hello, i'm christian fraser. you're watching the context on bbc news. an estimated eight million gen z—ers are heading to the polls for the first time — we take a look at how they'll be exercising their democratic right. we have been heavily focused this past few weeks on the top of the ticket. the race for the white house. but lower down the ballot are the crucial races that will decide control of congress. so lets remind you then of what is at stake. starting with the house. every two years all 435 members are up for re—election. in the last congress republicans had control, the democrats need a net

gain of four. in the senate the democrats have a functional 51—49 majority. a third of the senate re—elected every two years. this year 3a seats are up for grabs, 23 of them belong to democrats, or independents that vote with democrats. so they are very much on defence. republicans need a gain of two or one if they win the white house, remember its the vice president that breaks any tie. lets quickly look at some of the big races, we can probably conclude that independentjoe mancin who this year is standing down, will be replaced in west virginia by former republican governorjimjustice. so that for republicans a gain of one. there are three or four others that are toss up or leaning republican. in montana, john tester is at risk. in ohio democrat sherrod brown, tammy baldwin in wisconsin in a tight race, so too jack rosen in nevada.

for republicans ted cruz in texas could be at risk. all in texas could be at risk. they we always say republicans all they we always say republicans are at risk and taxes. —— in texas. —— in texas. and this one has come into view of late, incumbent republican deb fischer in nebraska, is being run close by an independent and former union leader dan osbourne. caroline, the last time that a newly elected president did not have control of the house and the senate you have to go all the senate you have to go all the way back to george h w bush with abnormally americans give a newly elected president a clean sweep for them it's very imbalanced now for the what would that make a difference? it makes a difference because a president can only do so much. we heard about executive orders and powers as i'm sure your views agree with. you need congress to work, to be able to pass laws, enact policies for

the you heard both trump and harris talk this campaign trail about what they will do, what would they would like to do when they get elected. it started to do that if you don't actually have any kind of a majority in either one of the two chambers as you outline. it'll be interesting because just from the mechanics to give everybody context, when you go to voting, i'm in georgia voting, people have been talking about split tickets. will use emf czarno for example people voting for trump at the top of the ticket and then democrats further down. i'm curious whether we will see that bear outcome this election. there are people like john testing, long—time montana, infamously lost fingers in the course of his career with the work he has done for the really a man of the land and soil. he has got

this challenger but whether or not that's going to be enough for somebody who may be inclined in montana, pretty much a red state now to vote for trump but then to vote for a third—generation farmer as it remains to be seen whether people will split their ticket and have any split tickets we will see. . �* , and have any split tickets we will see. . �*, ,, will see. that's the issue i want to — will see. that's the issue i want to pick _ will see. that's the issue i want to pick up _ will see. that's the issue i want to pick up with - will see. that's the issue i want to pick up with the l will see. that's the issue i i want to pick up with the rest of our panel. incidentally, just showing reading pennsylvania with donald trump is speaking live at the moment for the reading quite important, 70% latino and a lot of puerto ricans for that lets it dip into that.— of puerto ricans for that lets it dip into that. over the past four years — it dip into that. over the past four years camelot _ it dip into that. over the past four years camelot has - four years camelot has orchestrated the most egregious betrayal that any leader in american history has ever inflicted upon our people. she's violated her oath of office. she's eradicated our sovereign border and unleash an army of gangs and criminal

migrants from prisons and jails for the insane asylums in mental institutions for them from all around the world, from venezuela and the congo and africa stealing countless american lives with the these are rough... american lives with the these are rough---_ are rough... donald trump running — are rough... donald trump running through _ are rough... donald trump running through some - are rough... donald trump running through some of i are rough... donald trump i running through some of the lines referred to in the past week. let's pick up that thought that caroline was talking about, whether these days people still vote split ticket. if you are to look at those two candidates in ohio and montana they couldn't really hope for to better candidates. i wonder whether they vote on national issues and whether they don't vote for local brands like these two candidates. i local brands like these two candidates.— candidates. i think ticket splitting _ candidates. i think ticket splitting is _ candidates. i think ticket splitting is definitely - splitting is definitely possible. i think anything is possible _ possible. i think anything is possible in this election cycle _ possible in this election cycle i_ possible in this election cycle. i think issues animated the top — cycle. i think issues animated the top of— cycle. i think issues animated the top of the ticket around the top of the ticket around the economy and abortion, which are really— the economy and abortion, which are really some of the top two

