�* a �*a school bus crashes near after a school bus crashes near bangkok. in the us, the two vice presidential candidates prepare to go head—to—head in a live tv debate. i prepare to go head-to-head in a live tv debate.— live tv debate. i am live in new york _ live tv debate. i am live in new york city _ live tv debate. i am live in new york city were - live tv debate. i am live in new york city were later . new york city were later tonight the democratic governor tim walz and republican senator jd vance will face each other for the one and only vice presidential debate of this type campaign. find presidential debate of this hecamaiun.�* �* ., type campaign. and buckingham palace has announced _ type campaign. and buckingham palace has announced that - palace has announced that princess beatrice is pregnant with her second child. hello and welcome. let's start with those breaking developments. israel says it has not identified any aerial threat being launched from iran — as yet. it comes after a white house official told the bbc�*s us partner cbs that the us had indications that iran was preparing to launch

a ballistic missile attack "imminently". all precautions and alerts in place. an israeli army spokesman says the country is on a high state of alert and that an iranian attack would have repercussions. let would have repercussions. me show you the live pictures let me show you the live pictures from beirut, you can see the smokes from some of the latest strikes and that is after the overnight start of the ground invasion of southern lebanon by israel. we have seen the build—up of troops and overnight they crossed the

border. the strikes continue in southern lebanon and also in beirut. let me show you the live pictures from the border areas of southern lebanon. you can see the mist and smoke from some of those strikes with 25 villages, the residence they being ordered by israel to evacuate immediately. those are some of the live pictures coming into us. i was talking about what the americans have told the israelis about an imminent potential threat from iran. let's hear some of the latest briefings from the idf. the aerial defensive systems are fully _ the aerial defensive systems are fully prepared and the air force — are fully prepared and the air force aircraft are currently patrolling the skies. in addition to that you can never have — addition to that you can never have insular defence and this is why— have insular defence and this is why we _ have insular defence and this is why we must comply with the home _ is why we must comply with the home front command instructions. we are at peak preparedness both on the offensive and defensive and we are at _ offensive and defensive and we

are at a — offensive and defensive and we are at a high level of preparedness together with our partners — preparedness together with our partners from the us which is our ally~ _ partners from the us which is our ally. we are monitoring developments in iran together. i am _ developments in iran together. i am going to be here in order to keep— i am going to be here in order to keep you posted on each and every— to keep you posted on each and every development immediately. let's _ every development immediately. let's go — every development immediately. let's go straight to our state department correspondent. what are us officials saying? the white house _ are us officials saying? the white house is _ are us officials saying? tie: white house is making it are us officials saying? ti2 white house is making it clear that there are indications are that there are indications are that they believe they will be an iranian ballistic missile attack against israel imminently. it is clear they are ramping up their deployment of forces in anticipation of that potentially to shield and defend israel from this missile attack. and also a warning to the iranians, they say they will be severe consequences for any direct military attack on israel. the mood i am picking

up israel. the mood i am picking up within this building is a sense of urgency. the word from the white house was imminently. that might be interpreted as within the coming hours. as soon as that possibly. but we don't know. the indications are very clear now from what the us has gathered that this attack is coming. whether or not it will match or be greater than the attack the iranians unleashed back in april, you will remember that was about 300 missiles and drones including around 110 medium—range ballistic missiles. the large majority of them intercepted by israel and them intercepted by israel and the us and other allies. including some in the region as well. but clearly a sense now of urgency and to note the degree to which the us believes this is imminent they have

issued a shelter in place warning to us embassy staff and theirfamilies injerusalem. so their families in jerusalem. so clear theirfamilies injerusalem. so clear indications they think something is likely to come soon. in something is likely to come soon. , ., , ., soon. in terms of the size of it, i am _ soon. in terms of the size of it, i am reading _ soon. in terms of the size of it, i am reading the - soon. in terms of the size of it, i am reading the latest i it, i am reading the latest detail that the writers news agency as saying the possible missile attack could be at least as big as that when april you were talking about. in terms of context and the help of the americans would give israel, take me through the backdrop of the various movements of us forces because certainly additional forces were announced ten days ago. that's right. there has been a big deployment in the region throughout this crisis. it has built up once again over recent months. the us has an aircraft carrier strike group in the central command region in the

