>> this episode will end with a walk off dinger. ♪ tonight, chris christie. and wendy davis appears to be flirting with the devil. two crises that have taken over the political world starting with isis. here is a potential fox news lower third from the future. isis loses baghdad.

the terrorist group as planted it's firmly in -- itself firmly in the elections. >> in the middle east, radical terrorists are on the march. they are beheading americans. and crucifying christians. president obama admits he underestimated them. we need a senator to hold the president accountable and make america safe. >> isis is on the march not being pushed back. there are times when there are setbacks but how much of a chance is there for surprise? >> the impact on the elections could be quite a surprise in the sense it looks like the campaign is not having a dramatic effect and the notion that isis could end up in baghdad before election day. that is -- >> or they take tori come --

territory, should the republicans jump on that? if baghdad falls, what do democrats say? >> they talk about things are not foreign policy. for the democrats who voted for obama and our incumbents there is no question. >> the other crisis is ebola. we heard the news that a dallas has been infected. the first person to contract ebola in the united states. john mccain is calling for an ebola czar in the white house. is this issue about two dominated the midterms? >> he is getting good political advice. he watches briefings and we keep talking. different officials are low-key. the president would be super smart. to pick one person with a

commanding presence and have them talk daily because politically he is setting himself up for the same kind of criticism is got in the past about not being commanding enough and not eating on top of the big issue. >> this white house has not designated a norman schwarzkopf like figure. someone who has public health communication and political savvy and who is out there on television leading people through this rather than seeing those five or six different faces on the screen. >> what -- leaving the public health aside what is the worst case for the democratic party? >> even though a few have been into the fear mongering game, most are not want to be accused of that. you will see a lot of atmospheric ads that will bundle this isis thing with this ebola thing. we are losing control of our

destiny. >> what are the crowd saying in response? change the subject to minimum wage? >> there is no good answer to that. they must fight on grounds that works for them which is on pacific policy about the -- it is hard to find a really powerfully done negative atmosphere. >> there is not much that the president can do to keep this from being a surprise. it is not that big a public health crisis. you need to -- they just need to listen to john mccain and get in -- and a bolus is our -- ebola czar in place. and now the subject of an ad. it is a simple question.

>> the refusal to save she voted for for president is the non-answer heard around the country. >> this election -- >> dodging whether she voted for president obama. >> is she ever going to answer a question on anything? >> there is a political tactic. releases add to frame the thing. >> i think this is a pretty big deal. this is not a hard thing. >> did you vote for barack obama? >> i did. i thought it was clear that he would be better. your agree with him on everything? i do not. i am a democrat and i voted for my democratic resident. -- president.

>> they waited till the day of the debate in this ad puts her in a tough position. even if the moderators do not ask mcconnell will. >> she looks like a weasel and raised the weston in a way that has read bounded -- rebounded against her. >> her campaign tried to go back on the offensive. until the answer this question they cannot go on the offensive about anything. >> the christian right is not entirely hot to trot for chris christie. they fear that when they look at him they do not see the culture warrior that they are looking for. over the weekend he gave a speech to the naacp that seemed to suggest the religious right babe -- maybe right. >> i believe that every life is an individual gift from god. and that every person is precious and needs to be treated that way.

it is easy for some in our society to say that they are pro-life when the life is in the womb. they have a disappointment then. but people come out of the womb and they make mistakes. and when they make mistakes, we need to decide are we pro-life than two? >> if i know you and i think i do there's a lot in that clip that you like but how big a problem is chris christie having with the conservative right? >> this is the most overrated thing. every republican who rents, ted cruz will have problems with the right. chris christie has conservative positions and good political skills which you saw there. you can see that speech. he is not a perfect candidate that if he raises money that is a bogus overrated thing. >> on -- in either party to be

president you have to take on your base on some things. >> he -- particularly now. >> is not a testing -- he is not attacking the christian right. their power is not increasing. it is a being, if anything. >> they do not understand how strong his skills are. there is a reason he was considered huge national player. bridgehgate set him back. this thing is overrated. the problems with the map -- right are not insurmountable. >> he is ntoot really trouncing them. >> things have gone too far. wendy davis who is running for

governor in texas, there is a new ad on friday and has been condemned as an appropriate and politically stupid i almost everyone. >> a atree fell ong greg adams. >> does it impact your chances of being the next governor? >> it is not because she did not have a chance. i understand -- i talked to democrats and everyone thought this was ridiculous and horrible tactically and strategically. >> let me play devil's advocate. ad showed himself in a wheelchair in his ad and all she is trying to do is say that he benefited from suing one he had an accident and now he is

opposed to the kind of torch that would allow people in accidents to make claims. >> there is an argument that this is a fair add but it is trumped either the optics of you have put this wheelchair in this ad and using his handicap against him. i think there's a chance she will lose the race by a larger margin as bill white lost his race. he lost by 12 or 13 points. she was supposed to be the candidate who turned texas blue or at least purple. she will get swatted in this election. >> to some extent potentially she went from being a national hero to not only losing badly but ending any prospect of being a leader of the party in the future. >> and setting back the cause. last night in dramatic fashion

the st. louis cardinals beat my san francisco giants with a walkoff homerun run. evening the series at 1-1. and attempting a comeback in the alcs. they -- do they have any chance of coming back? >> they are against a team with a lot of speed. it is possible but i would not bet $.40 for the orioles to come back. >> using my giants have a better chance. >> think they do. we go deep inside the rushmore state with potential future senator larry pressler. that's next. ♪

