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tv   [untitled]  BELARUSTV  January 19, 2023 10:00am-11:01am MSK

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is fashion different? fashion for contemporary art fashion for ecological culture and we also do not forget about the classics. we instill a sense of beauty and get aesthetic pleasure. watch every week in the fashion culture project. belarusian winter all its little things and all the details. some are so beautiful they are breathtaking. some awkward together feel aesthetic
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pleasure? do you feel that belarus is closer?
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after getting to know the name to sit in one place, the children sculpt something there, yes, but for me it was so natural that i was when i sculpted this horse, but i just look at one looking at me, the other becomes. and blind blinded me on you, but i also stuck authority on the whole group. i instantly took off. you name maximalism is something, uh, ironic, that is, as if on behalf of maxim , well, after the modernist paradigm mill, it’s completely normal for their prague to even live something pretty. and that no one would have left, supposedly. as a child, i spent a lot of time reading books with paintings by giorgioni titian rembrandt chess - these are easel , these are the usual figures that we everyone is accustomed to, in fact, not chess pieces exist centuries centuries centuries
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centuries but this is for a very narrow circle, not only we look at the work looks at us about people. what immensely loves to rob something and robs what belarusians love to see on our tv channel.
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i welcome you. this is a program for those who want to better understand the current world and understand how these processes, events, people will affect the life of everyone and the life of the country, and the main events of world politics are weeks. we will tell you right now riots in brazil on january 8 supporters of the recent loser by a small margin, votes in the presidential election is the same. ira was sonar captured the parliament and a number of other administrative buildings in the capital of the country, the security forces easily coped with the protesters, and the army on the sympathy that the instigators counted on. remained true, the us constitution of the eu and other western countries. they took the side of the recently inaugurated leftist politician lula, who did not publicly support the rebellion to the strength and his former
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the rival flew to the united states, but the brazilian government still accuses him of organizing an attempt to seize power by force and deliberately seeks his extradition from the united states poland continues to insist on paying germany grandiose reparations for the occupation during the second world war. berlin refuses to even discuss this issue, considering it settled along with the decision on the borders in the 1960s. however, in light of this year's parliamentary elections, the ruling nationalist party law and justice decided to bet on inciting anti-german sentiment to show the seriousness of their intentions last week of the government. poland appealed to the us congress with a call to put pressure on the frg and force berlin to start negotiations on peace compensation for the crime of the nazis. china continues at a rapid pace. to cancel
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the strict quarantine restrictions in force for three years from the past week, foreigners arriving in cainari were not required to go to the very isolation if the patient test is negative, experts expect a quick restoration of international flights with china, including from belarus, the exit of the chinese economy from the lockdown promises to give it the power to grow global gdp and also provoke an increase in energy prices towards the end of 2023. i want to report that the body of today's cold oil and gas program. who will win, russia or the west, as historians write, in 335 bc, the king of macedonia, philip , besieged a fortress in central greece when the officers reported to him that the fortress stands on a hard-to -reach rock and it will not be possible to take it, he replied. is it so, it is difficult to access, so that the donkey loaded with gold does not pass, and we
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understand that throughout the history of mankind, wars were won not so much with weapons. how much money, without which this weapon cannot exist, this is especially true for the current battle between the west and russia, the outcome of which depends on the economy even more than on the situation on the front line in donbass, we talk about this in more detail in our program to understand the ups and downs energy confrontation between moscow and washington will help me. vadim borovik political scientist, hello, good afternoon igor yushkov, leading analyst of the national energy security fund expert of the financial university under the government of the russian federation hello , i am glad to welcome andrey vasilievich and damako to our program. hello well, by tradition, we start our program with a blitz millet, i address it to each guest. please tell me how much do you think will cost a barrel of brent oil by the
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end of 2023, of course, it is difficult, but to predict, but to provide certain analytics for our respected viewers. i think you can get one. let's mean we have absolutely no one will give you a forecast. there is a very serious variability depending on a number of factors. on how quickly china will get out of the lockdown , on how much recession will be and whether it will be observed in the global economy? where are the leading buyers of energy resources, how russia will be able to build logistics and, most importantly, secure your energy payments and plus besides. uh, what discounts will she be forced to provide. and this is what will play. uh, the role, therefore, it is important for the russian federation today, to a greater extent, that the price of oil and gas does not fall below the limit that ensures , uh, the minimum well, the minimum federal budget deficit. this is the most important
