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, moderate physical activity helps to cope with many problems . we will show modern belarus from an unusual angle, we will discover the unique belarus and its culture, we will provide an opportunity see and understand what is not visible through the eyes of local residents. and when minsky came here for peace, uh, and the weather is good, foreigners are very friends about life in belarus. they are always there, and they helped me a lot, and they are from krita. i feel very comfortable reading second

peoples, since i'm already used to it. eh, not customary at all. see in the program a look at belarus 24. a belarusian scientist who was able to subdue the elements, some rosetists call me almost an electric monster. you are not afraid consequences, because, as far as i understand, your experiments are connected with high-power energy, the results of his work were admired and at the same time feared by the local representation. he possessed some kind of supernatural power and was directly connected with perun, you know what the neighboring landowners said. the hiv threat to play its parts overtakes our documentary yakub norkevich. yotka, lightning tamer or electric man are all processes in nature in man, they are connected with electricity, but they

control people at a distance. i don't think so this is possible, at least today, watch on saturday on belarus 24 tv channel. sasa program is authorized to announce that i am the host nadezhda sas i welcome you, let me remind you that this is a program for those who want to better understand what is happening in the world and understand how these processes of events are people will affect the life of everyone and the life of the country, but the main events of world politics this week. i will tell you right now. true, korea fired a ballistic missile into the sea for the first time in history. at the very border of the territorial waters of its southern there was no such neighbor for all the time that began at the end of the forties, the confrontation between the two koreas, the launch was a

response to large-scale military exercises conducted by the united states and south korea. a week later, the prime minister of great britain is in power, risha, su, naka is being prepared. here it is distrust, dissatisfaction caused by the new composition of the british government. after all , sunok did not keep his promise to appoint candidates from all wings of the conservative party , a group of deputies who are going to consistently seek his resignation and do not rule out a new election for the head of the conservative party in 2023. in the elections in israel, a block of right-wing parties won, which returns benjamin metanyaku to the chair of prime minister. he is best known for his tough stance on the palestinian issue and personal friendship with russian president vladimir putin. brazil became a staunch

marxist, lula da silva, who defeated the conservative and pro-trump jair, was a sonar before silva had already led brazil from 2003 to 2011, he is remembered as a radical reducing the number of poor by improving education and expansion of ties with non-western countries, including the republic, belarus well, lately, politics very often smells of oil, and oil is politics. these words were spoken by felix dzerzhinsky, head of the cheka, more than 100 years ago and are relevant. they are still. they are in the price flavor of modern international relations. we will talk about today's program. and i am glad to welcome tatyana zorina doctor of economics , head of the economics sector of the institute of energy of the national academy of sciences of belarus in the studio

good evening. good evening, igor yushkov leading analyst of the national energy security fund expert of the financial university under the government of the russian federation hello and , as usual, we are starting our discussion with a quick question tatyana gennadievna do you believe that the world will soon be able to abandon oil, although i understand that this is all- the question is not of faith, but of specific indicators and trends, but quite right, and in my opinion, the world will not soon be able to abandon oil, since today oil. ue makes up 60% of the primary energy resources used in the world, and according to modest forecasts. uh, by 2050, and oil consumption will drop to 13%, but there are even more, uh, such bold forecasts, according to which, by 2050,

oil will not be used at all in the world. but how do you understand this question. e, still debatable, but there are different forecasts, and how would the situation develop, while it is difficult to say your position, what is this about? well, i think that here on the one hand, we can state. uh, since you quoted famous people, then there is another quote on this subject, that the stone age did not end because the stones ran out and also the oil age will end not because the oil runs out. uh, that's just the oil minister of saudi arabia said this at the time, and there is also oil here. uh, it really came to us as liquid for lighting, uh, kerosene lamps, and then now it is used mainly as motor fuel, and for cars, aircraft, and so on, oil. just goes into the category of raw materials for petrochemistry, all the plastics that surround us are all oil. eh, but nevertheless, as a

