on gabriel, it has already been called a disaster on a national scale as a result of the elements, 11 people died, and material damage. reached 8 billion dollars , dozens of cities remain flooded. electricity is still out in 30,000 homes. belarusians have declared an orange level of danger due to strong winds and snowstorms in almost all regions of the country, except for the vitebsk and minsk regions. tomorrow it will also be windy in pairs up to 24 m/s. at night from -5 during the day to success, up to 8 heat is expected in the southwest, on wednesday, february 22, a sharp cooling. night hours in most of the territory, and in the daytime there will be short-term snow in places. wet, slippery snow on the roads, the night temperature will noticeably drop and will fluctuate from minus one oe in the south-west of belarus to 18 frost in

the north of the country. roads are expected to be icy and visibility may be affected. more information my colleagues have 15 hours. i say goodbye to you on this. all the best. belarusian winter all its little things and all the details. some are so beautiful they are breathtaking. some awkward but together they are one whole. together, not harmony looking at them you feel aesthetic pleasure.

do you feel that belarus is closer? jean borisovich good evening good evening. that's when a military expert appears in the studio , many are unnecessarily tense, although there is no emergency. here, in order to immediately dot the s, i ask the question, which for some reason is now being promoted fluently, they say, the closure of poland is another transition. it's almost like a declaration of war. here's what's wrong with these statements. well, as it is not paradoxical

, there is definitely some truth in their statements there is, but i would say, so no announcement of the continuation of the war. in fact, we can state that poland, together with the strange ones of the west, is waging a hybrid war against belarus, as it is possible for several years, as one might say, a hybrid war. if we take, so to speak, the e statement of geologists i includes information economic political and as the last hot war, which is waged by proxy, that is, by means. e those residents who live in this state. well, thank god, we didn’t go through this stage in 2020. they switched over, because the political actions of the imperative are armed, but this does not mean that poland and the west have abandoned their efforts, and therefore relax. yes, therefore, uh, i think that first of all this informational kind of blow. because the second attempt to inflict

economic harm on us is really unpleasant to undermine the status of belarus as a reliable transit powerhouse and a reliable transit state. so in general, i believe to sow some discontent in the ranks of those who, living in the western regions of our country, carry out shuttle economic ties between the western regions of our country and the eastern regions of poland are very serious there. as the youth says, there are serious amounts of connections, and therefore, i think, many people who have lost a significant part of their income. because of this, they are here, will be dissatisfied , the question is where they will go discontent. well, our opponents believe that inside the country, well, for several years they have been believing the situation to shake up the situation and multiply the number of dissatisfied. i believe that we are present at the preparation of a new offensive hence all this talk about the possibility of an invasion. their illegal formations under the flag of the opposition from

the territory of ukraine in the ranks, which will be polish vacationers. yeah, the goal is to destabilize the situation, unleash a civil war and generally paralyze the belarusian authorities. so i think these are all elements of that very hybrid war and what the next steps will be, but uh, we will wait, but the state seemed to be ready, that is, no one canceled the informational component in this war. they actively use it absolutely. i think that uh, given that there is no hot warrior, one of the most important along with the economic. let's just leave two transitions from poland . well, lithuania is also starting to engage in this stupidity, but your forecast. here are the remaining two transitions and with such an attitude towards us on the part of polish goods. yes, why do we need their embassy? yes , and two consulates in case they still decide to take such a step. well, maybe i will express a somewhat paradoxical thought, but i believe that

they themselves will not survive for a long time. the thing is that from this side we transitively held on to that from poland lithuania are transit powers that also carry out the passage of chinese goods, goods from central asia and so on and in the opposite direction, also goods from western europe of course there is a blockade there are sanctions against russia belarus but there are no sanctions against the countries of central asia and china and in general , we are an important, uh, milestone, so to speak, on the path one way, which the chinese are blazing here. and of course, when they forbade this transition. they also thought that you and harm the chinese, too, in order to well let's say to quarrel not to quarrel, but to reduce the value of belarus in the eyes of the people's republic of china, but i think there will be pressure on them from western europe because, nevertheless, the current conditions of violation of the existing economy. communications will hurt the other side too, and i think that nu will be more forced to abandon this

