this time, the winner from jannik sinner.

hello there. there'll be winners and losers when it comes to the weather forecast on thursday. for the far north and west, we will continue to see a rash of showers. it could be quite windy with it, as well. sunny spells elsewhere. the winds really quite a feature right across the country, but the strongest of the winds closest to this area of low pressure, driving in a rash of showers, maybe longer spells of rain at times. but elsewhere, particularly where we had quite a lot of cloud and it was drizzly from time to time on wednesday, will be a better story. more in the way of sunshine coming through. so by the afternoon, expect this story. we will see these showers, and, as i say, some of them heavy, the brighter yellows and greens denoting that. and with the strength

of the wind as well, well, those temperatures really struggling, 11—15 degrees. a few showers into northern ireland, not quite as many, and a few showers across northern england. but generally across england and wales, there'll be more in the way of sunshine, particularly across south—east england. temperatures peaking at 21 degrees. so that means for wimbledon, it will be a better day. we'll have some sunny spells coming through. by friday, though, once again a change of fortunes, rain could have a part to play for the outer courts as we go through the day. and the reason being this frontal system that's going to slide in through the latter stages of thursday into friday, bringing more in the way of cloud and showery rain across south—west england during the early hours of friday morning, pushing towards sw19 for the early morning rush hour. but, generally speaking, those temperatures will hold up into double digits to start the day on friday. as we move into friday, then, there will be a good deal of dry, sunny weather really from the m4 corridor south. that's where we'll see the rain. a little more cloud, but generally across england and wales, a good slice of sunshine. a few isolated showers into north—west scotland, but generally those temperatures —

not much change — ranging from 14—21 degrees if we're lucky. into the weekend, the unsettled theme is set to continue. very changeable, the weather story, at the moment. a ridge of high pressure to start saturday, but there'll be more wet weather moving in on sunday. so for england and wales, perhaps saturday the best day, but elsewhere, we'll see showers of longer spells of rain set to continue and those temperatures disappointing forjuly.

we'll show you how the next 2a hours or so could pan out and what exactly to look out for. the parties�* final pitches today — is a conservative claim of likely historic defeat part of their strategy? we've got the inside track at labour's final rally, including hearing from the leader of the opposition.

as the party machines prepare armies of operatives to get out the vote, the polling station signs are being put up outside schools, and this long campaign finally ends, this is newsnight with eve of election insights and interviews. our political panel tonight... guto hari, borisjohnson�*s former director of communications, and sam white, a former chief of staff to keir starmer. plus marianna spring will take us through the avalanche of election social media ads about to hit you. first to nick, who'sjust been at the big final labour rally in redditch — nick, you were there and you got the final intervew with keir starmer before the election. tell us about it.

that's right, the final interview with keir starmer before the election tomorrow at the end of a very busy day for him that took him to all three corners of great britain, wales, scotland and then ending up here in the west midlands, and interestingly he chose the parliamentary constituency of redditch. redditch was a symbol emblematic of those new labour years, it was held byjacqui smith, the former home secretary, during the former home secretary, during the new labour years and then she lost it in 2010. i was talking to one labour lettering of that era earlier and they said i really didn't think i would ever see us recapturing this seat but there's keir starmer this evening, this is a seat obviously with new boundaries under the implied result from 2019, i think it was around a 63% vote for the conservatives, but there he was making his final pitch. highly disciplined message, you've heard it before, talking about, if you want change have to vote for it, because obviously the labour party might be a little bit worried that all those warnings about a super majority

might have an impact on their vote. but as you say, i did catch up with sir keir starmer. are you daunted, sir keir? sorry? are you daunted, sir keir? no. we've run an excellent campaign. a really positive campaign. we've been working for this for four and a half years, and tomorrow is all about change. and my message is, into tomorrow and all day tomorrow, if you want change, you have to vote for it. we're ready for change. we're ready to deliver. we're ready to serve. but that will only happen if we get the trust and confidence of people. if you want change, you have to vote for it. do you believe the polls? i think the polls don't predict the future. what matters is people going out tomorrow and voting, and it's very important that everybody across the country asks themselves the question, do i want change? do i want things to be better? if the answer to that question is yes then go out, go and vote and vote labour. thank you, sir keir. so, nick, it's notjust the polls, is it? it's what the conservatives have actually been saying. we have

