tv The Context BBC News September 23, 2024 8:30pm-9:01pm BST
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day across the middle violent day across the middle east was of his being is will probably the most number of attacks that we have seen in lebanon since october the 7th last year. greg is still with us in dubai. pick up that point that lyse was just making. there pick up that point that lyse wasjust making. there is no distinction in the strategy inviting hamas or hezbollah. that would suggest, would it not, this could go on for months? it could be what we've seen today or a much lower level. it doesn't seem to be any strategy to end it or to want to. any strategy to end it or to want ta— any strategy to end it or to want to. , ., ., ., want to. there is not. i had a stron: want to. there is not. i had a strong sense _ want to. there is not. i had a strong sense of— want to. there is not. i had a strong sense of deja - want to. there is not. i had a strong sense of deja vu - strong sense of deja vu watching that press conference. it's on very much like the press conferences that daniel hagari and others gave in the early days of the war. i think this is the question that everyone is asking — is
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israel's name bringing back 60,006 placed rail to the northern border, how do you do that? -- northern border, how do you do that? —— displaced residents. they've been trying to set up buffer zones to minimise direct market fire on northern israel. but i don't think telling people they've taken away the immediate threat of anti—tank missiles being fired at the border. there's still a very well armed militant group with thousands of rockets. i don't think that will convince people to come back to the northern border. an aerial campaign, if it goes out for days or weeks, and can damage the capability of hezbollah to fire rockets and missiles, but they will stop to have 150,000 of those. it will take a very big, very long israeli campaign to damage the artisanal �*s to the point where it was no longer able to regularly fire projectiles. what is israel going to do that will give residents of the
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north the confidence that they would need to go back? it wasn't clear from daniel hagari's statements or the government's statement. no—one really has an answer. government's statement. no-one really has an answer.— really has an answer. when he said the idea _ really has an answer. when he said the idea forces _ really has an answer. when he said the idea forces a - really has an answer. when he said the idea forces a position | said the idea forces a position of readiness, how difficult would it be to fight on three fronts? there are still units of because of course, there are operations in the west bank. to go into southern lebanon in the south, how much would that stretch the israeli ground forces at this moment? if stretch the israeli ground forces at this moment? if we have this _ forces at this moment? if we have this conversation - forces at this moment? if we have this conversation in - have this conversation in november or december, i think the war in gaza would have made it impossible for israel to do any kind of a ground offensive in lebanon. it had a lot of manpower committed to gaza, a lot of military equipment. that's not the case any more. there still are israeli troops on the perimeter of gaza, and
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along these two axes inside the territory. but it's a much smaller military presence that it was late last year. there's less a equipment committed to the effort. i think gaza is less of an obstacle if it —— that would be. not so much a problem in terms of tanks and armoured vehicles. the israelis don't use as many of those. so, it's not exactly if the front at this point. let's call it a one and a half front war. it would take a lot of motivation. i think of it wanted to do something on the ground, it would have more resources to do that now than in any point earlier this year.— that now than in any point earlier this year. you can see it, ou earlier this year. you can see it. you can't _ earlier this year. you can see it, you can't hide _ earlier this year. you can see it, you can't hide it. - earlier this year. you can see it, you can't hide it. they - it, you can't hide it. they haven't_ it, you can't hide it. they haven't had a call up of reserves. there is said to be
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about— reserves. there is said to be about two— reserves. there is said to be about two divisions there, not enough — about two divisions there, not enough to— about two divisions there, not enough to mount the kind of incursion— enough to mount the kind of incursion that will be required. it's interesting because hodari made it —— hagan _ because hodari made it —— hagari made actually, absolutely clear. now they're saying — absolutely clear. now they're saying the same when it comes to lebanon. saying the same when it comes to lebanon-— to lebanon. what about the window? — to lebanon. what about the window? we _ to lebanon. what about the window? we should - to lebanon. what about the l window? we should probably to lebanon. what about the - window? we should probably put this to israel. it occurs to me that you can't entirely divorce what is happening right now from the political situations in the united states. you have biden and two candidates who are not going to rock the boat by criticising an ally or withholding weapons. we're trying to find some leverage. in that sense, the israeli prime minister probably has a three—month window.
