[000:00:00;00] plus, on 17 spring in belarus is in full swing and the coming weekend will please the inhabitants of our republic with warm weather, while uh, under the influence of frontal sections in most areas, there will still be short rains in some areas and there is a possibility of thunderstorms at night in the morning hours in humid air fogs will thicken for a short time in places across the republic. brief rains. thunderstorms. it's warm, all this will continue at the beginning of the working week on monday afternoon until 16 heat more information my colleagues at 15:00. i'm on it with goodbye and have a good

weekend. good evening, this is the economic environment for belarus, one of the satellite tv channels belarus 24. the main domestic political event of last week was the address of the president to the belarusian people and the national assembly , which was instead devoted to a block of economic issues. and this is quite natural, as the head of state noted. give me the economy and everything else. i will do without you the economy is the real basis of any state and sanctions. as our president stressed unfair illegal sanctions. we will not be stopped, the time has come for initiatives and active actions to immediately introduce our scientific developments, develop existing and create new high-tech industries, implement import-substituting projects and implement union programs. and, of course, they preserve social justice in

our state this year, the median in the current five-year plan, the task is to ensure gdp growth of about 4%. and we will do it, we will cope, because the economy today is one of the conditions for the sovereignty and independence of belarus . today we have experts in our studio , with whom we will discuss the direction of implementing the economic tasks set in the message of the president valery belsky, deputy chairman of the council of the republic of the national assembly of belarus , doctor of economics, professor maksim yermolovich, deputy head of the presidential administration of belarus and medvedev , chairman of the national statistical committee of belarus dear guests. good evening. good evening, i propose to start with

the main thing in our country with a person, bearing in mind the topic of social justice, which sounded so brightly in the message of our president, and here is valery ivanovich argued systematically with specific examples. can it be argued that it is social justice that underlies our state policy and thus forms the foundation of the framework of socio-economic stability in our society. oh, yes, of course, dmitry vitalievich can be asserted and must be affirmed. this is a distinctive feature, uh, of the economic, social and ideological policy of our state. uh, in the message is not the first time this thesis is voiced and the head of state emphasizes this, but the most important thing is that the decision and the laws that are adopted in this direction. they are of a pronounced social

nature, moreover, man is the highest value of our society and state. and this thesis is a norm enshrined in our constitution, and the work in this direction is being carried out by the president. he has focused precisely on ensuring the social protection of our society and people. and this thesis is the most important achievement. eh, well, i’ll mark this message. what else? following uh behind the theses that the head of state voiced at one stage or another. here i liked it, just the thesis on social justice, which sounded the message of 2006, he said that social justice and patriotism are the foundations of the ideology of our state and the president emphasized. e on the fact that the government should be focused on ensuring social justice. we

are building a social state and this is our forte , and then the head of state spoke about the inadmissibility of social division. and so i note, as an economist, that in some cases. well, these figures have been achieved. e but of such a biased value, for example, one of them 1%, e of humanity, that is, about, e, seventy thousand people, own wealth. how many are all the other 99%, and about sixty people have a concentrated total world wealth, uh, who uh. hmm, in the same equivalent, half of the population of our globe owns , belarus stands out in this regard for the better. and i am sure that our state will attract for that part of society, uh, that wants to live in

a fair society and develop, raise their children, ensure their health and comfortable existence. there are many indicators that characterize. uh, the level of social inequality. in society. it is not necessary to admit that according to all these indicators. this is the ginny coefficient of the decile coefficients. relations between the number of rich and poor are being established, within the society, according to all these indicators, belarus is at the level of those countries that consider themselves to have achieved social equality, e developed countries. and we are nothing uh, according to these indicators, we are not inferior to the most uh, the best practitioner in the world. and so the president said in his message that we have built such an economic model. e,

a socially equal state, where there are no oligarchs, where there is no e stratification of society into rich and poor, and beyond. this thesis hides a fairly large system of relationships in society. this is the availability of education. availability of health care availability of standard services, including. and housing and communal services it is a whole complex. issues for which the state is responsible. and according to these indicators, those countries that lose to us, but have very significant social risks. we see that social dissatisfaction constantly arises, conflicts of clashes, including quite severe ones, this is all from what people consider unfair, and their social status and what concerns the indicators for the social development of the country,