blockade, because it is contrary to her own economic interests. that is , it is a matter of time, a matter of time, a matter. uh, how long will the polish elite not survive at all ? it is famous for the fact that it does not calculate, far reaching implications, if you look at their friends 80 years ago in fact throughout their entire history, so i think that this is a temporary measure, and they will gradually abandon it, as far as diplomatic representation is concerned. i think that , of course, it is not necessary to completely break off diplomatic relations, but to lower the degree of representation, yes, then, of course, it would be necessary to show that we, in general, understand their hostility, i say, we see. well, i think we should at least carry out some more. yes military exercises and three and training in this region, because judging

by the responses from both the polish side and the ukrainian side , this is so unnerving for both the ruling elite and the military elite and ordinary citizens that i think it’s not a sin for us to pull their mustaches at all, but i’m generally a supporter of in order not to expose the pike all the time, we absolutely provoke a further load. absolutely evil must be punished one way or another. the fugitives , especially in poland, are now very excited after the president’s statement about the return of belarusians to their homeland and the reasons why principle, understandable apart from financial. well, that is, not only money is still floating out of their hands, but also this base for recruiting cannon fodder in the khorugle, as they called them for the war in ukraine. well, of course, for preparation, then this is in your opinion. why are these few fighters who are dying in batches? what's a sin? yes, they are needed now

in a foreign war. i think they need a banner of these people, they need a banner to uh fan the participation of these people. to show that there are many of them, that there are serious forces in belarus that together with the strange west, they are ready to overthrow the existing government, but they will not directly intervene under the banner of nato, because belarus is an ally of the russian federation, it is covered by a nuclear shield. we have a common defense space. and there is already a regional grouping here, but try with the help of this banner under the cover of the sign of the opposition and in the forefront, maybe 10-15 people of our armed oppositionists, and then there will be polish vacationers, private military companies. they can not. i think that it is for this that they need to make the banner; they need this knowledge, because after all,

a certain influence is certain. this ideology still has it even in the belarusian society and in general, if people even somehow hid after the events of the twentieth year, if they do not show all the external ones, then if under this banner there will be some, well, aggression on our territory is difficult to predict. e how much will be under this knowledge, therefore, i think that they are precisely these considerations and guidance and the second. of course they are afraid losses, if in military terms a mobilization resource is a sacred thing to split the ranks of opponents, that is , fellow travelers, so that those who, well, succumbed, left. in the general mood of euphoria, it means that those who joyfully in a joyful party ran through the streets so that they left and they can still be saved, as they say, the return of the prodigal children alexander know what confuses me in this

situation. here even in these arguments. after all , the fact is that i understand that there are several dozen of them. yes, there they themselves say that there is no small company there, there are no regiments there, but after all, the hottest spots are really throwing them now, that is, they will get drunk, yes , they fought in solidarity, there are dozens of dead there, and this is a fact that is confirmed, including the information that periodically appears in the telegram channel with specific photographs of the dead then why are they being used this way? if then there is hope that they will be used here in belarus, or is it still, let's say, the interests of different groups. i think it is the interest of different groups and in addition, here i participated yesterday in stream. with opponents on the other side , they believe that by doing so they earn the authority of the ukrainian authorities, combat experience and then, together with ukrainian comrades. they will solve the problem of

reformatting power on the territory of belarus that is, this is from their direct lips. well, i’ll say, so if the speed of their burial, to put it mildly, is the same as now, then there will be no one to participate, well , even if only 2-3 people remain and this will give an unambiguous reason in terms of information to make 300 out of three people, a from 303.000 and so on. that is, we know how this is done in the information field in a purely informational agreement, but look, there are injections. yes, it is on a trip on monday that the president met with the secretary general and the children's commissariat of the nails, and this year three military exercises are planned to be held on the territory of belarus. yes, echelon interaction organizations. search csto has military potential. it's not a secret, another question. how sufficient is it in the current conditions, how to evaluate it? here is the potential. i want to reason from the roots from

