nejra: coming up on "bloomberg best," the stories that shaped the week in business around the world. coronavirus worries infect financial markets. stocks plummet, bond yields touched record lows, and companies slash their profit outlooks. >> we are now seeing transmission in countries that we had not seen transmission in before. >> 10 year treasury yield finally broke that record low. >> the implied probability of a recession has gone, basically, through the roof. >> this is possibly the worst thing i've ever seen in my career. nejra: what will today's crisis mean for long-term global growth? a chorus of distinguished voices chimes in with insight. >> there is going to be a financial impact. my guess is it is going to be

worse than people think. >> we are confronted with a condition of supply and demand shocks. >> it will have effect on global gdp, that is for sure. but it is not like the world will end tomorrow. nejra: meanwhile, presidents trump and modi meet in india. >> the countries did sign defense deals worth $3 billion, and they pledged closer ties on maritime security. nejra: jpmorgan lays out goals on its invest today. >> they said u.s. wealth is going to be one place where they can still growth. nejra: and the iger era comes to a close. disney names a new ceo. >> i intend to double down on the same strategies bob has established. nejra: it's all straight ahead on "bloomberg best." hello and welcome. i'm nejra cehic. this is "bloomberg best," your weekly review of the most important business news,

analysis, from bloomberg television around the world. let's start with a day by day look at the top headlines. the dominant story throughout the week was the global spread of the coronavirus, and on monday, as reported infections climbed, financial markets felt the pressure. >> coronavirus continues to spread beyond china and outside asia, raising concerns about the prospects of a pandemic. south korea, which raised its infectious disease alert to the highest level over the weekend, just confirming 161 new cases and two more deaths, and now seven deaths and over 750 new cases, all in south korea. >> we heard from the finance ministry. they will be announcing, they say, extraordinary measures for the economy. and italy as well -- this is the epicenter of where the brick has has been in europe. more than 140 cases there. >> indeed, milan's stock market opened down 4% this morning. spreads are spiking already, and italy was already in for a giant

economic situation. the economy contracted in the last quarter in 2019. it was preparing for a recession in the beginning of 2020, and the government is fragile. francine: stocks plunging around the world. president xi jinping has urged china to spare no efforts to contain the coronavirus outbreak. that is as the nation's top government postpones -- guy: northern italy grinding to a halt today. this as the government imposed a regional lockdown to contain an outbreak of coronavirus that has already affected over 200 people. milan, the country's financial hub, has seen schools, museums, all closed, with many staying away from work. investors starting to price in the risk of a recession. >> we estimate that the northern swaths of the country, like in an arc from here east toward the veneto region where venice is, probably accounts for something like 1/3 of the economy. so as you can imagine, just

shutting that down for a number of days or even possibly a week or more would have a devastating effect on the economy for sure. [bell ringing] >> u.s. stocks having their worst day in more than a year, the dow and s&p erasing their gains for the year. >> and it is a third day of losses. let's not forget that the momentum is to the downside. >> i do not think it was panicky. it did not feel like at any point we were about to just keep selling. nonetheless, the fundamental news out there is not great, because people, i think, just feel like they have no sense of where this virus could be. francine: the spread of the coronavirus outside china, including south korea, iran, and italy, has seen the number of cases worldwide top 80,000. but, for now, the world health organization is not yet calling the outbreak a pandemic. >> we are now seeing transmission in countries where we had not seen transmission before. and we are now seeing clusters or chains of transmission where we do not know what the originating factor was. we do not know -- did someone travel and spread the virus?