motor fuel, it is more likely to remain the main type. and energy sources actually up to the forties can be the fifties. that's just released forecast opek plus. uh, we 'll talk about that detail, but a little later. let's pay attention to fig oil prices, we literally took the period over the past 5 years, but in fact we remember that 2010 was probably a shock period for many, and moment and certainly now i want to ask, can in principle there be such a thing as a fair price for oil and they said? well, fair indeed, rather a populist statement that is usually used by those who want to reduce the price of this a and say that there are some contracts e give an unfair price, but we spot markets, as europeans often said in the short-term market ac contracts are fair even now, when this price on satellite markets has flown there for several thousand

dollars per 1,000 cubic meters. uh, then they say, no, it's not fair. now we want lower prices, so this is a very ephemeral concept. but really, the balance is simple and the supply that forms in the market and the price it is. you can say right. beer she's real. that's the range we have. uh, it's a matter, and according to which the price is formed, and there, uh, we ship conditionally oil according to it. uh, so you can call it a fairly unfair consumer and buyer seller will never generally agree with each other, and which of unfair, but nevertheless tatyana genna trades do you agree with the opinion, and i agree, indeed, a fair price is set on the basis of supply and demand and, of course, one price for consumers will be fair for the manufacturer, and uh, in my opinion. e until there is a measure of state support, both producers and consumers in individual countries. especially these state support measures, but

it is not possible to talk about a fair price, but likes to use the countries importing oil products. here you go, remember what headlines the media were full of, just a few years ago the era of oil ends with the producers. whether they will completely abandon the oil age should be prepared for this by the future of alternative energy, but the current situation tells a different story, because today the prices for black gold are on the rise again and oil importers are asking producers to increase investment in exploration and development. why does the demand for oil continue to grow, despite all attempts to abandon it? well if we let's look at all the forecasts that international researchers give, there are bp companies or xmobil or any international organizations. so, when we open this forecast, the first sheet we see is the number of population, that is, global everything comes from how many people and

as long as the population in the world increases, the demand for energy will also grow, and then the question arises. and what type of energy is most in demand , nothing better than motor fuel today? but nothing oil. they didn't come up with it, although if there there were such forecasts, for example, the same thing, bp is one of the most authoritative sources, they said in the covid year from the twentieth that the world will never return to the volumes of consumption that were in the nineteenth year in the deco era that we are now let's all get out of quarantine , immediately into electric cars. let's sit down anyway . no, this did not happen, the world sits back in a car, and with an internal combustion engine , both diesel and gasoline are growing again, and consumption and motorization are growing in asian countries. china india india, as we can see at a huge pace, is growing and the population has already surpassed china and, accordingly, consumption. uh, fuel. there are many jokes. what now, when india moved from elephants to mopeds, there was already a huge increase in oil consumption. and if they change seats from mopeds in a car, then

it will almost suffocate. please tell me, have you noticed such a trend that in recent years , oil companies such as shell chevron action mobile have begun to invest part of their funds in green energy. this is, again, windmill solar do you think it's true? intelligent vision? what is the future for anyway? or it is rather a question of how difficult it is for them to resist the propaganda and political ajindi that are present today. i think that it is really rather an attempt to resist or integrate into some common new ideology. in general, the green does not fall under the fat. there's this cancellation culture, uh, that's going around the planet and being nobody. there's green in the trends, and trips, because what they were told by politicians and politicians, respectively, uh, programmed. maybe this public opinion that it is necessary to refuse fuel. it's killing the planet. it changes the climate, and so on and so forth, and you need to switch to

renewable energy, that is, some kind of energy transition, as it is called, to make, but if the previous energy transitions there from firewood to coal from coal to oil. there further gas, they happened. natural way. it’s just that it was more efficient, then this energy transition to energy, he is trying to make it, in general, economically unreasonable, but purely ideologically the same companies in the twenty- first year, for example, the dutch court, ah, sued, er, shell said. yes, you have a decarbonization program, but you need to abandon it even more quickly and, more precisely , switch to via from fuel energy. although this is the main type of business of this company, and they just did not invest in the development of new deposits - this basically, the current power plant is tatyana a. how do you think? today, the european union can explain, on which on the basis he is increasing the consumption of coal, if until recently they convinced absolutely all their surroundings that coal is the killer of the planet. well, uh, in fact

