the un security council postpones a vote tonight on gaza until tomorrow. a new text has been presented to the council which calls for a humanitarian pause. today injerusalem the us defence secretary said it was not for the white house to dictate timelines to israel, but he is urging a new phase in the conflict. it comes amid wider concerns of an escalation — bp the latest to announce it's paused all shipping through the red sea after another wave of attacks by houthi rebels in yemen. on the panel tonight to discuss it all — tara setmayer, former communications directorfor the republican party, and now resident scholar at the university of virginia's centre for politics. and anand menon, director of the uk in a changing europe. good evening. the un security council has postponed a vote tonight

while the united states considers a new text that calls for a humanitarian pause in gaza. 10 days ago the americans vetoed a resolution that called for a ceasefire. a vote in which the uk abstained. but what is interesting about this current text is that is has already current text is that it has already been amended by the united states. so the language of the original draft as put forward by the arab states called for "an urgent and sustainable cessation of hostilities to allow safe and unhindered humanitarian access" amended now calls for the urgent suspension of hostilities to allow safe and unhindered humanitarian access, and for urgent steps towards a sustainable cessation of hostilities." nada tawfik is in new york, watching and waiting to see if the resolution will get over the line. it seems to me they have added in a humanitarian pause with the idea of moving when it is possible to a broader ceasefire. given that the americans have amended the text. is

there a greater chance of it being approved tomorrow? yes. there a greater chance of it being approved tomorrow? yes, christian. my understanding — approved tomorrow? yes, christian. my understanding from _ approved tomorrow? yes, christian. my understanding from diplomats i approved tomorrow? yes, christian. my understanding from diplomats is| my understanding from diplomats is that it my understanding from diplomats is thatitis my understanding from diplomats is that it is reallyjust waiting for a final sign off from dc and that the hope is that tomorrow when they hold the vote, it will avoid a us veto. whether the united states vote in favour of that resolution or abstains, we will have to wait and see but certainly they have proposed that language to make it more palatable to them. it is a little bit stronger in the sense that it goes from the last resolution which called for pauses and talks about a suspension of hostilities with urgent steps towards the station of hostilities but yes, far from the demand for a ceasefire that we saw in the general assembly from the 153 nations there in that non—binding resolution. nevertheless, what we're seeing is real pressure on the security council and many pointing out that it is not really upheld

responsibilities in this conflict is the main lawmaking body in the un to reach a consensus. so, here after this pressure by the secretary general and the general assembly, we have members close to an agreement on what seems like the toughest language they are able to rally around. $5 language they are able to rally around. �* , ,, language they are able to rally around. ~ , i. ., language they are able to rally around. a ., ., around. as you say, a resolution within the _ around. as you say, a resolution within the security _ around. as you say, a resolution within the security council - around. as you say, a resolution| within the security council would around. as you say, a resolution . within the security council would be legally binding on all un members of which israel is one. help me with the technicalities before we discuss it further, if the us and uk abstained, would that still mean it would be adopted and would israel then have to respond because? yes. then have to respond because? yes, as lona as then have to respond because? yes, as long as the _ then have to respond because? yes, as long as the uk, _ then have to respond because? yes, as long as the uk, france _ then have to respond because? is: as long as the uk, france and china or russia veto and as long as nine other members vote in favour it does pass and go officially into security

council record. israel would be in a perfect world obligated to follow the letter of that resolution. christian, you and i both know that there are other resolutions that israel has not abided by. its critics have certainly called out numerous times in the security council in regards to illegal settlement activity. so the united states, the question is whether they would turn against their ally if they didn't abide by this one. but nevertheless, it does become international law in the eyes of the world. ., ~' ,, , international law in the eyes of the world. ., ~ ,, , . international law in the eyes of the world. . ~ , . ., ., world. thank you very much for that. tara, world. thank you very much for that. tara. what — world. thank you very much for that. tara. what do _ world. thank you very much for that. tara, what do you _ world. thank you very much for that. tara, what do you think _ world. thank you very much for that. tara, what do you think is _ world. thank you very much for that. tara, what do you think is going - world. thank you very much for that. tara, what do you think is going on l tara, what do you think is going on here? there has clearly been a lot of tense negotiation going on within the security council this afternoon. at the same time that the defence secretary is anyjerusalem, what is the us position tonight, do you think? i the us position tonight, do you think? ~' the us position tonight, do you think? ~ ,, ., , , think? i think the us has been put in a very difficult _ think? i think the us has been put in a very difficult situation - think? i think the us has been put