heard about the supermajority before but now they seem to be conceding some sort of historic defeat, what's going on? some sort of historic defeat, what's auoin on? ~ some sort of historic defeat, what's anoinon? , ., ~ some sort of historic defeat, what's auoin on? ~ , ., . ., going on? well, historic defeat, interest in _ going on? well, historic defeat, interest in sort _ going on? well, historic defeat, interest in sort of— going on? well, historic defeat, interest in sort of mixed - going on? well, historic defeat, - interest in sort of mixed messages. i caught up with michael gove, we will hearfrom him in a minute, at the rally with borisjohnson last night and he was saying, no, which is in a minute, at the rally with borisjohnson is in a minute, at the rally with boris johnson last is in a minute, at the rally with borisjohnson last night and he was saying, no, rishi sunak and the prime minister, then this morning on the radio basically saying the conservatives have lost the gove singh rishi sunak and —— the conservatives have lost the election and there will be a labour supermajority. ahead of the election tomorrow, michael gove is using that word supermajority again and essentially saying to the electorate, use your vote as he says to stop keir starmer and the supermajority, and if they get that supermajority, and if they get that supermajority then again labour will wield unchecked power, raise

everyone's taxes and leave this country vulnerable to threats we are facing from around the world. 0bviously those the points are completely disputed by the labour party, but there you have it. a sitting prime minister going into an election and basically saying to the electorate, the other guys, it's looking pretty strong for them, maybe you will make sure they don't have such a big victory. slightly different tone, as i said, when i caught up with michael gove in chelsea last night. there are opinion polls that do point to the - potential for keir starmer— to have the sorts of sweeping powers that i know that he would like. what i want everyone to recognise is that over the last 14 years, - the conservatives have delivered improved education, improved . welfare, managed to reduce crime, i got that great vaccine roll out, i l made sure that we stood shoulder. to shoulder with volodymyr zelensky. keir starmer was the guy who tried to get jeremy corbyn to become i prime minister, and the key choice i i think that he got wrong in 2017. and 2019 is a mistake that i would not want| him to make again.

thanks, nick, we'll come back to you later in the show. 0ver thanks, nick, we'll come back to you later in the show. over to you, guto and sam. politicians don't tend to predict historic failure of their party night before an election, what's going on? ida. party night before an election, what's going on?— party night before an election, what's going on? no, it usually entail that _ what's going on? no, it usually entail that there's _ what's going on? no, it usually entail that there's only - what's going on? no, it usually entail that there's only one - what's going on? no, it usuallyj entail that there's only one poll that matters but i think the polls have been so... it’s that matters but i think the polls have been so...— have been so... it's been extraordinary. _ have been so... it's been extraordinary. it - have been so... it's been extraordinary. it is, - have been so... it's been extraordinary. it is, it. have been so... it's been extraordinary. it is, it is. | have been so... it's been - extraordinary. it is, it is. but auain, extraordinary. it is, it is. but again. you — extraordinary. it is, it is. but again, you sound _ extraordinary. it is, it is. but again, you sound a _ extraordinary. it is, it is. but again, you sound a bit- extraordinary. it is, it is. but again, you sound a bit of- extraordinary. it is, it is. but again, you sound a bit of a l extraordinary. it is, it is. but- again, you sound a bit of a madman where everyone else is being told they of the day after day that the polls show a huge gap in your way behind and there is no way of catching up, so you sound a bit lunatic if you say, i still think we can make it. so it's hard to find the sort of a landing spot in the middle, if you like. but there is a serious point as well. there is no law of physics that say at this point that there has to be a labour majority tomorrow. it still relies on human beings going out there and actively voting for it, and that's why keir starmer is echoing this

