tv The Context BBC News January 23, 2025 9:00pm-9:31pm GMT
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hello, i'm christian fraser. this is the context on bbc news. if the price came down, the russia—ukraine wari would end immediately. right now, the price is high enough thatl that war will continue. you gotta bring down the oil. price, you gotta end that war. it was really a strong message and a strong signal. we need to increase pressure on russia, and to force russia to negotiate. when an election is stolen by the american people by an illegitimate regime, drastic times call for drastic measures. if you are just if you arejustjoining us, welcome to the programme. all
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of that coming up. first, the latest bbc headlines. a us federaljudge has temporarily blocked president trump's order to end automatic citizenship for babies born on american soil. the judge in seattle said the order was "blatantly unconstitutional" and blocked the adminstration from implementing it for two weeks. the case, brought by four states, is one of several lawsuits challenging mr trump's effort to end birthright citizenship for children born to undocumented migrants and foreign visitors. the us senate has narrowly voted to advance the nomination of pete hegseth, a former fox news host and military veteran, to be presidenttrump�*s secretary of defence. approval — by 51—49 — clears the way for a vote on his confirmation later this week. a british teenager who murdered three young girls at a dance class has been sentenced
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to life in prison. axel rudakubana also stabbed ten others at a taylor swift—themed event in the town of southport, which triggered days of rioting. the sackler family in the united states and their pharmaceutical company, purdue, have reached a $7.1; billion settlement with a coalition of states to tackle the opioid crisis affecting millions of americans. the agreement will fund support for opioid addiction treatment. if you were to take a big picture view of donald trump's speech this afternoon to the world economic forum, it would be this. "come and do business here in the us, we will give "you lower corporate tax rates, there's less regulation here. "but if you don't, then we will slap you with tariffs." there was very little cheer for the europeans. trump criticised the eu for its perceived unfair practices. he took aim at european tariffs on american exports. he compained about the regulations which he said was slowing down investment. and once again, he said he would press his european partners within nato to increase their defence spending to 5% — many of them
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are nowhere near that mark. i'm also going to ask all nato nations to increase defence l spending to 5% of gdp — which is what it should l have been years ago. it was only at 2%, - and most nations didn't pay until i came along. i insisted that they pay, and they did, because l the united states was really| paying the difference at that time, and it was unfair to the united states. i among other headlines he urged saudi arabia and opec to "bring down the cost of oil". and he called out one of the session's moderators, the ceo of the bank of america, brian moynihan, for allegedly debanking conservatives. he had this to say to companies he had this to say to companies who make their products abroad. who make their products abroad. come make your product come make your product in america, and we - in america, and we - will give you among. will give you among. the lowest taxes of any the lowest taxes of any differing amounts — - nation on earth. nation on earth. we're bringing them down we're bringing them down very substantially, - even from the original very substantially, - even from the original trump tax cuts. - trump tax cuts. - but if you don't make your but if you don't make your product in america — - product in america — - which is your prerogative — which is your prerogative —
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then, very simply, - then, very simply, - you will have to pay a tariff — you will have to pay a tariff — differing amounts — - but a tariff which will direct hundreds of billions - of dollars, and even trillions of dollars into our treasury. i we can speak to chandri navarro — senior council in baker mckenzie�*s international commercial & trade practice group. welcome to the programme, what do you think your clients will make of that? i do you think your clients will make of that?— do you think your clients will make of that? i think they're lookin: make of that? i think they're looking at — make of that? i think they're looking at all— make of that? i think they're looking at all their _ make of that? i think they're looking at all their sourcing i looking at all their sourcing options and supply chains, looking at what tariffs the trump administration may put into effect, and how they may need to shift sourcing depending on what those tariffs are and what countries are specifically targeted. we were ta lkin . specifically targeted. we were talking earlier _ specifically targeted. we were talking earlier about _ specifically targeted. we were talking earlier about the - talking earlier about the carrot and stick approach — are you suggesting then that it does work? it you suggesting then that it does work?— does work? it certainly is something _ does work? it certainly is something that _ does work? it certainly is l something that companies does work? it certainly is - something that companies have to consider