in a very difficult situation as - think? i think the us has been put in a very difficult situation as of i in a very difficult situation as of late given the benjamin netanyahu's behaviour and some of the comments that he has made. you can see there has been frustration on the part of the united states trying to be the good ally to israel that the us has been over the years sending the defence secretary over to jerusalem about attacks there over hamas in warning and using his experience and warning and using his experience and warning about specific did strategic defeat if they don't rein us then. without telling them exactly what to do. this is the united states nudging nicely but aggressively with the israelis to try and get out of this because of what has been going on now and how israel has been prosecuting this war against hamas. so it's a subtle change then, they are nudging towards, look, we have still got your backs but we are not giving you full cover here. we are abstaining, we would encourage you

to move towards a humanitarian pause. to move towards a humanitarian -ause. , . to move towards a humanitarian ause. , ., ~' to move towards a humanitarian ause. , . ~ ., , pause. yes, and i think that is consistent _ pause. yes, and i think that is consistent with _ pause. yes, and i think that is consistent with where - pause. yes, and i think that is consistent with where the - pause. yes, and i think that is i consistent with where the biden administration has been. they have said consistently that they are ok with these humanitarian pause is not going so far to call for a ceasefire. it's a really delicate diplomatic position for them to be in. the fact that you have the cia director overseas trying to negotiate with the qataris and the israelis over hostage negotiations, you have the secretary of defence in jerusalem and then you also have senators in the us senate openly criticising benjamin netanyahu as saying that it is making it difficult for the usa to be a good partner. combined with all of these things i think it is a very delicate balance for the united states tipping a little bit more towards pushing israel to have a change of course. ., �* , pushing israel to have a change of course. ., h ., pushing israel to have a change of course. . h . .,, pushing israel to have a change of course. . h . , �* course. that's an development, isn't it? this comes _ course. that's an development, isn't it? this comes as _ course. that's an development, isn't it? this comes as britain, _ course. that's an development, isn't it? this comes as britain, germany i it? this comes as britain, germany and france have all called for a sustainable ceasefire. it's an

interesting adjective and it sort of does some heavy lifting that adjective because nobody really knows what sustainable means. they are not calling for... i mean, clearly they support a temporary pause but they are not yet calling for permanent ceasefire. absolutely. they provide — for permanent ceasefire. absolutely. they provide a _ for permanent ceasefire. absolutely. they provide a plausible _ for permanent ceasefire. absolutely. they provide a plausible deniability l they provide a plausible deniability because _ they provide a plausible deniability because you can say well, israelis aren't— because you can say well, israelis aren't saying it will be his sustainable until they have dealt with, _ sustainable until they have dealt with. so— sustainable until they have dealt with. so it — sustainable until they have dealt with, so it gives wiggle room. things— with, so it gives wiggle room. things are _ with, so it gives wiggle room. things are shifting on two fronts, firstly— things are shifting on two fronts, firstly on — things are shifting on two fronts, firstly on perceptions of the war itself _ firstly on perceptions of the war itself. people are getting increasingly uncomfortable about the daily pictures from gaza of civilian deaths _ daily pictures from gaza of civilian deaths in — daily pictures from gaza of civilian deaths in things like that. but i think_ deaths in things like that. but i think also, in terms of the longer term, _ think also, in terms of the longer term, there — think also, in terms of the longer term, there was a very interesting piece _ term, there was a very interesting piece by— term, there was a very interesting piece by the defence secretary in the uk _ piece by the defence secretary in the uk today where he said that the tactics _ the uk today where he said that the tactics that netanyahu was using is going _ tactics that netanyahu was using is going to _ tactics that netanyahu was using is going to generate hatred in the arab world _ going to generate hatred in the arab world and _ going to generate hatred in the arab world and keep this conflict going for 50 _ world and keep this conflict going for 50 years. both in terms of the immediate — for 50 years. both in terms of the immediate conflict and what events