the moment the dkb was created. still. i i suppose that it was created primarily to block the vast land border of the russian federation with strange central asia and through them with afghanistan , because, in general, there was such a threat that the flow of muslim radicals, drugs means that migration will pour into the russian federation where there is a large muslim population and it's not a secret. there, these extreme currents have their influence, and we constantly hear reports that the fsb, uh, is detaining certain groups of these radicals who are forming detachments here, who are being transferred to hot spots in syria and so on, and who are preparing some kind of hostile actions here, then initially these are covers in that direction and russia in general, i must say, e even fought with us in this regard. in fact, they demanded that

we send significant contingents to cover that direction, and there was a difficult situation, because our constitution forbade the participation of belarusian military personnel in operations abroad and the president had to adopt a number of regulations that allowed participation belarusian military personnel in peacekeeping operations maintaining order and enforcing peace abroad. we know this mechanism. this is the submission of a personal application by contract servicemen and the personal approval of each candidacy by the president. that is, this issue was resolved, as for the contingent, which means that russia has one airborne division, one airborne brigade, kazakhstan has one airborne brigade, one battalion. one airborne vitebsk brigade , the rest are all one battalion each, that is, we we see that, after all, the main striking power

is belarus, the russian federation, and kazakhstan, kazakhstan, but given the importance of that direction, the central devatsky. i think that it is unlikely that the russian federation belarus is counting on military assistance from kazakhstan. i think the president means political unity . it is on the territory of kazakhstan e, there is huge stocks of soviet-era weapons and ammunition, which have been prepared since the time when we confronted china and that direction was the most dangerous , hundreds of thousands of tons, e. ammunition that periodically explodes in kazakhstan is also here. i think that , in this situation

, and, of course, the armed forces of kazakhstan are not bad - there was good help, but the russian federation cannot expose the direction , it relies on ammunition stocks and i think, partly military equipment, which is located on the territory of kazakhstan, because we see what systems are in use now, for example, e, howitzer, d-20 1952. the stalinist sledgehammer is very widely used now, which means at the front in ukraine. in addition, old ammunition that is even difficult to screw to blow up special devices. they are made. so, you start in the fifties and end in the nineties, therefore, of course, there is a desire to mobilize the resources of these states, including the economic one, and they have large reserves of the market for land materials necessary for a russian pc, but there is opposition from the west the thing is that western monopolies, which while russia was weak, have deeply penetrated into the economies of these countries. they owned their main

branches of oil production - gold mining. uranus means rare earth elements and now these countries seem to be sitting on two chairs. children. there are learning capitals brought abroad there and there are levers of powerful influence on the elites. and that is why now it is lukashenka who is raising such a question. you guys are sitting on two chairs, or are you still with us with us in the political, economic and military, well president. he also calls for common sense, because the fact that he has stated not for the first time that he will not be able to sit still speaks only of what is real. well, you know, this is how the righteous is in this reason. yes, and separate twigs. it will be easy for us to break one of them at the same time if we are united within the framework of the dkb. we really can not break. you see, talking about kazakhstan in my opinion. in the same place , they penetrated not only into the economy. right there in the public mind. still, the soros foundation has been working there for 30 years

active it from there absolutely. i remember very well that competitions start there from the best writer of kazakhstan to the best play and so on. this is still organized by the soros foundation for his money, and there uh, including the cultural and economic elites. as you rightly said , political or they were brought up largely thanks to this, and this is the danger, in fact, well, we just saw it for a single space a year ago. yes, when it turned out that the western roof is unreliable and does not guarantee, uh, this group ruling elite, safely. they haven't been taught much yet. well, unfortunately, unfortunately, i don’t know how many more repetitions are needed for them to learn their lesson. the thing is that as soon as they cease to correspond to the interest of the west to a certain extent and they are immediately replaced, another color revolution absolutely agrees. they will simply be merged, as this is not the first time this has happened in others. absolutely on february 21, putin

