grigory semyonovich hello, we are glad to welcome you in belarus in minsk , please briefly tell us for what purpose you came to us. well, first of all.

hello uh very happy to visit minsk again in belarus well, the immediate goal is, at the invitation of the minister of telecommunications and information of the republic of belarus , to take part in the opening of the twenty-ninth session of the forum, and the fifth session of the eurasian digital forum. however, i tried, based on my interests and mandates, as deputy general secretary of the shanghai cooperation organization also hold consultations in the executive committee of the cis belarus is rushing at full speed towards full membership in the shanghai cooperation organization. if everything is in order, i understand that this could happen in the summer. say that the entry of belarus into the sco will give both belarus and, in fact, self-organization a question here.

reconclusive technically, since there is a fundamental decision of the heads of the member states, that the republic of belarus is also becoming narrower. well it's hard to say since all of iran applied a little earlier , so the ninth or tenth. and i think it's not important when it comes to what the membership of the republic, belarus, will bring to the sco. i think a lot, because in principle, i would refer you to the speech of alexander grigoryevich lukashenko last year at the meeting of the council of heads of state mark samarkand, where he very clearly stated. he formulated what belarus is ready to bring to the sco, and what, belarus is membership, what is there, as they say? do not subtract do not

subtract do not add. i'm the only one i will say that this is an organization of multidisciplinary cooperation, its agenda is different from the issues of combating new threats and challenges , political coordination and up to cultural and humanitarian educational projects. therefore, in this regard, the republic of belarus will, of course, always find the most convenient niche for itself and will undoubtedly enrich the palette of our interaction. a lot of analysts, i see, write that, after all, the sco is a fairly serious new geopolitical center, and especially in the context of the economy, they wrote a lot about the possibility the emergence of its own currency away from the dollar. yes, they even called her ruan. tell me in this direction, that is , the sco countries have their own currency, is this a reality today, or is it still some kind of prospect. in fact, work is underway, serious substantive work is underway. so

a roadmap for the transition to settlements in national currencies is being developed. well, this process , again, is far from simple, because, unfortunately , the dollar is the world's reserve currency. it is too deeply embedded, including in the national monetary system here, in order to to completely abandon the dollar. and of course, much more is needed. make and go quite a long way, although, alas, western. well, fucking don’t want to rush our western colleagues with different emotional terms, they, unfortunately, with their sanctions war, which are now unleashed, which are already becoming simply global in nature, as for the introduction of some kind of single currency, what is not. this question is not yet worth it, and such a goal has not yet been set. but, and then

we will look when i was preparing for an interview i looked at what various colleagues write about, and now, for example, a turkish professor or an asmologist in his article for a turkish publication at the bottom. here is what he wrote about the role of the sco in general, the decision of saudi arabia to join the sco brings to the fore the nato image of the organization in the conditions of the formation of the multipolarity of the sco is of particular importance, in particular, for ridding the world of us interference in the internal affairs of individual countries and regions. do you agree with this? what does it matter that this is the sco and nato - these are two fundamentally different in essence nato associations are a military alliance, he calls himself a defense one. but, if we look at all nato operations carried out over the decades of existence, the alliance introduces an exclusively offensive character. well , if we remember george orville in 1984 war and

peace. well, that's about all you need sco. this is an exclusively peaceful creative association, which has never been anywhere. and i, as a person who literally participated in the construction from the first day, i can say this, with all this responsibility, that there was never a thought of opposition to anyone. especially confrontation with anyone, what's like? i spoke struggling with those new ones. the challenges that pose a danger not only to the sco member states, but also to virtually all countries in the world in general are extremism, terrorism, extremism, separatism. this is drug trafficking - this is a border organized, organized crime. this information security, the sco space. now it occupies about a quarter of the world's land surface, the population of the sco,

