tv BBC News BBC News November 3, 2024 12:00am-12:31am GMT
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that means it's the final weekend of campaigning. donald trump and kamala harris are holding rallies in some of the key battleground states. there are seven states which will decide who becomes the 47th president of the united states. polls show there's very little separating the two candidates — and polls are within the margin of error — so these states could go either way. well, one poll out tonight shows iowa, which is usually a solidly republican state, could be one to watch. the des moines register mediacom poll, which is well regarded, shows kamala harris with a slight lead of 47% to 44 over donald trump. that result is within the margin of error. remember, this is an historically close race. one of the most historically close races and history. the only
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results that truly matter are on election day. let's look at the latest on the day campaign trail. donald trump has been in virginia and the battleground state of north carolina today, making his final pitch to voters. north carolina is the only swing state in 2024, that he won in both of his previous presidential election campaigns. kamala harris has also been holding a rally there today — withjon bonjovi among the warm—up acts. let's take a listen to what both candidates have been saying. imagine the oval office, and if he is elected, donald trump on day one would be sitting in that office, stewing over his enemies' list. booing. but when i am elected, i will walk in on your behalf, working on my to do list. cheering. to do.
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and at the top of my list is bringing down the cost of living for you. i will end inflation, i will- stop the invasion of criminals into our country and i will- bring back the american dream. cheering. this is all you really need to know. - kamala, a low iq person, broke it. kamala, a low iq person, broke it and — kamala, a low iq person, broke it and it — kamala, a low iq person, broke it and it will_ kamala, a low iq person, broke it. and it will fix _ kamala, a low iq person, broke it. and it will fix it, _ kamala, a low iq person, broke it. and it will fix it, |_ it. and it will fix it, i promise, _ it. and it will fix it, i promise, i— it. and it will fix it, i promise, iwill- it. and it will fix it, i promise, i will fix. it. and it will fix it, ii promise, i will fix it. the two candidates have also been spending a lot of time in one of the other swing states — wisconsin. let's speak to our correspondent carl nasman — who's in milwaukee. what have voters been saying? this is the state's biggest city, a democratic stronghold, in the heart of the city's
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latin quarter. it's a much smaller latino community, but it still could be crucial in determining which way this swing state might go. it still neck and neck. it's interesting to see in 2020, about 60% of the latin community here in the state voted forjoe biden, but that was down a bit. back in 2016, 60 3% of latino voters voted for hillary clinton, and that does mirrored outback more voted conservative and more voted conservative and more voted for donald trump, thatis that is despite the way he refers to latinos in the united states. he's been calling for one of the biggest mass deportations in the country's history. we were speaking with one organiser in the lead of
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that rhetoric —— one latino organiser who said that rhetoric could convince people to vote for kamala harris. we have a massive _ to vote for kamala harris. we have a massive latino demographic. just talking to the community to that method, i mean, _ the community to that method, i mean, we've seen it for three elections _ mean, we've seen it for three elections. trump thrives off of fearmongering. that's why he continues_ fearmongering. that's why he continues to call the immigrant and latino demographic, dogs, criminals. _ and latino demographic, dogs, criminals, rate bits. —— rate bits — criminals, rate bits. —— rate bits -- _ criminals, rate bits. —— rate bits -- rate_ criminals, rate bits. —— rate bits. —— rate basis. i've been here— bits. —— rate basis. i've been here my— bits. —— rate basis. i've been here my own life —— my whole life and — here my own life —— my whole life and they are all here for to work_ life and they are all here for to work and make a difference -- rapists _ to work and make a difference —— rapists. that puts a chip on
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their_ —— rapists. that puts a chip on their shoulder. -- rapists. that puts a chip on their shoulder.— -- rapists. that puts a chip on their shoulder. we've also been s-ueakin their shoulder. we've also been speaking with — their shoulder. we've also been speaking with arab _ their shoulder. we've also been speaking with arab and - speaking with arab and muslim americans. it's a similar situation what we are seeing play out. there are still people very upset with the way biden—harris have handled the conflict in the middle east. outside of kamala harris campaign headquarters where there was a very large demonstration of pro—palestinian protesters calling for a weapons embargo and a cease—fire. it's very difficult for them to support either candidate. many of them are considering voting third party. in this case, this would swing the election. some 50,000 orso swing the election. some 50,000 or so democratic voters sent a
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symbolic message tojoe biden. the margin of victory was about 21,000 votes. you can see how any member of these communities swing left or right really could tip the direction of this race. . ~' could tip the direction of this race. ., ~ i. �*, race. thank you. let's turn back to _ race. thank you. let's turn back to that _ race. thank you. let's turn back to that pole _ race. thank you. let's turn back to that pole and - race. thank you. let's turn back to that pole and isla. | joining me live now isj ann selzer, president of the iowa based polling firm selzer and company, which conducted a poll showing kamala harris now leading donald trump in the state. thanks for your time. the only results in matter are the results in matter are the results on election day, given how close this race is. could you explain why these results would be particularly surprising in iowa? would be particularly surrisin: in iowa? ~ ., ., surprising in iowa? well, iowa has been _ surprising in iowa? well, iowa has been what _ surprising in iowa? well, iowa has been what we _ surprising in iowa? well, iowa has been what we call - surprising in iowa? well, iowa has been what we call a - surprising in iowa? well, iowa has been what we call a red i has been what we call a red state — republican dominated — for the last election cycles,
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is the point where our entire delegation that serves in washington, dc are republican and the entire state white —— state—wide elect these are republican, except one. both chambers of the iowa house and senate are republican. iowa is just about as republican as you'll find in any state. can ou you'll find in any state. can you tell _ you'll find in any state. can you tell us _ you'll find in any state. can you tell us about _ you'll find in any state. can you tell us about the - you tell us about the methodology of this poll? yes, what we do _ methodology of this poll? yes, what we do is _ methodology of this poll? yes, what we do is want _ methodology of this poll? yes, what we do is want to - methodology of this poll? yes, what we do is want to collect . what we do is want to collect data in a way that will reveal to us without us making any assumptions what the future electorate is going to look like. we asked people to tell us whether they will definitely vote and so on, we only take them in if they're a definite motor, and we will have balance a bigger pool that represents the entire state. if older people are more likely to vote, they will show up in our data.
