out a new package government has set out a new package of measures that are aimed at reducing record levels of migration. rishi sunak had been under growing pressure to tighten the restrictions after new figures revealed migration was at an all—time high. despite the 2019 manifesto pledge to bring numbers down. among the changes proposed as a rise in the minimum salary required for immigrants to be eligible for a visa that would go up from 26,000 to £38,700. he has exempted health and social care workers where there are currently staff shortages, in part because of brexit. but he said in future they would be prevented from bringing family dependents. he is mark easton. since brexit, the uk has operated a points—based system forforeign workers. as things stand, they have to have a job offer, they have to be skilled and they must speak good english. and importantly, at the moment, they must be paid £26,200 a year

or more if the going rate for theirjob is higher than that. now, from next spring, as we've been hearing, that minimum salary threshold will rise to £38,700. but there are exceptions in what are called shortage occupations, jobs where there are lots of vacancies which can't be filled by local people. well, not easily, anyway. and since last year, the sector which has seen the most workers come in by that route is, of course, health and social care. the numbers are remarkable. in the year to september, 66,000 people got a conventional skilled worker visa, but in the same period, 144,000 people got a health and care visa, mostly to work in care homes. but many of the foreign workers bring close family with them, too. so if you add dependents to the skilled workers, and the numbers rises to 117,000. but in health and care, the combined figure goes up to 318,000. now that's an additional 174,000 dependants who'd no longer be able to come unless the worker earns more than £38,700.

very unlikely. now, some in the care sector worry that stopping foreign workers from bringing their close family will mean they don't come either. which worries skills for care. the body that overseas development and training for social care in england estimates that, on average, 9.9% of roles in adult social care were vacant this past 12 months. that's equivalent to around 150,000 vacancies. the number had decreased by around 11,000 over recent years partly as a result of increased international recruitment. but vacancies are stubbornly high compared to the wider uk economy. so what would a changes like this mean for a sector so heavily dependent on migrants? christina mcanea is the general secretary of the union unison. she called the policies cruel and disastrous. we already know that there is massive shortages in social care and indeed in health, and yet the government, i do want to know, have they spoken to anyone in the sector about this

before introducing these changes? have they spoken to anyone who commissions or provides or employs care workers? i suspect not. this will be an utter disaster because what they are doing is basically sending out a really strong message to those migrant workers who are basically propping up our care sector, and indeed, in many cases, the health sector, and saying, "you are not welcome here because we don't want "you to bring yourfamilies here." so, you know, you can come but only if you earn over what is it, £38,000? well, most care workers, who are predominantly women, are on minimum wage of £10.44 an hour. they earn nothing like 38,000, and indeed most nurses don't earn £38,000 a year. philip rycroft, former permanent secretary at the department for exiting the eu. he will know what the plan was back then. also with us tonight...

mary anne marsh, democratic strategist. the one thing that brexit gave us was control of the levers to do what we wanted on migration, so why has the plan that they set out back in 2019 and introduced in 2021 backfired so spectacularly? in a backfired so spectacularly? in a funny sort _ backfired so spectacularly? in a funny sort of — backfired so spectacularly? in —. funny sort of where you could say that this is one of the slightly elusive brexit benefits. we got our points based system, we equalised in the terms and conditions for bringing firkin from different countries around the world so it was no longer an advantage to people living in the eu, but it looks like it has worked too well and the government has made a manifesto commitment to reduce net migration from the levels they inherited. they have spectacularly missed that target and rather the panics to targets today. i think one of the things that we need to remember in

all of this is the demand side. there is a reason that all of these visas have been given to health and social care workers, it is because folk in this country don't want to do theirjobs. why don't they want to do thejobs? do theirjobs. why don't they want to do the jobs? they are not well—paid enough, they are not well trained, there is not enough money in the system. to get a long—term solution to this, the government is going to have to think very hard about the nature of the social care system in this country. and that, ultimately, will mean paying people better, making theirjobs more attractive so that we are not so reliant on labour from overseas. find reliant on labour from overseas. and that is the point, marianne, people always have a downer on migration and the reality is that governments are very happy to do care and health on the cheap. in social care, they have been able to import plenty of labour to do it over the years. there is an alternative route, you could make a quantum leap in salaries, make thejob could make a quantum leap in