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task andrey vasilievich please i want to hear your opinion. 90 plus thank you succinctly. yes, igor, well, i agree that here, indeed, we are probably waiting for a price under the end of the year more than now, but throughout the year, indeed, it will rather change. here is the first half. probably still. it will be pretty stressful. uh, the period there is already valid and china has at least announced the lifting of quarantine measures, but has not yet finally increased it. we can say that the volume of consumption, that is, the effect, it is oil, my market is not yet fully visible, on the other hand, there is indeed a decline in economic activity due to the fact that both the us and the european union raised rates, and the central the fed bank puts pressure on the price. and so in the second half of the year. i think that there will be a period of recovery in china and economic activity. uh, in western countries will increase. well, if again the question is, how much will the price be on the world market and what
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will be the russian one ? also in the twenty-third. she is also in the second half of the year. e will decrease and decrease. you heard the permission is worth showing colleagues, please discuss the oil price chart in more detail. this is how she looks. we roughly understand that the first month. here, in 2023, the price of oil does not differ, which was already at the end of 2020 the second, that is, this jump was in the past and is now more or less going up, the price of oil, but again, such judging from your answer. igor then, there are some cardinal jerks, yes or they don’t observe decays. well, uh, here it is important to note that there are factors that put pressure on the price, push it down, and this is primarily here, and that factor let’s say, because in the twenty-second year, due to the fact that energy, in principle, was expensive and
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inflation developed in hydrocarbon importing countries a and europe in the united states, and they all raised the rate and the fed, the european central bank in order to overcome this inflation, but this leads to the fact that economic activity slows down, so less oil is needed, but the fundamental factor that, in principle, created this is the condition for high energy prices. this is not co-financing, multi-year underinvestment in the industry. it remains there, and in the 22nd year, too, investments were not enough to cover the deficit, ah. therefore, this fundamental factor, it will still keep the prices of oil and gas and coal at a high level. well, i would like to note that russia's ban on the sale of its oil to countries that have set a price ceiling for its raw materials - these are the eu g7 countries and australia - will cause a significant increase in prices. this statement was made by a commodity market analyst at the bank. handels-bankang.
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christian kopper and coffee explains, first of all, the large volumes of oil purchases from russia for economic feasibility. now when you take it - this is raw material, you will have to pay somewhere else. more will have to be done. however , koffor's biggest concern is russia's intention to cut oil production and, in his opinion, a combination. no, produced volumes with the gradual return of the chinese economy. it can significantly raise world oil prices to its previous state, but more about this in our story, following the european union, the g7 countries and australia introduced russian oil price ceiling the statement was made public immediately after the eu could agree on the price of black gold at $ 60 per barrel if oil falls in price, then the price limit will be revised and become 5% lower than the market value of the ceiling. the price is pursuing goals, firstly, it strengthens the effect of our sanctions. secondly, it will further reduce
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russia's revenues and thirdly, it will simultaneously stabilize world energy markets, as some grades of russian oil. now it will be possible to purchase, including in the european union, resell and transport to a third country. provided that the price remains below the ceiling. russia's response was immediately followed by foreign minister sergei lavrov, who said that moscow is not interested in what exactly the restrictions on oil will be, since russia will negotiate with partners, vladimir putin has already directly signed a decree that prohibits oil supplies to those strange and companies that use the price ceiling ban will come into force on the first of february and will be valid for at least until the first of july, even if they bring it down. and investments will be reduced to zero. in the end, prices will skyrocket and hit those who offer such solutions. so who really benefits from the
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price ceiling, in the first place, cost restrictions are actually an easing of anti-russian sanctions, because back in the summer the eu tried to agree on a complete ban on oil imports from russia and the main initiator of the ceiling was the united states washington concerns a sharp jump in oil prices, further acceleration of inflation and exacerbation of the global economic crisis. in the event of the instant disappearance of millions of barrels of russian fuel from the world market. since the country has only recently held congressional elections, where the republicans won the majority of seats in the house of representatives and the right to block any initiatives. joe biden. ahead of america are waiting for the presidential election, where the democrats may again be left with no lot. all this was the result of the economic crisis, which the democrats are trying to somehow weaken. we have a problem now europe decisive yet more to reduce the purchase of russian oil there are many considerations. what can be done? it is even possible to continue buying oil, but
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at a limited price much lower. what is the market generating now? at the same time, according to experts, the ceiling of prices for russian oil is unlikely to stabilize its price on the market; one should not expect obvious positive shifts in the economies of the european union and the united states whatever the price of oil, the crisis has already firmly entered people's lives. vasilyevich , please tell me how significant the russian budget is from sanctions actions of the western countries, because in general, taking into account the situation especially, and around inflation there, the european union already sees that the key victim, rather, was the world european site. so far, the budget losses are not very large, since we have an average price for natural gas that is, uh, seven to eight times higher than the average price that was uh