will deliver a message. here we have concerns about prices, about the economy as a whole. the main thing that the russians want to hear. it seems to me so, at least i suppose and not only the russians, when it ends here, do you think we will hear the answer to this question. so, i think that we will not hear the specific dates or cities on the map during possession, with which the operation will end, because both sides are fighting here and the situation will depend on the result of the struggle on the battlefield, and in general, as it seems to me, uh, the operation will end when ukraine loses a combat-ready capable army, when its mobilization resource is depleted only as much as when they cannot provide crews for the military equipment

that will be supplied by the west, and the internal situation in the countries themselves and the second. now in ukraine it is almost completely lost. economy, there is no economy. the whole country is supported by, as we say , the collective west. yes, and that means children and benefits for pregnant women, and so all this without which the state cannot exist is now paid at the expense of the west. how long does the smell maybe to babysit and hold in his arms to feed from a nipple, then ukraine, as far as he has, enough patience and resources. that’s the question, and besides fatigue, the fatigue of the population of the russian federation is not for nothing that strikes at the infrastructure and not only the military and not only transport, but also the infrastructure that provides life support . there is no electricity, no sewage pumps

, no drinking water. no, transportation and so on, so i think that the war is really going to attrition. i have no doubt. west frills ammunition still planes, but questions of where they will extract new ukrainians, they are unlikely to want to sacrifice themselves on the battlefield. there are frozen ones. eh, in general. wars that hmm are not hundreds of thousands, and in general, i think, as the combat-ready personnel of the ukrainian army will be replaced by mobilized ones, and their ready is not ready, but if their morale is low, then i think, in general, this is an army doomed to defeat, so i think there is not a specific date, not a specific point, well , the great great military de mold and senior, who provided bismarck with unification germany said that the struggle is not for territory, but for the destruction of the

enemy army. if you destroy the enemy army, you will capture the territory. well , remember kutuzov, he said that if i lose moscow, i will not lose the army yeah, if i do not lose. then i will return the army to moscow , everything else, and in the end ended up in paris. yes, not him, but, of course, the russian federation switched to the tactics of grinding the ukrainian army. and they probably could attack more actively more intensively, but now they are saving their strength and grinding ukrainian contingents. they take multiple hits. watching the offensive is already creeping , everyone says that when it starts , several blows are already underway, a weak spot is determined, and the main forces will be introduced into this weak spot, where the defense will be pierced. we know that some of the main mobilized. who says 120 140.000 is in the second echelon and is waiting for the result of these, uh , trial trials and is preparing and preparing

, you understand the most interesting thing, which is a little incomprehensible to me. i am a man of the past in the past, still a military man, yes, and i read a lot and bill read historical literature, military literature, that's all the same in the forty-first year. yes, we knew where the war would end, where would it end? yes, the answer was one in berlin and the lair. we will definitely come there and sign at the restaige, and the question was not in time. the question was for a very specific goal , now such options where yes, like the tower of the kremlin from odessa to lavash. well, i understand, of course, these experts can say whatever they want. they are usually not responsible for their words. they make predictions and make hypotheses, and than cooler than cooler, but still. eh, how much i understood from your answer? where the question is not now, look, and putin

has set the goal of the war to be two militarizations , denocification, that is, it is not a question of time or space, but the question of the result is accepted. sign in iconic sporting events in the context of the whole world, our girls performed very worthily 4.10.12 place the level of competition in russia you know today what therefore , we hope that these are promising guys. they will show the result of key news in the future and sports facts belarus remains the flagship of belarusian football. and this, despite a significant renewal of the composition and a change in the coaching bridge, the formation and development of a new generation of belarusian athletes.

today we can pay more attention to our hockey, so today we are attracting more children for about 40 years there are vacant places for young guys. there is an opportunity to take young guys out of them to make stars. look at belarus 24 tv channel .

the announcements dismissed that story and dismissed the energy of the place where i came about the memorial complexes of belarus and look at the documentary cycle the memory of my land on belarus 204 tv channel. meanwhile, in the western media, there is some movement a year ago. today nearpost, writes russia has gathered half a million soldiers and about 2,000 tanks. yes, and plans to launch an offensive within 10 days. you say there's a creeping offensive going on and they're just probing. yes, so after all, this is a global offensive. this is an informational false start or, let ’s say, a radical increase in activity at the front due to, as we are used to

