tv Asia Edge Bloomberg August 17, 2014 11:00pm-12:01am EDT
11:00 pm
last is this year. we will have the latest from ferguson, missouri as the midnight curfew approaches. the police tactics against protesters come under fire. on we are high on the hog some of harley davidson's most iconic designs. >> i am on marketwatch today. look, markets are mixed. that is after five successive winning days last week. their volumes are quite like. had bits and pieces of economic data coming out. growth numbers out of time and. -- out of thailand.
11:01 pm
data points making big changes in the course of the overall trading session. far, the standard has dan the chinese market -- has been the chinese market. home prices are continuing to cool on the mainland property. i will be back a bit later on. back to you. -- china'smarket property market is feeling the pinch, more cities to a hit with .alling prices, >> it has gone up by nine cities. it was 55 in june that saw falling prices. it is 54 in july. up from 4%.,
11:02 pm
that is deftly concerning. four years of restrictions. we have seen rising mortgage rates. we have seen restrictions on buying homes. locals can't buy multiple homes as freely as they could. restrictions right across the board. the july new home prices falling .n 64 cities in china ingely tier one beijing. >> there is one developer seeing that's making money but seeing slower growth. >> stocks are actually down. the market is really changing their sentiment.
11:03 pm
china's biggest developer by 5.5%.rose they sold more small or medium homes. this is the crucial bit of it. number of homes less than 1500 square feet. the restrictions of buying homes again don't hit them as badly as the other companies who look to build bigger spaces. this developer is focused on owner-occupied, for the resilience in the property market. but even they are seeing declines. the overall market is being hit
11:04 pm
by four years of restrictions. >> you can't just make money closing your eyes. you have to go for strategy. thailand facing recession and months of political unrest. haslinda .4% growth, i think we were looking at a flat picture. >> you are right. what a really afford thailand. no recession, which is defined as a back to back contraction. two q number coming in at .4% from a year ago. ht rose to a three-year high. exports have fallen four out of six months.
11:05 pm
they thought that would eat into growth. but now there are signs of recovery. ansumer confidence, take look, the highest in 11 months in july. the government has taken positive measures. date paid money to farmers, $2.5 billion in total. it also capped fuel subsidies. it has outlined plans for a new government. elections are due late 2015 at the earliest, later if the situation is unstable or worse and. the economy will -- unstable or worsens. the economy will improve. now the gdp is looking at 2%. notwithstanding, pretty much optimistic signs from here on. gdp in the second quarter coming
11:06 pm
ear.t .4% year on y >> we are expecting a new prime minister to be announced on friday. it seems as though it does not really matter. what are you hearing? >> as long as the economy shows signs of a pickup, a momentum, it does not matter who is in charge. is already that returning to the market. look at the latest gdp figures. from here on, it does not really matter. people are beginning to gain confidence. consumers are gaining confidence. the economy should be getting tight pretty soon. islet's see how all of this
11:07 pm
affecting the trading decisions. about .2%.p this is what you have for the regional benchmark. one of the best places to put your money is here. third best-performing market in asia. that is what you have as far as the currency is concerned. baht strengthening today. the region and the market in thailand. mining, paper materials, banking are all coming on stream, helping that index out. now what is happening on the shanghai composite, aside from
11:08 pm
gdp, lori also have property prices coming out. new home prices falling. far is what has happened so in the morning session on the shanghai composite. after the prices came out, we have come back down. an 8.5-multi-. 8.5-month high. financials are down about .1%. more are falling that are rising. we can go through these numbers. you want to look at the season -- cities that you see the most declines. let me give you five. of might want to stay clear
11:09 pm
property developers who have exposure to those five cities. perhaps losing a bit of momentum. back to you. >> let's take a look at some other stories making headlines for you. oh cdc is selling shares. to fund the purchase of hong kong's wing hang bank. alibaba may face at his scrutiny from u.s. regulators ahead of its ipo. accountingoking at irregularities in their film unit. alibaba pictures remains suspended in hong kong trading. shares of chugai pharma are rallying in japan. it is a 15.5%.