salaries, make the job a great deal more attractive, that would be one way, but governments never seem to want to take up that option.— want to take up that option. know, and i think— want to take up that option. know, and i think really _ want to take up that option. know, and i think really because - want to take up that option. know, and i think really because certain i and i think really because certain parties. — and i think really because certain parties, certain political entities, prefer— parties, certain political entities, prefer to— parties, certain political entities, prefer to have the political benefits of a migration problem, a migration— benefits of a migration problem, a migration crisis. they are not interested _ migration crisis. they are not interested in fixing it when countries around the world, including _ countries around the world, including the united states, are all struggling with their migrant crisis. — struggling with their migrant crisis, struggling to get people in. the system itself has been undermined, you see long lines at all of— undermined, you see long lines at all of the — undermined, you see long lines at all of the borders where people are trying _ all of the borders where people are trying to— all of the borders where people are trying to get in because the process is not _ trying to get in because the process is not working, because it has been cut and _ is not working, because it has been cut and undermined here for decades now. cut and undermined here for decades now and _ cut and undermined here for decades now. and yet they point the finger at the _ now. and yet they point the finger at the that— now. and yet they point the finger at the that existing. meanwhile in many— at the that existing. meanwhile in many countries around the world, the need for— many countries around the world, the need for labour is extraordinary. migrants— need for labour is extraordinary. migrants are a great workforce, and a great _ migrants are a great workforce, and a great way— migrants are a great workforce, and a great way to enter into the economy— a great way to enter into the economy if they can get in and get processed — economy if they can get in and get processed and get work visas and

work— processed and get work visas and work passes to do it, yet nobody seems _ work passes to do it, yet nobody seems interested in getting that part of— seems interested in getting that part of the problem solved. but the oint is, part of the problem solved. but the point is. mary _ part of the problem solved. but the point is, mary anne _ part of the problem solved. but the point is, mary anne marsh, - part of the problem solved. but the point is, mary anne marsh, you - part of the problem solved. but the point is, mary anne marsh, you arei point is, mary anne marsh, you are right that there is a great value to migrants, but people don't want to think that their borders are not controlled. i do that is the specific problem in the united states at the moment, come on to the uk. �* , ., states at the moment, come on to the uk. , states at the moment, come on to the uk. and it is a conscious decision. political actors _ uk. and it is a conscious decision. political actors are _ uk. and it is a conscious decision. political actors are making - uk. and it is a conscious decision. political actors are making a - political actors are making a conscious _ political actors are making a conscious decision to make sure that it does— conscious decision to make sure that it does not— conscious decision to make sure that it does not work, so that they can point _ it does not work, so that they can point to— it does not work, so that they can point to the — it does not work, so that they can point to the chaos and the allegations that the borders and secure — allegations that the borders and secure. and that topic right now as we speak— secure. and that topic right now as we speak as — secure. and that topic right now as we speak as there that is holding up united _ we speak as there that is holding up united states aid to ukraine and israei _ united states aid to ukraine and israel. border security, people are trying _ israel. border security, people are trying to— israel. border security, people are trying to marry it to aid but it has nothing _ trying to marry it to aid but it has nothing to— trying to marry it to aid but it has nothing to do with it.— nothing to do with it. those who want the cut. — nothing to do with it. those who want the cut, philip, _ nothing to do with it. those who want the cut, philip, say - nothing to do with it. those who want the cut, philip, say what i nothing to do with it. those who want the cut, philip, say what isi want the cut, philip, say what is not reflective when we talk about people coming here to work is the number of dependents who come with them, the cost of the dependents to them, the cost of the dependents to the wider economy, so in schooling,

