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tv   Bloomberg Best  Bloomberg  October 25, 2019 10:00pm-11:00pm EDT

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>> coming up on bloomberg best, the stories that shaped the week in business around the world. deliberates. a slurry of action and in action, still no resolution on brexit. thistting anything through place is harder than it might seem. >> they do not want to make a move. >> it is hard to see how we get an election, hard to see how we get resolution without one. >> mario draghi steps down. >> in terms of monetary policy,
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there are no changes. confirm ouring data assessment of protracted weakness in e.u. area growth dynamics. >> the start of the problem. it means the problem will be handled to somebody else. >> russia and turkey cut a deal in syria. pres. trump: this was the result of us, the u.s., and nobody else. >> market conditions the past few quarters have been challenging. >> low interest rate environment puts pressure on the bank and the interest margin. >> investors and policymakers share per -- perspectives on the slow down. >> whether this is bottoming out -- >> the headlines, the trade war, has put americans on their heels. >> we will have europe in recession next year. >> it is all straight ahead on "bloomberg best." ♪
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>> hello and welcome. youris "bloomberg best," weekly review of the most important business news, analysis and interviews from bloomberg television around the world. let's start with a day by day look at the top headlines. parliament met and postponed a vote on boris johnson's brexit deal, a familiar sense of uncertainty for europe. >> boris johnson a renewed attempt to win parliament backing for his brexit deal. e.u. he was forced to write to thee.u., seeking a three-month delay. does he have the vote to get this deal through? >> yes and no. yes, we have the secretary
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saying, yes, they do have the magic 320 number, for a meaningful vote. but that is not the end of the story. they need to also get the withdrawal agreement back. there are many more hurdles to get through in order to get brexit done. really anything through is far harder than it might seem. has.k. parliament speaker denied boris johnson a second meaningful vote on his brexit deal in the house of commons. >> this is not persuasive. >> it was published and there will be a vote known as a second reading tomorrow. that is tuesday. if the government wins, that will be a big victory for boris johnson and the government. following that would be a programknown as motion.
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that would allow them to accelerate the motion by which this would become law and getfully the government can relevant legislation passed before the october 31 deadline. >> progress seemingly on the trade deal. president trump saying negotiations over trade deals are advancing. he was referring to chinese purchases of u.s. agriculture. >> optimism on trade, we are susceptible to that soundbite. suddenly things might be getting better in trade with china. there might be clarity. all of that is moving the markets up today in optimism. added $15.7lients billion in new money last quarter. $2.5ng assets for a record trillion. >> profits are down.
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they are restructuring. what does it look like? >> market conditions the last few quarters have been challenging. for sure, market conditions are figuring strategic choices. we are much more secure toward europe and asia then we are into the u.s.. ins is still a business terms of calendar in business activity. client sentiment is better than outside the u.s.. >> i would say it is a minor win for ubs today. their wealth management units did better than expected. bit ofestment bank was a a disappointment. they have cut jobs and there will be a 100 million dollars charge in the fourth quarter related to that. u.k. prime minister boris johnson looking set to try for election after parliament blocked his plan to rush the brexit deal into law.