of course, the main thing is to ensure all the monetary incomes of the population and employment are key issues. and in the last twenty-second year. uh, special attention was paid precisely to increasing incomes or not reducing low incomes, not allowing low incomes in 2022, when we understood that unprecedented sanctions were imposed on her astronomers. as a result, we can say that, for example, the level of wages. we rank second in the cis in terms of wages, ahead of only the russian operation, in terms of employment, last year, and according to the results of the survey, we got an actual unemployment figure of 3.6%. this is the lowest rate over the entire history of observations, and whether a repeated decision was made to increase pensions and the real pension. we have increased significantly and moreover, e in the framework of sample surveys of households. and

we received information that the population answered us that 88% of people are satisfied with their lives in the republic of belarus. this shows how much that social policy is receiving a response today and we are successfully developing a socially just state among the population, but someone in the west does not like this approach, and about this reminded our president in the course of the message they tried on us, many methods of hybrid warfare and an attempted coup d'etat and sanctions and what about the boomerang of economic consequences for western countries? let's listen. great financial experts predicted the collapse of our economy, the collapse of the ruble, the petty-bourgeois population. and now, when the forecasts do not come true, we have to explain to the citizens of the european union why, when they saved on

gasoline for warmer hot water, belarus survived even in a number of areas now they are looking for objective subjective facts there in the west, write to viktorovna, the head of state noted that in some areas we have added, and in what areas, but the key is actually what the head of state said, this is that we withstood and found an opportunity adapt to the very ones that were imposed on us, for example, since the second half of 2022, there has been an increase in key macroeconomic indicators, for example, in industry. e, 4 by the third quarter was 15%. that is, it speaks of that the main industries have adapted and started working to build new supply chains of logistics supplies of financial resources in a completely different way. and

we managed to get a record balance of foreign economic activity, which amounted to a positive 4.3 billion us dollars , which means that we were quite successful, and our industries worked in foreign markets. and, of course, as the main example of successful work, this is the agro-industrial complex, which, firstly. uh, last year i had a good crop of record cereals. the harvest of rabs, but grew by 3.6% compared to last year, but also made a significant contribution directly to export figures. this is eight and three tenths of a billion us dollars received for the supply of agricultural products. for export, but in fact it is a quarter more than in the 21st year, and today the task has also been set to continue this work. we know that the industrial complex has been and remains the flagship of high-quality economic growth in belarus, and the president

sets the task of keeping the annual growth rate in industry at the level of 15-107%, that is, the level of a successful twenty-first year. here is maxim leonidovich, due to which, in modern realities, we can ensure such a pace , just, in industry, more than 30% of the total gdp is formed in the industrial complex. and no matter how we were not convinced that the industry is not so important, we need to go to other sectors to develop more services, and abandon the material production of this glory. god did not happen, and er, if you remember. a very consistent position of the head of state, which was that we must preserve and develop on our industrial complex. we must build an enterprise engaged in material production must create

new types of products. we must preserve those priority areas of our industrial complex where we have competencies. and the task today, uh, that the designers of the sanctions packages set for themselves was to create the same consequences that were after the collapse of the soviet union that operational communications would be lost, that our industrial complex would stop and be unable to to function in the new conditions, but in fact it turned out that our industrial sector quickly enough unexpectedly quickly for those who imposed these sanctions reoriented to new markets. demand has increased, where our products were not bought before, our interaction with the russian federation has only

improved. we returned to e, discussion and formation of e union programs in the field of agricultural industry. this is a gigantic market, which is ready for belarusian enterprises to supply new products to demanded products on these markets became. uh, these are the sanctions changes. they have become nothing but blessings. and uh, again, this reorientation happened quickly , almost within 22 years, the industry significantly increased export volumes. there are examples of enterprises that increased the volume of production of exports of goods by three or four times earlier, uh, it was very difficult for them to grow even by 3-4% this is the reality and uh, those areas in which we

traditionally turned out to be in demand, but retained the potential it is agricultural engineering automotive industry. today we are already trying and successfully trying to participate in cooperative ties in the field of aircraft manufacturing. we are moving into sectors dominated by the countries of the collective west. this is a new new challenge. and to answer this challenge. the president needs to work on this and said that the main requirement is the first time to modernize, invest investments, invest brains, if you want, in creating those products that are in demand by the market, and this market is not limited, if we talk about the achievements of our export. yes, indeed, we exported more than eight billion dollars of agricultural products of the agro-industrial complex last year, at the same time

