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tv   On the Move  Bloomberg  June 24, 2014 3:00am-4:01am EDT

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>> over to me, in fact. john kerry in iraq. this time in the northern town. meeting with kurdish leaders and pushing the best way to deflate the islamic insurgents is by forming a more inclusive government. just last night, they managed to capture the largest oil refinery. more on that in a bit. over to caroline. deal.0 billion agricultural giant appetite and the ongoing hunger for companies. a more onback with that. >> thank you very much. equity markets are just opening. let's check in with the manus cranny who is at the touchscreen. saidese as woody marcus r
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to open a little higher -- these equity markets are said to open a little higher than yesterday. opening up by 0.8%. a rundown. web an article in the "new york times" that says scheier has engaged with goldman sachs as part of their defense or any takeover offers. having batted away for the moment. bear that in mind. caution.bit of overall, you will wait for german confidence data. we expect levels to come in a little higher. just rising at the moment. later in the day, new home sales in the united states of america. equities rising. stocks iee particular am keeping an eye on. we have suggested to him. -- we have segenta.
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it has batted a way and offer. a takeover. it has fizzled out. airbus. in the market for mature claims. that is the dreamliner. airbus on the opportunity to renegotiate in terms of airplanes. paribas up by 0.5%. they might have to sell debt assets to meet the potential liability that will come from any fine levied by the justice department in the united states of america. a look at the exchange markets. we wait for the data. the fx screen. 136. those are your ranges. from the central bank as a wall. the water currency that is a moving and has some momentum --
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from the central brand as a wall. -- 1 -- from the central-bank as well. isthe one currency that moving and has some momentum -- back to you. chris the start of equity trading. let's put up on the top things. david, a global strategist at j.p. morgan. $1.6lped oversee roughly trillion of assets. a little bit about m&a. good morning. good to see you. syrgenta trading all. a long line of companies being talked about as possibly the such as of you as coming to europe. -- of u.s. comic to europe. what you make of this trend? actively you are
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investing? >> first of all, cash overseas has been a topic for years. i gravitateat m&a if it creates positive synergies? is it a value add that'll make the acquirer a better business? we are seeing you as companies trying to use the cash held abroad to pick up. much more focus is the story. unless about the geographic location of the firms. a guest totalking to talk about being ready for a note up in equities because of the belief in central banks. and all of the factors. the day we will see a meltdown? are you convinced? >> we are overweight. i think volatility is low. inflation is moderate and growth is getting better. with these three things in place , it means for a rising market i
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would not be surprised to see it pushing especially absent of geopolitical shock that make come out. % since 2009 a you maintain optimism. growth.ngs we still see earnings growth and to provide the support to push higher. europe is a hit of a different story that we need to see materialize a little more. in the u.s., we are seeing solid earnings. >> you are talking about geopolitical tension and the u.s. government could have further involvement in iraq. involvement in iraq once again, wouldn't that be a geopolitical headwind that will be enough -- who would that be a geopolitical headwind that would be enough? i am more folks on the price of oil.
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more focused on the price of oil. that really hurts growth in the long run. i am more focus on the impact on the price of oil and the geopolitics. case, what washe the and the last few trading sessions. oil prices move higher. 105. bit?s come down a little >> it has. people are realizing the south of iraq were oil is located is still ok. we are getting the oil out that we need. i expect the price to push higher. as long as refines are safe, we are ok. >> are you concerned about lack of volatility, junk bonds or dollar indices or bonds broadly? >> i am not concerned. volatility leads to
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higher volatility. in the current juncture, it is not as much of an issue. it supports the melt we were talking about. it should be good for equities. >> the david, thank you. more thoughts from him later on in the program. here is what else is coming off. andrew joins us fresh of the latest rounds of negotiations that could be a major deal with china. a conversation with the chief executive. this is president putin visits vienna to talk energy. is the latest target as the u.s. giant. and you canhe move" follow me on twitter. we will take a short break. past eight :00 in london. seven minutes into equity
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trading session. we'll have more on that. just a little bit higher this morning. we'll see what the other side of the short break. ♪
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>> i am anna edwards. this is "on the move." here is a stop on the move. that is syngenta.