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he warned defeat of the timetable leaves the u.k. in limbo. >> it does seem we are heading into an election. a question whether boris johnson pushes for a general election now, and he threatened to do so. tries tor he waits and work on a new timetable to get his withdrawal agreement through parliament. either way, he will need some sort of delay because on october 31 seems incredibly unlikely. that is only eight days away. we're just waiting for the e.u. side. trying to work out the length of that delay. that could have an impact. hisario draghi closing out tenure with downbeat analysis of the economy. after releasing a new round of stimulus to counter the slow down. early incoming data in september confirms our previous
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assessment over protracted weakness in the euro area growth dynamics. >> in terms of monetary policy, no changes were made at this meeting, but he did say he felt justified in making the controversial moves he made in september, after he saw some of the surveys unfortunately coming in on such weak levels. hopefully christine lagarde can unite the governing committee and carryforward the accommodative stance mario draghi has been forced to go back to at the end of his tenure. >> e-commerce giant amazon missed estimates, posting a profit drop for the first time in two years. amazon's forecast for the holiday quarter gives investors more to worry about. they are still turning a profit, but growth was slower. >> why? >> there was a lot of angst around cost. we knew it would bring
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variability with it. variability played out. also they are spending a lot on content, the aws advertising division. off, we arepaying seeing a sales impact happen on the retail side. it will pay off longer-term in terms of market share, revenue growth. as far as cost variability is concerned, it can continue a few quarters. warned low interest rates and brexit will make it tougher to meet targets next year. even as bank traders outperformed most of wall street in the third quarter. >> six of the last seven quarters we generate a return of capital over 9%. we feel good about the 9% target for 2019. up,ink what we are bringing as you look into 2020, you have
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the macro environment and the u.k., where economic growth is somewhat muted. if we continue with the uncertainty of brexit, one has to think you will continue to have soft growth in the u.k.. also we have lower interest rates. in the lower interest rate environment, it puts pressure on of margins and possibility deposit base. we need caution against the 20% target for 2020. let's maintain the target for now. with six days before the u.k. , we have notu. seen a deal on brexit. opposition leader jeremy corbyn says his backing depends on the length of a brexit delay granted by the european union. that puts brussels in an awkward position. they are to delay a decision to avoid getting caught up in westminster politics. >> jeremy corbyn does not want
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to give boris johnson the election he wants until boris johnson takes no deal off the table. if we do not have a longer extension, that is hard to do. it is a difficult situation. get anard to see how we election, but also how to get resolution without one. >> the e.u. was supposed to come up with a decision on the extension, but they do not want to make a move until the u.k. moves first. one isto complications, really willing to fight this one. he said there is no point granting three more months. he believes time is not going to fix this. the only way to fix deadlock is to put pressure on the u.k. parliament to get the deal done. they cannot agree to a decision and we will have to wait until monday. it is something that has to be
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deliberated. we will see leaders back in brussels the end of next week. >> vice president mike pence gave a long anticipated speech in which he criticized china's actions in hong kong. beijing firing back, calling his speech lies. his speech comes at a crucial time as the countries remain in trade war. china said it will provide $20 billion of u.s. farm products in year one of a trade deal. >> they accused him of arrogance. while they are exchanging barbs, it seems discussions over goods are continuing in parallel. >> we have gotten word from a trade representative's office, bob lighthizer, steven mnuchin got on the phone this morning inh vice premier liu he beijing, saying they made headway in areas and are close
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to finalizing sections of this deal. -- inpositive and that that to lift hangover over global markets and the economy, but the big question is, what comes next after? ritika: still ahead, as we review the week on "bloomberg best," more on the earnings front with earnings from boeing, caterpillar and tesla. plus highlights from the week's most interesting interviews. and more of the top business headlines. sweden's central bank works the global trend and sticks with its plan to exit negative rates. >> the right thing is going slowly. ritika: this is bloomberg. ♪
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ritika: this is "bloomberg best ." the week's top business stories. in canada, will the prime minister -- the prime minister keeps his seat, but loses parliamentary majority. a justin trudeau has won second term among scandals. >> thank you for putting your trust in our team. think you for having faith in us to move this country in the right direction. thehe support of left-leaning new democratic party, progressive de facto
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coalition. nonetheless, a win for trudeau, who lost the popular vote. an outcome that will look familiar to donald trump. he lost the vote, but it was spread out more evenly. he won significantly more seats. for now trudeau is status quo, he is still the prime minister, has to name a cabinet. then things get tricky. he has to -- he will not have a majority. they can look more into scandals that dropped his popularity in the first place. forill be a messier ride trudeau even though he is still in power. >> russia and turkey struck a deal to create a buffer zone in syria. president erdogan spoke to president putin for several hours. it involves joint patrols to remove kurdish buyers. -- fighters. erdogan called it a historic deal. what does it detail?
