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tv   The Context  BBC News  September 6, 2024 9:30pm-10:01pm BST

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hello, i'm christian fraser. you're watching the context on bbc news. the gender gap widens in the us election — we'll take a look at what that might mean for the campaigns. we are hearing from the united states that dick cheney, former vice president, now 83 years old, has said he will be following his daughter and voting for kamala harris at the election. the republican former vice president following his daughter, who course did say this week, liz cheney, she would vote for kamala harris. we will maybe talk about what that might mean for the democratic campaign. but now the opposite side of the age scale. every four years in a us election, political analysts like us start splitting up the electorate into different subgroups, who might this time be the difference.
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suburban mothers in michigan. retired folks in arizona. latinos in nevada. black voters in georgia. and so on and so on. but one of the things that really stands out in this election, is the gender gap. it is there in all the swing states and across all the different racial groups. and it is most prominent among young voters. polling from the new york times shows that 53% of young men favoured donald trump in some key swing states. while 67% of young women now said they planned to support the vice president. and it is no coincidence donald trump is now aggressively courting men in that 18—to—29—year—old age group. great to have your in air force one, a special plane. he has made friends with the nelk boys, he appears at the ultimate fighting championship, he has been interviewed byjake and logan paul. in fact it has become a deliberate campaign strategy to appear alongside these
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key male influencers. then we had a terrible result in an election and what happened was disgraceful and we can't ever let that happen again. but, you know it, we have a little expression, it's right on that had, make america great again. and we can do that — make america great again. stephanie, some voters voting for the first time, political correctness, a two tierjustice system, the assassination attempt and he responded to it. not to see actually why young men, especially young white men, especially young white men, might see something attractive in donald trump. yes, i can see why he is trying to court them but i think the numbers shown that if women turn out to vote in the ways they have in the last couple of elections because of the reproductive rights that are on
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the ballot, they will be able to eclipse the male vote. based on a 2020 celsius, there were more registered women voters than males by around 10 million. study sure women registered vote in a greater percentage than males. this gender gap exists and the advantage it as far as in the numbers as with the woman. i think also the gender gap, jens e is significant, young women have said they will vote for harris by a significant amount of numbers. if you look back to 2022, a midterm election, we saw this voting bloc really flexed their muscles in the midterms, turning out in historic numbers, really motivated by reproductive rights. what the trump campaign has been doing has further energised this group because they continue to talk about
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women, the narrowly prescribed role women should play in society whether around reproductive rights or responsibilities to reproduce, care for children when young, when they are postmenopausal, care for the grandchildren. women do not see themselves so narrowly defined in the society and are rejecting the notion that two men can limit the potential in any way. i think unwittingly they are energising the female vote as much as they are courting the male vote. it was the new york times that first of the story, interviewed with young men at some of the trump row that talked about the concerns they had, grocery prices, the border, housing costs, they also said they felt like they were being cast as villains when all they were really trying to do was provide for theirfamilies. really trying to do was provide fortheirfamilies. is really trying to do was provide for theirfamilies. is there for their families. is there something for theirfamilies. is there something in the way that progressives talk to white men that makes them feel they are
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not part of the group, makes them not want to vote for the democratic party? couldl start again? —— could you — couldl start again? —— could you start _ couldl start again? —— could you start again? at couldl start again? -- could you start again?— you start again? at trump rallies young _ you start again? at trump rallies young white - you start again? at trump rallies young white men . you start again? at trump - rallies young white men talked about grocery prices, the border, but they also perceived that they had been cast as villains and i am just inquiring whether there is something way progressives have dressed as particular group, subset that means they don't want to support the democratic party. i want to support the democratic -a . ~' want to support the democratic .a _ ~' , party. i think there is something _ party. i think there is something in - party. i think there is something in that, i party. i think there is - something in that, really do. essentially, it comes down to the whole thing against the
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anti—woke and people can say what — anti—woke and people can say what they really think because everyone is being sensitive now — everyone is being sensitive now. don't think that is necessarily right but i think there's_ necessarily right but i think there's something about a politically correct culture that _ politically correct culture that young men in particular, especially young white men, sort — especially young white men, sort of— especially young white men, sort of feel now they are picked _ sort of feel now they are picked upon, something they want — picked upon, something they want to— picked upon, something they want to fight against. essentially, it doesn't surprise me at all that donald trump — surprise me at all that donald trump is _ surprise me at all that donald trump is winning in this demographic. the big question is how— demographic. the big question is how many of them will actually— is how many of them will actually vote.— actually vote. that is the thin . actually vote. that is the thing because _ actually vote. that is the thing because there - actually vote. that is the thing because there is i actually vote. that is the - thing because there is evidence that they deserted him in 2020. the thing is, stephanie, to put this back on the democrats, they have chosen a running mate
