tv HAR Dtalk BBC News September 11, 2024 11:30pm-12:01am BST
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italy, a chance for european politicians to come together and assess the political mood across the continent. in the last year, the anti—immigrant far right has made major political gains, and nowhere is that movement more entrenched than in hungary, where nationalist populist prime minister viktor orban has been in powerfor14 years. my guest today is his political director, balazs orban. so is orbanism a model that others in europe will follow? balazs orban, welcome to hardtalk.
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thank you very much for the invitation. it's nice to be here. it's great to have you on the programme. for the past 1a years, your boss, prime minister viktor orban, has been waging a political war against what he calls the liberal elite in brussels. do you think he's winning that war? no, it's a... it's a long war. we still have time, but we have to take the war because... ..because it's about our freedom. and, you know, i think in european culture, we respect freedom. the hungarian people are very much freedom—loving people. they want to decide how to live their own life, what to do — what is their purpose, what are the rules they want to follow? and from a historical point of view, also, we hungarians don't like to be dictated from outside. it doesn't matter from which direction it comes. unfortunately, the current progressive liberal elite likes to dictate to the others how
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to live their life and what to do, what to think about the world order or anything else, so it's a... it's a long battle. thing is... but we're still standing. yeah, you're still standing, and you're still members of the club. i mean, if you're in a club, you'd like to think that all members were committed to consensual politics, to finding solutions together. but it seems you and your boss, viktor orban, have given up on that approach. i'm just seeing something you wrote recently — "the era of peaceful coexistence with liberal forces "is over." with liberal forces is over." does that mean you see a new era of total political confrontation in brussels? unfortunately, if you follow the news which are coming from the western world — notjust from my country, notjust from brussels, but from london or from washington, dc — you see that this peaceful coexistence is everywhere over. unfortunately, things are very much polarised. like, politicians are getting shot,
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they want to sentence to jail, huge riots, rebels and so on and so on, huge confrontation, huge violation of freedom of speech and rights and so on. so unfortunately, the west has lost its way, and... but hang on a minute. the people you're talking about who adopt violent means, they're not democrats. i mean, you're supposed to be a democrat. in the european union, for example... yeah, violation is not a democratic value. it's an undemocratic value. i'm just talking about the symptoms. and, you know, the post—cold war golden age period of time is over. everybody knows that — in your country, in germany, in hungary — and we have to react. and we hungarians, we are members of the club. we sign up for the rules. but there is nowhere in the rules that you can't have your opinion, you can't suggest an alternative direction for europe. i mean, we believe in democracy,
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we believe in european cooperation. we even believe in nato, which is a... well, you don't, to be honest with you. i'm just looking at the reaction of prime minister orban to the reappointment of ursula von der leyen to be president of the european commission for a second term. your boss said, "we cannot work together with her." it is clear that hungary intends, over the next few months, years, to be a blocking force inside brussels. we are dissatisfied with ursula von der leyen�*s policies and last term, so our recommendation for europe was not to choose her as a candidate. but the rest, the other member states, they made a different decision. but the point now is that the european politicians see how hungary operates inside the european union, and they do not like it. there's deep frustration with your country, particularly...
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let's get to the specifics — particularly over your strategy, your approach to the war in ukraine. according to lithuania's foreign minister, gabrielius landsbergis, hungary has blocked 41% of the different approaches, resolutions that the eu has tried to adopt on the ukraine war. he says, "this has gone too far. "we as a community, the european union, the club, "we have to find a way around hungary's determination to block." i mean, it's very transparent what we're doing. we have a minority opinion in the last two and a half years. i think that we are on the good side of history, so history will prove that what we were saying from day one about the war, it will come... it will become a truth, because what we were saying — it's obvious that russia is taking responsibility, has to take responsibility for this violation of international law, act against ukraine.
