. by the end of this meeting, perhaps a little of that potency had been restored. the uk must be ready for russian aggression for years to come, the head of the country's intelligence service, m15, has warned. ken mccallum was giving an annual update on the threats britain faces at security service headquarters. let's listen to some of what he said. this year, a concerted campaign has seen a massive number of russian officials expelled from countries around the world, including more than 600 from europe, over 400 of whom we judge are spies. this has struck the most significant strategic blow against the russian intelligence services in recent

european history. together with coordinated waves of sanctions, the scale has taken putin by surprise. this year's expulsions follow the template set by the uk led international response to salisbury in 2018. alongside the wave of expulsions, the other part of that template is staying the course and preventing russian intelligence restocking. in the uk's case, since our removal of 23 russian spies posing as diplomats, we have refused on national security grounds over 100 russian diplomatic visa applications. we have continued to work intensively to make the uk the hardest possible operating environment for russian covert action and we will need to keep at it. alongside assassination attempts, the russian covert toolkit include cyber attacks, disinformation, espionage, democratic interference and the use of putin allied oligarchs and others as tools for influence.

there's evidence that pollution from an oil facility on egypt's red sea coast is threatening the survival of some of the world's last thriving coral reefs. an investigation by bbc news arabic and journalists from the group source material found that red sea corals are under threat from toxic waste water being dumped into the sea from an oil processing plant. if you go diving in the red sea, you will find something very rare — thriving coral reefs. they are known as super coral because of their ability to withstand rising sea temperatures. the un has warned that if temperatures rise by 1.5 celsius, 90% of the world's corals will be wiped out. scientists say saving egypt's super coral could help vulnerable reefs in other parts of the world. just beyond the resort towns of the red sea in ras shukeir is a major oil processing facility.

leaked documents from the plant's operator shows that polluted waste water is being dumped into the sea here on a massive scale. i see lead, i see cadmium, i see copper, i see nickel, i see heavy metals here, and it is concerning. it's alarming. the data shows there are levels of toxins in the water in breach of national limits. these measurements come from tests carried out by the state backed operator of the plant. they include a 2019 tender seeking a company to clean up the contaminated water. in the tender, it says that 40,000 cubic members of this produced water is being released today. the document doesn't say how long this has been going on, but satellite images, the earliest of which are from 1985, show a greenish plume coming out of the terminal. marine experts analysing the images

say this is likely to be the toxic waste water. british oil company bp owned 50% of the company from 1999 to 2019, when they sold their share, for financial reasons, just before the clean—up tender was issued. bp told the bbc the sale of their share was not part of any plan to meet climate targets. as egypt faces allegations over existing pollution in these waters, new oil exploration has already begun in protected areas nearby. now it's time for a look at the weather with tomasz live news can often be full of surprises let's take a look at what happened to a canyon journalist who was reporting from an elephant orphanage when a belly be elephant came up behind him and put his trunk

on his face. ., ., , ., on his face. human actions are devastating — on his face. human actions are devastating our _ on his face. human actions are devastating our habitats - on his face. human actions are devastating our habitats and i devastating our habitats and disturbing our life. and in rising drug cases and it's up to our guidance of our own natural world to seek our species and provide a home. laughing. 50 seek our species and provide a home. lau:~hin. ., ., seek our species and provide a home. lauhhin, ., ., laughing. so what that was me. never work with animals _ laughing. so what that was me. never work with animals let's _ laughing. so what that was me. never work with animals let's see _ laughing. so what that was me. never work with animals let's see what - work with animals let's see what the weather is doing. more rain on the way and the next few days will be pretty wet and windy at times next week will also be very unsettled it is november after all. here's the big picture the jet stream to the south of us crucially this air of low pressure you can see the rain clouds circling their across the uk. this weather system will be stuck over us until around

sunday before the next one comes in. so if this weather system is stuck over as it could be raining in the same place for a substantial period of time. this is the rainfall acute over the next few days and parts of the country get rainfall, not too much here in western parts of northern ireland but in eastern scotland and the north east of england we are talking around 70—80 mm of rain. spoke quite a lot. then again, a lot of rainfall is not necessarily bad news at this stage, many parts of the country are still pretty dry after that deficit we had during the course of the summer so any wrinkle we do get nowjust seems to replenish the aquifers and waterways. 0f to replenish the aquifers and waterways. of course we do not want the flash flooding a lot of rainfall in a short space of time. here's the forecast of the morning you can see heavy showers in eastern scotland, we have plenty of heavy rain across northern england, heavy showers in the south east. pretty dry in the

morning for northern ireland, showers sunshine and showers for southern wales and along the south coast of england. the bulk of the country here pretty wet and rainy most of that rain is falling during the day there. across the eastern scotland so this will be that focal point for all of that rainfall. this is thursday, spot the differences is friday the rain is pretty much in the same place but that onshore wind and rain clouds being pushed towards the north there and actually a little bit further west to. it is that south western part of the country and along the channel coast that has the driest weather. here's the weekend the best of the weather in the south and west elsewhere rain at times.

this is bbc news — welcome if you're watching here in the uk or around the globe. i'm geeta guru—murthy. the headlines: nato says tuesday's blast in poland which killed two people was likely caused by a ukrainian air defence missile. poland's president called it an "unfortunate incident", and nato's secretary general said ukraine was just trying to protect itself. this is not ukraine's fault. russia bears ultimate responsibility as it continues its illegal war against ukraine. jens stoltenberg will be joining us live on the programme. also coming up: