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tv   The Context  BBC News  May 29, 2023 8:00pm-8:30pm BST

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translation: the country's in a bad situation. _ i pray to god that he's- going to be good for everyone. five more years for turkey's president erdogan, but his opposition rival denounces "the most unfair election in recent years".
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these were some of the celebrations on the streets of istanbul as mr erdogan celebrated with his supporters. but as well as dealing with a deeply divided country, he also has an economic crisis on his hands, with inflation — that's the rate at which prices rise — running at more than a0%. our chief international
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correspondent orla guerin reports. it was a long night of celebration for one side of turkey. supporters of president recep tayyip erdogan massed outside his presidential palace here, marking a hard fought victory. translation: i've been voting for him since i was 18, yetter tells us. my generation backs erdogan. we won the election fairly, thank god. recep tayyip erdogan. i love you a lot. in istanbul, he did it his way. with a singalong for supporters of his ruling ak party and an attack on familiar targets. is the opposition pro lgbt?, he asks. could any lgbt infiltrate our party? no, they chorus.
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over at the opposition�*s headquarters, it was like a funeral. almost half the voters were with them, not the president. the election has crystallised the divisions here, and the opposition is warning of trouble ahead. it's already visible here in currency exchange rates. the turkish lira fell again to a record low on news of the president's victory. experts say he has mismanaged the economy, resulting in rampant inflation. some of the young now see no future here. i don't have hope any more. i don't have hope for turkey. i want to move abroad as soon as possible. the country is in a bad situation. i pray to god that he's going to be good for everyone. i look at the people _ around me who are supporting
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the opposition and all of them are really resentful. _ but many others here can't see a future without recep tayyip erdogan. his base is religious, conservative and nationalist. his loyal supporters have given him five more years to reshape turkey in his image and theirs. orla guerin, bbc news, ankara. joining us live is sinan siddi, nonresident seniorfellow on turkey, foundation for defense of democracies. five more years for president leknessund. what is your assessment of what you will do with those five years? of what you will do with those five ears? , , ., ., , of what you will do with those five ears? , ., , . , of what you will do with those five ears? ., , . , years? give some of these clues last niuht years? give some of these clues last nicht in years? give some of these clues last night in both — years? give some of these clues last night in both his _ years? give some of these clues last night in both his religion _ years? give some of these clues last night in both his religion victory - night in both his religion victory rallies, one in istanbul and one and ankara. it sounds to me like he is going to continue doing a lot of the same thing, polarising the country
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internally, playing on some sauce spot divisions, such as the fixation on anti lgbtq issues. digging down on anti lgbtq issues. digging down on turkish identities and using that nationalism to consolidate his power base domestically. on the foreign—policy side, but not sure what will happen at this point, but we do know that he is interested in the sense returning a freshly full some regional countries, as well as the us and europe to an extent. but that he can do that depends on his preferences going forward. we do know that turkey's economy is in a terrible state, and right now it is facing a massive payment crisis, which means that close to $700 billion of external and internal debt altered will need to be serviced or turkey faces a default, which means he's going to have to return to some sort of economic orthodoxy, or introduce some controls, because what he's doing up until now is unsustainable.
