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tv   The Context  BBC News  November 11, 2024 8:00pm-8:30pm GMT

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he could stop but he believes he could stop the warren ada, i don't think do that. ~ , the warren ada, i don't think do that. ~ . , . ., the warren ada, i don't think dothat. ~ . _ ., , do that. what is clear is trump's _ do that. what is clear is trump's campaign - do that. what is clear is i trump's campaign rhetoric do that. what is clear is - trump's campaign rhetoric about ending _ trump's campaign rhetoric about ending the ukraine work in a day, — ending the ukraine work in a day, and— ending the ukraine work in a day, and i_ ending the ukraine work in a day, and i do think it will take _ day, and i do think it will take some sort of initiative to do something.— take some sort of initiative to do something. armistice day is a moment _ do something. armistice day is a moment of— do something. armistice day is a moment of reflection, - do something. armistice day is a moment of reflection, i - do something. armistice day is a moment of reflection, i thinki a moment of reflection, i think it always — a moment of reflection, i think it always has _ a moment of reflection, i think it always has been, _ a moment of reflection, i think it always has been, but - it always has been, but particularly— it always has been, but particularly a _ it always has been, but particularly a poignant i it always has been, but. particularly a poignant one it always has been, but - particularly a poignant one now given— particularly a poignant one now given the — particularly a poignant one now given the state _ particularly a poignant one now given the state of— particularly a poignant one now given the state of affairs, - given the state of affairs, given _ given the state of affairs, given america's - given the state of affairs, l given america's increasing distance _ given america's increasing distance from _ given america's increasing distance from europe - distance from europe strategically- distance from europe strategically and - distance from europe - strategically and mentally, emotionally. _ the uk and france will support ukraine for as long as necessary to "thwart russia's war of aggression." that was the message from the french president
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emmanuel macron and sir keir starmer who met in paris earlier today to mark armistice day. we'll have the latest. also on the programme... the archbishop of canterbury justin welby comes under increasing pressure to quit — over accusations of a cover up involving a prolific child abuser associated with the church. and the us climate envoy, john podesta, has told the opening session of the cop29 climate summit in azerbaijan that work to fight global warming will continue in the united states — despite the election of donald trump, who he called a climate change denier. sir keir starmer has met french president emmanuel macron in paris to discuss ukraine — amid deep uncertainty about whether the united states will continue to support it after donald trump's election victory. it's the first time since 191m that a british prime minister has stood alongside his french counterpart in paris on armistice day. mr starmer and emmanuel macron
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stood side by side at the tomb of the unknown soldier under the arc de triomphe, before meeting veterans. as well as reflecting on the past, they discussed the future of the conflict in ukraine after mr trump's return to the white house. the us president—elect has said he could end ukraine's war with russia in just "one day" though his precise plans on the conflict are still not clear. caroline hawley reports. beneath the iconic arc de triomphe in paris, two men sending a powerful message of solidarity. president macron personally invited sir keir to attend france's national commemorations. not since the end of world war ii has a british prime minister done this. grainy images show the french wartime leader charles de gaulle standing beside winston churchill, who you can just see here, tipping his hat. together, today, they laid
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wreaths of remembrance, but pressing modern day problems also preoccupy these men, which they discussed away from the cameras, including the crisis in the middle east and the war in ukraine. european leaders are unnerved by the implications of donald trump's incoming presidency. kyiv wants more help from western allies to push russian forces back. donald trump said on the campaign trail he could end the war within a day. though no—one knows quite what that means. today, two allies stood side by side, remembering the past and rekindling their country's relationship after brexit. # god save our gracious king...# a french choir even singing the british national anthem. a sign of togetherness, in facing new uncertain times. caroline hawley, bbc news.