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in the past, therefore, with a huge reduction in the supply of natural gas to the european market. and now we are seeing a really serious reduction, there is an increase in supplies to china which to some extent, uh, it replaces, but at the same time the price of natural gas. e was extremely volatile. it reached about 3,000 dollars for 1,000 cubic meters on the satellite market. eh, now that's the price. well, it fell , uh, more than three times from the peak. but usually the price level was around 200. by 250 dollars, uh, per 1,000 cubic meters, and of course, with such a huge increase in gas prices. here , here, i completely agree, and with the russian political leaders, the fact that, to
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some extent, the european union is on its own, but shot in the leg with sanctions, and especially germany hmm uh. here now the effect on the economy is on the economy, in particular of germany and other industrialized countries, which were largely dependent on e-russian supplies. energy resources are not only from russian ones, since gas is everywhere, uh, everywhere has grown enough. great it has led to significant growth. uh, electricity rates in europe as far as oil is concerned, it's a little more complicated here. we do not have a big reduction in the physical supply of oil, but as someone said before, we have a big discount. uh, today we have a brand price of about 88 today, and 53 for urals. uh, that is, we have 35 dollars per barrel. eh, the discount on yors
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is yors. uh, after all, russian oil and gas revenues are considered, and therefore there will be a decrease here, because our volumes have not decreased, but the average price has decreased for russia. we can say even up to now that, in fact, the rejection of cheap russian energy sources. in the greek plan, it will lead to the loss of competitiveness of the european union as an industrial center and i think you are already watching how it is gradually destroying its potential, which in the past was quite confident. especially for the world economy, it is absolutely accurate to say that the introduction of these sanctions, but mutually, sharply hits both the russian federation and the european union . badly, one cannot say that sanctions are good for europe, this is a decrease in competitiveness. buy liquefied gas at market prices, it is much more expensive not to have
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long-term contracts and the stability of planning your economy of transferring your energy, as they say in the green zone and so on. this is always a bad thing today with so many productions. they are brought to north america for russia. nothing good in this regard either. absolutely right. today, gas has come to such a normal real price of 800-700 dollars from 3,000. it was a speculative price. well, she almost wasn't three , mostly two. but it's still two and a half three times more. what was it like in the twentieth year. that is, this is a good price for the russian budget in the twentieth. it's actually 100 dollars. that is, the price is high. today the biggest e for oil. uh, the discount is huge, and you need to understand that diversifying supplies here are these 25% losses in gas, and these discounts. uh, very difficult infrastructure. and it takes a long time to get there, it will be necessary to bring a pipe and from there a pipe and
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pump it there, it must be sold. and you give all your partners the opportunity to twist your arms in asia and you can’t buy at a huge discount, and china will demand a huge discount. and turkey will demand both a delay and a discount, so we must understand that a hybrid war is going on, raise our hands up, we let's not uh, russia has a real resource. this is not just some ritual money. this is a resource that is in demand on the market, but the americans managed to create a problem for the russian federation, so we must clearly understand that there is a problem and that it can not be quickly solved, in order to transfer e-flows to asia in the same china, india needs 5-7 years, in order to actually translate, to create this hub to turkey and, roughly speaking, redirect it there , it also takes years. it's not a month or a week. i want to pay attention to k uh, schedule budget revenues from oil and gas exports. this is what this picture looks like and uh, igor
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would like to hear your comment, so please. first of all, it must be said that the situation here is slightly different, because gas is more difficult to transport, because it is there that the main problems are to create the infrastructure for the transition to the asian markets. unfortunately, we still do not have our own technology for the construction of large-capacity lng plants, that is, plants liquefaction to be transported in tankers. and by the way, also tankers. we, too, unfortunately, are not yet building ourselves; there was an attempt to cooperate with south korea and south korean ones, and the companies there either play, or don’t play, or help. in general, we fulfill contracts, but not in the far east, here is the version of the star for oil and coal, it is much easier to transport here, and in fact. we have already moved to the asian markets. since august 10, coal cannot be supplied to the european union; since december 5 , oil has not been allowed. that is, they e go to the asian markets. we have passed everything, but, and there really question uh uh the number of tankers. if we are talking about oil, but because
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this is the price ceiling, it's not about you can't buy oil from russia, it's over $60 there. no, you can buy it at any price, both the european union and the americans. they say that there are no secondary sanctions for the buyer, but to transport it and insure this transportation. this is impossible. therefore, russia has a strategic task. now enough volume of the fleet has been collected in order to be able to bring their own oil and not spend money on high freight rates, that is, the lease of these tankers and so on predicted crisis which counted. yes, the so-called western partners, and the russian federation, they were clearly convinced that russia would not be able to withdraw so quickly, uh, given those problems and, again, the sanctions policy, but in the end, analysts, experts, people who are connected with the economy, of course, do their work quite effectively. and andrey vasilievich i want to ask you not only as an expert in the field of energy, but also as an experienced financier. here. what is the dynamics of the russian ruble against