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who has always been about men, a veteran, a teacher, very relaxed i would think around that particular subset. do you think it is incumbent on kamala harris to go out and speak to some of these same groups on some of these same groups on some of these same groups on some of these same platforms, to try and reach some of these young men? talking about pennsylvania, they could be the difference. it pennsylvania, they could be the difference-— difference. it is incumbent u on difference. it is incumbent upon any _ difference. it is incumbent upon any campaign - difference. it is incumbent upon any campaign to - difference. it is incumbent. upon any campaign to reach difference. it is incumbent - upon any campaign to reach out to as many people through the channels that they consume the media in order to connect with them. i do think in him, tim walz, knows how to change a tire, can walk into a football locker room, talk to those folks, they have done the
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campaign like a friday night football event. she can talk to this group but he can also be the kind of father who is sensitive and emotional when he talks about the challenges that he and his family had in having children and how proud she is of the children including his son who has developmental challenges. that relates to so many people across this country irrespective of how masculine they think they are. those are just very normal emotions and sort of experience is that the american people have. and these two candidates have that kind of middle—class experience, middle—class perspective that resonates with so much of america. resonates with so much of america-— resonates with so much of america. , ,., ., america. interesting. good -iece america. interesting. good iece in america. interesting. good piece in the _ america. interesting. good piece in the new— america. interesting. good piece in the new york - america. interesting. goodl piece in the new york times america. interesting. good i piece in the new york times if you want to read it, certainly looks to be deliberately strategy for the trump
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campaign. us defence secretary lloyd austin says there's "no—one capability" that will turn the war in ukraine in kyiv�*s favour. his comment came after president zelensky renewed his appeal to ukraine's military backers — during a meeting at america's ramstein air base in germany — to authorise the use of long—range missiles to attack targets inside russia. mr zelensky said this was the only way to bring about an end of the war. the us today announced a new 250—million dollar package of military aid, while the uk said it would provide kyiv with 650 new lightweight missiles. putin wants more of ukraine to occupy. then he won security from russia. then he wants security for russia. he doesn't care about russian land and people, he just wants to grab as much of our land and as many of our cities as possible. the number of air defence systems that have not yet been
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delivered is significant. this is what was agreed upon and this is what has not been fully implemented. we want enough air defences to make sure that russian terror does not have a result. the british prime minister is travelling to washington next week to meetjoe biden. presumably they will discuss this. kim, justgiving ukraine enough not to lose? the targets they have identified, 84 of them are in the near border area across russia. is it time we reconsidered the strategy we are employing here? i we reconsidered the strategy we are employing here?— are employing here? i think we are employing here? i think we are kind of _ are employing here? i think we are kind of walked _ are employing here? i think we are kind of walked into - are employing here? i think we are kind of walked into the - are kind of walked into the strategy at the moment. the line you _ strategy at the moment. the line you used used, we are giving _ line you used used, we are giving ukraine enough not to lose — giving ukraine enough not to lose ilut— giving ukraine enough not to lose but not to win is exactly
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right — lose but not to win is exactly right. just _ lose but not to win is exactly right. just because it is a small_ right. just because it is a small country with a smaller army. — small country with a smaller army, there are real resource problems _ army, there are real resource problems. i am army, there are real resource problems. lam not army, there are real resource problems. i am not sure even if you give — problems. i am not sure even if you give zelensky all the stuff he is — you give zelensky all the stuff he is asking for that would be enough — he is asking for that would be enough to turn the tide of the war substantially in his favoun _ war substantially in his favour. apart from anything else — favour. apart from anything else you _ favour. apart from anything else you need to be able to coordinate air, land and sea forces _ coordinate air, land and sea forces. and you need to use these — forces. and you need to use these weapons for maximum capabilities. it looks to me i'm afraid like a war of attrition _ i'm afraid like a war of attrition apart from some dramatic change in policy from the western backers of ukraine or something dramatic from the kremlin, — or something dramatic from the kremlin, this can drag on and on weit— kremlin, this can drag on and on well into next year and potentially well beyond. it is
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a war— potentially well beyond. it is a war of— potentially well beyond. it is a war of attrition now and the ukrainians— a war of attrition now and the ukrainians don't have the power to win _ ukrainians don't have the power to win it— ukrainians don't have the power to win it but equally the russians are making a few yards of day— russians are making a few yards of day in — russians are making a few yards of day in the donbas and losing 1200 _ of day in the donbas and losing 1200 a — of day in the donbas and losing 1200 a day killed or wounded, that is— 1200 a day killed or wounded, that is extraordinary.- that is extraordinary. clearly, stephanie. — that is extraordinary. clearly, stephanie, they _ that is extraordinary. clearly, stephanie, they are - that is extraordinary. clearly, stephanie, they are banking l that is extraordinary. clearly, i stephanie, they are banking on donald trump coming back to the white house, the russians. what happens if it is kamala harris that wins the election but she does not have full control of congress and loses the house? what then for how ukraine is supported? i what then for how ukraine is summed?— supported? i worked at the department _ supported? i worked at the department of _ supported? i worked at the department of defence - supported? i worked at the i department of defence during the early 2002 when we had wars going on, any military conflict i understand is fort not only on a battlefield but in a political arena and so i definitely think that vladimir putin is trying to wait this out to see what happens in this election. should kamala harris win with a divided government i think she can cobble together