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couldricultural business come back and have another pass at this particular company. it is up a by 6%. that is what people per -- familiar are telling bloomberg. theansaction that could see u.s. giant takeover the swiss arrival in a transaction that would allow the u.s. company. the market is moving on that story. class of move on and turn our attention east. australia and china have been speaking and have a cooperation framework. joining us from beijing is australia's minister of trade. thank you very much for joining us on "on the move." i would like to star with your assessment on the chinese economy. china, a big trading partner for
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australia. was mayor -- premier li pledging no hard landing for the chinese economy. what is your take? >> we just had our first economic dialogue with very senior members of the chinese government. they gave us a detailed assessment. their assessment. , buts quite a frank one optimistic in a sense that they did not see any hard landing either and i think they feel that, they anticipate the problems they might have and they are able to overcome. >> you, of course, your australia,china and a lot of trade. what do you need a free-trade agreement? well, china is our biggest
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export market. that is true for 123 other countries around the world. we are there seven the biggest export market. size in terms of number of people. especially the resource and energy side. we are looking for a free-trade agreement to give more breath to the relationship in terms of trade and death and take us to the next stage. the trade and resources and energy and into the next phase of agriculture, business services, and a wider relationship with china. >> are you going to get this deal done in 2014? what are the sticking point? are both getting more and more confident we can complete it this year. i met with my counterpoint on june 7 and we did really
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identify what we call structural framework that would take us to an agreement by the end of the year. we talked through that again today with other senior members of the government and i think it is quite doable. there is a political will on both sides. , ire is certainly a need think china needs the services and we needed their investment amongst other things. there's a great imperative for each of us. and hopefully, we can make it happen by the end of the year. >> another trade agreement you are trying to nail down is the transpacific partnership. update you of your expectations and the australian government regarding that one. i would say it is probably a bit percent-80 5% in there. -- 80%-85% there.
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becomsee how the tpp can e concluded. [indiscernible] the politics but there is a window for the first half of next year and physically we will be there. the political will like inc. is around. there is a lot of negotiation. i do see a pathway to conclusion and a window the first half of next year. >> another subject. australia hosts the g-20. do you anticipate having to put on?ate change back the u.s. might put pressure to put climate change act on -- on?
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>> it was never on the g-20 agenda. it was a suggestion from the u.s. it would like to discuss. we would not stop anybody from discussing any issue of that matter. it is quite welcome. if it is raised by the u.s. or any country. we have wanted this year's focus to be on growth, sustainable economic growth driven by a monk's other things a strong investment focus and infrastructure. be the to us to priorities of g-20 countries toer this date -- that seems us to be the priorities of g-20 countries at this time. that has been the focus and we had a strong reaction supporting respondents to that being the principal focus of the g-20. as i say, if people want to raise climate change or any
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matter, we certainly would not object to that. >> thank you very much for joining us. andrew robb joining us from beijing. still with us in the studio, his opinion on some of those things. david, let's talk about the chinese growth story. the trade minister suggesting he was confident that premier league said the last week there will be a hard landing for the chinese. >> when i think about the chinese it cut me, it is somewhat engineered. the last thing they want is a hard landing. think about the chinese economy, it is somewhat engineered. and somewhat tempered going forward. i am not sure they want to go to that extent any time and the near future. >> you are talking about emerging markets. what happens when we start to
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see the federal reserve preparing markets for change in the backdrop that has been very loose monetary, economic policy? not seen interest rates. >> i think that taper tantrum gave a heads up. someis going to happen at point in the future and be ready for it. we do see the fed continue its taper, complete its taper, we may see volatility in emerging markets but nothing that will derail the recovery. >> elections taking place in emerging markets. we have that india so far. we have a number two come. if your expectation high? >> they are relatively high. they are so on love it is hard for them to get beat up anymore. we will see an improvement in the next few months and i expected them to finish higher. >> david, thank you for joining us. up, a deal dies.
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another u.s. tries to go abroad. the deal after the break. ♪
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>> maintain many of the group elections i have. -- many of the great relationships i have. it is a great country. sustainability and i will stay close.