now might mean for the future in terms _ now might mean for the future in terms of— now might mean for the future in terms of some sort of stable solution _ terms of some sort of stable solution to this problem, the ground is shifting _ solution to this problem, the ground is shifting a — solution to this problem, the ground is shifting a little bit. yes, solution to this problem, the ground is shifting a little bit.— is shifting a little bit. yes, the rhetoric seems _ is shifting a little bit. yes, the rhetoric seems to _ is shifting a little bit. yes, the rhetoric seems to be - is shifting a little bit. yes, the rhetoric seems to be on - is shifting a little bit. yes, the rhetoric seems to be on two . is shifting a little bit. yes, the - rhetoric seems to be on two tracks when it comes to washington. you heard sort of full support from secretary austin today in terms of the war objectives. but then again tonight, the state department is criticising how much aid is going through even though the second access to gaza has been opened, they are still not satisfied with the amount of aid that is going on. yes. amount of aid that is going on. yes, the implication _ amount of aid that is going on. yes, the implication from _ amount of aid that is going on. yes, the implication from the _ amount of aid that is going on. yes, the implication from the american rhetoric— the implication from the american rhetoric that i take is that the aim is to— rhetoric that i take is that the aim is to sound — rhetoric that i take is that the aim is to sound like we are saying this is to sound like we are saying this is your— is to sound like we are saying this is your friends. you have our hacking _ is your friends. you have our backing and as a country that backs you, backing and as a country that backs you. we _ backing and as a country that backs you, we think you ought to, rather than _ you, we think you ought to, rather than being — you, we think you ought to, rather than being betrayed as an outright criticism. — than being betrayed as an outright criticism, this is meant to be coming — criticism, this is meant to be coming from a position of friendship. that is howl coming from a position of friendship. that is how i am interpreting it. you are quite right. — interpreting it. you are quite right. the _ interpreting it. you are quite right, the statement injerusalem seem _ right, the statement injerusalem seem to — right, the statement injerusalem seem to give pretty solid backing to

israet _ seem to give pretty solid backing to israel. ~ ., seem to give pretty solid backing to israel. a, , , seem to give pretty solid backing to israel. ,, ,. ,, israel. more yes, discussing with his israeli counterpart _ israel. more yes, discussing with his israeli counterpart for- israel. more yes, discussing with his israeli counterpart for major. his israeli counterpart for major combat operations to what he describes as at intelligence led operation. but he was not there, he said to instruct them on how quickly that should come about. this is israel's operation, and i'm not here to dictate timelines or terms. our support to israel's right to defend itself is ironclad, as you've heard me say a number of times, and that's not going to change. you know, we can offer some insight based upon our own experience in fighting terrorist groups, and certainly that enabled us to have great discussions. and we also have some great thoughts about how to transition from high—intensity operations to lower—intensity and more surgical operations. that is broadly in line with what we got this weekend from british foreign secretary lord cameron, who with his german counterpart, has been calling for a �*sustainable ceasefire'. what that is and how much longer

the israeli have to transition to that new phase is open to question, but no doubt there is a discernible hardening of the language among israel's key allies. in response the israeli defence minster suggested the local minister suggested the local population may be able to return to the north as operation progress, but he said that will take time. soon we will be able to distinguish between different areas in gaza. in every area where we achieve our mission, we will be able to transition gradually to the next phase and start working on bringing back local population. that means that it can be achieved maybe sooner in the north rather than in the south. tara, there is a video that has come out tonight of three elderly men who are being held who were taken from a kibbutz on october seven. we are not showing the video but this is this still of the three

gentlemen. two of them are in the 80s, they are elderly hostages. what is interesting is the text that came with that photograph. her massing there are not interested in a humanitarian pause for hostages unless it comes with a complete cessation, a ceasefire. that will have to be taken into account when you consider the resolution. it may be that the un security council wants a pause but if hamas isn't prepared to play by those rules, there won't be one.— there won't be one. well, that's art of there won't be one. well, that's part of the _ there won't be one. well, that's part of the challenge _ there won't be one. well, that's part of the challenge here. - there won't be one. well, that's part of the challenge here. you | part of the challenge here. you have to have both parties negotiating in good faith which is why our cia director is over there in qatar trying to work something else out again. this has been more difficult with the second round of negotiations for a humanitarian pause because the parties are so far apart. when hamas beats like this, saying it is either this or that and there is the absolute it makes it