, coal is really a planet killer, if we look at the situation in china where the main resource for energy consumption is coal. and if you walk through the streets of beijing, and even covid will not stop you, you will have to walk in a respirator, because it is impossible to breathe, uh, and many people, unfortunately, lose their health against this background, but the policy of the european union is ensured. i want to to dwell a little on the issue that you discussed before. and after all, the concept of sustainable development, which is proclaimed throughout the world, and as a doctrine, e economic development, including. after all, it is not based on an economic factor, it is based on some kind of social environmental norms, and er, it should be noted that the european union is unconditional. uh, one of the first to join this movement and claimed that they would develop you renewable energy to move away from fossil fuels. and uh even u

they had plans for the fiftieth year for a 100 percent transition to renewable energy, but this plan was not destined to come true on one issue, despite the fact that we want to take into account and preserve the environmental situation to satisfy society. ah, the needs of the people. uh, improve the quality of his life. and we must understand that the use of these mechanisms. perhaps only with good financial support to date. ah. the european union, uh, is in a big, deep economic crisis, so it can't use renewable energy sources in the context in which he stated earlier and therefore he is switching to cheaper known traditional technologies for them, this coal technology, in addition, coal reserves are available on the territory of the european union, thereby strengthening its energy security by reducing dependence on supplies .

natural gas imported from russia, yes, thank you, let's talk about an extremely exciting topic. now , in more detail, the results of the opek plus meeting turned out to be unexpected for many world players and instead of of the planned reduction in oil production by 1 million barrels per day, the members of the cartel agreed to reduce by two it is clear that saudi arabia plays the first violin in the organization, the main exporter of oil and in more detail, and the conflict between opek and the united states in our story from this month the opek countries began to reduce production of oil by 2 million barrels per day in reducing the production of black gold will help to avoid another fall in prices for it and a strong market volatility that needs to be balanced before the season by a decrease in demand the united states saw this as a conspiracy and a real disaster for themselves and their economy. as for the future. nearby we are considering a range

of responses and will not do anything that would infringe on our interests. we find this decision both disappointing and shortsighted. especially since we have a global economy that is facing a number of problems. such aggression towards the middle eastern countries is quite understandable, at first america asked the guardians to increase oil production in order to bring down the prices of black gold on the world market in this way washington wanted to to solve their internal economic problems to contain the rise in gasoline prices and pacify the rapid inflation in the country, in response, the united states received a completely opposite solution, as a result of which the cost of oil on the market will increase, as inflation in the united states did not suit the democrats led by biden. especially in the run-up to congressional elections oil is a commodity, not a tool or weapon of the political process, but a current reaction. this is an angry response only because of the high prices of oil or refined products around the world.

and because of inflation in america which has exceeded 9%. so they found a way out for themselves to hang their failure on oil prices and what the guardianship is doing now saudi arabia has become the next enemy of the united states after russia and china, after all, as the biden quote said. now prices have begun to rise due to what the russians and the saudis have done. in addition, the decisions of custody will greatly complicate the sanctions policy of washington and brussels against russia, since it will no longer be possible to replace russian oil with additional extraction of resources in the arab countries. we we believe that in accordance with the decision of the countries of the guardianship. they unconditionally join russia this decision proves that they are aligning their energy policy with russia this decision dinner was really selfish and it will hurt in middle and low economies. and this problem. however, despite all the threats to regulate prices in their own country at the expense of others.

the states did not succeed in this, the president of belarus warned the imposition of sanctions against saudi arabia after the decline in production oil is only a matter of time the saudis there did not do that to him. look what a roll. i will predict this earlier, that soon you will see that the americans will begin to impose sanctions against them already close to this. yes, indeed, in most countries of the world there is antitrust legislation against cartel collusion. here guardianship is the cartel and yet put up with his work. why well, this is a historical concern, uh, in this regard. uh, it's a concerted opposition in order to defend its economic interests, and it was created in general in response, in fact, to e. some kind of agreement on the part of western companies, because earlier western companies came to the far eastern