how has it arrived in that country? >> we have another sea of red. yesterday, we were down sharply. every single sector here in europe is off today. ftse 100 down 2%. the dax down 1.8%. the madrid market, where we have seen more cases of the coronavirus. the costa adeje palace hotel in adeje, tenerife has been quarantined. madrid, the market down by 2.32%. >> the impact of the coronavirus is being felt worldwide by big businesses. united airlines, mastercard, and apple all emerging as latest companies to warn that profits could be hurt. >> more than 300 companies in the s&p 500 have recorded downward revisions to their first quarter estimates, so we have gone from an anticipation of about 2%, 2.5% growth in q1 to negative growth expected already. i think that is only going to get little bit worse as long as the coronavirus continues to extend, the duration extends, and it continues to ramp up globally. >> u.s. centers for disease control and prevention is

warning americans to prepare for a coronavirus outbreak here at home. >> we cannot hermetically seal off the united states to a virus. and we need to be realistic about that. >> it is all eyes on the bond market. the 10-year treasury yield finally broke that record low it has been flirting with. your new record is now 1.3155%. [bell ringing] >> and there you have the closing bell. we are looking at losses of more than 3% for the dow and s&p. this is a four-day selloff for the major indexes. the russell 2000 off by more than 3.5%. the dow, the s&p, and nasdaq have all erased their gains for the year. they are all negative for 2020. jonathan: the coronavirus wreaking havoc on markets, despite president trump and the administration's best efforts. >> you may ask about the coronavirus which is very well under control in our country.

>> so far as containment is concerned, we have tightly contained this. so it is an early success for our side. jonathan: the cdc sounding less optimistic, telling reporters in washington the last 24 hours it is not so much a question of if this will happen anymore but rather a question of when this will happen and how many people in the country will become infected. >> if the president emphasizing the degree to which the disease is under control or contained? which is correct, but the cdc is making the point that, given how rapidly it is spreading across the world, given the particular characteristics of this virus, it is pretty unlikely it will stay that way for too long. >> because of all we've done, the risk to the american people remains very low. >> what we obviously saw was an attempt by president trump, the administration, along with their health experts to try to align their messages. there were clear areas of disagreements, though, between the president and his health experts. just after the press conference, you got confirmation from the cdc that one person in the u.s. has been confirmed to have the virus with no known links to any

areas of outbreak, suggesting that could be the first instance of person-to-person infection within the u.s. >> more coronavirus cases were reported in countries other than china for the first time, a significant development highlighting the spread of the epidemic around the world. markets are lower this morning. strategists from goldman sachs warned against buying the dip in the s&p 500. and on the company front, microsoft and hp joined the ranks of other corporates, from apple to united airlines, warning of a hit on the outbreak. >> this is the first time we have had more new confirmed cases on a daily basis outside of china than inside of china. saudi arabia does not have any confirmed cases, but they are taking the precautionary step to temporarily suspend pilgrimages to mecca. japan also has more than 200 cases now, and we just heard from shinzo abe, the prime minister. he is going to cancel -- or at least suspend, i should say, for about a month, through mid-april -- all schools across japan.

>> there is a lot of red out there. markets down 3%, 3.5%. ftse, dax, the main markets in europe all down over 3%. >> this is possibly the worst thing i have ever seen in my career. and, you know, i have been through a lot. i've been through the stock market crash in 1987. i went through the financial crisis. this has the potential to reel into something extremely serious. it is very hard to imagine a scenario where you can actually contain this thing. >> it is getting worse by the second, more or less. nasdaq now looking for declines almost 4.5%. s&p a little better, 4.3%. scarlet: but session lows. >> we are going straight for session lows. >> the 10-year treasury yield is still below 1.3%. the vix is off to the races. these virus headlines, it feels like they are not slowing down at all. this is still a very jittery and

panicked market. nejra: wipeout on wall street. global stocks head for their worst week since 2009. a painful day in asia. francine: european stocks are tumbling. u.s. futures signal yet more pain to come. this comes as new cases of coronavirus keep appearing outside of china. new zealand and lithuania have reported their first infections. so has nigeria. >> bank of america said this could be their worst week since the global financial crisis. citi is expecting zero growth on global earnings. and they say even that is an optimistic view. so as we move money out of equities, we see it of course going into treasuries. the 10 year yield slipping below 4.2%. 1.2%.ow every time it slips lower is a new records. brent touching $50 a barrel today. >> the implied probability of a recession has gone basically through the roof.