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that is the interesting part. he might be so inc. division at home that builds them power in the basement he wanted to look internationally for help on the economy and that will require a certain degree of compromise, want to? it certain degree of compromise, want to? ., , , ., . to? it does but last night he also mentioned _ to? it does but last night he also mentioned in _ to? it does but last night he also mentioned in his _ to? it does but last night he also mentioned in his victory - to? it does but last night he also mentioned in his victory speech i to? it does but last night he also i mentioned in his victory speech that knocking on the door of international institutions is not what he is interested in necessarily. what is likely to do is approached the emerging partners in the gulf and middle east like the united arab emirates and saudi arabia as well as qatar for immediate financing with i don't think is sustainable going in the long term. i'm no economist but he but i do that essentially than face the sort of opening the books report of the imf and likely also to be unpopular at his level. a compromise is necessary because turkey is also interested in things like acquiring
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new defensive capabilities from the us light new fighterjets but he cannot do that because there are lots of objections here in washington and in congress against turkey's belligerent and antagonistic stance towards other nato partners and allies and also they are still withholding membership to nato from sweden. so all these are on the table so if erdogan is going to have any chance of engaging in a performance—based growth that will benefit voters that see the economy grow, he will have to ameliorate and he will have to essentially build bridges with international partners and allies rather than going at it alone. yes and he is seen _ rather than going at it alone. yes and he is seen previously as a mediator wanting to place him as a mediator wanting to place him as a mediator in world affairs it brings together both sides but that is right with the issue about sweden and there is sessions nato is concerned could be seen as resetting ties with washington if turkey approves. it ties with washington if turkey a - roves. ., ties with washington if turkey auroves. ., . ., , ties with washington if turkey auroves. ., . . y , ties with washington if turkey auroves. ., . ., i, ., approves. it would certainly be a welcoming _ approves. it would certainly be a welcoming move _ approves. it would certainly be a welcoming move but _ approves. it would certainly be a welcoming move but there - approves. it would certainly be a welcoming move but there are i
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approves. it would certainly be a| welcoming move but there are so approves. it would certainly be a - welcoming move but there are so many outstanding issues. there is a long list of issues and if you look at the countries that initially congratulated erdogan first on his victory last night, you will see where some of the fault lines of life. for example one of the first parties to congratulate him is holes. also basically speaks to these three minutes turkey has with these three minutes turkey has with the westin for example turkey still maintains weapons and systems that it acquired from the russian federation back in 2019 which is anathema to nato and the us and europe because the west cannot really tell where turkey stands in the world. and where erdogan stands as basically he is hedging between what he sees as sort of a declining west and ascendant china and russia and try to position himself between that. but given that, what you are suggesting is a bridge or a
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ameliorate her, he has not been in a bridge building role since the early 20105. bridge building role since the early 2010s. he has been very antagonistic and toxic towards traditional partners and allies on the only question i have right now is will he be able to move past that but i don't see that going forward. goad don't see that going forward. good to talk to you. _ don't see that going forward. good to talk to you, thank _ don't see that going forward. good to talk to you, thank you _ don't see that going forward. good to talk to you, thank you for your insight there. grateful for your time. to the war in ukraine now, and russia has mounted a series of daytime strikes on the centre of the ukrainian capital, kyiv. the city's military administration says all were shot down and no targets were hit. this was the scene in kyiv during those attacks. people rushing to their nearest shelters as explosions are heard overhead. this was last night. ukrainian officials say that 66 out of roughly 75 cruise missiles and drones were intercepted by their defences in what was the 15th air attack on the capital this month.
