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tv   Bloomberg Technology  Bloomberg  August 3, 2018 5:00pm-6:00pm EDT

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♪ emily: i'm emily chang in san francisco and this is "bloomberg technology." apple's $1 trillion milestone has everyone talking. with sector reclassification on the horizon, how big is too big? the great firewall. china wants to be the world's tech leader but leading companies still want to beijing to let them then. where google and facebook stand in a brewing trade war.
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and tell a time raises $550 million ahead of a public offering. how does a home fitness startup fit into the broader tech ipo market. apple's milestone moment hitting one chilean dollar market cap. big?ig is too it will big -- drag tech names out of funds that have held them for years. does tech have too much: u.s. equities? amazon outspent microsoft and facebook is not far behind apple. joining me now, our guest who -- and on the phone, tony covers apple and tesla. we will get to your exchange with elon musk in a moment. what i want to talk about this reclassification and what it means.
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walk us through how the s&p weighting will impact the tech names? guest: tech's 26% of the s&p 500 in terms of waiting -- weighting. telecom is 2%. is create ats to do broader communications category. and what that means is names like facebook and alphabet will slide out of the tech sector and into this communication center. you will have names like netflix that will also slide out of consumer discretionary and into the tech sector. there will be reshuffling to the point that the communication sector will be 10% of waiting -- weighting. tech as a category name will drop to 22% or less. this is significant because so much of the trading in the market today is not just done an individual stocks. it is done with a basket of stocks. whether you are in a broader etf
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like xlk, the qqq or something. are these re-weightings done, money will have to be shifted around. that can change the trajectory for some of these stocks. emily: i have a chart showing how apple has a bigger market value than four of the s&p 500 sectors. tony, how big of an impact will this have on apple? how do you expect apple's business and market value to evil given that this is still very much an iphone company and arising services company. tony? sectorn terms of reclassification, there might be turbulence as those sectors get reallocated. areportfolio managers really used to focusing on individual securities. and do tmt, telecom media
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technology together. together, there will not be an impact on stocks. what does apples large-size mean going forward and how do we think about the name? is a number but does reflect the fact that apple is a very big company. it is much more difficult to grow a large company than it is a smaller company. highest growth days are behind it. challenge is, can you continue to develop products and services that can push through what is a great band name -- brand name and loyal install base? the question i hear when i debate with investors is the health of the iphone.
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when you look at most consumer electronic products over time, typically the price goes town -- goes down and mature. we have seen that with ipod, ipad, and the mac. the question longer-term is, is the smartphone category increasingly mature? if it is a mature category and prices are going down, how much does apple have to grow the core iphone franchise? emily: there are three other stocks. amazon, alphabet, microsoft. they are not far behind. which one gets to trillion first? how fast? a venture capitalist suggested amazon would get to $3 trillion before anyone else. guest: the broader question is how much visibility in future growth there is. that is the difference between google, amazon, and face book.
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facebook for the near term, it has gone down. disclose -- google will disclose how profitable they are doing. you have cloud and some other bets. with amazon, profitability joining revenue growth is a catalyst. facebook -- [indiscernible] is how not clear yet soon can that happen? ist transition period keeping them in the back for now. emily: is there a danger for techs to have so much weight in equities? romaine: anytime you have a stock like apple that is 80% of the nasdaq, you risk associated with the broader market with that particular stock. look at thewill performance over the last few years and they that tech has done the market pretty well.
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at the s&p 500 technology index, it has a total return -- that is almost twice what you've gotten out of consumer discretionary. most investors will be happy for that. when you have stocks with this ighting, ifting -- we there is a huge shift in sentiment, that will drag the whole market down with it. we talk about the s&p re-weighting. they do that is to reflect changes in the economy and make sure the indexes are that is in a manner more equitable to what the real economy looks like. emily: tony, i have to ask you about your exchange with elon musk. you were one of the analysts he caught up with on the last earnings call and apologize to you on this earnings call. musk: i want to apologize
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for being impolite on the call. there is no excuse for that. and 120asons for it -- hour weeks, but there is no excuse. my apologies. emily: do you accept his apology? what is your level of confidence in musk's leadership and execution given the capricious behavior we have seen over the last several months? tony: certainly, apology accepted. you saw in the stock reaction on the last earnings call that investors were nervous about his on questions.