issues — are really some of the top two issues that people are talking about, — issues that people are talking about, i— issues that people are talking about, i think are definitely going — about, i think are definitely going to _ about, i think are definitely going to be at play for the senate _ going to be at play for the senate races in these us house races _ senate races in these us house races across the country. as was _ races across the country. as was stated that you need congress to either stop or move forward — congress to either stop or move forward on — congress to either stop or move forward on any of these policies _ forward on any of these policies that are happening now — policies that are happening now. people do understand that. people _ now. people do understand that. people understand. i think there _ people understand. i think there is— people understand. i think there is a possibility as has been — there is a possibility as has been mentioned, jon tester and brown _ been mentioned, jon tester and brown have been around for a white — brown have been around for a while. people know them. they have _ while. people know them. they have a — while. people know them. they have a history and stories in their— have a history and stories in their states. the issues that are moving people i think they are moving people i think they are gone _ are moving people i think they are gone. it can be tough. i think— are gone. it can be tough. i think all— are gone. it can be tough. i think all of these races are neck— think all of these races are neck and _ think all of these races are neck and neck, razor thin. think all of these races are neck and neck, razorthin. i think— neck and neck, razorthin. i thinkwe— neck and neck, razorthin. i think we may see ticket splitting in a few of these states _ splitting in a few of these states. at the same time i think— states. at the same time i think everything is in place right— think everything is in place right now. think everything is in place right nova-— right now. what about the house? there's _ right now. what about the house? there's been - right now. what about the house? there's been a - right now. what about the house? there's been a lotj right now. what about the i house? there's been a lot of redistricting so it's difficult to predict but there are six

races in new york, six races in california that give democrats a chance. perhaps people will look at the record of the last congress and come to the conclusion that republicans didn't do the business in the house. i don't think people look at that way, i don't think people intentionally say they want to vote for the biting government.— want to vote for the biting covernment. ,., , government. the point is well made, i government. the point is well made. i happen _ government. the point is well made, i happen to _ government. the point is well made, i happen to be - government. the point is well made, i happen to be of - government. the point is well made, i happen to be of mindj made, i happen to be of mind that— made, i happen to be of mind that the — made, i happen to be of mind that the comments _ made, i happen to be of mind that the comments at - made, i happen to be of mind that the comments at the - made, i happen to be of mindl that the comments at the rally ten days— that the comments at the rally ten days ago— that the comments at the rally ten days ago now _ that the comments at the rally ten days ago now about - that the comments at the rally| ten days ago now about puerto rico that — ten days ago now about puerto rico that were _ ten days ago now about puerto rico that were made _ ten days ago now about puerto rico that were made at - ten days ago now about puerto rico that were made at the - rico that were made at the trump _ rico that were made at the trump rally— rico that were made at the trump rally were - rico that were made at the trump rally were probably| rico that were made at the - trump rally were probably more harmful— trump rally were probably more harmful to — trump rally were probably more harmful to the _ trump rally were probably more harmful to the house _ trump rally were probably more harmful to the house races - trump rally were probably more harmful to the house races then| harmful to the house races then the top — harmful to the house races then the top of— harmful to the house races then the top of the _ harmful to the house races then the top of the ticket _ harmful to the house races then the top of the ticket just - the top of the ticket just because _ the top of the ticket just because of— the top of the ticket just because of where - the top of the ticket just because of where the i the top of the ticket just i because of where the boats the top of the ticket just - because of where the boats fall donald — because of where the boats fall donald trump _ because of where the boats fall donald trump is _ because of where the boats fall donald trump is knocking - because of where the boats fall donald trump is knocking out. donald trump is knocking out with — donald trump is knocking out with new _ donald trump is knocking out with new york _ donald trump is knocking out with new york but _ donald trump is knocking out. with new york but republicans could _ with new york but republicans could lose _ with new york but republicans could lose a _ with new york but republicans could lose a couple _ with new york but republicans could lose a couple of - with new york but republicans could lose a couple of seats i with new york but republicans could lose a couple of seats in| could lose a couple of seats in new _ could lose a couple of seats in new york _ could lose a couple of seats in new york which _ could lose a couple of seats in new york which is _ could lose a couple of seats in new york which is a _ could lose a couple of seats in new york which is a large - new york which is a large puerto— new york which is a large puerto rican. _ new york which is a large puerto rican. there's - new york which is a large i puerto rican. there's always new york which is a large - puerto rican. there's always a handful— puerto rican. there's always a handful of— puerto rican. there's always a handful of races— puerto rican. there's always a handful of races at _ puerto rican. there's always a handful of races at surprises. i handful of races at surprises. senate — handful of races at surprises. senate races _ handful of races at surprises. senate races tend _ handful of races at surprises. senate races tend to - handful of races at surprises. senate races tend to despisej handful of races at surprises. . senate races tend to despise us because — senate races tend to despise us because he _ senate races tend to despise us because he looks _ senate races tend to despise us because he looks so _ senate races tend to despise us because he looks so closely - senate races tend to despise us because he looks so closely at i because he looks so closely at them — because he looks so closely at them for — because he looks so closely at them for the _ because he looks so closely at them for the house _ because he looks so closely at them for the house races- because he looks so closely at them for the house races are i them for the house races are fascinated _ them for the house races are fascinated. form _ them for the house races are fascinated. form 235- them for the house races are fascinated. form 235 of- them for the house races are i fascinated. form 235 of them. we know — fascinated. form 235 of them. we know going _ fascinated. form 235 of them. we know going into _ fascinated. form 235 of them.

