tv The Context BBC News November 1, 2024 9:00pm-9:31pm GMT
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of north carolina is, will we see the impact of the devastation of hurricane helene? you can see just how hard it hit here last month. joining me tonight on the panel, maria hinojosa, pulitzer prize winner journalist. miles taylor, former us government official in the trump administration, joi chaney, democratic strategist and founder ofjoi strategies, and julie harris, president of the national federation of republican women. hello, welcome to washington. of republican women. we are almost there. of republican women. this will be the final weekend of campaigning before the united states votes on tuesday. and "almost there" is the message coming from team trump. their chief pollster tony fabrizio, in charge
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of polling for each of trump's three previous elections, believes the former president is in radically better shape to the position he was in in 2020, in spite of polling that suggests it remains tight in each of the seven battleground states. there could be a variety of reasons for that optimistic framing. it's possible they have new internal polling or early returns they like the look of. but that confidence they exude will make it easier for donald trump to reject a harris win, if that is the outcome next week. and if we can keep that cheating down, because they're a bunch of cheats... if we can keep that cheating down, we're going to have a tremendous victory. i think it'll go down as one of the greatest
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victories of all time. so, we're going to have an exciting time. on background, kamala harris�*s team talks in strikingly similar terms. "nautiously optimistic" is how one senior staffer put it this week. the harris team have always conveyed themselves as the underdog, in an effort to drive bigger turnout in those seven key states. but maybe the more positive noises we are now getting from team harris are also to counter any later suggestion from trump's supporters the election must have been stolen. cheering do we believe in opportunity? yeah! do we believe in the promise of america? yeah! and are we ready to fight for it? yeah! and when we fight... we win! _ so, 50, julie, i should come to you first. lenny of mind games being played at the moment. what do you see in this internal memo that's come from the trump team? why would they
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exude that sort of confidence? i think their optimism is coming from the energy on the ground. we all have seen the act rallies. the national federation of her puppet and women are working all 50 states. we're doing extra work in the battleground states. i myself was in wisconsin last week for almost a week, going door—to—door, we are not knocking on republican doors, we are knocking on independent doors. these are voters, of all ages, they are notjust an order demographic, they are not just a particular race demographic. they were independent voters and there is energy on the ground in wisconsin as well as the other battleground states for president trump.- battleground states for president trump. we'll talk about wisconsin _ president trump. we'll talk about wisconsin shortly - president trump. we'll talk - about wisconsin shortly because both donald trump and kamala harris in wisconsin tonight. just a few miles apart and speaking within an hour of one another. joi, i sort of feel
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the democrats are so scarred by what happened in 2016 that you never hear the vice president say, we are in the box seat here. how good you think team harris would need to be doing to admit that they are doing well? i to admit that they are doing well? ., �* ~' to admit that they are doing well? ., �* ~ i. �* well? i don't think you're ever auoin to well? i don't think you're ever going to see _ well? i don't think you're ever going to see us _ well? i don't think you're ever going to see us claim - well? i don't think you're ever going to see us claim victory. | going to see us claim victory. we're — going to see us claim victory. we're never going to measure the drapes. we know better than do that — the drapes. we know better than do that. our goal is to make sure — do that. our goal is to make sure everyone knows they have to stay— sure everyone knows they have to stay in — sure everyone knows they have to stay in line, they have to vote, — to stay in line, they have to vote, there's no giving up, even— vote, there's no giving up, even if_ vote, there's no giving up, even if you think that we have won, — even if you think that we have won, we've got to fight for every— won, we've got to fight for every single vote, because not only— every single vote, because not only do— every single vote, because not only do we want to win, we want to far_ only do we want to win, we want to far exceed expectations, to counter— to far exceed expectations, to counter the irresponsible, undermining of the election that— undermining of the election that donald trump is doing. we know— that donald trump is doing. we know he — that donald trump is doing. we know he is_ that donald trump is doing. we know he is not doing as well as he thihk— know he is not doing as well as he think he _ know he is not doing as well as he think he is because he's turning _ he think he is because he's turning to violence again, and he is — turning to violence again, and he is turning to efforts to say the election was rigged, so he has some _ the election was rigged, so he has some tells and he is giving them _ has some tells and he is giving them all— has some tells and he is giving them all right now. is has some tells and he is giving them all right now.— them all right now. is there anything. —