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something that companies have to doesier something that companies have to does impose duties that us does impose duties that trump has threatened, for example, the 25% tariffs on imports from mexico and canada, companies are having to resource the debts reassess their sourcing from those countries. if trump imposes duties on imports from china at 10% or higher, again, it strategies companies have to keepin strategies companies have to keep in mind and shift depending on what those costs are. , ., , y depending on what those costs are. ,., _ are. obviously it doesn't necessarily _ are. obviously it doesn't necessarily keep - are. obviously it doesn't necessarily keep costs i are. obviously it doesn't i necessarily keep costs low, because i noticed today, i was reading a story aboutjeff bezos closing his warehouses in canada, may be the first sign that companies are relocating — she's very close to the administration — but obviously if you move business back to the united states, maybe you have higher overheads could smack it's expensive to trade here, isn't it, comparative to countries?—
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countries? absolutely, and there could _ countries? absolutely, and there could be _ countries? absolutely, and there could be retaliatory l there could be retaliatory tariffs on us shipments to other countries. so it's a game of for dhs, taking a look at where the company is currently producing and where they are selling —— for d chess. both the trump tariffs and retaliatory tariffs put into effect. if retaliatory tariffs put into effect. if retaliatory tariffs put into effect. , ., �* retaliatory tariffs put into effect. �* ., effect. if you're a retaliatory tariffs put into effect. , ., �* retaliatory tariffs put into effect. �* ., effect. if you're a multinational - effect. if you're a - multinational company and multinational - effect. if you're a - multinational company and effect. if you're a _ multinational company and you effect. if you're a _ multinational company and you have operations in various have operations in various countries, does this become more complicated if you don't understand? i don't think trump think trump understand? i don't think trump has given any signal as to has given any signal as to whether this is a baseline whether this is a baseline tariff or if it'll vacillate tariff or if it'll vacillate and be different tariffs for and be different different countries. how do you tariff or if it'll vacillate and be d countries. {is , 7...” ”w. -.. tariff or if it'll vacillate and be d countries. how 7...” ,..,, -.. tariff or if it'll vacillate and be d countries. how do .,,, -..,. -.. tariff or if it'll vacillate plan on that basis?— and be d countries. how do you — ,..,, a. different countries. how do you plan on that basis? that's the plan on that basis? that's the complicate — plan on that basis? that's the complicate and _ plan on that basis? that's the complicate and factor - complicate — plan on that basis? that's the complicate and _ plan on that basis? that's the complicate and factor - plan on that basis? that's the complicate and factor here, . complicate and factor here, what business likes the most is plan on that basis? that's the complicate and factor here, . complicate and factor here, what business likes the most is certainty, and companies certainty, and companies generally need to plan out generally need to years in advance their certainty, and companies general advance) certainty, and companies general advance their years in advance their purchasing orders, their purchasing their purchasing orders, their production plans, investment production
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plans, constructing facilities. purchasing orders, their produ1 constructing facilities. so not having the plans, constructing facilities. so not having the certainty of what the tariffs would be, where they might go into effect is causing a lot of consternation in businesses, and it's very difficult to plan for. so that is an issue that's going on right now for our clients. , , . . going on right now for our clients. , , ., ., ., clients. just a final one - would your— clients. just a final one - would your clients - clients. just a final one - would your clients echo i clients. just a final one - - would your clients echo some of the sentiments he expressed about trading in the european union today? hi regulation, high taxes, the sort of
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union today? hi regulation, high taxes, the sr regulations about — whatever regulations are in place, we advise our clients and help them navigate and meet them.— clients and help them navigate and meet them. thank you very much indeed, _ and meet them. thank you very much indeed, good _ and meet them. thank you very much indeed, good to - and meet them. thank you very much indeed, good to talk- and meet them. thank you very much indeed, good to talk to. l donald trump has run into his first legal obstacle since returning to office. a federaljudge in seattle has blocked an executive order curtailing the right to birthright citizenship in the united states. judgejohn coughenour, 83, said in his nearlis years as a federaljudge, he had never seen anything so blatantly unconstitutional. the order, challenged by four states, runs contrary to the 14th ammendment which states clearly, "all persons born or naturalised in the united states are citizens and that no state shall make or enforce any law to abridge those privileges or immunities of those citizens." this will not be the last such challenge. there are legal battles brewing over a number of the executive orders trump has signed to strengthen security at the border, and deport thousands of people here
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illegally. the administration says it intends to bring its own cases against local government officials who stand in the way of federally—mandated instructions to remove people. we can speak to andrea flores, vice president of immigration policy and campaigns at the us advocacy group forward us. thanks for being with us. let me get yourfirst thanks for being with us. let me get your first reaction to the decision in seattle today, this move by the administration to strip birthright citizenship — what did you make of it? i thought it was a very clear decision that called out the fact that this judge, and his career, had neverseen fact that this judge, and his career, had never seen such a clear violation of the constitution as this executive order, and it he even said, where were the lawyers when this policy was drafted? this is part of trump's strategy, to lead with something symbolic and stalking while he carries
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out a very systemic dismantling of our immigration system as we've known it today. the state department _ we've known it today. the state department yesterday - we've known it today. the state i department yesterday suspended all flights bringing previously approved refugees to the united states. for people who don't know, it is actually one of the most intense screening programmes in the world, a lot of these people were fleeing violence, persecution, war — does that also include afghans who worked with the us military in fighting the taliban? yes. in fighting the taliban? yes, so first, this _ in fighting the taliban? yes, so first, this isn't _ in fighting the taliban? yes, so first, this isn't what - in fighting the taliban? yes, so first, this isn't what the l so first, this isn't what the american public wanted when they elected trump and disapproved of president biden's handling on immigration, they were not voting for a dismantling of the us refugee programme, historically has always earned bipartisan support. and what we saw monday was really shocking, which was that trump immediately suspended refugee flights and cancelled them, and these individuals, these people, these families of us military service members had already been vetted. i served on the national security
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council, refugees come to the us and have the most intense and, hence a vetting. so these types of signals trump is sending will quickly overplay his hand and lose the public support from the limited mandate he had to secure the border but also restore order throughout the immigration microsystem. figs throughout the immigration microsystem.— throughout the immigration microsystem. as you rightly sa , microsystem. as you rightly say. there's _ microsystem. as you rightly say, there's no _ microsystem. as you rightly say, there's no question - microsystem. as you rightly | say, there's no question that people wanted him to deal with illegal migration bill. the administration has said that he's instructed the department ofjustice and potentially of justice and potentially prosecute ofjustice and potentially prosecute local officials who stand in the way of federally mandated orders to deport people —— illegal immigration. it seems these are the first salvos of what will be quite an intense legal battle between federal and local forces. that's right, so the states have always played a role along
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the us—mexico border, so whether it's county or state officials, they've always played a role in managing the border in determining what works for their community when it comes to the public safety and immigration enforcement. it's incredibly important to public safety that they don't have immigration enforcement just blindly coming into communities, creating fear, reducing the likelihood that people report crimes. those have broad impacts notjust on immigrants, but also us citizens. so what we are seeing is the federal government trying to really invade the realm of states, in terms of how they would like to carry out law enforcement — and that'll be a very big tension — but i think you see already a lot of mayors and governors taking steps to say, "we will support enforcement when it comes to public safety and national security threats, but why are you announcing you want to carry out operations in schools, hospitals and churches?" that's a very significant conflict and, once
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again, donald trump is not aligning with public opinion when it comes to where they are ok with immigration enforcement and where it would be disrupted to communities.— to communities. thanks very much for _ to communities. thanks very much for coming _ to communities. thanks very much for coming on. - to communities. thanks very much for coming on. thank. to communities. thanks very i much for coming on. thank you so much- _ around the world and across the uk, this is bbc news.