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we don't make any assumptions about what the future electorate looks like. and the ole electorate looks like. and the pole does _ electorate looks like. and the pole does show— electorate looks like. and the pole does show that - electorate looks like. and the pole does show that women | electorate looks like. and the - pole does show that women have partly driven some of this result in europol. the gender gap is a big issue —— in your poll. i gap is a big issue -- in your oll. , ., gap is a big issue -- in your oll. i. ., gap is a big issue -- in your oll. ,, ., ., poll. i point you to the margin of kamala _ poll. i point you to the margin of kamala harris _ poll. i point you to the margin of kamala harris wins - poll. i point you to the margin of kamala harris wins older. of kamala harris wins older women. it's a 2—1 margin of women. it's a 2—1 margin of women 65 and older, so there's obviously something going on here. older people can be the most reliable voters.- here. older people can be the most reliable voters. what does this tell you _ most reliable voters. what does this tell you about _ most reliable voters. what does this tell you about independent | this tell you about independent voters in iowa?— this tell you about independent voters in iowa? independents in iowa do voters in iowa? independents in iowa do sort _ voters in iowa? independents in iowa do sort of _ voters in iowa? independents in iowa do sort of switch _ voters in iowa? independents in iowa do sort of switch back - voters in iowa? independents in iowa do sort of switch back and | iowa do sort of switch back and forth in this poll. they are solidly behind kamala harris. and robert f kennedyjunior was still on the ballot in iowa, wasn't he?—
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still on the ballot in iowa, wasn't he? yes, so we still test him- _ wasn't he? yes, so we still test him. he's _ wasn't he? yes, so we still test him. he's at _ wasn't he? yes, so we still test him. he's at three - test him. he's at three percentage points. there's a few percentage points it play, but neither of the major candidates get to 50%. there still little squishing us and what can actually happen come tuesday. what can actually happen come tuesda . , . ~ what can actually happen come tuesda . , ., ,, ., tuesday. they talked about abortion- — tuesday. they talked about abortion. how _ tuesday. they talked about abortion. how much - tuesday. they talked about abortion. how much have i tuesday. they talked about - abortion. how much have those reproductive health issues come up? reproductive health issues come u . 2 . reproductive health issues come u . ? . ~' ., ., reproductive health issues come u? . ~' ., ., ., ., up? we know that among the eo - le up? we know that among the people who — up? we know that among the people who are _ up? we know that among the people who are democrats, l people who are democrats, self—described, people who say they support kamala harris, they support kamala harris, they are thinking of democracy and about half of them saying that's the most important thing. but half of that, about play 5% roughly, say abortion falls. it's play 5% roughly, say abortion it's a six—week band and after six weeks, you're not allowed
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to get an abortion in iowa. that may all have played a part in this. we don't have precise data in this poll.— data in this poll. and of course. _ data in this poll. and of course, harris - data in this poll. and of course, harris has - data in this poll. and of| course, harris has made abortion a key issue. i want to take one aspect of your poll that was favourable for donald trump, which was enthusiasm. could you talk a little more about that? in could you talk a little more about that?— about that? in fact, donald trum, about that? in fact, donald trump, since _ about that? in fact, donald trump, since he _ about that? in fact, donald trump, since he really - about that? in fact, donald trump, since he really got| about that? in fact, donald - trump, since he really got into politics and running for office backin politics and running for office back in 2016, the enthusiasm factor was always remarkable. when we first tested kamala in this cycle, she had jumped in and closed an 18 point gap that trump had overjoe biden to just four points. i'm sorry, she closed it by ia points. it was four points. she had the
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advantage — this was in september — on enthusiasm. it's dropped a little bit but her numbers are nothing to complain about. it'sjust numbers are nothing to complain about. it's just that trump has returned to having the stronger number there. returned to having the stronger numberthere.j returned to having the stronger number there.— returned to having the stronger number there. j ann, thank you some. number there. j ann, thank you some- -- _ number there. j ann, thank you some- -- so — number there. j ann, thank you some. -- so much. _ number there. j ann, thank you some. -- so much. the - number there. j ann, thank you some. -- so much. the only . some. —— so much. the only results that truly matter and give us the real answers here are on election day. thanks so much. and you can watch live coverage of the results coming in here on bbc news, on bbc one in the uk, and on the iplayer at 10:a0 gmt — that's 5:a0 eastern time — next tuesday the 5th of november. sumi somaskanda and caitriona perry will bring you a special programme from here in washington dc with our team of experts and correspondents. let's turn to the latest in the middle east. the israeli military has confirmed that it captured a senior hezbollah official in lebanon.
