tv Bloomberg Daybreak Australia Bloomberg May 4, 2021 6:00pm-7:00pm EDT
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>> good morning and welcome to "bloomberg daybreak: australia." we are counting down to the major market open. >> good evening. >> these are our top stories. janet yellen clarifies inflation remarks that rather markets. she said she is not predicting or recommending a hike in rates. president biden set a new
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vaccination target, 70% of u.s. adults to receive at least one jab by july 4. anz sees profit climbing. we will have an exclusive interview with the ceo, shane elliott. >> let's check wall street. u.s. futures coming online unchanged, after stocks were pressured. the s&p 500 falling to the lowest in a week on comments on rates. we saw the rotation out of tech into bonds. underperforming mega cap, the vix closing just below that 20 level. the dollar strengthening across the board, a two-week high. wti gaining ground in extending gains after reaching that
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seven-week high. we have reports of u.s. supplies falling. >> a muted start trading as markets are closed for holidays across asia. these are the futures, down. modest gains yesterday. we are seeing a strong performance out of the asx 200, closing in on that pre-pandemic level high of 2020. we are watching anz as it begins trading. the broader economic recovery across the country continues. the aussie dollar wasn't underperformer, but climbed back for the aussie dollar, after the highest gain in two weeks. we saw the kiwi and the aussie dollar is the biggest laggards
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overnight. we had the rbnz in its report saying it could potentially increase restrictions on lending conditions. we will speak with the ceos about those results on the outlook. >> in the u.s., president biden set a target of 70% of u.s. adults receiving at least one dose of covid-19 vaccine by july 4. he said he is aiming for 160 million adults vaccinated by independence day. for a look at one u.s. state, our colleague david westin is standing by with a special guest. david: david: we want to welcome radio listeners as well. we are joined by new jersey governor phil murphy. you are redefining a beer chaser
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in new jersey, not on the side of vodka or whiskey, but following a vaccine. >> it is good to be with you. that is part of our proactive outreach to get 4.7 million citizens vaccinated by the end of june. we had a supply-demand in balance for many months, far more demand than supply, and we knew it would come to this moment, and we are here. that balance started to move in the other direction, so we need a whole series of steps. a shot and beer is one of several initiatives we launched in every corner of the state, knocking on doors, mobile vans, going from church services on sunday to get vaccinated, because we think we need to be in a proactive mindset to meet our objectives.
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david: you have identified 16 municipalities in new jersey where you are below 40%, led by new brunswick city. it looks like they tend to be lower income and minorities. what are the ways that you reach those populations? governor murphy: you are right. i don't know if every community is majority, but they are largely. we did not put that out to name and shame. this is to give people a sense of the remaining challenges. we have too many people declaring victory. we are not there yet. it is role models getting vaccinated. it is mobile vans. it is houses of worship. it is getting to home-bound individuals, homeless folks, a whole range of initiatives, federally-qualified health centers, a mix.
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there is no one magic wand. as it relates to equity, we are still on the journey. the pandemic did not create the inequities, it has laid them bare. it is a work in progress. governor murphy: you have some carrots -- david: you have some carrots, but what about sticks like vaccine passports? governor murphy: i am open to it, david, but i have mixed emotions. back to your prior question, a lot if not all government-issued ids have a disproportionate discrimination, even if unintended, against communities of color. for instance, if we started issuing these vaccine passports, and accepting my comments that the pursuit of equity in the vaccine rollout is not where we needed to be, that is
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unintentionally discriminating. i am open-minded to it, but i would rather wait until we achieve our objectives and get to that equity we are striving for. david: what with the jersey boardwalk look like the summer, packed? governor murphy: yes. the anecdotal evidence is compelling. if you look at jersey shore, house rentals, it is hard to get a place right now. you could say a combination of folks breaking out, opening the state, and people can't wait for that, including yours truly, and i think folks who will travel on the margin less than they may have in the past, so they will probably stay closer to home. we are blessed with the jersey shore. i think it will be a big summer. david: you have ambitious goals and plans how you achieve it,
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4.7 citizens fully vaccinated by the end of june. -- 4.7 million citizens fully vaccinated by the end of june. is there the risk of another wave at this point? governor murphy: i hope not. we have lost a lot of lives, but i fear we leave ourselves exposed. not necessarily a third wave, but i am sure we will leave ourselves exposed to unnecessary illness and sadly, loss-of-life, so i would urge everybody, these vaccines are safe, effective, and the risk to any individual from their personal health standpoint is far and away higher not taking the vaccine then it is taking it. david: you know well there is a push to get people back into their offices. goldman sachs says they want people back. as that happens, that will put