, flank attacks surrounded by large groups and so on. is it real or not. we are talking about the fact that they will take artyomovsk and thereby solve a major global, yes, military task today. the way it will be. i think that we have already said that the matter is not in the cities, the task is for them to use all the reserves accumulated for the spring offensive, which do not plan for this spring, the reserves were pulled apart. these most hot spots in these very cities, because the ukrainians pulled them apart so that they could not later use them to fend off that offensive. uh, let's say the general one, which the russians will obviously be looking out for , waiting for the degree of depletion of these reserves to reach a certain limit. and when e their blow will not threaten a counteroffensive. that

is, you do not rule out a truly global offensive. russian, of course, of course, should be. uh, well, knockout knockout punches or not, that's enough. sometimes we have a question. and how soon he will recover, and either the enemy will go. this blow or he will count 10 for him and it will be, or vice versa, it will sometimes be him and he will still resist for some time. well, wait until the end, until the battle is officially over. well, it feels like western representatives from the referee team. yes, they are not ready. count on points, i think there are only incandescences, yes, in turn, yes, because the head of the ukrainian foreign ministry warns of great events on february 24, which russia will remember, kuleba likes to make such big statements. he once said in the twentieth year that it is necessary to destroy the economy of belarus, yes. uh, in order to achieve their goals, the goals

of democracy, as he used to say. well, here's what kuleba might mean to them in this situation, the ukrainian offensive, ukrainian provocations and terrorist attacks on the territory of russia, or something else. well, here i think the list is small, of course, on a big offensive. they can't count, because there is an exhaustion of ammunition that must be brought and in ramshtan. they are there to discuss it. uh, the failure of the majority, tanks and armored vehicles, the lack of aviation, and so on. i think this completely cuts off this option by the 24th, but there is a possibility of inflicting terrorist strikes on some important russian infrastructure facilities. uh, maybe a drone launch in the direction of moscow or a few years that they developed for example, yes, well, it could be the old soviet elections. swifts, yes, about which kharkovsky 7.

well, he probably doesn’t do it anymore, because already there. russian scandars flew in there , and so, well, they said something about the fact that by the beginning of the conflict, ukraine had several hundred such devices and with the help of the ration company. it means that they built the control system in such a way that they can guide them over long distances and at targets at a distance of hundreds of hundreds of kilometers. that is, you predict such a massive one, but from the options where it would be informationally painful, what where? remember, when at the base in engels a heavy bomber struck. this caused a very unpleasant response. after all, the task is to visit. well, discord within russian society itself. fatigue to show the inability of the ruling class to lead during the war and so on. that is, i think that there will be an attempt

to discredit the leadership. the federation is further possible, well, as they already said, a nuclear provocation, that is, to announce that the russian federation, by its actions , allowed the chernobyl region to be contaminated with a new contamination of radioactive substances due to the fact that they either scattered these substances, or opened the vault, there and so on. well, maybe even uh, that means an operation using chemical weapons somewhere in the surrounding regions. here it is about the drones from which the ukrainian criminals are preparing to spray chemical weapons, and they have already used it, it is possible that it will be used in the border zone of the russian federation against settlements. that is here. well, here is a set or well, like a strike on the crimean bridge, only not on the crimean one, but in a different way, an object that is in the field and dofiga itself should

be a great informational response, that is, the crimean bridge is their nothing yet. did not teach, apparently. it showed them that when using even insignificant forces it is possible? well, of course, significant damage. after all , it is not fully functional yet. that is , i think that they believe that they carried out a very successful operation and caused serious moral and economic damage to russia , look there. there's another daniel there. yes, the head is on the side. he behaves like his criminal past. that's real, right? directly declares that the country is not going to comply with the conditions for the use of western weapons. well , this means that massive strikes into the depths of russia massively into the depths in the case of the delivery of the appropriate expression - it's just a matter of time and in no way unwillingness desire. they have the west. is it capable of retaining such an unscrupulous partner if the deliveries are made? i