this is not as bad as 2008. but it is worse, i think, than anything we have seen since then. >> futures now pricing in a 100% chance of a 25 basis point cut next month and a 40% chance of a 50 basis point cut. but everyone in the market seems to be telling me this is a shock that policymaking on the monetary side will have very little impact upon. >> i would completely disagree with that assessment. the central bank absolutely has ammunition to at least help deal with the crisis. my own team trimmed our first half economic forecast by 50 -- 60 basis points, based on the equity route alone. and it gets us to gdp growth of about 1.5% in this quarter, 1% next quarter. that is going to convince the fed that they do need to step into the picture sometime soon. >> fed chairman jay powell issuing a statement on the coronavirus and the impact of n the economy, saying the fed is

closely monitoring developments and the implications for the economic outlook. we will use our tools and act is appropriate to support the economy. >> i think the markets really wanted to hear something, anything, from the head of the fed. his statement was not that encouraging, i think, to markets. it extended a rally in treasuries. the s&p 500 is battling that 2900 level. it is not a huge pop, but i think it at least gives a little bit of relief that there is a fed backstop in some capacity. [bell] >> it is hard to believe, in a century spanning the great depression all the way up to the financial crisis, the current correction that we are in, is the fastest ever. the dow, s&p, and the nasdaq all slowing the most this week since 2008. nejra: still ahead, as we review the week on "bloomberg best," much more on the impact of the coronavirus. the ubs chairman is among the experts who believe the long-term economic effects may be severe. >> likely, in our estimate, this is going to bring global growth from 3.5% to .5%.

nejra: the shadow of the outbreak hangs over earnings season. up next, executives review their results and explain how their businesses will weather the epidemic. >> we are expected to have null earnings for the second half. >> i think the uncertainty for the moment is in which markets it will affect things. nejra: this is bloomberg. ♪

nejra: this is "bloomberg best." i am nejra cehic. earnings were top of mind for investors this week as companies project the coronavirus impact on their profit outlooks. let's begin our reviewt with the results from metals and mining giant rio tinto. >> the world's second-largest miner is weighing the impact from the coronavirus.

rio tinto says there could be uncertainty near term and a second half boost from china's efforts to combat the virus. >> so far, the virus has primarily impacted the service sector, the construction sector, and in manufacturing. the heavy end part of the industry, the aluminum smelters and copper smelters, have not been impacted. because they are difficult to stop, we can only slow down. at this point in time, the impact on our part of the business has been very limited. however, the situation can evolve quickly. but we are absolutely confident the chinese are taking the right steps to contain the virus. we are monitoring very carefully in terms of traffic jams in shanghai, beijing. consumption of coal for the energy sector. and we start to see a small uptick. >> bluescope steel has reported a 70% drop in first half net profits. that is due to previously flagged decline in commodities still spreads.

australia's largest steel producer warns that the coronavirus will heavily impact its business. >> what we have said for our second half outlook is that we are expecting to have no earnings out of our china business for the second half. of course, the second half in china is seasonably softer anyway. typically about one third of our earnings. to put that into some context, from a year ago, we had earnings from our china business in the second half of $69 million. we reported today a half earnings of $302 million. so that is the relative impact we are currently forecasting on h2. >> standard chartered says the coronavirus outbreak will hurt this year's results. the asian-focused bank has also reported a buyback. the lender has reported 2019 full-year underlying profit slightly behind analyst estimates. so you have warned about the impact of coronavirus. can you give us a little bit more detail on where you see the biggest touch points for your business? >> we have actually seen, for the first couple of months, actually, the business performed very well. although clearly the impact of that will probably come through in march and beyond.

i think the uncertainty at the moment is in which markets it will affect things. china, appears to be settling a little bit. obviously, outbreaks in other countries, we will have to see how long those go. we have come off the back of that, caution that this year may be a little bit more challenging. time will tell how challenging it is, but we will continue to do what we have been doing before. some things we can influence, some things we cannot. >> the waste giant has beaten on analyst earnings, but the call was dominated by coronavirus, which could hit the firm's operations in china. the ceo, bertrand camus, spoke exclusively to bloomberg about how much visibility he had regarding the virus' effect. >> china was pretty straightforward for a while. most of our activities were down between february and part of january as a consequence of low industry regulations in china. we see today is the request from

