tv Bloomberg Business Week Bloomberg May 19, 2018 3:00am-4:00am EDT
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>> we want to go deeper into the world ai is making, what the big grill quests are our reporter went to switzerland. they spoke to the godfather of ai who has been written out of a lot of the history's. >> often at bloomberg, we are talking about ai and machine learning, but you guys dig into some unusual suspects. atyeah, we tried to look chinaof the ai, folks in who are making the default chips for bit quite minor rates -- bit coin miner rigs. why is it that there are
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so many interesting characters here? field,aws people to this ai seems to attract a motley crew. >> for sure. that a lot seeing is of these folks have been working in the background for as long as 30-40 years. the baseline theory behind ai, known as neural networks, designed to mimic human thought with big schemas of computers, it's an idea that's only been practical in the past 5-6 years or so. a lot of the guys who have done .he basic research what are the conversations
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you have had getting it to this point? >> we started with a handful of stories that seemed ai focused. at a certain point, we realized we had so many deep stories that it made just as much sense to just spackle in the gaps and make nai issue. when we want to understand cockaded things, we turn to paul. carol: i love this guy. remember, he did that wonderful story about coding, explaining programming to the masses. here's what he had to say. data, take a whole lot of like a billion pictures and captions for those pictures, and you teach the computer patterns. say thisomputer will has a shape that is like a cat, the word underneath is cap, and it does it a million times.
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now you give it a picture but no caption. to the database that it builds, and it will say it looks like an airplane. is, sometimes it isn't, but the models and statistics have gotten better. that is when you hit reply in gmail and it says here are some replies you might want to use, that's because they have looked at civilians of emails and replies. and email before got a reply that was like this one. it, yout time you see think what are you doing, then you think it is useful. you have seen this ubaldo over a. time. where are we right now? we are in a moment where it is viable for the first time. it has always been an expensive process, and there is the sort of amazing confluence where's
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the cards that you put into your computer, like if you're into gaining, turn out to do that sort of recognition task. they are really good at that because they can split it into thousands of discrete processes. the processor in your laptop, too slow. the processor in a 3-d card is really fast, so you have all of these cards sitting around, jason: you have been sitting around, we don't. [laughter] can do this all of the sudden. without spending thousands on specialized hardware. now what is happening is that companies like google are building their own processing unit. and you can rent them by the hour, they're more expensive than regular clout equipment,
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but they let you do that kind of task. is it becoming more productive because you have the technology that can do this processing, and you've also got companies like google which have so much information. >> they've got the expertise and the channel. wait a minute, we have billions of emails so we can learn from it. it, they'lllike keep using gmail, give us more data, and we can learn more. where it gets more serious is google maps and self driving cars, google maps is at some level a way of seeing the world, they can train themselves. jason: and so you essentially applied machine learning to your life? tell us about this mini hack you did. >> i was on a tight deadline and people said we need a machine learning in the issue, and i said great.
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on going to train a computer the paragraphs of my sentences. i'm getting paid by the word, so i thought this was great. that that is nice and nights and nights of computers running. it was clear that it would be 3-4 days, and again i'm on deadline. instead, i just sat at my google calendar and try to see if it could generate meetings for me. carol: did it work? >> kind of. by the end, it was like drinks with gina, and i said, sounds about right. beingore about my life boring, and less about the amazing programming. carol: so what changed about machine learning? i knew it was a big deal and
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clearly it is guiding the strategies of the big whatever's. , microsoft, and google, but also like over -- uber. and land o'lakes. jason: like the butter. >> yeah, agriculture is very interested. for me, what changed is that it is very accessible. google released a huge open package which is become the standard. carol: they are sharing that? >> oh yeah. they want people coming into the tent. they need engineers and a community. ai is obviously a lot about science, but art as well. , this meant use
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artificial intelligence paintings. we really wanted something that could show you what these networks are capable of, and there are lots of technologies around for teaching them how to make images. we reached out to this guy who taught his ai how to do landscape paintings. he had us do the cover. so this is painted by a machine? >> yes. he shows the machine a bunch of paintings, which trains and. that's what it is all about, you feed in machine a lot of information and get a result. you can apply it to art. you usually think about our data sets and analyzing numbers, but beauty is a whole another picture. will change how sort of styles the painting.