think that we should not consider whether this smell is ruling as something unified, and as the special military operations and as the victory of ukraine moves away or becomes impossible. i think that different thoughts come to different figures, i think the ruling one is mad, as our soviet times used to say, who are ready to go to the end and take extreme measures and there are people, well, more sober , sober-thinking prudent, who believes that the use of ukraine according to territory of the russian federation massive use of missile weapons over long distances. can cause well, an unpredictable response from the russian federation uh-huh the thing is that well they they rightly believe that putin does not calculate politics and it is difficult to predict how he can respond. despite the fact that they are in the press, they say that well, russia will not

go for me. and war will not be used there, but i think that there are some other options. here, i won't talk. what but we remember that strategic russian tu-160 bombers landed on the territory of venezuela at one time and venezuela allowed deployment on its territory. uh, well, some bases are not stronghold towers, uh, which the russian federation could use in certain situations. that is here. uh, i think that putin, of course, he is a man who plays long. he must be guided by the principle that revenge is a dish that should be served cold? so i think it's not over yet. we will see, therefore also obviously thinks or from actors. i think that among the military , first of all, who, well, really understand

the degree of threat in threats, people from the political class who came on political speculations, they hardly really assess these threats are calculated, therefore, i think that all the same, we still need to look at how the situation will develop in the ruling class itself. uh, if you look at the publication of hersh, and the explosion of the northern streams, then many believe that this is some kind of signal about the awakening of the sane elite, and that these people are preparing eh. well, let's say so. slowing down the american president biden, so that he does not run for a second term, this is nothing accidental in america alexander borisovich if the topic of nord stream had already been touched upon. yes, this one provocation, or rather this terrorist attack, which took place and the article that appeared by an american journalist who is trusted in the information space not only in the united states but

in europe that the us air force planes were flying over these places back in june 22. well, in fact, the whole algorithm, how this terrorist attack took place, he paints, and they believed in it. it's written like that. so it's hard not to believe it. here is a journalist. he has long created a reputation for himself as a person who does not write. it's just the way he is there are facts. here's what i would like to clarify. you partially said that putin likes to play long, but still there is a feeling that the russian bear constantly swallows these slaps in the face yes , it swallows one after another, and it seems to me that this is not very similar to such a strategy when you are real like a kitten being poked into a battery. but still, what will be the reaction purely in relation to this issue and can it be tough enough? i

believe there will be a reaction, but a delay. why putin is acting in a soft glove , let's say. first of all, this is because looks at china and india, which is now showing loyalty, but obviously, if russia acts sharply aggressively, and in general, well, it will be possible to see some kind of imperialist intentions in this. i think they say their position. it's wobbly enough. they may change. we see that india is showing an ambivalent position. she seems to be buying, so to speak, russian energy sources, but he says that he would like even cheaper, that she can support these ceilings and so on. well it's in the press in the press like this on the other side. she reports that she is going to continue buying russian

weapons and so on. and that's it. these states, let’s say, the members of brix are looking back at them, vladimir putin. still, why are slogans from lavrov’s side that we are in favor of negotiations, although inside the country, how he talks, only capitulation, but on the outer contour the russian federation demonstrates ostentation flexibility peacefulness, what could be the answers? well, if you take an adequate answer, then this is, first of all, well, the possibility of some kind of emergency, for example, in factories that produce. gas thickens heads, but liquefied gas in america is well in the technological cycle, which means that there is a short circuit there is something else. maybe some well, ultra-communists who used

to be called maists. here they are, again, some kind of sanction, sanctions, or on some important objects of american infrastructure on military bases. uh, in the middle east some. here again, an incomprehensible organization will fire missiles, as at one time, iran did it in the answer to, uh, the death of his general, therefore, i think that u answers to such will be prepared, but russia now has a rather narrow corridor. she is forced to look back at world public opinion. do you agree with snowden's message that all this hype around probes, unidentified flying objects and so on is artificial in order to divert the issue of the nord stream topic, which has become really painful, including for the leadership of germany well, then, there is scholz who is accused now it’s straight forward that he would have passed on this and who allowed these terrorist attacks and thereby let go of the standard of living of non-germans, for whom he is responsible under the constitution and he found himself in