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donald trump told his audience at davos today that his efforts to secure a russia—ukraine peace deal are "hopefully under way." he said he would meet with vladimir putin as soon as possible, amid signs the ukrainians are in favour of a negotiation. the russians say they are still awaiting details of what donald trump has in mind. for ukraine and its allies, the open question is whether the us is prepared to participate in some sort of security guarantee, to prevent russia resuming the war at a later date. trump has had no guarantee that the russians will come to the table. he says the best way
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to ensure they do is for opec to cut the oil price. if the price came down, the russia—ukraine warj would end immediately. right now, the price is high enough thati that war will continue. you gotta bring down the oil. price, you gotta end that war. putin's spokesman, dmitry peskov, said they are "waiting for signals that are yet to arrive". their team at the un say they want to see what trump wants in the deal before taking any further steps. the ukrainians are warming to the idea. starved of resources, by europe's flagging supply lines, a ceasefire, pending negotiation could offer welcome relief. asked for his reaction to donald trump's warning to russia, the ukrainian foreign minister had this to say. it was a really strong message, and strong signal. we need to increase pressure on russia, and force russia to negotiate. we need usa leadership, we need
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more engagement of the usa. earlier we heard from rose gottemoeller, former deputy secretary general of nato. she gave us her thoughts on these potential negotiations — and the dynamic between trump and putin. it's very clear the two men are circling around each other, each trying to be stronger and more, i would say, of the bully to the other. and i do think that that's very important as a way of setting the negotiation table. because from the outset, it was clear for mr trump, table. because from the outset, it was clearfor mr trump, it was important to come out of this war looking like the peacemaker, the problem solver, and not the loser. famously, vladimir putin has said he wants to impose defeat on ukraine, nato and the united states — so he has to get the signal early on that trump will have none of that. if signal early on that trump will have none of that.— have none of that. if they are circlin: have none of that. if they are circling each _ have none of that. if they are circling each other, _ have none of that. if they are circling each other, who - have none of that. if they are circling each other, who here| circling each other, who here has the upper hand, rose? at
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has the upper hand, rose? at the has the upper hand, rose? git the moment, trump has a lot of momentum, havingjust the moment, trump has a lot of momentum, having just come into office this week, he's really come on the back of course of a strong signalfrom the come on the back of course of a strong signal from the us electorate that they want him in office. so he's the man on the rise at the moment. for president putin, he's been at this warfor almost three president putin, he's been at this war for almost three years now, and he's maintained a strong stance throughout — he's put a very brave face on things, including his economic crisis that's taking place right now with very high inflation. so he hasn't wavered from a strong stance himself, but it is trump who has the momentum at the moment. what about his assertion _ momentum at the moment. what about his assertion that _ about his assertion that bringing down global oil prices would end this war? would that work? ~ ., , ., , work? well, that is a very direct economic _ work? well, that is a very direct economic analysis, | work? well, that is a very - direct economic analysis, which is the kind of thing we are accustomed to seeing from donald trump, he puts things together very directly and simply. to be honest, i'm not an energy economist so i can't say for sure, but it is a clear
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signal that he will be pressuring putin and the russians at a time when they've managed to escape a lot of sanctions by their gray market approach to oil exports and trying in every way they can to escape the sanctions that have been placed on so far.- been placed on so far. talking to us earlier _ been placed on so far. talking to us earlier about _ been placed on so far. talking to us earlier about that - to us earlier about that situation on the negotiation. one line of news to bring you — we were talking a short while ago about the ruling in seattle today to block donald trump's attempts to strip birthright citizenship here in the united states. trump has been speaking to reporters in the oval office, and he'sjust said to reporters in the oval office, and he's just said that the administration will appeal that decision, and probably will appeal it all the way to the supreme court. in los angeles, the winds are up again. new wildfires are spreading in bone—dry conditions, with all eyes on the weekend forecast — there is some rain expected — and really it can't come soon enough. the hughes fire has quickly taken hold of a large area near lake castaic,
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stretching to an area more than 9,000 acres — that's about iii square miles. these are aerial images show just how close the sepulveda fire has come to the main 405 freeway. so far, 30,000 people have been forced from their homes. we can cross live to our north america correspondent peter bowes, who's at santa clarita, near the hughes fire. ican i can see behind you that the wind is certainly blowing. so what is the state of the fires? you're right, we are getting these huge gusts of wind, this has been going on now for several hours and we expected to continue at least until friday morning. so perhaps another 2a hours of these winds to go. the common theme from all these fires — and there have been several over the last few hours, a newjust 2—3 hours ago in another coastal area to the northwest of los angeles, you mentioned the sepulveda fire, which is closer to