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carol: welcome back. jason: you can also find us online. now we have a pair of stories by max chafkin. we really turned him loose on a lot of different things. is that he i love uncovers people and companies that nobody is talking about, but in a few months everybody will. jason: and everybody will be talking about bitmain. >> they are a beijing-based semi conductor company.
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not super well known unless you are in the world of cryptocurrency, where they are basically the only game in town. we are talking about a market share around 80%. they are selling the most popular chips for bitcoin mining and operating a great percentage of these mines. what is interesting is that they are now moving into ai. they deftly are looking down the road and at the united states. >> they are in a great position because the prices for these chips move with the price of the currency. he can make more money mining the currency, they could have more revenue, so they are in a perfect position and are trying to diversify. one aspect of that is open mining operations outside of china. most of bitcoin mining in terms of large-scale stuff is happening in china because of low energy.
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in rural china, you had traditionally coal-fired electricity for little money, and bitcoin is all about cheap power. they have got projects in canada, switzerland, and a couple in the united states. we have relatively inexpensive electricity here. push,r part is the ai which is interesting on two levels. one is psychological and the other is regulatory. the chinese government has been pushing ai really hard. china wants to be a powerhouse in this world. and people are starting to say maybe we had a new cold war over ai. so they are going into this industry that is kind of in a gray area. 21 with air is full throated support from beijing. they are getting
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into the ai business, they're getting into a business populated by some big tech names. they unveiledhip is named after a well-known chinese science fiction of, i think all the three body problem. it is very similar to what google has done. last year, introduced a ,hing called atp you -- a tpu basically a chip that makes machine learning more efficient. you can only access it if you're a subscriber to google's cloud services. go outs you can't just and buy one, but it also means you can't buy one in china, because google cloud is not available in mainland china. n has a niche products. jason: so you can't by the
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competing product. >> absolutely. to be clear, they think there is a market for this worldwide, this is not some kind of copycat, at least as far as they are saying. they were developing it long before google made their announcement. but does have the sort of built-in advantage. jason: this week, max takes on the topic of autonomous driving. carol: he takes us to this company which is very involved in the space, and how they could make self driving cars safer. >> mobile i is a jerusalem-based that does driver assistance systems. if you've been in a car over the past couple of years, these are systems where if you are about to hit something, it will slam or handlekes for you adaptive cruse control, like cruz control, except it slows.
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the car down if the car in front of you slows down. also warn you if you're about to swerve out of your lane or falling asleep. it is a very large company that very few people have known about until now. there's something like 27 million of the systems on the road, all of the big automakers are using them. year, intel purchased the company for around $15 billion. part of a much a broader trend that you get into in this story around autonomous driving, driverless vehicles. and yet there is a twist in terms of how they are approaching it. >> this is the driverless car company you have never heard of, but also the one in the lead. uber, have all attracted tons of press doing these very sophisticated systems that are driving around.
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and you know, we are talking that dozens of cars. carsas waymo has dozens of -- hundreds of cars, and their idea is to leapfrog these companies and release a design that can be used by other automakers. we are talking about bmw, fiat chrysler, a chinese company called neo-, that would be able to offer what waymo is doing. carol: different can be better but also more expensive. you talk about that unfortunate accident that happened with the over par -- uber car. >> this is one of the things that make driverless car scary, is that it is hard for anyone to know whether then one thing is better than the other. incident, there was a
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woman in tempe arizona walk across the street. she crossed a very busy divided road outside of an intersection and a driverless car which had a safety driver, in theory to stop the car, plowed right into her. it didn't even try to stop. in doing this story, one of the reasons i wanted to the story, i want to understand how a country figures out how to stop a car. we coulde founder said have caught that, because the way they are doing it is different. yeah, he took the video the police released, set it into the which is similar to what a honda is doing with autonomous breaking. he told me that that fatality was avoidable, that this was a
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this country. , we are also going to buy some of our stock, because our stock is of good value. from a shareholder point of view, if we can buy stock from people who think it's worth less than we do, then that is good for the company, and it's good for the economy as well. as people sell stop, they sell taxes on their gains. new interviewhe in the new season of the david rubenstein show. this week, we turned the entire economic section to take on a massive issue. carol: the relationship between the united states and china, we know it has been deteriorating and is at risk for both. chimerica is a combo of china
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and america and was coined by british historian neil ferguson to express the idea of this symbolizes between the two giant economies. we have china, being high poor, and the u.s. being rich and low savings, and finding that they work together. their cheapsend goods to america, pretty jobs for millions of chinese, and while america got cheap goods, and was able to sell high-tech products into china. this is a very optimistic vision. >> it was sort of necessary. but there were problems, even back then. ended upid was it helping, among other things, the housing crisis, because it was a cheap debt that enables people to buy houses they couldn't which has global
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spillover effects. preceded as it was being a necessary binding, and there were hopes that things would get better. jason:. our, and how are you feeling? -- here we are, and how are you feeling. >> it is unraveling. cte,iggest thing was a where the company had illegally violated u.s. sanctions by transacting with iran and north korea, so a $1.2 billion fine. but the cte officials did not comply with the terms of the agreement. they secretly paid full bonuses to the people who had been involved in this sanctions dustin. -- busting.