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there has been concern among elon take does seriously the investment community? if he focused on financial metrics? is he statesmanlike enough to be running a company? saw the negative reaction in the stock following the conference call an early may. a more straightforward earnings call, it was a positive step. they are focused on financial metrics, key investor questions. companycan lead the with a level of statesmanship and decorum. it was a positive step. most investors that no tesla well, elon is not your typical
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ceo. he is highly visionary. he tweets a lot. he is very expressive in his views and much less guarded than most ceos. they recognize that is part and parcel of what you get when you are buying tesla. in the recent months, there have been times where that aspect of his personality has been detrimental and distracted to the investment focus. seeing a step in a positive direction. i think generally, it was reasonably well regarded. emily: he is setting new targets for himself, 6000 model three's a week. he says there are no plans to raise capital. that he doesn't need to raise capital. do you agree? tony: i think it's possible they won't need to raise capital this year. they are taking a lot of's apps to try to hit -- a lot of steps
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to try to hit that bogey. they are going to squeeze working capital. they have done a headcount reduction. they are pushing very hard for that. it is possible they will not need to raise capital. on a go forward basis, i think they will. this is a company that is going to grow. think about the initiatives that a factory innned, china, europe, launching the semi, rolling out the solar business. they have $3 billion of debt coming due in the next couple of years and that is probably $10 billion plus worth of capital. i don't think the company is going to be cash generative enough. they can get by through some a sterritt he measures in the second half of this year, -- through some austerity measures
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in the second half of this year. you want them to be able to seize market opportunities if they are there. thank you so much for joining us on the phone as well as romaine in new york and jitendra here in san francisco. up, some of the world's largest companies are collaborating using a face book platform called "marketplace." we will talk to the lead on acquisition and expansion next. this is bloomberg. ♪
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emily: back in 2016, facebook created a collaborative platform
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"workplace" to chat with colleagues and offer social network features in a more corporate environment. it has grown extensively using the platform. but there is competition from the likes of microsoft. for more, we talked to caroline hyde. caroline: our guest is really running it right here from london. we were hearing about competitors like microsoft and flak. are they competitors? i don't think they are competitors. we can be in any company and any industry. desk, have never had a email, or pc. basically, 4.5 billion people are employed and working with that device. i don't see anyone --
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[indiscernible] caroline: and how does that empower the barista at starbuck's from a sales point? julien: it gives them a voice for the first time. they understand who it works for. they control the company. they can be identified. they can exchange with colleagues from other stores. when you give everyone a voice like that, you change how the company is run and it gives opportunity to people who did not necessarily have opportunities before. you are interested in the acquisition trail. email, the enterprise side of conductivity. julien: it is a great company, a grade ip. a company that has been in business for a long time. the ceo used to be the vp of roddick set five -- of products at jive. caroline: what does it say about
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the purpose of where they want to go? how significant you can be for the parent company. julien: it can help us. to move away from things like mailing lists and newsletters that people don't really like to use. we can use that to accelerate transition and accelerate the production of workplace when we launch in a company. caroline: you have 30,000 companies already. how global is that spread? how can you make connections to get inside these his misses? businesses. julien: we are in paris and brazil, we have to be present where our customers are. and we can use the facebook infrastructure. we want to make sure that we are the best -- [indiscernible] caroline: you have a
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subscription model that's not in the rest of face book. what about nonprofits? julien: workplace for good is free. have the premium, but -- it is a newt, business for facebook. and we want people to know very clearly that it is a very different product. it is a very different business model. create to find a way to ground within facebook, inc. the first startup was in facebook. caroline: your part of facebook. the company can be a driver of growth and a hindrance about privacy and data. you about the businesses are talking to in making sure they are completely at ease with the product? have observed google