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to the dollar this year and pi. the joke is that the russian government, against the backdrop of a reduction in oil revenues, is more profitable than a cheap ruble. is it really so? well, indeed now the ruble is quite high today. eh, this de facto stimulates the growth of imports into the country as much as possible and since. eh, now it is probably more profitable to restore just import supplies to the country. therefore, the very high exchange rate of the ruble, which today, which in turn stimulates simply imports, and it is justified in the short term and the market is justified and given out, but the question is that this is a short-term long-term long-term, of course, for the exporting country, and a more profitable cheap currency has its own for the development of domestic production and in this regard, of
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course, uh, i also think that today's trade balance was skewed, and the short-term impact of these sanctions and and the balance of trade will be restored, not least, thanks to the very high exchange rate of the ruble, that is, it saves us now ; and this trade balance will be recover, but i still want to make one comment on the previous question. i don't quite agree with the uh infrastructure issues. yes, of course, uh, real gas infrastructure takes much longer to build than oil and coal. but you and i have, uh, today the power of siberia, which is underfilled and which is now constantly being filled uh, that is, uh, uh 2 years ago,
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we supplied 5 billion cubic meters. i think it will. therefore, i will give more statistics. no, but i think that there are about 25 billion cubic meters. we are this year put on 25 billion cubic meters, this is a large amount . and the most important thing is that china is adding 30 billion dollars a year, 30 billion cubic meters, yes, for domestic demand, and china today is the largest vacuum cleaner, e natural gas in the world and in my opinion . it will continue to be so, and your obedient servant of the future lukoil, we predicted the demand for natural gas. in china, at the level of 30 years, at the level of 700-800 billion cubic meters, then all world experts spoke about two sixty billion cubic meters. e demand for e, thirtieth year today demand in china is already somewhere around 400 billion cubic meters, which has grown from 100 billion cubic meters 10
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years ago. that is, china has outgrown its domestic demand immediately, roughly speaking, five germany would like to draw the attention of our viewers. the schedule for the export of russian oil by sea in directions is such a list of countries at the moment, but i am also glad to welcome waldemar coat of arms german businessmen, former member of the german bundestag waldemar hello. thanks that you are with us today, and now they write a lot that the warm winter has so far helped the european union to avoid a deep energy crisis and blackouts, which were predicted by many world analysts this autumn. tell me, please, what is the real situation in germany now, the main mood in german society, because we are well aware that the messages that
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the german government also relays do not always correspond to the thoughts that are present in the minds of ordinary germans. it is clear that the presence of electricity is not yet means. its cheapness. a really warm winter to some extent delayed the time from such a global collapse, er, that theory that the german government tried to put forward in our country full storage to calm the people. everything is fine. it is designed for simple amateurs who do not understand that last year we had full storage facilities and only with gas supplies. we could make it through the winter and live to see the next storage now full gas supplies have dwindled. it is clear that we will soon be faced with huge deficit. i think hope uh, our unfortunate rulers for what a hmm
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industrial power. it is collapsing before our eyes gas consumption. uh, it will certainly be reduced and it will allow in some other way. preserve elementary human conditions, yes, so that we can wash ourselves with rags , as the government suggests, but i would like to touch on the most important issue that we very often issue in this connection. what is all this for? and who do we all understand that this is done by her staff. what does it do? that's all the main task is to destroy the solvency of 600 million people of the european union. we are now just in the role of a sacrificial lamb. and now we need to understand our strategists from the east, or we are now helping america to finish off europe to the end, or we, understanding the global nature of this process, will try to resist. but is it correct to
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say that the main benefit to the acquirers of the sanctions against the russian did not involve the export of american companies about this? that's how sol de mar stated. that's exactly those energy companies that were on the verge of bankruptcy during the pandemic, and that is, the current situation is the end of the whole scheme. so, starting from a special us military provocation in europe. this is some non -special, russian military operation, this is a special us military provocation in europe. they managed to culminate in the manipulation of the european union and managed to, uh, get the slavs to destroy each other. and at the same time, europe still has to pay for it today, what we have today. yes? uh, the german government says it's 91% full. a what is not to be silent, that children in schools wear jackets, then by 15%, but have reduced household electricity consumption. how
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much does fuel cost at gas stations? how much does ordinary sunflower oil and so on cost, that is, in fact, every german today paid for what was still in these, but this is with the expectation of a warm winter. and if there was a slightly different temperature effect, then, and most importantly, the savings of german industry, that is, german manufacturers today are limited in energy consumption, but not only due to the fact restrictions on production, but also due to the withdrawal of their own production facilities to north america, that is, the americans are warming their hands on this crisis. they use us, and until european politicians turn on common sense . this may bring europe's strongest economy down. otherwise, they are used to talking to third world strangers like natives. we give you beads in a different gold. today. they behave this way with the european union, that is, they have completely taken control of the political elite and are forcing ordinary eu citizens pay for their european mistakes. politicians, please, well, usually in such situations, sooner or later