we know going into tomorrow| fascinated. form 235 of them. - we know going into tomorrow how all of— we know going into tomorrow how all of them — we know going into tomorrow how all of them are _ we know going into tomorrow how all of them are going _ we know going into tomorrow how all of them are going to— we know going into tomorrow how all of them are going to shake - all of them are going to shake out, _ all of them are going to shake out, that's— all of them are going to shake out, that's absorbed. - all of them are going to shake out, that's absorbed. —— - all of them are going to shake out, that's absorbed. —— for. out, that's absorbed. —— for hundred _ out, that's absorbed. —— for hundred and _ out, that's absorbed. —— for hundred and 35. _ out, that's absorbed. —— for hundred and 35. outside . hundred and 35. outside washington, _ hundred and 35. outside washington, dc- hundred and 35. outside washington, dc and - hundred and 35. outside washington, dc and the| hundred and 35. outside - washington, dc and the northern areas _ washington, dc and the northern areas of— washington, dc and the northern areas of virginia _ washington, dc and the northern areas of virginia that _ washington, dc and the northern areas of virginia that just - areas of virginia that just went— areas of virginia that just went from _ areas of virginia that just went from leaning - areas of virginia that just - went from leaning democratic to a toss-up — went from leaning democratic to a toss-up race~ _ went from leaning democratic to a toss—up race. it's _ went from leaning democratic to a toss—up race. it's a _ went from leaning democratic to a toss—up race. it's a race - went from leaning democratic to a toss—up race. it's a race no- a toss—up race. it's a race no 1's a toss—up race. it's a race no is heard — a toss—up race. it's a race no 1's heard about. _ a toss—up race. it's a race no 1's heard about. it _ a toss—up race. it's a race no 1's heard about. it sort - a toss—up race. it's a race no 1's heard about. it sort of. a toss—up race. it's a race no 1's heard about. it sort of a l 1's heard about. it sort of a swing — 1's heard about. it sort of a swing district— i's heard about. it sort of a swing district but— 1's heard about. it sort of a swing district but it - 1's heard about. it sort of a swing district but it sort. 1's heard about. it sort of a swing district but it sort of| 1's heard about. it sort of a i swing district but it sort of a democrat _ swing district but it sort of a democrat leaning _ swing district but it sort of a democrat leaning swing - democrat leaning swing districts _ democrat leaning swing districts. the _ democrat leaning swing districts. the will- democrat leaning swing districts. the will be - democrat leaning swing. districts. the will be races like — districts. the will be races like that _ districts. the will be races like that~ i_ districts. the will be races like that. i was _ districts. the will be races like that. i was wake - districts. the will be races like that. i was wake up i districts. the will be races like that. i was wake up a | like that. i was wake up a while, _ like that. i was wake up a while, we _ like that. i was wake up a while, we missed - like that. i was wake up a while, we missed 810 - like that. i was wake up a while, we missed 810 of. like that. i was wake up a - while, we missed 810 of these house — while, we missed 810 of these house races— while, we missed 810 of these house races and _ while, we missed 810 of these house races and they - while, we missed 810 of these house races and they went - while, we missed 810 of these house races and they went a i house races and they went a different— house races and they went a different way _ house races and they went a different way than _ house races and they went a different way than we - house races and they went a - different way than we expected. tickets — different way than we expected. tickets putting _ different way than we expected. tickets putting israel. _ tickets putting israel. candidates _ tickets putting israel. candidates sound - tickets putting israel. i candidates sound ballot tickets putting israel. - candidates sound ballot always count _ candidates sound ballot always count on — candidates sound ballot always count on it _ candidates sound ballot always count on it the _ candidates sound ballot always count on it the democrat - count on it the democrat running _ count on it the democrat running for— count on it the democrat running for senate - count on it the democrat running for senate in - running for senate in pennsylvania - running for senate in pennsylvania is - running for senate in . pennsylvania is running running for senate in - pennsylvania is running ads that— pennsylvania is running ads that help _ pennsylvania is running ads that help froo _ pennsylvania is running ads that help froo trump - pennsylvania is running ads that help froo trump he - pennsylvania is running ads that help froo trump he is i pennsylvania is running ads i that help froo trump he is on tracking in _ that help froo trump he is on fracking in wisconsin runningj fracking in wisconsin running ads saying _ fracking in wisconsin running ads saying how— fracking in wisconsin running ads saying how close - fracking in wisconsin running ads saying how close she - fracking in wisconsin running ads saying how close she is i fracking in wisconsin running l ads saying how close she is to trump — ads saying how close she is to trump on _ ads saying how close she is to trump on immigration. - trump on immigration. candidates _ trump on immigration. candidates count- trump on immigration. candidates count on i trump on immigration. i candidates count on ticket splittind _ candidates count on ticket splittind it— candidates count on ticket splitting. it is— candidates count on ticket splitting. it is one - candidates count on ticket splitting. it is one of- candidates count on ticket splitting. it is one of the i splitting. it is one of the fascinating _ splitting. it is one of the fascinating parts- splitting. it is one of the fascinating parts of- splitting. it is one of the fascinating parts of our. fascinating parts of our politics _ fascinating parts of our politics— fascinating parts of our olitics. ,, . �* ., ,, politics. since we're talking about writing, _ politics. since we're talking about writing, where - politics. since we're talking | about writing, where looking politics. since we're talking - about writing, where looking at donald trump in pennsylvania. both of these candidates have

