[000:00:00;00] the wide highways of novaya minsk and the bright, great buildings were known with joyful praise and greed. the holy day of the 20th anniversary of the belarusian people, as well as the continued purpose of the new and further development of the past and the culture of the western regions of the republic. the outlying

regions of belarus have very difficult procedures. they are dedicated to their work, special children need us, our task is to prepare them for independent life. the health of children is the health of the nation, we all worry about our children, we make every effort to ensure that the food is of high quality, safe and appealing to children. ready to share knowledge. the child's speech is at his fingertips, and the more

often. the severity floated on the starazhytna, so the old-russian style is called, and everything that the people of the 19th century are aware of, this is the basis of the palitichny project. let's look at their history and basic facts. gety cartouche, not looking at changing the hour, wars, different feather codes, was able to grab two heraldic plots: softening such a cartouche gave yak once again, the business card is gone. who is the gaspadar, who is the geta budynak? the pseudo-russian style of such people has its own meta, the theater, as the center of the public space in the city, showed that the russian empire is harsh and necessary here. gladzitsa ў prektse architecture

of belarus on our tv channel. hello, the program “say don’t be silent” is on air. victoria popova and tatyana shcherbina in the studio. and today our guest is analyst of the belarusian institute of strategic studies, economist alexey avdonin. good afternoon. good afternoon. hello, alexei. the british publication iconomist recently published a new magazine with a cover in the form of a graphic rebus. this is a kind of forecast for 2024, in the form of such riddles and drawings of symbols. and after this came out. numbers , the entire public began to solve all these puzzles, look for meanings, but with your help we will try to figure out exactly what key trends are expected in 2024, the main trend will probably be associated with

a series of election campaigns taking place in many countries, and you are absolutely right if look at this picture, it contains certain symbols that talk about... how the year twenty-four will develop, but we should probably also explain that this magazine publishes such puzzles for a reason, yes, it is very an important, weighty publication that actually largely determines the course of events in the coming years, and these are the so-called futuristic centers that say, this is how we see the future, and they give this message

to investors, they give... 768 what does this mean and where does it come from? she taken, this is a reference to the famous film of the fourteenth year, which was registered in the guinness book of records for the largest number of curses , verbal curses, there are 868 of them, but why exactly this figure was used in this rebus, this just says that elections. will be difficult, the old elites are leaving, new ones are coming, there will be a struggle between them, naturally, this will be a struggle expressed in certain disagreements and media disagreements on some

television platforms, in newspapers, leaks some information about one politician or another, that is, the struggle will be difficult, and of course it will be accompanied by certain curses, but that’s why

they lay it down and say: they’re absolutely right, there in the lower part in the center, they seem to be moving away, yes, everyone who tried to decipher this puzzle, they say that they are not just looking, they seem to be moving away in such a movement, as if

they are, but what does this mean, the disagreement between china and the united states of america, as the largest economies peace, there will be increase, what this is connected with, it is clear that... each country is trying to maintain leadership in the economy, in finance, and at the same time crush its competitor, we see how in the united states. america, together with its satellites, are trying to impose more and more sanctions, not only against china, but also against russia, but against belarus, against individual countries of the middle east, africa, latin america, and sanctions are a certain form of economic struggle, competition, unhealthy competition , and it is aimed at weakening manufacturers' capabilities. for example , china will supply its products, its products

to europe, to the united states of america, receive money for this and at the same time will limit the possibility of acquiring modern technologies, all the sanctions that have been imposed against china for the last, probably 7 years, starting with biden in 166 , they were all aimed at suppressing the possibility of transferring advanced technologies to china, and which technologies are primarily... related to microelectronics, with the production of ultra-small, ultra-fast conductors, the creation of so-called artificial suns or tomaks, this is research in the field of atomic energy, this is research in the field of space, all this is being done for what? in order to not give an opportunity to either china or russia there. neither for us, but to make a technological breakthrough, in