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them all right now. is there anything, maria, _ them all right now. is there anything, maria, you - them all right now. is there anything, maria, you can i them all right now. is there - anything, maria, you can change in the final weekend of a campaign? is there anyone that is left to convince? i campaign? is there anyone that is left to convince?— is left to convince? i would have said. _ is left to convince? i would have said, if _ is left to convince? i would have said, if you _ is left to convince? i would have said, if you asked - is left to convince? i would have said, if you asked mej is left to convince? i would - have said, if you asked me last week, things are kind of set, but then you had the medicine square garden rally, which honestly changed so much for so many people —— madison square garden. the specificity of the nastiness towards the island of puerto rico will deftly have repercussions for donald trump in all of the swing states. there are puerto ricans and i can give you the numbers if you would like, but in general, that spells trouble, but it was not just an attack against puerto ricans, it was against all the chinos, it was against immigrants, it was against black people, it was against muslim people —— all the latinos. it was against gay people. forthose latinos. it was against gay people. for those people who are the independents, who might get that doorknocker, from the republican doorknocker is, they may have been open, but last
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week changed so much, so i'm not... i've said in the past, it can't get worst, i can certainly see it getting worse over this weekend, and it has not gotten nicer in terms of the politics, but i think, right now, if you are a trump light supporter, if you had any doubts, was sunday at madison square garden, given along with the strangeness of what's being said now and coming out of donald trump's mouth, the question is, will you pull the leverfor him still? question is, will you pull the lever for him still?— lever for him still? miles, i am going _ lever for him still? miles, i am going to _ lever for him still? miles, i am going to bring - lever for him still? miles, i am going to bring up - lever for him still? miles, i am going to bring up somej am going to bring up some live pictures we're getting from warren, michigan, where donald trump is speaking this hour. one of those blue—collar counties where he did particular well in 2016, not as well in 2020, but he got a lot of autoworkers, machine workers in that part of michigan. crucially important to him on tuesday night. as we watched this, miles, the same question
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to you — if you don't know donald trump after eight years, if you genuinely don't know whether he is for you, then maybe it does come down to how you feel on the day? maybe there is something you can do in these final few days as a candidate. i in these final few days as a candidate-— candidate. i actually think, christian. _ candidate. i actually think, christian, it's _ candidate. i actually think, christian, it's less - candidate. i actually think, christian, it's less about i candidate. i actually think, l christian, it's less about how many— christian, it's less about how many independent voters need to make _ many independent voters need to make up— many independent voters need to make up their minds and more about— make up their minds and more about which ones are going to show— about which ones are going to show up — about which ones are going to show up on the day, and that's why— show up on the day, and that's why you — show up on the day, and that's why you see this really interesting, almost social engineering in the comments from — engineering in the comments from the _ engineering in the comments from the candidates and their campaigns about how well they're _ campaigns about how well they're doing, because they don't — they're doing, because they don't want to go out there and say they— don't want to go out there and say they are such an underdog that— say they are such an underdog that they— say they are such an underdog that they make people worry they— that they make people worry they won't win, and depress the vote, _ they won't win, and depress the vote, and — they won't win, and depress the vote, and then people don't show— vote, and then people don't show up _ vote, and then people don't show up because they feel like, welt, _ show up because they feel like, well, what's the point? and here's— well, what's the point? and here's campaign in particular does — here's campaign in particular does not _ here's campaign in particular does not want to sound over exuberant because behind the scenes. — exuberant because behind the scenes, they are concerned if they— scenes, they are concerned if they sound too valedictory about _ they sound too valedictory about their chances, supporters will say, — about their chances, supporters will say, it — about their chances, supporters will say, it is in the bag, we don't — will say, it is in the bag, we don't go. _