middle east, the abraham lincoln. and also other naval assets they have used both as aerial defence to shoot down incoming missile strikes towards israel. some of those are the naval deployments have very potentially for the evacuation of us citizens, particularly thinking of lebanon, although they have not deployed that is an ordered evacuation at the moment. they are also ready to do that. what we've heard from the pentagon over the last two to three days is a further enhancement of what they call for defence posture but basically it means sending more military personnel out to the region. that has included fighter squadrons that are now going to overlap the deployment of squadrons that were due to return to the us or to be deployed elsewhere. they are now by many thousands of troops in fact that a greater posture in the region than they have been two or three weeks

ago. i have been two or three weeks aro. , ., ,. ago. i will put on the screen some of— ago. i will put on the screen some of the _ ago. i will put on the screen some of the latest - ago. i will put on the screen some of the latest picturesl some of the latest pictures from beirut because they have been more strikes in the last hourin been more strikes in the last hour in the lebanese capital. we also know the original strikes and focus of the ground invasion was southern lebanon. what is the administration saying about this new phase and this ground invasion by israel? how uncomfortable are they by what they are saying because they have been pushing month after month for a de—escalation and a ceasefire. after month for a de-escalation and a ceasefire.— and a ceasefire. they are backing _ and a ceasefire. they are backing their _ and a ceasefire. they are backing their israeli - and a ceasefire. they are backing their israeli allyl and a ceasefire. they are i backing their israeli ally but to refer to your language, they are uncomfortable with it. the president yesterday was asked directly how comfortable was he with the potential for a directly how comfortable was he with the potentialfor a ground incursion. we didn't know yesterday the likely scale of it but he said he was comfortable with them stopping

and he called again for a ceasefire. remember what we saw last week at the united nations in new york was the us leading a diplomatic attempt to urge restraint from both israel and hezbollah and to try and get that that is to lead into a temporary truce and mediated negotiations. that is where they were a week ago. what they were trying to avoid was a sharp cycle of escalation, confrontation across the region and the potential for the confrontation across the region and the potentialfor the us being drawn in. today there is exactly where we stand. having said that, washington is backing as well as its ally and as the ally it supplies the weapons to make all this possible, it has had to do that particularly because of the killing of the leader of hezbollah. where the us has got distinctly uncomfortable is over the scale of the aerial bombardment, overthe over the scale of the aerial bombardment, over the impact it's having on lebanon itself.

the lebanese authorities saying more than 1000 people killed in the last few weeks and up to a million people displaced. a country that has a deeply fragile sectarian make up and this is a big problem for the americans to deal with as well. and now that sense of spiralling crisis with the iranians responding to this and here we are now with them talking about an imminent aerial attack on israel. this is exactly what the americans did want. having said that i sense there are divisions within the administration about what the israelis have done over the last couple of weeks to hezbollah. there are those that believe for the israelis it was the right thing to do, to create a rebalance of power in the region. whether that works in the long term is a completely different question.

we are still seeing the americans refer to the ground incursion is all these raids into lebanon as limited. and also they have spoken openly about their concerns that... what they are saying about the crown range as we acknowledge what you do so far but that's as far as it goes.— as far as it goes. thank you very much- _ as far as it goes. thank you very much. let's _ as far as it goes. thank you very much. let's get - as far as it goes. thank you very much. let's get more | as far as it goes. thank you | very much. let's get more in terms of what the americans have been saying to the israelis. i took a short while ago to our correspondence in jerusalem and he told me more about the israeli response. they say they have received this information from their partners in the us and they are now on high alert and israeli planes patrolling the skies and reiterating again what the white house official said, they would be serious consequences for iran if there was a direct attack on israel. in

