tv Newsday BBC News March 3, 2025 4:00am-4:31am GMT
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we are at a crossroads in history today. it's time to act. president zelensky tells the bbc he is ready to sign a minerals deal with america. the sex worker cinderella anora had the storyanora had swept the”, director baker has ngars. director seanba ker has history, ngars. director seanbaker has history, the person ——7 to win four �* to win four oscars for one hello. sir keir starmer said europe would do the heavy lifting
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that's more likely to be, in europe that are prepared to be a bit more the prime minister is working with the french president, emmanuel macron, on a plan to stop the fighting can europe come together and come up with a plan? would you be willing to apologise to donald trump, mr president? the prime minister and 18 others trying to pull putting an arm around ukraine. both matter, sir keir insists, for our safety as well as kyiv's. in a generation moment
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for the security of europe. of them talked to us, the president of the european why? that is indigestible - for potential invaders, and therefore the focus is not only on the military supply, . but also, for example, - securing the energy system and making sure that, - over time, this is a strong and resilient country. have you won the argument with european colleagues
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iam by i am by the professor of international at !fiteffiétiéfiégifiélfiéfii w w university. do !fiteffiétiéfiégféffélfiéfwi w w university. do you columbia university. how do you the current assess the current state of play in terms of ukraine's ability to fighting war russia, given this war against russia, given the apparent fallout we have between president trump seen between president trump and president zelensky? this all depends _ and president zelensky? this all depends on _ and president zelensky? t�*i 3 all depends on whether western all depends en. whether western. and all depends eh whether western. and especially us aid continues. 7 if us aid continues. ukraine has been steadily, for months. iliaiith iar months. idelith current z— w of western aid, their w: to avoid a much more ability to avoid a much more collapse in position is rapid collapse in position is on the aid continuing. premised on the aid continuing. whether that's going to happen the w w the wespwecially the at the moment, especially the component, is farfrom film: ukraine have completely, ukraine would have a very difficult time holding
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completely, ukraine would have a v1 line. ficult time holding completely, ukraine would have a v1 line.-me holding - completely, ukraine would have a v1 line._holding - completely, ukraine would have a w line-_ding - completely, ukraine would have awline. ~ ., , ., the line. would you be able to rovide the line. would you be able to provide enough _ the line. would you be able to provide enough military - whelp help themw j help thechontinue j help thechontinue 5 be against russia? —— would you be able. it against russia? -- would you be able. ., . ., , , the able. it woukteeetainlybelp i the em- able. it woukteeetainlybelp - the europeans to - able- it ww - the europeans to continue, for the europeans to continue, but they cannot in the e'et'thsif same“ in. the be able to short—term to be able to make up short—term to be able to make up for the difference is the us out. ' 7 outwewurope 7 7 ww outwewurope has been pelted eet; eerepe hee peep —~~~~fl 777w??? the pelted eet; eerepe hee peep ~ ~ ~ ~ . , the majority pelted eett eerepe hee peep ~ ~ ~ ~ . , the majority of aid pelted eett eerepe hee peep ~ ~ ~ ~ . , bute majority of aid pelted eett eerepe hee peep ~ ~ ~ ~ . , but the ajority of aid pelted eett eerepe hee peep ~ ~ ~ ~ . , but the majority aid pelted eett eerepe hee peep ~ ~ ~ ~ . , but the majority ofi overall, but the majority of the military aid per se has coming from the military eid per se hes coming from the united the military eid per se hes ct if ing from the united the military eid per se hes ct if ing us n the united the military eid per se hes ct if ing us simply nited states. if the us simply withdrew that, the europeans would have to more than double current _flm their current military aid to ukraine. the short—term, ukraine. in the short—term, is no prospect for them be to do that. set to be able to do that. set aside the question of the willingness 7 willingness to fund political willingnesstd fehd of expenditure, political willingnessto fehd of expenditure, the this level of expenditure, the defence industrial in defence industrial bases in europe cannot provide this output, example of ammunition, on a aptilsleyyammunition. on a scale in the necessary scale in the if they were trying short—term if they were trying to do this from �* own to do this from their own resources.— to do this from their own resources. , , resources. this puts resident