the global demand of restarting operations, for example. suez put back into operation. so we have a very precise order march in front of us with our operation, and we were able to assess impact on our accounts. of course, assuming that things will resume and go back to normal from now on and into q2. >> basf is warning of a second annual profit drop due to the impact of an ongoing slumped in autos amid the coronavirus. the world's biggest carmaker -- chemical maker said the outbreak will have a significant impact in the first half, and it does not expect a be able to offset the effect during the second half. how bad, first off, is your visibility due to the coronavirus? >> what we expect, certainly, is we will now also see the impact globally. because there are global value

chains so far, the stocks are sufficient, but i think over time, the logistics, the supply chain will transform the topic globally. and i think we will see disruptions and we will see, also, a slowdown from the demand side. >> bayer is painting a grim scenario over losses over roundup weed killer. for the first time, the company says it might have to sell assets, issue stock, or borrow money at unfavorable rates. bayer is working to settle claims roundup causes cancer. in the u.s., it faces more than 48,000 lawsuits. tom: when will you need a cash call to deal with the roundup issue? when do you have to go back to the market and find a new confidence to bring in money to pay for all of these legal issues? werner: the stop line, whether

it is ebitda, core eps, u.s. court. if yes, we have done quite well. to your point, we have more than $4 billion in free cash flow. i think we have a quite solid balance sheet. also for some of the challenges ahead -- tom: so are you saying you do not need to go for a cash call? werner: i think it is way too early. we are working diligently with the dual path approach that you know about. and we first have to know where we're going to end up to answer that question specifically. >> china's top internet search engine, baidu, says total sales in fourth quarter growth grew 6% from last year but are expected to decline due to virus-related shutdowns. is there a sense baidu is getting ahead of the concern over coronavirus, or is it just not possible, at this point, to be able to accurately model what kind of impact that we are going to see from this issue? >> what we have to know is that generally, first quarter is a seasonably weak quarter for advertising anyway.

usually, the merchants wait for after chinese new year to have a more clear idea of how much they will spend on online advertising. so, yes, i would say it is still a bit too early and premature to assess the impact. >> it was a happy holiday for macy's as the retailer topped earnings estimates thanks to a last-minute holiday surge. >> i think macy's is in a tough spot. just last week, it was cut to junk, because s&p analysts do not think that its big turnaround plan that it also touted this month is really going to work. the company has already said that it plans to cut about 2,000 jobs. it is shutting its most underperforming stores, about 125 of them. so the company has a really tough road ahead, and i don't think the results really gave an indication as to whether that strategy is succeeding or not.

they were a bright spot in a lackluster year. ♪

nejra: this is "bloomberg best." i'm nejra cehic. finance ministers and central bank governors from the world's largest economies met this past weekend in saudi arabia for the first g20 summit of the year. and, of course, the coronavirus outbreak was a major topic of discussion. ubs chairman axel weber sat down with bloomberg's manus cranny on the sidelines of the summit. he believes the global economy will take a massive hit from the virus, and he says markets are underestimating the risk. axel: the market has basically the view that the glass is half-full, the world will pass that stress test, it is a temporary one quarter impact on gdp and trade and we will move on from there and rebound.

and that is also paced into our projections. manus: the g20, the language being used is about a potential coordinated response to a slowdown in the world as a result of this new black swan. axel, what is a coordinated g20 response, 2020 style? if 2019 was rates, what is 2020? axel: just to get the numbers right, likely, in our estimates, this will bring global growth from 3.5% to .5%, which is a massive drop. it will bring chinese growth from 6% to -1.5%. it's the first time in postwar history where china will post a negative number for the first quarter. that requires a response. and the global number basically tells you it is not just china. it is very strongly impacting neighboring countries, hong kong, singapore.

the support that the rest of the world can give with fiscal policy is to keep the door open for export and for trade with these countries rather than shutting things down. manus: when i look at markets, 10 year treasuries are at a 30 year low. equity markets are only just slightly shaking. are equity markets underpricing those kind of numbers you just pointed out? axel: they definitely at a underpricing downside risk. at the moment, they look at this as sharp decline, sharp, v-shaped recovery, and we are done. that is not going to be the case. nejra: that was ubs chairman axel weber speaking before the sharp downturn in global equities at the start of the trading week. up next, more conversations about coronavirus as the outbreak spreads and the markets reel. >> it seems like we have moved from extreme confidence in the in the markets

to extreme panic, all in the space of one week. nejra: this is bloomberg. ♪ hi! we're glad you came in, what's on your mind?