even more difficult. given what hamas is done and the butchery that they have inflicted on israel, they are not in a great position to make demands. this is part of that challenge. in the meantime, the us recognises that israel still need support to try and take out hamas and the biden administration has bypassed the congress and has sent over some artillery shells and weapons to israel bypassing congress using an emergency arms control act that has made some folks in the us congress today upset about this but there are ways for the us to continue to support israel's effort to take out hamas while we're still trying to negotiate negotiate the hostages. if trying to negotiate negotiate the hostaues. . trying to negotiate negotiate the hostaues. , ., ., ., hostages. if there is negotiation for the hostages _ hostages. if there is negotiation for the hostages you _ hostages. if there is negotiation for the hostages you would - hostages. if there is negotiation - for the hostages you would imagine the price is going to be that much higher. it is going to be palestinians who have blood on their hands, who have killed israelis who are held in prisons. ijust wonder, all that said, whether the dynamics

have shifted in israel over the weekend after what happened in the shooting dead of three hostages because force is not changing the equation, most of these hostages who are coming out now are sadly coming out in body bags and somehow the government has to shift and change what happens on the ground. yes. government has to shift and change what happens on the ground. yes, the government — what happens on the ground. yes, the government is — what happens on the ground. yes, the government is in _ what happens on the ground. yes, the government is in a _ what happens on the ground. yes, the government is in a tricky _ what happens on the ground. yes, the government is in a tricky position. - government is in a tricky position. it is government is in a tricky position. it is under— government is in a tricky position. it is under massive pressure from families— it is under massive pressure from families of— it is under massive pressure from families of the hostages to do something about getting this released and as you say, negotiations as and when they occur will he _ negotiations as and when they occur will be far— negotiations as and when they occur will be far more difficult than they were the — will be far more difficult than they were the first time because a lot more _ were the first time because a lot more blood has been spelt since then _ more blood has been spelt since then. hamas seem to have hardened their position and it will be far harder— their position and it will be far harder negotiate. as far as the release — harder negotiate. as far as the release of— harder negotiate. as far as the release of prisoners that israel really— release of prisoners that israel really does not want to release. its really does not want to release. as far as really does not want to release. far as those really does not want to release. is far as those efforts of the un to agree to some kind of pause there were worries that the war is spilling out of gaza into lebanon and the red sea to one of the world's busy shipping routes.

and now the global shipping companies are re—routing vessels — following wave after wave of attacks from the iranian backed houthi rebels in yemen. yesterday the uss carmen shot down 1a drones that were aimed at carriers in the vicinity. and more this morning. the oil giant bp announced today it was pausing deliveries through the suez canal. others have taken the same decision. and that means they will have to send them on a 9,000km journey around the cape of good hope adding anything up to 1a days to the journey. from an economic perspective, which is your strong point, that is going to put all sorts of problems to the world economy. fill. to put all sorts of problems to the world economy.— world economy. 0h, absolutely. i think if lots _ world economy. oh, absolutely. i think if lots of— world economy. 0h, absolutely. i think if lots of oil— world economy. 0h, absolutely. i think if lots of oil companies - think if lots of oil companies follow— think if lots of oil companies follow suit we will see a rising oil price _ follow suit we will see a rising oil price this— follow suit we will see a rising oil price. this is a quiet time in terms of consumer— price. this is a quiet time in terms of consumer demand but we saw with the disruption to supply chains during — the disruption to supply chains during the pandemic that it doesn't take much— during the pandemic that it doesn't take much for these extremely sort of fragile _ take much for these extremely sort of fragile supply change to stop working — of fragile supply change to stop working and for us to realise just how much— working and for us to realise just

