the sasu program is authorized to declare i am the host nadezhda sass. i welcome you, let me remind you that this program is for those who want to better understand what is happening in the world and understand how these processes, events, people will affect the life of everyone and the life of the country, and the main events of world politics this week. i'm going to tell you right now north korea launched the first ever ballistic missile into the sea. at the very border of the territorial waters of its southern neighbor. this was not the case for all the time that began at the end of the forties, the confrontation between the two korea start. it was a response to large-scale military exercises conducted by the united states and south korea. a week later, the prime minister of great britain is in power, risha, su, naka is being prepared. here it is distrust, dissatisfaction caused by the new composition of the british government. after all, sunok did not keep his promise to appoint

candidates from all wings of the conservative party , a group of deputies who are going to consistently seek his resignation and do not exclude new elections for the head of the conservative party in 2023. won the israeli elections a bloc of right-wing parties that returns benjamin netanyahu to the premiership, he is primarily known for his tough stance on the palestinian issue and personal friendship with russian president vladimir putin. the president of brazil became a staunch marxist lulada, silva, who defeated the conservative. and a supporter of trump jair was a sonar before silva already led brazil between 2003 and 2011 he is remembered for radically reducing the number of poor by improving

education and expanding ties with sudden countries, including with the republic, belarus well well, lately, politics very often smells of oil, and oil is politics. these words were spoken by felix dzerzhinsky, head of the cheka, more than 100 years ago and are relevant. they are still. they are in the pricey flavor of modern international relations. we will talk about today's program. and i am glad to welcome tatyana zorina doctor of economics , head of the economics sector of the institute of energy of the national academy of sciences of belarus in the studio good evening. good evening igor yushkov presenter analyst of the national energy security fund expert of the financial university under the government of the russian federation hello and , as usual, we are starting our discussion with a blitz millet tatyana gennadievna do you believe that the

world will soon be able to abandon oil, although i understand that this is still not a matter of faith, but specific indicators and trends, but quite right, in my opinion, the world will not soon be able to abandon oil, since today oil accounts for 60% of the primary energy resources used in the world, and according to modest forecasts. uh, by 2050, and oil consumption will drop to 13%, but there are even more, uh, such bold forecasts, according to which, by 2050, oil will not be used at all in the world. but how do you understand this question. e, still debatable, but there are different forecasts, and how would the situation develop, while it is difficult to say your position, what is this about? well, i think that

here on the one hand, we can state. uh, since you quoted famous people, that is another quote on this subject is that the stone age did not end because the stones ran out and the oil age will also end, not because the oil runs out. uh, that's just the oil minister of saudi arabia said this at the time, and there is also oil here. uh, it really came to us as liquid for lighting, uh, kerosene lamps, and then now it is used mainly as motor fuel, and for cars, aircraft, and so on, oil. all the plastics that surround us will simply go into the category of raw materials for petrochemistry it's all oil. eh, but nevertheless, as a motor fuel, it is more likely to remain the main type, and the source of energy, in fact, until the forties can be the fifties. that's just released forecast opek plus. uh, we'll talk about that detail, but a little later. let's pay attention to the oil price chart, we literally took the period over the past 5 years, but in fact we remember

that 2010 was a shock, probably a period for many , and their moment was unconditional. now i want to ask, can in principle exist such a concept as fair oil price and they said, well, fair indeed, rather a pullist statement that is usually used by those who want to lower the price of this a and say that there are some contracts e give an unfair price, but we spot markets, as europeans often said in the short-term contract market. there fair and now, when this price is in the sports markets. there flew for several thousand dollars for 1,000 cubic meters. uh, then they say, no, it's not fair. now we want lower prices, so this is a very ephemeral concept, but really, the balance is simple and the offer that forms the market and the price it is. you can say right. it is real. this is the range that we have, uh, the case and according to which the price is formed, and there, uh,

we ship relatively speaking oil through it. uh, so you can call it fair unfair consumer and buyer seller will never generally agree with each other, and which one is fair but, nevertheless, trades tatiana genna do you agree with the opinion, and i agree, indeed, a fair price is set on the basis of supply and demand and certainly fair for the manufacturer will be one price for consumers and another, and er, in my opinion. e until then . while there are measures of state support, both producers and consumers in individual countries. especially these measures of state support, but the countries that import oil products like to use it, it is not possible to talk about a fair price. well, remember what headlines the media were full of, just a few years ago the era of oil is ending producers. whether they will completely abandon the oil age should be ready for this, the future belongs to