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will say, it is in the bag, we don't go, show up. what the camping _ don't go, show up. what the camping are worried about, sure, — camping are worried about, sure, they are trained to win over— sure, they are trained to win over independence, but they also — over independence, but they also want those independents that might be breaking their direction to show up because they— direction to show up because they feel— direction to show up because they feel like they might be part— they feel like they might be part of— they feel like they might be part of a consequential election, where they can ship the thing _ election, where they can ship the thing over the edge, and that's— the thing over the edge, and that's the tight rope campaigns are walking right now, and if there's— are walking right now, and if there's one operative word for this entire _ there's one operative word for this entire campaign, and these final— this entire campaign, and these final days, _ this entire campaign, and these final days, it is anxiety. we have — final days, it is anxiety. we have never felt anxiety across the political spectrum like we are feeling right now in the united _ are feeling right now in the united states, certainly that peace — united states, certainly that peace is— united states, certainly that peace is unprecedented. | united states, certainly that peace is unprecedented. i think ou're peace is unprecedented. i think you're miles. — peace is unprecedented. i think you're miles, obviously - peace is unprecedented. i think you're miles, obviously in - peace is unprecedented. i think you're miles, obviously in the l you're miles, obviously in the battleground states is a turnout election for both parties, but when you look back to 2016 went on to —— down from won michigan, you go to detroit, you see turnout closed down genetically and comes cup in 2020, so that shows you how important that turnout is going to be in some of these key swing counties —— turnout clip went down
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dramatically and comes back up. julie, in terms of the coalition these coalitions have built, we'll talk with joi coalition these coalitions have built, we'll talk withjoi in a second with the democrats, but odyssey there is a gender gap and trump is dependent on some young male voters, what in some circles are known as the bar stool burrows. i'm certain taking of my own son here, trying to get him out of bed to go and vote. is that the sort of person you would want to be dependent on if you are donald trump? i dependent on if you are donald trum? ., �* dependent on if you are donald trum? .,�* . , dependent on if you are donald trum? . , trump? i don't really accept that as a — trump? i don't really accept that as a fact. _ trump? i don't really accept that as a fact. i _ trump? i don't really accept that as a fact. i know- trump? i don't really accept that as a fact. i know that i that as a fact. i know that certainly the demographics of male voters lean towards a trump, but we have seen some insults, the american women, recently, not only mark cuban's originals are recent commercials where we are seeing women voting in the shadows and having to lie or not be forthcoming with their political views with their husband. that does not
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represent the american women. american women are pulled. where political leaders, we are capable of having independent thought, we don't have to hide, we don't have to vote in secret, we are part of forming our history here in the united states, and so to see this attack on women and this shaming and this demeaning and setting us back, rather than moving forward, i think is going to work against them. i think trump has made tremendous around with the women voters, especially because of the border and because ofjust the affordability, just day—to—day necessities. affordability, 'ust day-to-day necessities._ affordability, 'ust day-to-day necessities. �* ., necessities. we'll come back to some of those _ necessities. we'll come back to some of those thoughts - necessities. we'll come back to some of those thoughts in - necessities. we'll come back to some of those thoughts in a i some of those thoughts in a second. joi cabaye want to talk to you about the coalition that kamala harris has built, because in a way, she has been trying to unite the never trump coalition, so she is holding the hand of liz cheney on one side and she is holding the
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hand of bernie sanders on the other while trying not to alienate the people in the middle. is that, for you, a successful strategy? does it excite enough voters in your mind? it excite enough voters in your mind? . , , , . mind? it absolutely is a successful _ mind? it absolutely is a successful strategy. - mind? it absolutely is a successful strategy. i. mind? it absolutely is a i successful strategy. i think one — successful strategy. i think one of— successful strategy. i think one of the dumbest things that donald — one of the dumbest things that donald trump has done in the last couple days isjust donald trump has done in the last couple days is just what he has — last couple days is just what he has done in the last 24 hours. _ he has done in the last 24 hours, suggesting that liz cheney— hours, suggesting that liz cheney should be killed. this is a man— cheney should be killed. this is a man who himself has been attacked — is a man who himself has been attacked by gunfire, so why he would — attacked by gunfire, so why he would even suggest that, that is going — would even suggest that, that is going to turn off a lot of women _ is going to turn off a lot of women also liz cheney is a bold republican woman. and donald trump — republican woman. and donald trump is — republican woman. and donald trump is suggesting that she should — trump is suggesting that she should be killed for being hold _ should be killed for being bold. those ads, with the voice over— bold. those ads, with the voice over from — bold. those ads, with the voice over from julia ro
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