if we take both the member state and the state of observers and dialogue partners approaching half of the world's population . and in this vast space with a gigantic population, you understand, a positive alternative to the way of life is being formed. here is a vital paradigm, as a positive alternative to what is offered from the outside and what we call the collective west. in this, yes, the role of the sco is hugely positive, but again the sco does not enter into confrontation with anyone. this is a peaceful organization of the genome, which does not have confrontational conflict genes. that is , it turns out that it is just the same. uh, let's say the policy of the west turned 180 ° , which is based on the fact that there must be an external enemy, there must be an external enemy bad russian bad, the chinese, which

we must resist. tell me, in your opinion, again , the new york times, pea dividers, everyone writes, when they have done it, as a rule, they write that it is conditionally speaking, the preparation of russia and china for a large military union, the sco lives according to its own norms and principles according to their ethical principles. well they got the name in the shanghai spirit. the question here is, why not? leading and led. yes, of course, the most powerful financially political militarily member states. they may bear additional responsibility, but this does not give them any additional rights, because the fundamental cornerstone, e, life paradigm of the shost is complete equality, regardless of the financial, economic, political or

military potential, all decisions in the sco are taken exclusively by consensus, so any the state that says e, due to certain circumstances images, says no, everything, it completely blocks the solution of all the others. that 's actually the point, but those who are trying to see the military alliance here, you know, and uh, there are known simply amateurishness or unprofessionalism. yes indeed the ministry of defense. e also interacts within the framework of the sco and the chiefs of the main staffs and even conduct military exercises, but again , a professional observer will quickly see that the scenario of the exercises does not in any way imply joint defense. against some external

we are talking about countering large-scale attacks on a large-scale attack by international terrorists of all-russian extremists, and the practice of recent years shows that they can be so large-scale literally in a military nature the other day , as far as i know, twitter e shanghai organization cooperation was blocked. yes. in my opinion, the information war. today, which harms such a global, such a global agenda, it is such an association as our sco or we, in principle, are just here together, we can work much more efficiently. i would not say that it hurts one way or another, well, not on twitter, that is, we have very active explanatory propaganda work in the telegram channel. uh, another thing is that here are similar actions as the owners of twitter well, they once again show. eh, as far as fiqiu have already turned all such theses that were considered sacred crowns for western society, such as

freedom of speech . for us, this is an incentive for us to work on our channels. yes, we need to give our own information space and spheres, and ct, i must say now, is the key priorities, uh, on the sco agenda, if we started we are mainly with international information security, now we are already working on almost the entire spectrum and i want to say that now, when belarus will finally receive the status of a full member of the sco, then such forums as tibo they will be a very powerful addition. that's exactly pine's work sphere and ct are talking about creation. yes, we are talking about creating, you know, like that diplomat in a good holster, a good

diplomat. no, there should be no place for words. no, in the same way , the organizers of the cooperation organization are on the agenda. no confrontation, no conflict. we are always looking for a positive alternative. grigory semyonovich will round off. here is my question. you know this, uh, people on the internet, when they read about the sco, about brix, about some such organizations, they are always interested. how are these organizations with each other? interact gone eat their own agenda their mechanisms of interaction their decision making mechanisms and their implementation the brix is ​​an association with the pain of a much, narrower agenda . and that's how many years. i observe and directly participate in these processes. i don't see any. uh, there are no overlaps , no conflict situations, any kind of competition between them, each works on

its own repeat agenda, therefore, which is open for interaction with all multilateral international associations and other states, not excluding nato the problem is that if , indeed, er, seriously, she would look at the demand for those areas of the abstract in which one should work and would really, er, deal with those challenging threats that really face humanity. i have already named them what would be quite ready for partnership cooperation with nato. but alas. unfortunately. now this is not possible and not on our last question. and how do you see the shanghai cooperation organization, say, in 10 years? after 10 years. i think that the sco will increase

dynamics will significantly expand its geographical coverage, because, uh, we see it well, this was especially evident. over the past 20 years of existence, especially in recent years, those principles, those ideas of the sco, they are in great demand in the world, and thanks to this, the highway has turned from such a compact and focused mainly on the subject of central asia regional association into a powerful transcontinental cross-border this structure. and although uh, the issue of problems is worth a lot now uh, in accordance with the decision adopted by the heads of state in samarkand, work began on a well-known modification to the structure of the sco in order to adapt it to reality, because, as i said

