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tv   Newsnight  BBC News  October 24, 2024 10:30pm-11:01pm BST

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i'm so grateful to everyone for their incredible kindness and support. you may have heard by now that i'm ready to share that my cancer is stage four. i will be living with it for the rest of my life. now, it's not the news anyone imagines hearing and it obviously came as a huge shock. we've taken time to process it as a family, and i now have a deep resolve to turn this incredibly difficult diagnosis into something more positive. mel south: chris hoy. time for a look at the weather. here's stav.
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wheeled out for harris. but with the polls static, which issues will make the difference in less than two weeks�* time? and forecaster and mother carrie grant has four children with special educational needs. sen spending on english councils is way up but the system is still failing. why? and how do we fix it?
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hello and welcome to newsnight, the home of us election insight and interviews. if winning the us election was only about getting the a—listers on board, kamala harris�*s route to the white house might be a done deal. springsteen, samuel ljackson and beyonce are all due tojoin her at rallies in the next 2a hours. but the polls are so tight, with some saying her campaign is losing momentum. tonight, what are the issues that might swing the race? but before we do, some of the papers are picking up one story tonight. after the chancellor rachel reeves has been in washington and announced she's changing the uk debt rules. nick has been following this story and watching if we have a look at some of those front pages, the daily telegraph says reeves is warned over a £30
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billion debt fiddle. financial times says rachel reeves is rewriting the financial rules. and the daily mail says it will punish uk mortgage holders. what can you tell us? we knew this holders. what can you tell us? - knew this was coming, we were reporting on it and today there was the announcement by the chancellor in washington saying she will take a far broader measure of the public balance sheet and it could allow her to borrow to invest by something like 20 billion more. you keep the markets happy but it looks like the markets happy but it looks like the markets were not wildly impressed and it was clear from a piece markets were not wildly impressed and it was clearfrom a piece in markets were not wildly impressed and it was clear from a piece in the guardian today that this would happen. uk borrowing costs rose slightly in one verse who picked up on it was the former chancellor jeremy hunt who said the markets are watching. rachel reeves was not the only globally significant economist in washington. faisal islam was
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there as well and interviewed the chancellor and said, your fiscal rules, the credibility is important. is this not a sneaky little shuffle, he asked her.— he asked her. there is a choice about whether _ he asked her. there is a choice about whether we _ he asked her. there is a choice about whether we want - he asked her. there is a choice about whether we want to - he asked her. there is a choice - about whether we want to continue on this path— about whether we want to continue on this path of— about whether we want to continue on this path of decline in the plans i have _ this path of decline in the plans i have inherited from the conservatives see public sector net investment declined quite rapidly as a share _ investment declined quite rapidly as a share of— investment declined quite rapidly as a share of our economy. and if we continued — a share of our economy. and if we continued on— a share of our economy. and if we continued on that path, we would ntiss— continued on that path, we would miss out— continued on that path, we would miss out on— continued on that path, we would miss out on other opportunities and other— miss out on other opportunities and other countries would seize them. i don't _ other countries would seize them. i don't want — other countries would seize them. i don't want those jobs and investment is going _ don't want those jobs and investment is going to _ don't want those jobs and investment is going to other countries, i want them _ is going to other countries, i want them to— is going to other countries, i want them to go— is going to other countries, i want them to go to britain which has huge potentiai _ them to go to britain which has huge otential. . . , ., . ., potential. that was the chancellor rachel reeves. _ it has a busy old time and they swing through the sunbelt swing state. kamala harris will be in georgia at a rally attended by barack 0bama and bruce springsteen.
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donald trump is in arizona and nevada. a big focus for him on the border. i nevada. a big focus for him on the border. , , ., nevada. a big focus for him on the border. , ,. , .. , border. i will interrupt you because we can see — border. i will interrupt you because we can see him _ border. i will interrupt you because we can see him live. _ border. i will interrupt you because we can see him live. pictures - border. i will interrupt you because we can see him live. pictures of. we can see him live. pictures of donald trump right there, right now. we are told he is going to talk about the border and say kamala harris was put in charge of the border by presidentjoe biden and he is going to say that she has absolutely failed on that front. he did a radio interview earlier today and he said it would take him to seconds to fire a special counsel jack smith, that is jack smith who brought two federal indictments against donald trump in the last eight months. the first was plotting to overturn the twenty20 election and the other is illegally holding on to classified information after leaving office. we are talking about the swing state but tomorrow kamala harris is going to texas. we will hear from harris is going to texas. we will hearfrom frank harris is going to texas. we will hear from frank luntz harris is going to texas. we will hearfrom frank luntz in harris is going to texas. we will hear from frank luntz in that minute but i think we can be reasonably sure that texas will remain red and
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vote for donald trump so why on earth is she going there and not to one of the seven swing states? firstly she will be on a stage with beyonce but the second thing is she wants to highlight abortion. after the overturning of roe v wade texas now has some of the strictest laws on abortion in the united states. she wants to go there and highlight it and the three justices on the supreme court who helped overturn that were appointed by donald trump. i was getting a little distracted, i thought he was going to show off his dance moves again. the question here. so is the race still neck and neck? frank luntz is a pollster and political consultant. iam i am delighted to speak to you, thanks for coming on the programme. the sense does seem to be right now that the momentum is behind trump but does lead data bear that out? there are three sets of data. the