for iran if there was a direct attack on israel.— for iran if there was a direct attack on israel. in terms of the ground _ attack on israel. in terms of the ground invasion, - attack on israel. in terms of the ground invasion, tell- attack on israel. in terms of the ground invasion, tell us| the ground invasion, tell us the ground invasion, tell us the latest there is coming from the latest there is coming from the idf. ~ ., ., ., ,. ., the idf. we had a fascinating briefin: the idf. we had a fascinating briefing actually _ the idf. we had a fascinating briefing actually from - the idf. we had a fascinating briefing actually from daniell briefing actually from daniel her guardian earlier and he wasn't referring only to what's happening on the ground now but he was talking about what's been happening for months. he released previously classified information and video saying that israeli special forces have been carrying out regular raids almost daily over into the border area into southern lebanon. they have been destroying channels, infrastructure, the did not meet any resistance. there was quite dramatic video of some of the channels and weapons they found. this was something that he suggested had been going on possibly as far back as november and israel might expect some 200 nights carrying out raids such as that. we have

talked a lot over the last 18 hours or so about what's happened in terms of this latest invasion into southern lebanon but actually it seems like israel has been preparing for this for the best part of a year. for this for the best part of a ear. , ., year. let me give you the latest line _ year. let me give you the latest line coming - year. let me give you the latest line coming from . year. let me give you the i latest line coming from the secretary general, until nuchal terracing and all—out war must be avoided in lebanon at all costs. lebanon is a sovereignty and territorial integrity must be respected. so more alarm coming from the un secretary—general. all—out war must be avoided in lebanon and its sovereignty and in tow —— territorial integrity must be respected. let's speak to dr ha hellyer, who is a senior fellow at carnegie endowment for international peace. your assessment of where we are both with invasion overnight

and what we are hearing from the americans about a potential strike by iran. 50 the americans about a potential strike by iran.— strike by iran. so the invasion is under way. _ strike by iran. so the invasion is under way. it's _ strike by iran. so the invasion is under way. it's unclear - strike by iran. so the invasion is under way. it's unclear as l is under way. it's unclear as to how— is under way. it's unclear as to how far— is under way. it's unclear as to how far the israelis are going _ to how far the israelis are going to _ to how far the israelis are going to go. what we do know is that the — going to go. what we do know is that the israelis were not particularly happy about the fact the _ particularly happy about the fact the us leaked information about— fact the us leaked information about the beginnings of the invasion, which apparently they did according to reports in order— did according to reports in order to _ did according to reports in order to try to limit the operation. but having said that, _ operation. but having said that, it _ operation. but having said that, it is _ operation. but having said that, it is still an invasion. mission— that, it is still an invasion. mission creep is very real. when _ mission creep is very real. when we _ mission creep is very real. when we look at how the israeiis _ when we look at how the israelis proceeded in gaza a year— israelis proceeded in gaza a year ago _ israelis proceeded in gaza a year ago and when you look at how— year ago and when you look at how today there is no military governor _ how today there is no military governor that has been appointed for the territory of gaza — appointed for the territory of gaza by— appointed for the territory of

gaza by the israelis, what happens in between is not the resuit— happens in between is not the result of— happens in between is not the result of one linear plan but indeed _ result of one linear plan but indeed because on the ground without— indeed because on the ground without checks and balances and there _ without checks and balances and there are — without checks and balances and there are none at present when it comes — there are none at present when it comes to the israelis, then things— it comes to the israelis, then things can _ it comes to the israelis, then things can really change quite quickix — things can really change quite quickly. in terms of the iranians, _ quickly. in terms of the iranians, iwant quickly. in terms of the iranians, i want to point out right— iranians, i want to point out right now. _ iranians, i want to point out right now, all of these things are unconfirmed. the white house — are unconfirmed. the white house official has not been identified which means it was purposely leaked without attribution and picked up very quickly— attribution and picked up very quickly by different media outlets. at the same time sky news — outlets. at the same time sky news is — outlets. at the same time sky news is reporting that the idf have — news is reporting that the idf have told them that they don't see any— have told them that they don't see any imminent aerial attack. so it's— see any imminent aerial attack. so it's unclear at the iranians actually— so it's unclear at the iranians actually planning something, are they— actually planning something, are they faking an attack in order— are they faking an attack in order to _ are they faking an attack in order to rattle their adversary? what's going on exactly. _ adversary? what's going on exactly, we have to be very cautious _ exactly, we have to be very cautious year. we are in the middle _ cautious year. we are in the middle of— cautious year. we are in the middle of the fog of war and

