monetary fund's ones donald trump's economic policy could exacerbate trade tensions. and i'm helena humphrey in the swing state of arizona, which chose donald trump in the presidential election. i will be speaking to voters to find out whether they think they will get the president they voted for. sojoin will get the president they voted for. so join us will get the president they voted for. sojoin us here will get the president they voted for. so join us here for live coverage on bbc news. hello and welcome to bbc news now. three hours of fast moving news, interviews and reaction. the last few moments the international monetary fund has warned that donald trump's economic policy threatens global disruption. in its twice yearly forecast for the world economy, the imf said that mr trump's threatened wave of tariffs could exacerbate trade

tensions. let's get more on this with our business editor who joins me this with our business editor whojoins me here in the studio. simon, tell us more about what the imf is saying on this. ., , ., this. the title of this that the do this. the title of this that they do once _ this. the title of this that they do once every - this. the title of this that they do once every two i this. the title of this that - they do once every two years is divergent and uncertain. there are some unusually grave warnings about the uncertainty facing the world economy. that is not least because of the imminent arrival of donald trump in the white house. what they are saying is if he follows through on his promise daly promised wave of tariffs on goods coming into the us from overseas, that could have a disruptive effect on the rest of the world. in the short term they say it could be very good for the us economy, it could boost growth there. we could see the dollar go up but it could also stoke inflation. meanwhile, what it might do is that runaway dollar might suck money out of emerging economies and the rest of the world, depressing growth and exacerbating trade tensions and overall have a downward pressure on the world economy. not only that but there could

be repercussions from other people could retaliate with tariffs. wejust people could retaliate with tariffs. we just don't know what is going to happen when he gets into the white house but if he follows through with that it is going to be good in the short term for the us and probably bad for the rest of the world. probably bad for the rest of the world-— the world. which of course suits donald _ the world. which of course suits donald trump's - the world. which of course i suits donald trump's america first political messaging was yellow exactly. but there is a sting in the tail for this report. it says although it could be good in the shots of the us it could backfire because if they have this boom there is a chance they will have to jack up interest rates quite quickly to try and tame inflation and that boomtime economy. inflation and that boomtime economy-— inflation and that boomtime econom . ~ ., ., ., economy. and that could have a bust effect _ economy. and that could have a bust effect on _ economy. and that could have a bust effect on the _ economy. and that could have a bust effect on the us. _ economy. and that could have a bust effect on the us. if - economy. and that could have a bust effect on the us. if it - bust effect on the us. if it did that, it would start to damage the us�*s perception as the safe haven last resort like buying us government bonds is seen as the safest government to limit global asset. good for the us in the short—term, bad for the rest of the world. possibly could backfire to the us in the long term.- us in the long term. soap divergent _ us in the long term. soap divergent and _ us in the long term. soap divergent and uncertain, l us in the long term. soap i divergent and uncertain, the name of that report?- divergent and uncertain, the name of that report? yes, that is key because _ name of that report? yes, that is key because we _ name of that report? yes, that

is key because we don't - name of that report? yes, that is key because we don't know i is key because we don't know how it is going to do and how people will retaliate.- people will retaliate. what is the imf saying _ people will retaliate. what is the imf saying about - people will retaliate. what is the imf saying about the - people will retaliate. what is the imf saying about the uk| people will retaliate. what is i the imf saying about the uk 's the imf saying about the uk �*s prospects? the imf saying about the uk 's mamas?— prospects? the uk gets an upgrade- _ prospects? the uk gets an upgrade- it _ prospects? the uk gets an upgrade. it is _ prospects? the uk gets an upgrade. it is saying - prospects? the uk gets an upgrade. it is saying that l prospects? the uk gets an l upgrade. it is saying that the uk economy would grow a bit faster than six months ago, i.6%. it faster than six months ago, i.6%. it doesn't sound like very much but if you look around at germany and france and italy and japan, they are all below it. so if the imf proves right and all its forecasts prove correct, the uk will end up being the second—fastest growing economy in the g7 of developed countries. of course that will be music to the ears of rachel reeves, who is the chancellor here, and keir starmer, who have been under pressure about the fact that they are finding it hard to find growth in the uk economy.— it hard to find growth in the uk econom . ,, ., ., ~ ,, uk economy. simon, thank you very much- _ uk economy. simon, thank you very much. our— uk economy. simon, thank you very much. our business - uk economy. simon, thank you very much. our business editorj very much. our business editor simonjack there. in the last hour, israel's security cabinet has approved the gaza ceasefire deal. a short time ago, by minister benjamin netanyahu's officials released this video