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, anyway, people must come to the conclusion that a particular player is a provocateur who is in this. and now he has brought european society. there is a desire that the one who is guilty of this be punished, or again all the dogs will be blamed for all the sins of the russian federation. although in the situation with the european union it is a little different. there is, of course, the protest potential is growing, and once it it will be said that the king is naked. in general, for this. of course, it is necessary, it is necessary to form that political force, which must pronounce this. the previous speaker correctly said that our personnel policy has been dictated for decades from across the ocean. and it is not at all accidental that people like elena berkova and all the others that we now see in power are the same macron. look what is happening to him, he went to america and
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asked so carefully. well, how can you offend us so much and immediately a folder with his personal a case where he accuses and the prosecutor’s office brings charges against him, this is a technique, about which i have been talking about for a long time americans work with our politicians and then when you are with them or we are good in one, hugs go there, such ribs crack right. as soon as we begin to speak carefully, listen, well, this is not very reproachful to our interests. well, how do we protect you from russia, we saved you from fascism then with such terms won't go. you sell energy carriers four times cheaper by your enterprise. you put forward a program of subsidies and the promotion of transfer to you. it wo n't work like that, and then it immediately falls on the table, a folder there is a
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folder with documents for each of us . i don’t know when mine will lie on the table there, but i’m sure that there are already a lot of volumes there, but because we are all people and now the macron, they will put him in a pose. yes , he cannot be tried as long as he is the president and has immunity. well once the president of you will end. he will go to jail social conflict on the territory of the european union is almost impossible to bypass, because the critical mass of the population of discontent. there is a very large concentration here, and let's just all of us try together so that we do not bury the state and peoples under these rubble. the sas program is authorized to announce the topic of today's program cold oil and gas west vs. russia, i address
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my question to igor many in the west accuse saudi arabia of playing on the side of moscow. but how accurate is this assessment, in your opinion. i think that saudi arabia proceeds from its national interests, and in this regard, the european union proceeded from its national interests. yes which players are really colleague. that's right, he says that, of course, discontent is growing, as long as it is socio-economic discontent, that is, people come out to all kinds of rallies. there, the trade unions take them out with a demand to raise wages and lower tariffs, but this is not political demands. of course. uh, what is happening is catastrophic for germany, including for more than 50 years it has been supplied with gas. uh, to europe in large volumes, even a barrel is recognized. uh, the european economy, if at all, modern europe is built, including one of the pillars of its economy, is the supply of hydrocarbons that are affordable both in terms of volume and price. e from the soviet union then from
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russia and admits that this pillar is now leaving and that the european union will not collapse e, of course, here e, titanic changes are taking place on if we are talking about custody plus, then they also understand. and what next after russia can they be, including this oil price ceiling for saudi arabia and other countries. uh, they understand that yes, today in russia he is experimenting, as it were. but if i recognize this experiment as successful and they will have the same one and these are not horror stories, because for gas it is in the european union and the gas price ceiling. he is not against russia, but against all suppliers at once against exchange trading, and therefore against oil the same thing, maybe, but saudi arabia is also well aware that if earlier, and the united states, as it were, were afraid to argue with them there or quarrel, more precisely. and because they were a major supplier, now less than a million barrels per day comes from behind saudi arabia in the united states, they themselves increased their production and will collect from other countries . uh, respectively, saudi arabia
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is the main supplier of e now for china and the main strategic competitor of the united states, so they understand that the united states, from such an ally, can be said to be the main fundamental one, but are moving to a country that can create risks for you, and therefore, of course, they are also trying to diversify their foreign policy in general, interacting with russia, among other things, but because our interests in this area. in this case, they coincide in the oil sector, and therefore, perhaps, we can make such a forecast that again, plus will not replace these volumes that russia is there now if it cuts production, and they will not notice this, because otherwise, sanctions in the form ceiling. prices are recognized as successful and distributed to them below. well, really. which european countries depend on russian imports? gaza here pay attention to our chart, here, in fact, we see that germany is included here and data for certain players, but it’s rather tragic,