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joining me now are hanna shelest, editor in chief at ukraine analytica and colonel brendan kearney, the former chief of staff of the us marines in europe. let start with you, brendan, and how do you think american policy on ukraine will change when donald trump gets back to the white house next year? i really don't think it will change dramatically, at least initially. the rhetoric we have heard out of donald trump has been pretty consistent with the claims of being able to solve things in a day, and possibly not supporting ukraine in the way the biden administration dead, but there is an awful lot of support here in the united states for ukraine, and trump is a realistic man. i think you willjudge that as he gets closer to his presidency, and then we will see what happens
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post january 20. but then we will see what happens post january 20-_ post january 20. but he has, donald trump, _ post january 20. but he has, donald trump, during - post january 20. but he has, donald trump, during the i donald trump, during the campaign, implied that supporting ukraine was a waste of money, really. he said that zelensky was the greatest salesman on earth, because every time he went to the united states he came back with tens of billions of dollars. laughter for a trump to say that, that is quite a compliment to zelensky, because usually trump is the greatest at everything! ijust is the greatest at everything! i just cannot see him is the greatest at everything! ijust cannot see him letting go of ukraine completely. american support for it, the republican party is pretty steadfast behind the ukrainians. there are critics, they exist. the democrats are pretty steadfast in their support also. as we get closer to the administration taking overin to the administration taking over injanuary, i think there
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will be a significant reevaluation on the part of trump and his advisers as he puts his team together as to what actually is going to happen in terms of american support for ukraine.- happen in terms of american support for ukraine. hanna, do ou support for ukraine. hanna, do you think _ support for ukraine. hanna, do you think there _ support for ukraine. hanna, do you think there will— support for ukraine. hanna, do you think there will be - support for ukraine. hanna, do you think there will be a - you think there will be a difference between donald trump's rhetoric and the reality when he is back in the white house?— reality when he is back in the white house? , white house? there will be some chances, white house? there will be some changes, definitely, _ white house? there will be some changes, definitely, because - changes, definitely, because the first— changes, definitely, because the first contact he will have with — the first contact he will have with mr _ the first contact he will have with mr bruton definitely can influence regarding the negotiations as to how to end this wan _ negotiations as to how to end this wan -- _ negotiations as to how to end this war. —— with vladimir putin _ this war. —— with vladimir putin. however, we will see the trends _ putin. however, we will see the trends that we can envisage. first — trends that we can envisage. first of— trends that we can envisage. first of all, the money will not — first of all, the money will not go _ first of all, the money will not go from the presidential funds— not go from the presidential funds but more conditionality, and that— funds but more conditionality, and that is what we already see is a lot— and that is what we already see is a lot of— and that is what we already see is a lot of signals. the second change — is a lot of signals. the second change would be that he would push _ change would be that he would push for— change would be that he would push for the negotiations much stronger— push for the negotiations much stronger than the current
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administration, and the third proneriy_ administration, and the third properly we will see much more of the _ properly we will see much more of the unilateral actions compared to the current policies _ compared to the current policies where we see the united _ policies where we see the united states searching for the alliance, — united states searching for the alliance, nato member states partners. _ alliance, nato member states partners, to be each time on the board _ partners, to be each time on the board when the new decisions or sanctions are adopted. decisions or sanctions are adopted-— decisions or sanctions are adopted. colonel brendan kearney. _ adopted. colonel brendan kearney, former - adopted. colonel brendan kearney, former chief - adopted. colonel brendan kearney, former chief of i adopted. colonel brendan - kearney, former chief of staff of the us marines in europe, we have seen in paris the british foreign minister and the french president very close, having talks about ukraine — do you think they are perhaps thinking that europe is possibly going to have to go it alone on ukraine s, and as we have been discussing, it is only a possibility, a trump presidency more or less cuts of support ukraine? i more or less cuts of support ukraine?— more or less cuts of support ukraine? ,, ., ., , ukraine? i think that would be a prudent _ ukraine? i think that would be a prudent discussion, - ukraine? i think that would be a prudent discussion, a - ukraine? i think that would be a prudent discussion, a wise l a prudent discussion, a wise topic for those two men to discuss. it also involves some
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of the other members of nato in europe. we do not know what trump is going to do, and a contingency plan is always a smart thing to develop. i would be willing to bet that those two gentlemen are developing a contingency plan in the case of the united states withdrawing support to ukraine. hopefully that will be the case, but it is a wise discussion to have this early on.— is a wise discussion to have this early on. hanna, isn't the reality that — this early on. hanna, isn't the reality that american - this early on. hanna, isn't the reality that american arms, i reality that american arms, weapons, military support are absolutely crucial to ukraine? they are the vast bulk of the support ukraine has had militarily, and so it donald trump watches that support down in any way, let alone cut it off, that would be pretty devastating for the ukrainian military at a time when russia is making slow but incremental advances into ukraine? trr;r