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transportation systems under pressure for the people who commute into manhattan. right now, the public transit is being avoided. you are down something like 70% capacity. how do respond to that? financially, you can't run them long down 70%, can you? governor murphy: number one, the prior coronavirus relief funds or the american rescue plan money, or perhaps what is being debated now, the infrastructure plan, we need that help. secondly, we have fixed what was broken, and use the pandemic to fix it faster, so i think people will find a clean, safe, reliable system. thirdly, one of the ways we will get to 70% vaccination is to get our business community to be proactive, just as we are at the
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state level. we had a good call with the chamber of commerce on this topic this morning, getting businesses to be forward-leaning into this, as we are at the state level. i think the transit community reality will be slow to recover, but when folks come back and participate, it will be a positive experience. david: in the meantime as you make that transition, it will potentially put a lot of pressure on the roads, tunnels, and bridges. what can you do to ameliorate some of that? governor murphy: we need the gateway projects greenlighted. i know president biden sees it that way, the secretary of transportation, we have had great conversations. we have two rail tunnels under the hudson, built in 1910. we need two new ones and to fix the old ones, giving us more latitude to run more trains,
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more capacity, giving people more confidence in the rail alternative. secondly, david, we are aggressively pursuing the electric vehicle infrastructure we need in our state to get where we want to be in need to be in the next few years. so getting the environment right, including transportation, it is not an option. it is a pass/fail reality for us. david: one thing people are concerned about are the potential increases in taxes. you had the increases to help pay for the pandemic. now washington will increase taxes, not individuals who make less than $200,000 or couples that make less than $400,000, but you have a lot of people in new jersey in the middle class and that category. are you concerned about what that would do to them? governor murphy: we presented a budget with zero increases in taxes and fees.
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we want to protect the middle class at every turn. we are the quintessential middle-class state and we want to regain that mantle. we are america's number one state to raise a family, including making sure that the value proposition works for families, particularly young families considering moving here or staying here. i was gratified to see the census numbers last week. we were the number one state in america in terms of the amount by which we exceeded the estimate that was put out last year. that is for a reason. people are coming here to raise their family. we have to make sure we have the number one schools, quality of life, transit, but also the value proposition that works. david: there has been a migration towards florida, texas . health-conscious argue that that as you set your budget -- are you at you set your budgets? governor murphy: new jersey grew
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over 5% over the decade. again, the space we occupy is that moniker which we don't take lightly, america's number one state to raise a family. we had the number one public education system in america, top 10 health care system, location second to none, and we are fixing transit, the quality of life is exceedingly high. i am proud of the values, gun safety, women's reproductive rights, you name it. that is our value proposition. some states that we want you to move here because we have low taxes. that may be there value proposition. our value proposition is more holistic and better. david: thank you for joining us, governor murphy. >> great conversation with david westin. for now, let's get over for the
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first word headlines. >> thank you. india has reached the 20 million mark in reported coronavirus infections, now the second country after the united states to hit that benchmark, as it continues to face the world's worst outbreak. hospitals remain overcrowded. prime minister modi is fighting pressure to lockdown the country , instead deciding on local lockdowns. japan's prime minister is deciding whether to end overextend the coronavirus state of emergency for tokyo and osaka. i local broadcaster states that advisors in the decision over whether to lift the emergency measures will be tough, and has noted no declining cases. in the u.s., president biden set a target of 70% of u.s. adults receiving one covid-19 vaccine shot by july 4, as his
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administration addresses a drop-off in inoculations. as of now, 50% have had one shot , and 40% are fully vaccinated, according to the cdc. urging americans to get vaccinated, president biden also wants adolescents to be made available as soon as possible. >> we know many adults have not been vaccinated because they find it too confusing or difficult to get a shot. so for those having trouble finding a or making an appointment, we will make it easier than ever. >> global news 24 hours a day on air and on quicktake powered by more than 2700 journalists and analysts in more than 120 countries. this is bloomberg. ♪ >> still ahead, the virus and vaccine outlook from our guest, amid the new vaccine target set by president biden. plus, janet yellen putting
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>> the question for investors today, did janet yellen open the door to fed rate hikes or did she not? let's get it over to kathleen hays, who has what she said in two separate interviews. janet yellen said it is possible , then clarified she is not predicting rate hikes, so what is going on? kathleen: it is interesting. she said i could see a situation
