tv The Context BBC News January 16, 2024 8:00pm-8:31pm GMT
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and he won 98 out of 91 counties in iowa. and so, it became three. donald trump wins in a landslide in iowa. only haley and desantis stand between him and the republican nomination — and after last night's result, it looks a formality. we will get the thoughts tonight of katty kay — where does the race go from here, and what does it all mean for the rest of us? in other news — more resignations in the conservative party, deputy chairmen lee anderson and brendon clarke smith have quit in order to rebel against rishi sunaks rwanda bill. and fujistsu, the company behind the post office's faulty it system, admit they do have a moral obligation to pay compensation. good evening. since the first indictment was issued in new york last year, donald trump's campaign has been the preverbial snowball, rolling downhill, getting bigger, gathering momentum, seemingly unstoppable.
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last night, it rolled into the frozen tundra of iowa and crushed the opposition. it was a historic night for the former president. he took 51% of the vote. and on the evidence of this result, the gop is entirely his party. it poses huge questions for his two remaining opponents — the florida governor, ron desantis, who came second, ahead of the former south carolina governor, nikki haley. but right now, it's not a race for second — it is a race for relevancy. trump's rebound is all the more stunning for this reason. he faces a multitude of charges and allegations, he could even be convicted before he takes office. and on leaving iowa this morning, he went straight to a courtroom in manhattan for the opening of a defamation trial. the court cases are now part of the campaign. i really think this - is time now for everybody, our country, to come together. we want to come together, - whether it is republican or democrat or liberal or conservative, _
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it would be so nice if we could come together and straighten out i the world, and straighten out the problems and straighten out |all of the death and destruction| that we are witnessing. it's practically- never been like this. it's just so important. and i want to make that a very big part of my message. - we are going to come together, it's going to happen soon. - it's going to happen soon. the victory speech last night was "conciliatory", in sharp contrast to the rhetoric of recent trump rallies. he has talked of "retribution" against his enemies, he has labelled political opponents as "vermin," he has warned the immigrants that are streaming across the southern border are "poisoning the blood" of the nation — and they love him for it. the republicans want a fighter, they are suspicious of the washington elite, and they are deeply frustated with the left and the perceived "woke" agenda. so where does this go from here? is there still a race for the republican nomination? and if he was to return to the white house, what would a trump second term mean for the rest of us? who better to steer us through all of that than katty kay.
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very good evening to you. welcome back to the programme it is lovely to have you on side. he wanted a blow and there is no doubt that there was an overwhelming endorsement by the republicans. give us an answer to that first question, where does the race go next? in literal terms, where does the race go next? in literalterms, he where does the race go next? in literal terms, he goes on to new hampshire where there is a primary next tuesday in new hampshire voters are different from iowa voters and they tend to be more independent and undeclared in their party affiliation. in some ways, it is more representative of the rest of america, brabson iowa is. nikki haley, donald trump ron desantis. if
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if nikki haley can win new hampshire, that would bring some last gasps of life into the argument that this is perhaps not donald trump's automatic coordination but that we have a race in her hands. in nevada, south carolina and all the other states across the country. another week that we have to wait until whether iowa was an anomaly in the blood in iowa is a very conservative state and he is going to do less well in a state like new hampshire which is a bit more demographically next.- hampshire which is a bit more demographically next. these are exit olls, demographically next. these are exit nolls, 6596 demographically next. these are exit polls. 6596 of — demographically next. these are exit polls, 6596 of those _ demographically next. these are exit polls, 6596 of those who _ demographically next. these are exit polls, 6596 of those who voted - demographically next. these are exit polls, 6596 of those who voted said . polls, 65% of those who voted said they would support donald trump even if he is convicted, 66% of voters don't think biden legitimately one