the concept of national security of the united states of america from december twenty-two, here is literally the latest, fresh, in black and white, but a technology block was placed, it did not exist before, now they have prescribed it, indicating that technology is the main factor in maintaining the leadership of the united states. america needs to do everything to prevent other countries from obtaining technology ; moreover, it is very, very clearly stated that technology, the carriers of technology are people, employees, specialists, scientists, and it is necessary to draw out specialists in the field of stem to the maximum. stems are the natural sciences, that is, mathematics, physics, chemistry, astronomy, and with their help, attract

the formation of scientific ones. began to be implemented through sanctions and so on, but this is an illusion, you know, because

just as you cannot keep the technological process of human development, you cannot not give this technology to someone, it will still somehow break out, especially since we are already you have decided that technology is people, and billions of chinese people, it will be very difficult to somehow keep them in the american basket, of course, accordingly, all this can, this confrontation can lead. to some negative consequences in the global economy, that is, are we facing any financial turmoil? experts are trying to talk about whether the dollar will collapse, well, yes, that is, if we say in plain text where to invest money, but at the same time these same experts give the answer that, of course, the natural equivalent of value. throughout the entire history of mankind, that is

, more than 40 thousand years, realized somewhere around 12-14 thousand years, gold was the natural equivalent of value, in simple words, if we take gold, for example, 12 thousand years ago and bring it here, for that gold, we are here anyway, now at this time we will buy everything we want, and if we take some paper money there... the topic is, what should act as a new equivalent of value, yes, when they say, let's come up with a new currency , brix , let's create a new currency, everyone will have it, let's make the yuan a world currency, yes, but the currency must be a world currency, have certain properties, first of all, the main

property is ability, well, of course, as a means of payment, that is, it must accepted in all countries of the world, secondly, it must... and have free movement, that is, enter and exit the country and from any country, the yuan does not have these properties, we must immediately admit that the yuan is extremely limited in its properties, the monetary units that are used in payments, but including only among limited countries, but uh, it cannot go out and become a world currency, due to the restrictions that exist in china itself. in the chinese economy, this must be openly spoken and acknowledged, at the same time saying that brix will create a world currency it will become a replacement for the dollar here now , well, there is no need to say that some bitcoins, cryptocurrencies will become a world currency, that is, we

still come to the conclusion that at the moment the dollar and its derivatives in the form of the euro . they are used as world currencies, but the problem with the dollar is a little different, in any financial economic model of the state a balance is maintained between goods and money, and just in 2012 this balance in the united states of america was disrupted, it was then that the external debt exceeded us gdp. now this external debt is more than 130, there is 127, some say, well, approximately 130% of gdp, that is, 30 times more, that is , imagine in 11 years actually growing by 30%, that is, the economy of the united states of america

does not keep up with this mass, and if translated into simple language, this is the mmm model, because there is a lot of money, it goes there to the united states of america,

of course, this model does not suit everyone, it is a model of enslavement, the most important thing is that the americans have not come up with anything new, federal reserve. the system was not an innovator, it is a model of the old roman empire, the roman empire conquered territories, and then they came to the most important conclusion: there is no need to conquer, you need to give loans to everyone and so that everyone uses their currency, keep them in bondage, and in this way, yes, yes, it is important to understand that this is the process of de-dolerization, which was initiated here, in

russia and in... yes, well, we will touch on gold a little, yes, because everyone will now run to jewelry stores to buy gold, but gold always monetary gold is valued first of all, monetary gold is the kind that our banks sell, it has a purity of 999, these are the same bars, yes, which, yes, these are bars, yes, but you also need to invest in purchasing bars very carefully, need to understand. the cost of gold, how it grows, and at what price you can buy this bullion, at what price to sell it, where to invest, first of all, you know, they always ask where to invest. invest in yourself, in your children, in your health, in order to you could live longer, be more with

your children, grandchildren, the next generation, give them more, so you should always consider money - it is a means to achieve some goals, and not to save, while completely destroying your life, your life at the expense of some kind of savings, i agree, that is, money should work, really, alexey, well, after all, for the economy of belarus, what they are preparing for the coming year, i know that you don’t like fortune telling, predictions, and so on further, but we haven’t seen you in the role of cassandra yet, so tell us we have a forecast for the twenty-fourth year for belarus. belarus, most importantly, over the course of these twenty-second, twenty-third years , it has greatly increased its... economy, increased export volumes to russia, china, and