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is making slow but incremental advances into ukraine?- advances into ukraine? try to imaaine advances into ukraine? try to imagine when _ advances into ukraine? try to imagine when north - advances into ukraine? try to imagine when north korea i advances into ukraine? try to| imagine when north korea are supplying more ammunition to ukraine — supplying more ammunition to ukraine than the whole european union, _ ukraine than the whole european union, then the united states withdrawing. what a message we are sending to the battlefield, to the — are sending to the battlefield, to the soldiers, but also politically and globally for the role of the innate dates. i would — the role of the innate dates. i would say _ the role of the innate dates. i would say that their withdrawal of the — would say that their withdrawal of the united states support would — of the united states support would have devastating effects, both for— would have devastating effects, both for the battlefield but also — both for the battlefield but also for the image of the united _ also for the image of the united states and their relations with their partners around _ relations with their partners around the globe who are looking _ around the globe who are looking at how the us would support— looking at how the us would support them if any crisis would _ support them if any crisis would start. if we speakjust about— would start. if we speakjust about the physical material support— about the physical material support we are receiving, the issue — support we are receiving, the issue is— support we are receiving, the issue is that, definitely for the — issue is that, definitely for the last— issue is that, definitely for the last year, we had a significant increase of the european support. more countries, more volumes on different— countries, more volumes on different types of ammunition, but for— different types of ammunition, but for most european countries, they need to produce it. countries, they need to produce it they— countries, they need to produce it. they don't have it in the stockpiles. countries like
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denmarkjust give up everything what _ denmarkjust give up everything what they had from those types of ammunition that ukraine needed _ of ammunition that ukraine needed. the us still had a lot already— needed. the us still had a lot already produced, so for them in case — already produced, so for them in case of— already produced, so for them in case of the decision, it is quicker— in case of the decision, it is quicker and easier to deliver to ukraine compared to any of the european countries. colonel brendan kearney, _ the european countries. colonel brendan kearney, it _ the european countries. colonel brendan kearney, it isn't - the european countries. colonel brendan kearney, it isn't clear. brendan kearney, it isn't clear what trump will do, but there was this report that he had a call with president putin of russia, which the kremlin denied, but that is a fascinating part of this, isn't it? donald trump's relationship with vladimir putin? it is it? donald trump's relationship with vladimir putin?— with vladimir putin? it is a fascinating _ with vladimir putin? it is a fascinating aspect - with vladimir putin? it is a fascinating aspect of - with vladimir putin? it is a fascinating aspect of this l fascinating aspect of this entire thing, and it has been that way since his first presidency. he does have, he seemingly has a fixation with, you know, powerful men, essentially autocrats. i have
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never believed that he wants to change the american presidency to emulate that type of power, however he seemingly has a good relationship with britain, he claims he has a good relationship with xi jinping —— good relationship with vladimir putin. it will be interesting to see how it pans out. the practicality of one country's sovereign position in relation to another has really got to be the primary aspect of that in the primary aspect of that in the us relationship with russia. it the us relationship with russia. , ., ., , russia. it is going to be fascinating _ russia. it is going to be fascinating to _ russia. it is going to be fascinating to see - russia. it is going to be fascinating to see how i russia. it is going to be | fascinating to see how it russia. it is going to be - fascinating to see how it all pans out afterjanuary. colonel brendan kearney, thank you, and also thanks to hanna shelest, editor in chief at ukraine analytical. 20 more to come around the world and across the uk, this is bbc news. do stay
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tuned. pressure is growing
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on the archbishop of canterbury to resign over an alleged cover—up of a sadistic child sex abuser. the bishop of newcastle has now added her voice to a petition by the general synod calling on justin welby to quit. it centres on a man called john smyth, who ran christian children's camps for many years. a report last week concluded that smyth had committed prolific, brutal and horrific abuse against children. justin welby was notified of allegations against smyth as far back as 2013 but smyth was allowed to move abroad with the knowledge of church officials, where he continued to abuse children. here's our religion editor, aleem maqbool. he was arguably one of the most prolific abusers ever associated with the church of england, with more than 120 victims until his death in 2018. last week, a report said that by 2013, the archbishop of canterbury knew, but inadequate action meant the abuse continued.