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and resources. this puts resident - and ukraine - resources. this puts resident - and ukraine in - resources. this puts resident - and ukraine in an . zelensky and ukraine in an incredibly position. "we ,,,a,t,,, ,,.. 7 ”qa't'i't'néh 7 77a7t7it7f7ro7m the looking at it from the russian side, a good opportunity for looking at it from the russian side, tojood opportunity for looking at it from the russian side, to jood opp: with ty for looking at it from the russian side, tojood opp: with the )r looking at it from the russian side, to jood |strong h the )r looking at it from the russian side, tojood |strong are e )r looking at it from the russian side, tojood |strong are they f'dht'fldfifiee firmed ere thee three fldht'fleheee etrefle efe thee three of f'ehtiheheee etrehe ere thee three of this after threngeereeef this ~———~——~ after threngeersef this ~———~——~ conflict? er... russia is not a juggernaut _ conflict? er... russia is not a juggernaut. but _ conflict? er... russia is not a juggernaut. but - are l juggernaut. but neither are they and full. they incompetents and full. their —— they their proficiency... —— they are not full. have are not full. they have done an job of �* economy �*economy in 77 �*7economy7in support �*7economy7in support of the effort. ukraine's ability war effort. ukraine's ability and ability to conduct and russia's ability to conduct war... �*ukraine war... if ukraine lost western or even just war... if ukraine lost western or evenjust american war... if ukraine lost western or even just american support, else?” just american support. has an grjjejyejn just american support. has an enormous russia hasah enormoes in russia hasan. enormoes in material advantage in material their tactics are resources. their tactics are brilliant but they are not hrillientbet they are and
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the pursuit of territorial gain is very high. you combine again certainly fundamentals. againcezginly the fundamentals. againcezginty the us withdrew from e the prospect of the ukraine, the prospect of the gaining a lot more russian gaining a lot more ground a lot faster, perhaps creating collapse of ukrainian creating cottapaefaf ukrainian defences is a prospect.7 7 77 77 777 itforzelens to ., it for zelens to net is it for zelensky to get security or to get commitments from 7 leade7rs, 7 7 leaders, america leade7rs, 7america at european leaders, if america at the moment is _ the moment is faltering? well, the moment is faltering? well, the he the moment is faltering? well, the - he can _ the moment is faltering? well, the - he can get _ the moment is faltering? well, the - he can get from - the more he can get from the the more he can get from the the better. and europeans, the better. and if he can �* convince to stay in the war, trump to stay in the war, that be vastly preferable. if would be vastly preferable. if zelensky cannot replace us aid, not going to replace it in entirety 7 entirety if7trump pulls the its entirety if trump pulls the plug completely, but europeans h'" "he-e'e�*e' left “renew" ~ "e'e'" ~ do somewhat more. if he “p up with a significant ends up with a significant the overall level reduction in the overall level of western aid, the likely
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for the war is aware“ fer the eta- is defeat. aficeu fer the eta- is defeat. the ukrainian défééta1—hé'rl-i—55iért—5 likely to ukrainian defeat; the ressians likely to come out of this something close war aims eeeith :�*—e"�*-—- as“. "�*:e t“ ' ' " ' " " war aims have sought the eer einte they wee edeg t ”"' ”"’ ”' ’” february the eer eime they h�*heee eeeg .t ”"' ”"’ ”' ’” february 2022. ukrainians since february 2022. ukrainians are to out of the are unlikely to come out of the war in scenario war in thie ecenerie with e we a..- like war in this scenario with ., e e " .,, like the war war in this scenario with e e e ,, .,, like the waraims have 7 have fighting they have been fighting for. it's a grim prognosis if the us were to completely pull the plug. were to completely pull the .lu. _ ., ~' were to completely pull the ”lu_ ., ~' were to completely pull the ”lu_ ., , . were to completely pull the ”lu_ ., , ~ ., plug. rank you very much for our plug. rank you very much for your perspectives. _ plug. rank you very much for your perspectives. -- - plug. rank you very much for your perspectives. -- thank. plug. rank you very much for i your perspectives. -- thank you your perspectives. —— thank you very much. this is bbc news.