alternative energy, but the current situation tells a different story, because it is precisely today that prices for black gold are on the rise again and oil importers are asking producers to increase investment in exploration and development. why does the demand for oil continue to grow, despite all attempts to abandon it? well, if we look at all the forecasts that international researchers give, there are bp companies or xmobil, or any international power generation. so, when we open this forecast, the first sheet that we see - this is the number of population, that is, global everything comes from how many people and as long as the population in the world increases, the demand for energy will also grow, and then the question arises. and what type of energy is most in demand , nothing better than motor fuel today? but nothing oil. they didn’t come up with it, although if there were such forecasts, for example, the same bp is one of the most authoritative sources, they said

in the covid year in the twentieth, that the world will never return to the volumes of consumption that were in the nineteenth year in the decade-old era, that now we will all immediately go into electric cars with quarantine. let's sit down anyway. no, this did not happen, the world sits back in a car, and with an internal combustion engine, both diesel and gasoline are growing again, and consumption and motorization are growing in asian countries. china india india, as we see at a huge pace, is growing and the population has already overtaken china and, accordingly consumption. uh, fuel. there are many jokes. what now, when india moved from elephants to mopeds, there was already a huge increase in oil consumption. and if they are still on the car from 50 mopeds, then it will almost double. please tell me, have you noticed such a trend that in recent years, oil companies such as shell chevron action module have begun to invest part of their funds in green energy. this is, again, wind-driven solar do you think it's true? intelligent vision? what is the future for anyway? or is it more of a question

how difficult it is for them to resist the propaganda and political from the jindi, which are present today. it is rather an attempt to resist or integrate into some common, some new ideology. in general, the green does not fall under the fat. there's this cancellation culture, uh, that's going around the planet and being nobody. there is green in the trends, and agendas, because what they were told by politicians and politicians, respectively, they programmed. maybe some public opinion that you need to give up fuel. it's killing the planet. it's changing the climate and and so on and so on, but you also need to switch to renewable energy, that is, some kind of energy transition. what is it called to make, but if the previous energy-transitions are there from firewood to coal from coal to oil. there further gas, they happened. natural way. it’s just that it was more efficient, then this energy transition to energy, he is trying to make it in general economically unreasonable, but purely ideologically, and the same companies in the twenty-

first year, for example, the dutch court, ah, sued er, shell said. yes you have decarbonization program, but you need to abandon it even more quickly, and more precisely , switch to fuel energy for via. although this is the main type of business of this company, and they just didn’t invest in the development of new deposits - this gave rise, mainly to the current energy supply tatyana a . how do you think? today, the european union can explain, er, on what basis it is increasing its consumption of coal, if until recently they were convincing absolutely all their surroundings that coal is the killer of the planet. well actually coal is indeed a killer of the planet, if we look at the situation in china where the main energy resource consumed is coal. and if you walk through the streets of beijing, and even covid will not stop you, you will have to walk in a respirator, because it is impossible to breathe, uh, and many people, unfortunately, lose their health against this background, but

the policy of the european union is ensured. i want to dwell a little on the issue that you discussed before. but the concept of sustainable development, which is proclaimed all over the world, as a doctrine of economic development, including. after all, it is not based on an economic factor, it is based on some kind of social environmental norms, and, it should be noted that it is definitely a european union. uh, one of the first to join this movement and claimed that they would develop renewable energy to abandon fossil fuels. and uh, even they had fiftieth year plans for 100 percent renewable energy, but that plan didn't materialize on one issue, despite the fact that we want to take into account the ecological situation and keep society satisfied. uh, the needs of the population to improve the quality of his life. and we must understand that the

use of these mechanisms. perhaps only with good financial support to date. ah. the european union, uh, is in a big deep economic crisis so it ca n't use renewables in the context it stated earlier and so it's moving to the cheaper known traditional technologies for them is coal technology. in addition, coal reserves are available on the territory of the european union, thereby strengthening its energy security, reducing dependence on supplies. natural gas imported from russia, yes, thank you, let's talk about an extremely exciting topic. now, in more detail, the results of the opec plus meeting turned out to be unexpected for many world players, and instead of the planned reduction in oil production by 1 million barrels per day, the members of the cartel agreed to reduce by two, it is clear that the first

