well, the human psyche, maybe elementary can not stand it? we remember episodes. and with the moments when a nuclear war could have arisen between the united states and russia , then it was flocks of geese, then it was clouds, then it was a computer glitch and, in general, it is probably a miracle that this did not happen. and only now the voltage reduction allowed, so to speak, well, to avert this threat. now we are witnessing the growing military threat again. well, here's the injection. i'm such a goth case. uh, i remember at the exercises of the eighty-second of the year. we had major yakubovsky, the nephew of marshal yakubovsky, as an intermediary, and he said he was a flag officer, uh, with the american division, that means in west germany, and he said that the officer should resolve situations that arise on the border. here is such a situation. says a drunken

american sergeant with girls of easy virtue knocked down the barrier broke into the territory. uh, the gdr was the location of the soviet troops and asked for political asylum , then, and then woke up and asked to be asked back, that is, perhaps, uh, well, such a situation could be with shooting and so on. that is, uh, in general, such situations can happen, and even without the desire of both sides, they can lead to a serious military conflict. but if there is a willingness to use it, this situation increases many times over, with regard to the likelihood of a conflict, then i still hold the opinion that they are waiting for the occurrence. an armed conflict on the territory of belarus that will provoke and are waiting for the pokosovo either option, or even here on the territory of belarus in the western regions, may arise. well, some kind of entity that will declare itself

independent and call on progressive humanity to help, as we have seen, means uh in kosovo there and so on, so i think direct war is unlikely. unless, uh, well, there is an exchange of tactical strikes of a tactical i more expensive, but if there is a proxy war, then aggression of all these guys and poland and countries can follow. that is, just in case, i emphasized here, that is, the thought that you touched upon. if within the state yes tear, yes, yes, it will be provocative fact absolutely. they wanted to achieve what they wanted, yes, yes, it was no coincidence that the president said that when all these unrest began, and as he said, polish flags appeared in the city, he mobilized half of the army and threw it into that region, it’s obvious that after all , our analysts consider the reality of such an option

under certain conditions well i have one more question. he is, maybe not global, but still this is something that concerns. deliveries after all, we just heard about tanks about aircraft long-range missiles missile systems up to the ability to inflict deep into the territory of russia , here is your forecast. for this technique how soon and how much of it will appear on the territory of ukraine but i believe that, of course, in order to assemble and prepare it for combat, given that it is being removed, many of these tanks are leopard from storage and in a number of countries, one of the latest modification of this is a part, but less that they need to be raised. in addition, it’s still really an element

of training, especially tank maintenance is such a technique that after each battle, if it remains alive, it requires maintenance is serious, so i think it should be considered around march. well, this equipment still needs to be assembled, it is necessary to assemble and bring the combat readiness, so the planes here are a difficult question even for the west itself, given that almost all airfields. ukraine is within the reach of russian missiles, whether it be a caliber, or iskander, or h101 from strategic bombers. this means that it is difficult to find a place where a solid number can be based. well, there, uh, ukrainians say two walls are needed, which means someone says, well, give at least 24 at first, and a swift floor, so it’s clear that , first of all, you need those types of fighters

that can start from poorly prepared sites or highways. well, at 16, in my opinion, they are not very intended. for this there is. there are such possibilities. i have read an expert that the case is prepared in the respective sections of the highway road. well, maybe it’s easier to use , it has a smaller take-off area at the start, in addition, maintenance and mastering means, e typhoon and the arafighter is not is good, because it is a completely different class of aircraft, which means that the f-35 is not good. well, the tornado may be, which is now being withdrawn from service, but there are very few battles of ready-made such aircraft, very, given that they are being decommissioned, which means, uh, it will be difficult to find them in combat readiness, which means the candidates are , uh, there is slovenia, slovakia, and someone else - then maybe,

uh, perhaps, the czechoslovaks are some remnants of the mig-29 and, more importantly, the f-16. uh, i don’t see any other possibilities for candidates, so soviet old aircraft can be within 20 pieces. i think very fast delivered. although they will also need to be , i think, about the same time frame. what "yes. and what about the f-16? well, i think that they, too , will eventually be supplied by the americans. but it's a matter of timing. will they succeed? well, you know, i'm still a skeptic in this regard, because i believe that even if the planes of the second world war, the training should still have been several months, yes, uh, and that was takeoff landing by and large also trained pilot to retrain completely new equipment for new equipment. i mean,

another, which he, in principle, did not see his eyes. before. still, you will need a more serious one in order to start from the highway. yes, it must be or even high-class, but there is an option. who will who will sit in the cockpit, huh? well, we are talking about vacationers of these contract soldiers well traditionally. extreme yes, about a philosophical question. are you military experts here? can a military expert tell you what the world lacks for the world? i think the world lacks justice to rule out the warriors needed to provide, fair distribution of natural resources and produced goods, because all wars

start now or for material resources. this means that on the one hand or one of the parties protects its material resources and natural resources. it can be both water and earth and valuable precious metals. moreover, now, uh, we are seeing more and more depletion of natural resources and, in general, the question is an elementary question of water supply. the same soon can cause and has already become the cause of these collisions ferghana valley potential war around it. so, i think that if humanity organizes. e such a distribution of material wealth, which will be recognized as fair by all peoples and states, then the causes of the main wars will be excluded and despite the fact that this seems to be a utopia. it seems to me that a multipolar world

is closer to this ideal than the dominance of one state or even a group of two states that would share resources and natural wealth among themselves in terms of spheres of influence. here, i would this is what it looks like from my point of view. well , god forbid, you have enough sense to come to a multipolar world. i think that only a multipolar world. here he can provide. here is the achievement of such an ideal. you can even say, drown, but this is a guarantee of the survival of the survival of mankind, if there is still the right of the strongest, to which it will take an unmeasured amount of natural resources and material goods for itself to the detriment of others, then wars are guaranteed to us wars are guaranteed to us for the distant future.

live panorama of major events, monday, february 20, i will tell you sergey lugovsky hello ballistic terrorism provocations sanctions ultimatums pressure external challenges are becoming more and more.