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where we might have to have rate hikes, talking about this in the context of people looking at how massive the joe biden stimulus is and what this could do the economy and what the response might be. let's start with this remark this morning that caught everyone's attention. janet: it may be that and frustrates -- that interest rates will have to rise to make sure our economy does not overheat, even though the additional spending is relatively small relative to the size of the economy, so it could cause some modest increases in interest rates to get that reallocation. kathleen: i know she was talking about this in the context of the question about how the stimulus might affect the economy, including it might necessitate an interest rate hike but people said isn't this the same person
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who does not worry about inflation and who had said many times that it is not going to raise prices, and she was talking about the stimulus increase in spending, but apparently not worried about inflation. today is tuesday. on monday in the u.s., jay powell stressed that inflation pressures will be transitory and the recovery, that there is more progress being made on the goal of reaching full employment and inflation about 2%, before they would think about making great changes, so it did confuse people, but people said, fine, that is not a surprise. >> from the morning interview to the afternoon interview, did she go to her bloomberg and check out what markets were doing and it made her change her mind? kathleen: that is part of it, isn't it? markets were falling, the tech stocks playing a big role, but beyond that, it was rattling the
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markets. she is the former fed chair and treasury secretary, so no matter what she says, people listen, and it made its way to the white house press briefing, because she said janet understands the independence of the fed, and she went on to say that joe biden agrees with janet yellen about the fed independence, so it seems that when she went to a wall street journal event where she did an interview, she was given a chance to explain her remarks and basically did try to shift gears a bit and make it clear that it has not changed. >> let me be clear, it is not something i am predicting or recommending. if anybody appreciates the independence of the fed, that person is me, and i know that the fed can be counted on to do whatever is necessary to achieve
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their dual mandate objectives. kathleen: two quick points. number one, janet yellen is treasury secretary, no longer fed chair. she does not know what the fed would do more than you are i do, but she is doing something else, not commenting on the current fed chair or policy, so is treasury secretary when she talking about the economy, she may be breaking with that tradition, but on the other hand, she's not trying to comment on what they would do. a lot of market people said we are not surprised the stimulus will cause rate hikes down the line, and that is another reason it hit the markets. i think janet yellen will revert to her other statements that inflation will not be a problem and leave it there was talking about in the future. >> was janet yellen speaks, everybody listens, right? thank you, kathleen hays. don't miss the conversation happening tomorrow at six: 10:00
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base from a year ago. building on encouraging results from the first quarter. $.70, a payout ratio of 66%, for dividends, better than $.63 expected. the net interest margin was 1.63%, ahead of expectations. this was boosted by a provision release of 500 million aussie dollars, setting aside 1.7 billion for what they call a rainy day, but the bank saying it did not rain as much as we thought, so that q1 capital ratio was 12.4%, making it unquestionably strong by the measure of the regulators, and the share price has performed well over the previous 12 months, doubling since the 2020
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low, and better than the five-year average. >> can the gains, optimism, and positive results be sustained in the second half? paul: -- paul: yes, they say the ramifications remain uncertain, so it has made provisions around credit losses. the release of the credit provision can result in an upside surprise, but the low-grade environment in australia has been weighing on the banks. the housing market has been booming as a result of that. how's private growth is easing, but lending growth is still -- house -- house growth is easing, but lending growth is something else. the reports before that and in that in the consumer competition regulator has warned the big four banks against buying that. >> paul allen in sydney.
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we will be asking those questions to the anz ceo shane elliott and discuss those results. plenty more to come on "bloomberg daybreak: australia." this is "bloomberg daybreak: australia." ♪ ♪ look, if your wireless carrier was a guy you'd leave him tomorrow. not very flexible. not great at saving. you deserve better... xfinity mobile. now they have unlimited for just $30 a month... $30. and they're number one in customer satisfaction. his number... delete it. i'm deleting it. so, break free from the big three. xfinity internet customers, take the savings challenge at xfinitymobile.com/mysavings. or visit and xfinity store to learn how our switch squad makes it easy to switch and save hundreds.
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>> pres. biden: we know many adults have not been vaccinated because they find it too confusing, difficult, or inconvenient to get a shot, so for those having trouble, we will make it easier than ever. >> president biden setting a target for 70% of u.s. adults to receive a first covid shot by july 4, as the administration addresses a drop-off in vaccinations. the situation is different in developing nations.