housing, health care, if you look at the last two years, we have taken in overi million people legally at a time when money for services is so acutely short. there a net cost that comes with migration that we continue to overlook? mi comes with migration that we continue to overlook?- comes with migration that we continue to overlook? all of the evidence over _ continue to overlook? all of the evidence over the _ continue to overlook? all of the evidence over the years - continue to overlook? all of the evidence over the years is - continue to overlook? all of the evidence over the years is that l evidence over the years is that migrants tend to add value to the economy, they tend to be younger, they tend to, most of them by definition, are in work, and many of them if you look at the numbers of skilled workers, are in good jobs and making contributions. if you get the balance out of kilter, if you get too many dependents, it begins to slip the other way. it is ultimately about finding the right balance, but when people worry about pressure on public services, they have also got to worry about the other sort of pressure which is not being able to get a care worker for their ageing relatives. so we have to find the right balance. we won't

know, frankly, for some time whether these measures that the government has set out today to achieve a better balance.— has set out today to achieve a better balance. that is the point that suelia _ better balance. that is the point that suella braverman _ better balance. that is the point that suella braverman is - better balance. that is the point i that suella braverman is making tonight, if you brought these in a lot earlier, they would have been reflected in the figures before the general election, but are these changes would be reflected until 2025. she is putting the boot and a little. ,, , ., , , ., 2025. she is putting the boot and a little. ,, , ., , , little. she is not shy of putting the boot in. — little. she is not shy of putting the boot in, she? _ little. she is not shy of putting the boot in, she? if— little. she is not shy of putting the boot in, she? if you - little. she is not shy of putting the boot in, she? if you look. little. she is not shy of putting | the boot in, she? if you look at this from the government's perspective, the numbers for last year and this year really are quite staggering in terms of the increase, given the commitment that they have made. this is the irony of it, that when we come in one of the big promises of brexit was taking back control of the order, introducing this points—based system, but it seems to have overachieved, if i could put it lightly. flan seems to have overachieved, if i could put it lightly.— could put it lightly. can we talk about... these _ could put it lightly. can we talk about... these are _ could put it lightly. can we talk about... these are changes - could put it lightly. can we talk - about... these are changes outlined today that are part of a two pronged

approach. later in the weeks we should get something on illegal migration and specifically the plan to stop the boats. there are reports that the home secretary will be travelling to rwanda may be as early as tomorrow to beginning work on a new treaty. just for people watching around the world, last month the supreme court ruled that processing asylum claims in rwanda might risk claimants being wrongly assessed or returned to their country of origin to face persecution. just before we move on, philip, can i ask you what you are hearing about the changes that might be made and why there are concerns within the home office about the emergency legislation that the government would bring in? i think the rwanda policy has always been about performative politics, hasn't it? there is very little evidence that it would have a huge deterrent effect. the government is impaired on the hoop now, we made a dramatic promise saying that it is desperate to get it to work. i think they will struggle to overcome the consent of the supreme court. you

can't wave a wand and say that a country, we believe it is safe so it is safe. that it will be challenged if anybody is ever threatened with being put on a plane. the worst risk, i think, being put on a plane. the worst risk, ithink, is being put on a plane. the worst risk, i think, is that they try to advance this cause by effectively reneging on our international commitments to the european convention on human rights. that would be a terrible precedent to set, it would put it in some very bad company, it would destabilise the good friday belfast agreement, it would threaten trading propositions with the eu, really disastrous effects for a policy which, at the end of the day, it's probably going to make very little difference to those boats coming across the channel. at the margins, but the incentives are far bigger than the deterrent effects of rwanda. i5 than the deterrent effects of rwanda. , , �* than the deterrent effects of rwanda. , , . , rwanda. is mary anne marsh were sa in: , rwanda. is mary anne marsh were saying. the — rwanda. is mary anne marsh were saying, the illegal— rwanda. is mary anne marsh were saying, the illegal migration - saying, the illegal migration across the southern border in the united states is at a record lap level and it is holding a crucial lead for

ukraine. broadly speaking, there is cross—party support that the white house has allocated, but republican state must come with new money for the border, and they have now separated ukraine spending from that portion of the aid package which included money for and taiwan. today, the administration's budget director shalanda young sent a letter to house and senate leaders which included the most alarming language yet. "i want to be clear," she said, "without congressional action, by the end of the year, we will run out of resources to procure more weapons and equipment for ukraine and to provide equipment from us military stocks. there is no magical pot of funding available to meet this moment. we are out of money and nearly out of time. cutting off the flow of us weapons and equipment will kneecap ukraine on the battlefield, not only putting at risk the gains ukraine has made, but increasing the likelihood of russian military victories." two weeks, that is pretty stark.