, the russian federation last year imported agricultural products worth $35 billion with significant reserves huge reserves china, uh, a huge market. uh , again, uh, we, uh, are looking for ways to develop our own industry within the framework of cooperation with the russian federation , the machine tool market is estimated at hundreds of billions of dollars. uh-huh machinery equipment is the market is not limited. today, we need to use all the opportunities that exist and have been preserved in our country in order to increase these volumes. and in order to increase them, it is necessary to re-equip in time the sources of financing are determined, uh-huh, there is access to technological equipment, including the one that we can make on our own. it remains only to move faster, as the people say, to spin,

in order to implement all this and realize the most efficient and fast, but one of the main macroeconomic objectives of president this year is to ensure the growth of gross domestic product of about 4%. at the same time, the head of state formulated six factors for the economic development of our country. let's take a closer look at them, please. how do we know this? firstly, today is the time for active action initiatives, only outside-the-box thinking leaders, enthusiasts who are able to move the industry and the field forward need brave people who are not afraid to take responsibility and not be afraid to go beyond the boundaries of the instruction, if required by necessity. and if their courage and risk are not associated with personal gain

, you know what i'm talking about, and the result is visible, then ivanovich will not cause such a management style of questions from regulatory authorities from the point of view of theory and modern management practice. yes, management science. does the manager have the right to take risks, and where is the line between managerial competencies, powers and the degree of responsibility, of course. uh, all economic activity is a risky activity. risk is an integral part of the work. manager, but this risk must be justified, calculated, insured, without risking, it is impossible to achieve. uh high scores and having a leader is bound to take risks. if you speak correctly, but this risk must be justified , it must be once again emphasized and calculated. and you can't share. uh, here are two of these concepts, probably risks, responsibility

, that is, the responsibility of the manager is in any case, if certain results of the enterprise’s activities are not achieved, if it slows down and fails to fulfill its social obligations, then, of course, responsibility comes, but sometimes we are faced with a situation where the actions of the manager are objective, aimed at improving the efficiency of the enterprise is interpreted. maybe as excessive risks, as illegal activities, including here is instructive. how should i say that the edges are probably, or the red lines for, uh, making risky decisions should be, uh, the law did not violate the law , did not go beyond its limit, which means you are doing the right thing. the second question is objectively or not - is it achieved results or not achieved fulfilled in the business plan of the enterprise of its

work plans for the investment project. so the head of state also emphasized in her message that the regulatory bodies that provide work on the evaluation of activities, including leaders. uh, they should focus on prevention, and the effective prevention of violations of the law by the regulatory authorities should say that this issue is under constant control of the corner states, too, uh, it works is associated with certain subjective it is extremely important for us, including in the context of social justice, to provide an objective assessment of the activities of managers, which every day their work is fraught with a certain risk , unfortunately, not in all cases today, as shown. this practice manages to achieve such objectivity, for example , the state control committee, which is the ideologist of control activities.

he is making certain efforts to improve the efficiency of his work, including opening, for example, educational project of the current year. uh, in our main main university of the country , specialists will be trained in state audit, but the question is very delicate, sensitive as a millionevich in general. we monitor, permanent government. this is what we monitor the mood of the leader to this day. uh, the workload associated with inspections for business executives. she ranks among the top management concerns, yes it is at the right time to ensure the economic and social security of the country. need a business initiative in the face of e restrictions in the foreign trade

gap. uh, the traditional supply chain search for new markets, marketing, have to make innovative decisions. and to substantiate them. hedge for hedging. sometimes there is simply not enough time, therefore, managers take this initiative, but still subconsciously understand that this initiative may be followed by a check, and based on the results of the check, negative assessments of these actions. and this can hold back the initiative of the leader, so that this does not happen, one must not only look at the inspectors. look, also, at the legislation for those administrative barriers that we built under normal conditions

in order to liberate this initiative, to make all the tools available to the manager for increasing production and sales in order to maximize profits at the same time. one criterion is the most important for evaluating these actions, if the manager is not looking for personal interest, corruption can destroy any undertakings, any projects. those who are wealthy in the country are insignificant or the lack of control over corruption risks can turn into a big disaster. today, we need to give, uh, the right to take risks to the leader, to give him the opportunity to act on the basis of economic rationality. but at the same