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the votes necessary to move forward additional support for ukraine. we have seen in the past the american support for ukraine has been approved on a bipartisan basis. but what it requires us to leadership in the white house. i am certain that she did beer trump white house that leadership will exist to continue to support ukraine and putin understand that cool. ., ukraine and putin understand that cool-— ukraine and putin understand that cool. ., ~ ., , that cool. you will know better than anyone. _ that cool. you will know better than anyone, that _ that cool. you will know better than anyone, that is _ than anyone, that is interesting to hear. we will take a break. whites take that and talk the other side, this is bbc news.
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i told you a short time ago we had news from the states that
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former vice president dick cheney will be voting for the democratic nominee kamala harris, liz cheney said she would be doing the same early in the week here is the video. do you, if you know who he will be supporting or who he will be voting for, do you care to share with us who he might be voting for? dick cheney will be voting for kamala harris. cheering and applause. it remains to be seen how they might use them, take to the purple counties in pennsylvania? now time for the panel. stephanie, jack draper has lost the first set to sinner. what has impressed you?- the first set to sinner. what has impressed you? one, i 'ust
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love the underdog. * has impressed you? one, i 'ust love the underdog. the i has impressed you? one, ijust love the underdog. the fact - has impressed you? one, ijust love the underdog. the fact he | love the underdog. the fact he was ranked 25th and has been playing the best tennis of his life. i picked up tennis one year ago and i am not quite serving at 100 mph. year ago and i am not quite serving at100 mph. hot year ago and i am not quite serving at 100 mph. not yet, as i set m serving at 100 mph. not yet, as i set my son- — serving at100 mph. not yet, as i set my son. it— serving at 100 mph. not yet, as i set my son. it has _ serving at 100 mph. not yet, as i set my son. it has been - serving at 100 mph. not yet, as i set my son. it has been so - i set my son. it has been so much fun — i set my son. it has been so much fun to _ i set my son. it has been so much fun to him _ i set my son. it has been so much fun to him and - i set my son. it has been so much fun to him and see i i set my son. it has been so. much fun to him and see him defy expectations. i've been trying to watch this while doing this broadcast, he is really holding his own with the number one ranked italian sinner. whatever happens with this much, i think the british people and draper have a lot to be part of, he is really quite an inspiration and ijust love the way he has been playing. fantastic, good he is flying the flag for the uk. isn't it, kim? we have quite a good record in the us open in recent
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years. record in the us open in recent ears. , record in the us open in recent ears, , ., . ., record in the us open in recent ears. , ., .,, ., years. yes, raducanu. he was a aood years. yes, raducanu. he was a goodjunior- — years. yes, raducanu. he was a goodjunior- go _ years. yes, raducanu. he was a good junior. go to _ years. yes, raducanu. he was a good junior. go to the _ years. yes, raducanu. he was a good junior. go to the finals - good junior. go to the finals of a — good junior. go to the finals of a grandstand. making his way rapidiy— of a grandstand. making his way rapidiy up — of a grandstand. making his way rapidly up the ranks, tremendous serve, great forehand. i have been watching his progress this week, until tonight— his progress this week, until tonight he had not lost the set — tonight he had not lost the set. , ., , , tonight he had not lost the set. , ., tonight he had not lost the set. ,., ., set. obviously a harder match toniuht set. obviously a harder match tonight was — set. obviously a harder match tonight was certainly - set. obviously a harder match tonight was certainly up - tonight was certainly up against it, very good player in sinner. you want to talk about a cat. , ., ., ., a cat. yes, a heart-warming sto , a cat. yes, a heart-warming story. i— a cat. yes, a heart-warming story. i tend _ a cat. yes, a heart-warming story, i tend to _ a cat. yes, a heart-warming story, i tend to choose - a cat. yes, a heart-warming story, i tend to choose an i story, i tend to choose an animai— story, i tend to choose an animal story. this cat disappeared from his home in texas — disappeared from his home in texas three years ago and has 'ust texas three years ago and has just repaired 2000 miles away in massachusetts. three years after _ in massachusetts. three years after it — in massachusetts. three years after it disappeared. it's owner, _
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after it disappeared. it's owner, the cat is called shotto, _ owner, the cat is called shotto, i think, owner, the cat is called shotto, ithink, drove owner, the cat is called shotto, i think, drove to collect _ shotto, i think, drove to collect it. how did it get there? _ collect it. how did it get there? hitchhike? got into the hold _ there? hitchhike? got into the hold of— there? hitchhike? got into the hold of an _ there? hitchhike? got into the hold of an aeroplane? how did the cat — hold of an aeroplane? how did the cat get 2000 miles? extraordinary. something of the kim tarik, coming home late? —— something of the kim darroch. he always comes on, stephanie, we have had tarantulas, snakes, alligators, disappearing cat. are you a cat person? i am a dog person but all in behind a loyal pet who overcomes the odds to reunite with its owner.