yes, and it is all true. the fact is that— yes, and it is all true. the fact is that the — yes, and it is all true. the fact is that the majority of the house under the senate, democrats and republicans, support aid to ukraine. i republicans, support aid to ukraine. i know— republicans, support aid to ukraine. i know you _ republicans, support aid to ukraine. i know you have republican house who have proven _ i know you have republican house who have proven over the last two years and set _ have proven over the last two years and set in _ have proven over the last two years and set in the last two months that it doesn't— and set in the last two months that it doesn't appear that they could organise — it doesn't appear that they could organise a two car funeral. now they are putting _ organise a two car funeral. now they are putting in border security and linking _ are putting in border security and linking it — are putting in border security and linking it to ukraine. just before we came — linking it to ukraine. just before we came in— linking it to ukraine. just before we came in the air, senate majority leader— we came in the air, senate majority leader schumer said that we do not want any— leader schumer said that we do not want any border issues connected to this, we _ want any border issues connected to this, we want to do ukraine, israel, and mayhe — this, we want to do ukraine, israel, and maybe indo asia together, thundered together all at once to -et thundered together all at once to get to— thundered together all at once to get to be — thundered together all at once to get to be aired out of the door. the republicans who run the house have been kicking the budget down the road, _ been kicking the budget down the road, down the road, down the road, down _ road, down the road, down the road, down the _ road, down the road, down the road, down the road and the funds for ukraine — down the road and the funds for ukraine and israel and taiwan and others _ ukraine and israel and taiwan and others are — ukraine and israel and taiwan and others are all part of this budget package — others are all part of this budget package which is why you heard from the irudget— package which is why you heard from the budget director today and then within— the budget director today and then within the — the budget director today and then within the last hour, jake sullivan had a _ within the last hour, jake sullivan had a briefing at the white house

and said — had a briefing at the white house and said that anyone who votes against — and said that anyone who votes against or— and said that anyone who votes against or impedes aid to ukraine is supporting — against or impedes aid to ukraine is supporting vladimir putin. the roblem supporting vladimir putin. the problem with _ supporting vladimir putin. inez problem with this though supporting vladimir putin. ti9: problem with this though is that supporting vladimir putin. ti9 problem with this though is that the house speaker mikejohnson doesn't house speaker mike johnson doesn't have house speaker mikejohnson doesn't have the power to put something through solely on ukraine. there is a large part of his party that once body reform, so we are in a stand—off. body reform, so we are in a stand-offl— body reform, so we are in a stand-off. : :, , ., , stand-off. all of the democrats will su- ort it. stand-off. all of the democrats will sopport it- if _ stand-off. all of the democrats will support it. if those _ stand-off. all of the democrats will support it. if those republicans - stand-off. all of the democrats will support it. if those republicans are| support it. if those republicans are in new— support it. if those republicans are in new york or california, they make up in new york or california, they make up what _ in new york or california, they make up what precious little majority they have now and want to get re—elected to serve in districts that— re—elected to serve in districts that biden won in 2020. they need to support— that biden won in 2020. they need to support the _ that biden won in 2020. they need to support the aid to ukraine and israei— support the aid to ukraine and israei and _ support the aid to ukraine and israel and anywhere else not getting re—elected. it is israel and anywhere else not getting re-elected. , ., ., israel and anywhere else not getting re-elected. ., ., , re-elected. it is alarming europeans because david _ re-elected. it is alarming europeans because david cameron _ re-elected. it is alarming europeans because david cameron is _ re-elected. it is alarming europeans because david cameron is expectedl re-elected. it is alarming europeans i because david cameron is expected in washington on thursday on this very issue, he is going better lobby congress to release the aid. yes. congress to release the aid. yes, and this is _ congress to release the aid. yes, and this is a _ congress to release the aid. yes, and this is a huge _ congress to release the aid. yes, and this is a huge concern. - congress to release the aid. yes, and this is a huge concern. if- congress to release the aid. 19: and this is a huge concern. if you look at the state of the conflict now, it doesn't look as though it