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so, russia attacked ukraine. this is out of question. but the important part of it, what to do, how to solve the conflict, and the european leaders and the western liberal leaders in the last two and a half years were saying that we should support the ukrainians, push the warfurther, don't do any kind of diplomatic actions, not engage with russia, push further the war and support the ukrainians. and what happened? more than 500,000 people died. ukraine lost more territory than they had before. ukraine as a country, from an economic point of view, collapsed. there is a serious daily risk of escalation. so i don't see it as a sound and logical strategy on the western side. and we hungarians are criticising this strategy from day one. we have an alternative
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vision about that. and they want to silence us in the name of european — whatsoever — unity. i think the most important value in europe is democracy, is plurality, where every member state can be heard. europe hears you. europe hears what many regard as putin's apologist sitting in budapest, because when you say that the only solution here is to stop the war, you, in essence, are saying to vladimir putin that he can keep what he currently holds, which is almost 20% of ukraine's... but sorry to say that... ..sovereign territory. ..why is the case that all the liberals, the same kind of people... there is a conflict in the middle east and they know how to solve the conflict. they talk about how to solve the conflict in the middle east every day — first, restore communication channels, then put together a short—term ceasefire and try to figure out a long—term peace agreement. the same kind of people,
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they don't know this in the case of ukraine and russia wars. you say there is no question that russia invaded ukraine, that international law, international justice, requires russia to leave ukraine's sovereign territory. you agree with that, right? yes. so why do you say that that cannot be achieved by ukraine fighting a war of national resistance? because it's. .. forfirst, it's realpolitiks. you have to see what is going on the front line. second, i don't want to risk the third world war. i don't know what you think about this, but i don't want to risk the third world war. but the point about your position is... so... hang on. the point about your position is, you're saying ukraine cannot win, but you then thwart europe's efforts to help ukraine with financial and military assistance, therefore becoming a self—perpetuating circle. you say ukraine can't win because you are one of the countries blocking giving ukraine the means to win.
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separate the two things from each other. we support ukraine in many senses — humanitarian support, energy support and so on and so on. we are providing... we hungarians, hungarian taxpayers, are providing money for the functioning of ukrainian state. it's about the ukrainian nurses. it's about the ukrainian teachers and so on... but right now, right now, you are... as we speak to each other, you are still... inside the european union's processes, you are still blocking more than 6 billion euros' worth of aid that the rest of the eu wants to send... military aid. ..to ukraine, and you are refusing. because we don't want to be part of it. i just... i just want to stop killing people for nothing. it happens... it happens for no reason. i mean, why don't we stop it? if you portray those who disagree with the mainstream policy of the west as putin's puppet, then, intellectually, all discussions are immediately becoming dead.
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many countries in the eu have weaned themselves off russian oil and gas. you've chosen to go to moscow and actually sign new agreements which deepen your dependency on russian gas in particular. but also, you still want to use russian oil. we want to use oil which helps for the hungarian economy. it's a decision which is based on national interests, and we have every right to do so. if it's western oil or gas, or if it comes from the east, then it's all good for us because it's a practical question on our side. and i don't know why it makes sense that europe is giving up its cooperation on field of energy policy with russia. and there is one kind of dependency, and then they change and turn it to another kind of dependency. and the energy prices are skyrocketing, inflation was on a very high peak and the middle class
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of europe is suffering, and russia has no problem to find alternative routes. why? it makes sense. you're also getting loans of more than 12 billion euros to build a nuclear power plant using russian technology, russian construction workers. you have actually just fast—tracked a new visa system to allow more russians to come into your country. these are all signs that when it comes to the strategic choice to be made in europe, budapest has made its choice. it's going with putin. i respectfully disagree with you — for many reasons and mainly on a factual basis. we have to dig down into the things. it's obvious that we don't want to give up our sovereignty. we want to decide with whom we cooperate on the field of energy policy. and we have our energy resources...
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you are dependent on russia. yes, yes. but for us... it's not cooperation, it's dependency. no, no, no, no. but we have alternative channels. i don't know if you have time, we can go into the details. i can show you all the interconnectors, the development, and i can explain you why a nuclear power plant means for a small country, a small, landlocked country like hungary, means more independence in the field of energy, not less independence. so it's very important for us. it's true. we want to maintain our pragmatic, energy—based cooperation because it's important for us. we would be insane to give it up. but the hungarian position is always based on the hungarian interests, and we don't care if we are criticised for that. we are ready to cooperate with our european partners on all fields where it's an equal basis of law. we have to do our best, but we want to maintain our sovereign foreign policy. and, actually, ithink in this new world order, more and more countries should do the same. when you talk about — and we discussed it at the beginning
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of this interview — this war that you believe has to be fought against the values, the ideology of the liberal elite in brussels, you talk about ukraine being one key, specific factor in all of this, but you also talk about migration. is hungary...determined to continue to violate european law in its pursuit of the toughest anti—migration policy? 0r defend european people against illegal migration. no, i'm talking about law at the moment. as you know very well... yeah, yeah, yeah... ..the european court has ruled repeatedly that your policies of summarily removing those who try to get into your country to seek asylum, your policy is out—and—out illegal. yes. but the problem is with the european law, it has to be changed. but we go back to the point — you signed up to this club, you signed up to uphold europe's laws. you can't suddenly decide
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that the law is illegitimate. yeah, but why don't we get an opt—out on the migration policy? and then the european union... that's not what you signed up to. well, denmark can have it and hungary cannot have it. so it's a... it's a technique which exists... sorry. you have to operate under the rules which you signed up to and you're refusing to do so. you are serially violating european law. are you going to continue that or will you stop? we will keep continue to protect the hungarian people. and i personally and the prime minister and all the right—wing politicians, we will not let hungary down through illegal migration, as it happened with many western countries. we don't want to change our society. we don't want the violation. we don't want a serious mess, what it is in other countries. we try to respect european law, but with all due respect, european union law is not fitting for this problem. it's not good enough. it doesn't help the countries who are protecting its borders.