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nejra: this is "bloomberg best." i'm nejra cehic. throughout this week, guests on bloomberg television have shared insight and analysis on the coronavirus crisis. let's revisit some of the most interesting interviews about the week's most urgent international topic. oliver: there's a lot of panic at the moment. it's really not warranted. if you think about the fundamental health impacts, they are significant, but it's not like we have a real pandemic. it is like a strong flu. the issue is really that people do not know what to do, and we are behaving in a very disorganized way. a lot of societies have problems organizing themselves.

for example, we don't have medical supplies, people fear when they show up at hospitals for testing, they cannot deal with them. and that exacerbates the short-term reaction. anne: is it having an impact on any parts of your business? in asia, you took a stake in a beijing-based life insurance company. are they having an impact? oliver: we took a halt for a certain period of time, but people are sort of normalizing their behavior. it is still affected. we believe the next few weeks, you will see an increase in activity and problems, but over time, things will normalize. we are not here to increase panic. it's very important the public administration takes it very seriously and is organizing itself properly. what you can see in italy and other cases, their administration is not prepared, then people get panicked. that's what we need to avoid.

anna: you don't fear a global recession? oliver: short-term economic activity will contract. it will have an effect on global gdp. it is not like the world will end tomorrow. jon: what do you say to the people that have hope about stimulus, federal reserve, chinese policymakers, what is your response? nouriel: on the fiscal side, we will be behind the curve. we are not going to get much out of the u.s., germany, and the rest of europe. japan will have some stimulus, china will have some stimulus. it will be delayed by politics and so on. on the monetary side, we have now contagion to italy, eurozone and japan. how much can the ecb do? 10 or 20 basis points? it will be peanuts. i do believe the fed will have to act, and i think the fed will act in march, because they will realize it's becoming a global pandemic. but again, they will do 150 basis points, 25 in march, 25 in

june. how much given the negative supply shock. this is not a negative demand shock. reduces growth, cost of it inflation. monetary policy can create demand shock. the impact will be impact positive. as you know, the fed is going to act, but it is going to fizzle out over time. erik: is the coronavirus outbreak the black swan you have been preparing for? mark: there usually aren't monsters hiding under the bed, and sometimes, there are. i don't think we can really determine which is which until, you know, it is too late. clearly this is a bad human and economic thing going on, and it is made all the worse by far by the valuations we see in the market and by the fragility. and by reliance on central bank liquidity. a bad thing is made far worse by this situation. erik: no one can predict when a pandemic will start.

and because of the complexity and inconsistency of the health system, no one can really predict how far it will spread. mark: well, certainly not, a prediction and forecast should not be part of your investment thesis, your risk mitigation strategy. if it is, you've got a problem. erik: but why, then, do so many investors spend considerable sums of money, devote time and energy and effort trying to predict the unpredictable? mark: and how they go about doing this, how they go about protecting themselves from the unpredictable, that's the problem. they go about it through diversification. it is sort of the kool-aid we're are drinking from modern finance. diversification, lowering the volatility of our portfolio will somehow protect us from these things, but it doesn't. it is just making us poorer at

the end of the day. it doesn't provide enough protection when we need it, so we need to invest so much in this strategy that it costs more. this is the problem with hedge funds as a risk mitigation strategy. kewsong: shorter-term, there is going to be a financial impact. my guess is it is going to be worse than people think. because we are really dealing with a bit of the unknown. as this evolves and continues to evolve, i think people will understand how disruptive lack of travel, how disruptive when traffic goes down when the logistics and supply chains get terribly affected. think about it. there are 60,000 containers that are in the wrong ports, the wrong cities, because the supply chains have been disrupted so badly. it will take time for that to get back and going in the right fashion. my guess, and, look, i would be remiss if i didn't say this, i'm not an expert. no one is an expert. we are doing our best to care for people.