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prime minister probably has a three-month window. president biden and some _ three-month window. president biden and some officials - three-month window. president biden and some officials have i biden and some officials have been — biden and some officials have been speaking out, expressing their_ been speaking out, expressing their concerns, but we haven't heard — their concerns, but we haven't heard is— their concerns, but we haven't heard is far— their concerns, but we haven't heard is far as i know, from donald _ heard is far as i know, from donald trump or kamala harris, their_ donald trump or kamala harris, their advisers must be thinking what _ their advisers must be thinking what the — their advisers must be thinking what the can say about this. they— what the can say about this. they will_ what the can say about this. they will say israel has the right— they will say israel has the right to _ they will say israel has the right to defend itself. hezbollah is a prescribed organisations for a number of governments. let's say the biden— governments. let's say the biden administration, they do not want _ biden administration, they do not want to see, this is exactly— not want to see, this is exactly what they did want. the proof _ exactly what they did want. the proof powerless to stop it. do ou proof powerless to stop it. do you have _ proof powerless to stop it. you have a proof powerless to stop it. dr? you have a final thought, greg? i think that's probably right. what we have seen is biden has a great deal of leverage that he could be using. kamala harris is showing no signs that she is prepared to use it. donald trump, you could probably make a trump case to why he could come down harder on israel and state israel has
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spent tens of billions. i don't think he's going to listen to that. i think there is a window where america has been absent for some time and it seems it will be for a while to come. greg, lyse, thank you very much indeed for your company. it's good to get your analysis just off the back of that. our panel comes up at nine o'clock. we shall keep talking about what we just heard. shall keep talking about what wejust heard. not shall keep talking about what we just heard. not entirely sure where we're going next. let's talk about president zelensky, who's in the united states to present his plan to end the war with russia. he is on a tour of the united states at an arms factory in pennsylvania. now he's in new york for the meeting of the un general assembly. york for the meeting of the un generalassembly. nada york for the meeting of the un general assembly. nada tawfik is in new york. tell us what
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the objective is this week for the objective is this week for the ukrainians, because we talked about this plan for victory that he says he's going to present to joe victory that he says he's going to present tojoe biden. is there any intel on that plan? what we've heard so far is he's going to outline specific steps he thinks will swiftly strengthen ukraine, will force president vladimir putin to the negotiating table and essentially bring a diplomatic end to the war. he says part of the plan is the incursion into kursk will hopefully show partners that and show that president putin isn't in control, he says. he also wants to focus on his plan on the long—term security for ukraine. getting more weapons — of
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course, that has been a key priority of president zelensky�*s from the start of the war. we know that he has been really trying to get allies to approve the use of long—range missiles. what he says are places where russia is launching attached. he's going to keep pushing for that. president biden hasn't yet said whether he feels he will allow that because of course, the risk is president putin saying he regards that as a direct involvement of nato in the war. but president zelensky says that this plan will hinge its success on whether president biden accepts it.— biden accepts it. looking at the weapons _ biden accepts it. looking at the weapons factory - biden accepts it. looking at the weapons factory that i l the weapons factory that i think he went to visit. long—range missiles that the ukrainians or using. you see
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one of those factories that have been produced in the shoals of that have been going to you crown —— ukraine. what about the meeting with donald trump? if he has this plan in hand, he's obviously keen to present it to both presidential candidates. do we know whether there is an invitation from mar—a—lago from donald trump and whether he would be prepared to listen to what president zelensky wants to tell him? ~ , , tell him? well, president trump sa s he tell him? well, president trump says he will _ tell him? well, president trump says he will probably _ tell him? well, president trump says he will probably meet - tell him? well, president trump says he will probably meet with | says he will probably meet with president zelensky while he's here in new york. we've reached out to donald trump's campaign, but president zelensky said it and he knows that he has to really get buy—in from whoever
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is the next president. what's interesting is if he does meet with donald trump here in new york, it will be the first in—person meeting since donald trump was in the white house. they had a phone call injuly after donald trump officially became the republican nominee. after he survived that assassination attempt, he described that as a very good call. what's so interesting is the different dynamics of the trump campaign when you hear talk from his vice presidential pick, jd vance, saying he doesn't care about ukraine. president zelensky has said thatjd vance has too radical a position when it comes to his country and trying to get a peace deal done. he says he has very different signals from donald trump.— very different signals from donald trump. nada, good to talk to you- — donald trump. nada, good to talk to you. covering - donald trump. nada, good to talk to you. covering the - donald trump. nada, good to talk to you. covering the un i talk to you. covering the un general simply for us. this