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>> what it basically did was allow vladimir putin and president erdogan to take back chunks of syrian territory that were until recently controlled by kurdish forces, once allied with the u.s. it allowed turkey to push back against elements they thought were enemies away from its borders without having to go through a lengthier military campaign inside syria. >> president trump taking credit for cease-fire in syria, painting it as a victory for his unconventional foreign policy. he removed all u.s. sanctions imposed after turkey launched its operation. pres. trump: this is an outcome created by us, the united states, and nobody else. >> it is not quite landing on capitol hill. while he says the cease-fire is permanent, reactions ranged from
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skeptical that this is a deal that was told, to downright critical. some republicans said it appeared the deal benefited russia and turkey more than anyone else. bank lookingentral for a rate increase in december. they expect to keep rates unchanged at zero until mid- -2022.- mid > we do not see a downturn around the corner. thing is to right slowly move up. continued slow growth driven by protected -- protective global policy led the amf to revise asia's growth downward. andxtension of 5% this year
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5.1% next year. the slowest rates of age and growth since the global financial crisis. the risks are still on the downside, given all the uncertainties to do with geopolitics in the trade war. >> that is right. notwithstanding the downward revision of our growth forecast this year and next. to therisk weighted downside. they include of further slow down in china, more accelerated trade tensions, a reduction in risk appetite in global financial markets, an acceleration in japan-korea trade tensions, higher oil prices, and so forth. a number of downside risks are in the offing. seeing signs are of how the trade war is eroding the economy. exports extending declines.
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put it into perspective for us. >> this is the 10th straight month of decline. south korea down 19.5% year-over-year the first three days of this month. we will probably see another decline. it is led by the u.s. and china, autos and machinery exports, particularly semiconductor components. we need to see manufacturing slow down, we need to see the trade story improve. >> china considering a plan to replace hong kong chief executive carrie lam as interim leader could be installed by march. >> this is not the first time there have been reports about carrie lam potentially stepping down or questioning whether she wants to stay in the position. there have been previous reports of her offering to resign. she said anyone in a difficult position like hers could take
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the easy road out and resign, but it is not something she said seriously. she said she would stick around until this unrest in the city is settled. beijing from the beginning has backed her, said they are backing her and the police. they are pushing this report away. >> violent protests extending to a fourth day in chile. thousands took to the streets to protest income inequality. at least 11 people are dead. chile becomes the second latin american country to declare a state of emergency this month, after ecuador. who is leading demonstrations and what is their grievance? >> we do not know who for sure is leading. there is no leader. it started as a protest from students, the increase in metro prices.
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there was manifestation from several people, students, labor leaders. they believed they had been left behind. they felt they had been mistreated. increasempted to prices. learnedberg news malaysia is privately discussing an agreement with goldman sachs 1mdbhe bank's role in the scandal which resulted in $7.5 billion. >> malaysia is reportedly asking for $7.5 billion in fines. we heard from forces they are negotiating closer to $2 billion to $3 billion. we are not sure why they are talking less.
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they are looking to come to an agreement by the year's end. we are not clear what will happen to charges if and when goldman sachs pays up. ♪
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ritika: you are watching "bloomberg best."
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bankthe european central this week, investor attention on u.s. economic slow down on the risk of recession. -- he shared his perspective. >> are you confident we have seen the bottom? at one point this year we had 17 point trillion dollars -- $17 trillion. are you confident we have seen the bottom in global bond yields? >> i would not bet on them going low again. one -- one is the policy side. i am confident central banks understand they should not go any further. i am uncomfortable where they are. i cannot move forward, i cannot go back. that is not a great place to be.
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the policy dampening rates is done for now. on the other side, i am not sure if the global economy is bottoming or not. we could have another round of [indiscernible] in the forecast. we will have europe in recession next year. >> you think so, in 2020? >> yes, for the euro zone. >> wow. where does policy response come from? i do not get it on fiscal. throughjust a muddle with bad growth? >> yes, because the political process will have trouble responding quickly. ritika: coming up on "bloomberg best," more compelling conversations. aboutral bank speaking monetary policy. the bloomberg business sustainability summit.