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when they found out about this, they almost put a death sentence and cut it off from their u.s. suppliers for many years. it became apparent to everyone, including the chinese, that a national champion of china, that the country had been counting on toas extremely vulnerable the winds, you might say, of the united states. this caused the chinese to think we cannot rely so much on the united states. we need to develop our own advanced technology. carol: but aren't they doing that? >> they have been doing it. they have a program called made in china 2020 five, which involves massive subsidies for a , fromrange of high-tech
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robotics to electric vehicles. the united states has been saying, that seems like an unfair trade practice. you're subsidizing your industries, the party stolen an american invention, now you've got most of the world market. so, a trade mission to china led by secretary steve mnuchin came with a message, you guys can't be subsidizing. and then this comes along with c saying that if they had any doubts before, they are going ahead. . it has created more of this unraveling. up next, the ai entrepreneur. carol: and a new era of the ocean research. jason: this is bloomberg
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ai godfathers, one of the pioneers in the artificial field who has really pushed forward a lot of innovations. him is thatout unlike most of the other people, he's not really a beloved figure. he's come up with all these brilliant ideas, but he spends a lot of time accusing people of stealing his ideas or using them without credit, and so he's built up this kind of fearsome reputation in the ai world. ubiquitous at a lot of conferences, and not just as an attendee. >> there are these big ai conferences where like everybody shows up, and he is famous for this thing, a term of art,. it is when you are giving a presentation and showing off in front of all of your peers, and in the middle of this, as german
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voice will appear and as tall striking guy stands up and he ,ays, i have a question for you and basically spends a few minutes telling the presenter how they have stolen his ideas or bastardized his work and haven't given him credit. usually is a bit of back-and-forth as he won't let go, and keeps trying to set the record straight at these conferences. this is why he has this kind of bad reputation. although in my story, there's a guy who says it's a sort of a rite of passage. it seems like he is partially if not wholly right. at this like 30 years and has come up with some of the biggest ideas in ai. ae reasons ai systems have memory, this temp oral ability
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to store information, comes from his research, and countless other things. right, and totally that's one of the things that's most frustrating about him. not only is he digging in, but he's correct. jason: where does he go from here? he has been at this for some time, sitting there in switzerland. he has created quite a cottage industry around himself. he is trying to create something known as an agui, artificial general intelligence. ai's today are still very dependent on humans, whereas this would be an ai which you and itint at a direction figures out how to do it on its own. and ultimately, if this ever it would be smarter
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than human beings by a dramatic margin. team, about 25 researchers that he's brought together, that is their goal. to make this agi, make a bunch and then take humanity to the next stage where we basically merged with machine. carol: we get more from him. jason: writes, in the middle of the ocean. i don't even know we had that much to learn. jenkins, i would describe him as an adventure of sorts and a sailor. is from england, he spent his whole life building all kinds of boats for a. of 10 years from 1999 to 2009. world'sut to break the land sailing record, which is where you have a sailboat on rick wheels and go across the
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desert. in 2009, he did break the record. he took this crazy qwest and turned it into a company. today, he's the ceo of a company saildrone, drone -- based on his designs, and it goes out into the ocean and obtains all kind of data. jason: what is he finding? >> i was kind of surprised. we have very few researched ships available to study the ocean. the united states has 16 research vessels, these boats cost about $150 million to build , about a hundred thousand dollars a day to run when they go out. i want to stop you there because that is an extraordinary amount of money. how does it cost that much? these are massive ships
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that are designed to hold dozens of researchers and are filled with all kinds of equipment. that costs a lot, they have full data centers. i was surprised to, but it's just the logistics of running these boats. the drone, you can rent it for idea is to, and the eventually have 1000 of these drones going all over the world, just constantly pulling back all caps of it. one of the things people are interested in is the habits of groups of sharks. about a dozen researchers out of this place called the white shark cafe, about halfway between hawaii and san diego. for decades, marine biologists have seen that pretty much all of the great white sharks off the coast of california, they all flock to this one spot every
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spring. nobody has any idea why, and they died down 1500 feet to 3000 feet and nobody knows what they were doing. year, i went with richard to put a couple sailed runs in the water from alameda california are several skill, it took them about three weeks. transpondersese that about 37 of the sharks had on them, and were able to see the sharks are doing these crazy and chasing some kind of food supply. are you optimistic about what he will find and uncover? >> i am. they just raised $60 million in the last couple of months which brings them up to 90 million. -- buildough to bring