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it actually makes our life more miserable. we spend 2 billion euros in the last eight years to defending our borders. it means we kept out hundreds and hundreds of thousands of illegal migrants, kept out... yeah, the european court of human rights has ruled that your treatment of unauthorised migrants has involved arbitrary detention, excessive use of force, and it is a fundamental violation. you're telling me all of that will continue? no. i mean, i'm telling you that we have an effective system which keeps illegal migrants out. so all those politicians who are saying that it's impossible, they are lying. they are lying to you. they are lying to your voters.
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it's possible. you just have to stick the regulation. the regulation is very simple. if you don't have the right to enter a territory of the country, we don't let you in. you can apply for asylum from outside. and if the asylum application is decided and you get the green light, then you can enter the country. it's so simple. imean... the funny thing is that this position you take is part of a wider point that viktor 0rban has been making for the last decade about hungary not needing, not wanting migrants to come into the country. this is what he said in 2016, quote, "hungary does not need a single migrant for our economy to work "or the population to sustain itself "or for our country to have a great future." eight years later, today, we see that hungary, because it is short — desperately short — of labour, is inviting guest workers from a list of 15 non—eu countries to come into the country, to come and work on three—year work visas. you d0 need migrants.
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you just won't admit it. again — details, details, details. if you look on how hungarian asylum law looks like or the regulation about the guest workers, it's very tough. it's the toughest in europe. probably it's more closer to the qatari regulation than to other european countries' regulation, because the idea is if we have hungarians who are willing to take the job, then we don't need migrants. this argumentation, you know, our prime minister's quote, was a reflection on that. it's not acceptable. we don't need migration. we need family... your population is expected to fall from 9.6 million to 8.5 million by 2050. you, just like the italian government of giorgia meloni, have had to recognise that, for all your anti—immigrant
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rhetoric, you need immigrants. no, it's like... we need family policy and we need families... your family policy — that is, giving tax breaks to mothers who have more than four children, all that sort of thing — it hasn't worked. your birth rate is nowhere near the replacement level for your population. yes, but may i give you some figures? the fertility rate went up — from 1.2 to 1.5, 1.6. and it's now gone down again. the last year, it's gone down again. we will see. let's see... well, no. we've already seen — it's gone down again. let's see the results of the end of the year. the second — number of marriages went up, number of divorces went down. number of abortions went down, without changing any kind of regulation. and the living standards of the households with kids are much better than in 2010, when we started to govern. i agree with you that more things should be done, but i disagree with all the liberals who are saying that, "0k, "we couldn't achieve success in just ten years' time — "let's give up and let's
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invite people from other "side of the world." it's going to be destroying european societies. we don't want to follow that pattern, hungarians. we still believe that family policy can work. we have some achievements. it's notjust about incentives. it's a complex system where you respect the families, respect people with kids, try to help them in many, many, many ways. this... we've talked migration... i hope that all conservative governments in western societies will recognise, and we can work together to figure out how to make it done. yes, except they look at you violating eu law and many of them don't want to violate the law in the way you do. but let's move on, because... sorry to say... ..the point... there's a big point here which is important. when it comes to your policies toward migrants, when it comes to your policy toward independent media in your own country, your policy toward the rule of law, the independence ofjudiciary in your own country, the eu has looked at what you've been doing over the last few years, and it has decided that you are not in accord with the eu's fundamental values. to quote the european parliament
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declaration from 2022, your government "is not a democracy. "it is a hybrid regime of electoral autocracy." and you have been punished for these violations of eu values with massive financial ramifications. in terms of the cohesion fund, the post—covid recovery fund, you have lost billions of euros because of your stand. are you now prepared to say that, in future, hungary is going to have to modify its position? try to understand what's happening. in the european parliament, there is a liberal majority. you know it. we all know it. and they accept a resolution against all conservative governments that, you know, "what you are doing..." sorry. you are the only country who has been punished in this way. no, no, no.