countries, and began to extract oil there and completely unfasten a penny. in general, the national budget and the national government a and, in fact, behaved like a colonialist. in general, they took away all the minerals , nothing happened, and in order to replace the situation, it was just the classic guardianship was created in order to nationalize er, or to establish sovereignty over their resources, because for this country. uh, in fact, the arabs received nothing, and then, respectively. they behaved from the point of view. in general, their national interests. somewhere the price rises, but then again they never raised the price to some maximum levels, because the higher the price, the less your demand. therefore, they are not interested in ultra-high prices, so guardianship and guardianship plus now. and just the same, they balance the market. and who can be said to have saved the oil industry in many ways in the twentieth year at the time to kind of guardianship plus. uh, by reducing their volume of production from the americans, by the way, they did not demand to

reduce anything. they were in this regard, but the beneficiaries of this decision and i do not complain about anything then. and now , in general, they are making claims, but because their interests were not taken into account. and by the way. uh, saudi arabia did this in many ways because of its interests. uh, the united states did not take into account the united states for the entire 22 years they said that they want to remove iran from sanctions. and let's put it mildly . uh, not saudi arabia's biggest ally they asked the judges. uh, about their interests. no, or the us federal reserve is constantly raising the rate, and refinancing, and by this very, like a financial instrument, pushes the price of oil down. it's not in the interest. uh, the us asked them no to saudi arabia, and now they are surprised that saudi arabia does not take into account the american interest and when deciding under guardianship plus. yes, i would also like to draw attention to our graph of the ratio of production and quotas in apeg p +. tatyana gennadievna is in a situation where, on the one hand, oil production in many countries is in the hands

of state structures, and on the other hand, they are trying to limit trade in these goods with sanctions. is it possible at all to depoliticize the oil market, or are these all such interconnected processes that, already under different rules, world players will not be able to determine the economy ? economic mechanisms lie, in general, as regards, and the statement that the guardianship of the cartel is misstatement, opek is ah, interstate ngo . and it has state immunity, and the doctrine of state immunity from antitrust laws. it is impossible to make any claims, and within the framework of the monopoly law of an international non-governmental organization. this organization is similar to a magaten,

for example, after all, no one thinks of presenting some kind of eskimogate, but indeed the guardianship was created in order to balance the oil market, including, but one of its important tasks and this protects the internal interests of the member countries, guardianships and, of course, as mentioned earlier, uh, the violation of the economic state of the economic well-being of these countries, and certainly causes them some kind of response during the covid period. opec, they are strangely faced with the problem of increasing supply over demand, in view of this, prices have begun to fall today, they, in view of the poly crises that occur in the world of opec, do not see the need to increase production in order not to a new drop in oil prices began with their decision to reduce production by 2 million barrels per day, they balanced out and reached the previous price

today. the price has already increased by 13% for oil and is growing by 1% every day. what is it for ? this is not done for the sake of political interests. and you, for the sake of preserving the economies of the member countries of the trustees, are not for the sake of the political interests of jubaiden, because we see that they are completely inadequate. yes, you can even say so the reaction when a person looked at the electoral data realized that inflation is unavoidable. naturally already and probability. you can go on a visit, but the situation is completely different. well, there really are three such hysterical ones, even the reaction from the baida administration was precisely the democrats, but because in the united states there is a clear correlation, that is, a connection between world oil prices and domestic domestic fuel prices, and it turns out that the decision was made according to reduction of production quotas from november 1, and now exactly to the congressional elections. and this will affect the fuel market in the us and every elector when he goes to

e, vote. basically by car. he would stop by to refuel when he sees that the price tag has grown and this will cause him discontent. naturally, he will vote for the republicans. that's what the democrats are afraid of, and in general they called the arab countries in advance and demanded that they not make this decision. uh, and the conflict with the audits and with the arab world is also developing due to the fact that it is clear that saudi arabia was trying to explain its motivation. why does she do this? it's not for to hit the democrats, but in order to really balance the market, because the united states itself did everything to make the saudis fall, in general, they said, well, in response to the fed's rate hike, we are taking our own measures, but their they didn’t hear at all and it’s very characteristic that at a press conference after this decision, the api plus a reuters journalist tried to ask. uh, a question for the saudi arabian energy minister here. no, i won’t talk to you at all, because as it turned out, before that he gave half an hour an interview with reuters representatives and you was not published at all, where he explained why he did not

