many intense thundery downpours developing throughout south—west england and wales into the midlands and north of england. they will continue to push their way steadily northwards during the early hours of thursday morning. further showers tucking into the south—west was at the cloud in the shower around will keep the double digits. is that they started their start in the scot then. first thing tomorrow morning we will have the rain to northern ireland and northern england, drifting towards the scottish borders. this is the dividing line. we have got this cool, easterly flow developing in scotland. a little bit quieter and drier here but not quite as mild. further south, here but not quite as mild. furthersouth, plenty here but not quite as mild. further south, plenty of frequent showers. again, the odd rumble of thunder but, in the sunnier moments, it will still be pleasantly one for this stage of the year. now, i am sure you have heard us talking about hurricane kirk and the impact that is going to have across the uk. it has lost its hurricane status. it is moving across the cooler waters. still set to bow to the south of the uk, impacting northern spain and france but

we are still going to feel the effect of this time because, as it continues to drift its way steadily east, that is going to allow that cooler air to push the wire mayor back to the new continent so, as we go through the day on wednesday, there is still a risk of heavy rain and rough seas, and the northerly wind will dry and a few scattered showers across the north sea coast as well. the cool are not really arriving yet. 14—17 year but noticeably colder in scotland and, as we go out of wednesday into thursday, gale force gusts of wind are going to push plenty of frequent showers south. there will be sunny spells but it will be a cooler story for all and temperatures are likely to keep between eight and i2. all and temperatures are likely to keep between eight and 12. a little bit below par from where we should be at this stage in october. and then as we move through fire into saturday a brief ridge of high pressure builds across england and wales, brightening things down.

this is bbc news, the headlines: vigils in israel and around the world a year on from the october 7th attacks when hamas gunmen killed 1200 people and took 251 hostage. at the nova festival site, pictures of some of the missing and dead, many of whose families gathered to mark the anniversary. meanwhile, multiple blasts have shaken the southern suburbs of beirut. the attacks come after israel

issued new evacuation orders in southern lebanon. it is the same picture in the south of the country, powerful blasts around the southern city of tyre as hezbollah fire more missiles into israel. one other headline, florida braces for another potentially devastating hurricane as storm milton builds strength off the gulf of mexico. a year after the hamas attacks on israel on october seventh, the conflict is spreading. the surprise attack on israel by hamas gunmen who killed around 1,200 people and took more than 250 hostage, triggered a chain of violence and escalation. israel invaded gaza with its prime minister benjamin netanyahu promising to destroy hamas and release the hostages. at least 41,000 people have been killed there according

to the hamas—controlled health ministry in gaza. now israel has begun a new military campaign to the north, in lebanon, to crush hezbollah and end its rocket attacks on israel. hezbollah�*s leader hassan nasrallah has been killed along with many senior commanders of the iran—backed group. israeli air strikes in lebanon have killed many civilians and more than a million people have fled their homes. the houthis in yemen, also backed by iran, have been drawn into the conflict. they launched attacks on shipping in support of the palestinians in gaza. israel has retaliated with air strikes there too. but the gravest threat of a wider war is a direct conflict between iran and israel. israel has carried out a series of targeted assassinations including in the iranian capital tehran. iran responded to the killing of hezbollah leader hassan nasrallah in lebanon with missiles launched at israel. in the next few minutes

we'll be live in lebanon with anna foster and in northern israel for the latest on the war between israel and hezbollah. first, our international editor jeremy bowen reflects on the complicated security picture in the region. a day like today, when israel is commemorating its dead and the missing, perhaps the population would like to have had a moment of repose to think about what has happened and where they are going, but actually right now israel is at war, is at war on multiple fronts, still in gaza, there is a lot of trouble on the west bank. and they are sending several more divisions, two more divisions i believe, into south lebanon to beef up their invasion there. israel now, as well as commemorating what happened exactly a year ago, there is increasing pressure to

go after the country that they believe was really behind those attacks, funding hamas and that is iran. the islamic regime in tehran. so israel, prime minister benjamin netanyahu, has said after last week's ballistic missile attacks by the iranians, that israel is going to hit back. he said that no other country in the world would do anything other than that. he has to decide what to do. president biden has made his views clear. he said, don't hit the nuclear facilities, they are massive nuclear don't also hit petrochemicals, because, let's face it, a big spike in oil prices and petrol pricesjust before the spike in oil prices and petrol prices just before the us election would not be a popular thing in a very close race. there are limits, though, to america's influence on this. joe biden has chosen over the months not to use the leave as

he could have used to influence israeli policy, even when he has not been happy with it. and that has left him now in quite a powerless state. benjamin netanyahu, what does he do? does he have the response to iran that iran might be able to say we are even, they might be able to hit back if they are attacked by israel. or does he go in very hard? there is increasing pressure to do that increasing pressure to do that in israel because they are saying after the military successes, israel has had against iran's strongest ally hezbollah in lebanon, that they are weakened and this is the moment to really go after them. a once in a generation opportunity, and that i would say is dangerous talk. let's speak to our correspondent anna foster in beirut. give mea give me a sense of what it has been like this through the course of the day. matthew, we