to build coalitions. if you were to look at the blue wall in wisconsin, michigan, it's getting older, it's getting whiter. it's more blue, it started to drift away and theory from democrats. if you spoke to governor shapiro, witmer in michigan they would say it is possible. they've all won state races in the last few years. it is possible to build a coalition but it's tricky in the current environment. yes. absolutely- — the current environment. yes. absolutely. you _ the current environment. yes. absolutely. you heard - the current environment. yes. absolutely. you heard some i the current environment. yes. absolutely. you heard some of the rhetoric from trump for that— the rhetoric from trump for that is— the rhetoric from trump for that is the kind of rhetoric that— that is the kind of rhetoric that has— that is the kind of rhetoric that has been dominating the politics— that has been dominating the politics here for the last eight _ politics here for the last eight years with the it's doom and gloom politics was feeling and gloom politics was feeling and being told that they are in and being told that they are in a worse — and being told that they are in a worse off condition, the country— a worse off condition, the country is in a darker place then— country is in a darker place then perhaps it is on paper. certainly— then perhaps it is on paper. certainly atmospheric leave. people — certainly atmospheric leave. people are feeling now. when people — people are feeling now. when people feel that it is harder to consensus build as you

mentioned. i do want to pick up on something that we didn't get to gen — on something that we didn't get to gen 2— on something that we didn't get to gen 2 voters, this is going to gen 2 voters, this is going to be — to gen 2 voters, this is going to be crucial for that we're seeing _ to be crucial for that we're seeing that's why there's been so many— seeing that's why there's been so many overtures made to younger— so many overtures made to younger voters because there is a realization amongst the party apparatus that these voters are getting — apparatus that these voters are getting older and wiser for the pig and — getting older and wiser for the pig and have start looking into the broad spectrum of the country. _ the broad spectrum of the country, which is going to be a lot more — country, which is going to be a lot more multiracial. the largest— lot more multiracial. the largest constituents in the united _ largest constituents in the united states, that is going to be key— united states, that is going to be key going forward when you realize — be key going forward when you realize that that is going to be crucial voters in four years' _ be crucial voters in four years' time.— be crucial voters in four years' time. be crucial voters in four ears' time. . ,, ., ., years' time. talking about for hundred and _ years' time. talking about for hundred and 50,000 - years' time. talking about for hundred and 50,000 latino i hundred and 50,000 latino voters in pennsylvania, puerto ricans who might have a say in the election there. when we talk about the difficulty in building coalitions, look at how she's had to dance on the

head of a pin on this issue of the middle east you've got the uncommitted voters in dearborn michigan, there's about 100,000 arab americans in michigan who have great interest in what's going on in the middle east. then you have about 300,000 jewish voters in pennsylvania who also have an interest in many around philadelphia. you can't keep both parties happy, can't keep both parties happy, can you? how do you build a coalition in that circumstance? i think kamala harris is building a winning coalition both nationally and in states. you're right, in certain states are different communities that haveissues are different communities that have issues that need to be addressed that she is addressing, her surrogates out there talking to some of these photos, particularly in places like michigan on the issues you're talking about. around these larger numbers, you talked about gen z a second ago, there are 8 million people who arejust catching ago, there are 8 million people who are just catching up. this is the first opportunity to

vote and they are just catching up vote and they are just catching up to 1518 00:12:03,178 --> 00:1