11:10 pm
11:12 pm
11:13 pm
stalling gdp growth. >> i was in bangkok to were three days ago. the expectation was for a shy decline in gdp for the end of the year and a recovery in the second half of the year starting to see that coming through. it wasn't really a massive impact of the coup had. brought a measure of stability that has perhaps improved some of the business environment. , in thecompanies said first half of the year, they did not see the slowdown. but it means that maybe the picture is a little bit more broad-based in terms of growth in thailand and not just bangkok. the index is up .4% since the
11:14 pm
coup. is it time to investor have we missed the boat? >> we are overweight on taiwan. if you look at valuations, it is key. >> 25% up year to date. >> very strong, yeah. so valuations are not strapped yet. >> the baht is strengthening as well. that might be a bit of a headwind going ahead. >> going forward, we are looking for dollar strength. i know you are familiar with that part of the world. how does thailand fit into an equity or photo if that all -- equity portfolio if it all?
11:15 pm
l >> there are three markets that we like, china, thailand, and indonesia. for us, thailand and indonesia. philippines is too expensive. excitingis not overly with potential rate increases coming later this year. >> then let's talk about indonesia a little bit. wi.have mr. jaco nexter he will be the resident, he is the president-elect, he is being challenged for that position. any chance of him actually winning? >> we will find out on friday. there have been a couple of hearings in the supreme court. the supreme court has indicated they want to see more proof. last week, papers had the impression that they were not convinced yet.
11:16 pm
jakowi isooks like able to pass through. at the noises he is making. he said that fuel subsidies must be reduced. this done straight away while he has a mandate, i .uppose that has already indicated he you would look at these fuel subsidies. at the moment, he has some working groups established. if you look at the working groups, they look at pharma health care and indonesia, the hot indonesian health program.
11:17 pm
that way you need to cut it somewhere else >> do you think it is a good value, the equity market now? >> the indonesia value is not as obvious. trade at a little >> john us form our discussion a little bit later. other storiesme making headlines around the world, police in ferguson, missouri, have come under fire been shots of tear gas has broadcaster in the world. you see protesters about to defy another curfew interested -- instituted for 12:00 midnight tonight. protesting the
11:18 pm
death of an 18-year-old man who -- shot unarmed, surrounding surrendering to police. this is a very market different strategy from the periods -- the previous few nines when police watched as stores were looted yesterday. easy tear gas and rubber bullets fired. video of tonight where things are much more calm. we are only five minutes away from that midnight curfew in ferguson. the latest cease-fire in gaza entered its final day today as negotiations continue in tyro.
11:19 pm
israeli troops remain on the border and the army has been told to repair for resumption of the ground defensive. hamas is demanding an end to the seven-year blockade of gaza before it agrees to a long-term deal. in liberia say they fear a surge in cases after an angry mob ransacked a an again the capital monrovia. they stole several items that could be infected, including medical equipment and bloodstained bedding. the mob is angry that ebola patients were brought to the clinic from other parts of the city. 13 more survivors have been found two days after a tourist boat sank in southern indonesia. 10 people, including at least six foreigners were rescued on sunday. now eight tourists, their translator, and four strong
11:20 pm
11:23 pm
the headlines in the corporate world. voted for aia strike. unions want management to include bonuses as a part of their base wages. softbank is said to be launching a new phone. it will start in japan and then offer it the u.s. through sprint in september. u.s. regulators say they will low-endm to sell its service to lenovo. the deal will give lenovo a bigger slice of the global computer hardware market. to focus on growing areas, including the cloud. china's biggest banks are facing their weakest profit
11:24 pm
growth in 10 years. fromhere is more pressure direct share sales. >> the weakest profit and 10 years is the forecast for these banks. they begin reporting tomorrow. icbc, bank of china, adding inc. , more on that in a second. share sales, record will dilute earnings overall. they are to sell more stock than in combination of the u.s. and european banks. it settles banks with the pressure of the expense of dividend payments goo.
11:25 pm
dragging their profits. they are already constrained by rising bad loans. earnings forecast are a confined 7%. $150 billion, twice of the u.s. banks at $70 billion, and three times the word of the year he and top five banks at $47 million. >> we have to be mindful that many of these state-owned enterprises here, that his government dollars. it is stimulus dollars that worked back in 2008. >> press right. right.'s
11:26 pm
transparency is absolutely crucial. watch out for any comments about that. >> thank you so much for that. trading in sydney, let's take a look right now. the sydney opera house and a .ook right now is .1% higher we have seen gains but it has slipped in the red zone in korea. we are seeing a lot of fluctuations in asia today after a five-day advance here in hong kong, down .5%. we are looking forward to the afternoon business in tokyo.
