>> i am john heilemann. >> i am mark halperin. we are doing this whole episode without any pine tar. ♪ michelle obama is on the air the senate is up or grabs, and bill clinton is hungry for some bacon. the race for the white house. the candidates are on the stump and the small screen. one of them is speaking spanish one is hitting an easier target than shia labeouf, and one is preaching to the converted.

[speaking spanish] >> the rs tells you to hang on to seven years of your personal tax information, but they cannot even keep six-month of employees e-mails. less of the irs, and more people working. i am paul ryan, and i made it on ity get audited for improving this message, but it would be worth it. >> washington takes too much of our freedoms, and too much of our money. i think dan sullivan will get it back. >> there are a lot of qualities that a presidential candidate needs to have, and one of them as being good on television, and in television ads. what you think about those and what it says? >> i think all three of them really good in those ads. paul ryan was the weakest of the

three. jeb bush in spanish awesome. >> it almost seemed like it was overdubbed. >> paul ryan was fine. the rand thing in alaska, you go on bloomberg. com/politics, and it is intense. they are all out there trying to make their mark, and part of it is on the fundraising and the other part is with ads like that. they are all pretty good. >> and number of guys were in new york city yesterday. talk about that. >> coming up this event that was posted by mitt romney, after doing the show. my sense, from talking to people

who were at the event was that no one round the ground -- wowed the crowd. jeb bush was not there and he was the favorite of a lot of guys around the country. rupert murdoch was there, and they had a bit of a huddle, so people are wondering what they talked about. >> moving on to the election that is actually happening right now, 2014 not 2016. there are debates tonight in the colorado, georgia, and north carolina races. we will take a look at where that stands. the way we look at it now, is that republicans need to know to six, and they have three in the bag. they're looking for three more. the states on the right we call them the big six.

new hampshire and michigan, some republicans today and democrats were seizing on the reports that republicans have given up in michigan. that is not true. from those eight, they need to net three unless they start to lose some of the republican held ones. >> all of these are races that a few aches ago you would have thought republicans would have been great street -- weeks ago you would have thought republicans were in great shape. louisiana seems to be the place where it is most likely gone to the democrats, or caps on really tough, and alaska. if they won those three races that would give them their net three. however, kansas right now, according to the most recent polling has the democrats backed by double digits. if they lose that race, they are

shy one. and the whole map, the tightest race in the country right now is iowa. that could be were it comes down and means control or not control for the election. >> i do not think these are very much a done deal. arkansas louisiana are the ones that are most likely for the republicans to pick up. i do not have a strong feeling about alaska because the democrats ground game is supposed to be so strong. they have to remake the electorate. i still think that joni aaronson will have it hard to lose. if they can pick up those four, that can offset if they lose one of these three. that is the most interesting thing to me right now, i have good republican sources that say you talk about candidates in kansas. >> georgette is the wildcard. >> but also contacting. there's not a single one of these right cannot find a

credible republican who says we might lose it. george is the most interesting to me because that is going to be a coalition unlike the democrats have put together in a long time. just a simple fly, the more of these three that the democrats can take a way, the harder it is for republicans to get. >> very tricky in georgia because the president good drive african-american turnout but the party has to take a devilish choice. >> michelle obama was into devastates -- in two states today, and she just made this ad. >> this is michelle obama, and i know pat quinn. i have seen that pat has the courage to do what is right. for this election we are casting our vote for our friend pat quinn. >> she is incredibly telegenic.

earlier today she was in wisconsin, where a cbs affiliate shot this clip. listen to what she says about meeting with them the coalition. >> and women and minorities and young people show up, mary wins. if we are more organized, if we are more passionate, mary wins. >> this is the thing that michelle obama is great at doing, she gets the base excited and enthused. but there is some reporting that her husband is doing very little campaigning. and she is not doing as much as people thought. why is that? >> she has always wanted to stay home and take care of her daughters. she looks for candidates she is invested in. it is up in the air how much she is going to do. but i love at the top of that bite she had an explicit reference to the coalition.

in all of the states they need women and young people to turn out. obviously colorado, they need hispanics to turnout, african-americans, and some of the southern races in alaska they need native alaskans to turnout. it is still the case, she cannot go everywhere, but she can go more places than president obama. >> he is so unpopular now, with undecided voters, that just having the same name as him does not overcome her iq rating. >> a federal appeals court in california set down bans on same-sex marriage in two other statesss. .

you can never have too much arkansas barbecue, and too much bill clinton. >> here is president clinton doing a classic hallog call. >> we have a bunch of national press. what do you say we call the hogs? [applause] >> if we someday have to change the name of the show to ♪ from "with all due respect" i would like to call it "what do you say we call the hogs." [laughter]

it cannot be nor natural -- more natural. >> the most exciting of country is happening on the field of dreams. the washington nationals staved off elimination's by beating san francisco giants. >> i'm sort of cheering for the nationals because i like the nationals, i do not much like the giants to buy would love there to be a five-game cliff hanging final thing thursday in the nation's capital. >> and would be exciting, but i do not want to lose the bet that i made with all hunt that would require me to wear a national sweatshirt for a month on the show. >> coming up, our very own personal white house briefing.