has reached a bit of a stalemate —— does look as though. the economy isn't huge in global terms but it is a lot bigger than the ukrainian economy. it comes to a sort of grinding long—term conflict, if ukraine doesn't get the support from west, then that will give them the upper hand to russia. absolutely no doubt about this. this is incredibly short—sighted. america does not benefit if russia prevails in that conflict. the signalling would send to other malign actors around the world would be very bad news for us. it is very puzzling. that world would be very bad news for us. it is very puzzling-— it is very puzzling. that is a really good _ it is very puzzling. that is a really good point, - it is very puzzling. that is a really good point, actually. | it is very puzzling. that is a | really good point, actually. i it is very puzzling. that is a - really good point, actually. i was reading today that 6% of prey ukrainian spending stays within us borders. obviously they are manufacturing a lot of these weapons so the economy grows as a lot of the aid funding is being allocated. we believe that there.

liz cheney warns the united states is sleepwalking towards a dictatorship. we will look at some of the scorched—earth policies donald trump has been setting out for a second term, and we will speak to david frum, who hasjust written a sobering piece for the atlantic, on the dangers ahead. stay with us. this is bbc news. let's look at some other stories making news. organisers have said they may have to postpone or cancel the games because federal and state governments have repeatedly ruled out supporting them. the prime minister says the bbc should be realistic about the price of the tv licence during high inflation. the fee, which is the main source of the funding for the bbc, has been frozen for the past two years at £159 per person, but is due to rise in april in line with inflation. a bbc

panorama investigation reveals water companies can make sewage pollution disappearfrom companies can make sewage pollution disappear from the official figures, leaked documents suggest that one firm, united utilities, wrongly downgraded dozens of pollution incidents in north—west england last year. the environment agency signed off all of the downgrades without attending any of the incidents. united utilities denies misreporting pollution. you are bbc news. when people show you who they are, if often pays to believe them. and at his rallies across the country, donald trump is telling the american public exactly what he wants from a second term. vengeance, against his political enemies. he would gut the machinery of government. root out, he says, "the communists, marxists, fascists and the radical left thugs that live like vermin within the confines of our country". among his varied proposals for a second term, he's promised to create the largest domestic

deportation in american history, end birthright citizenship, he plans to reinstate the travel ban, he will revoke student visas of those who espouse anti—american views, he will close the department for education, fire thousands of federal workers who may not meet the loyalty test, and he will prosecute his political opponents starting withjoe biden and his son. the republican liz cheney, who sat on the january 6th committee, says these are tools used by authoritarians, fascists and tyrants. and america, she warns, is sleepwalking to a dictatorship. you've said, "fundamentally there's a choice to be made. you can't be both for donald trump and for the constitution. you have to choose." yeah. "a vote for donald trump is unconstitutional, anti—american." well, he won't support and uphold the constitution. we've already seen what happened. he is the only president in american history who attempted to overturn an election, who attempted to seize power to stay in power after he had lost. and the reason that we didn't

have a much more serious crisis was because there were people around him who stopped him. because there were people around the country, state officials for example, who stopped him, who did not yield to the pressure that he put on them to change votes from biden to trump. we won't have that safeguard again, and he's so dangerous. if you have a president who is unwilling to abide by the rulings of the courts, who's unwilling to uphold the constitution, then there are no guard rails who can stop him. the editorial board of the atlantic has dedicated the entire january edition of the magazine to the unprecedented threat they foresee. in his article the danger ahead, david frum writes that... "trump operates so far outside the normal bounds "of human behaviour — never mind normal political "behaviour — that it is difficult to accept what he may actually do, "even when he declares his intentions openly." david frum is with us now.