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will be the last presidential election donald trump contest win or lose. he asked if he could see himself running again four years from now were he to lose. mrtrump, who four years from now were he to lose. mr trump, who then said he would be 82, said he would have his last role of the dice. us presidents are barred from serving more than two terms in office. if you're not successful this time, — if you're not successful this time, do _ if you're not successful this time, do you see yourself running _ time, do you see yourself running again in four years? no, — running again in four years? no, i— running again in four years? no, i don't. running again in four years? no, idon't. i running again in four years? no, i don't. ithink... running again in four years? no, idon't. ithink... i running again in four years? no, i don't. ithink... i don't see — no, i don't. ithink... i don't see that _ no, i don't. ithink... i don't see that at _ no, i don't. ithink... i don't see that at all. _ no, i don't. ithink... i don't see that at all. i— no, i don't. ithink... i don't see that at all. i think - see that at all. i think hopefully— see that at all. i think hopefully we're - see that at all. i think hopefully we're going| see that at all. i think . hopefully we're going to see that at all. i think - hopefully we're going to be successful. _ there were some brighter news for the former president. he is ahead in arizona and georgia and still ahead neroli and north carolina. pulling in arizona is not telling a very consistent story. it was harris that led by five in august. that's quite a turnaround. in
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georgia, he's ahead by four points. republicans think they have that one in the bag. in north carolina, this has him in front by two. 15% of the election and all three states said they are yet undecided. let's bring injonah zogby. pretty rough few weeks. pick got that thought that i was just making that it's just a bit of a roller coaster. who go into a five—point lead from harris and trump. into a five-point lead from harris and trump.- into a five-point lead from harris and trump. this is a very fluid _ harris and trump. this is a very fluid position. - harris and trump. this is a very fluid position. even i very fluid position. even a three orfive point lead very fluid position. even a three or five point lead at
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this point in the history of these very close elections, this century, going back to the national tie in 2000, what we've seen is one candidate go up we've seen is one candidate go up by as many as four, five, six points, and then swing on the other six points. it's fluid because there are other regional number of undecided voters and simply not paying attention. this could go either way. attention. this could go either wa . ~ attention. this could go either wa , ~ ., attention. this could go either wa . . . , . attention. this could go either way. was a difference of the north carolina _ way. was a difference of the north carolina and - way. was a difference of the north carolina and georgia? j north carolina and georgia? there's a big african—american population in both states. joe biden won in georgia in 2020, but it seems republicans feel confident about that state this time around. not so confident about north carolina. what's the difference? north carolina
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substantial _ the difference? north carolina substantial number _ the difference? north carolina substantial number of - the difference? north carolina substantial number of black i substantial number of black voters, as you point out. however, it needs to be noted that donald trump is over performing among black men, particularly young black men, but china makes it a little murky. —— but kind of makes it. georgia is high growth in one of the larger states in the us, north carolina has had a number of people coming in from all parts of the country, moving into places like what we call the research triangle — charlotte, banking centres, high—tech research centres, university centres — who are not your typical traditional southern voters. the same to be true of georgia, although georgia does have a larger african—american population. and you can't entirely divorce theissues and you can't entirely divorce the issues and north carolina from the candidate for
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governor, mark robinson, who is in all sorts of trouble with this sex scandal. do you see a scenario where a candidate lower down the ticket can actually — or even a democrat who is running against him could actually prepare, harris fire up the ticket? is that possible? i fire up the ticket? is that possible?— possible? i think it's possible. _ possible? i think it's possible. this - possible? i think it's possible. this is - possible? ithink it's possible. this is so l possible? i think it's - possible. this is so egregious, some of the things that he has said. not only in my vantage point, this is what voters are saying. and this is uncharted waters, but really, if it is shown that what he has said is true and he was not telling the truth about a porn site, this could have a significant impact. we are talking about a state that can change one way or the other.—
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or the other. good to talk to ou, or the other. good to talk to you. thank _ or the other. good to talk to you. thank you _ or the other. good to talk to you, thank you for _ or the other. good to talk to you, thank you for coming i or the other. good to talk to | you, thank you for coming on the programme.— you, thank you for coming on the programme. around the world and across — the programme. around the world and across the _ the programme. around the world and across the uk, _ the programme. around the world and across the uk, you're - and across the uk, you're watching bbc news.