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company amazon, how the created a very successful side business. we are going to the same journey. we have to create our own brand and go through the possible security and privacy -- [indiscernible] banks, financial institutions, governments. it is a new force we are building. at the end of the day, it is one of the few companies in the world building its own infrastructure. so we have a lot of credibility as a tech company and we have to buildcredit and ready -- credibility ready to serve companies in the world. caroline: i wish i could talk to you for longer. come back. emily? us andcaroline hyde for london. thank you so much for that
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interview. coming up, the great firewall of china. faced look and google 110, but at what cost -- facebook and google one in -- want in, but at what cost? this is bluebird. ♪
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emily: another salvo has been fired in a trade war between china and the united days. beijing unveiled a list of $68 billion worth of u.s. goods to be hit with tariffs. china says it will happen if washington follows through on its plan to impose duties as early as next month on chinese goods. larry kudlow said the white house will not back down. nory: we said many times, tariffs, no tariff barriers, no subsidies. is not delivering. their economy is weak and their currency is weak. people leaving the country. fish, do youstone
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see any end in sight here? forc: this will be a story quite some time for the u.s. side and the chinese side. at least very publicly, they are not showing desire to back down. side, we are gearing up for a secret annual meeting for chinese leaders in a resort town that will happen sometime in august. after the party leaders meet to discuss some secret agenda that we know very little about, we might he more movement on the beijing's i'd. -- beijing side. it is unlikely we will see anything until perhaps right after the midterms. meantime, you still have u.s. companies dying to get into china. out aboutn op-ed facebook and you recommend facebook completely shut down ambitions to enter china. mark zuckerberg has said it
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can't be a company that connects the world of china isn't part of it that facebook has been blocked in china for many years now. i did forthe op-ed the washington post, i recommend facebook give up on china because the cost of entering the chinese market very much outweighs the benefits. the reputational cost, facebook would have to share data with the chinese government. practicalities of doing so. they would have to hire an army of sensors and compete in a very competitive social media lance a. -- social media landscape. it's hard to enter the chinese market without being a chinese company. for facebook, consumers, and the world. emily: google has been secretly used in chinaapp that would censor results.
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many employees are not happy about this. eight years ago said we are leaving the country because you are making us since her our results. and now this. what do you make of it? isaac: it is probably to google's executive chagrin that this story leaked. troubling is quite that the company that has done more in the tech world to stand up for free speech and an psy censorship -- and anti-censorship values is now bowing to china to serve a market of 1.4 billion people. it is hard to see this as anything but capitulation. it is possible google will decide not to go forward with this. it is possible for chinese consumers that will get a better product and a less censored baidu. -- poroduct like
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it's hard to see it as anything other than bad. in the trade war, is beijing likely to give any concessions to google at all given the broader atmosphere right now? p.r. win.would be a it normalizes china's political system if they have a company like google that is seen still as a representative of each -- free speech. if it goes to china and acts like an international company would anywhere else in the world , there would be a lot of pr upside for china. they can do it without fearing google was spreading sensitive information. emily: isaac stone fish of the asia society, a great op-ed in the washington post. thank you for joining us. peleton raised money in its latest round, will it be the
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next tech company to hit the public market? better than this week's disappointing debut from sonos. we will discuss. this is bloomberg . ♪
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emily: this is "bloomberg technology." we are halfway to the year with a number of tech companies making their debut. this week we saw sonos begin trading on the nasdaq. shares below the marketed range trading about $1.5 billion valuation, half of what it hoped-for. peloton meantime has just raised $550 million before a planned ipo. so, how will the rest of the are play out? we have our ipo reporter and olivia -- the story on peloton. we want to start with the broader market.