11:29 pm
>> protests in ferguson, missouri, where there is less than 90 minutes from now for the curfew. shanghai is the loan market again or with stock 78-month high. atthe winter -- with stocks an eight-month high. and the winter of their discontent. japan coming back from the break. >> we picked out what was exciting, very few big movers. still earnings coming through.
11:30 pm
, its biggest -- , the company came out and denied talks are ongoing but you can see markets think otherwise. tokyo testimonial -- tokyo tatemono is raise from underperform to outperform. they doubled their price target for the stock. tokyo electron up over 4%. this is out of a report this morning that tokyo electron with the company it is merging with, applied materials, that is coming up in what they call a remedy plan, an advanced
11:31 pm
11:32 pm
a few performance metrics were announced this morning but they did set aside over $400 million condensation. new crest mining had a big loss. down $10 an ounce on friday. i think we are down a further five dollars last i checked. newcrest mining is trading $11 a pop. >> dark clouds over sydney today. be gathering nationwide with the misery index. let's get over to paul allen right now. the weather still looks pretty 'loomy, just like people sentiment out there.
11:33 pm
explain. inflationhe rate of lusty unemployment rate. it wasn't actually too bad in australia. we now have a misery index of 9.4%, which is the worst of that australia has had since 2008 when lehman brothers collapsed. it is ad say that one-off because of the and implement figure and the unemployment here is notoriously unpredictable. but then again, if you consider some of the background, with the reserve bank of australia already lowered its growth forecast, the certainly high currency, the often talked about end the mining moon and wage growth, private sector wage growth on the lowest on record -- i guess there are a few reasons to feel less happy than usual.
11:34 pm
so the >> the misery index is bad. what can be done about it? , it is a can imagine good headline grabber. you can ensure that some political capital will be made of it. of course, the reserve bank of australia is desperately trying to stoke the housing construction boom. we will be hearing more from when stevens this week when he addresses parliament. more of the rba plan to stimulate the australian economy. but it is not all that bad. if you look at the misery index as a whole, australia is all the way down at the bottom of the list. number one is venezuela, followed by south africa, followed by greece.
11:35 pm
so australia is not bad when you see it in that context. but it could be better when you think of the three countries with the best results, switzerland. >> thanks. newcrest mining, we saw a loss of $2 billion. we have a share price under pressure of about 1.1%. we have done petrie who has the background on all of this. >> i did a whole lot of building construction during this great bull run in gold.
11:36 pm
remember when gold was $2000 u.s.. now, it has come down somewhat. they came in at a $2 billion loss. the reich and a significant. -- the write-down was significant. a loss is a loss. >> the gold price, what do they need it at? five or six years ago, it was a dollar and a half. >> they inherited some efficiencies and they need to do some cost-cutting. >> it will be tough times ahead. they do have a good gold deposit. the goldottom line is
11:37 pm
price would be hovering around [indiscernible] but the $2 billion loss, terrible results. a goes to show you will be punished if you get into the improper thinking that the good times will roll on forever. thank you. >> a look at some of the other stories we will be following for you this week. bhp reports on tuesday. pushing prices down. a 25thsts expect straight month of deficit as companies move production overseas hurting exports. the end of the week is usually important for two members. courtsia's constitutional is due to deliver its ruling on the presidential election. alleges widespread
11:38 pm
11:39 pm
we are hearing more reports of violence. you are at the scene. what can you tell us of that? >> yes, i am at the scene. there has been more teargas news. there is a helicopter in the air. there are several police officers in riot gear. we are hearing rumors that shots were fired. this is similar to what happened yesterday when shots were fired. the police came through with a very strong presence. now they have cleared the entire scene. the media are cordoned off away from where most of the police are. but the streets that were full of protesters 24 hours ago are now completely clear except for dozens of police cars and a helicopter above our heads. reports aboutme an autopsy taking place. we also heard about firebombs
11:40 pm
being used and molotov cocktails this evening. what can you tell us. >> i have heard those reports as well. i think the police have reacted to what they say has been violence against them and violence within the crowd. they moved in and it is possible that some of the agitators within the crowd used molotov cocktails. non-toxiclso about a that was released to "the new york times" by the family of michael brown that says the teenager was shot six times. we are not clear about where he was shot but that is the autopsy that was released to "the new york times" by the family. >> tummy something. -- tell me something. the governor has come under criticism. why? >> some people criticize the governor for taking several days
11:41 pm
before reacting and responding to what is a pretty bizarre scene of ride-style please in the middle of a middle american city. have come against the governor saying that he imposes curfew which basically make things even worse. so he is getting a lot of criticism. he is trying to allow people to protest while also maintaining the peace. it hasn't been successful because there has been violence. there has been protests that have been broken up by riot police. tonight, the scene is pretty chaotic. another disappointing scene for anyone who was hoping for a peaceful night. much.nk you very
11:42 pm
11:44 pm
11:45 pm
>> they have so many tools. we have these curbs in many cities were so many have been removed. but there are more weapons in the armory if they want to control or manage the housing price situation. as prices they will soften. we already see this taking place. but ite is a risk factor does something for the moment you can live with. >> is that good -- is bad news good news? or bad news in that china is going to perhaps add more stimulus? toi think they also want lower the lower end of the curve. that sends bad news.