an extremely unsightly situation. and this is an attempt to bring down this topic with a new information wave. as far as it is for you, it seems justified. well i think it is. the few tools that they usually have left in such cases. yes, usually in such cases it means, let's face it, the war is undertaking some kind of small military landing. there against some kind of drug regime and so on, in order to divert attention and somehow consolidate the common now, when the war is already on, the americans got in and when it was in afghanistan and out of afghanistan well, the toolkit is small. these are probably smart creative people. they came up with such a thing, because until now, as many sources say, these unmeasured probes have been flying on the territory and no one has particularly

bothered. and they even tell trump they didn’t report, because there were so many of them, but also uh, back, because the sixties seventies - this is a war of probes of balloons reconnaissance, when did they launch aside? there are hundreds of thousands of such balls on top of each other, and in general most of them. uh, she collected intelligence information both on the ground and in the upper atmosphere and so on with complete impunity, so, of course, i think that there is an information operation taking place. moreover, all the media unanimously picked up, they wash the ears of the eyes of the bystander completely s-hammered the miner for him. that's it there in the fiftieth same topic ufo, she, in principle, was very popular. yes, now i understand that this message has returned. let's get the population a little busy with such questions so that they don't think about the head. i count one more thing. eh, now, poland wants to return to it again. it

is building up military contingents on the border. well , for the past year, at least, yes has been buying equipment, including south korean tanks. yes, the behavior is more than reckless. the baltic emirates, in principle, run into a military slap in the face all the time and i'm sure that in the case of a team america's face, yes, they are without inflation in russia. that's how much in your opinion now, these restless our neighbors, the neighbors of the union state, are potentially dangerous and ready for aggression. and if you are not ready yet, then when, in your opinion, this readiness will become maximum. well, i want to say that, of course, military preparations themselves are dangerous. we remember chekhov's well-known statement that if in the first act there is a gun on the stage, yes, then in the third it will fire, therefore, of course, when large

contingents of troops accumulate on both sides, then danger arises. uh, let's just say that by chance the outbreak of war , there is a human factor, there is a human factor, and in the conditions of psychological processing by constant history in the media, and the fact that people who are under uniform are constantly preparing for such options. well , the human psyche can simply not stand it. we remember episodes. e with the moments when a nuclear war could break out. between means, uh, the usa and russia, then, it was flocks of geese, then it was clouds, only it's a glitch in the computer. it was, and in general, probably a miracle that this did not happen, and only now lowering the voltage allowed, so to speak, enu to ward off this threat. now we are witnessing the growing military threat again. well, here's the injection. i'm such a goth case.

uh, i remember the teachings of the eighty-second year. we had major yakubovsky, the nephew of marshal yakubovsky, as an intermediary, and he said he was a flag officer, uh, with the american division, that means, uh, west germany, and he said that the officer should resolve situations that arise on the border. well, this is the situation, says the drunk an american sergeant with girls of easy virtue knocked down a barrier broke into the territory. uh, the gdr disposition of the soviet troops and asked for political asylum means, and then woke up and asked to be asked back, that is, perhaps, uh, well, such a situation could be with shooting and so on. that is, uh, in general, such situations can happen, and even without the desire of both sides, they can lead to a serious military conflict. but if there is a willingness

to use it, this situation increases many times over, with regard to the likelihood conflict, then i am already of the opinion that they are waiting for the emergence. an armed conflict on the territory of belarus that will provoke and are waiting for either the pokosovo option, or even here on the territory of belarus in the western regions, may arise. well, some kind of entity that will declare itself independent and call on progressive humanity for help, as we saw it means in kosovo there and so on, so i think direct war is unlikely, unless, uh, there is an exchange of tactical strikes of tactical yajarzek, but in case there is a proxy war , then aggression of all these guys and poland can follow it, and strange, that is, just in case, i emphasized here, that is, the thought that you raised.