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the 2020 election. but those who believe this is the most undemocratic president in american history, they look at these figures with utter dread. it’s history, they look at these figures with utter dread.— with utter dread. it's interesting those numbers, _ with utter dread. it's interesting those numbers, your, _ with utter dread. it's interesting those numbers, your, iowa - with utter dread. it's interesting those numbers, your, iowa is i those numbers, your, iowa is wonderful and quirky in many ways they do not do exit polls, they poor they do notrder exit, pelts, they/peer to go they do notrder exit, polls, they/poor to go in because under two people to go in because under two hours of caucusing in the school all in iowa, you're fed up to the back teeth with politics and so you reject the idea of polls on the way out so you get pulled on the way in. 60% you think if he is convicted, they would still vote for m, let's flip that and say that 30% would not vote for him. that is 30% of a very conservative electorate that is very much related donald trump in the middle of the countries that say they will not. 60% of nikki haleywas
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voters in these polls said that they will not vote for donald trump if he is the republican nominee. it's not very big numbers but you know, the last election was only won by 100000 votes in five different states and so you need tiny margins. the white house thinking 0k, donald trump one by a blow out, clearly is very popular with the republican base but clear with its numbers, all you have to do is to avoid the odd thousand votes here in their in georgia, arizona, and wisconsin and you have the potential to have a much more competitive race number and you can twist his numbers either way, because it is crazy so many people think donald trump actually won the 2020 election and some you do or do not carry these even convicted in a
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federal court, the still winnable friend. but there are glimmers of hope that biting can be reelected. ——joe hope that biting can be reelected. —— joe biden hope that biting can be reelected. ——joe biden can be reelected. how did they view last as results? america matters around the world in a way that no other country arguably still does. this was a huge amount of attention but this time around, partly because the prospect of donald trump returning and partly because there are two wars america is involved in even if indirectly and gaza and ukraine at the moment, there is an enormous focus on whether and i would love a change in november that would impact the rest of the world. some countries around the world, some around the world
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would welcome a return of donald trump and we always assume that not everybody would but there definitely countries in the middle east where joe biden has been pretty critical of some of the leadership that might say, you know, we want donald trump back again, their populist leaders that think they get a better deal of donald trump is back again but there are an awful lot of americans allies and you must hear from the time are an awful lot of americans allies and you must hearfrom the time in europe and in parts of asia to look at the prospect of donald trump returning with some alarm and consternation as we have been hearing from world leaders and nowhere is that more true than in ukraine which is literally depending on america to keep its work going. i shared largely in private, the only european leader that i've heard in recent weeks expressed concern that is out there is the president of the ecb that severe to drive us this the
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first four years of his mandate, he is clearly a threat. there will be others that share that view and they were worried that in the second term, the restraints that might�*ve been the first time around will be removed. fin been the first time around will be removed. �* , . ., ., removed. an interesting conversation with it was spoken _ removed. an interesting conversation with it was spoken to _ removed. an interesting conversation with it was spoken to many _ removed. an interesting conversation with it was spoken to many times - removed. an interesting conversation with it was spoken to many times it i with it was spoken to many times it was co—chair of the reelection campaign very close to president biden and he said to me that there's not been a single conversation with a world leader global foreign secretary of the last three years at some point he has not been asked question, is really possible that america could reelect donald trump and he said to me, yes it i have to tell them yes, it is possible. interesting and she really stuck her neck out in a way in public that may be considered in discrete, not a world leader, not running a country