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polling data has it within less than o.5%, and for the swing states it is a 0.2% difference which is no difference at all. then you go to the betting sites and those have trump increasing his lead and has been increasing for the last ten days but there is a new company out there that use ai, thousands of ai computations to simulate the election and they show that harris still maintains an advantage. i would say it is way too close to call. some of these states, georgia and arizona, are critically important and the key state of pennsylvania once again. 0.0%, it is dead even. d0 pennsylvania once again. 0.0%, it is dead even. pennsylvania once again. 0.0%, it is dead even-— dead even. do the issues in this election matter _ dead even. do the issues in this election matter at _ dead even. do the issues in this election matter at all _ dead even. do the issues in this election matter at all or- dead even. do the issues in this election matter at all or is - dead even. do the issues in this election matter at all or is it - election matter at all or is it about their personalities more than issues? what is the key thing going on? if
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issues? what is the key thing going on? , ., , on? if it is about personalities harris has _ on? if it is about personalities harris has the _ on? if it is about personalities harris has the clear _ on? if it is about personalities| harris has the clear advantage. on? if it is about personalities - harris has the clear advantage. in almost every personality traits she leads and in the question of who do you trust she has a ten point lead. but with issues donald trump has the advantage and those that matter most, affordability. not the economy but affordability, and immigration. and emigration is also about a sense of safety and security. and on the issues trump has the advantage. the reason harris goes to texas is because she can make the abortion issue more relevant, more salient to people. that is her advantage. she has a double—digit lead. donald trump wants to talk aboutjoe biden and compare his administration's success is compared to biden's successes because trump has the advantage. 0nce successes because trump has the advantage. once again what you're talking about determines who you support in both candidates are trying to drive that agenda. please do stay with _ trying to drive that agenda. please do stay with us _ trying to drive that agenda. please do stay with us but _ trying to drive that agenda. please do stay with us but i _ trying to drive that agenda. please do stay with us but i want - trying to drive that agenda. please do stay with us but i want to - trying to drive that agenda. please do stay with us but i want to hear. trying to drive that agenda. please | do stay with us but i want to hear a little bit about what donald trump is saying right now. the
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little bit about what donald trump is saying right now.— is saying right now. the most egregious _ is saying right now. the most egregious betrayal— is saying right now. the most egregious betrayal that - is saying right now. the most egregious betrayal that any i is saying right now. the most - egregious betrayal that any leader in american history has ever inflicted _ in american history has ever inflicted upon our people. she has eradicated — inflicted upon our people. she has eradicated our sovereign border, she has unleashed an army of migrant gangs _ has unleashed an army of migrant gangs who— has unleashed an army of migrant gangs who are waging a campaign of violence _ gangs who are waging a campaign of violence and terror against our citizens — violence and terror against our citizens. and my message today is very simple. kamala's migrant invasion— very simple. kamala's migrant invasion given to us by gross incompetence disqualifies her from even thinking about being president. we can't _ even thinking about being president. we can't let that happen. no person who is— we can't let that happen. no person who is responsible for so much bloodshed and death on our soil can ever be _ bloodshed and death on our soil can ever be allowed to become the president of the united states, which _ president of the united states, which she has done and he has done. crooked _ which she has done and he has done. crooked jewel and kamala harris, what a combination. talking very much about the border on the issues and calling it kamala's migrant
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invasion. she wants to go to texas and talk about abortion and put that firmly on the agenda but how much does the border issue play bigger? if she loses she is going to lose on immigration. let me be clear about that. that the american public believe the biden administration has failed on that issue which is why trump is talking about it all the time. my concern and it goes beyond polling and elections is that trump's language is so explicit, so divisive and so polarising that how do we come together after this election happens? he is rising in the polls because of this, and if he wins it is going to because the american people were so angry about emigration that they are willing to accept it. but we have never in american history had this kind of language being used, i should say modern history, being used in election campaign. and it bodes very
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badly for the days, weeks and months after election day. 50 iii badly for the days, weeks and months after election day.— after election day. so if she is to win it and _ after election day. so if she is to win it and if _ after election day. so if she is to win it and if she _ after election day. so if she is to win it and if she is _ after election day. so if she is to win it and if she is to _ after election day. so if she is to win it and if she is to turn - after election day. so if she is to win it and if she is to turn it - win it and if she is to turn it round if it needs turning round, what are you suggesting she needs to do? what issues does she need to talk about? it do? what issues does she need to talk about?— talk about? it is a great question, it is what she _ talk about? it is a great question, it is what she is _ talk about? it is a great question, it is what she is going _ talk about? it is a great question, it is what she is going to - talk about? it is a great question, it is what she is going to do - talk about? it is a great question, it is what she is going to do in - talk about? it is a great question, it is what she is going to do in the first hour, the first day, the first week, month and year. not what her objectives are not even her priorities, but which legislation is she going to push first? which platforms and elements she will ensure it gets discussed in the first week. ensure it gets discussed in the first week-— ensure it gets discussed in the first week. �* ., ., , ., ~' first week. and what do you think they should _ first week. and what do you think they should be? _ first week. and what do you think they should be? it _ first week. and what do you think they should be? it is _ first week. and what do you think they should be? it is all - first week. and what do you think they should be? it is all about. they should be? it is all about emigration — they should be? it is all about emigration and _ they should be? it is all about emigration and all _ they should be? it is all about emigration and all about - emigration and all about affordability and nothing else matters apart from those two issues among the voters who are still waiting to make up their minds. i call them persuadables, only 4% of the electorate but they can still be moved in this swing state, but she
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has to be explicit about what she will do from the has to be explici
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