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>> since 2014 we have reduced carbon emissions close to 40%. ritika: this is bloomberg. ♪ devices are like doorways
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>> this is "bloomberg best." great uncertainty continues to weigh on global economic growth and in hong kong, unrest advocate investment picture. the world's second-largest fixed income etf provider after kick -- pimco plans to expand in china even as the trump administration continue -- considers curving fund flows to chinese equities. tom mackenzie spoke to the ceo in beijing. what i focus on, the larger narrative, which has been happening for over a decade as the opening of the agenda of the
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china renminbi and local capital markets to the rest of the world and if you want to call that making hong kong listen for is an entryway in and out of china, our offices are in shanghai and we do that because going forward, shenzhen and shanghai and beijing are important cities in their own right for the capital markets in china. >> are you still seeing demand in terms of inflows into your china etf from u.s. investorss? >> let me say no. let me be very clear. war,eadlines, the trade everything going on has basically put americans on their heels as far as investing in china. have been allocated for a wild but there is a lot of wait and see. frankly, given the u.s. equity market, why bother with that risk? i do think in the long term, it is an interesting opportunity,
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but sentiment is horrible and interest is low. singapore in asia, narrowly doster recession in the latest quarter. the monetary authorities eased for the first time in three years. the managing director told bloomberg posh haslinda amin it is unfair for central banks to shoulder the growth burden alone. theycause of what fabulously did in the financial crisis and subsequently in holding up the global economy and global financial system, there is tremendous unrealistic expectations placed on central banks that every rough patch we run into, monetary policy will get us out of it. it isk that is wrong, and also wrong for central banks to
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feed that expectation. be that every risk or threat on the horizon has to be addressed by a loosening of monetary policy. policy has al strong role to play and that has not been sufficiently addressed, partly because too much of the weight has been placed on monetary policy. i think we need a better balance between the two, otherwise it is exceedingly unfair on the central banking community. >> speaking of the global economy, there is talk of a looming global recession. singapore escaped a technical recession and the central bank east policy, but not the expense some expected. what is driving some of the optimism you see in 2020? >> you always want to keep some powder dry and not deplete all your policy buffers. both monetary and fiscal policy buffers, quite good. let's see how the data comes out over the next two quarters.
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a key assessment to be made is whether this is bottoming out and whether we will see a modest recovery next year. if that is the case, we are in pretty good shape but if things were to take a turn for the worst i think you need some buffer, you need some ammunition, so we are keeping some powder dry and if necessary, we are prepared to use it. there is still space. bloomberg's sustainable business summit was held this week at the global headquarters in your -- new york. investors discussed innovation and best practices sustainable business and finance. several attendees stopped by for conversations with bloomberg television starting with richard gutierrez. just conform our cover reduction to a new science
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imperative to make sure we avoid the worst impact of global warming to a 1.5 degrees trajectory. this will put us at 50% zerotion by 2025 and net by 20,000 -- 2050. so far, our progress has been great. since 2014, we have reduced carbon emissions close to 40% today. we are on track to reaching this milestone. >> this ambition agenda comes at a time when you are shoring up your balance sheet with significant cost-cutting, debt repayment in focus. what are you telling investors about how you are positioning the company to clean up some debt? wericio: as you mentioned, are now on a path to get investment grade credit cycle, we are already here but first
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and foremost, it was to ensure we had the most competitive structure for our company that can take care of our balance sheet and then have a balance capital policy between growth and returning capital to shareholders. we are pleased with where we are today and haven't been as strong as we are today on our balance sheet. >> this is a critical time for our culture with climate change. not only our farmers dealing with the worst weather extremes but we also need agriculture to be part of the solution to climate change, so we announced today a $2 billion investment going to breakthrough technologies both to help farmers deal with climate change, so products that help them deal with high heat, drought, flood and we are seeing today, but also helping farmers reduce the impact of farming on so reduce the amount of co2 emissions from farming, go to carbon neutral farming, kick the carbon in the
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soil, hardier -- higher yields so we can farm unless land stop deforestation and start before resting in the world. >> close is the agenda -- syngenta type io? -- to ipo. >> we will ipo in the next two years. >> what about better competing with rivals? acquisition in brazil, and investing her base is this, adding more research capability, commercial capability, digital tool capability, which is important and now we are focused on significantly expanding our capability in china. we want to be leaders in china ahead of our ipo. about -- iion is all was talking to a quantitative investor who says they use the
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same as anything else. >> you mentioned passive investments, does sustainable investing necessarily cost more? does it need to be its own thing or do you not have to pay a premium for it and get it? in a vanilla fund? >> this is another area the market has evolved a lot. , iple talk about a greenium have to pay of but i feel it is the right thing to do. it is becoming table stakes. this is what everyone needs to do to manage portfolios in a changing market place and you shouldn't have to pay up for it. clients of pricing with , as we work with other investors, that gap is narrowed to where it is almost indistinguishable. ♪