from a different perspective. and as i understand it, on both sides, there is a recognition that there is probably about a quarter of a million people out there who are genuinely tonight still not sure which way they will go. and depending on which way they are and how marginal their seat is, this could be a massive hammering of the conservatives or it could be something a lot closer. what do you make of that. _ something a lot closer. what do you make of that, some? _ something a lot closer. what do you make of that, some? i'm _ something a lot closer. what do you make of that, some? i'm sure - something a lot closer. what do you make of that, some? i'm sure we i make of that, some? i'm sure we would agree _ make of that, some? i'm sure we would agree with _ make of that, some? i'm sure we would agree with everything - make of that, some? i'm sure we would agree with everything but i j make of that, some? i'm sure we i would agree with everything but i do agree _ would agree with everything but i do agree with _ would agree with everything but i do agree with that. it hasn't happened yet, agree with that. it hasn't happened yet. voters — agree with that. it hasn't happened yet, voters are not allowed to vote. always _ yet, voters are not allowed to vote. always in _ yet, voters are not allowed to vote. always in motion the future is full so we _ always in motion the future is full so we wiii— always in motion the future is full so we will find out when people turn out at _ so we will find out when people turn out at polling booths. i think there are a _ out at polling booths. i think there are a lot _ out at polling booths. i think there are a lot of— out at polling booths. i think there are a lot of people who are still making — are a lot of people who are still making up— are a lot of people who are still making up their minds. i think some of the _ making up their minds. i think some of the polls— making up their minds. i think some of the polls have been frankly unbelievable. i saw one that said there _ unbelievable. i saw one that said there has— unbelievable. i saw one that said there has been 175 seats that were too close _ there has been 175 seats that were too close to call and that's probably a reflection of lots of undecideds and, you know, we don't know— undecideds and, you know, we don't know yet— undecideds and, you know, we don't know yet exactly what is going to

happen — know yet exactly what is going to happen. and forgive me ifi know yet exactly what is going to happen. and forgive me if i see it, but people — happen. and forgive me if i see it, but people who want to change need to -o but people who want to change need to go out— but people who want to change need to go out and vote for it. ah, riaht, to go out and vote for it. ah, right. yes. — to go out and vote for it. ah, right. yes. we _ to go out and vote for it. ah, right, yes, we got _ to go out and vote for it. ah, right, yes, we got that! - to go out and vote for it. 57,1 right, yes, we got that! so, to go out and vote for it. fl"u, right, yes, we got that! so, these dots make it really kind of is all the seats where it is extremely close, that's the point that we all... and where it is up to people to decide perhaps overnight. it's somewhat chaotic at the end of this parliament to have a party so to suggest, campaign in this way, and some might argue the chaos began with yourformer boss some might argue the chaos began with your former boss in downing street. , ., , , , street. yes, though when he stepped down, ithink— street. yes, though when he stepped down, i think the _ street. yes, though when he stepped down, i think the party _ street. yes, though when he stepped down, i think the party was _ street. yes, though when he stepped down, i think the party was about - down, i think the party was about eight points behind, and what every conservative candidate would give to be eight points behind at this point in time, not 20 plus. and we saw in just one intervention last night how borisjohnson can still electrify campaign, how you can dismiss reform in a way that nobody has been able to do in weeks, where they've just

been able to be talked up and up and up. and so without revisiting him, that was the beginning of things going horribly wrong in many, many ways, and i hope that a lot of conservative candidates, i don't wish ill upon them but i hope some of them will reflect on the decision they took a couple of years ago to topple the man who won them their seats, who got the biggest mandate for a0 years and who in this campaign provided more stimulation for the rank and file than anyone else. �* , ._ for the rank and file than anyone else. �* , else. anyway, where the labour feel their strategy _ else. anyway, where the labour feel their strategy is, _ else. anyway, where the labour feel their strategy is, or _ else. anyway, where the labour feel their strategy is, or not? _ else. anyway, where the labour feel their strategy is, or not? before - else. anyway, where the labour feel their strategy is, or not? before i. their strategy is, or not? before i answer that _ their strategy is, or not? before i answer that i _ their strategy is, or not? before i answer that i think _ their strategy is, or not? before i answer that i think we _ their strategy is, or not? before i answer that i think we got - their strategy is, or not? before i answer that i think we got to - their strategy is, or not? before i answer that i think we got to the | answer that i think we got to the point _ answer that i think we got to the point where we disagree, because... i point where we disagree, because... i knew— point where we disagree, because... i knew that! — point where we disagree, because... i knew that! it point where we disagree, because... i knew that!— i knew that! it would be a boring show otherwise! _ i knew that! it would be a boring show otherwise! respectfully. i show otherwise! respectfully. respectfully _ show otherwise! respectfully. respectfully and _ show otherwise! respectfully. respectfully and with - show otherwise! respectfully. respectfully and with great i respectfully and with great admiration. but the idea that the conservatives only discovered failure — conservatives only discovered failure in _ conservatives only discovered failure in the last couple of years, ithink— failure in the last couple of years, i think is— failure in the last couple of years, i think is a — failure in the last couple of years, i think is a little bit optimistic. the waiting lists were going up year on year— the waiting lists were going up year on year before covid, the tory party