many— middle of the fog of war and many things have beenjustified in the _ many things have beenjustified in the past relying on intelligence that turned out to be incorrect. so i would be cautious— be incorrect. so i would be cautious about that. referencing what i read out from the un secretary—general saying all—out war must be avoided, that is a real risk here isn't it? i avoided, that is a real risk here isn't it?— here isn't it? i think it is. and i here isn't it? i think it is. and | think _ here isn't it? i think it is. and | think it's _ here isn't it? i think it is. and i think it's very - here isn't it? i think it is. - and i think it's very dangerous and very— and i think it's very dangerous and very reckless. we have seen this language particularly over the last— this language particularly over the last day or so with senior american _ the last day or so with senior american figures and the israeii _ american figures and the israeli government especially benjamin netanyahu himself, are talking _ benjamin netanyahu himself, are talking about some kind of historic— talking about some kind of historic opportunity to reshape the middle east, that the middle east right now is malleable and not as solid and locked — malleable and not as solid and locked into certain patterns as usuai~ — locked into certain patterns as usual. but this is a once in a generation— usual. but this is a once in a

generation opportunity. this is incredibly dangerous talk. every _ incredibly dangerous talk. every time this talk as happened in my lifetime the results _ happened in my lifetime the results have been catastrophic. ithink— results have been catastrophic. i think there needs to be a break— i think there needs to be a break put in all of this, we need — break put in all of this, we need to— break put in all of this, we need to come back to the table in terms — need to come back to the table in terms of international law and — in terms of international law and diplomacy instead of thinking reckless and unpredictable moves are the way to go _ unpredictable moves are the way to go. there has already been a huge _ to go. there has already been a huge death toll, he was cast in terms — huge death toll, he was cast in terms of— huge death toll, he was cast in terms of human life over the past — terms of human life over the past year. _ terms of human life over the past year, first and foremost in gaza — past year, first and foremost in gaza which is almost completely destroyed. we don't need _ completely destroyed. we don't need to— completely destroyed. we don't need to unlock the gates even further~ — need to unlock the gates even further. what we need is to try to let — further. what we need is to try to let cooler heads prevail. you — to let cooler heads prevail. you talk _ to let cooler heads prevail. you talk about returning to diplomacy but the problem with thatis diplomacy but the problem with that is that at every stage the

international community has parroted the same phrases about ceasefires and we have seen in recent months one opportunity after another go by. if there is to be returned to diplomacy, something actually has to change in terms of approach. absolutely. i think the major thing — absolutely. i think the major thing here is that diplomacy requires _ thing here is that diplomacy requires carrots but also sticks _ requires carrots but also sticks. unfortunately what we have — sticks. unfortunately what we have seen over the past ten or 11 have seen over the past ten or ii months _ have seen over the past ten or 11 months when it came to negotiations in gaza and in lebanon _ negotiations in gaza and in lebanon with the israelis, the us talked up a lot in terms of the prospects and said we are very— the prospects and said we are very close _ the prospects and said we are very close and the rhetoric and ceasefire — very close and the rhetoric and ceasefire was very strong, but policy — ceasefire was very strong, but policy wise in terms of moves, in terms — policy wise in terms of moves, in terms of— policy wise in terms of moves, in terms of transfer of offensive weapons, in terms of financial— offensive weapons, in terms of financial support and political coverage, none of those lever