how much we depend on them. at a time when _ how much we depend on them. at a time when much of the world, particularly in europe, we are recovering _ particularly in europe, we are recovering from a cost of living crisis _ recovering from a cost of living crisis and — recovering from a cost of living crisis and high inflation, this is the last— crisis and high inflation, this is the last thing we need because the pressure _ the last thing we need because the pressure will be inflationary again. didut— pressure will be inflationary again. didn't we — pressure will be inflationary again. didn't we see that when that ship was stuck in the suez canal in 2021, all of these ships were backed up in the global supply chain started to seize up just off the back of the pandemic and it didn't really start to play on inflation around the world. . to play on inflation around the world. , ., , , to play on inflation around the world. , , , to play on inflation around the world. , ., , , ,., ., world. yes, absolutely. globaltrade is a ve , world. yes, absolutely. globaltrade is a very. very _ world. yes, absolutely. globaltrade is a very, very complex _ world. yes, absolutely. globaltrade is a very, very complex thing - world. yes, absolutely. globaltrade is a very, very complex thing and . world. yes, absolutely. globaltrade is a very, very complex thing and it | is a very, very complex thing and it doesn't _ is a very, very complex thing and it doesn't take — is a very, very complex thing and it doesn't take much to make it go wrong _ doesn't take much to make it go wrong so— doesn't take much to make it go wrong. so in that sense, yes, this is where _ wrong. so in that sense, yes, this is where the — wrong. so in that sense, yes, this is where the war really starts to buy it— is where the war really starts to buy if the — is where the war really starts to buy if the shipping traffic through the red _ buy if the shipping traffic through the red sea is severely disrupted then we — the red sea is severely disrupted then we will see impact on our economies— then we will see impact on our economies here at home. tara, the republicans — economies here at home. tara, the republicans are _ economies here at home. tara, the republicans are pretty _ economies here at home. tara, the republicans are pretty hard - economies here at home. tara, the republicans are pretty hard line - economies here at home. tara, the republicans are pretty hard line on| republicans are pretty hard line on the iranians, what is the thinking on what the response should be. yes, you can put naval vessels in this area of the red sea, it's pretty

narrow, only, ithink area of the red sea, it's pretty narrow, only, i think 20 area of the red sea, it's pretty narrow, only, ithink 20 kilometres across but some point you've got to stop them firing missiles and drones at ships. do you take the fight to the youthi rebels? do you take the fight to around?— fight to around? obviously, republicans _ fight to around? obviously, republicans when - fight to around? obviously, republicans when it - fight to around? obviously, republicans when it comes | fight to around? obviously, l republicans when it comes to fight to around? obviously, - republicans when it comes to iran of what is happening with the youthi rebels is a problem. we have already had a number of incidences between the us navy and youthis and they want more of that. the problem here is that there is a bigger regional response needed, it can'tjust be us. you have the saudis, the uae, they have different approaches. the uae wants the us to be more robust but the saudis want to be more diplomatic. you have to balance those interest in the region as well when it comes to the american response to it. absolutely this has an impact on not only the strategic security of a region but given what

is happening domestically in the us, theissue is happening domestically in the us, the issue of oil prices and gas prices has impacted domestic policy here and the biden administration for rising oil prices when they've just started to come down this would be helpful to abide administration at a time when they need a domestic win. . , at a time when they need a domestic win. , , . ., , ., win. yes, they were complaining today that _ win. yes, they were complaining today that the _ win. yes, they were complaining today that the president - win. yes, they were complaining today that the president is - win. yes, they were complaining today that the president is not . today that the president is not getting enough credit for turning the economy around. israel won't want a second front in regard to lebanon, and we all know what the situation of the lebanese economy is at the moment but there is always that danger of escalation across the border and israelis are warning hezbollah that unless they pull their forces back that they are going to attack.—

their forces back that they are going to attack. yes, there is a real danger _ going to attack. yes, there is a real danger of _ going to attack. yes, there is a real danger of escalation - going to attack. yes, there is a real danger of escalation and i going to attack. yes, there is a i real danger of escalation and not only in_ real danger of escalation and not only in the — real danger of escalation and not only in the sense of hezbollah joining — only in the sense of hezbollah joining in— only in the sense of hezbollah joining in the conflict from lebanon which _ joining in the conflict from lebanon which is _ joining in the conflict from lebanon which is as— joining in the conflict from lebanon which is as you say going to be damaging _ which is as you say going to be damaging to the lebanese economy and not what _ damaging to the lebanese economy and not what israel wants but also the broader— not what israel wants but also the broader damage of radicalisation in populations around the world which is a part— populations around the world which is a part of— populations around the world which is a part of what we're seeing the red sea — is a part of what we're seeing the red sea that the longer these conflicts— red sea that the longer these conflicts go on the longer it looks like civilians are being killed and wounded — like civilians are being killed and wounded watching the danger that discontent amongst muslim populations increases, that is something we need to be careful about _ coming up another christmas without an executive in northern ireland. power sharing still on hold. we will get anand's thought on what it is the unionists want from a post—brexit agreement — and whether that can be delivered. and in the states, another big moment on migration. as the texas governor gregg abbott signs into law some of the toughest border legislation in us history. stay with us. this is bbc news.