, the agenda of the sco is incomparable with what it was at the time of its appearance on the international arena. it has multiplied many times over, and the responsibility of the sco has grown significantly. and that's for it. uh, now uh, some are being considered. uh, the options are different options already , uh, the modernization of the sco mechanisms - this will by no means mean a transformation shos into something else. well, what our western colleagues like to see, of course, is the military alliance of this. no, it will not. this is simply yes and there is no need. well, that's the way that i personally see, of course, that with e structures that will continue to grow. well, the most important thing is the build-up of the practical fabric of interaction within the association. that's it. so, and there for a little bit look after all, now

the largest producers of energy resources are united, the largest consumers of energy resources are transit countries. so you understand here, uh, the opportunity to work is just limitless. thank you very much for an interesting conversation. thank you.

on july 18, 1943, the germans raided the village of fools in the volozhin district, baranovichi region. people began to be driven to the square, where they were told all the inhabitants should gather in the church, a representative of the gibbite misoriat will hold an important meeting with you . you must take documents. rumors have reached that people will be killed to water? since the evening, so many black bandera uniforms have run into them, they had a uniform. here, i don't represent or then, or blue, or green, or gray bands of peru on white sleeves. when the church

was filled with people began the massacre? as eyewitnesses testify to the events, people were killed by proven methods of machine guns? parade a at dawn at 4 o'clock exactly at the church got through. when

the baths rang, two bulges immediately rang out, machine-gun fire. it is impossible to tell what was there there was a cry of such rats. these terrible events are in the memory of those who survived them. at this place and during the blockade , the nazis drove the civilians of the village here the tori burned them alive and only one only boy managed to get out of

the church to go down a few waters and save his life. there was a screaming dora, an average one, the village of sloboda, a shy of the council, that was all, not counting others in the summer of 43. on july 1, 1943, another punitive operation of the nazis began, in the volozhin and venets novogrudok and yuratishkovsky regions

under the name herman, the goal was the liquidation and the venetian partisan zone. well herman's shortening surgery was another challenge. export of livestock agricultural products theft of local of the population to germany, the scale of the operation was such that von godberg, under the leadership of whom it was carried out, attracted. additionally, in addition to army units, tanks and aviation, a special team of the baranovichi, episcopariat and economic inspectorate vostok on one of the july days of 1943

, there was a rumor among the population that the germans would knock out the villages for a new will, a big will to let go and comb through the villages and the forest right up to the nest. residents moved away from these places in the village, only those who could not the daughter-in-law with small children remained to go to the kosach family. hid in the shed the door swung open. in an instant, the woman was on the floor, she was painfully kicked with a policeman's boot. throwing a rope around the horns of a cow, he tried to lead her out of the barn. another scold was dragging

a lamb, which did not want to let her go , the woman began to ask the policemen to leave at least something. she lost consciousness. it was easier to get a leave of absence from a german, but it was very difficult for them, harmful people. then the woman was not shot, she was lucky and not

because the punishers turned out to be supportive of her and the children. coming to myself. she promised to collect more food for them, and they promised to return, but this was a rare case. no, i came in short. a christian must hand over 150 liters of milk from a cow. and people brought cows and showed

him, if the cow is good, if there is a book, what i passed 150 liters of milk means, well, if the cow is thin. at his berezina, he is immediately the owner. bill berezina, if you didn’t pass the milk , also beat you, if you passed a liter or two more, you inhaled the milk. six weeks in the summer of 43 , the nazis burned belarusian villages, destroying the civilian population, in terms of its duration , was a milestone operation herman was on a par with the most bloody and sadistic.