violin in the organization is played by saudi arabia , the main exporter of oil and in more detail, and the conflict between opec and the united states in our story. since this month , the custodian countries have begun to reduce oil production by 2 million barrels per day. the reduction in oil production will help avoid another fall in prices for it and strong market volatility, which needs to be balanced before the seasonal decline in demand. the united states saw this as a conspiracy and a real disaster for itself and its economy, with regard to future relations with a number. we we are considering a number of options for answering and will not do anything that would infringe on our interests. we find this decision both disappointing and shortsighted. especially since we have a global economy that is facing a number of problems. such aggression towards the middle eastern countries is understandable, at first america

asked the guardians to increase oil production in order to bring down the price of black gold on the world market, so washington wanted to solve its internal economic problems to curb the rise in gasoline prices and curb rapid inflation. in response to the country, the united states received a completely opposite decision, as a result of which the cost of oil on the market will increase, as well as inflation in the united states, this alignment did not suit the democrats, led by biden. especially in the run-up to congressional elections oil is a commodity, not a tool or weapon of the political process, but the current reactions - this is an angry response only because of high prices for oil or refined petroleum products around the world and because of inflation in america that exceeded 9% . so they found for yourself, the way out is to hang your failure on oil prices and what guardianship is doing now saudi arabia has become the next enemy of the united states after russia and china, after all, as biden said quote. now prices have begun to rise due to what the russians and

the saudis have done. in addition, the custody decisions will greatly complicate the sanctions policy of washington and brussels against russia, since it will no longer be possible to replace russian oil with additional extraction of the resource in the arab countries. we believe that, in accordance with the decision of the country of peck, they certainly join russia this decision proves that they are aligning their energy policy with russia this opek decision was really selfish and it will hurt in a strange middle and low economy. and this problem. however, despite all the threats to regulate prices in their own country at the expense of foreign states. it didn’t work out, the president of belarus warned about the imposition of sanctions against saudi arabia after the decline in oil production, it was only a matter of time before the saudis did something wrong with oil. you see what a roll. i am i will predict it. he is rustling that soon you will see that the americans will begin to impose sanctions against them

already close to this. yes, indeed, in most countries of the world there is antitrust legislation against cartel collusion. here guardianship - this is the cartel and yet all the work put up. why well, this is a historically established concern, er, and in this regard. er, it's an agreed-upon position in order to protect their economic interests, and it was created, in general, in response, in fact, to er. some kind of agreement from western companies, because earlier western companies came to the far eastern countries, e, began to extract oil there and unfastened absolutely pennies. in general, the national budget and the national government a and, in fact, behaved like colonizers. in general, they took away all the minerals , nothing happened, and in order to replace the situation, just the same, a classic guardianship was created in order to nationalize

it, or it can establish sovereignty over its resources, because before that the countries e , in fact, the arabs received nothing, and then, respectively. they behaved from the point of view. in general, their national interests. somewhere it raises the price, but then again they never raised the price to some maximum levels, because the higher the price, the less demand for yours. that's it, that's why they are not interested in ultra-high prices, here's guardianship and guardianship plus now. and just the same, they balance the market. and who can say saved the oil industry in many ways in the twentieth year during the kavid opec plus, uh, reducing its volume production from the americans, by the way, did not require anything to be reduced. they were in this regard, but the beneficiaries of this decision and i do not complain about anything then. and now , in general, they are making claims, but because their interests were not taken into account. and by the way. uh, saudi arabia did this in many ways because of its interests. uh, the united states did not take into account the united states for the entire 22 years they said that they want to remove iran from sanctions. and let's put it mildly

. uh, not saudi arabia's biggest ally, oni asked the saudis. uh, about their interests. no or the us federal reserve is constantly raising the rate, and refinancing, and thus, as it were, a financial instrument of oil prices, are pushing down. it's not in the interest. uh, the us asked them no to saudi arabia, and now they are surprised that saudi arabia does not take into account the american interest and when deciding under guardianship plus. yes, i would also like to draw attention to our chart, the ratio of production and quotas in apeg plus tatyana gennadievna, in a situation where, on the one hand , oil production in many countries is in the hands state structures, and on the other hand, they are trying to limit the trade in these goods with sanctions. is it possible at all to depoliticize the oil market, or are these all such interconnected processes that world players will not be able to under other rules. in fact, the policy is always determined by the economy. basis yes, but it determines the

