tv The Context BBC News January 2, 2025 9:30pm-10:01pm GMT
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regroup, reorganise and increase _ regroup, reorganise and increase their— regroup, reorganise and increase their threat - regroup, reorganise and i increase their threat levels all over _ increase their threat levels all over again. _ increase their threat levels all over again. it's- increase their threat levels all over again. it's a - increase their threat levels all overagain. it's a neveri all overagain. it's a never ending _ all overagain. it's a never ending challenge - all overagain. it's a never ending challenge you - all overagain. it's a never ending challenge you justl all overagain. it's a never- ending challenge you just have to stay— ending challenge you just have to stay on _ ending challenge you just have to stay on top _ ending challenge you just have to stay on top of— ending challenge you just have to stay on top of the _ ending challenge you just have to stay on top of the evidence i to stay on top of the evidence and mitigate _ to stay on top of the evidence and mitigate the _ to stay on top of the evidence and mitigate the risks. - to stay on top of the evidence and mitigate the risks. ok, i and mitigate the risks. 0k, we'll leave _ and mitigate the risks. 0k, we'll leave that _ and mitigate the risks. 0k, we'll leave that there, - and mitigate the risks.“ we'll leave that there, we'll take a short break. at the other side of the break, a big day ahead in congress tomorrow. the election of the house speaker and can we get a trade deal between europe and the united states? will discuss that after the break. hello. well, it's felt pretty bitter outside today given the brisk north/north—westerly winds. but despite the cold air, the brisk winds, many of us have had blue skies and sparkling visibility. lots of sunshine. there have been a few, though, that have seen different weather. and across northern scotland, a bit more snow here, the roads already looking quite tricky in places, and there's more snow to come over the next 2a hours as these bitter north/north—westerly winds continue to drag in the arctic air across the uk. now, weather—wise, overnight tonight, we've got a little
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weather front that's going to be bringing a few more centimetres of snow to scotland, particularly the hills. around coastal areas, you're more likely to see a mix of rain and some sleet. it's going to be another cold night with a widespread and sharp frost. that means we're likely to see some icy stretches as we head into friday morning, particularly across the northern half of the uk, where those showers have fed in through the night. now, away from that, many areas starting cold and frosty. another sparkling day for england and wales with lots of blue skies and sunshine. that said, there is a greater chance of showers working into north wales, north—west england and the isle of man on these north—westerly winds as they work through the irish sea. another cold day, temperatures quite widely 2—4 celsius. heading into the weekend, we start off on a cold and frosty note. saturday sees a veil of clouds spilling across england and wales. that traps cold air near the surface. temperatures really struggling, two or three degrees. brighter for scotland and northern ireland, with a mixture of sunshine and wintry showers. but then, as we go through saturday night into sunday and monday, this area of low pressure is set to bring some areas of the uk some severe weather.
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in the cold air, snow gets right down to sea level, but it's not cold everywhere. so at the south of the weather system, we see snow falling to about 2500m elevation. you'd need to be up a mountain that tall to see snow. in other words, we are more likely to see rain. and that dividing line between the cold and the mild is super sharp and super important. for sunday, then, it's where we see the snow become slow moving and persistent that we're in real trouble. in the south, any snow turns back to rain as that milder air works in. potentially a spell of freezing rain for a time in the hills of north wales, making for some very icy conditions. but where we see the biggest accumulations of snow, over the hills, we could be looking at around 20 to 40cm, enough to cut off some communities this weekend.
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hello, i'm christian fraser. you're watching the context on bbc news. all eyes on mikejohnson ahead of tomorrow's crucial vote. he'll need almost all hands on deck to secure his fate as speaker of the house. but will trump's backing be enough to persuade them? reporting that police in seoul korea are en route to execute an arrest warrant against the south korean president.