josh earnest, and all around good man is here next. ♪

>> what a name for a press secretary. josh ernest. >> welcome. >> thank you for having me. >> i'm curious about inside the white house whether you have had any special precautions in terms of white house staff or the president to make sure that it does not make way inside the compound. >> we have not.

we know how people get ebola. the only way to get it is to, direct contact with the bodily fluid of someone who is showing considerably be below. so as long as you're not in contact with that person, you will not get it. that is why special precautions are not necessary the white house or anywhere else. >> so there's no screening necessary, as many people come in and out of the white house every day? >> before anyone can leave west africa, they are screening at the airport to make sure that you do not have symptoms of ebola. we have trained our professionals in the transportation system flight crews and others to spot symptoms of ebola. we had this incident in new work worthy like will -- newark where the flight crew indicated

someone might have it. they did not, but it is an indication they are doing the job. and the we have screening once people arrive here in the united states. >> you're up here raising money for the midterms with the president. the resident said his policies were on the ballot for the midterms. wife the president did not say anything wrong, is every democrat furious? >> the point the president was making was very clear. >> i just want to know you know full well that the senate campaign fos are mad. >> i have not gotten calls? . it has not been communicated to me directly. >> what about indirectly?

[laughter] >> i know you think the president stayed a mistake, and i know your point that they want to run on things that are popular. but the case is that it made the senate campaign's math will he keep saying that line -- campaigns mad. will he keep saying that line? >> yes, the president's speeches have not been written for the fall. but i'm confident that this is a case -- >> on ligety $100 he never says the line again. >> we will say. >> you have been dealing with

leon panetta who have come out with this book that has said things critical to the president. we know, on the basis of our experience, that you take thes e pretty seriously. what is the strategy going and? in? >> i am not sure that the white house had access to the book. i certainly did not have access to the report was published that is different from the process that you and other authors have undertaken which is to go thoroughly report these books and talked to individuals enrolled in these decisions./ ultimately, anybody who serves in a senior position has to make a decision for themselves about how and whether and when it is appropriate to talk about their experience. he has made that decision for himself.

the president is proud of the kind of decisions he made while panetta was the secretary of defense. >> you are a new father. which of the following was your son named after? >> quite a legacy of walker's he is inheriting. we looked at family trees before we named him, and it is a name in on my wife's family tree. a distant cousin. >> two sets of questions. about your job, dealing with reporters. who is the most consistently delightful reporter? >> that which orders the

reputation forever. i've to choose a buddy i do not like soy do not harm them. giancarlo is the one who is the best. >> do you have any judo moves you were given? >> no physical contact has been required so far. >> kansas city royals. the last time that you were in kansas city born and raised the last time they made it to the playoffs and went to the world series, how old were you? >> 10 years old. >> so you know this team? >> i do. >> name the infield and point them out. >> i'm going to go in order by

names and recognize. in the front row, four over from the right is frank white second baseman from kansas city. to his right is george brett who was third baseman on that team. it is one to pick in the whole list. >> anti pine tar on or pro pine tar? >> pro. i wish i could use it in the press briefing. i do not see buddy. in theand then

darrell. >> when do you think they will win? >> i think they will win it in six. >> a speech occurred that we could not possibly nor, and we will show it to you when we come back. ♪

>> bill clinton is back in the razorback state and there is so much good material that he produced right while he was down there that there is not enough to put it all in this show. but we will talk about his speech in the addition of political science theater. >> the wagging finger, a great way to start it. nodding. >> fantastic.

>> the use of expressions. >> is doing the thing he did yesterday where he is saying the republicans are scamming the voters of arkansas. >>'s opponent wants you to give him a four your job to -- year job. >> the thing about clinton is that everything see is a >> improviser, but he also hones the speeches. he spent so much time working them and reworking them, and figuring out what is better about it and then making it better the next. he is a great editor and addition to being spontaneous. >> it was highlighted, bubba goes back to the briarpatch.

>> yesterday he said the story was on their politics. >> more than four decades ago i would never have become governor or president. i did not come back to the briarpatch i can back to the future. >> working the reverse world prejudice their -- rural prejudice. >> anybody can do a poll. we could call everybody in the ground.

-- crowd, . the polls that show is in trouble uniformly believe that younger voters who vote for the president who will not show up in the midterm. that is why we have elliptical paralysis, because an unrepresentative group does not vote. >> a couple of the days down there campaigning, started to talk about a big impact on a race. what do you think? >> in a race that close, a couple of points, which is what the people who have him down here can hope to deliver. that is why is going to come back before election day. >> you can watch all of that speech on bloomberg politics.com. we will be right back. ♪

>> a correction from earlier the championship series begins friday night. taking stock begins next. ♪

>> this is what i am taking stock of this tuesday. the major stock market averages each lost more than 1% today. this follows some dismal data out of the imf. but the three point start is shining. -- star is shining. a new sales record. since the beginning of the year asks cl