lost its _ on year before covid, the tory party lost its lead — on year before covid, the tory party lost its lead on economic credibility woke down the back when borisjohnson was still credibility woke down the back when boris johnson was still prime ministen _ boris johnson was still prime minister. there has been a long record _ minister. there has been a long record of— minister. there has been a long record of failing to eliminate the deficit— record of failing to eliminate the deficit and all sorts of other things _ deficit and all sorts of other thin . s. deficit and all sorts of other thins. ., , ,~ things. the labour black party are t in: to things. the labour black party are trying to regain — things. the labour black party are trying to regain the _ things. the labour black party are trying to regain the mantle - things. the labour black party are trying to regain the mantle of- trying to regain the mantle of credibility —— the labour party, is not a fear that they're being boring and cautious and what have they got to offer? is there enthusiasm? mr; to offer? is there enthusiasm? my view on this is labour have to walk a thin— view on this is labour have to walk a thin line — view on this is labour have to walk a thin line of— view on this is labour have to walk a thin line of telling people there's— a thin line of telling people there's no point in being so overwhelmed with despair that nothing — overwhelmed with despair that nothing can get better, just as nothing — nothing can get better, just as nothing has got better for ia years, there _ nothing has got better for ia years, there is— nothing has got better for ia years, there is hope, but they also can't ever_ there is hope, but they also can't ever the — there is hope, but they also can't ever the hope because... definitely not over selling _ ever the hope because... definitely not over selling hope, _ ever the hope because... definitely not over selling hope, i _ ever the hope because... definitely not over selling hope, i don't - ever the hope because... definitely not over selling hope, i don't think| not over selling hope, i don't think anyone with... i not over selling hope, i don't think anyone with- - -_ anyone with... i call it the one tenth hope. — anyone with... i call it the one tenth hope, nine _ anyone with... i call it the one tenth hope, nine tenths - anyone with... i call it the one - tenth hope, nine tenths credibility strategy— tenth hope, nine tenths credibility strategy because all good strategies are context dependent. where labour were coming from was a point of no credihility— were coming from was a point of no credibility after 20 years. so

that's credibility after 20 years. sr that's been carefully sort of carried, even in that interview there with nick, but come friday, if there with nick, but come friday, if the polls are right, the ming vase gets chucked in the thames or the north sea or somewhere and then we get a radical... north sea or somewhere and then we geta radical... do north sea or somewhere and then we get a radical... do we? north sea or somewhere and then we geta radical... do we? if north sea or somewhere and then we get a radical... do we? if these polls are right, do labour, tell us what's going to happen? we don't know if the _ what's going to happen? we don't know if the polls _ what's going to happen? we don't know if the polls are _ what's going to happen? we don't know if the polls are right. - what's going to happen? we don't know if the polls are right. if - know if the polls are right. if labour — know if the polls are right. if labour form the next government they will inherit _ labour form the next government they will inherit a _ labour form the next government they will inherit a very different economic situation, all these things. — economic situation, all these things, they need to be very careful to temper— things, they need to be very careful to temper the hope because there's some _ to temper the hope because there's some stuft— to temper the hope because there's some stuff you can do straightaway, first steps. — some stuff you can do straightaway, first steps, but there are some things— first steps, but there are some things which are a decade of renewal _ things which are a decade of renewal. �* , that be a renewal. and investment... that be a . reat renewal. and investment... that be a treat case renewal. and investment... that be a great case in — renewal. and investment... that be a great case in point, _ renewal. and investment... that be a great case in point, we've _ renewal. and investment... that be a great case in point, we've had - renewal. and investment... that be a great case in point, we've had this . great case in point, we've had this period _ great case in point, we've had this period of— great case in point, we've had this period of low investment, one of the lowest _ period of low investment, one of the lowest in _ period of low investment, one of the lowest in the g7, since practicum if you look— lowest in the g7, since practicum if you look across basically flattens out entirely. it's not to do with brexit. — out entirely. it's not to do with brexit, changing chancers, tax policy, — brexit, changing chancers, tax policy, 26 _ brexit, changing chancers, tax policy, 26 times with change corporation tax, although that has