in january 1944, he was one of the first to be awarded an honorary badge for fighting the partisans. but neither rewards nor the cruelty of the nazis could stop the resistance of the belarusian people to the offensive of the red army. on september 23, forty -third, the first settlement of belarus, komarin, was liberated in december, the first regional center, gomel, and the brutal nazis resisted fiercely. autumn 43 have already come to the punishers, the boy ran and told them that the punishers were coming and living.

they lived there in a camp and worked for the latvians. they detained me very badly and everything was cold and cold. on the morning of april 20, 1944, not far from

the village on the dozerje of the close district of the vitebsk region, the germans drove the inhabitants of the surrounding villages of the 26th police regiment , lieutenant colonel vasik, into the field, gave the command. punishers began to push people out of the crowd and form groups of them. woman child young girls stepping slowly, they moved forward towards the forest. from court records

the trial in minsk of eighteen nazi war criminals january 1946 at number 16 was weisik georg robert the commander of the twenty-sixth police regiment carried out four punitive operations, distinguished himself during the operation citizens in groups of 15-20 people so that they are blown up and killed by mines. the punitive operation spring festival

was held from april 17 to may 5 forty the fourth year against the partizans of the polotsk-lipel partisan zone and the local population of the dokshitsy lepel polotsk and ushachsky district. the nazis killed more than 7,000 civilians , 11,000 were taken to germany for forced labor. in the course of this operation , the nazis' scorched-earth tactics assumed unprecedented proportions.

only by joining forces and demonstrating all your intellectual abilities can you become a winner, but it seems to me that this phrase was attributed to the first astronauts okay, let's have egypt there will be land their main goal is to answer questions and earn money. as many points as possible. what is the name of the extra distance that a biathlete is forced to cover for a miss at the turn? ruslan penalty circle how many attempts are given to serve in tennis two attempts two attempts. absolutely right, they are ready to do everything to win. my father was yes, i remember that there is an indian and african elephant, but i don’t remember exactly. which one is greater, since if you raise, but the comma five is the number zero. you are squared again, then you get the number 25/100, but there is no 2.5.

watch intellectually entertaining shows on the tv channel belarus 24 people and go to a strong bazaar with pleasure. we visit belarusian cities to learn more about the cultural origins at the end of the 15th century. there was a large settlement at this place, and ono appeared at the intersection of major trade routes during the day. he said and brest irishka legend is the first stone. the foundation of the church was laid by the milanese princess and the polish queen, the world-famous bona sportsman . it happened in 1531 and a little peek in the past there is a special energy, but come to recommend only during the day they say at night you can hear chilling blood. groans without attention, let's not leave the impressive facts

of our time, this memorial sign was erected in honor of a native of the district, matryona markevich , a melted peasant woman, who contributed to the development of the state. she came up with a pattern on the handbrake, which eventually formed the basis of the ornament on the flag of belarus , see the project of the city of belarus on our tv channel. your unique exhibits from under the sky in phenomenon of digital art in belarus smooth movements, grace and greatness of classical dance and such a mysterious and bewitching belarusian circus, look in the fashion for

culture project only on our tv channel.

hello greetings to all who are with us now very serious, as always. we have a topic ahead of us, let's start with these shots the day before in minsk, alexander lukashenko received a temporary, acting head. dpr denis pushin is good. you already know, belarus is relative, so i'm glad that a good opinion has developed in belarus well, then same time. i would like to hear firsthand the situation in the donetsk people 's republic. if it is possible at the front, how

are things going there, because central is the most difficult one for you there. uh, very intense fighting going on and north to south. yes, not in donetsk, shelling is hard for people, and in this situation, what can belarus do for donetsk, how can we help ? there is a lot of work ahead . well, after all people live there it will be 100% to feed the people , that's why we are ready to be the appropriate help support so that people who are not strangers to us there finally stop suffering. here's how we can help pronounce alexander lukashenko andrey evgenievich a friend in trouble is known, this is how it should be translated, yes, of course