i think the short-term impact is real, but i'm hopeful that over the longer-term, we will navigate through it. raghuram: it seems we have moved from extreme confidence in -- extreme complacency in markets to extreme panic, all in the space of one week. it would seem people want to have a sense that there is a limit to the spread of this virus. perhaps because of the containment measures, or because there is some hope that some kind of antiviral solution can be found. shery: will there be a lasting legacy from this coronavirus when it comes to the global economy? raghuram: well, there certainly will be a legacy in the sense of businesses rethinking their long supply chains. coming on the back of the trade disruption, now we have this. i think globalization in production is going to be hit quite badly.

jens: i would expect that we will have to press slightly with our forecasts, revised downward. but then the most likely assumption is this is an effect, so the coronavirus will have an effect, but once contained, the recovery, the normalization, will happen quite quickly. matt: do you have to act now with some sort of monetary support? i know that philip lane, for example, argued you need to do that kind of thing preemptively, and the markets have priced in cuts. jens: i think we have to carefully assess the situation. at the same time, acknowledge we have supply shock and demand shock. so our target is price stability, and this negative supply shock could lead to a hike in prices. this is one. the other question is, how effective are our instruments to counter any possible demand effects that we are observing?

i mean, the question i asked in the press conference was, are you more likely to go out, eat out in a restaurant with if we decrease interest rates in the case you are restraining , your consumption due to the coronavirus? scarlet: how likely is a global recession? and before you answer that, how do you quantify global recession? what kind of number is that? scott: [laughs] well, to get to that answer, we have to make sure the chinese aren't lying about their output numbers. i went on record two weeks ago the gdp in the first quarter for china would contract by 6%. yvonne straszheim, who is much saying -14%. i don't think the chinese government will actually put up that kind of number. if that is the substance of the number, we are in global

recession. scarlet: right now? scott: yes, at this point. i think europe would easily lose .5% to 1% of output, which would put most european countries into recession. for the united states, it is a little bit different. i think that for the moment, where we are, we should expect about .5% drag on gdp. i have seen other experts say 1%. that is certainly not a u.s. recession, but over time, it has the potential to cascade into that. ♪

nejra: this is "bloomberg best." i'm nejra cehic. let's resume our global tour of the top stories in business, finance, and politics, starting with an unexpected transition at the top for disney.

emily: disney named bob chapek as its new ceo, ending years of speculation of who would succeed bob iger. he led the company's theme park and consumer products, businesses, and will take over the role immediately. iger becomes chair. what do we know why they chose this route? crayton: iger's contract was up at the end of 2021. we were expecting to hear about somebody who would succeed him at disney, just not today. now he is officially ceo. the way they say they are going to split this up is bob iger will handle the creative responsibilities, while chapek gets up to speed on the tv side of the business. he has been on the parks and consumer products side for a lot of his tenure. bob: in bob chapek, we have someone that not only knows the company very well, having run a few of our important businesses, including parks and resorts, but he's also someone we know very well.

and we couldn't think of a better candidate to take over the company at this time. bob c: i intend to double down on the same strategies bob established 15 years ago that have served us so well. the thing i have taken away from bob iger's legacy is get the content right, and everything else kind of follows suit. nejra: hong kong financial secretary announced a $120 billion hong kong relief package announced with tax cuts and a cash handout to ensure economic confidence in a city battered by political unrest and coronavirus. sec. chan: although the cash payout involves a huge sum of money, it is an exceptional measure in light of the current situation, it will not impose a , burden on the long-term fiscal position. eric: i think the expectation is this cash infusion they are , going to go into the economy and spend the money, and not sit on it. the overall relief package for the hong kong budget today is about 120 billion hong kong, $15 billion u.s.