11:46 pm
not too bad news. there could be supporters. i think there is a lot of uncertainty. clear nationwide statistics. there is oversupply. we know that. supplyur pockets where and demand remained relatively good. >> which figure do you pay attention to? >> for us, it is a series of numbers. it is the tier one cities versus the tier two cities. probably key data we focus on every month is p.m. i'm. -- pmi. it is probably the one that we pay the closest attention to. >> it really does not feature is
11:47 pm
highly on the radar. >> it depends on the cycle as well. it depends on where you are in the cycle. for now, pmi is moving in the right direction so that is good. >> do you have property in your portfolio? it is something that you recommend? >> we are overweight in china. we like interest rates and property in china. >> do you actually by physical property? >> if you want to invest in china, there are three ways of doing it. banks, property, insurance. or you go for a basket of stocks. >> if you want to get exposure to property. >> we know marley -- we normally look at individual stocks. >> did you have china bank in
11:48 pm
your portfolio? my china's disease -- my china studies has it in the portfolio. >> what about china trade? people are signing off on abenomics. this is probably the last kick at the can and it doesn't work. >> we are underway in japan because we think there needs to be -- more needs to be done in terms of restructuring japan. but we are now in the stage thee we need to get through data which we know will be quite. how about this shift that people have been talking about for several months about the pension funds? perhaps adding a bit more risk?
11:49 pm
is it something to ride the wave? you don't really see what they are doing. >> this is one of the issues we deal with in japan. we are not always quite sure what exactly the progress has been it is easy to look at what the central bank is doing. but when it comes to reform, there is one step. other areas where things have been put in place that we need to worry about with question marks. >> one of the few that is overweight [indiscernible] taiwan, hong kong and china are you of the contrarian view? >> i think we went over way china at the end of q1 this year. >> things worked out well. >> yes. [laughter]
11:50 pm
if you look at mutual fund data, i think it is fairly consensual to be over way china the moment. >> why were you contrarian than? >> you look at fund data. undoubtedly, we would go around to see clients around the globe and people were under way china. they were very worried about property. the pmi was still below 50. there was a lot of negative news at the time. but over the last couple months, people have been buying into it. so it is more consensual. link? is this many people suggesting this could be the real game changer. >> i think it is an interesting step going forward. weakened by a shares -- we can buy a shares. it is difficult to say with the real impact is going to be.
11:51 pm
but i think the framework point of you is very important. for the first time, that actually can happen and the initial impact could be quite limited. but it is an important step in liberalizing these. >> also the property moderates and the capital accounts. sorted -- sort of baby steps, isn't it? >> more steps, but if you look five years, we actually -- comfortable as a foreign investor, as an international investor, exposing yourself to what is really still plays ononal, micro the regional index in shanghai have you don't really sophisticated investors, should i say, more retail investors? >> investors are really dominant, taiwan, for sample. but it's really about the quality of government these --
11:52 pm
quality of companies you can buy. >> but it's about fundamentals. >> for the moment, people say they want to buy this now because for the first time i can do that. and some chinese say i want to buy hong kong stocks because i can diversify and i was not able to do so. thank you very much indeed. beyond.about china and know india, but how about the hog. silencing the road hog's roar. >> embracing electric. >> we will look at some of the most famous pikes -- famous bikes.
11:55 pm
>> are you a hog? >> certainly not. [laughter] >> for a century, harley-davidson bikes have an cruising the highways in america. >> they make a lot of noise and don't have a lot of power. >> lots of horsepower. >> they have the look and the sound but is could be a better change. >> planning an all-electric model. hog.omage to the
12:00 am
109 Views
IN COLLECTIONS
Bloomberg TV Television Archive Television Archive News Search ServiceUploaded by TV Archive on