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>> a can call you whenever he wants to? >> absolutely any time. >> and that was the 40 gm out going on his plans to hand over the company. we'll bring you more of the exclusive interview later this morning. let's bring you up to speed with companies on the mole. regulators are said to be working to meet a deadline. they are fixing the price of chips used in smart cards. regulators must make a decision. -- and they are fixing the chips used in smart cars. eu case is arguing that has the gaps and evidence require further review. to be planning to keep their share in the upcoming an initial public offering. several of the shareholders including one billionaire will
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also likely retain their holdings while being dilutive from the sale of a new shares. rocket internet may be valued at 3 billion euros. is syngentawatching it hasg off news that been considering a takeover. the now defunct a deal is the latest that you ask firms are looking to avoid tax by moving their headquarters abroad. caroline hyde. what is the attraction for monsanto going after syngenta? we talked about the publicized trend of looking for a lower tax rate abroad. >> they want to create a juggernaut. a competitor of all competitors. syngenta was the number one player in seeds for agriculture
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and it is a rival to them. it is also a key player. maybe they wanted to great the biggest player out there. of dowon the likes chemical in the u.s. hefty 17% premium they were look to spend on syngenta, marginally, it was a tax incentive again. it is about getting over to switzerland which has an 18% versus 35% in the u.s. they can make huge savings if they change the headquarters. the deal fizzled out. back in may, i understand. they could come back. >> the market speculating they could. syngenta stock was up. not only if there was a loophole with tax in the you that could
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be close but according to people familiar, it cannot go any further. >> syngenta management was worried the united states could change the loophole. also antitrust competition. the key number one player in the markets. you are going to get regulators looking at it closely. if we look at the tax of version, it is a trend. trend.aversion, it is a we had astrazeneca which did not go through. sye chasing shyer. theme. a medical pharmaceuticals have been hot on the tax aversion where you can save money. will congress change in this? this is the big question.
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there's been much speculation they are looking to shut it down the loop all as soon as 2015. perhaps, some of the key companies making a bid for it are coming in smaller. players have been created in the british isles of by tax aversion theme. these companies already the cause of the loophole. the targets are running dry especially in pharmaceuticals area. perrigo, these companies have moved forward and have been able to splash their tax by 8%. it is crucial, it is clear why that are so attractive. the question is if you get the regulators to sign off and if the loophole will be around that much longer? we'll hear more from the united states government on this.
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thank you, caroline hyde. prime minister renzi is set to speak in rome. would discuss the ambitious plans of the eu president. ♪
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>> welcome to "on the move." i am anna edwards. -- we are 30 minutes into the trading day. how things are shaking off. a little stronger. equity markets up higher. up by 0.2%. let's dig deeper of what is moving the markets. manus cranny. >> let's check in first of all what syngenta. the volume being traded on the company is 343. the biggest one-day move since
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2009. 134& of a normal day's volume. isremium will remain in play what the bank of america say. and will continue to see the momentum built in terms of the next out. hrombogenics, this is a company that has developed an iv treatment for degenerative ey conditions.- eye that been trying to sell the company. that will look for a partner and in the united states of america. here? what happens next the showas on yesterday and said give me a chance to really take this company to double digit growth. give me the opportunity as ceo of the company to take it forward. the market said he can come back again.
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a third attempt has been batted off. we'll see what happens with shire pharmaceuticals. deked to you. >> thank you very much. the number two official assay u.k. treasury is dismissing talk of a housing bubble. said it is localized and people should not get carried away. aftermments come expectation bank of england stability would outline action to stop household from sinking a levels of debt that could reckon the economy. ukraine and russia scuffle a cease fire. this cease fire extends to friday. the u.s. said russia has sent thousands more troops into the ukraine border. we'll prices are lower for a third day of missed speculation the iraqi production will not be disrupted by escalating violence
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while ministers are taking control of the refinery in the north and extending territory gains for the border, that not spread bottoms to the south which is home to nearly three quarters of the crude output. for more on the latest out of the rat let's -- out of iraq, let's bring in l.a.. -- let's bring in elliott gotkine. john kerry is on the ground for a second day. he is in a kurdish city. he is pushing for more inclusive central government. that seems to be a key involvement. >> certainly, the main reason that while he has gone to the kurdish region in the north of iraq and meeting with kurdish leaders. and press upon them the best way to deflate support for this insurgency is by forming a more inclusive, central government that will govern the interest of all shiites and she is and kurds. and kurds and will be
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remaining the curse that you as condition is one that does not support or in favor of a breakaway -- and will remain the 's -- u.s. the u condition is one that does not support in favor of a breakaway. the militants after a two-week battle, they captured the oil refinery. the largest in the north of the country after the militants, the remaining soldiers will be busse d out. another humiliating defeat for military.e -- iraqi >> why our investors not worried more? latest reason why
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prices are lower today seems to iraqta coming out from an the organization saying iraq he exports not only have been interrupted but are approaching for oral exports. that is one reason. talking about trade as emplacement and the -- as complacent in the assumption and will not rise higher in the wake of this insurgency. there were a series of attacks and escalations and the likes of bpx. that would be detrimental to exporters. >> elliott gotkine, thank you. let's switch gears. prime minister renzi is speaking to a italian lawmakers on the plans for the eu presidency. italy is set to take the reins for the 10 month tenure.