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yes. i odds to reunite with its owner. yes. . , odds to reunite with its owner. yes. ., , ., odds to reunite with its owner. yes. ., ., , ., yes. i was a zoologist and university- _ yes. i was a zoologist and university. you _ yes. i was a zoologist and university. you were - yes. i was a zoologist and university. you were a - university. you were a zoologist? _ university. you were a zoologist? when - university. you were a zoologist? when you i university. you were a - zoologist? when you really? university. you were a _ zoologist? when you really? how did you end up as a diplomat from zoology. so did you end up as a diplomat from zoology-— from zoology. so many parallels _ from zoology. so many parallels. i— from zoology. so many parallels. i am - from zoology. so manyj parallels. i am learning from zoology. so many i parallels. i am learning all sorts about _ parallels. i am learning all sorts about kim _ parallels. i am learning all sorts about kim darroch i sorts about kim darroch tonight. stephanie, lovely to have you along side for once. we don't do it very often but thank you for your company. and sir kim darroch. back sometime on monday, big week coming up next week, the us debate between donald trump and kamala harris, and great panels, stay with us, have a great weekend, good night.
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hello from the bbc sport centre, i'm olly foster. jack draper is on court right now at flushing meadows playing the biggest match of his life, he is taking on the world number one jannick sinner in the us open semi—final. he lost a tight first set against the italian. sinner taking it 7—5, breaking draper twice, the british number one was forced into a number of errors in the deciding game. it's the first set that draper has dropped in new york. it's the furthest he's gone at any of the four major tournaments whereas sinner won his first grand slam at the australian open at the start of the year. 2-2 in 2—2 in the second set, draper fighting hard to stay in the semifinal. craig bellamy�*s first match in charge of wales ended in a 0—0 draw against ten man turkey in cardiff wales had by the far the better chances in their opening nations league match, joe rodon blazed over in the first half. that was from a sorba thomas
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cross, the huddersfield forward, who's on loan at nantes, also had a goal disallowed for offside. wales' task has been made easier when turkey had baris yilmaz sent off, shown a second yellow card for catching neco williams. turkey had an opportunity to make the breakthrough but danny ward was alert. 0—0 it finished. england's cricketers closed on 221 for three on the first day of the final test against sri lanka at the oval. bad light and light drizzle curtailed play for a few hours this afternoon, sri lanka won the toss and took an early wicket, dan lawrence, standing in for the injured zak crawley, failed to make double figures in either innings in the last test and again fell cheaply. ben duckett was enjoying himself though, racing to a rapid half century and he didn't slow down.