everything from the recurring tax breaks we get each year, also some money earmarked for the technology industry, talking about potential expansion of the hong kong science park and growing research clusters there. there's also money earmarked for the tourism board, 700 million hong kong, to promote hong kong once if and when the virus outbreak dissipates. sherry: the impact of the coronavirus forcing the bank of korea to downgrade its growth forecast for the year. but surprisingly, it didn't cut benchmark rates. was it the right decision? daniel: the first thing that has to be said is it is not so much whether it was an unexpected decision. it is the discordant note that it strikes with the rest of public policy in korea and how that is responding to the virus. president moon called this an

emergency, and instructed his officials to draft a new stimulus package. well, ok, if it is an emergency, let's have monetary policy also respond. instead, what do we get? not only do we get no response, we get a jarring response from the market perspective. anna: italian opposition leader matteo salvini accuses prime minister giuseppe conte of underestimating the threat of the coronavirus. mr. salvini: [speaking italian] translator: the entire economy was already the weakest in europe, in terms of growth. 27 out of 27. after the virus, which will evidentially slide us into a recession, a government disagreeing on everything the past six months cannot be the one to give answers. maria: we have already heard from the italian central bank that there will be a significant impact on the italian economy. there will be damage to gdp. they are working on a plan, but we don't have the details.

there have been many reports. perhaps we are looking at a moratorium of payments, perhaps tax relief, but they really want to get to the bottom of just how much the impact of the coronavirus is, and the extent. courtney: a trade deal with india could happen at the end of the year. in new delhi, prime minister -- the president said he is narendraime minister modi to lower tariffs on american products. he said the leaders understand each other on the issue. ruth: the president has chanted tremendous progress on the deal with india. it is clear he wants to strengthen ties with the country he sees as key to america's efforts to block china's influence in asia. while officials have tried to hammer out a modest trade deal between india and the u.s. before the visit of the president, it is yet to materialize. while trump is optimistic a deal can be reached, it may not happen until the u.s. elections. still, the countries did sign defense deals worth over $3

billion and pledged ties on maritime security in order to deal with china's growing power in the indo pacific. noticeably, the u.s. president was lavish in his praise of prime minister modi, even as the indian capital, again, erupted in deadly protest over modi's new religion-based citizenship law. those protests happening kilometers from where they were meeting. haidi: a long power struggle in malaysia boiled over on monday with the prime minister mahathir kicking off a leadership race that can finally determine his successor. mahathir submitted his resignation to the king and his party exited the ruling coalition. was it the most strategic move? what could have led to him doing this? daniel: it is not clear, but what is clear is who's in the driver's seat. he is the interim prime minister. basically the whole government right now. he's had all the parties that were feuding

behind-the-scenes and that spilled out yesterday, all of them have backed him publicly. the real question is how does that stake out? does he stay on, does anwar take over? but, yes, mahathir is definitely in the driver's seat. turkey's president crisis had a crisis meeting with top security officials after an airstrike left 33 turkish troops dead in syria. tothe attack by forces loyal series bashir al-assad is the deadliest yet. tensions between russia and turkey at an all-time high. simin: turkey is now turning towards nato and the eu looking for support, because they are not keen to jump into such a hot conflict in syria. we also have a refugee crisis. hundreds of thousands of syrians now trying to flee idlib and heading towards turkey. and now the turkish president, recep erdogan, is saying he may

have to open its borders with europe and let the refugees go there. it would be an absolute political crisis for european leaders. so, as you said, 33 turkish troops killed in syria, and the crisis is nowhere nearing an end. scarlet: let's take a look at what's going on with jp morgan, because it had its annual investor day, with pitching to investors. what was your big take away? sonali: it was a long day of granularity in the businesses. some are not going to see skyhigh margins as the asset management wants to be investing, but they highlighted growth areas. they said u.s. wealth was going to be one place to grow. the investment bank is another place they think and gain more share. middle-market lending and loans to consumers, so you are starting to see the branches payoff. haidi: jean pierre mustier is said to have voted himself out

of the running for the top at hsbc. he emerged as the main external contender for the role against an interim ceo. david: it looks like he is not interested in the job. mustier informed the board on sunday, "thanks but no thanks." it adds to the uncertainty around hsbc and prolongs the search. he must seem like an ideal candidate. he turned things around at unicredit, cut a lot of jobs, cleaned up the balance sheet, and had some of the best returns in europe last year among other banks. he also has a lot of asian experience. hsbc wants to pivot more towards asia. in many ways, he ticked a lot of boxes for them, but he's not interested, so the search continues. vonnie: intuit, the software giant behind turbotax says it is