lovely to see you. why dedicate the entire january addition to this one theme? ~ ., , entire january addition to this one theme? 9 . , ., theme? well, we have been at the atlantic on — theme? well, we have been at the atlantic on this _ theme? well, we have been at the atlantic on this for _ theme? well, we have been at the atlantic on this for some _ theme? well, we have been at the atlantic on this for some time. - theme? well, we have been at thej atlantic on this for some time. the atlantic on this for some time. the atlantic is very unusual in american politics. our party is no —— our policy is no partick or clique. on the anti—constitutional danger of donald trump, we speak from a variety of perspectives as a unified voice. i wrote a cover story for the atlantic in january voice. i wrote a cover story for the atlantic injanuary of voice. i wrote a cover story for the atlantic in january of 2017 voice. i wrote a cover story for the atlantic injanuary of 2017 when he was elected into the presidency for the first time, describing how vulnerable the united states was to an authoritarian leader and warning that donald trump will do a lot of things to subvert the constitution including try not to leave office if we were defeated. this time, what i see in my thesis, is even more ominous outcome, which is total chaos. donald trump's first priority, should he come into office, would be to shut down the justice system. he is facing all

kinds of legal dangers, he will go to prison if he is convicted, and he is on his way to being convicted in at least some of these trials. his first priority to do what richard nixon was removed from office to do. the problem he is having to face is that americans... that is very hard to square of the american system. there is no harry potter cheat code when you can say abracadabra, i am out of prison. you have to actually start firing lawyers, shutting down the department ofjustice. it will be chaos upon chaos upon chaos. the most ominous thing that he will try to do, and there is a question about this as well, he wants to try to use the military to suppress the protests that will break out. will the military obey what are clearly illegal orders? probably not, then where are we?— illegal orders? probably not, then where are we? : where are we? american democracy did survive and the — where are we? american democracy did survive and the guard _ where are we? american democracy did survive and the guard rail _ where are we? american democracy did survive and the guard rail is _ where are we? american democracy did survive and the guard rail is held, - survive and the guard rail is held, why would they fail this time? the drunkard why would they fail this time? ti9 drunkard brings the car into the grouch and only one or two of the lights are smashed out. there is

only one big ouch along one side of the car, but the passengers were scared and they are not dead. he says give me another drink and give me the keys again. last time he nearly killed us all. you want him to have another try? he said that we got through it. i have covered, i don't know how many, presidential inauguration is. not dozens, but a lot. you have to fill time before the president takes the oath at noon and we always talk boringly about the peaceful transition of power, the peaceful transition of power, the tradition that goes back now almost a quarter of a million. that tradition ended with donald trump and we didn't have a transition of power in 2020. we had a violent transition of power. the defeated president trying to, by force, three overthrow an election. it didn't quite work but have we adjusted to say that the fact that the president was unsuccessful is recent to be confident that next time he will be safe? :, ., ,

confident that next time he will be safe? :, ., . safe? you also say in this article that were _ safe? you also say in this article that were he _ safe? you also say in this article that were he to _ safe? you also say in this article that were he to win _ safe? you also say in this article that were he to win the - safe? you also say in this article l that were he to win the presidency again, then the whole world will become a theatre for his politics of revenge and rewards, so there would be some european countries, germany perhaps, that would suffer, and saudi arabia might be one of the winners. in the article in the atlantic... there are huge repercussions for all of the world in this. mi repercussions for all of the world in this. : :, :, :,, in this. all of the world. the most im ortant in this. all of the world. the most important repercussion _ in this. all of the world. the most important repercussion that - in this. all of the world. the most important repercussion that the i important repercussion that the world will face at the breakdown of the american presidency and chaos in washington. a lot of the things that donald trump says he will do, i read of that list, he is not going to do. because that would require, whether you find those things admirable or heinous, all of those things like deporting people, that requires an organised government. we will have the president beginning by trying to shut down trials where he has been indicted, tried to pardon himself

crimes, orderthe indicted, tried to pardon himself crimes, order the military to do illegal things, and people in the streets and congress in an uproar, the united states looking completely inward, no foreign policy, no government at all, i have seen the federal communications commission keeps working but anything that requires the president to work with congress won't exist.— requires the president to work with congress won't exist. david, let me brin: in congress won't exist. david, let me bring in our — congress won't exist. david, let me bring in our panel. _ congress won't exist. david, let me bring in our panel. mary _ congress won't exist. david, let me bring in our panel. mary anne - congress won't exist. david, let me i bring in our panel. mary anne marsh, doesn't the democratic party have to face up to what we see in the polling that a lot of the country, a lot of the republicans, see democrats and the democratic party is extremist and dangerous to the constitution as donald trump. that is the part of the problem in american politics right now. that is true and i think _ american politics right now. that is true and i think there _ american politics right now. that is true and i think there are _ american politics right now. that is true and i think there are two - true and i think there are two important points here. donald trump has effectively had almost eight years to really condition people in this country to see his view of a