time, strictly control and punish any corruption, but uh, maxim leonidovich, a question for you, as an employee of the presidential administration, yes, the political headquarters of the head states. does this approach of changing the requirements for new leaders mean that we have new requirements for competencies, er in modern leaders. and if in our country, well, there is a personnel reserve, a sufficient personnel reserve, er, such leaders of a new formation, i would not say that we have some new trends lately. and we are doing it. uh, something fundamentally new in terms of the implementation of our personnel policy personnel policy, consistent generational renewal happening today. in the system of state bodies in e. at key

enterprises, and indeed , young people come to leadership positions. a. well, let's say relatively young, if that's the gold standard of a high-level leader. this is 40-50 years on average 45 years. today, the personnel register of the head of state is a list of positions of about 800 positions that are consistent with the head of state's mission. this is the highest level of leadership. in our country. so here's the average the age of all this composition is 50 years old and the largest number of representatives of the age group is 40-50-44% of all. in these positions. uh, this is exactly this age group 40-50 years old 44%. it seems to me that this is the right approach, because

this is already e level. e, the highest, when e is the leader of e, has work experience, including having gone through a good school, training and such a leader. e. well, let's say , firstly, he is active enough to keep up with the times and implement the tasks that the country sets before him. secondly, he has enough experience not to make mistakes or to reduce the number of these mistakes to a minimum and make decisions balanced reasonably without being too adventurous, but there is one very important point. and it lies in the fact that we must develop business education. in our country, the academy of management under the president of the republic of belarus has taken on this task

and more than 50% of those who are in the personnel register. i think that the picture is about the same in the country as a whole for those enterprises which we call with you the flagships of our economy and who are leaders in the regions. ah, those leaders. e, one way or another, at least 50% of these number were trained at the management academy, but even this is not enough and education itself must meet the challenge of the time, it must be adaptive , it must look for the best management practices to meet the highest standards, therefore business education of its development. this is what we will have to do in the administration and me personally as an employee, but the presidential administration, responsible for the economic block, therefore

, together with the government, together with the administration body of the academy of management. we must find the ways of business education that will give knowledge to people who have passed the school of life and are ready for appointment as leaders, summing up this block yes , the head of state called the time for initiatives. well, let's call it that of new managerial competencies, and the second factor, our president determined the increase in the roles of science, it is required from it, i will quote, to move industries into new technological structures in the face of intense competition. well, dear colleagues in this context. er question here we mean, er, the increase in the utility and practice orientation of our science. eh, hmm what you need. eh, now more actively introduce new

technological solutions in production. what do you think, i think that here it is not only necessary to introduce a new solution, but also to find those areas that will be of interest to specific organizations and manufacturers. today we have a fairly high level of even innovation products, for example, for each we have a fifth ruble of output. these are innovative products and every third ruble is a high -tech or medium-tech level product, so today science should not only be focused on some product directly or not r&d, but also work out those moments that will allow e to offer completely new approaches and new solutions. the production of import-substituting products in this case is also a key issue, and products for each enterprise of a particular enterprise in specific areas. what do you think, valery ivanovich, you worked for a long time

in the system of the national academy of sciences, i cannot help but say that we have science, fortunately, and the academy of sciences works under the direct control and management of the head of state. and what if we are talking about the academy of sciences although the academy of sciences is 40% of only, uh, belarusian science. the rest of science is concentrated in universities and enterprises. here and uh, i can’t say that hmm science ah and practice, they don’t today work together or do not give results, of course, work but potential. eh, this activity, of course, undisclosed task, just consists in the fact that the niches that have appeared, as we said the president. spoke generally speak, if in the twentieth year was not, it. it would be necessary to invent sprouts appeared. these are the seeds that our state has been sown for a long time, including our

education and science, because we always focus on pure scientists, but is it, for example, employees the design bureau of the tractor plant cannot be called scientists today. these are also scientists and there are many. a design bureau where fundamental developments are carried out, where more than 400 people work, this is a whole design bureau as a scientific institute in amkodor, for example, there is a scientific and scientific and technical center where it works just for this reason. uh, of course, uh, i emphasize once again that, of course, there is. uh, some questions regarding. there dynamics of implementation of developments. uh, the topics and developments of the instructions of the head of state related to the motivation of the work of scientists, by the way, speaking was such an order has not yet been fulfilled. also , the head of state agreed with the need