make a decision on quotas, but simply wrote an article that it turns out that saudi arabia allegedly conspired with russia in order to push the price above $ 100 per barrel, that is, absolute complete disregard for interests. uh, producing countries. naturally causes irritation in saudi arabia and now we see a clear conflict between the judges and the united states in fact , the reasons for such a reversal in relations riad and washington are enough and we should not forget about one of them, because the united states for quite a long time and persistently accused the saudi prince mohamed. da bin salmanna, a in involvement in the murder of an opposition journalist, a khashugi. let's take a closer look at the portrait of mr. salman if we can. the political career of mohammed bin salman began in 2009 as an adviser and assistant to his father. at that time, the governor of the province of riyadh, after 2 years, salman's father became

the minister of defense. son occupied, freed governor's post. after that, the young prince began to seriously work on his image. he became the secretary general of the riyadh competition council, oversaw the work of charitable and public organizations. after the death of king abdul. in 2015. crown. passed on to ben salman's father the current king of saudi arabia. as a result, brilliant career prospects opened up for the prince. the heir loudly announced himself by presenting the saudi arabia 20030 project. according to which the country should gradually move away from the resource-based economy and focus on the development of modern industries, eventually turning into a world technology center for the saudis. arabia mohammed bin salman personifies the renaissance in the daily life of the local population included things that could not be imagined before in such a conservative country the club's stand up cinemas themed

restaurants hosted the first in the history of the country a brazilian-style carnival and a show of anime created by saudi cartoonists, seriously the status of women has improved. they were allowed to attend sporting events to receive a driver's license to practice martial arts, in addition, for the first time in the history of the kingdom. the woman took a high diplomatic position, becoming the ambassador to the united states. however, there are biographies of the crowns of the prince and a black spot in october 2018. jamal khashoggi , a columnist for an american newspaper in the washington post , was brutally murdered by special forces from riyadh saudi consulate in istanbul, the crown prince claimed responsibility for happened, as it happened during his service in the kingdom, while the cia directly named mohammed bin salman as the direct customer for the murder of a journalist who caused too much trouble with his criticism. jubaiden even promised to bring ben salman to

justice before being elected president of the united states. tatyana gennadievna well, how would you generally characterize such actions that we see on the part of the united states of america, because for a long time the relationship between the united states and saudi arabia has been normal, adequate friendly and there was no distinct dislike of the two leaders. but, when you know, mr. biden smelled of fried, forgot about all the apologies and went to achieve those goals that are beneficial to the united states, in fact, indeed, relations between the united states and saudi arabia over a long period of time were very stable and they were characterized by discord, then uh hooking relationships. and so, relatively speaking, during the reign of trump, and who a hmm did not approve of iran's policy of the main a strategic enemies of saudi arabia the relationship between the united states. and saudi

arabia, warmed up a bit, and besides that, in the spring of, uh, 2022 this year, and the united states tried, uh, to negotiate with saudi arabia for additional supplies of gray oil, because it was beneficial to the united states. that is, in those moments when saudi arabia went to the demand of the united states , the relations were quite uh, acceptable, as soon as saudi arabia tried to advance its own interests, the united states took up arms at her again. so for example, but returning to an earlier topic, a, now, e, active movements for accepting a-a have begun again. hmm law uh anti cartel law on peck uh, but as far as we know this law has been trying to pass 20 years this law uh, will allow, uh, in american courts, and

to consider cases, and against countries. the participants in the guardianship, uh, and also apart from other states that have an impact on the oil industry, but also the market. uh, these are the gestures of the american at the present time. we new got the move but behind for 20 years, no president has signed this law, because it contradicts international legal norms. is joe biden hoping. and what will he succeed, but to resist an international non-governmental organization. you know, the question is brewing regarding the fact that the united states of america cannot avoid the fact of inflation now, and the biden administration is well aware of what problems they will already face in the future, but at the same time, american oil companies will benefit from rising oil prices. and how are you do you think? why don't they help a friendly european? for some reason, the union does not have such an idea. well, no, there is a