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justin welby�*s apologised, but says he won't resign. but today, one senior member of the church broke ranks. i think that it is very hard for the church, as the nationally established church to continue to have a moral voice in any way, shape orform in our nation, when we cannot get our own house in order with regard to something as critically important, something that would be asked of any institution, let alone the church. given that, what do you think about the position of the archbishop of canterbury? i think sadly his position is untenable, so i think he should resign. but the archbishop of canterbury stepping down is not going to solve the problems. it won't solve the problem but i think it would be a very clear indication that a line has been drawn. who would believe a 16—year—old lad against a bishop and vicar? matthew is a survivor of church abuse, here testifying at an inquiry.
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he wasn't a victim of john smyth, but says the events of the past week have been retraumatising for all victims. it is clear where he stands onjustin welby. i think he should definitely resign and he should take with him all those who failed in safeguarding. if he doesn't the church is showing itself again it doesn't understand what it is like to be a victim. it doesn't understand what safeguarding is. for years it has been saying it will do its own safeguarding, it knows what it is doing, it doesn't. supporters ofjustin welby say he has brought about a lot of improvements in the way abuse is handled by the church, but with not just the institution, but the man who leads it now so plainly to have been shown to be culpable, the pressure continues to mount. the us climate envoy, john podesta, says work to fight global warming will continue in the united states — despite the election of donald trump, who he called a climate change denier. mr podesta was speaking at the opening session
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of the cop29 climate summit in baku, in azerbaijan, where world leaders have gathered. he said mr trump will dismantle environmental safeguards and remove the us from a key international agreement to stop burning fossilfuels. let's hear a bit of his speech. injanuary, we are going to inaugurate a president whose relationship with climate change is captured by the words "hoax" and "fossil fuels". he has vowed to dismantle our environmental safeguards and once again and withdraw the united states from the paris agreement. while the united states federal government under donald trump might put climate change action on the back burner, the work to contain climate change is going to continue in the united states was commitment and passion and belief. the climate conference coincides with a warning from the un that average global
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temperatures are expected to exceed 1.5 degrees celsius above what they were before the industrial revolution. 0ur climate editorjustin rowlatt reports from baku. in the last few days, wildfires have been burning on both coasts of the united states. there was even a bushfire in a new york city park. meanwhile, the philippines is enduring its fourth cyclone in three weeks. this reminder of the weather extremes climate change is likely to bring comes as the latest round of un climate talks opened. the head of the talks warned of those risks. colleagues, we are on the road to ruin. climate change is already here. like in somalia, where it's driving even hotter, drier weather, which in turn is deepening conflict. the cause? the emissions made by developed countries as they got rich.
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yet poorer countries like somalia feel the impacts hardest. we're not talking about something that is a nice to have. we're talking about a threat to humanity here. so we really, really need to look at it like that and take it very, very seriously because it affects everybody on the planet. the answer, say poorer countries, is yup, money. developing countries want to see the flow of cash from rich to poor increase from $100 billion a year to $1 trillion a year. it is a huge sum, and perhaps not surprisingly, the list of world leaders who've decided not to come here is increasing. the us, china, the european union, brazil, germany, france and canada are all countries whose leaders have decided not to attend. there are some newcomers. the taliban spotted a photo op. meanwhile, sir keir starmer has arrived.
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tomorrow he will be announcing the uk's target for cutting emissions over the next decade. the hope is it will encourage others to bold action as these tricky talks begin. justin rowlatt, bbc news, baku. well, just rowlett was talking about people who were not at that conference. let's speak to someone who was. let's speak now to alok sharma, full—time president of cop 26 and former uk secretary of state for business, energy and industrial strategy. what are your hopes for what the conference can achieve? the ke issue the conference can achieve? the key issue will — the conference can achieve? the key issue will be _ the conference can achieve? i'ie: key issue will be around climate finance and whether countries can come together and agree a new finance bill, an amount of money mobilised by developing countries to support developing countries to support developing nations. in that report, justin roberts talked about some of the numbers. i
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think what is really important is whatever that corn number is agreed, it is ambitious but deliverable. we know the previous goal of $100 billion a year was late in delivery, and that sapped a lot of trust from developing nations, and that is why i think it is important that deliverability is a key part of this finance goal. you have been — part of this finance goal. you have been involved - part of this finance goal. you have been involved with these summits. what do you say to sceptics, including climate activists, passionate activist, who save these cop summits activist
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