dictatorship. he wants to install it in the united states and he has basically been unimpeded until may be the last six months, and i would say even only the last six weeks. at the same time, what is being ignored is that donald trump, as someone who has watched all of his rallies including saturday night, he is once again trying to foment violence against his supporters for the next election. and on saturday night in eire where he talked about the importance of going to detroit and philadelphia and to guard the votes, to watch what is going on. this philadelphia and to guard the votes, to watch what is going on.— to watch what is going on. this is the point. _ to watch what is going on. this is the point. he _ to watch what is going on. this is the point, he is _ to watch what is going on. this is the point, he is making _ to watch what is going on. this is the point, he is making a - to watch what is going on. this is the point, he is making a lot - to watch what is going on. this is the point, he is making a lot of i the point, he is making a lot of these points publicly which is why these points publicly which is why the alarm bells are ringing. we have got to go to a quick break. thank you all very much for being with us this evening. a fascinating article in the atlantic this month. do take a look. we will be right back. hello again. while we saw a bit of wintriness on monday across parts of scotland, northern england, mainly over higher ground, for many, actually, we saw some rain falling.

that rain was really quite heavy for parts of central southern areas of england throughout monday. but as we go through into tuesday, this area of low pressure will continue to move away to the south—east. it'll stay pretty cloudy. still some wintriness over the higher ground of northern england, perhaps north wales as well. but with clear skies across scotland and northern ireland, here, a frost. temperatures —4, —5 degrees into tuesday. for england and wales, frost—free. and that's because we've got lots of clouds, still some outbreaks of rain at times. gradually, though, that'll tend to clear away to the south—east and might see a bit of brightness eventually in north—western areas. plenty of blue skies and sunshine, though, across scotland and northern ireland throughout the day, with maximum temperatures here 2 or 3 celsius, maybe about 7 to 8 or 9 degrees for england and wales. now, as we go through tuesday night, the cloud will continue to clear away from the south—east, and then with clear skies, it's still going to turn really quite cold, actually. a widespread frost expected, and we could see temperatures as low as —11, —12 degrees over

the snowfields of northern scotland. but then as we go through wednesday, after a bright start to the day, you notice we've got this weather system in the west and that contains milder air. but it's going to be quite slow—moving, that, on wednesday, so while eventually the cloud increases across northern ireland, southern and western areas, with some patchy rain eventually arriving late in the day, apart from some patches of mist and fog in central, southern areas, there'll be plenty of dry, plenty of sunny weather around during wednesday, but it will feel fairly chilly. temperatures only about 2—4 or 5 celsius. but look at that — 11 degrees in plymouth, a sign of the milder air, which will eventually start to move its way in during wednesday as this weather front moves through. now, as it hits colder air, for a time, there could be some snow over the higher ground of scotland and northern england. but throughout thursday, really, this milder air, the oranges here really move north—eastward across all parts of the uk. so all of us will eventually see the temperatures rise really from wednesday onward.

but with that, turning quite wet and windy at times as well. bye— bye.

hello, i'm christian fraser. you're watching the context on bbc news. palestinian sources report that at least 30 people have been killed and over 100 injured after israeli airstrikes hit two

schools in gaza city earlier today. welcome back. dozens of tanks have been seen on the outskirts of the city of khan yunis today, as israel continues to expand its ground offensive in southern gaza. the military has ordered the evacuation of nearly two dozen neighbourhoods in and around the town, urging tens of thousands to move further south towards rafah or the coast. the israeli military denies it's trying to drive palestinians from gaza permanently, but the red cross warns the territory is enduring "intolerable" suffering. the idf are dropping thousands of leaflets in the south which a qr of leaflets in the south which has a qr code that links to this online map. it breaks the gaza map into hundreds of numbered blocks,

those numbers supposedly corresponding to safe areas,