distant countries, we are an export-oriented economy, naturally it is important for us that our products are sold abroad , since we sell it abroad, it means we have an influx of foreign currency, and we earn it, all this dynamics is fully reflected, will be reflected in our... data in our currently, imagine gdp is growing at a rate of 3.8%, that is, about 4%, the gold and foreign exchange reserves are growing, they are already more than 8 billion 250 million dollars, in my opinion, and at the same time , industry is growing at a colossal rate of 8%, all this will continue in the twenty-fourth year, such high rates will continue, why? because belarus maintains the balance that we talked about about the usa, it maintains the balance of production of goods and services

and the balance of finances, we earn money on foreign markets, we accumulate these funds from ourselves as a safety cushion, we direct ourselves to new projects, new technologies, create new enterprises, infrastructure, roads , schools, universities, centers and thereby develop our society, that is, we are pursuing the so-called smart economy, but let’s remember our president, he what is the most important factor said, what is important for us is speed, you can talk for a long time, plan , expect that we will have everything, in the end, if we are not prompt, we do not quickly make a decision, promote our

products. in the conditions of transformation of the world economy, in these conditions, some are leaving, those who cannot adapt, and those who are more mobile, more flexible, have high

speed, will come... ready for an exciting adventure through the cities of belarus, on the shores of one of the most clean rivers in europe and in the second most populous city in belarus. gomel. on ragachovo the borders of three lands, the lands of drigovich, met. chernigavsk and turava-pinsk principality. unique

architectural monuments await you. famous russian art by georgy lukomsky. and there are only four such photographs known in the world. watch in the program “cities of belarus” on the belarus 24 tv channel . on the air again, say do not be silent, and today

our guest is an analyst from the belarusian institute

of strategic studies, an economist. various viruses, bacteria, and at first children get sick, now the wave has overwhelmed adults, and this is actually the case, i have friends in china, they themselves got sick, just this week they ended up in the hospital very seriously, even only after drips were able to restore them , the most important thing is that no one can explain what it is, but according to... the external sign is at first similar to the flu, and then it turns into pneumonia, again the same pneumonia, yes, well, yes, yes , therefore , it is not possible to say that this has passed, yes, most likely, but we cannot say that this is some kind of pandemic or this is some kind of provocation of the americans again, and these are the phenomena

that, in principle, have always accompanied person it all depends, of course, on how modern medicine responds to these challenges , with regard to natural disasters, which is also mentioned in this prediction by economists in that a series of different conditions, yes, sharp changes in the living conditions of a person, it will intensify, they say that the environment of people will change , this is... an increase in temperature or, on the contrary, a sharp cooling, or either a flood, or volcanoes, or earthquakes, in the end people will have to change their place of residence, and most importantly, what are these forecasters for? american and british lead to the fact that changes in people's living conditions lead to

the destruction of the state, that is, if in some territory... low temperature, which led to frostbite of people, yes, that is, we see several factors, on the one hand earthquake factor, another factor is extremely abnormally low temperatures for this area, which lead to the death of people, well, it is clear that the state is forced in these conditions to take emergency measures, to allocate

additional funding to eliminate all these cataclysms. they will lead to the most important thing that the state may not be able to cope with in this magazine, they just prescribe that natural disasters or epidemics, pandemics, well, let’s call them that, but the british have these new conditions, and will gradually lose trust from the population, and this trust can be intercepted by large corporations, banks, and this is in plain text. not a very good forecast, but , you know, they always tend to exaggerate and draw what is important to them, yes, that is, they lead to what, to what thought they already have

over the course of probably the last 30 years, they have led to only one thought: the state as a form of governing society must go, and corporations and banks must come to replace it, only they know how we will

resist. becomes extremely effective, so this causes hysteria among the west, and our western opponents, because they realize that belarusians know perfectly well the principles of management, modern principles of management, and the economy, social processes, political processes, they cannot us grab something weak, well , experts also say that another trend will be the development of artificial intelligence, can this be dangerous? yes, you are absolutely right, just if you remember this rebus on the left side again, there are several such schemes indicated that indicate