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brentwood and the centre of los angeles, these have been burning over the last few hours, as well as the hughes fire which started just over the hills behind me. the common theme here is that firefighters are getting control of these fires — far from are getting control of these fires — farfrom it, but they are getting control of them very quickly. as sir as we understand it, no homes are in danger currently. that is in large part because of the extra resources being brought into this area over the last week or so to tackle these massive blazes in the los angeles area over the last ten days. there are more firefighters, there is more heavy equipment. so firefighters are really well—placed to jump on these fires as soon as they start. facing these unprecedented conditions, the winds that you can see, the extremely tender dry brush, because there hasn't been any rain here for several months, and you alluded to their — there's one phrase we hear, "we can't wait for the
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weekend," and it will rain. and if it does rain, it'lljust be a few millimetres, it may be less than an inch of rain — that will be enough to help the firefighters. what everyone is hoping for of course this at it is in a downpour of rain, that isn't torrential rain that goes on perhaps more than a day. that would pose a danger in terms of potential mudslides, especially in those burned areas where there is a danger of toxic chemicals on the ground from the fires, and there is a concern that people could be hurt. if they touch the remains of their homes and what's left of those fires after a rainfall of any significance. so we want the rain to put the fires out, we don't want too much rain to cause mudslides.— don't want too much rain to cause mudslides. certainly the firefighters _ cause mudslides. certainly the firefighters need _ cause mudslides. certainly the firefighters need any _ cause mudslides. certainly the firefighters need any help - cause mudslides. certainly the firefighters need any help they can get. thank you for that. fredrick fielding is the public information officer for the los angeles county fire department. fulsome tributes from peter
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they are, the extraordinary work your firefighters are doing at the moment, jumping on these fires as soon they appear — but clearly you could do with help from mother nature? - but clearly you could do with help from mother nature? yes, it at all points _ help from mother nature? yes, it at all points we _ help from mother nature? yes, it at all points we have - help from mother nature? yes, it at all points we have to - help from mother nature? yes, it at all points we have to be i it at all points we have to be cognizant of the weather, and mother nature really right now has set us up for a large fire drills. so we've got to be extremely vigilant to make sure we contain these fires as quickly as possible because we've got high winds until tomorrow morning. and even then, the conditions of this vegetation, as you said, was tender dry — that's the perfect example. it's also on the heels of 200% of the normal rainfall in 2023, 100 of 200% of the normal rainfall in 2023,100 50% of of 200% of the normal rainfall in 2023, 100 50% of the normal rainfall into a 24. so all that adds up to a lot of tender — and when you get into these areas with old—growth vegetation where we have larger vegetation, that's a lot of energyjust
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vegetation, that's a lot of energy just sitting there waiting to be released. and when these winds come through, then you've got all the components for very fast fire growth. components for very fast fire urowth. �* , ., components for very fast fire urowth. �* i. .,, components for very fast fire urowth. �* .,, ., growth. are you able to get the aircraft in _ growth. are you able to get the aircraft in the _ growth. are you able to get the aircraft in the air— growth. are you able to get the aircraft in the air in _ growth. are you able to get the aircraft in the air in these - aircraft in the air in these winds? are they still flying and able to delve some of these flames? it and able to delve some of these flames? , , ., flames? it depends on where exactly the — flames? it depends on where exactly the winds _ flames? it depends on where exactly the winds are - flames? it depends on where exactly the winds are coming | exactly the winds are coming from, and the sort of different aircraft capabilities. at any time there's a dip in the wind and they can go up, they do. because what they really do for us is they can specifically pause an area of the fire and allow our ground resources to get in there and put the fire out. so working in a coordinated attack is really the best way to get at these fires. �* , , ., fires. i'm 'ust trying to imagine _ fires. i'm just trying to imagine the _ fires. i'm just trying to imagine the operation| fires. i'm just trying to i imagine the operation - fires. i'm just trying to - imagine the operation - you imagine the operation — you have to be extraordinarily vigilant, and it requires an awful lot of coordination, as well? it awful lot of coordination, as well? ., , , ., well? it does, yeah. spotting distances _ well? it does, yeah. spotting distances now _ well? it does, yeah. spotting distances now for _ well? it does, yeah. spotting distances now for an - well? it does, yeah. spotting distances now for an ember l