made _ corporation tax, although that has made britain less investable. and it's not— made britain less investable. and it's not as — made britain less investable. and it's not as sexy as donald trump schulting — it's not as sexy as donald trump schulting maga but i think rachel reeves' _ schulting maga but i think rachel reeves' strategies make britain investable again because until you do that— investable again because until you do that you will not get growth. just for— do that you will not get growth. just for perspective on this 14 just for perspective on this 1a years stuff there's been of opportunity in those years for people to say they don't like where the conservatives are people to say they don't like where the conservative— the conservatives are taking us, in 2015, 2070, — the conservatives are taking us, in 2015, 2070, in — the conservatives are taking us, in 2015, 2070, in 2019, _ the conservatives are taking us, in 2015, 2070, in 2019, they- the conservatives are taking us, in 2015, 2070, in 2019, they didn't. 2015, 2070, in 2019, they didn't want labour. so this has not been a sort of decade where people have thought the conservatives were failing. and there is a curious thing is this that his idea that people are being encouraged to vote for change when change is to keir starmer saying we will not go back into the eu, in my lifetime. and he's got a few years left in him, we all hope of course, for his sake. there is no change being proposed on tax, it's ruled out, even though we all know that taxes will go up, not because of a global pandemic but because of a global pandemic but because labour always want to spend more and think they're morally right

to know people more in taxes. and there is no proposed change on immigration, they say it's a bad thing, so what's the change about other than the colour of the result? we will come back to you in a moment, but nick is still with us from birmingham. and we can talk to him about how the other parties are closing other campaigns. let's start with the liberal democrats answer ed davey, the leader of the party, we are amongst friends, so i will let you in on a secret, when ed davey was in the cabinet in the collision use, you sort of had lunch with him and it was not exactly the most scintillating affair —— of the coalition years. he has found his voice and come alive in this campaign, and paddle boards and things like that, this evening he left a rally with his deputy leader daisy cooper in a pink cadillac in hertfordshire. what he says he's been doing is having light events to highlight serious issues, mental

health, nhs, care and all that sort of stuff, and what is he saying tonight? ed davey saying this election gives people a chance to change the political geography of our country, and historic chance to end years of, he says, conservative chaos and to save the nhs and care system. let's talk about nigel farage, who obviously made a late entry in as leader of reform uk. that did lead to an uptick in their support in the polls, so they have high hopes. what is nigel farage saying? he is saying he absolutely believes his party will get millions of votes. that will establish what he is describing as a bridgehead in parliament, but then you say how many seats? and he said, i haven't got a clue. what is the green party in england and will saying? carla denyer, the co—leader of the party, pointing out there sending the highest number of seats they have ever stood in england and wales, she's been talking about how she would like her cohort of green mps to push, as she puts it, a labour

government to be braver and bolder, to hold that government to account and the greens say they will provide real hope and real change. nick, you did say we were among friends i won't ask you to predict the election but you've been across the election but you've been across the uk covering the campaign, speaking off the record to top politicians, are you picking up any signs that they believe or they are acting in a way that the polls might have missed something big? a deadlyjourney into blue england, middle england, for the bbc�*s website and depth section, and i know you know all about that section, and i spent some time doing that but also a lot of time on trains. a lot of time to write and reflect. what did i pack up your mac clearly there is a yearning for change. people think the conservatives 1a years and poet is quite a long time but i didn't the a huge amount of love for sir keir

starmer and indeed the labour party. does that make them nervous? does that mean it might not go quite the way they hope? my impression is people may not be in love with keir starmer but they are not afraid of him, and the labour party remember 1992, labourare him, and the labour party remember 1992, labour are going to win that election and they didn't. the difference then was clearly people didn't have confidence in neil kinnock as prime minister and didn't have confidence in the latejohn smith as their chancellor, you remember the famous tax bombshell campaign. rishi sunak has tried to warn about a tax bombshell but the polls seem to suggest that people don't fear keir starmer and rachel reeves, they think they are pretty steady folk. get reeves, they think they are pretty steady folk-— reeves, they think they are pretty stead folk. , , , steady folk. get some sleep, we will see ou steady folk. get some sleep, we will see you on — steady folk. get some sleep, we will see you on the _ steady folk. get some sleep, we will see you on the other— steady folk. get some sleep, we will see you on the other side. _ we've beenjoined in the studio by the bbc�*s disinformation & social media correspondent, marianna spring. and with a collection of telephones,