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hundreds of people outside of the presidential residence and we knew ahead of this that an arrest warrant had been issued for president yoon suk yeol which had to be executed in the next 2&48 hrs in reuters reporting that police are en route to the presidential palace and clearly, his presumably opponents, although he has some supporters, president yoon but those who are waiting outside of the presidential residence in presumably are encouraging the authorities to make that arrest. will keep an eye on that and will bring news on that and will bring news on that as we get to it. the president—elect donald trump says he is willing to make calls to lawmakers tomorrow to drum up support for mikejohnson, should he be
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at risk of losing his place as speaker in friday's vote. and his position at the moment is tenuous. johnson needs 218 votes in order to win the gavel. that is assuming every member is present and voting for a candidate. s0 in that scenario he can only afford to lose one vote. georgia 5 rich mccormick is wavering. kentucky congressman thomas massie would appear to be a hard no. there is no room for mistakes here for mikejohnson and does it matter that president trump is in his camp you think of what happens if you crossed the president—elect? what happens if you crossed the president-elect?— president-elect? yes, it's absolutely _ president-elect? yes, it's absolutely crucial - president-elect? yes, it's absolutely crucial and - president-elect? yes, it's i absolutely crucial and there's no way that mikejohnson would be able to even really get a vote let alone when a vote without that having donald trump is corner. that is the most crucial endorsement that he can get. the real question is is it enough? because he can
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only lose one more folk considering the congressman sticks with his no vote as he has said. and there are at least 14 or 15 people who have yet to decide whether they will backjohnson and if he loses two of those, he is gone. he will not have succeeded and in the end, because of trump, support will go through but it just shows how difficult governing is going to be for mikejohnson and let's mike johnson and let's underscore, mikejohnson and let's underscore, for donald trump. he needs to house and he needs 18 votes on everything he wants to do, whether it is to have a new border bill that is going to come first, whether it is to continue to tax cuts that have led to massive deficits in his first term in a whole variety of other things without the house, he will not be able to get anything done the requires congressional approval and so
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much when it comes to the government requires congressional approval. this is very crucial and a first real test of his power. navigating the debt ceiling _ test of his power. navigating the debt ceiling which - test of his power. navigating the debt ceiling which also . test of his power. navigating i the debt ceiling which also has to be lifted in the next few months. there is one crucial difference and we all remember what we were when kevin mccarthy lost and how many rounds he had to go through on that occasion and the key difference, is that you need to have and you certainly need a speaker to certify the votes of the election and that comes on monday and of course, on january six. i will add to the pressure on those who are trying to stand against my johnson. . trying to stand against my johnson-— trying to stand against my johnson. , . , , . johnson. yes, absolutely and if the votes _ johnson. yes, absolutely and if the votes on _ johnson. yes, absolutely and if the votes on friday _ johnson. yes, absolutely and if the votes on friday did - johnson. yes, absolutely and if the votes on friday did not - the votes on friday did not work, will have another one on saturday and they'll just work, will have another one on saturday and they'lljust have to figure out a way to 218 but as i said, i think in the end, because donald trump has decided to backjohnson and he can really argue that it is his
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presidency that needs to be certified, onjanuary presidency that needs to be certified, on january six presidency that needs to be certified, onjanuary six on the electoral victory, that any republic standing in the way it's going to have a very tough time. i think in the end, we will see myjohnson be the speaker of the house. == will see my johnson be the speaker of the house. -- mike johnson be — speaker of the house. -- mike johnson be the _ speaker of the house. -- mike johnson be the speaker - speaker of the house. -- mike johnson be the speaker of - speaker of the house. -- mike johnson be the speaker of the | johnson be the speaker of the house. the second coming of donald trump would, on the surface at least, appear to be bad news for germany. the world's third biggest economy runs a massive trade surplus with the us, which is why the president—elect is often looking at berlin when he talks of future tarrifs. and yet the collapse of germany 5 three—party coalition, and the likely victory in february of conservative leader friedrich merz could offer the chance of a reset. today in an interview with a the would—be chancellor said the eu should make a fresh attempt at a sweeping free trade deal with the us once donald trump becomes president. you don't have to be the former
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of the treasury to know that they have said that it would mean losses of to 180 billion euros for the german economy over a second four—year term if these tariffs came in. free trade would be disillusioned and would donald trump volunteer? i and would donald trump volunteer?— volunteer? i think it is interesting _ volunteer? ithink it is interesting that - volunteer? ithink it is interesting that the i volunteer? i think it is - interesting that the headwinds on the — interesting that the headwinds on the german economy are huge notiust_ on the german economy are huge notjust from the on the german economy are huge not just from the terrace but also — not just from the terrace but also looking at the chinese economy and other major trading partners — economy and other major trading partners for germany —— trading. _ partners for germany —— trading, there finding it hard to get— trading, there finding it hard to get going on every level in the german economy and the pressure _ the german economy and the pressure being expected to contract the second year in 2025— contract the second year in 2025 but _ contract the second year in 2025 but i think what they're saying — 2025 but i think what they're saying in _ 2025 but i think what they're saying in many respects is in they— saying in many respects is in they will— saying in many respects is in they will appeal to donald trump _ they will appeal to donald trump in the same two things will stop— trump in the same two things will stop saying that europe itself — will stop saying that europe itself needs to become more competitive and they have a low tax agenda and if he gets into