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on what raising plans to do, we editor.ed by our what do we expect renzi to announce? i think we will listen to renzi talk about the broad theme that he has emphasized so far in minister.hs as prime trying to find ways to promote growth in europe and boost employment, and find funds for investing. is likelyhtly -- he to talk about a united states of europe. however, it is not exactly the best time to be putting forward this whenthemes like they eu convenes this week to try and find a president. there is still division within eu leaders. he is a pragmatist. he is likely to focus on reforms and italy as well.
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he will uses to talk about a domestic agenda as it goes forward with trying to reform institutions and in the way italy elects its leaders, for example. >> what about plans regarding austerity measures? will he call for less austerity in the eurozone? >> i think so. we saw in his minisummit with the french leader mr. aland -- agreementthey are in with the other leaders to try and find ways to promote the idea of more flexibility in interpreting the so-called stability pact. not changing the boundaries and goals, but flying more flexibility in reaching the public debt and deficit targets going forward as they find measures to try and boost growth in europe which continues to lag for example the u.s. growth in
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the past few months. about this idea he wants to follow the united states of europe? has doneu know, he this before and some of his speeches and say it is one of his drinks he would like to see. let's be honest. it's a very ambitious goal. i cannot believe mr. cameron is going to be very excited and get on board on a project when he is making threats to pull out of -- out of the eu if they do not find the law who produces bright ideas and change the face of europe. he will counter that in terms of a long-term goal. he is a pragmatist and would like to focus more on practical issues such as finding ways to boost investment. >> dan, thank you very much. joining us from milan. stay with "on the move" and we
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will speak to an australian bank ceo. more on the relationship with peter. that is coming up on "on the move," stay with us. ♪
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>> i am anna edwards. 41 minutes past 8:00. president putin will arrive in austria. over the gas pipeline.
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ryan chilcote sent this report. >> russia supplies the eu with another gas to warm 80 million homes. one of the pipelines has a lot of people worried. it is in dispute over the price it pays for gas. twice before that left europe short. theier this month and reliability of that support is a concern. what if the accident was not an accident? what if russia wanted the dispute? ukraine claims it is a rush employee. -- claims it is a ploy. would travel under the black sea to bulgaria and serbia and beyond. much more reliable than countries. so far, the eu has opposed it. with supply uncertain, that may
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be about to change. of theor a closer look proposed pipeline. president putin visited with the anna. i am joined by peter weinzierl and ryan chilcote joins us. ryan, let's start with the background. what is putin's visit? tothey eu does not object the south stream project as such. what they want is to make sure as far as a concern it conforms to eu law. and they object to individual companies to sign up to parts of the pipeline before they are convinced at all forms. one of the big sticking point appears to be the issue of competition and the pipeline should not be owned by the people operating them or likely to see. the austrians see it differently. they get one third of their gas from russians and to say it is not in the slightest to the
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toaine, what if were able diversify the supply of the gas from russia, what could be better? there is a filling in the eu they want to diversify energy supplies a way for russia. not more to gas and diversification of routes of russian gas. a lot of people in the you upset the austrians are receiving the russians and not just because of the gas but also disbelieve their russia should be isolated right now particularly ahead of the meeting of friday with the eu heads of states where they will look at sanctions against russia. >> a let's bring in peter. ceo of minor bank in austria. somebody whoas a runs and austria business at house links with russia and the business phil about the geopolitical situations -- how do businesses
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feel about the geopolitical situations? happy generally, not about the situation. linked to russia and the banking sector has been active in eastern europe for ourselves for example, about 90% of our new clients have come from russia. energy supply the is very important for austria. actually, i would not say that straight on austria/eu relations but it hurts. >> the subject of further sanctions. non-nato country and has a neutral a role during the cold war which meant some of the russians are built up a you find yourselves in an awkward position with the rest of the eu. >> austrians, my generation, have grown up and has always lived in the environment where they had to balance the
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interests. , we do not i said quite understand this policy of intense pressure to isolate russia which we think is not good for austria or europe or the world. we heard from angela merkel saying she expressed to see more sanctions on friday and she is not happy with the destabilization as cheap as it of ukraine. what do you think the austrian government should be doing to n-nato status to win this is and at the same time, serve as a mediator between the parties? >> let me start out with something, austria's is a part of the union and the possibility of the european -- austrian government to act a really independently.