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hundreds of these drones. the biggest thing will be there inside around whether. our weather models come from a handful of buoys scattered around and from satellite. with these drones, you can sail one directly into a hurricane, find out what the temperature of the water is, you can find out how fast it's going, when it will land, and he would have this global map of weather like we have never had before. could sell this to shipping companies, energy companies, but that remains to be seen if these companies would actually pay for that kind of information. jason: up next, a new reason to be worried about hackers. network being used by the smartest kids, and now recruiters.
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jason: welcome back. carol: you can find us online. jason: and on our at. a scarier side of the tech world. carol: a new threat, if you will. >> we are writing this week about a researcher, a cybersecurity researcher from portland. he is the have a top job at intel security, hacking their microprocessors. what he has found his this, his research shows the meltdown from january which affected all of the world's processors.
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he is able to go a level deeper. what that means is that those vulnerabilities were really bad, and it gets worse. carol: will that's it. really going into the core of , this isputer works deep stuff. we think of computers, we think of stuff we interact with. that's not what he is concerned about. he is concerned about the firmware. what thate don't know is, but it's the code that exists inside the chips on your computer. and what he has discovered is a way to use these hardware exploits to get inside the , andare of your computer that's where all the secrets are stored. jason: and you mentioned that he works at intel, and i want
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everybody to understand, the company that has all of these chips inside so many computers. those are in personal computers, chips inside corporations, and chips inside the government. so how is the industry responded to his next level threat. in january, when meltdown and specter announced, the industry had a botched rollout. were a lot of glitches, a lot of problems with the response. what is happening is you have a lot of different players. --s not like a different typical vulnerability where microsoft can put out a patch. when it comes to firmware vulnerabilities, you have got to have dozens and dozens of companies that have firmware on motherboards, they need to update their firmware before attacks like these go away. you can just imagine the scale
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of the problem. that you interested talk about intelligence systems which have known that hackers can get into firmware for decades. >> it's an open secret. they have been hacking firmware for years. it is amazing to me that the cybersecurity industry has focused on other stuff, easier to detect attacks, because that's what companies have asked for. --don't want to get fish phished. so it has gone there. but when you talk about hardware, those are hard to detect. carol: here is a company you don't know about, but you would if you were in college. jason: if you are a super smart college kid you would know about pr is a -- piazza. >> it's a website kids used to
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help study for classes. computer science, but also other technical fields. and it's a way for students to ask and answer questions for their problem sets. it's usually done under the supervision of the professor. the professor realizes that somebody's answering a question wrong, they'll put him straight. they might endorse a question saying that's a good question, or a good answer. the company claims their research shows that students are spending more than three hours every night on this website. so think about it, this is a gold mine. because what companies need now, they are desperate for technical talent, and here is a website where it is like fishing in a well stocked lake. now, in 2016, it a company got the idea of
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theing students who opt in, companies can contact you. and interestingly, the companies that are most contacting students are the ones that are sort of like not top of mind for the students, and yet they need technical talent. jason: i want to go back to how this started. it seems like a no-brainer idea, and yet, it didn't exist. yeah, a woman born in a poor part of northeast india and lived there until age two, her father was a physicist and brought her family to canada and the u.s.. ,t age 11, went back to india the same poor part of northeast the thelso dealing with sexual discrimination and so on
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and india. it's hard to get ahead, and yet she aced the exams to get into the indian institute of technology, superbright, of course. aen she got there, she had problem and the boys were all study with each other. with,d nobody to study and so she felt very isolated. it was harder for her because of that. it helps the study with other people. so she came to the u.s. and worked for a couple of big companies including oracle, facebook, went to stanford business school. while she was there, she said i really want to help girls like me, what can i do? she came up with the idea of creating this website. carol: and it's not just a small little website. talkinge, but you're about two and a half million users who stay there for several hours a day. . >> that's right.