superstructure, and in this regard, in uh, most decisions, including guardianships, are based on economic mechanisms, in general, as for the statement that the guardianship of the cartel is misstatement, opek is ah-ah, interstate non-governmental organization. and it has state immunity, and the doctrine of state immunity from antitrust laws. it is impossible to make any claims, and within the framework of the monopoly law of an international non-governmental organization. this organization is similar to the iaea, for example, after all, no one thinks to present some kind of sketches, but really the apec was created in order to balance the oil market, among other things, but one of its important tasks and this protects the internal interests of the member countries, guardianships and of course, as it was said before, uh,

the violation of the economic state of the economic well-being of these countries, and certainly causes them some kind of response during the covid period. they are strangely faced with the problem of increasing supply over demand because of this, prices have begun to fall today, they, in view of the poly crises that occur in the world of strange guardianship, do not see the need to increase production so that a new fall in oil prices does not begin its decision to cut production by 2 million barrels per day, they balanced out at the previous price and today. the price has already increased by 13% for oil and is growing by 1% every day. what is it for ? this is not done to please. icono- political interests, but for the sake of preserving the economies of member countries of the trustees is not for the sake of the political interests of joe biden, because we see completely inadequate ones. yes, you can even say that

the reaction, when a person looked at the electoral data, realized that inflation cannot be avoided. naturally already and probability. can go with visit, but the situation is completely different. well, there really are three such hysterical even the reaction of the country of the biden administration was precisely the democrats, but because in the usa there is a clear correlation, that is, a connection between world oil prices and domestic domestic fuel prices, and it turns out that the decision was made to reduce quotas on production from november 1 and now exactly to the congressional elections. and this will affect the fuel market in the united states and every electoral person will go to e to vote. basically by car. he would come refuel when he sees that the price tag has grown and this will cause him dissatisfaction. naturally, he will vote for the republicans. that's what the democrats are afraid of, and in general they called the arab countries in advance and demanded that they not make this decision. uh, and the conflict with the audits and with the arab

world is also developing due to the fact that it is clear that saudi arabia was trying to explain its motivation. why does she do this? this is not to hit the democrats, but to really balance the market, because the united states themselves did everything to make the saudis fall, in general, they said, well, in response to the fed's rate hike, we are taking our own measures, but they were absolutely not heard and it is very characteristic that at a press conference after this api decision plus, a reuters journalist tried to ask. uh, a question for the minister of energy, saudi arabia, here no, no, i won’t talk to you at all , as it turned out that before that he had given an interview to reuters representatives for half an hour and they didn’t publish it to you at all, where he explained, why they do not make a decision on quotas, but simply write an article that it turns out that saudi arabia allegedly conspired with russia in order to push the price above $100 per barrel, that is, an absolute complete disregard for interests. uh, producing countries. naturally, it causes irritation in saudi arabia, and now we see a clear conflict between the allies and the united states, in

fact, there are enough reasons for such a turnaround in relations between a number and washington and we should not forget about one of them, because the united states is quite long and persistently blamed the saudi prince mohamme. salman a for involvement in the murder of an opposition journalist, a khoshoggi. let's take a closer look at the portrait of mr. binsalman, if possible, the political career of mohammed bin salman began back in 2009 as an adviser and assistant to his father. at that time, the governor of the province of riyadh, after 2 years, salman's father became the minister of defense. the son took the vacant governor's post. after that, the young prince began to seriously work on his image. he became the secretary general of the competition council of riyadh and oversaw the work of charitable and public organizations. after the death of king abdul. in 2015. crown.

passed on to ben salman's father the current king of saudi arabia. as a result , brilliant career prospects opened up before the prince. the heir loudly announced himself by presenting the saudi arabia 2030 project. this is the plan. early economic reforms, according to which the country should gradually move away from a resource-based economy and focus on the development of modern mohammed bin salman personifies the renaissance in the daily life of the local population included things that could not be imagined in such a conservative country before in the cinema standup clubs themed restaurants were held the first carnival in the brazilian style in the history of the country and showing anime created by saudi cartoonists has greatly improved the status of women. they were allowed to attend sporting events get a driver's license to practice martial arts, also for the first time in the history of the kingdom. the woman took a high

diplomatic position, becoming the ambassador to the united states. however, there are biographies of the crowns of the prince and a black spot in october 2018. jamal khashoki, a columnist for an american newspaper in the washington post, was brutally murdered by special forces fighters from ariads in the saudi consulate in istanbul, the crown prince claimed responsibility for the incident as it happened during his service in the kingdom, while the cia directly named mohammed bin salman as a direct customer murder of a journalist causing too much trouble with his criticism. jubaiden even promised to bring ben salman to justice before being elected president of the united states. tatyana gennadievna well, how would you generally characterize such actions that we see on the part of the united states of america, because for a long time there were no normal adequate friendly relations between the united states and saudi arabia , there was a clear hostility between the two leaders.