>> the four biggest political

players are the guys running for u.s. senate. one of them is our guest tonight. senator pressler, welcome. >> thank you. >> the entire country or the political world is surprised that south dakota is suddenly the most exciting senate race. are you as surprised as the rest of the political world to find yourself in this position? >> i have been working for two years and i am doing retail politics. i have spent 100 $60,000 on the whole campaign but it is amazing that with -- my creditors have $6 million and $9 million expenditures. we need to elect more independence to senate. we may have one coming and we

need for and that is enough to have a small caucus. want to be an independent voice and an independent can be powerful. we have a divided senate. if one has the ability to work with both sides and i will ring my seniority back to the senate and south dakota needs that. in terms of some of the great corporations that are not serving our farmers and grain shippers well. >> let me ask you about the big topics which is dealing with isis. what is he doing right and what would you say is doing wrong? >> i have held was cohost of a fundraiser for mitt romney. i am not tied absolutely to

barack obama. at the time i thought it was the best mode but i disagree with him on many forms. i think we need to change our policy to a new policy of containment but use the most lethal weapons to accomplish what we are trying to do. not ground troops. i am a vietnam combat veteran. i feel that our time in vietnam iraq, and afghanistan has been wasted. we need to use -- >> do you approve of the job the president is doing in confronting ices? >> i disapprove because it is ill-defined. i would support brief bombings but also the use of anything we have got, drones are legal weapons -- or lethal weapons. i feel the military-industrial state has got us in a state of endless war and it drags on and on. i am opposed to getting endboard

-- involved in foreign civil wars. i am not an isolationist. i would say my thinking is more libertarian in that area. we need to develop a new doctrine of containment of our enemies and we should use our most lethal weapons quickly and get out. we cannot remain engaged. there is a professor at boston university, i assigned his ratings to him my class it is about endless war. our military-industrial state has us in and less war the state of mind that we cannot resist. i hope resident obama does not put boots on the ground. >> are there specific policies or areas on elastic affairs where you would not be a reliable supporter of president obama? >> i am very much a deficit hawk. i me -- they said i [indiscernible] i am taking senator angus king's

advice. i will wait till you get there until i can get an agreement to have certain row call votes. that is the caucus i will join. our deficit in particular is out of control. that does not mean we will take some seniors the sins and take them to court. it means that we have to enhance revenues and do that via 3% tax increase on incomes of over $1 million year. >> that is a four-way race, you and another independent. you have a democrat. handicap the race for us, who is the favorite and how is it going to go? >> i do not know. i have very little money. i might -- i am like a rabbit on a hill and there are several men with the shotguns coming because i only have about $300,000 in my campaign account and 100,000 is a loan that i got from a sioux falls bank.

>> that is an area -- is elmer fudd the millionaire and you're the rabbit? >> i was under attack because i was a republican congressman and senator. i was center of the year in 1991. i am sad they are doing that. they are running negative ad and there is an independent pac running negative ads and democrats running negative ads. i have a total campaign budget of $300,000, most of which is spent. >> we appreciate you joining us. which republican candidates would be to hillary clinton in iowa in 2016? whiis "blackish" the runaway comedy

of the fall? ♪

>> hillary clinton's path to the white house runs through the -- through iowa. we wondered how she would do in matchups with potential republican rivals. for those results and more they are available on our website create with us to discuss the whole tamale is al hunt. >> thank you. i have never seen a polkadotted tamale but let's go. >> trudy striking. she loses to mitt romney and barely beats paul ryan. how surprised are you that in a state that president obama

carried handily that hillary clinton is net connect with those three republicans? rex she is not going to scare anyone off with those numbers but let's not forget obama did kerry by six points last time. this is a purple state. they elect as many republicans as direct routes and why look at that field against her mitt romney says he is not going to run but we will see. how brian will be ways and means committee chair. rand paul does better than all the other and he is in the margin of error. that is not worthy. >> rand paul, he is ahead of jeb bush and chris christie your presumed favorites. does that surprise you is much as it surprises me? >> the line from republicans is we need chris christie your jeb bush because they can win in general. rand paul does better than they do. and well will be a contested

general election state. >> let's look at the result of the senate poll. and -- what do you see himbeond -- beyond the top line number. quick she is doing better with men. i think the thing that jumped -- jumped out at me is there is -- she doesn't better with younger voters. >> i am not sure of the answer

but if really -- raley wants to win he has to close that gap. >> the current governor will cruise to reelection. what is it about iowans that they like those guys? >?> they like chuck grassley. they are authentic figures to iowans. and authentic political figures. bill clinton comes across as someone who identifies with them. terry branstead is about to be reelected. >> last question, president obama's star has faded in iowa. our poll shows him with a high disapproval rating in the state

overall. only 27% saying they support him as much as they used to. do you think that hurts him when he hears that, he has suffered so much? >> a has to because that state has a 4.5% unemployment rate. the other thing that was striking to me is to look how hawkish iowans are. henry wallace has turned over in his gravestone. >> we are pleased to have you here. we will be right back. ♪

>> where live 24/7 on bloomberg politics.com. and taking exception with our conventional wisdom. lots about our previous

bloomberg politics poll but there is one coming tomorrow. you'll hear about it here. "taking stock is next. ♪

>> this is what i am taking stock of today. activist investor bill ackman pershing square holdings fell 12% in its trading debut in amsterdam. he said he has a new u.s. target in his sights. >> we intend to use the cash for a new commitment. we will announce in the next 45 to 60 days and the capital will go for that new investment. >> another debut. fiat chrysler shares began trading on the new york stock exchange. why t