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because what to replace it with, in fact, no one has found a solution and answers to this question, waldemar please tell me, what about the notorious green energy, if there are any prospects for its development, either today, and the key players. uh, the green energy narrative itself forgot about this. it was. well, such a fig leaf to cover up their implementation of global plans to destroy the normal german economy. yesterday there was a discussion about the ban. uh, engines by well incineration and everyone understands. yes, no one is against electric vehicles, but they came before them, they pushed through their market , not a need. purely fanatical uh, ideological uh, the mood of a certain bunch of people today, an electric car, refueling at a gas station , produces more co2 e carbon dioxide,
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because we run on dirty electricity. and everyone understands this in this insanity that this ideological green e, propaganda or i don’t know what to call these people drove us. that's why i think that the direction is actually in reducing the load on the planet. it is correct. well , you can't do it. it's fanatical. we know that all isms lead, if they dominate taxes with a peak, they lead to cataclysms, and someone from those present uses an electric car. diesel bmw but i also want to ask about oil in russian. listen americans are skilled manipulators in their time. they were able to negotiate with saudi arabia, brought down the oil and collapsed the union is one of the reasons. now they will be all of us, all of russia
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, including was the beneficiary of the fact that iranian oil and venezuelan oil were boys. and now, when we see the speech of venezuelan politicians. they say, why when, uh, so we were under sanctions and were forced to trade in the shadows in the same iran, everyone used it today, they are ready today, no one is trading with guaido . guido talks. no will carry on negotiations with the official government. biden. talking about the iranian deal. and they will try to bring this oil to the market. and thereby squeeze out russian oil. you need to understand this, so here you need to be ready for different scenarios for the development of the situation, including the impulse, and there will be none. well, god forbid that it does not happen, including will try to saudi arabia anything in any case, they are the major buyers of saudi arabia 's oil and the number one oil producer. they just have a very large economy. basically the us number one manufacturer not in the world. well, i would really like to ask andrey vasilyevich, as a person who is deeply familiar with the problems of the
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ukrainian gas transportation system. now let's talk about the largest turkish gas hub. well, what are its prospects. and it would seem that the answer is clear, just to remain a pile of scrap metal. but it seems to me that this is not always the case. it's simple, and the russian federation also has its own specific plans and specific possible decisions regarding its future. it's very interesting and uh, we we understand that today the russian federation and today supplies gas to europe, and somewhere 50 to 50 through the system of electricity, the turkish stream and the system of a single and gas transport system of ukraine that is, today the transport system of ukraine will remain. well, in general, but the main e-supplier of the russian daza to the european market, while
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this is an e-system. naturally. this is my pain, and as a person who was born in ukraine uh, this is uh, a fantastic e system that was made back in the soviet union with a capacity of more than 200 billion oe cubic meters of gas are very complex and that's all that our fathers built, but unfortunately. it can be seen that now before our eyes it will turn into scrap metal. uh, and uh, ukraine could and did generate very large flows. uh for my budget in the course, i would say up to 15-20%, and the revenues to the ukrainian budget were uh oil and gas to a large extent from the uh gas transportation system of ukraine uh. here. uh, ukraine, of course, shoots itself in the foot now with what it
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destroys. e this gas transportation system. we're driving ourselves into a situation when we were more dependent on turkey when the gas hub and now there trade is increasing. naturally. uh, the turkish stream is involved, there are two lines of 16 billion cubic meters each, which, uh, are now increasingly filled, uh, and then this gas goes through uh. bulgaria to serbia to western europe yes, i would like to draw the attention of the audience to the fact that despite the fierce fighting, under the same bakhmut and in other places, the ukrainian gts is functioning properly and not a single missile has flown into it at the moment i have flown in and can the pipe here andrey vasilyevich addressed this question to you to become one of the keys to peace, because now moscow and kiev are in many areas . after all, there are
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russian oilmen. it was possible to sharply increase oil exports in january after the december failure. but it's still about finding the key to the world. maybe this will be a certain ground for dialogue. i think it can and should, but only when ukrainian politicians and businessmen. uh, will u operate in their own economic interests, and what happens when a system is destroyed that costs uh, that costs two of ukraine's gross domestic product before our eyes. and it just causes e some complete. eh, economic certainly not understanding. so the answer to your question. uh, if uh ukrainian politicians and businessmen start to act more, uh, based on the economic
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interests of their own and their own country. yes, it can and should be thank you for the idea of ​​creating the largest gas hub in turkey for supplying gas to europe vladimir putin said in october, already today, gazprom started the practical implementation of the project. a detail not in our story, the project of a gas hub in turkey arose after a sabotage on the nord stream pipeline in september, a gas pipeline was blown up in the baltic sea, an epic accusing russia will begin soon that it was russia that blew up the gas pipeline, so as not to supply gas to europe when europe starts to freeze, they will start telling people there in europe that it is russia to blame, and so it happened european countries unanimously began to accuse russia, apparently, a huge damage, costly repairs and a reduction in gas supplies for the european union sounds very beneficial in russia, the situation was regarded otherwise as nord stream became unsafe, so an alternative was urgently needed. vladimir