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it started with just a few professors, but in 2011, she opened it up to all comers. and it just took off. like 98% of the computer science students of the top 50 american universities are on this website. jason: that's unbelievable. to go back to the companies, how do they get in? the, anday and access again, for students who opt in, they can find out what courses they've taken, what specialties for example. machine learning, i need somebody in machine learning, graduating 2018, yes. next, a data scientist helping create ethical robots. jason: this is bloomberg businessweek.
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carol: welcome back. jason: you can also listen to us on the radio. carol: time to check in with our editor joel webber to see what stood out for him. on with him,going ai of course, but we also talked about turkey, president erdogan,. of thiswe put all together, we noticed one theme that we really wanted to capture , artificial intelligence. it is sort of changing everything, it's like making money, driving cars, just upending business as a whole and freaking people out. and he really cap some amazing writers to bring this to us. we really just outsourced it
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to ashlee. [laughter] placeswere able to go to that most people don't know about. like the oral history of artificial intelligence, and canada has been this driving force. justin trudeau is in the issue, saying that, did you know that canada is this mecca for ai? jason: going beyond, what else jumped out at you? >> we had an ongoing theme of trying to talk to world leaders. ,e had another one from turkey which is in everyone's eyes because erdogan, who has been there for more than a decade, has strengthened his grip on power. some exclusive interviews with him in london this week, and it really framed everything because capital markets are taking a look at what is happening in turkey and not
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liking his. -- his influence. carol: people should go check out the interview. we also can't forget mr. wolf. wolfe, he is one of the reasons i got into journalism, he was a shame change going back into the 60's he was really a northstar for me personally. but the reason wall street remembers him is the seminal , and itdid in the 80's was really a zeitgeist of the 80's and in our finance section, we put a little white hat. we check with alan hewitt, who has been working with a lot of issues with harassment. taking a look at ai, bias, and the criminal justice
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system. has been pretty well known amongst people who are championing fairness in machine , but she became more well-known last december when she wrote a medium post about some of the harassment she has experienced in her career. jason: at first blush, people might wonder how a machine can be biased. data sets back to the that people use to build these predictive models that they then applied to real-life setting. paperample, they read a published by a predictive and thiscompany company makes a product that helps police out on the beat figure out which areas in a city are most likely to have crime. not quite like,
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minority report, but it is similar. it says, maybe you should check out this intersection at this time of day. of that output is based off of police records that the police department has been gathering. so her and her coworkers looked attwo things, they looked arrest records related to drug crimes in oakland, and compared them to public health data about who is most likely to be using drugs in a similar area. just doing a comparison, they found police enforcement is disproportionately focused on communities of color. there is more criminal activity there rather than usage. , doingey ran their model this sort of predictive outputs, they found that it was telling cops to go places where they would only be increasing and
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amplifying the bias that was already shown in these records. so, even though people tend to have this idea have -- of computers as fair, the reality is when you use data coming from human activities, it is really hard to get past the things that made that data askew in the first place, especially if you don't have a complete set. like working off of data made by human choice. jason: so what are her recommendations? >> she said, and i had thought what is heart is not convincing people out rhythms can be biased, but figuring out exactly what people agree on is fair. this is sort of a question of philosophy, what is fairness? it becomes even more complicated when you have to be as specific as saying we are making this algorithm and the output is
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going to be fair. people want the same thing, but they disagree on how to get there. carol: bloomberg businessweek is available on newsstands now. jason: what was your must read? carol: you kind of have to read the whole issue. outside of that, i enjoyed talking to peter coy about chi merica, the relationship between the united states and china. yours? jason: i can't get enough of ashlee vance. he wrote the book, literally, on yuan musk. in switzerlanduy and introduce a new verb. more bloomberg television starts, right now.
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♪ >> i'm caroline hyde this is the best of bloomberg technology. this week we were live from boston showcasing innovation , diversity and power of the regional tech economy. we will be live from various tech center locations in boston through the week. coming up, the governor of massachusetts on the incentives to lower amazon to the state to set up their second head
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