but, when you know, mr. biden smelled of fried, forgot about all the apologies and went to seek those goals that are beneficial from the united states and in fact, indeed, the relationship between the united states and saudi arabia over a long period of time was very stable and they were characterized by 100, but discord, uh, hooking up relationships, and so, relatively speaking, during the trump administration , and which hmm did not approve of the policy of iran, the main of the strategic enemies of saudi arabia , relations between the united states. and saudi arabia is a little warmer, and etogo in the spring uh 2022 of this year, and the united states tried , er, to negotiate with saudi arabia for additional supplies of gray oil, since it was beneficial to the united states. that is, in those moments when saudi arabia was going to the

demand of the united states, the relationship was quite uh, acceptable, as soon as saudi arabia tried to advance its own interests, the united states took up arms against it again. so for example, but returning to an earlier topic, a now, uh, active movement to enact, uh hmm law uh anti- cartel law on peck uh, but as far as we know this law has been trying to pass 20 years this law uh, will allow, uh, in american courts, and to consider cases, and against countries. in the participants of the guardianship, and also in addition to other states that have an impact on the oil market. uh, these american gestures have now received a new movement, but for 20 years not a single president has signed this law, because

it contradicts international legal norms. is joe biden hoping. and what will he succeed, but to resist an international non-governmental organization. you know, the question is brewing regarding the fact that the united states cannot avoid the fact of inflation now, america and the biden administration are perfectly understood. what problems they have already faced and will face in the future, but at the same time, american oil companies will benefit from rising oil prices. what do you think? why do n't they help a friendly european? union for some reason, no one has such an idea, well, no, there is a separate rhetoric, when americans say we will help. there in europe to get rid of russian oil from russian gas or even coal. uh, here you are, let the europeans impose sanctions against russia, refuse to drive a barbarg to another question, that there is not a single state-owned company in the united states. no one, at the behest of the administration, will not supply anything. they

deliver there somewhere above the price. here, let's say in the twenty-second year, and the situation is very successful for us propaganda, and almost all lng and the us goes to europe, they say, you see, we promised to help you. here are the good guys. it means to refuse russian supplies. now we will send you our lng fat natural gas, but in reality, all lng and the usa goes to europe, because there are the highest prices in the world. and this is the most profitable direction. therefore, he goes there as soon as the situation changes. and if prices in asia are higher, then he goes there and tankers even make such turns in the direction of travel. there was a year when they generally delivered more to latin america, to asia, to europe. it all depends on the price, but formally, most of the volume of lng and the united states is not even exported at all. american companies sell, as it were, the right to liquefy at the plant, but international traders are already liquefying. and they look where the price is currently higher, where they will be able to earn much more. yes, i would like to discuss in more detail. uh, the crisis of europe and, in fact, if the options for getting out of it, i propose to join our

broadcast henri malus, president of the association jean manet from france, president of the european economic and social council from 2013 to 2015 misha well done hryvnia. russian the economy will have to pay dearly for its actions in ukraine for 9 months. later, it is the europeans who pay the highest price, facing the energy crisis and the cost of living crisis, where

the european union made a mistake due to the war in ukraine and the sanctions against russia faced a serious energy crisis. and it must be admitted that most of all for the poorest part of the citizens. yes , the eu member states are the same. france italy germany are trying to soften the blow by paying subsidies, but they are clearly not enough. i will bring you such an example, if for an average family in belgium a utility bill has grown from 1,000 to three to four thousand euros per month, then a subsidy of 300-400 euros. few things are being solved, it can be said directly that the sanctions have led to very serious consequences. taste. uh, and distributed, they are

unevenly distributed among western countries to france after several weeks spent in the usa and canada that there are no such severe manifestations of the crisis, the worst of all is the situation in europe. continent explanation for this is obvious e things widely. it is known that russia and europe are excellent. the mutually complementary energy development of european countries in recent decades provided access to relatively

inexpensive from russia and north africa makes us suffer hardships. how is the community produced and oil always interested in high energy prices? why do n't major oil consumers try to form their own cocktail to avoid price cuts for example why china's eu japan never cardinates its corresponding efforts? i want to remind you that along with the economic crisis. we are also facing