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or election but she can find it very uncomfortable at the head of the ecb if donald trump is reelected but if threat of comments voting for these areas, imposing tariffs on european countries the fact that there are still committed to this would like to pull out of nato and the big change of policy and pointed to climate change we noted donald trump will remove the paris agreement and were in ukraine. specific areas were history might tell us for the next presidency might do if donald trump is in charge with a chump campaign, these are all areas that they're looking to have a change of policy in —— donald trump campaign. in terms of the people may see it overseas come more by the court
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cases that are a prominent part of this campaign and how is he using those to his benefits? flan this campaign and how is he using those to his benefits?— those to his benefits? can you imaaine those to his benefits? can you imagine trying _ those to his benefits? can you imagine trying to _ those to his benefits? can you imagine trying to run - those to his benefits? can you imagine trying to run an - those to his benefits? can you - imagine trying to run an american presidential campaign? nothing in the world, no money you could pay me to be a candidate and when these campaigns because you never sleep, always on the road and out of the country it is a nightmare. it taxes even a 45—year—old man, how they can manage to do this at their age donald trump is all these court cases and where is it today? he is not in new hampshire, not in south carolina, where is he been of the last weektwo he has not been an iowa in onto counties like ron desantis did. he has been a court cases and he doesn't have to be in these cases, they could proceed without
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them being there legally, there is no requirement for him to be there and why is he there? because look at the polling, donald trump saw a direct uptick in its polling amongst republican voters when alvin indicted him in the stormy daniels case the election campaign back early last summer and he saw the pictures and i did wonders for donald trump campaign with every indictment that he sighed, he talks of the boomer campaign fundraising it gives a boost in the polls and other so many of the republican voters, they say they are doing this is a witch hunt and that's why he's turning up in these quadrants because this is fantastic campaigning opportunities for him. is going to be a problem for him when he goes through these trials like the jack smith trial in the january the 6th and people are reminded to the images in the capital that we reported on that day and if he is convicted before
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november, with a be a problem for him, look at the iowa voters who say if he is convicted, i'm not sure i can change their minds but for the moment, three in ten of them are saying, these convicted of a crime, the distances with me and i don't think i would vote for him so, do not think we know yet had up until now, these court cases have been political point for them amongst republican voters and primary voters. we do not know as of this will play out in the general electorate.— will play out in the general electorate. ~' , ., electorate. the likes of kevin mccarthy and _ electorate. the likes of kevin mccarthy and lindsey - electorate. the likes of kevin | mccarthy and lindsey graham electorate. the likes of kevin - mccarthy and lindsey graham who walked back the criticisms of his behaviour post january six, they have let him off to look into kindreds of let them off the hook that uses them rhetoric that the system is rigged and two systems of justice and we talked about whether it's custom here, gives them very little room, what did they campaign
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against him on now that we're into the final stretches of the new hampshire primary in their software down the ballot? == hampshire primary in their software down the ballot?— down the ballot? -- so far. nikki hale is down the ballot? -- so far. nikki haley is done — down the ballot? -- so far. nikki haley is done on _ down the ballot? -- so far. nikki haley is done on the _ down the ballot? -- so far. nikki haley is done on the matters - down the ballot? -- so far. nikki i haley is done on the matters at this point because although ron desantis did better—than—expected, is nowhere new hampshire, he is not campaign there does not support there will come out of new hampshire thinking this is a two—person race that think it's a one person rates, donald trump has it in my view. what can nikki haley do to increase her chances, that she come out full throated and attack donald trump? i don't know, that didn't work for marco rubio and it's a hard thing for republican candidates to pull off now did she do it without alienating, even if she were to do it by some miracle succeed him in the nomination, if she really annoys donald trump voters by attacking him, with each out and vote for her