, but i want to say that support is from the republic of belarus personally from the head of state. yes to the donbass e didn’t stop, didn’t stop, didn’t stop, and during the last 8 1/2 years, which actually brought great grief. e residents this rich region. it must be understood that until 2014. uh, donbass is an industrial center. industrial core. e of the entire former ukraine within its then borders. uh, it's the intellectual engineering elite, it's the education system. this is amazing quality. e production even by modern european standards, therefore, of course, assistance in belarus has been going on all this time, of course, humanitarian diplomatic. in the political track , let's remember all those negotiations. why did the president pay attention? uh, they pushed denis that you know quite well, belarus yes, because

hundreds of rounds of negotiations that denis uh, vladimirovich pushilin withstood here in belarus, trying to solve the world uh. this contradiction within ukrainian and so on knew that for those who sat at the negotiating table with them, they considered misha and simply bought time to set the e kiev authorities of the kiev regime on the donbass once again, therefore a huge scope of applications. now the president has called the main area - this is, uh, the manufacturing industry. this and uh, the social realm, this and food products. uh, it's technology. i am sure that the donbass will remain an intellectual engineering production and industrial region even after the end of the active phase of hostilities. well. mikhalych well, indeed, for us it is historically not exactly strangers, because this potential, which andrey evgenievich told him, was laid in soviet times. and

we know how soviet large facilities were built from all over the vast union, they came and did not look, at that, there a ukrainian, a russian, a belarussian built. this is the potential, so everything is logical , the belarusian diaspora in the donbass still operates and the post-war potential restored the donbass together. we were all soviet and the brest fortress also defended, including those people who were born in yes, not very, and in other regions of the great soviet union, but it must be said that belarus is truly a symbol of peace and creation. we help actively, including thanks to the fund, talai, now we see the health of children from these territories. they come here with great joy and pleasure, this is us, too, a great such a huge contribution to the restoration of these regions of the emotional and psychological recovery of people who will be young guys, who are very young, but they will soon grow up and will build rebuild, because here we are fine here they remembered the bath, uh, they did it. these are our ancestors after the great

patriotic war there. uh, this period is also coming sooner or later, and the war will end, and we need to be ready to enter there and actively to help restore these territories, since people from the donbass once helped to restore our republic of ukraine. and he recalled his ambassador kizimumu for consultation. that's their business. this is their right, in principle, he is already useless here, uh. well, it's just not something that's not embarrassing here. and we are , in fact. this business. now there are no special cases, with ukraine it doesn’t have anything special at all , if at the level of some closed ones. uh, some issues are being resolved, then the ambassador is here, in principle, to resolve these no questions needed, so let him take it to himself. let him feel there now. he didn't want to. i'm sure to go there now to see it. they are persuading all sorts of people somewhere on the border to sit out and say that they are not allowed. because what should he do there when the war is going on, he felt great here. let him take it now. uh, weapons in hand, let him go to defend his ukraine, we will see where he is on the map in what places, therefore, he is dear to him there. yes, there is

a paradox, but this is ukrainian information, which is actively commented by the experts of the journalist of ukraine that the ukrainian embassy in belarus helped kiev find those interstate solutions to the agreement that ukraine could unilaterally break, so this directly contradicts the mission of any diplomat and especially the ambassador in the host country. this is a direct violation of his obligation. ah, but , in the meantime, we need to pay attention to what is happening around the situation is escalating not only around the donbass more than 26,000 military and almost 30 countries already on saturday in europe large-scale exercises defender 23 under the leadership of the united states will begin, they will last almost two months and the expert notes that the nato scenario is very similar to the concept. this global strike, only this strike will not be forceful, but hybrid, that is, wait for provocations against belarus, kaliningrad, crimea and pridnestrovie , analysts confirm that the west's goals