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yet, i think the current move, talks is an important one. i think the russians are having too many people to talk to. them andho listens to tries to understand is a good thing. >> give us a sense of how much weight you talk about the situation, back in april, austrian banks have the most 38te in this conflict, billion euros of exposure to russia and ukraine. when you think about your business, what percentage, i 'uess if we ask of your clients money for russia/ukraine went away when the threat of sanctions sort of loop it's -- loomed its head? >> in our bank, will not felt it
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too much. we see -- they do not invest heavily. they just sit and wait for the they keep the money in the bank. they are keeping it. get it intory to more liquid forms if they can get it out quickly if they need to? >> anyway. that does not really change. the situation as a private bank that does management for clients, it is different than the big banks that have big exposures in those markets. russia as well as ukraine which is probably more. thehen you look across scene, a number of businesses whether omv or austrian airlines, a number of businesses trying to sell the advantages of being in a geographical location where east meets west and build on that as a business model
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strength. is that still a strength as it has been? >> it is something that goes back a long way. in theto destinations 1970's where no one else used to fly to. i think from a critical austriaive, i believe has had an advantage when the iron curtain came down. it has used it to a certain extent but maybe not to the full extent. if you look at the history, you probably have check airlines or turkish airlines or probably more destination inside of russia. >> you are on your way to ukraine to look for more money. that is ambitious? >> this time will are not looking but investment opportunities in ukraine. -- we think it is a
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time to move in there. i do believe >> peter, thank you for joining us. peter weinzierl joining us. ryan, thank you to you as well. " coming up at the top of the hour. >> good morning. dr. carney delivered and we have to cross examined as the bank of england. steadfast about interest rates. what happens next? a novembere say is rate hike for the u.k. a real possibility? we'll wait and watch and hear what he has to say. we'll take it live as the testimony is delivered. we will get what we expect to hear from the governor and his assessment of the market. we are going to be talking about
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generation y. how do you employ an age group -- to stays to have at the company for less than five years? and not as motivated by previous generations by money. that is what we will ask. research coming out. how the technology story is changing the employment landscape. interesting conversation. a big macro event. mark carney's testimony. >> thank you. guy will be back at the top of the hour. mark carney get a chance to explain his timeline for a rate hike. his testimony is coming up after the break. ♪
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>> welcome to "on the move." i am anna edwards. mark carney appears before parliament later today. it is expected be a grilling for the governor of the bank of england. manus cranny is back with the details of what we can expect. the expression that he flip-flopped. the process. what are we going to hear today? going to hear some
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justification and clarity. justifying why forward guidance is a fluid, changing policy. some of the conversations we have had is saying no rate hike and the governor never said it would fundamentally change the respective when he would change it. inflation is still in check and that was required. you have mark ingram, always playing catch up. ever-changing forward guidance. >> he was questioning the forecast on which of the forward guidance was based and the first place and others will question the forecasting ability. very fair point. the record has not been great when you have that amount of people helping. and clarity and credibility. governor mark carney is said they, anytime he sun will shine, the sun will shine. it is about credibility.
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it is an evolutionary process and something three active. a tree when you can let go? what change from the may report and what to did he mean with that speech? did he mean to change the expectations or risk? the market associated and readjust our perception on risk. could continue to really grow in the second half. ande are upside risks market practitioners should be more aware of those. let's see what the man himself has got to say about the markets. it will not be an easy one. chris it is a shame you're not on the treasury select committee. >> a wholly new career. >> back with the testimony during "the pulse."
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next.up guy johnson and olivia sterns will be up next. they will be talking to the pimco managing director about those comments. you can follow me on twitter. ♪ .
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>> carney's credibility questioned. the bank of england's governor gets grilled this hour about his u-turn on interest rates. we'll bring you his testimony live. up exclusively. santos recently explored a $40 illion deal. good morning, everybody. welcome.

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