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for more on this, i'm joined by mikey kay, who is a former uk military strategic planner. good to have you with this. talk to us about the significance about the strike happening in daytime when you would assume many of those in kyiv were trying to go about daily business. i were trying to go about daily business. ~ , were trying to go about daily business-_ were trying to go about daily business. ~ , , ., ., business. i think this is one of putin's very — business. i think this is one of putin's very few _ business. i think this is one of putin's very few last _ business. i think this is one of putin's very few last central i putin's very few last central capabilities. we talked about planning in strategic capabilities circles and at long range standoff missiles are probably one of putin's few critical capabilities left to try and inflict damage on ukraine. the first of this is happened. on march the 9th, russia launched over 80 long—range missiles on cities inside ukraine and what the targets are is left to be unanswered. hitting civilian infrastructure of which russia are coming back and claiming that there is some sort of military association with whatever
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they're targeting, but certainly it's something that i think putin is doing because it's one of the very few capabilities that he has at the moment to sort his strength in my there is a suggestion that moscow actively tried to deploy and damage the defences of ukraine. what actively tried to deploy and damage the defences of ukraine.— actively tried to deploy and damage the defences of ukraine. what do we know about the _ the defences of ukraine. what do we know about the resilience _ the defences of ukraine. what do we know about the resilience right - the defences of ukraine. what do we know about the resilience right now. know about the resilience right now and i suppose crucially the supplies, the reinforcements that are being sent from the west? yeah, i think the ukraine's _ are being sent from the west? yeah, i think the ukraine's air _ are being sent from the west? yeah, i think the ukraine's air cover - are being sent from the west? yeah, i think the ukraine's air cover has - i think the ukraine's air cover has increased significantly over the last couple of months with introduction of the patriot missile system, which is an american system that's been deployed inside ukraine and can effectively target multiple long—range missiles which is why you are seeing these numbers from ukraine of 66 being shot down increasing. and i think the resilience from the patriot component is increasing but there is also the delivery of shorter and
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more medium—range missiles that can target russian cruise missiles that are coming from germany as well. and thatis are coming from germany as well. and that is to forget because germany historically has not gotten itself involved in matters outside of its own sovereign national boundaries but the resilience thing is one piece but the ability to go on the offence is another piece because we were talking this month about the uk introducing storm shadow, which is a long—range cruise missile that can be lost from the air to ukraine. what is to forget about that is a lot of these cruise missile attacks from russia are coming from the black seat and what storm shadow will give ukraine the ability to do is target those areas inside the black sea, those ships the cruise missiles are coming from and sol think they'll be something that i will be looking at next if i was a strategic campaign planner into the military defence and inside the pentagon and asking them and the
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decision while it's been a big no—no so far of ukraine and any equipment that has been given but they know and the west to actually launch it inside russia's sovereign national territory, i wondering inside russia's sovereign national territory, iwondering if inside russia's sovereign national territory, i wondering if the question is being asked whether ships in international waters launching cruise missiles inside ukraine, whether they might become a viable target and that's something i look for in the future. that viable target and that's something i look for in the future.— look for in the future. that does chan . e look for in the future. that does change how _ look for in the future. that does change how this _ look for in the future. that does change how this war _ look for in the future. that does change how this war may - look for in the future. that does change how this war may play . look for in the future. that does i change how this war may play out, too. we have talked a lot before about this so—called spring offensive in the summer offensive and i wonder what the timing now looks like given what we have seen and given that response we are being given from russia as this is them preempting that. given from russia as this is them preempting that-— given from russia as this is them preempting that. given from russia as this is them --reemtina that. . ,, .., , preempting that. yeah, you could see a build-u, preempting that. yeah, you could see a build-no. you _ preempting that. yeah, you could see a build-up, you could _ preempting that. yeah, you could see a build-up, you could see _ preempting that. yeah, you could see a build-up, you could see some - a build—up, you could see some what's called posturing of the use of long—range missiles by ukraine being gifted to them by the west and starting to sort of pick out