the larger challenge of climate change, european countries have put the fight against global warming at the heart of their development strategy. energy the european union has not been looking for powerful tools to reduce prices for hydrocarbon fuels for a long time, precisely because their high cost was provided by the demand for renewable energy sources and investments in green energy. and even now to fight with oil producers playing on exceeding prices, based on its green course , it can be recognized that the task of reducing

greenhouse gas emissions is not compatible with low prices for hydrogen carbons and at the same time combating global warming if nuclear power plants were used. here, a number of countries, like germany and belgium, went to close nuclear power plants, and there now the energy crisis manifests itself stronger than the abundance of nuclear power plants. but here, too , a decision was made several years ago not to build a new nuclear power plant in the east. she could serve for a long time, that is,

we europeans created a crisis for ourselves by two factors russia indeed, unique things were said the european union for a long time did not look for powerful tools to deal with the high cost of oil, because this is exactly what provided the demand for renewable energy sources. just brave friends in their fight. e for improving the climate, or for maintaining the climatic environment in which we live. and naturally. uh, european countries were developing hydrogen energy, it was said, and renewable energy sources, but you need to

understand that these technologies will be cost-effective only with a 3-5-fold increase in oil and gas prices today, they are not capable of competitors, therefore, to some extent. it can be said that the higher the prices for oil and gas, the more profitable the use of hydrogen and renewable energy will be, since these technologies are quite widely developed in the european union, they will be able to scale them to other countries of the world, thereby also making money on it, therefore there's nothing in it no surprise. just a few minutes after a short pause. we will return to our discussion again, stay with us. the sass program is authorized to announce that we are talking about the future of the oil market, and right now i would like to draw

attention to our information about the bakery organization of oil exporting countries, which regulates 50% of world oil exports 35% of world oil production two-thirds of the world's oil reserves are controlled by trustees headquarters is in vienna and actually we see the flags of thirteen members of this organization, but i would like to inform you that anna rimos, president of the association, jeanne manet from france, mission mallos and my lost washion for you and mr. market, which is predicted that oil. it will remain the most demanded fuel until 2045, and moreover, the demand for oil will grow. do you agree with this

forecast? and i say, and uh drastic steps in some european countries that have decided resume in order to get more coal from the sanctions policy. this prediction for the next five to ten years is plausible. veren is shaping politics, it is necessary to prioritize, but there is a political current priority to maintain sanctions against russia. the name is an even more significant priority to fight climate change, lobbied by the green

negative attitude towards nuclear energy. this puts us europeans in a very bad position at the same time the us has access to its oil and gas and developed nuclear power back . the transfer of production to china will begin to move to the united states. you have time good benniferson economics beneficial bonuses from the current

development of the situation. thank you very much mr malas. well, let's simulate the situation europe has completely abandoned russian oil, realizing that in reality you can find all sorts of methods so that it still gets there, but as they say, uh, physicists. let's imagine the perfect vacuum of russian oil, no longer in the european union. who in economic terms will lose more europe or the russian federation igorevich? well, as we see in oil and coal, the situation is here. uh, better than gas. here it’s easier to simply transport easily, and loaded into a tanker sent to other markets. and from ten, from december 5, 2022, there will really be a wine embargo ban on the supply of russian oil to the eu countries by sea. still on the oil pipeline. it will be necessary to supply by sea no longer, and here we are simply changing markets. our oil. it is already moving to asian markets. and if before we

supplied europe with 2-2.5 million barrels per day, now it is already less than 1 million barrels per day. we are leaving for asian markets, for india in china, for turkey, for southeast asia. they move to europe. i mean, uh, us in general. yes , now we have to give a discount for each barrel of our oil, about $20 per barrel . and this, as it were, is a lost benefit, but on the whole, we will trade, please, at $70 per barrel. we have a budget for next year. at us the same e sum, but the europeans have to pay extra, in fact for oil, because the transport shoulder is greater. and this is less cost-effective, so oil comes to them. yes, there are enough of them. yes, it is necessary, respectively, firstly to pay more for shipping. secondly, to get the desired variety. after all, each plant is not yet sharpened for specific characteristics of oil under qus, respectively, you need to mix different grades to get something similar to urals. and these are additional costs and in the end for all this paid by european consumers. well, tatyana