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in the air recording more than 300,000 daily crazes, and -- cases, and to discuss this with our next guest, the executive vice president and chief patient officer and former director of the u.s. cdc. thank you for joining us. but that gets started with what is happening across developing nations. we know that there has been a proposal for drugmakers in india to produce your therapeutics. what are the range of options available for private companies in pharmaceuticals to help in this fight against the pandemic? >> first, thank you for having me. i think i join everyone in acknowledging the tremendous humanitarian catastrophe unfolding in india and other hotspots. what we do is we donate, so like a lot of companies, merck has contributed $7 million to help
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with supplies. in addition to that, we know the solution may be vaccines, but in the short run, people need treatment, so we were able to provide a voluntary license agreement 25 indian manufacturers to make a direct -- to five indian manufacturers to make a drug. it could save lives in india, and anything we can do to accelerate availability is something we prioritize. it is not approved yet, but getting a head start on the supply and hoping that it can be helpful, i think we are all looking at what can we do now to be useful. one other thing i would say is the supply of vaccines is not sufficient yet to meet global demand, but all of us would do the same thing. if we are not making our own vaccine, we are looking at ways we can help manufacturers of
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other vaccines to expand their supplies, so we are involved in an agreement with johnson & johnson to help them make more doses of their vaccine, and that supply will be very helpful in the global environment, so we are doing what we can and i wish that we could do more. >> the debate continues on waiving ip rights when it comes to vaccine manufacturers. with that help in the challenge of giving access to these inoculations in the developing world? >> you have to understand that vaccines are more different than complex landfills -- than pills. it is one thing to say we will voluntary license molecules in some form, but vaccines are complicated, even in an experienced environment like merck has, it is challenging. to start from scratch with someone who has not done it before and is using a new
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formulation, that takes time. it is very risky and hard to do. i think the approach being taken now is to engage as much of the world, vaccine manufacturers, helping them get as much vaccine as they can get their hands on and helping experienced people in the press was is the best way to keep us safe and reliable supply. the partnerships are all over the world, but they are not fast enough to get the resources where they're needed in the shortest amount of time, but there are coming in, and that gives hope to me and others waiting for their dose. >> the counter argument to the waiver of intellectual property rights suggests it is not just vaccine supply, but access to raw materials, on the ground distribution and rollout. is that a bigger problem, or is supply the bigger problem in terms of getting shots into arms?
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>> there are barriers at every step of the process, raw materials that go into making the vaccine are certainly things that are not in wide supply, because everybody is grabbing for him. the syringes and vials are creating bottlenecks. the complexity of the distribution, and ultimately, how do we get vaccines to all the people, especially the vulnerable people who need them in these areas? many people that never had immunization programs for adults, so there is no system, and most importantly, there is no trust, so we have a lot of into end e --nd to end -- end to end work to do. >> what is the ultimate stage of
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this pandemic battle, not only variants, but the need for vaccine boosters in the coming months? it will be a supply and distribution issue with those as well? >> we are in a race. we have the virus and its variants in the world, and on the other hand, vaccines. and while we are waiting for the vaccines, we should not forget that many large countries in the world have been able to contain the pandemic by using social distancing and masks, and old-fashioned interventions, that is challenging as they are, really have worked, so both sides of that equation are important. i think the virus variants are probably fueling what is going on in india right now. we know that one variant is much more transmissible and probably more deadly, and as that virus continues to evolve, it is formidable.
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if it develops mutations or one of the other variants that has mutations that allowed them to escape the current generation of vaccines, yes, a another vaccine may be necessary. we have to be prepared for that. it will challenge the supply system further. it is important to invest now and continue to scale up the manufacturing that we will need. >> many countries and people, including myself, have not gone to our regular checkups with our regular medical health care, what is the risk we are setting up for another future outbreak, not covid-related, but perhaps because of this keeping up with other immunization efforts? >> immunizations are a big part of what we are missing. people need to return to care and pay attention to their vaccines, children's vaccines,
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but also their screening for cancers, and the other health maintenance responsibilities. my biggest fear as an infectious disease doctor is the worry about measles. there are 28 countries in the world that have stopped or paused their childhood immunization program against measles. measles is as contagious or more contagious, so it will be the canary in the coal mine that tells us that our front line of basic immunizations are failing us, and i fear we will see outbreaks, and other outbreaks of infectious diseases we have been able to corral. that would be tragic, insult to injury, but something the whole world needs to be paying attention to.