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putin proposed to turkey to create on its territory the largest gas hub, according to the plan, the blue fuel, which was supposed to go to europe through the baltic sea, will be transferred there to a large extent. we will determine the final price for our european consumers, because the fact that they are on their sites, uh, is crazy the benefit for russia is obvious after the failure of two streams and gas supplies to europe have decreased, so the hub will not only increase sales volumes, but also minimize the risks of new supplies. after all, based on the geopolitical situation from future explosions. no one is insured and turkey will benefit in the first place. this is a great opportunity to create a powerful infrastructure and create new jobs. at the same time, turkey will also receive gas from azerbaijan and iran, which will help ankara become a powerful intermediary in sales of blue fuel. we are ready to cooperate on any issues related to gas pipelines and liquefied natural gas, in
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this regard, we are actively negotiating with many countries from central asia to the mediterranean sea gazprom started the project at the end of december 2022 that in addition to gazprom , suppliers from other countries can also become participants in turkish hubs, and all further decisions on the project will be made during this year. well i will ask my colleagues to display a map on the screen, this is how the blue stream looks like turkish stream balkan stream. and now tell me, please, waldemar, it is widely believed that through the project of the turkish gas hub, russia in the average term will solve the issue of gas exports to europe, so you just have to use the services of intermediaries. however , what are the risks that the same europeans will find a way to limit russian profits in this project, for example, through the same
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gas price threshold. erdogan is very uh, awkward negotiators and he has more than once, uh, proved his originality and not non-european thinking in the general context, as we assume for ourselves. eh, he won't let himself be blackmailed, and he won't. uh, take away the advantageous position of their country of their economy. no european officials should forget that turkey has stood in line for admission to the european union for 30 years, and they are all the time like this and this is now erdogan. now playing this card you did n't want us. well, now get it, and he will win it back. the only thing i don't want. we have already become dependent on it enough, for example, here is the containment of immigrant flows. yes, we pay 3 billion there.
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the european union, 6 billion so that it supposedly somehow restrains these flows. he ambiguously played this card increasing prices. if he starts doing the same with gas, then we will not have much fun. we will not dictate, but he will dictate he does not have these uh, green ones. uh, moral boundaries or a house that we have hung for ourselves, but i would like to warn russia to depend on such a partner - this is also not the best way out, so diversify these processes. need to be hard . and in general, it is necessary to press the issue of repair, and two threads or three threads blown up in order to protect yourself. and please tell me, igor, how do you assess the prospects of a and the implementation of this project of the turkish gas hub. although you can already see that the united states of america is naturally dissatisfied with the baba yaga against you, you can
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already hear certain statements addressed to the turkish government. well, it should be noted here that the project of gas hubs to turkey is rather forced, but rather a reaction. that's just the action of the european union and the united states ah, approximately the logic is such that you a nationalize our gas pipelines. here's how gazprom's share, for example, in a gas pipeline. yamal europe the poles nationalized you are blowing up our gas pipelines on you used to put pressure on us uh, there in the form of a third energy package and they said that we have such antimonopoly legislation we can’t do anything we forbid you to use the full capacity of the pipe only half of it and this is it reaction. what well, you don't want us to get inside you, how would the european union be delivered to the end consumer since you do all this okay let's go back 50 years ago, when we transferred our gas abroad. uh, respectively, then the socialist bloc. first neutral country. that's when a gas hub was formed in austria bauntgar. that's where it all comes together. now, if you
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look further through this gas pipeline through hungary, it comes, just the same, in austria. here, let's go back to the same situation, we will leave the first ones, uh, there conditionally speaking a neutral country. uh, at least she did not impose sanctions against russia in turkey and then the europeans themselves will have to take the money themselves to invest in the construction of gas pipelines on their territory. on , respectively, there, at least to austria , and so on, but for russia these are really risks, but because erdogan is understandable. he is, shall we say, a charismatic politician, but nonetheless. hey, idea too. what kind of gas hub will allow you to depersonalize e, gas. why would he come there? just the same azerbaijani iranian gas, they also talk about turkmen gas, but it is unlikely, but, nevertheless, european companies that want to trade with russia have not been in vain for more than 50 years. this is trade. they did everything officially, they can speak, and we take russia from her. we bought an exchange there at the hub, and and so on and so forth , and the emphasis is on this, but
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also, but really, here we must first negotiate with the european companies themselves, because so far negotiations are only between russia and turkey and we inevitably come to that it will be necessary to conclude contracts or there. an additional agreement with the european business itself, so that it doesn’t work out, so we’ll build pipes there when we get there. uh, additional volume to turkey a. nobody will take it there. that is, in this regard, it is also necessary, but to behave very carefully. yes , andrey vasilyevich, we are talking about the turkish gas hype, oh, its prospects. what is your attitude to this and tell me. will europe be able to receive russian gas, only by a slightly different method. and perhaps even if this happens, there will be, of course, dissatisfied occurring, which are likely to help limit russian profits, if such risks are in your opinion. today, russia has the capacity to supply about 50 billion cubic meters through turkey. this is