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imad amhaz, who is reported to be a senior member of hezbollah's naval force, was abducted from his home by more than 20 men in uniform on friday. cctv footage — seen here — shows israeli commandos hurrying him away before departing in speed boats. lebanon's prime minister najib mikati has called for an investigation into the raid. our correspondent injerusalem, joe inwood, has more. there's a lot that we don't know about this, but a few more details that we are having confirmed or we think we've got converted. it seems to be an israeli raid. it's been reported that naval commanders took place on friday. in the town here, a christian majority town, on the coast equidistant from tripoli. what you can see from tripoli. what you can see from the imagi �*s confirmed by a member of the lebanese government show a roughly 25
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men going into actual formation. amongst them is one person who is clearly appearing to be attractive. that is believed to be imad. this is where the description differs, because we get from israeli sources. they say this man was a senior hezbollah commander involved in weapons transfers. the phrase has been used by the israelis that they have captured him. however, all the, a member of the government, and saying this is unable offer —— is a naval officer. we can say pretty much is that this man has been taken into israeli custody and it is also the first we've seen in this part of the country to the north of the capital, an area that has been less affected by the conflict. , .,
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meanwhile, a week after israel attacked military targets in iran, iran's supreme leader, ayatollah ali khamenei, has said the actions of his country's enemies will not be forgotten. take a listen. translation: the enemies, the zionist regime or - the united states of america will definitely receive - a crushing response in return for what they are doing - against the iranian nation and the resistance front. | elsewhere in the region — four children are among six people injured in a strike on a polio vaccine clinic in gaza. officials there say two israeli missiles hit the sheikh radwan primary health care while parents were bringing their children for vaccinations. the israeli military denies the accusations. it had earlier agreed to a humanitarian pause to allow vaccinations in gaza city to resume —— in gaza city to resume — days after the world health organization stopped its polio campaign due to continuing violence. the head of the who says the incident may deter parents from bringing their children to be vaccinated.
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and in the background of all of this, the deadline set by the us for israel to improve the flow of humanitarian or face cuts to american military aid is approaching — it's less than two weeks away. yet this week, the us ambassador to un has said israel's words are not matched by actions on the ground. israel's words are not matched by actions on the ground. israel has said it's going above and beyond its humanitarian obligations and blamed hamas. let's turn out to her next story. the floods in spain. spain's prime minister has announced the country's and you can watch live coverage of the results coming spain's prime minister has announced the country's biggest deployment of troops and emergency services in peacetime tojoin the recovery operation in the valencia region. 211 people are known to have died in flash flooding and landslides earlier
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this week, and many are still missing. as many as 20,000 volunteers gathered at the city of arts and science complex in valencia, equipped with shoves, brushes, drinking water, and food. joining me live dr mona hemmati, adjunct associate research scientist at columbia university. we heard resources that people are complaining they have known. �* , , are complaining they have known. �*, , ., ., known. it's very important to ask them _ known. it's very important to ask them if _ known. it's very important to ask them if these _ known. it's very important to ask them if these disasters l known. it's very important to l ask them if these disasters are becoming more frequent. the government should be prepared for half of these types of disasters. the first action they can consider is shelter, clean water and trying to help the community to get access to the community to get access to the utilities as soon as possible. these are the most immediate actions, but there are many factors that governments need to understand and need to considerfor using this time. using this time as a
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kind of foundation for building more resilient company duties —— communities. this is actually something that is very close to what we saw in asheville a couple of weeks ago after... this is something that is happening all around the world, and both governments and also people, residents, gaining more knowledge about this and being prepared about it for this time. dr being prepared about it for this time-— being prepared about it for this time. , ., ., , this time. dr hemmati, what is our this time. dr hemmati, what is your level _ this time. dr hemmati, what is your level of — this time. dr hemmati, what is your level of anger— this time. dr hemmati, what is your level of anger here? - this time. dr hemmati, what is your level of anger here? a - this time. dr hemmati, what is your level of anger here? a lot | your level of anger here? a lot of people feel the government isn't doing enough. what's your assessment of the response? 50. assessment of the response? so, this -e assessment of the response? so, this type of _ 1535 00:17:44,082 -->
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