points — coverage, none of those lever points or— coverage, none of those lever points or plants of leveraged were — points or plants of leveraged were ever touched or even threatened to be touched. i think— threatened to be touched. i think that is why benjamin netanyahu was my government correctiv— netanyahu was my government correctly assessed, 0k, there is a iot— correctly assessed, 0k, there is a lot of— correctly assessed, 0k, there is a lot of talk going on but there — is a lot of talk going on but there are _ is a lot of talk going on but there are no consequences when we cross— there are no consequences when we cross red lines the us has called — we cross red lines the us has called us _ we cross red lines the us has called us to adhere to. we saw that— called us to adhere to. we saw that with — called us to adhere to. we saw that with regards to the rafah crossing — that with regards to the rafah crossing and lebanon as well and other— crossing and lebanon as well and other points over the past six to— and other points over the past six to 12 — and other points over the past six to 12 months. the approach does _ six to 12 months. the approach does have _ six to 12 months. the approach does have to change. there has to be _ does have to change. there has to be sticks that are used. you can't _ to be sticks that are used. you can't argue _ to be sticks that are used. you can't argue with a ceasefire white — can't argue with a ceasefire while making sure that one party— while making sure that one party to— while making sure that one party to the ceasefire negotiations knows your rhetoric doesn't need to be taken — rhetoric doesn't need to be taken seriously and respectively you will support them — respectively you will support them. ~ ., ., respectively you will support them. ., ., ., them. we have to leave it there but thank _ them. we have to leave it there but thank you — them. we have to leave it there but thank you for _ them. we have to leave it there but thank you forjoining - them. we have to leave it there but thank you forjoining us -

them. we have to leave it there but thank you forjoining us on i but thank you forjoining us on the programme. around the world and across the uk, you are watching bbc news.

you are watching bbc news. we will keep you right up to date with everything that's happening in the middle east but let's turn away from that for the next couple of minutes and turn to some of the stories. buckingham place has announced that princess beatrice is pregnant with her second child. the late queen's granddaughter and her husband, edoardo mapelli mozzi, are preparing to welcome the new addition to theirfamily in early spring. the royal baby will be a little brother or sister for the couple's three—year—old daughter sienna, and mr mapelli mozzi's son and beatrice's stepson, eight—year—old wolfie. in the us, the two men vying to be america's next vice president, the democrat, tim walz and republican, jd vance, will take to the stage in new york for a debate ahead of the presidential

elections in 3a days time. both men have been picked in part for their white, mid—western roots in the battle for rural voters — a constituency where republicans hold a strong advantage. let's speak to my colleague caitriona perry, who is in new york. it is the only debate the vice president candidates will have, just set the scene for us. i am just set the scene for us. i am talkin: just set the scene for us. i am talking to _ just set the scene for us. i am talking to you _ just set the scene for us. i am talking to you from _ just set the scene for us. i am talking to you from what - just set the scene for us. i am talking to you from what will l talking to you from what will be later on the spin room in the cbs studios here in manhattan where the democratic candidate tim wells and the republican candidatejd vance will take each other on a debate in the neck studio from us. the debate is totally different this time around, they are not sponsored by the independent presidential debates commission, its tv networks doing it. they have chosen to host women the cbs

studios so everything is in a much smaller scale than we're used to seeing and the candidates will be next door to us as opposed to a different building which has been the case for the two presidential debates. the main thing about vice presidential debates, the key sentence is do no harm. don't inflict any damage on the person who is on the top of the ticket. yourjob is to show that you are a steady pair of hands to this nation should something happen to the individual at the top of the ticket. so we will be seeing both of them trying to communicate their presidential colleagues attributes and the policies and also trying to knock a few points of the others. they tend to be more scrappy, they are the other people can roll up their sleeves and deliver those blows in a way that the presidential candidates have to be seen to be rising above.— be rising above. they have in the ast be rising above. they have in the past provided _ be rising above. they have in the past provided the - be rising above. they have in the past provided the odd - the past provided the odd moment, back in 1988 that

incredible put—down from lloyd benson to dan quayle when he referenced john kennedy and said to him you will knowjfk. it's moments like that that the presidential candidates don't want, that will circulate four months ahead of any presidential election. that's it. avoid those _ presidential election. that's it. avoid those viral - presidential election. that's i it. avoid those viral moments. this is a big television moment in the us and millions of people will tune in, possibly more than we've seen for vice presidential debate in the past because of how high—profile tim walz andjd because of how high—profile tim walz and jd vance is relative to what we usually four candidates. but they will be a lot of people will not watch it but will watch it tomorrow morning and see the clips on their phones and various social media platforms and nobody wants their person to be the main feature of one of those in the discussion topic and all the discussion topic and all the breakfast tv and radio shows. but this is still a really tight race. debates tend not to really shift the needle