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strategic targets that could cause a bit of shock and thinking inside the kremlin and lodging a storm shadow on a russian cruise or whether in international waters, on a russian cruise or whether in internationalwaters, i on a russian cruise or whether in international waters, i think they'll be afraid to look out for. what's wrong about the spring offensive is one of the key pillars offensive is one of the key pillars of warfare is surprising obviously there is no surprise element to this any more and we have heard over the last couple of months of ukraine officials actually walking back the potential effectiveness of what it might be able to deliver in this spring offensive but certainly what russia in what putin are doing at the moment might be a sort of preemptive softening of ukrainian morale, you create an infrastructure in advance of that offensive that might be coming or to defend that offensive. ~ , ., �* , offensive. while you're with us i want to ask _ offensive. while you're with us i want to ask you _ offensive. while you're with us i want to ask you about _ offensive. while you're with us i want to ask you about what - offensive. while you're with us i want to ask you about what we | offensive. while you're with us i - want to ask you about what we have her to die as well with this can be from the ukrainian aid to the
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president calling for a demilitarised zone between 120 and kilometres inside the border of russia as part of a postwar settlement to protect ukraine and some of the regions there from shelling. two things struck me about thatis shelling. two things struck me about that is what is already looking to the idea of a postwar sentiment but also the likelihood of russia ever agreeing to something like that. both point you make there are significant. i would also add the questions i would be asking would be a demilitarised zone will take a significant amount of resources in order to notjust impose but to hold it and make sure the zone is not breached. you have then got areas of the ukrainian and russian border which are full of russian backed separatists which actually residing ukraine chemists of the big question would be how would that work because a demilitarised zone is obviously going to prevent access across the
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border so that that is going to introduce some form of tension and thenif introduce some form of tension and then if there is any sort of fighting that goes on inside the dmc, who will be responsible for policing it? will it be ukraine whistle will they put it to the un security council straightaway, russia and china are going to veto that. so council straightaway, russia and china are going to veto that. 50 l china are going to veto that. so i think the china are going to veto that. sol think the international mechanism of how the dmc is omitted if it goes through the un security council would be an instant no—no so the next question is how do you implement that dmc?- next question is how do you implement that dmc? have you resource it- _ implement that dmc? have you resource it. he _ implement that dmc? have you resource it. he was _ implement that dmc? have you resource it. he was going - implement that dmc? have you resource it. he was going to - resource it. he was going to resource it. he was going to resource it. he was going to resource it and what are the plans if there is any friction inside and what you do with the russia separatist element.- what you do with the russia separatist element. what you do with the russia se aratist element. ~ ~ , ., , separatist element. mike you give us a aood to separatist element. mike you give us a good to get — separatist element. mike you give us a good to get your — separatist element. mike you give us a good to get your insight _ separatist element. mike you give us a good to get your insight on issues i a good to get your insight on issues like this, thank you for being with us. former uk military strategic planner, thank you. around the world and across the uk, this is bbc news. let's look at some of the other
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stories making headlines today. in london, the metropolitan police says it will stop attending emergency calls involving mental health incidents from september unless there's an immediate threat to life. sir mark rowley has written to health and social care services outlining the need for officers to concentrate on their primary role of fighting crime. seven men have been remanded in custody in northern ireland after appearing in court accused of the attempted murder of a senior police officer. detective chief inspectorjohn caldwell was shot multiple times outside a sports complex in omagh in february. he was with his young son at the time. a decorative urn at the grave of dame vivienne westwood has been stolen, according to local villagers. florist anja norris has been tending to the grave every two weeks after being asked by the fashion designer's family following her death in 2022. she said a resident in the derbyshire village of tintwistle, where dame vivienne was born, reported the urn missing. the theft is thought to have taken
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place in the past two weeks. you're live with bbc news. breaking news from kosovo, around 25 soldiers deployed in the nato—led peacekeeping mission in kosovo have been injured. these pictures from earlier show violent clashes between serb protesters demanding the removal of recently—elected ethnic albanian mayor. that's what happened according to kfor, or kosovo force, themselves. italian prime minister giorgia meloni said italian peacekeepers had been injured, and the foreign minister confirmed three of them were seriously injured. let's talk to our balkans correspondent guy de launey who's in ljublana, the capital of neighbouring slovenia. what has gone on so far? as you have