from which you have been conducting the undercover voter experiment. we are really keen to talk to you today because in theory from previous campaigns what we hear is that today, the 2a hours until polling day, a deluge from social media apps. day, a deluge from social media a- s. �* , day, a deluge from social media a. s, " , , ., , day, a deluge from social media as.--�* , ,., day, a deluge from social media apps. are these phones blowing up? for an one apps. are these phones blowing up? for anyone watching _ apps. are these phones blowing up? for anyone watching thinking - apps. are these phones blowing up? for anyone watching thinking why i apps. are these phones blowing up? | for anyone watching thinking why are there a load of old phones on the table? they are the undercover voters. 2a phones, this isjust a selection, 2a fictional characters with social media profiles across all the main sites based on data. the profiles are private and let me guess what different people work targeted with. you feel the social media campaign hotting up in these last few hours into polling day. some of that is lee paid for adverts that parties can all buy on social

media sites and google and other places to target specific groups of people. what we have really noticed and what i have seen over the past day or so is how the conservative party has spent a bit less money and the labour party have ramped up spending. a lot of ads merrily rhetoric on the campaign trail, talking about don't surrender to keir starmer, pictures of dogs and cats, quite a motive and might make you say what is going on here? labour's ads have tended to be about introducing their slogans and candidates and ideas and so on. one of the most interesting things to talk about and what i have really noticed as a lot of the stuff that seems to be having the most impact is not necessarily stuff paid for are targeted to people. it is the stuff the algorithms are actually recommending to the feeds of my voters. a lot less expensive than buying targeted ads.—

voters. a lot less expensive than buying targeted ads. facebook and tiktok? it might _ buying targeted ads. facebook and tiktok? it might be _ buying targeted ads. facebook and tiktok? it might be a _ buying targeted ads. facebook and tiktok? it might be a meme - buying targeted ads. facebook and tiktok? it might be a meme or - buying targeted ads. facebook and tiktok? it might be a meme or a l tiktok? it might be a meme or a video or something _ tiktok? it might be a meme or a video or something from - tiktok? it might be a meme or a video or something from the - tiktok? it might be a meme or a i video or something from the parties themselves, a lot of smaller parties have been doing selfie videos and talking about policies and so on and those have been coming up on the feeds of all my voters but also not from parties at all but from groups of political supporters and activists and unidentified accounts. today i have had lots of real voters getting in touch with me about how they are really noticing this uptick in that kind of content but particularly stuff that is misleading, videos taken out of context, old video circulating, stuff that has been doctored. perhaps because the same tactics i have seen for the past five weeks is being used but the audience is much more captive because they are thinking about who they want to vote for. �* ., , thinking about who they want to vote for. �* . , ., , , for. but that is not the party is doinu for. but that is not the party is doing that _ for. but that is not the party is doing that but _ for. but that is not the party is doing that but if _ for. but that is not the party is doing that but if you _ for. but that is not the party is doing that but if you like - for. but that is not the party is i doing that but if you like hobbyist fans of parties doing this as a sideline because they want to help their favourite party?

sideline because they want to help theirfavourite party? stand sideline because they want to help their favourite party?— their favourite party? and it is important _ their favourite party? and it is important to _ their favourite party? and it is important to understand - their favourite party? and it is important to understand the l their favourite party? and it is i important to understand the shift i have found compared to 2019, because actually the algorithms and the way the platforms work are quite different because tiktok exists and tiktok has fundamentally changed and reshaped the way the other sites work, whether x or instagram, and that means we are often served up stuff recommended to us from people we don't know and that aren't necessarily official so one official profiles can have a pretty decent influence and sometimes that is a good thing and means people can voice their opinions and say what they are thinking but the downside of some of the misleading and false stuff we are seeing. 0ne network of accounts are investigated, a left—leaning network, where sharing doctored clips and false clips of politicians saying stuff they never said and then the comments of a double down and say i was there and it really happened and that has reared its head today. another clip got pretty decent traction about wes

streeting falsely suggesting he