gennadievna in general, how painful the loss of the european market will be for the russian federation , i want to hear your opinion from you, but also from the other side. can it be replaced by asian consumers? what do you think, of course, for russia, uh, there will be, uh, well, it’s not that there will definitely be big losses, because these are traditional consumers, but exhausted, and oil supply systems certainly. uh, switching to other consumers. this additional requires extra effort. and uh, the availability of the discount that was just mentioned. well, in principle, of course, and also the fact that the european union, of course, will lose much more, but for russia, and the vector of the eastern region is more attractive. in my opinion, because the population growth that is taking place, and a fairly stable working economy of china in india, they

will require an era of smooth, and even dynamic supplies of supplies. while the consumption of fuel and energy resources in the territory the european union has decreased the cross section of recent years. and this was due to how covid in the flat period began, so to speak. e restoration, e, the functioning of the economic system of the european union and now, and it is again in connection with the new political realities that have arisen in which the european union is involved, again the demand is not constant, it is constant, but not uniform. in this regard, of course, russia is in more favorable conditions than the european union. and speaking of that vacuum in the european union must not forget that america will gladly provide them with supplies, but with oil and gas. his own, but we must not forget two facts just that american oil and gas. yes , the cost of production and production of american oil and

gas is higher than russian. this is the first and second, and in the last few years, the united states of america has lost its energy independence and import oil and gas themselves. well, we cannot but discuss the situation in the fuel market of the republic of belarus tatiana gennadievna expect all of us to be an active e-car driver? what will be the dynamics? yes, well, in general, talking about the fuel market of the republic of belarus and it’s probably premature, since we are 88%, according to the statistics of the national statistical committee, and we import 88% of natural resources, natural energy resources, so the drowned market is represented only by peat. and well, as for the product of petroleum products. and i think that i'm leading a series of

certain circumstances on uh, the market of the republic belarus and the oil and gas situation the oil crisis of the twenty-second year will not affect. this is due to a number of reasons. all oil imported from the russian federation on the territory of the republic of belarus is processed at two oil refineries. 60% of the refined oil is exported to the russian federation. accordingly, an increase in input prices for oil from the republic of belarus will cause an increase in prices for oil products in the russian federation. belarus buys oil, but not on the world market, but according to international contracts between the republic of belarus and the russian federation a. well, in principle, if we talk about raw for the market, of course, this situation will again cause a renewal of interests. managed energy efficiency and new energy technologies and i want to urge you

that our program is going quite well today. it is also due to a number of circumstances for the development of electric transport. i came here in an electric car. wow, that's why i advise you, ah, because igor ivanovich, they arrived. no, i support the domestic oil producer on the classical one, so i came to fuel with us we are not producers of injection, but the course of the belarusian energy e, energy policy is now aimed at the use of electric energy as the main type of fuel, the use is not for primary resources, but secondary resource in particular electrical energy. and i want to reassure my fellow citizens. i think that but that disastrous situation, that oil crisis that has developed in a significant way on ours. in the market of your words , we can actually pay attention to plasma and understand that the difference is obvious. yes? igor valeryevich

, the final word in our today's program will be. come on in general. we see that not only is there an energy crisis in europe, but it will develop in the same gas sector. we remember that in the first half of the year, for only 22 years, gas was supplied from russia in full, and only from the second half of the year significant reductions in the volume of supplies begin, and the entire twenty third year. they will already pass. with these reduced supply volumes. this means that the deficit will be even greater, and in this regard, the europeans also need to understand that this story is for several years. that is, somewhere before the year 25, and they will pass from the energy crisis and, in this regard, the prospects for industrialization, because the main blow will be precisely on the industrial sector, and not on the population, and then it will be colossal, but, it seems to me, in europe, even to the end, may not realize how much damage it will be for tri e and according to the results, europe may even cease to be a kind of industrial locomotive, one of the centers of industry in the world. eh, it will turn into such a

certain one. uh, pan-european spain, where little is produced, but in general, the level of well-being is relatively high. i am grateful to you for the most interesting discussion and i hope that we have reassured our belarusian audience at the end of our program. i would like to say that contrary to the promises of some fans in scientific and technological progress. it won't be long before humanity learns to do without oil, but therefore, this resource will continue to have a decisive influence on international relations and the life of each of us, and i would like to end with an excerpt from the work of an american writer. john donapas. dick said we had enough robins oil in america. he banged his fist on the table. nothing is ever enough for anyone. this is the basic law of thermodynamics. i never had