buying credit karma of about $7.1 billion in cash stock. are you worried about antitrust concerns? sasan: we are not concerned, because it is good for consumers. a choice for consumers, creates an environment and platform for more competition, more financial institutions will want to compete for the consumer's business, and the consumers will have the power of the data in their hands to understand what is right for them. better savings accounts, better loans, better credit cards, and ultimately advice from us to , improve credit history and credit score. we think it is all on the upside for consumers and creates more competition. manus: bloomberg sources say saudi aramco is starting early forarations internationalists just months after the oil giant turned its record ipo into a domestic affair. yasir: we are looking into it to have more offerings.

these offerings continue to be in saudi. if we have any good stock exchange we think can bring some value investors to us, we will definitely consider it. manus: they might need the international banks. if we go for an international listing. would they? anthony: well, all of those banks were involved in the ipo. they decided in the beginning not to go for the international listing because of many issues. legal issues, compliance issues, with the regulations there. manus: what's in it down to the fact that they didn't hear the valuations they wanted to hear. anthony: that is the big thing. there are those roadblocks. the big thing was the valuation. those banks did the groundwork, they will have to do more groundwork. but they want to be ready in case the saudi crown prince decides, "all right, let's do it." ♪

haidi: don't forget, bloomberg subscribers can run the function vrus on their terminals. four our quick takes and landing page for the coronavirus outbreak. you can see the headlines from the bloomberg news room, numbers from the cdc, and analysis on the companies affected. that is vrus nejra: there are about 30,000 functions on the bloomberg. and we always enjoy showing you are favorites on bloomberg television. maybe they will become your favorites. here's another function you will find useful. quic -- it will lead you to our quicktake for fast insights into timely topics. here are the quicktakes from this week. >> we are entering an era in which our enemies can make it look like anyone is saying anything at any point in time. >> jordan peele created this fake video of president obama to show how easy it is to put words in someone else's mouth. >> moving forward, we need to be vigilant with what we trust from the internet. >> not everybody bought it, but

the technology behind such fraud is rapidly improving, even as worries increase about the potential for harm. this is your bloomberg quicktake on deepfakes. >> deepfakes are audio gaining popularity as a means of adding famous actresses into pornography scenes. they are easy to make and find. there are names for the deep learning artificial algorithms that make them possible. input real audio or video of the person, the more, the better, and the software tries to recognize patterns in speech and movement. introduce a new element, like someone else's face or voice, and a deepfake is born. the most popular and widely available programs for making deepfakes means dozens of hours of human assistance to create a video that looks like this rather than this. in august, researchers revealed software accurately rendered not just facial features, but changing weather patterns, and flowers in bloom. this advance is not yet available to the public.

but with increasing capability comes increasing concern. in a world where fakes are easy to create, authenticity also becomes easier to deny. people caught doing genuinely objectionable things could claim evidence against them is bogus. fake videos can also be difficult to detect. researchers around the world and the u.s. department of defense said they are working on ways to counter them. deepfakes do have some positive uses. take a firm that creates digital voices for people who lose theirs from disease. >> speech synthesis is the artificial product of human speech. >> there are also products that can be considered good or bad, like the many deepfakes that exist solely to turn as many movies as possible into nicolas cage movies. nejra: that was one of the many quicktakes you can find on the bloomberg. you can also find them at bloomberg.com, along with the latest business, news, and analysis 24 hours a day.

that will be all for "bloomberg best" this week thanks so much for watching. i'm nejra cehic. this is bloomberg. ♪ awesome internet.

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carol: welcome to "bloomberg businessweek." i am carol massar. jason: and i am jason kelly. we are here at bloomberg headquarters in new york city. carol: this week, how traders are shaking up the stock market on reddit. shaking up mark defying the coronavirus selloff. that is our cover story. jason: plus, the harvey weinstein verdict this week. we look at allegations against the movie mogul sparked the #metoo movement.