are to cause panic among the population and create maximum tension at state borders, as well as divert russia's attention from the counteroffensive in vsu. and andrei petrovich, how serious are such forecasts and fears, well, forecasts, indeed, such are actually present, despite the fact that the defender m exercise is carried out almost annually by the north atlantic alliance. eh, definitely. during the exercises of such a plan, the previous possibilities of delivering a disarming strike are being worked out, but as if this is just one of the possible scenarios, because to use a truly global disarming strike, the forces that are in europe today are hardly enough. this is what forces and means are used intercontinental ballistic ballistic missiles. these are submarines, used and so on here. well, if you look at these exercises themselves, which will take place on the territory of almost 10 countries,

then against the backdrop of what is not happening, really. yes, we really hear about the counter offensive. on the territory of ukraine , which is planned and ukraine is engaged in media pr, in fact it is, well, at the same time, the exercise begins at the end of april, against the background of which, against the backdrop of the events of the upcoming elections in turkey, which will take place may 14th. we thought for a long time what the 101st airmobile division is doing on the territory of romania uh-huh is it really so worried about the problem in the transnistrian moldavian republic or some other problematic issues related to the vision of hostilities. certainly not in ukraine. we understand that the current position of the united states, on the one hand, seems to support erdogan, but on the other hand. we see that the meeting of politicians in the united states today is just in the opposite direction. side support of the opposition, especially

opposition leaders uh, what is impossible , we understand that after the earthquake, which passed erdogan's position certainly weakened? and in many ways protogan, it is not beneficial to the united states, nor to europe, we are seeing how the event is happening today with the admission of the same sweden and finland, despite the fact that turkey is a member of nato, despite the fact that turkey is a member of nato and actually on today , the electorate inside turkey is divided 50 to 50 after 2016, when it was actually suppressed a coup d'état on the territory of turkey, many of the military, by and large, are unhappy with the positions of erdogan and zatai, or somewhere, uh, resentment towards, because we know that in every arab state

of the islamic state, the military plays a very important role in the essence of their political struggle . and at the same time, e, we understand that if rdgun starts to lose, he will start using his e, some political forces will start to use up to the use of military force. and in order to put pressure on erdogan, not only political economic for this, first of all, and perhaps it is created, a certain grouping can be assumed on the territory of the state against us. look at the deployment of nuclear arsenals on our territory. it turns out that it happened very timely so that, let's say, they do not make any sudden movements towards belarus, of course. we can say, most importantly, that the presence of tactical nuclear weapons on our territory is an important defense factor . there has not been a single case in world practice that a state on whose territory nuclear weapons were located

, an attack was carried out. moreover, we are talking about the fact that tactical nuclear weapons are returning here, in essence. after the countries of the collective west essentially violated the agreements that were in belarus’s relations with the promised and tactical nuclear weapons, it actually nullifies today those groups , those military infrastructure, which was created on the territory of the western countries of lithuania, poland, and so on. that is, by and large , what you did what you strained, then in vain. hmm and the twenty-fourth twenty-fifth year, which we expect as really possible events of destabilization attempts. the situation here suggests that, well, excuse me, an armed conflict is unlikely on our territory with involvement from the outside. a small minimal

serious thing the fact is that the united states withdrew from the treaty on small and medium-range missiles and announced it. uh, the production of modern new models of this type of weapon. we remember when all of europe was poked with pershings alone. pershino two today, they are modernizing it and there are some prospects where we are not located on the territory of the united states of america, which means they will definitely, uh, move here to europe, and this is shah uh, we have, as it were, preemptively. i think, first of all , the placement, it would be, of course, well, just er sama will be well. stop us will not stop. well, somehow, well, think about it, at least make ours. uh, the so-called western partners. here is defense minister viktor khrenin the other day, when journalists asked him the relevant question, he commented. let's hear a tactical one, weapons

are nothing to be afraid of, especially the edua state. something said, this is an extreme measure. they are not going to use it. this is a serious strategic deterrent. we will also need strategic nuclear weapons, and we are already preparing our existing sites. if there will be such a territory, progressive well, this will be the next step. once again i say, the threat of force is only force in a different way. unfortunately, now in the west they do not understand. here, if we start from what they say some experts say that one of the goals of this great exercise. this is to divert russia's attention from a possible counter-offensive, there are a few statements that were made the other day, of course, the ukrainian prime minister shmyhal, who says we are confident that the counter-offensive will begin in the near future, the united states absolutely