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how does this year compared to last year? excited aboutuper how this year compares. there have been 33 technology companies which includes internet companies, they have raised $11.5 billion through july. last year and all of 2017 we had billionnies raise 13 dollars. we have almost jumped over 2017 when it comes to new listings in like dropboxdeals are pushing that number up. spotify does not even come because you remember that was a direct listing. bigger year. the markets continue to be conducive for initial public offerings. and investors do seem to be paying out for most companies. sonos maybe the exception. is planning to eric go public. why did they need all this cash? >> the point alex brings up may be why peloton says it may be his last funding round. at a $4 billion valuation which
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is huge for this company that makes home fitness equipment. i think they feel they're profitable. they are going to lose quite a bit of money at the end of this year delivering their new treadmill. i think they feel they really need the cash. they need to grow. they are opening in england and canada. emily: how many years out is this? >> this could be big time next year which is when they are targeting. emily: what market are they going into? >> when i talked to the buy side, that is the big question. there is an increased level of on currency -- uncertainty injected around the political the discussions with china. it is prudent for companies if they are looking to go out about a year from now to have a bit of a war chest. to have cash, so they can continue operating. when i look at peloton, if i were an investor, i would need more proof points. you have it bike, now you have
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the treadmill. is the treadmill going to be as profitable as the bike? toy will need to be able sidestep some of those questions and be able to show the proof points. emily: meantime, you also cover given anyich hasn't signals at all about their ipo. >> they came out, the ceo recently came out and said they are going to go no later than 2020. he made that very clear to his employees because the stock will start to expire around them. he has said we are not going to wait much longer. we will be ready to go around this time next year, the back half of 2019. a lot to work to do, they need they need some independent directors on their board and there is a town of regulatory uncertainty for them. new york came down in them. to cut theiring listings and half in new york city which has cut their new york city revenue in half. a lot of uncertainty and i think
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they need to deal with that. they face the regulatory crackdown they are seeing in new york, to that help and elsewhere? >> we're starting to see it in japan. emily: alex, when you think about bigger ipo's like uber 2019, how has said by do those big ones change the dynamic of the market? >> exactly. snap is a what example. dropbox is a good example they should. snap didn't dot too great. we did not see a lot of consumer internet listings because it was notrofitable and it was able to make investors feel better about those concerns a year and a half on. drop box is the other side of the coin. they have done very well. it is also much more conservative listing. it does not have the same trading premium that some of these consumer internet companies might have and do have in their private rounds a few are airbnb.
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those concerns, while private investors might be able to look past them for a chance to get in on these new companies, public investors tend to have a higher threshold when it comes to how much risk they are willing to accept as these companies go on in her public life. emily: so, where is uber. is saying it is not profitable. it had a profitable quarter earlier in the year because they sold their southeast asia business. he does not care. he was then to have positive cash flow. they can still targeting ipo this time next year. emily: that is quite soon. at a 2019 ipoing you are thinking about what that means for the profits. uber has been a little bit more, they started basically reporting finances for a public company. that came with some of the issues they dealt with in the past year. investors want to see more out
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of them. oryou are looking at a 2019 2020 listing, then you are certainly getting your ducks in a row now and seeing how you can take that step forward. >> is this a company that is raising a 70 billlion dollar valuation -- it has not gone much from there. >> if you are public market investor you're going to be taken into account but it was come down to financials. we have seen some of these companies like snap not get t he private valuation they wanted. and minea big number and was their financial numbers got out there they had to rein that in because they realize we are going to have to meet investors at the table and they are going to have to agree to give us the premium that we want. if it's $70 billion for uber now, that can always change. again, broader market uncertainty is something that plays in the mine public investors are not necessarily private.