to take into account risks in e-planning. e, scientific e scientific work and most importantly, when evaluating their results, this is also an assignment. i think that the adoption of such decisions is a few of these fetters that exist in science today. organizations would be somewhat weakened, so to speak, if we are talking about science. but in principle, we have a good, consistent , diverse, diversified science, there are priorities for scientific activity. they correspond to the priorities of our work. states. and uh, task. there is no harm in improving scientific activity, because having lost some direction, a scientific school is formed for 15 years in order to grow a scientist after he receives a good higher education. it still has to come to pass 15 years. try to get today. here are microbiologists, for example, uh, so here are

the quick qualities. here is today for tomorrow. yes, no, this can be introduced, of course, some countries have chosen this path canada, for example, here are the experts, but uh, but uh, advantage these. the uh countries are leveled out, because there is no school of their own, it is important to have their own school. maybe i 'll add a spoon. we spend about half a percent of the country's gdp on science. about 500 600 million from budget funding and about 700 from innovation funds financed by r&d. the applied direction of science, if i may say so, is more adapted to production activities. this is catastrophically small. technologically leading countries invest 545

% in science. and if we want to have our own science. we need to increase spending on scientific activities. it's not a fast process. i absolutely agree with valery ivanovich teaser on which we will lay. now they will bear fruit only in 15-20 years, but it is important that we have the science, that the seeds that were planted 20 years ago. today they allow us to stay in the world trends in the field. those scientific studies of which belarus has competence has a school. and look at what happened in 2021 and 22 , when technological uh, sanctions turned out to be the hardest for us, because we were cut off and continue to be cut off from technology, er, that we did not have. we

even had to develop software for our e, productions on our own, and here science did not let down what was created in the country earlier, but was set up to solve these problems. and where were we, if there were no science now. but technological competition or the dictates of technology in today's global competition is of paramount importance today is impossible without a high level of development technologies and consider ourselves an economically developed country, and in order to achieve this we need to work on our own science. we need to cooperate with, uh, scientific organizations of friendly countries, primarily the russian federation of china, cooperate very carefully,

because we can offer achievements in the scientific field that are not available not in the united states, not in the uk, not in the european union we have developments that are ahead of time , and we need to go on developing these areas of scientific school to give them new impulses to give them funding to continue developing it is difficult to disagree, but due to scientific support, it logically follows an increase in the share of innovative production, as well as import substitution, as a third factor. let's listen to our president. should not depend. western political entities restricting the freedom of civilized business, this is a matter of national security import substitution. listen when they talk about some kind of sanctions. i was talking about the twentieth year. i think, thank god, thank god that

a colossal market has opened up for us. take and sell which, by the way, we are doing, but so far only by 70%, 30% we need to add and add urgently. this is national security. there is a wide field here for the implementation of the most daring ideas of belarusian scientists. last year we produced import-substituting products worth over $27 billion, this year we can add 10%. there would be a desire for viktorovna as well. and our statistics keep records of production, import-substituting products, and in which sectors we could add those same 10%. and this information is kept by the ministry of economy even today, just in the ministry of economy is working very closely with the task set by the head of state to increase the volume of production of import-substituting products by 10%. that is

, in fact, this year it is necessary to produce 30 billion dollars of import-substituting products. today we are working on a number of fronts. there are projects that are being implemented, including within the framework of allied programs in conjunction with the russian one. operations are the main areas that are import substitution for auto components and batt holdings work here. e belaz amkodor today, work is underway to modernize gomselmash plus. of course, this is a large layer of work to replace machine tools and machines that we used to import. that is, this is also the same amkodor, for example, for field preparation equipment. this is the same kuzlitmash for machine tools, so today this work has been implemented today. it unfolds as part of the instructions of the president. at the same time, the tasks set, and the government that 56% of all import-substituting products should be

exported, set an ambitious task. will we be able to implement new import-substituting projects in the current year. and that this requires this work must be carried out constantly. here is the task. it's not just this year. dimitri too, yes. uh, in some areas, for example, the production of equipment for the food industry, of course, we will admit that it is important for us, we will not be able to implement everything we need this year or there regarding some kind of achievements in import substitution in the field of software or hardware production based on mean usage microprocessor and computing technologies, of course. these are very tight deadlines, but most of the projects that are planned, including those cooperation projects that are planned with the participation of russian financing of russian enterprises, of course.