supports us, says that we are gal a news wake magazine in general, they specifically say that a counteroffensive is planned for april 30th. and what should vladimirovich think about such forecasts, as far as possible take it seriously, well, first of all, of course, the level of statements, when prime ministers say such things and announce dates, that probably doesn’t quite mean how it is correct because, firstly, there is always the beginning of some serious hostilities, it shared in secret. why because in order to start something? to conduct some it is necessary to create a serious grouping. it's not just that, in order to successfully attack, you need to defeat the enemy itself, which is unacceptable in order for this, uh, well, the theory of war. is not less than sixty percent must be defeated in order to successfully attack, and in order to inflict such a defeat, it is necessary to create certain forces and means from reserves. eh, weapons, ammunition, and so on, and

place the whole grouping, having the reconnaissance equipment that this space and air and gentura has today, and so on. eh, it's very problematic to create such a grouping. and why then he such things? they say, somehow, probably, in some way unfounded, probably, why because everyone expected that, uh, russia should now take some more active steps, maybe, uh, well, in some way. eh, well, it kind of works out. in order for it to be that these exercises will somehow distract russia from its main goals. i think it's hardly a why because. uh, the russian federation has enough strength of means to respond to all these threats that are, especially, having, uh, serious ones. uh, what kind of serious superiority is meant, uh, in serious types of weapons? i have in mind, these modern

dagger missiles, there, uh, other uh, means of struggle, uh, which, at least, uh, do not exist in the west and which yes, it is exactly the most. i understand the main deterrent, the uk secretary of defense briefly. just a demo. uh, british defense secretary wallace urged not to wait for the moment of a magic wand, after which ukraine wins, in his opinion, the fighting will certainly continue next year. so he commented. here is what i wrote about the thirtieth of april for control, is by no means an expert, but still, let me give the position of military analysts and the russian federation, part of the military analysts and the united states of america both in terms of the defender exercise and in terms of ukraine's ability to concentrate strike groups on a narrow sector of the front, dissecting e, ability and the tactics of such a rapid large-scale offensive , the ukrainian troops showed in the zaporozhye

region before that and in the kherson direction, therefore. uh, as they say, again , part of the experts of the russian federation is not worth underestimate. uh, the efforts of the collective west in the first place, as the president said in his message, of course, is the united states and him from this elite, uh, to supply the ukrainian group to form these shock fists and under cover. nato exercises a multiple increase in e-e intelligence data in favor of the ukrainian side a multiple increase in sabotage reconnaissance and other special groups, that is, well, in fact the instructor is a military instructor or, uh, mercenary groups that will be involved in the course of this possible e, contrast, that's why, as far as i know, this is how i see the situation from open sources. i repeat, i do not rely

here on closed ones. is the data. uh, the russian federation is taking it very seriously. uh, this is not a coincidence, when the announcement of the contrast coincides with the conduct of such large-scale military exercises with countries. well, as for the situation, here i propose to foresee forty for historical purposes. first year. we, as historians, already know today. it was quite a lot, but about the beginning of the great patriotic war , and only one of them. axis true though, them there was an abundance. this suggests that disinformation, both then and now, is one of the so -called components of any military operation. therefore, these dates, about which we are hearing, are nothing more than disinformation, as a part. uh, it means the future military operation, which is being prepared that it is being prepared here. i think no one has any doubts that the troops are being concentrated. we see that the leopard never arrived directly at the line of contact in battles. does not participate. this means that most likely, well probably. they included this offensive grouping of troops, which is concentrated and