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a huge amount. it's more than what's going on today. e today through ukraine and today the involved potential. ah. it is, uh, 25 percent there, maybe a quarter even less than a quarter of these opportunities. therefore, yes, of course, uh, through uh, through turkey, russia can supply quite large volumes. today the first second potential of the south of the gas corridor, which is made on e, to turkey it is even more e, that is, in general, indeed, it can be very e large e, large e, transit by a large transit country. uh, through turkey it's a pity. and that at one time bulgaria refused a direct connection eh so? uh, what has now become a turkish stream. it was generally bulgarian uh, and uh. i agree too. here
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with the previous speakers about the fact that, especially with waldemar, that turkey is not a simple negotiator and if you have the opportunity to deliver not through turkey, probably it was better to do just so the last question would concern. and how what is happening will affect the prices of gasoline and the economy of belarus as a whole. so you think, well, i want to note that in any case, the effectiveness of any economy is determined by the ability to diversify imports and exports. and when you are forced to concentrate some nodes on imports and exports, including in turkey, then your partner dictates discounts to you. your partner requires deferred payments. and it's not good either way. that is, it is a forced measure and waldemar says correctly, the best option is to be able to use the two northern streams and more additionally. infrastructure in turkey is the ideal option, but for this we need to come to common sense in europe to ensure peace and
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how the performance of the parties regarding belarus to us. uh, our agreements at the level of top officials at the government level, understanding between business entities that what we are working today in the common market of the union state allow us to more or less pragmatically optimistically look into the future in in the context of pricing for gas oil products and crude oil, because already for 3 years we have been imagining what prices we will have for gas and oil. we understand what the prices will be. we understand that our refineries. incidentally, there is russian capital there, and it will be secured and loaded. in other words, in this regard, everything will be fine and prices will be adequate, allowing our enterprises to compete not only in the market of the union state, but also in the markets of third countries. many thanks to the participants in the discussion in conclusion, i would like to note that the fight
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between russia and the west in the energy sector will continue, and after the end of the active phase of the war in ukraine, we are talking about huge money, and there can be no compromises in the struggle for the european market. russia the united states of america direct competitors it was and until february 2022 it will continue to be so and it doesn’t matter on which side the moral rightness, as the writer jonah steinback said, you can’t fight against money without money, but now authorized to declare. in the energy war between the west and russia so far fighting draw if
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you haven't come up with your dream trip yet, then we always have a couple of great options. this is the highest mountainous settlement in belarus, which, moreover, became famous, we recall the lessons of history, as the first capital of the grand duchy of lithuania, guides and leaders of our country in 1519, thanks to the zealot of orthodoxy konstantin ostrovsky , the temple acquired the shape of a ship this photo in 1914. that's how the temple took off with a cross interesting tourist routes of the park complex have also been preserved. therefore, i propose to communicate with residents who are not afraid of winter. with your first impressions because fairy travel with us to belarus 24. talented and
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inquisitive schoolchildren will not make you bored. well, there was a series in the animated series smeshariki, which seemed to be called the corps de ballet, when dance the ballet in sync, the participants in the game will show what they are capable of, and i think that the wolf, because the dog belongs to the wolf family, and the raccoon - this probably just describes it. appearance will answer tricky questions - in my opinion, this is lermontov's story, but this does not apply to the maximum bitter, they will solve many puzzles and tasks. this is called the tangent theorem, stating that the tangent of a circle is perpendicular to the radius drawn to the tangent point. no, nothing is physics, watch an intellectually entertaining show. i know on tv channel belarus 24. disputes and
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disagreements are misleading, how to find a formula for peaceful communication, time actually becomes more important resource than money today it became clear what is actually happening and what it threatens. we must develop our own strategy, that we must do lessons and once again learn lessons from what we see around the world is changing very quickly, we learn the opinion of experts in the editors' club program. we need to make sure that we provide ourselves with everything, whether it’s bad, good or not enough, how many, but we must be self-sufficient. do not miss the new episodes on belarus 24 tv channel. come on, our dream book asks for such a therapy. here you feed, whether he is a goat or not a goat. but everyone needs to be
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fed, then everyone will be kind. here we have a creep. we call it the waist. and this is a baby. these are all boys. we don't have girls far away, because don't be. don't be afraid. and what is the name of your wife, a beautiful name, but the artist no, thank god, but we have married people, not married, what a good tree you have, a catalog, there is a description of all the irons. with svetlana borovskaya on belarus 24 tv channel

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