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in november she's the candidate pins you cannot lose part of the base that still thinks donald trump is the messiah in iowa, he has taken on almost a religious like image among whom conservative evangelical voters. she is has to keep walking this weird fine line of saying he is too old to most republicans voters thinkjoe biden is the old one so, that doesn't work very well and sink is followed by chaos, maybe that works a bit better for her. i works a bit betterfor her. i don't think we'll see a new nikki haley going into her coming out of new hampshire. —— going into or coming out of new hampshire. flan hampshire. -- going into or coming out of new hampshire.— hampshire. -- going into or coming out of new hampshire. can i get your aaent to out of new hampshire. can i get your agent to talk — out of new hampshire. can i get your agent to talk to _ out of new hampshire. can i get your agent to talk to my _ out of new hampshire. can i get your agent to talk to my agent? _ out of new hampshire. can i get your agent to talk to my agent? talk- out of new hampshire. can i get your agent to talk to my agent? talk to i agent to talk to my agent? talk to the au agent to talk to my agent? talk to the guy upstairs. _ agent to talk to my agent? talk to the guy upstairs, you _ agent to talk to my agent? talk to the guy upstairs, you are - agent to talk to my agent? talk to the guy upstairs, you are very - the guy upstairs, you are very sought after and i phone every day
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and nobody picks up, really. a, sought after and i phone every day and nobody picks up, really. a woman havin: her and nobody picks up, really. a woman having herjacket _ and nobody picks up, really. a woman having herjacket and _ and nobody picks up, really. a woman having herjacket and she _ and nobody picks up, really. a woman having herjacket and she recognised l having herjacket and she recognised me vaguely and she said, you are the sidekick for me vaguely and she said, you are the sidekick for katty kay. lovely to see you. we will see you in the coming months. after the break, we will talk more about iowa and new hampshire, and where nikki haley and desantis go from here. we will be joined the former gop communications director tara setmeyer, and from drake university in iowa, the political scientist dennis goldford. all that to come after the break. let's look at some other stories making news. scotland's top prosecutor has apologised to post office branch managers who've suffered miscarriages ofjustice as a result of the faulty horizon it system. it's thought up to 100 people in scotland could have been wrongly accused. prosecutors in scotland were told of issues with evidence in 2013,
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but did not stop pursuing cases until 2015. travellers are facing disruption following snowfall across parts of the uk. weather conditions led to more than 100 school closures in scotland and dozens in merseyside. sub zero temperatures are to stay until the weekend with further snow warnings in place. scotland is expected to see up to 10cm of snow falling on higher ground. the portrait of king charles that will hang in public buildings in the uk such as courts and government offices has been unveiled. it was taken inside windsor castle with the monarch wearing his royal navy uniform. public bodies such as schools, are able to request a free framed copy of the photograph. you're live with bbc news. before we get carried away with donald trump's landslide victory last night, as impressive as it was, consider this. 110,000 people voted in a state
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of three million people. it is a very small percentage of the american electorate. it is overwhelmingly white, evangelical. and together, the candidates spent $120 million on the campaign — that is almost $1,000 a vote. the general election is a very different game. and there are some signs — though perhaps not in iowa — that nikki haley fares better with independents, and better in a head—to—head againjoe biden. before she left iowa last night, haley reminded voters that she is still the candidate for renewal. tonight, i'll be back in the great state of new hampshire. and the question before americans is now very clear. do you want more of the same? no! or do you want a new generation of conservative leadership? cheering
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the last best hope of stopping the donald _ the last best hope of stopping the donald trumpjoe biden nightmare. we thank donald trumpjoe biden nightmare. thank you for donald trumpjoe biden nightmare. - thank you for your effort in your support. you helped us get a ticket punched out of the hawk—eye state and we have a lot of work to do but i can tell you this, as the next president of the united states, i am going to get the job done for this country! i am going to get the job done for this country! iam not going to get the job done for this country! i am not going to make any excuses and i guarantee you this, i will not let you down! so let's get the though tara setmayer, resident scholar at the uva centre for politics — she was the former communications directorfor the gop — and also here, dennis goldford, political scientist at drakes university in iowa. thank you for being here and let me start with you, you heard what she was thinking you make a case for ron desantis in the gaily going forward?