strikes at the right moment. well, it was absolutely correct. we will only know the date after the fact, because, well, not a single normal, adequate, natural, military structure will disclose such a date, all the more political it is in fact, if it were real, er, prime minister. i named some date that, in fact, traitors for the ukrainian state. he calls, that is , he is a participant in this process and a participant in e information psychological struggle, which is going on today and which is still. i repeat, it accompanies any military. i'm not talking about a political event, including against our state. there are also british ones. uh, by the way, military experts say that under the guise of these nato exercises , uh, ultra-modern weapons systems , pilot unmanned aerial vehicles, can be transferred to ukraine, as for the pilot ones, they will be controlled, that is, they will be controlled by manned controlled, uh, far away, non- ukrainian citizens military personnel. andrey petrovich is here. uh, first of all, i agree with my colleague that

strike groups have not yet been created, until the conditions for fire superiority have been created. and most importantly, while there is no way to create air superiority in carrying out this offensive operation. it is not expedient from the military point of view, and it can actually lead to reparable consequences. what are these 12 brigades brought together in a tricot, corps, to understand this on a tactical formation that performs operational-tactical tasks, everything three of the three corps brought together, then they can roughly say one army operation on a front of the order of a little more than 100 km and to a depth of 50-70 km in mariupol, in essence , to achieve great results. they are unlikely to be able, in the absence of fire superiority and superiority, really , uh, air supremacy. well, the possible fall of mariupol will be the hardest political you. understand that russia and the stretching of the front

will lead to the fact that there is such a thing as an operational shadow, that this whole grouping can simply, well, actually suffer, fiasco, let's say so problems. here , or problematic at the moment, that is, the military expediency in this offensive is not yet visible. in the presence of. here are the current existing forces, especially those groups that the russian federation has created today, which were trained on the territory of the russian federation, they are still essentially not involved in more than half and they are somewhere and they are preparing for something, in my opinion , the problematic issues for today are really this opportunity providing aviation to ukraine let's remember. what happened in august in july august last year. and for some reason you all forgot about it in july-august last year. uh, the united states department of state allocated about $100 million for the training of ukrainian pilots, we know that it will take 3-4 months to retrain a pilot who has already flown a fighter jet, while

actually training from scratch takes a year or two, but depending on the level of preparedness of these pilots and everything else at the same time actually happens in the fall , 47 f-16 fighters and about 40-7 fighters in 15 are removed from service in the united states. and these are aircraft for gaining air supremacy. where do these planes go, where should they go in the background. farther and farther we heard about the mirage 2.000 aircraft, which , as it turns out, are also trained by ukrainian pilots. when will the counteroffensive take place, is it really within these terms? or will it be rescheduled for a later date? well, it’s quite difficult to say here, therefore they are correctly called various dates. it 's hard to say when this date is. well, hardly. i think that this will happen on april 30 due to military necessity. although the political necessity will always weigh on the double, and therefore anything can be expected

, any forecasts that we now hear should be treated with extreme criticism and unconditionally elected. the fact is that here, in order to carry out successful offensive operations , certain conditions are necessary and, first of all , conquest in order to even transfer these planes to ukraine and you need to create a base, firstly, maintenance. it doesn't just seem that way, because well, it turns out that it is automatically for the russian federation that it is immediately a target for defeat. as soon as they see that a base is being formed and weapons are accumulating there. uh, these 100 aircraft no, but i think that's my point of view, if they are used, it means more bombing why because, if the operation was not used, but let's be unambiguous, because it should be an adequate reaction should be adequate if you're abroad on planes, how is it

now? let's just try to analyze this topic more widely, in the meantime, the world. after all, the expert community that we are discussing is discussing the words of the former zelensky dudi during a recent visit. warsaw is about building not to the confederation, so the journalists called it this is a new speech. the commonwealth, for example, such two versions in the forince edition, an opinion was expressed that after the end of the conflict, ukraine and poland will form one federal or confederal state, another opinion, russian political scientist alexander nosovich, believes that the next option is more realistic, i quote more, sees his ideal as a protectorate over ukraine, which will formally remain as an independent state. it will serve as buffers between poland and russia , which warsaw considers a constant threat. here in this sense, considering. these are the war plans you said, which version.