separate rhetoric, when the americans say we will help. there in europe to get rid of russian oil from russian gas or even coal. uh, here you are, let the europeans impose sanctions against russia, refuse to drive a barrgue, and another question is that there is not a single state-owned company in the united states. nobody, at the behest of the administration there, will not deliver anything. they deliver there somewhere above the price. here, for example, in twenty second year. uh, the situation is very good for us propaganda, and practically all lng and the us goes to europe, they say, you see, we promised to help you. here are the good guys. so they refuse russian supplies. now we will send you our lng fat natural gas, but in reality, all lng and the usa goes to europe, because there are the highest prices in the world. and this is the most profitable direction. therefore, he goes there as soon as the situation changes a and if prices in asia are higher, then he goes there and such reversals. tanks are made, even in the direction of travel. there was a year when they generally delivered more to latin america to asia to europe. it all depends on the price, and

formally most of the volume of lng and the united states is not even american at all. which companies export american companies sell, as it were, at the plant, here is the right to liquefy, and international traders are already liquefying and they look at where prices are currently higher, they will be able to earn much more. yes, i would like to discuss in more detail. uh, the crisis of europe, and in fact, if i propose options for getting out of it, join our broadcast henri malasov president of the association jeanne monnet from france president of the european economic and social council from 2013 to 2015 misa malovas hryvnia. the economy will have to pay dearly for its action in ukraine 9 months later, on the skin, it is the europeans who pay

the highest price, facing an energy crisis and a crisis in the cost of living, where the european union countries were mistaken because of the war in ukraine, sanctions against russia faced a serious energy crisis. and it must be admitted that most of all on the poorest part of the citizenship members. the eu is the same. france italy germany are trying to soften the blow by paying subsidies subsidies, but they are clearly not enough. i will give you such an example, if for an average family in belgium a utility bill has grown from 1,000 to three or four

thousand euros per month, then sitting at 300-400 euros. few things are being solved, it can be said directly that the sanctions have led to very serious consequences unevenly in france. to say that there are no such severe manifestations of the crisis, the situation is worse in europe. the continent explanation for this is obviously broad.

it is known that russia and europe are excellent. the mutually complementary energy development of european countries in recent decades has been provided by access to relatively inexpensive from russia and north africa . unity of both the producing and oil community is always interested in high energy prices. why don't major oil consumers try to form their cartel to avoid

price cuts, for example, why does china's eu japan never card its respective efforts? i want to recall that along with the economic crisis. we are also facing the larger challenge of climate change, european countries have put the fight against global warming at the heart of their development strategy. energy the european union has not been looking for powerful tools to reduce prices for hydrocarbon fuels for a long time, precisely because their high cost was ensured by the demand for renewable energy sources

. can recognize greenhouse gases are not compatible with low prices for hydrogen and coals at the same time. as in germany and belgium, they went to close aist, and there now the energy crisis manifests itself

more strongly, the situation is better than the abundance of nuclear power plants, but here, too, a decision was made several years ago not to build a new nuclear power plant in the east. it could serve for a long time, that is, we europeans have created a crisis for ourselves by factors against russia indeed, unique things have been said the european union has not been looking for powerful tools for a long time to fight the high cost of oil, because this is exactly what provided the demand for renewable

energy sources. just brave friends, probably in their struggle. e for improving the climate, or for maintaining the climatic environment in which we live. and naturally. uh, european countries have developed hydrogen energy, it was said, and renewable energy sources, but you need to understand that these technologies will be economically efficient only with a 3-5-fold increase in oil and gas prices today, they are not competitors capable, therefore, to some extent. it can be said that the higher the prices for oil and gas, the more profitable the use of hydrogen and renewable energy will be, since these technologies are quite widely developed in the european union, they will be able to scale them to other countries of the world, thereby also making money on it, therefore there is nothing

surprising in this. just a few minutes after a short pause. we will return to our discussion again, stay with us. sac program is authorized to say we are talking about the future of the oil market and right now i would like to draw attention to our information about the organization of oil exporting countries, which regulates 50% of world oil exports 35% of world oil production, 2/3 of world oil reserves are controlled by members of the opec headquarters are in vienna and in fact we see the flags of 13 members of this organization, but i would like to inform you that anna rimos, the president of the jean manet association from france, is in touch with us . for you and

mr max and this is my last question for you on the eve of the hotel released its annual report on the world market, which forecasts that oil. it will remain the most demanded fuel until 2045 , and moreover, the demand for oil will grow. do you agree with this forecast, and i say, you can see decisive steps in some european countries that have decided to reopen in order to get more coal. this is also a residue from the sanctions policy. this forecast for the next five to ten years is likely shaped by the policy it is necessary to prioritize maintaining

sanctions against russia time is even more, a significant priority to fight climate change, lobbied by green negative attitudes towards nuclear energy. this puts us europeans in a very bad position in the us having access to their oil and gas and developed nuclear power back there was a transfer of production to china