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>> this is "bloomberg best." thes resume our roundup of top news of the week. one of the more dramatic debacles in recent memory took a fresh turn this week as softbank provided a lifeline to troubled office sharing startup wework. a $9.5 billion rescue package from softbank, giving in 80% stake in the company at the valuation of less than a billion dollars and sees founder adam neumann give up his board seat and walk away with a package including $1.2 billion in stock. it seems to be the end of an era for wework, but is it the end of its troubles? >> it is the end of the adam neumann era at wework. he's basically getting a buyout
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package. more than $1 billion to buy out his shares, but it is the start of problems. the problems get handed to softbank. they get 80% of the company but on accounting terms, they say they don't control it even though the whole 80%, because they don't have control of voting rights or the board. what is left behind with the company -- is a company with a lot of debt, cash needs, more than $40 billion of lease obligations over the next four years and softbank will have to deal with that. >> softbank to be planning to take a write-down of at least $5 billion to reflected plunge in the value of some of the biggest --dings including6 an holdings including wework and uber. >> that is for starters. they could be as much as $7 billion. analysts have estimated losses
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for the quarter and that is the ballpark i guess the real wildcard here is wework. there are questions about how much the company is worth. they can book positive returns but oil to balance it out, it is not going to be a good quarter for some. >> boeing shares were on the rise after mapping out a sharp boost output of the, saying it remained confident the beleaguered plane would be cleared to fly this year. >> we also saw management reshuffle less than 24 hours before the earnings results. >> boeing is replacing the head of its commercial airplanes division, kevin missed hollister -- kevin mcallister, who joined from general electric. they are putting the head of their services division in that role. it is a quick change, 24 hours before the earnings release. that is not the typical way you see companies make these types of changes, which says it has
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something to do with the 737 max 8 crisis. mcallisterreports was not proactive enough in reaching out to customers frustrated with the fact that he was still grounded and they had to pull it out of the schedule for 2020. >> caterpillar, its first decline in quarterly profit since 20 and lowering the forecast for the year, blaming economic uncertainty for slowing purchases. >> a lot of people anticipated a guidance product -- cut, production cut, order of magnitude is larger than expected. they missed by a fair amount for the quarter but cut by a lot. >> across the board, it has been slowing worldwide. very negative in asia but north america has been the strongest. has been decelerating. construction is worse than mining, but with the global economy slowing, that will turn to tesla shares ofo.
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more. than >> 20% after it reported a surprise rocket, exceeding the most positive estimate. elon musk said the new plant in china has already started production and the model why crossover will start earlier than planned. are they back on track? >> for this quarter, yeah. that is the question. is this profitability sustainable? is valuedment, tesla because of the expectations for a growth story. on the top line, the numbers were disappointing and investors that theg this signals revenue will continue to grow or recover again and they will deliver sustainable profits, which is something he is not been able to do in the past. like a $250thing million swing in profit from expectations to reality, which to told, is that enough
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justify $9 billion jump in valuation? has cut its full-year profit outlook after a rocky quarter that saw sluggish sales in china and higher costs in the north american market. why was it such a terrible perio d for ford? terrible for many automakers before it had a trouble quarter due to a large oft to the problem launch the explorer suv, a major breadwinner for them profit is important they get their product out there and get it right and the ramp-up of their production has been nothing short of disastrous. that is what tripped them up in the most recent quarter. >> shares of texas instruments tumbled after the chipmaker posh fourth-quarter revenue forecast rail estimates. the reports were week across -- trailed estimates. >> it is a broad barometer of the health in the chipmaker market.
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the fact they make analog chips, which are ubiquitous in all electronic instruments, and the fact they gave weak guidance is a testament to the fact things may not be as rosy as we thought they were. >> akzonobel saying it found pockets of growth in aerospace, packaging, and household paint to meet margin goals. also an announcement of a new 500 million euros share buyback program as it reported earnings in line with estimates. you have reiterated that 2020 adjusted operating margin guidance. how will you get there? >> we have been getting there methodically. this was two years ago we announced this journey. we were at 10% then. we are at 13.8% business return on sales. the goal is to go to 15% so we have done it and we will continue to do it by looking at good marking -- margin
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management, cost savings, but also there is a lot of work the team is doing to get this dutch icon into the modern age of computer systems, processes, etc. we have pretty good confidence we will get this ambitious target we set for ourselves two years ago. >> facebook ceo mark zuckerberg testified before the house financial services committee feeling inquiry into facebook posh cryptocurrency and data privacy. he is trying to convince lawmakers face can go ahead and is responsible enough to do it but he is playing the china car, that if facebook doesn't come in with libra, the chinese could beat the u.s. to the market. >> he had a lot to hedge that libra was the solution to u.s. china and notus
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just that, but the solution to inequality, that libra would get access to financial markets. there are so many holes to poke in that argument because libra is not just based on the dollar basket of currencies. second of all, it is based in switzerland. he came with his argument he thought would fit into the current rhetoric with the tariff war in china and all the issues we are having with the country, and they are poking holes in it over and over. surgings of biogen today, up 30% on renewed hopes of an alzheimer's treatment a lot thought were dead. the drugmaker will ask approval of the experimental therapy after a new analysis of clinical trials. take me back to march, the stock sold off by 30% when it was apparently data that showed the drug didn't meet some efficacy requirement and was pulled.