that artificial intelligence will, as it were , control people, yes, it will control their consciousness, this is the first turn suggests that currently large banks, corporations, investment companies will invest more and more. money just into artificial intelligence, what does this mean, so that it’s easier to explain to our viewers, and not go into some conspiracy theories and stories about terminators , doomsday, in fact, this is a natural process, and any enterprise or company owner, it always focused on reducing costs, over the past 400 years of development, the capitalist method of producing goods and services, we observed all this, in the beginning there were water machines, yes, which received movement from rivers, for example, then steam, then electricity and so on and so on, yes, all this was aimed

at reducing the amount of manual labor and replacing it with machine labor, but until a certain point it was impossible to replace the work of engineers, the designers who developed all this and at the same time... the question had to arise, is it possible to replace designers and engineers, and they said, no, it’s impossible, we don’t have such capabilities, because these are complex processes, mathematics, physics, chemistry, calculations, now thanks artificial intelligence, or in other words, it’s big, it’s a system that is capable of processing large amounts of data, finding logic from... logic to make decisions between data sets and how to prompt a person, well, for example, what does it mean if earlier development

cars took about 6 years there somewhere at the beginning of the 20th century to develop, design, calculate, draw, issue a drawing , now with the use of artificial intelligence, it takes, well, about 2 weeks, so that... and also compare, here the chinese cited this in one article, the effect of artificial intelligence, and gave as an example how long it takes. was occupied by the development of a military sea liner , for example, isminets, they said, this used to take about 15 years, development, design, and so on, now , gradually, with computers in the middle of the 20th century, it decreased to approximately 8-9 years, now with the help of artificial intelligence, this can be created in a few months, and what does this mean, on the one hand you can develop... cars

are like civilian equipment, but this is space, these are weapons, these are robots, that is, all this can be quickly, quickly developed and implemented, so in the near future we will most likely see investments in artificial intelligence, we will see a surge in production goods and services, at the same time we will see negative socio-economic processes, a huge number of the middle, the so-called... middle class, which since the early twenties have identified themselves as the middle class, that is, the wealthy class, and these are engineers, designers who received good salaries, now they find themselves on the street, we have already observed these processes for the last, probably 3-4 years in europe, they are closing their design bureaus and transferring everything to artificial intelligence, thousands of people find themselves on the street and what, how to reflect this on the economy, on the economy,

if... that you are absolutely right, we were just approaching this idea, that these extra people who found themselves on the street, what should we do with them, naturally they will start to go on strike , now western corporations are solving this problem through socially guaranteed income, you come twice a month, receive benefits, and don’t be a rowdy, the main thing is don’t be a rowdy, don’t

take the capitol there... the peace of mind of these laid-off masses with the help of various subsidies. how will this end? it will end with only one, and we can already see this, the only way to combat socialist protest is this.

the protest of the masses can only be right-wing radical parties and the number of right-wing leaders who are now are coming to power in european countries, evidence that corporations, those that manage these processes, have made a decision in order to suppress social riots, right-wing radical parties, leaders are needed, they are not inventing anything new. in any books on political science it is written that capital has always used right-wing radical parties to fight socialist protest, protest of the masses, why? because they base their policies, these right-wing parties, on the ideas of nationalism, which means that along with them come certain security forces groups, remember, the right sector in ukraine begins to suppress everyone

else with the help of fear. a total feeling of fear, but fear must permeate the lower strata, the working strata, permeate the poor and those receiving benefits, and in order for them to remain in this state of fear, we observed something similar in 2014 and in odessa,

when after that... they’ll still come up with something for them, oh well, there socially guaranteed income is a temporary thing, but what if such a radical strategic decision, pay attention, what a large amount of pr is going on now about lunar programs, martian programs, it’s right that we can argue, maybe it will sound cynical, but no one has canceled the pandemic either, you know, genocide, they openly say that genocide must be carried out , remember, the vice president of the united states back in june of twenty-three said at a press conference that our main task is electric cars, green energy and population reduction, everything you