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i think ron desantis�*s campaign is a debt campaign walking and has been for some time, the amount of money they blew through how quickly they blew through it in the fact they had to revamp his campaign several times within the first few months, the significant signs of strong competent campaign and we saw the way he was received when he was involved in that retail politics, very upward and looks like he does want to be there he skips new hampshire, his brand of politics doesn't translate well in new hampshire and all. eddie squeaked to second place out of iowa after spending a lot of time and money there have never seen anyone that excited to lose by 30 points in his his way to south carolina and donald trump is winning by 40 points for nikki haley and even more so for the —— over ron desantis, even though nikki haley came in third, tempered
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expectations for her and she has a broader appeal and a place like new hampshire where the from there, she is losing considerably and run home state is never a vote of confidence moving forward after that and donald trump as is wrapped up up by super tuesday, he, they are not going to catch them now but by super tuesday loves delegates that it is inevitable for him.- loves delegates that it is inevitable for him. one of the arguments — inevitable for him. one of the arguments made _ inevitable for him. one of the arguments made is _ inevitable for him. one of the arguments made is that - inevitable for him. one of the arguments made is that she l inevitable for him. one of the - arguments made is that she does better with moderates, independents and college—educated americans. can you look at the figures and iowa to back all that up? we you look at the figures and iowa to back all that up?— back all that up? we saw the educational _ back all that up? we saw the educational divide _ back all that up? we saw the educational divide the - back all that up? we saw the | educational divide the donald trump's — educational divide the donald trump's challenges, nikki haley did better_ trump's challenges, nikki haley did better among those with college degrees. the irony of all this manifested in iowa is a of a
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billionaire who has become the tribune — billionaire who has become the tribune of— billionaire who has become the tribune of white working—class americans. i would agree with the comments — americans. i would agree with the comments about ron desantis, he survived _ comments about ron desantis, he survived for at least a little bit. i survived for at least a little bit. i wouldn't — survived for at least a little bit. i wouldn't be as bullish on nikki haley. — i wouldn't be as bullish on nikki haley, the difficulties she is trying — haley, the difficulties she is trying run a conservative traditional republican and a party that is_ traditional republican and a party that is not— traditional republican and a party that is not the traditional republican party any more. it is a donald _ republican party any more. it is a donald trump political party that owes _ donald trump political party that owes a _ donald trump political party that owes a lot more than pat buchanan and george — owes a lot more than pat buchanan and george wallace than it does to ronald _ and george wallace than it does to ronald reagan.— and george wallace than it does to ronald reagan. they connect iowa's results, ronald reagan. they connect iowa's results. she — ronald reagan. they connect iowa's results, she says. _ ronald reagan. they connect iowa's results, she says. a _ ronald reagan. they connect iowa's results, she says. a small— ronald reagan. they connect iowa's results, she says. a small window. ronald reagan. they connect iowa's| results, she says. a small window of opportunity to prove that next two days and it is a very independent electorate in new hampshire in the like to take the time they come out late in the study the candidates very closely. late in the study the candidates
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very closely-— very closely. they differed demographically _ very closely. they differed demographically and - very closely. they differed demographically and they| very closely. they differed i demographically and they are significantly less evangelical, more independent but the difficulty is, even _ independent but the difficulty is, even if— independent but the difficulty is, even if she does well in new hampshire, where did she go from there? _ hampshire, where did she go from there? in — hampshire, where did she go from there? in many ways, iowa shows that there? in many ways, iowa shows that the republican party is a wholly—owned subsidiary of the trump organisation and she is going to have _ organisation and she is going to have to — organisation and she is going to have to notjust organisation and she is going to have to not just come close, organisation and she is going to have to notjust come close, but organisation and she is going to have to not just come close, but she has to _ have to not just come close, but she has to actually beat him, someone has to actually beat him, someone has to— has to actually beat him, someone has to beat— has to actually beat him, someone has to beat him and peers that were of inevitability. no has to beat him and peers that were of inevitability.— of inevitability. no one campaign more than _ of inevitability. no one campaign more than m. — of inevitability. no one campaign more than m, 308 _ of inevitability. no one campaign more than m, 308 campaign - of inevitability. no one campaign i more than m, 308 campaign events of inevitability. no one campaign - more than m, 308 campaign events and compare that to donald trump us plus 22 campaign events in the state. since withdrawing, he is given his endorsement to donald trump. does