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>> sure, what happened in march was the trial had an analysis. you don't necessarily know when they are, but when the company did the analysis on the 1700 patients that had reached the required status in the trial, they said it doesn't seem it is going to work, so what happened today is they said we have had more patience, 300 more patients, so around 2000 and they say now we think the trial works. ther are key nuances in e. >> a change in leadership, but not a strategy at under armour. 2020, the ceo of is stepping down at the company he started in 1995 and will stay on as executive chairman. under armour posh president and coo will step in as the new ceo january 1. >> this is my decision in concert with the board of
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patrick joinede to a half years ago and that was part of the process of getting to know each other and understanding the vision. we've been talking about this idea of moving from defense to offense when you've seen us in transformation the last few years. is the perfect opportunity for the business to do that. >> what you will see is a lot of brand. we turning from defense to offense, which was planned all along. we believe the transition now really step susceptibility of continuity in leadership, consistency, and enables us to win in the long-term. >> longest commercial flight in the world took place over the weekend. qantas operated the route from new york to sydney, marking the first step for new long routes. our reporter is here now. how are you feeling?
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.> i'm feeling pretty good i'm surprised at how good i feel . considering of done it with a stock and have felt worse. it was a fascinating experiment because this was a research flight, a test. >> will it happen commercially? >> it is not a certain thing. office needs new aircraft from either boeing or airbus, a new deal with pilots and crew because they have to work longer than 20 hours for this route. if you think have to come together but this is one of the building blocks to show it is beneficial. ♪
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>>. ddif function on the bloomberg, showing you get here, almost 11 billion incorporates, 10.2 billion incorporates, a credit line for 2.5 billion. on thet 30,000 functions bloomberg and we always enjoy showing you our favorites on bloomberg television. maybe they will become your favorites. this week marks the end of the nejra at the european central bank. president mario draghi presided over his final policy decision. he will hand the reins to his successor christine lagarde november 1. here is a look back at his eventful eight-year tenure, full of a conference and controversies.
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>> the ecb is ready to do whatever it takes to preserve the euro. believe me, it will be enough. president mario draghi is credited by many with saving the euro with these words but he had proved willing to take decisive action. two meetings, he undid the rate hike enacted by his predecessor and later took the key deposit rate to an unprecedented 0% to baffle the great, then european debt crisis and that was just the beginning. >> the deposit rate has gone negative. that is stored for any major central bank. purposes, practical have reached the lower bound. >> has the european economy continued to deteriorate and bond yields surged, the ecb introduced quantitative easing. not everyone supported it and
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opposition to the ecb was growing. despite signs of recovery in growth and jobs, it became clear europe still needed support. >> additional stimulus will be required. this outlook is getting worse and worse. >> maintaining calls for fiscal stimulus, he cut rates again and controversially resumed qe, reminding investors of his famous mantra. >> the ecb is ready to do whatever it takes. >> what next? for one thing, christine lagarde hopes to avoid his motto. >> i hope i never have to say something like that. you can find more coverage of the ecb and mario draghi on the bloomberg and on bloomberg.com along with the latest news and analysis 24 hours a day.
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that will be all for bloomberg best this week. thanks for watching. i'm ritika gupta. this is bloomberg. ♪ from the couldn't be prouders
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taylor: i am taylor riggs in san francisco. this is "bloomberg technology." coming up in the next hour, start the presses. that is what facebook's news app -- cap will do for publishers hit hardest by the advent of the internet and facebook. plus, prime pains. why amazon's one-day shipping is causing hurt now, but will benefit the company in the long run.

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