said, then they tried it, when instead salty drinking water was pumped into

a reservoir in palestine, what is this? this is genocide, exactly. they also make good money in war , so for them war is a business, but why then was he denied the last tranche to zelensky, and it was not him who was refused, but military defense corporations who refused, they refused biden, because biden assured everyone that the ukrainian project would lead fortunately for everyone, russia will collapse, china will move away from russia,

iran will move away from russia, russia will remain. on the air again, say don’t be silent, we’re visiting analyst of the belarusian institute of strategic studies, economist alexey avdonin, recently at a meeting of the un general assembly a resolution of the russian federation was adopted on preventing the glorification of nazism, which, in general, allows us to hope that the world... will not go crazy and that the memory of the feat the red army of the soviet

people will still be supported, in fact, what we are doing, and in this regard, i would like to tell our viewers such an interesting fact from your biography, but probably little-known: we found out that your father, alexey vasilyevich ovdonin, fought in the great patriotic war, it was the father, not the grandfather, accelerated release in december of the forty-first

year, on december 22 of the forty-first year, and after that they went to receive new t-34 tanks in the forty-second year already february, march , april there were battles in the north of moscow, in april on april 6-7, my father was seriously wounded, the tank was knocked out, and he, well... of course, was not just an ordinary tanker, he was a platoon commander, that is, he had three more tanks, three tanks were knocked out, there was a concussion, they were killed fingers, a fragment, remained in the skull, his legs were broken by shrapnel, and after the hospital in the forty-second year, he was again sent to

the front , in order to hold back this onslaught of the fascist group, both near moscow, and further near voronezh, here is his father near voronezh received another very serious wound, after that he was completely burned, with burnt lungs, a face, crooked fingers, they wanted to assign him to the commission, but they decided to reassign him as responsible for... mechanics, tank mechanics, and after that he was already

served in transbaikalia and it so happened that already in the forty-fifth year he had to fight, among other things, with the kwantung army, and therefore his father also has military orders, two orders of the red star for participation

in hostilities, he completed two service in the armed forces of the soviet union academy of armored forces named after stalin, at that time it was now called after frundze, then it began to be called, and he , among other things, was the commander of individual

tank divisions, at one time he participated in operations important for the soviet union, but not we will mention them because... his father, that is, my grandfather, studied at that moment, these were the twenties and thirties in moscow on bavanka, at the baman university, and there they had a dormitory, as for students, applicants , because what kind of students, they all went through the civil war, my grandfather went

to classes with a revolver with a saber, you know, with

a personal name, moreover, there for... this time, you know, in order to be able to do this, you are waiting for a happy retirement , yes alexey, to be honest, when they ask me, i can make originals, well, no, i’m sorry, not the originals, i can make a copy of those paintings, any, yes, well, not absolutely any, of course you need to train, but

in the part of aivazovsky you can, please, yes, we will know that now it’s not only for economic forecasts, but for gifts . artificial intelligence appeared because such pictures are painted, what, why, why do these artists? well, in reality, we must understand that the artist always conveys the soul, but my father always said that depending on who you draw a picture, he just painted for acquaintances, or even friends, he didn’t paint for sale, he

says, if a person has a bad soul, he won’t go, he just won’t go, he will... thank you very much, of course, for coming to us, and let's hope that the pictures that you will write and speak for us in the future will show very good results, because we come to you with an open soul and feel the same response to us, you always come to our first call, for which many thanks to you and especially, tatyana shcherbina, victoria popova, we say goodbye to you for today, goodbye, goodbye. alexey avdonin speaks now. i congratulate everyone on the new year holidays, the main thing is health for you, your family, well-being, development

, formation, and most importantly, believe in yourself, believe in the future, it will be bright, carefree for us, but most importantly, uh, it should be based only on your efforts, your aspirations and your goals. alexey, well, in a picture painted by artificial intelligence, i will ask you to write

something good for us too. the help of god's word is the principles of christian life, if we remember that

the lord is above us and above everything that we do. for educational projects on the