enough whiskey. here you are a young man, have you ever had enough girls, so neither standard oil, nor royal give shell will never have enough oil. well, now sas is authorized declare. low oil prices should not be expected in the near future. we suggest you go on a full-fledged tour of our country. st. sophia cathedral, the symbol of faith of power and independence, was built in the 11th century by the great polish prince, vseslav charodey. this is the first

stone church on the territory of belarus to get acquainted with the best guides. our wolf took the name nature. find time to take a walk, therefore, in an old park. exotic trees still grow here, planted in the days of aristocrats already. and visit the most unusual manor castles. and now i will ask the operator to show us the opposite bank of the dnieper, this catholic church of st. joseph the betrothed was built on the site of a dominican church at the beginning of the 19th century. travel with us to belarus 24. maya, the skin hero, does not repeat his story of living and stopping creativity, children sculpt something

there, yes, but for me it was so natural, but blind to me well, i blinded about you, but i stuck it to the whole group and authority. i instantly took off. and years is what their meal is new. i'm bloody waiting realize the ulist potential when i pour the resin. in this silicone mold, i myself can’t fully imagine what will happen on the reverse side , and every time it’s wow, it’s delight and i want to do more and give a prosperous generation to live life without end. with amazement, this is my son now. uh, it doesn’t even help me, i try to change the situation so that i help him, so that he is the director of the belarusian project about people. which ones are kicked with their paddles, since i fell in love with

this resin. i just live for her, i breathe for her, look after her on tv channel belarus 20 shatyrs, a program about unique personalities who break stereotypes with an example from their own experience kindergarten to school, damn it, work, that’s all and everything was written normally. in my head. that's before they hit paper. here they are out. he is a characteristic instrument, although all these lithuanians can be portrayed, if you want to cry, you can throw cries on the saxophone. i, uh, hear it very often. why do you need it? that's why you need it? why are you doing bullshit? that's why? for what is this all? let's go, i like it. i just can’t do without it, it’s all nonsense, then they say, oh, they don’t pay enough. few get there is the answer is very simple little to go elsewhere. well, you can make money here. you can watch in the program to break stereotypes on belarus 24 tv channel. everything

should be perfect, because i should head the department, and for this it is necessary that they choose exactly my project is waiting for us. well, yes, we must now decide who to call. i don't have such problems. i didn't plan anything at all. i got hurt because of you received because they did not listen to me lena i am very sorry that you suffered, and i would like to apologize to you. i don't need your apologies. i wanted to ask you to be my fiancé. no, i still refuse, until it's too late. am i snoring? here is a questionnaire for you to know everything you need to know about me and a courtship plan. and secondly, it's not a woman. this is a collection of boring rules and patterns. walking,

diary hardcover. watch the series high relations this weekend on belarus 24 tv channel. in the hands of a book for on the side of those choking with a leather word creativity is the most marvelous and worthy of respect, this book in books live thoughts passed memorandums you various to improve people's voices. and everything that a man's trunk on the sides of books is a dream of pandering. generation

for our dry belarus we

continue to discover new cities and neighborhoods from this hill. orsha begins its report on its almost thousand-year history, breathtaking views and amazing energy, we show the author's routes and the most mysterious places of pilgrims, inexhaustible and miracles really happen numerous facts of healing those who suffer directly , confirmation of the main sights and unique monuments, the architecture of the monuments to lenin in the city is somewhat at least four there is even such a riddle . ether 24/7 is a project in which within 20

minutes you will learn more about the key events of the past week that received the most of your likes on our social networks. make exciting online trips to the most picturesque corners of belarus and make your own rating of tv projects of documentaries and serials that you should watch. evening what norms are in effect today and for what period they are fixed today the norm is valid, firstly, i want to make a reservation right away that we will talk about personal goods sent by international mail in relation to them today the norm is valid in 1.000 euros, which concerns the independent norm and e, 31 kg, respectively, this norm was extended

by the decisions of the eurasian commission. a-a until the end of march 2023, and in case no changes are made. it will be changed to 200 euros and 31 kg, respectively, except for the cost of the norm and the weight norm of 31 kg. there are restrictions. uh. i mean , certain prohibitions and restrictions on the transfer of certain categories of goods. and in particular, of course, the main ones are the ban on the transfer of weapons to everyone. components of narcotic drugs psychotropic substances, including including e, including in medicines, and there is also a ban on the shipment of alcoholic products, tobacco products, smoking mixtures, potent e hmm explosives, a zone of destruction, and goods that are quickly spoiled, this is an incomplete list, but all information.