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appointment comes as meanwhile, harrods says it is carrying out an internal review into whether any current staff had involvement in the allegations relating to the former owner. an ex—employee has told the bbc�*s ellie price that a managerfailed to investigate her allegations of inappropriate behaviour and that person is still working at harrods.
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the crown prosecution service said that it twice considered jessica was just 22 when she briefly worked at harrods in 2008. that's not her real name, and this is the first time she's spoken about her experience. she says, like other young women, she was cherry picked for mohamed al—fayed by another female employee who, in her words, facilitated his now well—documented predatory behaviour towards them. when i look back at it, i feel like she was acting as his pimp. it wasn't clear to me at that time. she was just a figure i looked up to as one of the senior management. but now i reflect back on it, it is quite clear to see, but now i reflect back on it, it's quite clear to see, you know, the actions that happened to put me in front of him came directly from her. jessica says al—fayed pushed her against a wall and sexually assaulted her. when she went to hr to complain and hand in her notice, she felt too intimidated to detail what had happened in the meeting. but she says she did complain about his inappropriate inappropriate behaviour, including giving her large sums of money and asking for more one—on—one meetings with her.
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she says she was left in no doubt the people in the meeting knew there was a sexual element to her complaint. bbc news understands one of those people in the meeting still works for harrods. i feel quite strongly that the people that facilitated it happening also need to be brought to justice. and that is part of the reason why i am now speaking out about it. those people, you know, i can see are still working either within the company or in other companies, and i have no doubt they have to have been fully aware of what was happening. harrods has been under new ownership since 2010, and insists it is seeking to right the wrongs of the past chairman. in a statement tonight, the company said...
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mohamed al—fayed died last year aged 94, but for many of his victims, their quest for justice is not over. ellie price, bbc news. just a reminder if you are the uk, you can see the documentary.- uk, you can see the documentary. on the bbc iplayer- — documentary. on the bbc iplayer. anthony - documentary. on the bbc iplayer. anthony joshua's| documentary. on the bbc- iplayer. anthony joshua's hopes of iplayer. anthonyjoshua's hopes of becoming world heavyweight boxing champion injured and zipped up style in saturday night. —— ended in spectacular style.
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it is now up to saudi arabia to put the money up for the fight whether or not ajay will get a rematch. therein is a bit of your discussion. not everyone who was expected to cover the fight was admitted. oliver brown is chief sports writer at the telegraph and had some critical things to say. revoked why? to go through the simple chronology, i applied for this huge —— we applied for this fight. i published a rogue piece that was highly critical of this saudi occasion. i called it saudi disneyland and said it was just being used as a way to project the cachet of
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the kingdom on british soil. to say that the pr working on the i got a meeting saying if i wanted to come because my disapproval. i said wanted to come because my disapproval. isaid i wanted to come because my disapproval. i said i very much will let you know. so i turned up will let you know. so i turned up on fight night and whereupon several people started assembling in the lobby looking very flustered and saying the i would be allowed in and there wasn't anything i could do. calls were made to try to resolve this since the relevant pr �*s. nobody responded and eventually after an hour, i had
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to leave in the decision was made that i had to call this out. it's one thing to reports repression of the press and saudi and a radio, but it's quite another to do it on their behalf —— saudi arabia. 15th behalf -- saudi arabia. 15th front of a — behalf -- saudi arabia. 15th front of a british _ behalf —— saudi arabia. 15th front of a british crowd with two british providers, and yet the national anthem was played before the british anthem. i think will strike a lot of people is quite odd. ifound one of the most extraordinary moment i've seen at sport, when leaving david in this garish green light. i thought was the most vivid possible errors illustration. would you defend
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our perks freedom jealously. have you heard a response from frank warren? h have you heard a response from frank warren?— have you heard a response from frank warren? i have and he was very contrite _ frank warren? i have and he was very contrite about _ frank warren? i have and he was very contrite about the _ very contrite about the situation. i can assure cleans very was in charge, but this wasn't their decision. this is made by pr working directly from the saudis. .ju5t made by pr working directly from the saudis. . just coming back to the — from the saudis. . just coming back to the saudi _ from the saudis. . just coming back to the saudi disneyland l back to the saudi disneyland piece, what was it that so offended you about the way they promoted this fight? let's be honest — boxing has never been the cleanest of sport. what's so different about saudi arabia. �* , ., arabia. i've been to saudi arabia. i've been to saudi arabia few _ arabia. i've been to saudi arabia few times - arabia. i've been to saudi arabia few times and - arabia. i've been to saudi arabia few times and how arabia. i've been to saudi - arabia few times and how things were being taken away from vicious fans. —— british fans.