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heard from the _ what has gone on so far? as you have heard from the coast _ what has gone on so far? as you have heard from the coast of— what has gone on so far? as you have heard from the coast of the _ what has gone on so far? as you have heard from the coast of the force, - heard from the coast of the force, they say 25 of their force had been injured while peacekeeping in a miss of of that which is a majority serve area. as you been seen from the pictures, what's happened there is local people turned out in the morning to try and stop the recently installed mayor from gaining access to the offices and they were met by peacekeepers and also by members of the kosovo police force. and then at some point things turned violent. the protesters started throwing things and the force says they included incendiary devices which what caused the injuries to their troops. deep am also been injuries on the protesters side and a hospital in the area which is the largest town says they have taken in more than 50 people who have been injured and including one person who has a gunshot wound. lil injured and including one person who has a gunshot wound.—
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has a gunshot wound. if you will exlain has a gunshot wound. if you will exolain some — has a gunshot wound. if you will explain some of— has a gunshot wound. if you will explain some of the _ has a gunshot wound. if you will explain some of the context - has a gunshot wound. if you will explain some of the context and background here and some of those tensions between different ethnic groups there. this tensions between different ethnic groups there-— tensions between different ethnic groups there. this is been building u . groups there. this is been building u- for a groups there. this is been building up for a while- _ groups there. this is been building up for a while. last _ groups there. this is been building up for a while. last month, - groups there. this is been building up for a while. last month, we - groups there. this is been building| up for a while. last month, we had male relations in four principalities in north kosovo. north kosovo is pretty much all majority serve. kosovo is self is majority serve. kosovo is self is majority albanian, and the serbian people in north kosovo said they were not going to take part in these elections and ethnic serb party should not take part in that it resulted in an extremely low turnout of 3.5%, which then allowed ethnic albanian mayors to be elected in these majority serbian areas. and this is a situation which international actors have ported it is somewhat untenable. despite this, the authorities incomes of a insisted on having these mayors inaugurated and then forcibly enter miscible buildings in these areas in
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north kosovo to allow these mayors to physically take office as well and that is despite the advice of the us in the european union telling them not to do this. there has been very harsh criticism from both the us and the eu of the authorities in kosovo for their actions and these are the tensions that it resulted in these of the actions that are being condemned as well. for these of the actions that are being condemned as well.— these of the actions that are being condemned as well. for now, thank ou. we condemned as well. for now, thank you- we will — condemned as well. for now, thank you- we will be _ condemned as well. for now, thank you. we will be back— condemned as well. for now, thank you. we will be back with _ condemned as well. for now, thank you. we will be back with you - condemned as well. for now, thank you. we will be back with you if- you. we will be back with you if they are any further developments. uganda's president, yoweri museveni, has signed into law an anti—homosexuality bill that has been condemned internationally. the signing was confirmed on twitter by the parliament speaker. it's among the strictest anti—lgbt legislation in the world. homosexual acts are already against the law in uganda, but the new bill introduces many new criminal offences, including the death penalty for certain same—sex acts. the us, uk and the eu and major corporations have condemned the law.
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joining us now is ashwanee budoo—scholtz, deputy director, africa division of human rights watch. talk to us was brought by the reaction there as it has been internationally condemned but how has this been received in the country? has this been received in the count ? . ~ has this been received in the count ? ., ~ i. has this been received in the country?— has this been received in the count ? ., ~ , . ., country? thank you very much for havin: country? thank you very much for having me — country? thank you very much for having me on _ country? thank you very much for having me on this _ country? thank you very much for having me on this very _ country? thank you very much for having me on this very sad - country? thank you very much for. having me on this very sad subject. as you mentioned, the law introduces a set of draconian measures against lgbtia persons in the country. and it is one of the harshest laws so of course when this morning we received news that the president has signed the law, there was regrouping about what could be done. and in terms of what could be done. and in terms of what is being done in uganda at the moment is that there is a position at the constitutional court level with 11 petitioners and the interesting thing is that it has a