they will be features of the current time, that e markets for our e, manufacturers have become more defined, that is, we understand who needs our products, if we previously had certain developments somewhere, but they were on the shelves. so now, uh, we have, uh, certain a buyer who lives in the same conditions, and we therefore focus on cooperation projects. but, uh, let's say, some types of equipment for the home-made industry could have been made for a long time and efficiently, but our market is quite small only our republic, because uh , many uh, enterprises, including the russian federation, were guided by branded products, which were produced for outside the union state. now we can do it, it opens up a huge opportunity for us, but on the terms of the operation, it’s not we just can, probably, and should, and offer

not to go far from import substitution. eh, we have prepared a short story on this topic, eh, which shows that projects are being implemented in different ways , and one of the examples when the firm hand of the state did not allow an enterprise to slide into the abyss of bankruptcy is a metal-rolling plant for the production of tinplate measures. now it produces import-substituting products. let's see 30.000 tons of finished products in 2022, already 17.000 tons by the beginning of april 23, and many times more are planned. this is tinplate, the only one in belarus and one of the best factories in the world for the production of modern packaging material, operating in the north of the country. what is tinplate? each of us knows jars for canned food, lids for home-made products

, containers for varnishes and paints, perfumes and cosmetics. all this is made of tinplate, before belarusian manufacturers, whose product is to be packed in thin sheet steel, bought it abroad at least 30,000 tons per year; today, tinplate is produced in miory. the project began as a private one, but investors failed to keep their promises, got bogged down in debt and turned the ideal enterprise into bankruptcy. last autumn , the state took the team under its wing, and today the miory metallurgists give odds to competitors . the modern trend, the thinner the better. if, for example, in magnitogorsk or temirtau, tinplate is rolled out to a thickness of 0.2 mm, then at a belarusian enterprise, the consumer is offered a sheet almost twice as thin as we are in the warehouse, vertical in vain spot-rolled juice, this roll is 1.6 mm thick, and its length is about 1.5

km. after the rental. it will increase approximately 10 times. it will be 15,000 m3, respectively. the capacity of the belarusian market is small, so 75% of the products are shipped for export, when projects were started, they had views of europe for the time being. others are biting their elbows with belarusian quality . it is sad that we cannot supply nearby countries, which are european, which are closed, but they are stupid. they just closed the borders. understands just the same economic benefits, because here the logistics for this are very close and was built, but today the main direction in russia at the enterprise employs more than 700 people, specialists began to return to miory. is there a feeling that something unique is being done for the republic of belarus yes, this feeling was present from the very beginning, because when they learned that such a plant would be built in the dead, no one, probably, seriously believed in

wages and working conditions are good, therefore people come here to work for us not only from our district, but also from neighboring districts even strange, yes, some specialties are taught right in the workshops for mentoring , payments are provided for experience is worth it in your team, i will say that we work smoothly. i have a second operator, who i am currently training for another two months and he will receive his first admission from this project. there is a colossal side effect on import substitution, the extremely positive construction of a large plant has spurred the development of the social sphere, at least the next decades. it will still be a locomotive that will pull the entire economy and appropriately develop the social structure of our city. we planned to build a kindergarten, we plan to build only 90 places, taking into account the launch of the plant, we reformatted it. and today we are also building one of the best, probably, kindergartens for 200 months. the factory workers do not rest, but

solve difficult problems every day. basically, sanctioned european suppliers of consumables. contracts were broken, found others in china and russia. so they will work and earn money. well, you probably remember the fate of this plant, that is, what we have in as a result, yes, with the support of the state, we have kept jobs organized, import-substituting production is developing the social sphere, and hmm, all the corresponding economic effects associated with this. well, tell me, would we be able to save this enterprise, if we guided her with current liberal ideas that the market will regulate everything, are you sure not? what do you think maxim leonidovich i want to return again. uh, everyone to that thesis, uh, from which we actually started this preservation of the industrial complex in the country the government is very clear about this task and is doing a lot to

attract investment to create conditions for