officials released this video of that meeting taking place. and right now the wider israeli cabinet is also meeting to approve it. they are meeting —— their meeting is due to finish in the coming hours. mr netanyahu says if everything is finalised, the first hostages are expected to be released on sunday. the names of the 33 hostages to be freed in the first phase of the ceasefire have now been published. and in gaza the civil defence agency says that 88 palestinians have been killed in israeli strikes in the last 2a hours. let's take a moment to look at this in a little bit more detail. we can cross to my colleague mark lowen who is in tel aviv, where families of the hostages have constantly gathered since october the 7th and are now anticipating what lies ahead. mark. ., , anticipating what lies ahead. mark. . , . mark. thanks very much indeed. this is hostages _ mark. thanks very much indeed. this is hostages square - mark. thanks very much indeed. this is hostages square in - mark. thanks very much indeed. this is hostages square in tel i this is hostages square in tel aviv. it has been very much the focal point and the symbol of

the trauma here in israel since october the 72023, when around 250 people were taken captive by hamas. and still today —— october the 7th 2023. i have to say, some family members happy with the deal in terms of getting the first wave of the hostages back but many others who are families and loved ones of those who are not on the first list of the hostages to be released are furious that more effort has not been done to get all of the hostages home in one go. now the security cabinet, as you say, has given its approval to the deal and recommended that it be ratified by the full government. that full government was meant to meet, was meant to start about half an hour ago. we understand

it has not yet begun. but it is due to begin imminently and it is expected to ratify the deal as well. and it would then come into force on sunday. well, the full details of the deal have not been published but let's bring you what we know of it, according to the report is that we have got. it is a ceasefire deal that would be divided into three stages. the first stage is expected to begin on sunday, as i say come up with a clear indicator that the deal is in force. the release of three of the hostages taken by hamas during the attack into israel in october 2023. it is thought that 30 more hostages will then be released in the weeks which follow. and in return, israel will withdraw its forces from all populated areas of gaza, allowing palestinians who have been displaced by the fighting to return. there will also be an increase in deliveries of humanitarian aid. the first stage is set to last for six weeks and would see israel

release around 1000 palestinian prisoners before the second stage. around the same time, hamas would release all remaining surviving hostages. israel would complete its military withdrawal from gaza, although there is no clear timeframe for this. if all of that passes off successfully, the third and final stage would involve the reconstruction of gaza. something which could take years and the return of any remaining hostages bodies. let us check in with our correspondentjonah fisher, who is in ourjerusalem bureau. jonah, bring us up to date with the choreography of what is happening in the coming hours and with that approval given by the security cabinet.— and with that approval given by the security cabinet. yeah, two important _ the security cabinet. yeah, two important meetings _ the security cabinet. yeah, two important meetings we - the security cabinet. yeah, two important meetings we are - important meetings we are expecting to take place today. we have had one of them, which is the security cabinet meeting of prime minister benjamin netanyahu's government. that neta nyahu's government. that

meeting netanyahu's government. that meeting really as trail has approved the ceasefire agreement with some of the far right members of the security cabinet voting against. we had one of them coming out after that security cabinet meeting, once again expressing how much he dislikes the deal, talking about the release of palestinian prisoners in particular as a release of terrorists. that everyone will know will return to try and kill does. it will now go to the full government meeting. everyone who is inside mr netanyahu pot administration. that is expected to start any moment now and i think we are expecting there to be a similar result. those who are opposed to the deal will very clearly articulate that. but in the big picture of things it is expected to be voted through. add that will then pave the way

for this ceasefire agreement to start on sunday. sunday will be day one. we are expecting it to be probably in the afternoon on sunday and it will begin, we are told, with the release of three female israeli hostages and at the same time a big increase in the amount of aid and fuel that is getting into the gaza strip.— and fuel that is getting into the gaza stri. �* ., the gaza strip. and, jonah, you talk about _ the gaza strip. and, jonah, you talk about the _ the gaza strip. and, jonah, you talk about the three _ the gaza strip. and, jonah, you talk about the three who - the gaza strip. and, jonah, you talk about the three who will i talk about the three who will be released on sunday and we now have a list of all the 33 who will now have a list of all the