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there will be a lot of factors that go into those valuation conversations and as we saw with snap, that number will fluctuate right up until that day when they price their shares. emily: thank you both. onassive wrong way bet bitcoin has printed dent confidence. an unidentified trader made a long position order worth about $416 million. however, the exchange cannot cover the loss. not only did the trader lose money but all other futures traders who were forced to give up 18% of their profits. the game maker behind kim kardashian hollywood has a great year but not necessarily because of its celebrity . we'll find out what is up with blue mobile next. we'll take a look at how a
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shoe company is winning over the elite by going green. check us out on bloomberg.com and sirius xm. this is bloomberg. ♪
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emily: shares of glu mobile have almost doubled but the success of the passes been helped by celebrity status and some of his collaborators. so where is glu mobile looking for his next big hit? here to discuss is the ceo of glu mobile. kim kardashian hollywood was huge for you guys. some of the other celebrity apps have not
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turned out so well, taylor swift, nicki minaj. why pivot from celebrity gains? >> kim was a huge hit. and still is. still contribute in a big way. emily: how big? >> almost $10 million is less quarter. $200 million to date. a great success. she is great to work with. we tried to follow along with some other celebrities it did not work. hard to say why. kim has something special about her, but as a company we pivoted to new types of games, still games for women, games like design home and that has been the success of late. emily: before he was away from kim, obviously her participation comes at a cost. how much do you make on the game? >> we do well. she -- this is a big revenue item for. she deserves every penny. the incredible brand name and participation and collaboration. us.ttle lower margin for
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emily: shares are up 88%. what is driving that if it is not the celebrity game? >> we're very fortunate to acquire company a year ago call crowd start. inside of crowd star are a couple of games, one is covet fashion, where you take models and dress them up and the other is designed home, a similar construct. instead of dressing up a model you dress up a room and a house. those have been two of the big engines along with tap sports baseline. emily: where is the next big hit going to be? >> it is hard to know. >>we have a couple of things we are excited about which is a disney pixar game. not out till a year from now but we are very excited about having the whole cast of characters from the pixar universe in this game. we're looking for that to be a big hit. emily: what is that game going
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to be like? >> it is a role-playing game, or collectible card game where you go in and pick a cast of characters and take them on a journey. they will do better with other groups of characters and such. emily: games in messenger apps, what are the prospects you see with facebook messenger, apple doing it and i message, how big a growth opportunity could that be? >> it is hard to say in terms of how does going to work in western market spirit has been doing very well in asia. we have not seen it take off -- we havetization seen some good indicators. as a company we are not yet stepping into that but we will watch it closely and see how it grows. emily: when you look at the china and the u.s. our western market and china has got these hard-core games that dominated. is a lot of it social games. do you see that you balding one way or the other? >> in terms of the west, we will see growth of the social games. games that are called casual
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that are probably the wrong nomenclature because a lot of more casualf oriented games are big spenders and very engaged with these games and spend lots of time, lots of money. i think apps for women, as an example on the gaming from, is going to see a lot of growth. emily: how much do you think about diversity, i'm very concerned about diversity in tech in general, but also in gaining? -- in gaming? and social games have helped, but when you have a game where you dress models and vote on them, you wonder what good that is doing for the world. >> it provides a to menace amount of pleasure for the folks who play it. 90% are women. we love doing it. we take diversity very seriously. i have two daughters. ofdo our best to hire a lot
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female creative leaders and help us understand that market because that is a great opportunity for us. emily: do you think about the representation of women in games ? >> we do. with kim kardashian it is a very female oriented. you see that with covet fashion. helping us understand the markets of being inside the games as a part of the whole -- bigy: that was a acquisition, as booking drives, drives, what options are you're looking at to return cash to shareholders? >> we love m&a. we think there is a great opportunity over the next 24-36 months to be able to consolidate and buy studios and bring them in, as long as they are good structural and calnd cultural f. to invest int is developer future games and try to create more growth games. emily: what he think is the biggest competition?
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candy crush? >> it is a great question because there is no one game we compete against, no company that we compete against. it's just, as we talk about so much is the share of time. there are so much to do on the are beingther you entertain or getting information, i think we compete against the minutes in a day. to really create something that is compelling enough for someone to spend time in it versus someone else, whether it is a social network or what have you. emily: thanks so much. we will watch for the next hit. away technology says it wants to become the world's number one smartphone maker by the end of 2019. to surpasss he wants samsung with a market share of 20% by the end of next year. huawei has expressed an intention of hitting 200 smartphone units this year. ahead, the shoe startup is
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revolutionizing the industry with its clean technology. thebrown will tell us how company is looking to use his materials to go beyond fashion. bloomberg tech is streaming online. and follow us at tic toc on twitter. this is bloomberg. ♪
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tumbled friday. the world biggest maker of cyber security software expected to record $15 million in restructuring costs as it cuts 8% of tis workforce this year. -- its workforce this year. it closed fewer business deals unexpected. -- than expected. larry page, former twitter ceo and then horowitz remain -- the been sporting allbirds, environmentally friendly footwear sweeping silicon valley.