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variety of petitioners of different backgrounds. you have activists, academics, journalists and a member of parliament who are contesting this law on several grounds. and they are asking the court to declare this particular law is unconstitutional because it violates several human rights and they are also asking for a permanent injunction so that these provisions cannot be applied or implement it. but as you mentioned, same—sex acts have been criminalised in the country since the 1950s, and one of the motivations or one of the objectives of this law is that even if a —— unnatural act was criminalised, the promotion of discriminating of literature and pornographic materials concerning the offences of homosexuality were not regulated and they were trying
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to regulate that. in introducing the death penalty for homosexuality is too extreme. we death penalty for homosexuality is too extreme-— death penalty for homosexuality is too extreme. ., . ., ., too extreme. we touched on some of the international _ too extreme. we touched on some of the international condemnation. - the international condemnation. president biden say this is a shameful act and an alarming trend of human rights abuses and corruption in uganda. what do you since this will mean more broadly for human rights in the country? so for human rights in the country? sr generally in the country, there is a clamp down on civil society organisations and human rights organisations. early in february, the office of the high commissioner for human rights were informed that their mandate would not be renewed in the country because uganda felt that it had enough capacity to monitor the human rights situation in the country. the condemnation of us and uk both talk about sanctions for individuals travelling to the
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country but is not only the uk or the us. when the bill was introduced in parliament and was passed even before its siding, you have the eu, the un which were condemning it with the un which were condemning it with the office of the high commissioner for human rights stating that this law is among the worst of its kind in the world. it’s law is among the worst of its kind in the world-— in the world. it's really good to net in the world. it's really good to get your thoughts _ in the world. it's really good to get your thoughts and - in the world. it's really good to get your thoughts and thank i in the world. it's really good to - get your thoughts and thank you for being with us. more headlines up for you next, you're watching bbc news. hello there. it's been yet another fine, dry and settled day. plenty of sunshine across the uk with highs into the low 20s celsius. now this fine and settled weather, it will continue for the rest of the week as our blocking area of high pressure continues to keep all rain bearing weather fronts well away. you can see this blocking high, sitting almost on top of the country. light winds with very few isobars for many, but a fresh northeasterly breeze will continue across this south east quadrant of england.
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and that'll drag in cloud tonight again off the north sea into the midlands, southern and eastern england. elsewhere where skies are clear, then it could be quite chilly. temperatures maybe close to freezing, but for most, four to eight celsius. could start quite grey, then, tomorrow morning, across central and eastern parts of england, the cloud tending to melt back and fragment towards the coast. however, where areas though do stay grey with a fresh breeze, it'll be quite cool. but further north and west in the strong sunshine, temperatures will be up to 2a, maybe 25 degrees in the glasgow area. that could be the hot spot of the day. tuesday night we see that cloud roll back in across large parts of england and wales this time, whereas much of scotland, northern ireland will remain under clear skies, and temperatures range from around four to maybe ten or 11 across the southeast. it's here where we'll have the strongest of the breeze. so again, a great start for parts of england and wales. on wednesday, though, the cloud will tend to burn back to the coast, although a few areas could see
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the cloud linger on. best of the sunshine again, scotland, northern ireland. it's here where we'll see the lightest of the winds and the highest of the temperatures, could be 25 or 26 degrees in the glasgow area. but again, the mid to high teens along north sea coast. thursday, more cloud, i think, for northern and eastern scotland. again, rather cloudy for eastern england with more of a breeze there. best of the sunshine towards the south and the west. temperatures could be a little bit lower on thursday, up to 23 degrees in parts of north west england, wales and the southwest. but again, cool across north sea coast, particularly where the cloud lingers. our area of high pressure holds on for friday into the weekend, but a different story going on across southern europe. here, we're seeing daytime showers and thunderstorms break out from iberia across to greece and the islands. but for our shores, friday, saturday and sunday, look to be mostly dry and settled, warm by day, fairly cool at night.
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hello, i'm ben thompson. hello, i'm ben thompson. you're watching you're watching the context on bbc news. the context on bbc news. japan threatens to shoot down any japan threatens to shoot down any north korean missile that north korean missile that a full sports round up. enters its territory as pyongyang enters its territory as pyongyang announces plans to launch its first announces plans to launch its first official military satellite. official military satellite.
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but first, let's get but first, let's get a full sports round up. from the bbc sport centre, here's olly. hello from the bbc sport centre. mauricio pochettino is back in the premier league. the former tottenam and southampton manager has taken on the

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