let's look at some other stories making news. a new type of non—hormonal menopause treatment for hot flushes and night sweats has been approved in the uk. the daily pill, veoza — or fezolinetant — works on the brain's temperature—control centre to alleviate symptoms, which affect more than a million people in the uk. the drug has not yet been recommended for the nhs to prescribe. the bbc understands that russell brand has been questioned by police for a second time investigating allegations of sexual offences. the 48—year—old comedian is believed to have been interviewed by detectives from the metropolitan police under caution over six non—recent sexual offences. in september, brand was accused of rape, assault and emotional abuse, which he has strongly denied. thousands of xl bully owners have been told they will not need to put down their dogs when a ban on the breed comes into force in two weeks.

from december 31st, the dogs will have to be muzzled in public and it will be illegal to breed, sell or abandon them. you're live with bbc news. trade between northern ireland and the republic of ireland was straightforward before brexit — both were in the eu, both shared the same trade rules. but when northern ireland left the eu, with the rest of the united kingdom, its relationship with the south changed. the trade deal that was renegotiated with brussels was supposed to facilitate that continuing trade with the south. it's called the windsor framework. it provides a green lane through which goods sent from britain remain in northern ireland and a red lane for those goods which may be sent on to the eu. but those revised trading arrangement continue to be opposed by the democratic unionist party. and have since served as a major obstacle to restoring devolution in northern ireland. the dup has been boycotting stormont since early 2022. there was some hope building last week that an agreement on power

sharing could be reached before the westminster recess tomorrow. but today, despite talks in belfast and the promise of a £2.5 billion sweetener, the talks have stalled again. what is it the dup one and where is the sticking point?— the sticking point? negotiations between the _ the sticking point? negotiations between the government - the sticking point? negotiations between the government and i the sticking point? negotiations. between the government and the the sticking point? negotiations - between the government and the dwp and the _ between the government and the dwp and the parties and northern ireland have been_ and the parties and northern ireland have been shrouded in secrecy but what _ have been shrouded in secrecy but what the _ have been shrouded in secrecy but what the dup have said from the start— what the dup have said from the start is— what the dup have said from the start is that they are unhappy with the northern ireland protocol and as far as _ the northern ireland protocol and as far as they— the northern ireland protocol and as far as they concern it damages the northern— far as they concern it damages the northern ireland economy. it also threatens— northern ireland economy. it also threatens a place of northern ireland — threatens a place of northern ireland within the united kingdom because _ ireland within the united kingdom because the crucial bit about brexit is that— because the crucial bit about brexit is that it _ because the crucial bit about brexit is that it imposes a border, regulatory border between the northern ireland and great britain and that— northern ireland and great britain and that is— northern ireland and great britain and that is something that the union is fundamentally object to. the problem — is fundamentally object to. the problem is that that border was seen by the _ problem is that that border was seen by the eu _ problem is that that border was seen by the eu as a necessary part of any deal when _ by the eu as a necessary part of any deal when britain left the european