. thank you very much mr. moroz well, let's simulate the situation europe has completely abandoned the russian oil, realizing that in reality you can find all sorts of methods so that it still gets there, but as they say, uh, physicists. let's imagine the perfect vacuum of russian oil, no longer in the european union. who in economic terms will lose more than europe or the russian federation and say. well, as we see with oil and coal, the situation here is better than with gas, if you simply transport it easily,

and loaded it into a tanker and sent it to other markets. uh, from the tenth from the fifth of december 2022 there will be a real embargo on the supply of it will still be possible to supply russian oil to the european union countries by sea via the pipeline . our oil. it is already moving to asian markets. and if earlier we supplied europe with 2-2.5 million barrels per day, now it is already less than 1 million barrels per day. we are leaving for asian markets, india, china, turkey, southeast asia , middle eastern african producers, they are moving to europe that is, in general, to us. yes now we have to give a discount for each barrel of our oil, about $20 per barrel. and this, as it were, is a lost benefit, but in general, we will trade, please, at $70 per barrel. we have a budget for next year. we have the same amount, but the europeans have to pay extra, in fact, for oil, because the transport shoulder is longer. and this is less cost-effective, so

oil comes to them. yes, there are enough of them. yes, it is necessary, respectively, firstly to pay more for shipping. secondly, to get the right variety. after all, each of you still has a plant tailored for specific characteristics of oil for urals, respectively, you need to mix different grades to get something similar to urals. and these are additional costs, and as a result, european consumers pay for all this. well, tatyana gennadievna in general, how painful the loss of the european market will be for the russian federation , i want to hear your opinion from you, but also from the other side. can it be replaced by asian consumers? do you think, of course, russia, uh, there will be, uh, well, it’s not that there will certainly be big losses, because these are traditional consumers, but exhausted ones, and oil supply systems, of course, but switching to other consumers. this extra requires extra effort. and uh, the availability of a discount, which just said. well, in principle, of

course, and also the fact that the european union, of course, will lose much more. and for e-e russia and the vector of the eastern region is more attractive. in my mind, because growth the population that occurs, and a fairly stable working economy of china india, they will require eras of smooth, and supplies of smooth dynamic supplies. while the consumption of fuel and energy resources in the european union has decreased in recent years. eh, it was due to how the cavid started during the start-up period, so to speak. e restoration, the functioning of the economic system of the european union and now, and it is again in connection with the new political realities that have arisen in which the european union is involved in, again the demand is not constant, it is constantly, but uneven in this regard, of course, and russia is in

more favorable conditions than the european union. and if we talk about the vacuum in the european union , we must not forget that america will gladly provide them with supplies, but with oil and gas. his own, but we must not forget two facts just that american oil and gas. yes, the cost of production and production of american oil and gas is higher than russian. this is the first and second, and in the last for several years the united states of america has lost its energy independence and imports oil and gas itself. well, we can't help but discuss the situation on the fuel market of the republic of belarus tatiana gennadievna, what can we expect for all of us as an active driver? what will be the dynamics for something, well, in general, talk about the fuel market of the republic of belarus. and probably prematurely, since we are 88%, according to the

statistics of the national socialist committee, and we import 88% of natural resources, natural energy resources, so the fuel market is represented only by peat. and well, as for the product of petroleum products. but i think that a number of certain circumstances will not affect the market of the republic of belarus and the oil and gas situation in the oil crisis of the twenty-second year. this is due to a number of reasons. all oil imported from the russian federation on the territory of the republic of belarus is processed at two oil refineries. 60% of the produced oil is exported to the russian federation . oil of the republic of belarus will cause an increase in prices for petroleum products in the russian federation, one must not forget that the republic of belarus buys oil, and not on the world market, but under international