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there was poland... yeah, but poland has never suffered the financial penalties that you have. they were... they suffered. they suffered very heavily. and surprise, surprise — liberals won the polish election and there is no more problem with polish democracy, although the liberals are openly saying that they have to restore democracy against rule of law — "it's a temporary violation of rule "of law, but we have to do it because it was so horrible, "the previous thing." the same things happening everywhere in the western world. look at what's going on in the united states. everybody, all the republicans, are accused of being anti—democratic. in the meantime, the liberals are doing everything — everything — to cause financial, physical problems for the conservatives. we hungarians, together with some other partners, organised a conference in brussels where there were some national conservative people, mps all over the world, and they wanted to talk about why it's important for...nation states — family, religious values and so on and so on — and brussels liberals, they want to ban this conference
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and they did everything to ban it. i mean, it became such a big scandal that some prime ministers had to actively engage. and then immediately, which is the most funniest part of it, when the prime minister of belgium engaged and tweeted something — that probably it's too much — then the court immediately changed its mind and they let the conference going on. your government right now has much more in common with russia, close ties that you've developed with china as well, very close ties that you continue to maintain with donald trump — and your boss has said he wants donald trump to win the us presidential election. that is where your government sits today. your ideological brothers, if you like, are in beijing, in moscow, and certainly donald trump as well. we want to have good relationships — and we will put energy into making good relationships — with all western powers.
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but now it seems that the west is going to bad direction. 0bviously from political reasons, for us, it's easier to talk and to discuss things and to figure out with new ideas with all conservative governments, united states... well, authoritarian governments. imean... sorry, but again, you make the conversation impossible if you say that donald trump and the republicans in the united states are authoritarian. well, i was thinking of your close ties now with china, with moscow... i understand. you know, like, it's the liberal fukuyama type of dividing the world between democracies and autocracies. i think it's false. if the west wants to keep its dominant position, we have to get rid of this liberal interpretation of the world. we cannot divide the world. we have to find our way to cooperate on a pragmatic, national interest—based type of cooperation with everybody. there are sovereign countries and powerhouses, and we in europe, we have to figure out how to deal with them, whether we like it or not, whether we morally agree with them or not.
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this is the new reality. balazs 0rban, thank you very much forjoining me on hardtalk. thank you very much for having me. hello. on wednesday, we had a chilly northwesterly airflow across the uk and that brought us a mixture of sunshine and showers. some of those showers really dramatic. a beautiful strike of foot lightning there in nottinghamshire and in the same county. so much hail late afternoon that it completely covered the roads and pavements in newark on trent. the showers then were particularly widespread. i'm showing you this because we've got a similar look to the weather forecast as we head into thursday, so here we go. we've got that chilly flow
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of northwesterly air coming down from polar regions, and as that cold air gets heated by the seas, well, that's what makes the showers. so as long as this cold feed of air continues to work in, so too will the showers. for the time being, though, most of the showers are actually draped around coastal areas. inland areas at the moment largely dry with clear spells and it's cold temperatures starting off the day in the coldest spots down to around about two degrees celsius. cold enough even for a nip of ground frost. so a really cold start for a september morning thursday morning, but loads of sunshine showers from the word go around coastal areas as we go through the day in those temperatures rise, so the showers will start to break out across inland areas from the late morning and into the afternoon. some of the showers will be heavy with hail and thunder and they'll be very widespread. so most places will see a downpour or two through the day. temperatures about ten to 16 degrees and probably the heaviest showers come the afternoon, i think across the midlands and eastern england.
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by friday we see an area of high pressure build across the uk. so that's going to kill the showers. it's going to be another very cold start to the day. lots of morning sunshine. but this time we're going to start to see some rain move into northern ireland towards the end of the day. another cold day for the time of year. temperatures about four degrees celsius below average for september. all change though, into the weekend. an area of low pressure is going to be bringing some wet and windy weather. could get gusts of wind of around 50 to 60 miles an hour for the north west of scotland. with the rain piling in here and really accumulating, southern and eastern areas should stay dry with some sunshine. and with the winds coming in from a southwesterly direction and windy weather. could get gusts of wind of around 50 to 60 miles an hour for the north west of scotland. with the rain piling in here and really accumulating, southern and eastern areas should stay dry with some sunshine. and with the winds coming in from a southwesterly direction across the uk. so temperatures are going to leap upwards closer to average
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