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well? it does, yeah. spotting i distances now for an ember can travel up to three km at this point. so if anything like that happens, we have to be ready to respond immediately so these things don't grow out of hand. how concerned are you, as peter was alluding to, if there is some rain, these badly scorched hillsides, there could be landslides? i know you are having to prepare communities for that as well? is having to prepare communities for that as well?— for that as well? is deathly something _ for that as well? is deathly something we _ for that as well? is deathly something we are - for that as well? is deathly something we are paying l something we are paying attention to and preparing in the areas and everything, if there is the potential for the areas and everything, if there is the potentialfor any landslides — that's always one of the things we will deal with in the areas of burn scars, and we are definitely planning for those things to make sure that if there is any risk of that, we are taking precautions to limit the damage those could cause. i limit the damage those could cause. ~ ., i. , cause. i know your firefighters have been _ cause. i know your firefighters have been working _ cause. i know your firefighters have been working hard - cause. i know your firefighters have been working hard and l have been working hard and you've got a presidential visit coming tomorrow — what would you like to hearfrom him? l you like to hear from him? i thinkjust everyone come together and working towards a common mission, i think that's the best way we can attack
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these fires and make sure that we rebuild los angeles better thanit we rebuild los angeles better than it was. so hopefully we've got a coordinated effort and i'm looking forward to that. thank you for your time, and best of luck to all your cruise, thank you for coming on. ., , g that's it from me tonight. coming up, karin will be here with al decoded, and plenty of american news to get into tonight — including the $500 billion stargate venture donald trump announced earlier in the week. they got a great panel on tonight, hope you'll stay with us for that. that's coming up, stay with us. stay with us, you're watching bbc news.
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hello there. we've got a significant storm on its way tonight, and it will last through friday into the early parts of saturday, mainly across more northern areas. so much so, the met office have issued a rare red wind warning — two warnings for the whole of northern ireland and for central and southern scotland. this is all tied in with storm eowyn, which is winding itself up over the atlantic as it heads towards our shores. a real squeeze in the isobars on its southern flank across northern ireland and into central southern scotland. so initially it's a fine and dry night before the wind and rain starts to spread up from the south and west during the early hours, sending this band of rain right across the country with some snow falling over the hills across scotland. those are the sorts of temperatures we can expect, rising a little bit in the south, chilly in the north. so here are the two red wind warnings, the whole of
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northrn ireland for the early part of friday, just in time for the morning rush. and then the winds transfer across in towards central southern scotland. again, these are the wind speeds we can expect and they'll be affecting very populated areas. these are more widespread amber warnings in force for the wind, northern ireland, north wales, northern england and for all of scotland with these sorts of wind gusts. so damaging winds throughout the day on friday, a very blustery picture. a band of rain continues to spread its way northwards, further snow on the hill. some sunshine making a return to england and wales and then to northern ireland later in the day. but the severe damaging gales continue to push their way northwards across scotland later on friday. may see double figures in the south, it won't feel like that because of the strength of the wind. so storm eowyn likely to bring some disruption, damaging winds, power cuts, structural damage, all likely to cause some travel disruption. stay tuned to the forecast and keep abreast of your bbc local radio.
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the storm pushes its way northwards into the norwegian sea as we head into saturday, this feature could graze the southeast before the next low pressure system starts to work into western areas later in the day. but i'd say generally saturday is a brief respite. we should see lighter winds for england and wales with some sunshine around. still quite windy, though, across the north and west of scotland. still quite windy, though, across the north and west of scotland. and then we'll see rain with some hill snow pushing into the west, and it will be a chilly day. the brief respite doesn't last, though. by sunday, the next storm will move in to bring gales and heavy rain, particularly this time across more southern areas.
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hello, i'm karin giannone. this is the context on bbc news. president trump tells the world economic forum in davos that global oil prices should be lowered to end the $500 billion stargate joint venture aims to build a network of data centres across the us. you're watching the context. it's time for our our new weekly segment — ai decoded. welcome to ai decoded, that time of the week when we look in depth at some of the most eye catching stories in the world of artificial intellligence. i'm karin giannone, sitting in for christian who's in washington this week.this
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