have seen _ course of the day. matthew, we have seen so — course of the day. matthew, we have seen so many _ course of the day. matthew, we have seen so many more - course of the day. matthew, we have seen so many more of- course of the day. matthew, we l have seen so many more of those powerful israeli air today. again, sort of concentrated in a belt around the middle of the day. we were seeing lots of smoke rising on the horizon, lots of reports of things happening around that area which is so close to the airport where hezbollah are based. it is worth saying that the sun is starting to set here in lebanon on and it is the time of day when people get particularly nervous, because we have seen now over the last number of days, really powerful and strong air strikes at night. we tend to get the first warnings around midnight local time. and then the last few days, the images and what we have been seen here in beirut is extraordinary. these big fireballs as whole buildings are destroyed. my colleague hugo bachega was at the site of one of the strikes and he was three stories down underground had been destroyed as well as the building itself, which stood on top of it. some of

these are really powerful strikes with very large scale weapons. it is happening in the south of the country as well, our bbc team around the city of tyre have been there sharing images today of these similarly huge blast. more evacuation orders telling people to leave. still a lot of people on the streets, i saw people on the streets, i saw people on the streets here in beirut a little earlier. people now are trying to make makeshift shelters. i think at the start they thought it would may be a few days, but you can see people starting to bed in and perhaps feeling that this operation by israel, this ground is of asian that happened in the south, described by the idf as a localised and limited, people here feeling it could go on for some time. in here feeling it could go on for some time-— here feeling it could go on for some time. in beirut, are you caettin some time. in beirut, are you getting any — some time. in beirut, are you getting any clearer— some time. in beirut, are you getting any clearer picture - some time. in beirut, are you getting any clearer picture of| getting any clearer picture of how much southern lebanon israeli troops now occupy? because more troops have been sentin because more troops have been

sent in on the last 2a hours. they have, matthew. and from what it looks at the moment, and of course it is worth saying as well, the behind—the—scenes knowledge when you are watching this, these hotspot areas on both side of the border have been declared a closed military zone, so it is very difficult for anybody to get close enough to see exactly what is happening there. it all the indications that we have, and certainly looking at the areas they are working on, it looks like it's israeli troops are relatively close to the border area, it does not like they've moved too far on foot, at least, into southern lebanon. these evacuation orders they haveissued these evacuation orders they have issued really go a long way now. we have talked about the river that is a landmark going across the south of lebanon on creating a buffer zone area that was set up under un resolution 17— zone area that was set up under un resolution i7— 01 and that area was supposed to provide that design without hezbollah fight are weapons that would keep the north of israel so.

those evacuation orders go up even higher now further north of that to a different river, so it shows you that israel has its eye on the moment on a very large amount of land in southern lebanon. we don't know if the ground operation would go that far. look at what happened in 2006 and there was a lot of concern in israel at that time and a lot of criticism of the military at that time and that particular military operation in terms of the loss of israeli life. they were looking at the soldiers who lost their lives, the fact that israel ultimately had to retreat. while people in israel want their southern border secured from hezbollah attacks, of course they do, it is a complicated calculation going on among israeli military leaders about how far and how fast they go into lebanon on and how they choose to actually limit that operation so it will ultimately be considered by people in israel as a success. anna, we were listening a while

ago to the british prime minister again ago to the british prime ministeragain urging ago to the british prime minister again urging british citizens to get out whilst they can. there is also considerable focus on aid getting in. where are we with the aid? because that has been disrupted in terms of aerial roots in, land routes in. it terms of aerial roots in, land routes in— routes in. it is very difficult for the aid _ routes in. it is very difficult for the aid to _ routes in. it is very difficult for the aid to get _ routes in. it is very difficult for the aid to get in. - routes in. it is very difficult for the aid to get in. and i for the aid to get in. and also, in terms of the flights coming in and out of the airport, we have been saying that pretty much all commercial air traffic now, apart from the lebanese national airline, has stopped. and also as well these aid flights. we are seeing them coming in, we are seeing some aid being brought in, but actually there is a very complicated admin system around the airport where planes aren't allowed to come in and land without the permission of the lebanese army. this is because israel has said and made it very clear that if they think the airport is being used to bring in weapons, then they will they say take the necessary measures to stop that

from happening and nobody wants the airport to fully close. it looks like on the lebanese side they are trying to clamp down on what goes in and comes out. we are seeing some aid, limited aid, not as much as is needed given that a fist of the population are now displaced. on that point you mentioned as well about the uk prime minister asking to leave again. —— a fifth of the population. charter flights is a —— a fifth of the population. charterflights is a better word, the uk chartered for planes to take people wanted to go. the last of those was yesterday and the embassy here made it clear that unless something changed, that was going to be the last one for now. flights are very hard to come across, seats on flights are nearly impossible to book any time soon. so it is important to note that while sexiest estimate stands in the commons and again tells british nationals in lebanon to live, at the moment that is not something that is really in their gift. b, something that is really in their gift-— something that is really in theirrift. ., ., their gift. a quick final word, because as _ their gift. a quick final word, because as you _ their gift. a quick final word, because as you were - their gift. a quick final word, because as you were talking | because as you were talking there the israel army is

reported saying that they have hit over 120 hezbollah within an hour, and that gives you a sense of what you're describing at the start in terms of the relentless nature of this now. yeah, real intensity, matthew. in some of the reports we have seen coming up, the lebanese ministry of health says there was a strike today in which they said ten firefighters had been killed. again, we are seen continuing civilian deaths, more than 2000 people have been killed here in lebanon during the entirety of this military operation. as you say, you really get a sense of continuing intensity and you can probably hear while we are speaking the sound off an israeli drone in the skies above. that is constant now, morning, noon and night. that sound is there. clearly, this is military operation is continuing, they are continuing to gather intelligence, not just here in the capital but in the south as well. and what we

see on a continuing