in terms of support and pulls but they can change a momentum, they can change the energy and so that is what they will be trying to do tonight. in so that is what they will be trying to do tonight. in terms ofthe trying to do tonight. in terms of the issues _ trying to do tonight. in terms of the issues we _ trying to do tonight. in terms of the issues we are - trying to do tonight. in terms of the issues we are likely . trying to do tonight. in terms of the issues we are likely to | of the issues we are likely to see, presumably they will be a tax on jd see, presumably they will be a tax onjd vance volvos cut lady stories he has endlessly talked about and the damage to the female voter, that key dynamic. and presumably in terms of tim walz there will be tax on may his military service and kamala harris and the border? shill his military service and kamala harris and the border?- harris and the border? all of that. there _ harris and the border? all of that. there is _ harris and the border? all of that. there is plenty - harris and the border? all of that. there is plenty of- harris and the border? all of. that. there is plenty of fodder for both candidates to try and attack each other on. there has been out of discussions, lots of down points, but also interesting to note this is the first time in nearly 30 years were both candidates are veterans. we have both served in the military and given with the us finds itself at the moment in terms of support for ukraine and today in that intense situation in the middle

east i think we can expect some line of questioning along that and both of them seeking to draw on their own military experience to answer those questions and to say how very combination would be betterfor this country and better for the world. . ~' ,. , this country and better for the world. . ~ ,. , . world. thank you very much. let me tell you _ world. thank you very much. let me tell you how _ world. thank you very much. let me tell you how you _ world. thank you very much. let me tell you how you can - world. thank you very much. let me tell you how you can watch l me tell you how you can watch it. and you can watch the cbs news vice presidential debate in simulcast here on bbc news. we are going to have a full build up from 1am british summer time or 8pm eastern time. let's end this half an hour by returning to the middle east and i will show you the pictures of tel aviv first of all because the idf and benjamin netanyahu, sorry those are the pictures from beirut, those are the pictures from tel aviv. warnings and high alert after that information passed on from the white house of a potential threat from iran

ballistic missile strike. those are the pictures in israel. these are the pictures from beirut because still the smoke from the latest attacks and those the strikes coming after the start of that ground invasion launched by israel into southern lebanon. i will be back in a moment in the business news is next. hello. flooding continues to cause concern across parts of england. here we've got a weather watcher picture from the manchester area showing some flooding from the river great 0use. and at the moment, here's the latest flooding situation. we do have a number of flood warnings in force. the numbers have come down significantly in the south the best of today's sunshine will be in northern ireland. now overnight, as skies clear in scotland, i expect some fog patches to develop here so it turns quite murky. england and wales still

having a lot of cloud. still some patches of rain coming into east anglia in the southeast of england. but by this stage the rain is going to be a lot lighter and then we see high pressure start to build across the uk. so although there could be a bit more rain to come across east anglia, south east england, it's going to be very light, and so i'd expect the number of flood warnings to drop over the coming days, because many of us should have 0n on wednesday night it's a cold one, temperatures getting down to single figures and called enough for some frost in sheltered areas of rural scotland. it will be a cold start of the day as we look at the forecast into thursday. plenty of sunshine once any fog patches have cleared out of the way. still a chilly breeze blowing across seven coastal counties of england but away

from that it should feel 0k in the october sunshine with temperatures around 15 to 17 degrees. we should manage anotherfine degrees. we should manage another fine day for the most part across much of scotland and most of england and wales through friday but for northern ireland and western scotland for wins to cut through friday afternoon and eventually we will start to see outbreaks of rain arriving but really quite late in the day. temperatures not changing too much. high is foremost between around 1a and 17 celsius. into the weekend we are going to see a bigger change in a weather pattern has low pressure starts to push these bands of rain across the uk accompanied by some strengthening winds. and it's notjust rain that will go into the weekend, next week also looks pretty and settled with rain at times.

pickets at the ports. this is the scene live in newark as us dock workers stage their biggest walkout in nearly 50 years over pay and automation, threatening billions of dollars of economic damage. plus — trading blows. 100% tariffs on chinese evs come into force in canada. we hear from the country's trade minister on the reasons behind the move. welcome to business today. let's start in the united states where ports