union. _ deal when britain left the european union. if— deal when britain left the european union, if we don't want a border between — union, if we don't want a border between the north and south of the island _ between the north and south of the island. whether the uk can deliver on any— island. whether the uk can deliver on any promises will be up to the european — on any promises will be up to the european union if it requires us to id european union if it requires us to go back— european union if it requires us to go back to — european union if it requires us to go back to brussels and ask for tweaks — go back to brussels and ask for tweaks |s— go back to brussels and ask for tweaks. . go back to brussels and ask for tweaks. , .. , ., go back to brussels and ask for tweaks. , , ., ,., tweaks. is it the case that if you live to tweaks. is it the case that if you give to the _ tweaks. is it the case that if you give to the unit _ tweaks. is it the case that if you give to the unit lets _ tweaks. is it the case that if you give to the unit lets you take i tweaks. is it the case that if you i give to the unit lets you take away from the national are where do they fit into the picture? llilat fit into the picture? not necessarily, _ fit into the picture? not necessarily, i— fit into the picture? not necessarily, i don't - fit into the picture? not i necessarily, i don't think. fit into the picture? not necessarily, i don't think. i think in necessarily, idon't think. i think in this— necessarily, i don't think. i think in this case. _ necessarily, i don't think. i think in this case, the unionists are divided — in this case, the unionists are divided amongst themselves and the dup are _ divided amongst themselves and the dup are furtherto divided amongst themselves and the dup are further to the right than them _ dup are further to the right than them and — dup are further to the right than them and more hardline than they are and are _ them and more hardline than they are and are trying to take over some of their— and are trying to take over some of their votes — and are trying to take over some of their votes. the dup are trying to make _ their votes. the dup are trying to make a _ their votes. the dup are trying to make a stand on this. i don't think there _ make a stand on this. idon't think there is— make a stand on this. i don't think there is necessarily that symmetry with the _ there is necessarily that symmetry with the nationalists here, i think it depends on the detail of any deal that is— it depends on the detail of any deal that is done. the nationalists are as a whole — that is done. the nationalists are as a whole are happy with the protocol — as a whole are happy with the protocol because it does, for some people. _ protocol because it does, for some people, make the prospect of a united — people, make the prospect of a united ireland more widening. i

think— united ireland more widening. i think this — united ireland more widening. i think this is simply a matter of having — think this is simply a matter of having to — think this is simply a matter of having to get the unionists back round _ having to get the unionists back round the — having to get the unionists back round the table and try and convince them _ round the table and try and convince them that— round the table and try and convince them that a — round the table and try and convince them that a they can get some concessions and they can provide sweeteners to make their return to stormont _ sweeteners to make their return to stormont worthwhile. if sweeteners to make their return to stormont worthwhile.— stormont worthwhile. if you don't have devolved _ stormont worthwhile. if you don't have devolved power _ stormont worthwhile. if you don't have devolved power than - stormont worthwhile. if you don't i have devolved power than obviously, there is no local government makes decisions on important things for teachers, health workers, transport workers, civil servants who are all on picket lines at the moment and they all want the cost of living rise in their salaries and there is no way that that can be agreed until stormont comes back. that is pulling at the fabric of society in northern ireland and that is something that does concern the powers that be in washington. does concern the powers that be in washington-— does concern the powers that be in washington. yes, absolutely. there is enou . h washington. yes, absolutely. there is enough turmoil— washington. yes, absolutely. there is enough turmoil in _ washington. yes, absolutely. there is enough turmoil in the _ washington. yes, absolutely. there is enough turmoil in the world - is enough turmoil in the world already, we have a war in europe and ukraine still going on in the last thing we need is unrest in northern ireland to add to the bingo card here. it is interesting to me as i watch this unfold that we are still seeing the fallout from brexit. here

we are, seven almost eight years since brexit happened and i think the reaction to brexit at the time, the reaction to brexit at the time, the people who were against it were warning about how the repercussions of this would far outweigh what a lot of folks thought would be a simple economic issue, it is trickling all the way down into issues just like this. so watching what is going on here, i know that the united states is looking for a solution sooner than later that doesn't involve further uprising in northern ireland as things have been relatively calm over the last couple of years. relatively calm over the last couple of ears. ,., , relatively calm over the last couple of ears. , , ., ., of years. the polls show that overwhelmingly _ of years. the polls show that overwhelmingly people - of years. the polls show that overwhelmingly people in i of years. the polls show that - overwhelmingly people in northern ireland believe that no party should be able to collapse the assembly. is it time for reform and would a british government go there? i don't see much appetite _ british government go there? i don't see much appetite for _ british government go there? i don't see much appetite for revisiting - british government go there? i don't see much appetite for revisiting the l see much appetite for revisiting the good _ see much appetite for revisiting the good friday agreement if that's what you mean. _ good friday agreement if that's what