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since launching in 2016, the startup has tiger global and leonardo dicaprio, the company uses wool and eucalyptus tree fibers to make shoes.a n and is adding brazilian sugarcane. it replaces plastic foam that uses 95% less water than typical shoes it. allbirds says it is so much more than a shoe company. joining us now is tim brown. you've got these new sugar zephr flip-flops that have the sugarcane. >> it's a journey that took about three years. my co-founder had a previous relationship with him personally and green energy company. we convince them to reconnect some parts. and effectively replace the pitch with sugar in one of the most commonly used material in foam.ar iwhich is
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emily: what is the technology behind this? >> effectively something that has been around for decades. we convince this company this is the right thing to do. traditionally the fashion industry has a low-cost mentality. going always to the cheapest material and we think this one the environment and we convince them to change the way they do things. emily: and you say it's a carpet negative footprint. pun intended. >> in raw form it is. we came into the fashion industry -- into a footwear category that has been paying lip service to the idea of sustainability. emily: one of the reasons this is a big moment issue are open for seeing this technology. company. a small the problem is big. outside the fossil fuel industry, the fashion industry is the largest contributor to carbon emissions. we cannot do this alone.
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we bought this material to the market is and we will make it widely available to the rest of the industry and other industries to use. emily: is there any difference in the strength of the sole? aside from the environmental impacts. what is the difference? >> it's the same thing. i think that is really the unlock for sustainability. we can solve these problems. we can put a man on the moon could we should be able to make a t-shirt and apparent shoes sustainably. the fashion industry has a family and there's a new of businesses that are trying to solve this problem. emily: what about the cost for the consumer? >> we have a direct consumer business model. reliant, we are not on wholesale. we release these products when they are ready and we have the margin -- that's better for the environment. emily: nike introduced new sneakers recently. what about the competition?
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>> it is fantastic. we believe that allbirds this is the problem of our generation, we have to find better ways to make stuff and this is something that hopefully we are a small part of a larger movement. we certainly, it was the biggest day in the history of allbirds the other day when we released this big material innovation that it will be more to come. it's really important. emily: can this be used beyond shoes? >> there are applications and and solarve industries. the more the merrier. emily: these fibers, castor oil, wool, what other material so you are experimenting with? >> lots of them. people do not buy sustainability. great products. we are anchored in the idea of comfortable shoes. so, everything starts there. if you make it a nonnegotiable sustainable materials can be found.
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used.an be and what you do, the cost come down. emily: there are other shoes, that are comfortable. i'm curious, what you think it is that has caught the eye of the tech community? shifthink there's a big going on in the way that we work and the way we play. sometimes called ath-leisure. it is something fundamental. we have seen it come, the footwear industry didn't quite c atch this. footwear tends to be very colorful and we were able to have a design profile that was very simple. we launched with one shoe. emily: are you making money at? >> we have been profitable from the beginning. we haven't released any numbers. birthday, our second we announce we sold one million pares of shoes. -- pairs of shoes. we have the foundation of a big opportunity but a long way to
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go. emily: how big do you think allbirds can be? you say it will be more than a shoe company. >> we are about sustainable material innovation, we are focused on the footwear market. it is an enormous 1, 20 3 billion pairs -- 23 billion pairs of shoes a year. beyond that, the vision what we are doing is larger. emily: did you send larry page a pair of flip flops. >> he can jump online and hopefully he can buy a pair. emily: allbirds co-founder tim brown, thank you so much for joining us. that does it for this edition of "bloomberg technology." thank you so much for watching. happy friday. we will see you back here next week. ♪ retail.
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