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the bbc no aid trucks were allowed to cross the border on sunday. a bomb near their troops. is your understanding of why prime minister netanyahu to phase one has tried to extend phase one of the deal? has tried to extend phase one of the - deal?- of the ceasefire deal? there are _ the i is, from primary reason is, from the we that phase beginning, we knew that phase two involves the withdrawal of
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israeli forces. that would ell tsreeti terees; thet weele " discuss concretely the mean to discuss concretely the of gaza. this lead future of gaza. this would lead to an of to an explosion of—thee w w... e in to an explosion ofthe , e; . t; in the netan7yahu, neta n7yahu, with the benjamin netanyahu, with the �* right members, particularly far right members, particularly who don't withdrawal of idf went the withdrewet et'ttef”"" " "" from gaza went the withdrewet et'ttef""" " "" from gaza as long as forces from gaza as long as hamas are in gaza. so the extension of phase one was also an extension of the uuo in israeli states see in tsreelireetities eeeeeeee a states see in tsreelieeetities e e e e a certain states see in tsraelieeetities e e e e a certain extent. states see tn tseaetteettties a certain extent. e phase one also as part of new came as part of the new proposal from the trump came as part of the new proposal from t so trump came as part of the new proposal from tso presumably they and prime minister netanyahu same page. netanyahu are on the same page. yes. initially we saw the tee lfiltlene fleeseé thew 7 itself tee lfi'tleneeeeseé thew7 itself had been put ceasefire itself had been put in place in large part because pressure from trump team
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of pressure from the trump team in particular steve a 7 7 777a7lea7d7ing 7 77 7 77a7lead7ing player in witkoff, a leading player in the trump administration. the the tremp administratien; the seemed ok tremp admirestrat'hen seemed ok the idea extending with the idea of extending phase because at the end phase one, because at the end of they want of the day, they want to contain the gaza issue to a certain extent. we don't know of how the trump certain extent. we don't know of howt sees mp certain extent. we don't know of howt sees the certain extent. we don't know of how t sees the future gaza beyond the plan, let's of gaza beyond the plan, let's say dream, of say the dream, of trump of gaza, it's ownership of gaza, and it's difficult see how that difficult to see how that translates in so =e:§ the most 7 7 now, the most reasonable solution was the extension of phase one. at least the and israeli extendin . - hase extendin -hase one one is one proposal from the side, but they are also israeli side, but they are also denying humanitarian aid into asa 7777557; 777 77what do 77777557377 w77 77what do you gaza as a result. what do you make of that, and the impact it's going to have and how
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might react? so hamas might react? so the israeli government - hamas might react? so the| israeli government officially so far has dismissed, downplayed the idea that �*eeee'essd ties iee—e “ee�* thietee e ee e e ee e e e create j�*e—e'ese�* tiee ih—ee “ee�* thieee e ee e e ee e e e create or j�*e—e'ese�* tiee ie—ee “ee�* thieee e ee e e ee e e e create or resume the will create or resume the humanitarian crisis. they said the gaza months humanitarian supplies. but we have to question if that is true, and �* much the can truly access to population can truly access to in addition, is supplies. in addition. there is . theissue supplies. in addition. there is . the issue here, basically also the issue here, basically the government using aid asa 7 aid as a tactic,7 humanitarian aid as a tactic, to hamas. again we go to pressure hamas. again we go back to the initial with back to the initial issue with to the icc the icj, regards to the ki. and the toj. said using humanitarian �* starvation as a �*starvation as a military aid or starvation as a military tactic is a war crime. so it is
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also related to that that the latest move the israeli latest movedromthe tsraeti is troubling. latest movedromthe tsraeti these is troubling. latest movedromthe tsraeti these is moves, ing. latest movedromthe tsraeti these is moves, and given these latest moves, and the domestic situation as given these latest moves, and the dome it c situation as you given these latest moves, and the dome it with |ation as you given these latest moves, and the dome it with prime as you described it with prime minister netanyahu the mercy his own cabihet if 77 heswhzlezjfhj 77 heswheqliezitfiinse? of his own cabinet if he does withdraw troops from gaza, see the most where do you see the most likeng . here? a . -°f - 7 of fighting 7 7 offightin7g again? resumption of fighting again? my 8
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