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obviously, this one was. but the way it was branded was rehab season —— riyadh season. it seemed britain was being used as a subsidiary of the saudi state, which is encroaching and evermore insidious ways into sport. it's just a total... ultimately, there's not a huge amount i could do about that, but deep pockets go way in sport. we have tried — pockets go way in sport. we have tried to _ pockets go way in sport. we have tried to get a response from the saudis and we've not had it of you yet, but if they want to put their point of view, we can carry that out. oliver, we very much appreciated. we are going to talk about events in lebanon at the top of the hour, so do stay with us. hello. heavy rain over the past 48 hours has led to some
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significant and fairly widespread flooding, particularly across some central and southern parts of england. here's the radar, which shows where the rain has been falling over recent hours. we've had a hook of rain across northern england and wales that's been quite patchy, but this zone of wet weather has been particularly persistent across central southern parts of england. this evening for that heavy rain likely to lead to a bit more disruption. but the rainfall will start to ease away as we head through the last part of this evening and overnight, too. so, there's the low pressure that brought us all that slow—moving rainfall, which is going to be clearing away out into the north sea as we move through tonight. still another few hours of rain across parts of central and southern england. we've also got some wet weather moving in across the north and north—east of scotland as well, turning breezier here. most other places staying largely dry overnight. just a bit of drizzly rain lingering in the east, i think. temperatures staying between about 8—11i in our towns and cities,
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so we're not looking at any frost overnight tonight. so, tuesday, then, a much improved day compared to the past couple of days. still a few showers around across parts of england, wales and northern ireland. and for scotland, we've got some rain that'll sit across the north and the east. quite breezy here, too. some sunshine for the south west of scotland. some sunshine for the southwest of scotland. top temperatures between about 10—18 degrees north to south, but at least we will have lost the heavy, persistent rain. although the flooding across parts of central and southern england will take a few days to recede. a window of dry weather as we move through into the middle of the week. so, low pressure out towards the east and down towards the south—west, that will throw the next batch of wet weather in from the south—west later on wednesday. i think most areas start off on a dry note, later in the day, that rain arrives across parts of southern england and wales, too. but before it gets there, sunny spells, not particularly warm — 10—16 for most of us. slightly milder air down towards the channel islands and the far southwest behind that area of rain. but that rain pushes its way north overnight wednesday night and on into thursday, so it could be quite persistent again on thursday and falling
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on areas where we've seen a lot of rainfall recently, so some saturated ground could be a few more flooding issues as we look towards the end of the week. so, thursday, a pretty wet, blustery sort of day again, not particularly warm, 11—17 degrees. and then towards the end of the week, so friday and into saturday, it looks like things turn a little bit quieter and drier, but also cooler, too.
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at the time of the strike, these hezbollah commanders were meeting to plan an october the 7th—style attack in northern israel. i have a message for the people of lebanon. israel's war is not with you. it's with hezbollah. for too long, hezbollah has been using you as human shields. this is the dilemma that israel faces, that even as it ups- the ante against hezbollah, it is encouraging or it is- inciting, if you like, hezbollah to attack| further into israel. and so far, no sign of those attacks diminishing. - if anything, - they are increasing. netanyahu's not an easy character at all, and he's not likely to do anything unless a cost is inflicted on him that the country can no longer fathom. joining me tonight are the daily mirror columnist
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