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this, — tax agenda and if he gets into this, he — tax agenda and if he gets into this, he can start to open up toa— this, he can start to open up to a trade _ this, he can start to open up to a trade deal with the us and more _ to a trade deal with the us and more competition and so, it will— more competition and so, it will he — more competition and so, it will be interesting to see how it trump— will be interesting to see how it trump response with those politics — it trump response with those politics and i think what merz is trying _ politics and i think what merz is trying to do a signal that he does _ is trying to do a signal that he does want to try and meet the new— he does want to try and meet the new american president halfway~ _ the new american president halfwa . ., , , halfway. the only thing is, i do remember _ halfway. the only thing is, i do remember when - halfway. the only thing is, i do remember when i - halfway. the only thing is, i do remember when i was i halfway. the only thing is, i l do remember when i was the correspondent many moons ago, they're trying to get a full flat trade deal with canada and feels like 27 parliaments arguing overprotected foods, guarded industries is a nightmare. it is a nightmare trying to corral the european union into a trade deal of the kind they would need to sign with the united states. ijust cannot see it happening, can you? cannot see it happening, can ou? . . cannot see it happening, can ou? . , ., . you? even the last one that we nearly got _ you? even the last one that we nearly got over _ you? even the last one that we nearly got over the _ you? even the last one that we nearly got over the line - you? even the last one that we nearly got over the line which l nearly got over the line which was _ nearly got over the line which was the — nearly got over the line which was the transatlantic investment partnership deal, that was— investment partnership deal, that was something that the eu had brought in and agreed on but then— had brought in and agreed on but then donald trump came into
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the white — but then donald trump came into the white house and completely vetoed _ the white house and completely vetoed it. they think getting everyone in the right place to take — everyone in the right place to take some steps forward is going — take some steps forward is going to _ take some steps forward is going to be difficult but the eu needs to start thinking about— eu needs to start thinking about how it can craft a deal that — about how it can craft a deal that donald trump might want to start negotiating on. fine that donald trump might want to start negotiating on.— start negotiating on. one of the fastening _ start negotiating on. one of the fastening aspects - start negotiating on. one of the fastening aspects on - start negotiating on. one of| the fastening aspects on this tariff row that is ongoing is that if you don't want tariffs come your way more gas, more lng and there is no capacity for that states of the moment. they're selling everything they've got and he would have to create more capacity in the system. is that what he wants to do? does want the united states to be the energy provider of the world? in states to be the energy provider of the world? in some wa s, provider of the world? in some ways. yes- _ provider of the world? in some ways. yes- he _ provider of the world? in some ways, yes. he wants _ provider of the world? in some ways, yes. he wants to - provider of the world? in some ways, yes. he wants to do - provider of the world? in some ways, yes. he wants to do drill baby drill, and probably has an interest of the united states is not the largest energy producer in the largest oil exporter in the world and it is
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the largest liquid natural gas exporter in the world as having passed australia and the pipeline of expansion by 50% of export capacity between now and 2030. so, it makes sense to start thinking about how the united states is when providing for the rest of the world. but demand particularly for oil is probably peaked her close to having peaked in one of the reasons why it's going to be very hard to find oil production increasing in the hands of the few very large american corporations is that those corporations are not going to invest when the price because the supply and demand issues keeps on going down and thatis issues keeps on going down and that is the larger problem here. it isn't clear that donald trump is trying to
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achieve something that is fundamental about increasing the american economy, it is a very traditional, almost real estate approach transactional approach to economic policy where he looks at the trade deficit and surplus with an individual countries and on the services as if they can all be positive for the united states and negative for anybody else and negative for anybody else and as we know, that's just not how our economy works and so, he talks a good game but whether he is able to produce anything more than a bunch of talk is one of the things are going up to find out the next four years. going up to find out the next fouryears. t going up to find out the next four years— four years. : get zero-sum negotiation, _ four years. : get zero-sum negotiation, the _ four years. : get zero-sum negotiation, the german i negotiation, the german chancellor and we will see how it goes. around the world and across the uk. this is bbc news.
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now, it's time for the panel. starting with you. a story about the man who prepares the braille typing machines and he is a very singular figure, the only man who does it in the uk and could be about to retire. ads, and could be about to retire. a man called alan thorpe who lives — man called alan thorpe who lives near sheffield where he grew — lives near sheffield where he grew up _ lives near sheffield where he grew up in the is the last certified _ grew up in the is the last certified fixer of these perkins braille machines. in massachusetts, they are really crucial— massachusetts, they are really crucial because massachus
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