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that benefit donald trump going to new hampshire?— new hampshire? never serious candidate and _ new hampshire? never serious candidate and he _ new hampshire? never serious candidate and he engaged - new hampshire? never serious candidate and he engaged in i new hampshire? never serious candidate and he engaged in soj new hampshire? never serious - candidate and he engaged in so much doublespeak and hypocrisy and trafficking conspiracy theories and kissed after vladimir putin the donald trump in the donald trump blasted him in the run—up to iowa and he had to bow out of the race of the tail between his legs. i think the tail between his legs. i think the people were attracted to that with the same people would be attracted to donald trump and so, that small amount of people of wendover for donald trump anyway and it really didn't have a longevity in this campaign and quote chris christie, he was the biggest blowhard in america and i'm glad redundant stem of the campaign trail any more. i’m redundant stem of the campaign trail an more. �* ., , redundant stem of the campaign trail an more. �* .,, .., ., redundant stem of the campaign trail an more. �* ., , any more. i'm hoping we can do this some more — any more. i'm hoping we can do this some more as _ any more. i'm hoping we can do this some more as the _ any more. i'm hoping we can do this some more as the race _ any more. i'm hoping we can do this some more as the race take shape l some more as the race take shape it will be focusing on new hampshire and get focus on both when we get to
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manchester new hampshire on tuesday next week not the other side of the break, we'll talk about the damaging night for the conservatives, two deputy chairman it's resigning and where does that leave rishi sunak. stay with us. we will be right back. hello there. it's been quite a snowy day across the northern half of the uk. further south, it's been cold, but largely dry with some sunshine, little bit of variable cloud here and there. wednesday promises to be another largely sunny one towards the south, a bit more cloud around, i think, for southern britain. and we'll continue with the snow showers across northern coastal parts of scotland and into northern ireland. these weather fronts bringing this rain, sleet and snow to the north of the uk sinking southwards and weakening. so, during the overnight period, there'll be no more than a band of cloud running southwards across england and wales, maybe just a few snow flurries on it. and there could be the chance of this area of low pressure over france could push a bit further northwards to give some rain, sleet and snow to southern counties of england early on wednesday. the snow showers continue.
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northern scotland, northern ireland under clear skies. it's going to be very cold, a sharp frost across the northern half of the country. so, for wednesday, we've got that feature running across france, which could affect the far south of the country. plenty of snow showers across northern coastal areas, so a bit more cloud, i think, in the mix across southern britain for wednesday. high cloud, greyer the further south you go, could see rain, sleet, snow close to the coast. chances of wintry showers for southeast england. frequent snow showers with ice for northern scotland, northern ireland, a few into the irish sea down towards northwest england and wales. and it's going to be a cold day wherever you are, despite the sunshine through central areas. for wednesday night, we see the wintry mix clearing away from the southeast, clear skies for many, snow showers draped across coastal areas. and that's where we'll see a significant ice risk, further inland under clear skies, light winds, it's going to be another very cold night to come. so, for thursday morning,
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we start off with plenty of crisp sunshine around, wintry showers around coastal areas, these most frequent across northern scotland and northern ireland. heavy snow showers here leading to significant accumulations of snow across northern scotland. central southern areas will be dry on thursday. plenty of sunshine, but it's going to be another very cold day. on friday, we could see an area of more substantial snow again across scotland. further south, it'll be cold and sunny, and then some changes as we head into the weekend. on saturday, the winds start to pick up, low pressure starts to sweep in off the atlantic, so that brings a very big change to the weather. it turns more unsettled with wet and windy weather for the second half of the week into next week, and it's turning milder.
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hello, i'm christian fraser. you're watching the context on bbc news. the ceo of fujitsu apologises after the company's faulty it software caused hundreds of post office staff in the uk to be wrongly convicted. sport — and for a full round—up, here's the bbc sport centre. here's marc edwards. we're going to start in melbourne, where the second seed carlos alcaraz is through to the second round of the australian open after a straight sets victory over richard gasquet. the double grand slam winner was tested by the veteran frenchman in the opening set and needed
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a close—fought tie break to edge ahead in the match. but from there, it was largely one—way traffic. the 37—year—old won just three more games, as alcaraz cruised through 7-6, 6-1, 6-2. next up for the spaniard, lorenzo sonego in the second round after he saw off britain's dan evans in four sets. meanwhile, germany's alex zverev is through to the second round after a four—set victory over compatriot dominik koepfer. the 2020 us open runner up, powered 50 winners, including 18 aces. he'll take on lukas klein in the next round. elsewhere, eighth seed holger rune is through to round two after a four—set victory over japan's yoshihito nishioka. the eighth seed was made to work hard for that win, eventually clinching his place in the next round in just under three and a half hours. with nishioka's exit, all seven of japan's players in the men's and women's singles have been eliminated. in the women's singles, there was a hard fought win
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