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closing in on 100. but he tried one scoop one shot too many and fell for 86. ollie pope has struggled for runs since taking on the captaincy for this series, but he looked much fantastic, reaching an unbeaten 103. remember, england have already won the series, but another victory will have seen them win all six of their summer tests. they completed a clean sweep against west indies. they have had the conditions all day, getting stuck in, the lights have been on, the pitch a little bit green. i think it was probably one of the better days of the summer. we will see tomorrow if we can kick on and get a good score. throughout, lots of good balls on that pitch, we are happy. but getting his century, you average over 70 to go. testament to him and his character, he loves batting at the oval, we were making jokes and hopefully we will get some. an incredible knock. hopefully tomorrow we
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will make it a big one. it's been a good day for england on the field but mark wood has been ruled out for the rest of the year. the fast bowler hasn't played since pulling up with a thigh problem in the first test against sri lanka last month, but he's revealed today that he also has a stress fracture in his right elbow so will miss the winter tours to pakistan and new zealand. wood has been unplayable at times this summer and if fit, is expected to play a big part in the ashes next year. he hopes to return in time for the champions trophy in february. after this test, england face australia in three t20 matches and five one—dayers starting next wednesday. australia have won their t20 series against scotland in edinburgh after winning the first match on wednesday they showed no mercy piling up 196 forfour from their 20 overs. josh inglis smashing 103 from just 49 balls. scotland were never in the hunt and collapsed to 126 all out inside 17 overs. so australia win the three match series — they play
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the final game tomorrow. more success for para gb in paris. they've now surpassed their tokyo paralympics tally of 41 gold medals. this was the moment the 42nd gold was clinched. dimitri coutya claiming his second fencing title, this one coming in the men's individual epee b final. silverfor team—mate piers gilliver in the men's epee a was the 100th medal won by great britain, meeting the target set by uk sport of 100—140 medals with two days to go. poppy maskill has her third gold of the games. she was trailing at the halfway point in the women's s14 100 metres backstroke. but a strong finish saw her pip valeriia shabalina. fellow briton olivia newman—baronius took bronze. it's maskill�*s fifth medal in total in paris. it was third time lucky for alfie hewett and gordon reid in the wheelchair doubles.
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runners up in rio and tokyo, but there was no stopping them at roland garros where they beat japan's tokito oda and takuya miki. hewett described winning his first paralympic gold medal alongside reid as "the stuff of dreams". hewett faces oda again in tomorrow's singles final. welshman stevie williams has retained his overall lead after the fourth stage of the tour of britain. he couldn't make it a hat—trick of stage wins in newark on trent though. he finished 26th with frenchman paul magnier claiming his second victory of the tour, having also won tuesday's opening stage. williams leads by 16 seconds. and that's all the sport for now. more on the website and app, goodbye. hello there! we had some enormous contrasts in weather fortunes across the uk on friday. many of you saw some
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warm afternoon. spells of sunshine felt quite humid and temperatures surged as high as 28 celsius in cambridge. that was one of the highest temperatures. it was pretty hot elsewhere in east anglia and also the northwest of the uk, west through in dumfries and galloway. ten degrees above average and 27 degrees here set a new temperature record for september at this particular site, with records going back 40 years. in the south, different story. cloud and rain once again worked its way in, and have been totting up all of those rainfall totals both through thursday and friday. in farnborough, in hampshire, we've recorded 56mm of rain — that's only three millimetres away from the entire average rainfall for september we would normally expect, so it's been nearly a month's worth of rainfall that's come our way. now, looking at the weather picture overnight tonight, it turns murky again with low cloud becoming extensive. some mist and fog patches with that spots of drizzle. but finally the weather fronts in the south will give up the ghost.
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you the rain will ease off in intensity. just a few patches of damp and drizzly weather left over on into the weekend, the same area of low pressure that brought the soaking to the south is still going to be bringing the threat of heavy, thundery showers or some longer spells of rain to england and wales. now it's going to be a murky start to the day for many. watch out for these showers as they work into parts of eastern england. they could be quite heavy through the morning. elsewhere, a few thundery showers could pop up into the afternoon. hit or miss in nature, but one or two of those could be quite intense. scotland and northern ireland. the cloud will tend to thin and break with sunshine coming through, and it should stay dry here. we'll have some of the highest temperatures in the uk again across northwestern areas. for sunday it's a case of showers or some longer spells of rain, probably some thunderstorms mixed in. we might see some localised surface water flooding from some of the heaviest downpours across england and wales, and again hit or miss in nature in terms of how much rain that we get from this system. scotland and northern ireland having the drier weather but probably turning
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a bit cloudier. the jet stream next week is going to change. it's going to pull in a slab of colder air from the north west, and with that will come some rather unsettled and showery weather conditions. temperatures dropping across the board and some chilly nights developing from midweek on. at10... the longest sentence handed down so far for this summer's riots. nine years for an arsonist who stoked fires and
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attacked the police. thomas birley was part of a group trying to burn down a hotel housing asylum seekers in rotherham. also tonight — a judge delays donald trump's sentencing for paying hush money to a porn star. what could it mean for the election? israeli forces pull out ofjenin in the occupied west bank. we're on the ground, assessing the offensive...... israel said its target in the operation was the armed palestinian groups based here. but its methods are what are raising alarm. not just the civilians killed and injured, but the levels of destruction that are wrecking lives. jack draper is in the fight of his life in the semifinal of the us open. iam in i am in you work as he tries to come from one set down against the world
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number one. —— in

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