contracts between the republic of belarus and the russian federation a. well, in principle, speaking for the market as a whole, of course, such a situation will again cause a renewal of interests. energy efficiency and new energy technologies and i want to urge you that we have a fairly good program to date. she is also due to a number of circumstances for the development of electric transport. i came here on electric cars. wow. that is why i advise you. ah, since you started it has arrived. i am on the classic i support the domestic oil producer, so i came to fuel with us we are not german producers, but hmm uh course uh, belarusian energy. e, energy policy is now aimed at the use of electrical energy, as the main type of fuel, the use of not primary resources, but a secondary resource in particular

electrical energy. and i want to reassure my fellow citizens. i think that this is the disastrous situation, the oil crisis, which has developed in a significant way on ours. confirmation of your words, we can actually pay attention to the plasma and understand that the difference is obvious. yes? igor valeryevich the final word in our today's program will be yours as a whole. we see that there really is an energy crisis in europe, not only does it exist, but it will develop in the same gas sector. we remember that the first half of the year of only 22 years, gas was supplied from russia in full, and only from the second half of the year significant reductions in the supply volumes begin, and the entire twenty-third year. they will already pass. here are these reduced volume deliveries. this means that the deficit will be even greater, and in this regard, the europeans also need to understand that this story is for several years. that is, somewhere before the year 25 , and they will pass from the energy crisis and in this regard, the prospects for industrialization, because

the main blow will be precisely on the industrial sector, and not by population, and then it will be colossal, but, it seems to me, in europe, even to the end, they may not realize how much damage it will be for three e, and europe may even cease to be a kind of industrial locomotive alone from the centers of industry in the world. eh, it will turn into such a certain one. e pan-european spain, where there is little that is produced, but in general the level of well-being is relatively high. i am grateful to you for the most interesting discussion and i hope that we have reassured our belarusian audience and in completion of our program. i would like to say that contrary to the promises of some fans in scientific and technological progress. humanity will not soon learn to do without oil, and therefore this resource will continue to have a decisive influence on international relations and the life of each of us, and i would like to end with an

excerpt from the work of an american writer. jonas dick said that we have enough robins oil in america. he banged his fist on the table . nothing is ever enough for anyone. this is the basic law of thermodynamics, i have never had enough whiskey. here you are a young man, have you ever had enough girls, so no standard, no royal cottages will never be missed. well, now sas is authorized to declare. low oil prices should not be expected in the near future. strategic interaction and sharing of advantageous

geography to enter new markets of belarus tajikistan began to move on an updated road map in the next 5 years, 38 points of the road map must be completed. among them are mechanical engineering processing joint production. supply of food machinery for the first time, an unmanned tractor showed mtz a novelty presented at the salon 2022, a belarusian drone can clearly fulfill all the operator’s tasks that are transmitted remotely via cellular communication or on a removable media the ministry of education of belarus has developed a new rule for the introductory campaign universities are expected that next year’s graduates will not take the usual centralized testing. instead of it, two centralized ones are introduced separately; the third entrance test is the profile exam already at the belarusian university itself. the breed of horses is being revived in the stolin region. why is she called a living treasure? for beauty and endurance, the belarusian draft was valued by the grand dukes today in the stables of the polissya field, there are horses whose pedigree begins in 1711 , see the events on thursdays on

our tv channel in the program. a belarusian scientist who was able to subdue the elements, some newspapermen call me almost an electric monster. you are not afraid of the consequences. as far as i understand, your experiments are connected with high power energy . the results of his labors were admired and at the same time feared by their ideas. he possessed some kind of supernatural power and was directly connected with perun, you know what the neighboring landowners said. the hiv threat game from its sites overtakes our documentary yakub narkevich yotka, the lightning tamer or the electric man, all processes in nature in man are not connected with electricity to control people at a distance. i don’t think that this is possible, at least

today you can watch on saturday on belarus tv channel 24. in what way did our ancestors keep the products of the real male craft of cooperage? our potato pancakes are not for nothing that we are called bulbashami myths and legends next to popular culture in all its glory. watch every week the project of fashion for culture on the tv channel belarus 24.

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