you mean, the good friday agreement has written _ you mean, the good friday agreement has written into at the need for this cross — has written into at the need for this cross community support which was the _ this cross community support which was the strength of the agreement but also _ was the strength of the agreement but also the root of some of the problem — but also the root of some of the problem is _ but also the root of some of the problem is that we have now. no, i'm not convinced — problem is that we have now. no, i'm not convinced anyone in westminster is thinking _ not convinced anyone in westminster is thinking that they should sit down — is thinking that they should sit down and renegotiate that, they are hoping _ down and renegotiate that, they are hoping that they can get stormont back _ hoping that they can get stormont back. let's be honest, it looks like progress _ back. let's be honest, it looks like progress has been made, i don't progress has been made, idon't think— progress has been made, i don't think we — progress has been made, i don't think we should make too much of the fact that _ think we should make too much of the fact that the _ think we should make too much of the fact that the christmas deadline has been missed. from all the reports i am seeing. — been missed. from all the reports i am seeing, significant has been made and whilst _ am seeing, significant has been made and whilst that is happening, we hold out— and whilst that is happening, we hold out the hope that something might— hold out the hope that something might be — hold out the hope that something might be resolved injanuary if not before _ might be resolved injanuary if not before christmas which now looks impossible. gk before christmas which now looks impossible-— before christmas which now looks imossible. ., ., ., , impossible. ok we hold out the hope if not happening _ impossible. ok we hold out the hope if not happening before _ impossible. ok we hold out the hope if not happening before christmas. i were talking about immigration in the us and in texas specifically. stay with us.

good evening. monday was a pretty cloudy day for many, with some splashes of rain, but northern areas of the uk did get to see a little bit of brightness. that was the scene for a weather watcher in the highlands earlier on. now, as we look through the rest of this week, we will see further rain at times and it will become very windy. there is the chance that some of us will see a little bit of snow in the run—up to the christmas period. now, this is the earlier satellite picture. you can see this pipeline of cloud streaming in from the atlantic. this is our next weathersystem, really. that will bring some quite heavy rain across parts of wales and england as we head through this evening and tonight, turning really wet, particularly through the second half of the night. northern england staying a little bit drier, and certainly for northern ireland and scotland, we'll see some clearer skies, a few showers blowing into the north west of scotland, some of those wintry over higher ground. cold enough here for frost and some ice, mild further south where we start tuesday with clouds and outbreaks of heavy rain. that rain will trundle its way south eastwards through the day, so brighter skies will follow. a scattering of showers blowing in, particularly across the western side of scotland and into northern

ireland. some of those showers wintry over high ground in scotland. it will be windy here. temperatures a little bit lower than they have been today — 5 degrees in lerwick and 10 degrees in london by the middle part of the afternoon. but into wednesday, we see another frontal system pushing in from the atlantic. this one is a warm front, and so it will reintroduce some milder conditions. but with extensive cloud cover, it will be quite misty and murky in places, i suspect. bits and pieces of rain, it will be windy, but temperatures in many spots back up into double digits. and then we look ahead to thursday with a deep area of low pressure passing to the north of the uk. lots of isobars on this chart. it is going to be a very windy day indeed. and behind this cold front, we'll see some colder air returning — real see—saw conditions this week in terms of the feel of the weather. in the cold air, i think we'll see some snow showers across parts of scotland, even to relatively low levels in the north, where gales will combine with those snow showers to give blizzard conditions. further south, it stays mild, and so what falls from the sky

will be rain, but it is going to be a windy day wherever you are. and then, looking towards christmas itself, it stays pretty unsettled. there will be rain at times and it may be cold enough, particularly in the north of the uk, for some snow here and there. bye— bye.

hello, i'm christian fraser.

you're watching the context on bbc news. a multi—billion dollar aid package for ukraine hangs in the balance as negotiations in washington continue, but remain stuck because of disputes in congress. in the next hour, the texas governor greg abbott will sign into law a new bill that makes crossing the us—mexico border a state crime, punishable with up to 20 years injail. the governor has pushed hard to expand the state's control of its 1,200—mile border with mexico and supporters say this bill will give law enforcement the tools they need to return those who have cross illegally. but the legislation is controversial. detractors say texas has no standing to regulate immigration, that is a federal power, and they complain the bill could result in the racial profiling of latinos who are living

in texas legally.