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>> we appreciate your time. modernity says it is working as fast as it can to meet global vaccine demand. the chairman spoke with bloomberg about his production and its trials against new variants. >> we are ramping up production capacity. we are producing one billion doses this year. next year, we will increase to 3 billion. we are working as a manufacturer as fast as we can, as are others. the reality is there are a number of countries that have sourced the vaccine, and we hope to supply some of those countries, so we can get as many doses as we can. >> how worried are you about new variants circulating that have not been identified because a
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lot of countries have not been vaccinated yet? >> we are worried about that, in the sense there is an element of the unknown. we know more about the strain we were going after. as you know, we have done human trials rapidly on a variant vaccine against the south african strain, as well as a booster for the original vaccine , as well as a combination. modernity has shown data, and hope to have human data showing efficacy. variants are springing up with different properties, and we will have to stay vigilant, potentially developing more boosters, and we hope to keep this at a minimal challenge, in terms of how many approaches we need to have come up with the virus is doing its own thing and we need to be able to stay ahead of it. >> will you be able to maintain
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production goals for next year? will we see 3 billion shots produced by modernity year? >> yes, we increased our forecast because of significant investments we are making ahead of that to 3 billion doses. we are actively testing doses that are lower than the original vaccine that we went as fast as we cut last year to produce, so to the extent that we can get the vaccine, which today is 100 micrograms, to show effectiveness at 50 micrograms, that would double our output of doses as well. >> how far out do your production plans go? do you have plans going out for investment and production in 2023, 20 24, 2025? >> four four we -- >> we have said publicly that based on our
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information and own work, we believe this virus may well end up taking on the pandemic character, that there may be enough variants that we start seeing some form of it in various seasonal fluctuation, so it is not a sure thing, but it will settle into a similar behavior like flu. we don't know that yet, but we need to be prepared. we cannot hope for a best case situation, prepare the least, then find out it is not that, we need to do the opposite. yes, 2023, but if we can get 3 billion doses and even lower amounts per dose to show effectiveness, that will put a significant dent on the global demand, alongside our colleagues in the industry, who are also using the mrna technology. >> the chairman of modernity
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speaking with them let's. get the first word news. >> janet yellen was not recommending interest rate hikes when discussing the impact of fiscal spending and said she does not anticipate higher inflation. earlier she said this after an interview with atlantic that the biden administration spending may trigger a rise in interest rates. >> it may be that interest rates will have to rise somewhat to make sure our economy does not overheat, even though the additional spending is relatively small relative to the size of the economy, so it could cause some modest increases in interest rates to get that be allocation. >> the israeli prime minister has lifted a deadline to form a new coalition government to reach an agreement, raising the
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possibility that his party could be pushed into the opposition for the first time in 12 years. he has struggled to secure a majority since march 23, when elections ended in deadlock for the fourth consecutive time. a trade feud between australia and china has opened the door for rival producers in argentina. growers are set to expand barley by 28%, after china slapped tariffs on australian exports. it is one of a number of trade restrictions imposed amid souring relations. global news 24 hours a day on air and on quicktake powered by more than 2700 journalists and analysts in more than 120 countries. this bloomberg. >> coming up, commodities continues to surge, the spot index at the highest in decades.
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4.7% for the quarter, better than expectations of 4.9%, and quarter on quarter, a gain of 0.6%. the year on year number higher. the participation rate higher, 70.4%. wages quarter on quarter, a growth of 0.4%, excluding overtime. we are still waiting on that average hourly earnings quarter on quarter number to come through. a mixed picture, but the 4.7 unemployment rate in new zealand. let's get to more calls with sophie in hong kong. some stocks like a broken record , still closing in on the pre-pandemic by, but jp morgan
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has lifted their outlook for the asx 200. it is the new target? sophie: jp morgan announcing the number, an implied increase from the tuesday close, and earnings at the heart of this, a key factor, along with the boom in commodity prices, precious metals, upward pressure on mining profit estimates, so without outlook, jp morgan saying something. >> more readings through wednesday, right? will that provide more clues on the recovery and energy consumption? sophie: yes, the metrics could be supportive of oil prices. bank of america looks forward to a pickup in activity, and vaccination numbers in developed nations, leading to reopening plans, so oil demand will ramp up into the summer, brent with
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an upside momentum beyond $70 per barrel, and oil prices that brent averaging this year. global crude has helped, but a full recovery requires a healthy economic backdrop when it comes to the emerging-market spaces. india is poised for a major oil demand slow down. later on the show, one guest says markets may be underpricing that. >> we are seeing everything from metal to energy surging, coupled with shortages and supply issues. su keenan has the latest. we saw the spot index jumping to the highest in 2011, before settling at the high since 2015. su: yes. almost the highest in a decade. that grabs a lot of attention.
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the rebound in the world's largest economy is boosting demand across the board. the bloomberg commodity spot index tracks prices for 23 role materials, up almost 1% -- raw materials, up almost 1%. the gauge up 70% since march 2020. the trading in the latest pricing in the u.s. session, oil now trading in asia, the usual suspects, big gains, lumbar trading four times its price, corn boosted by the drought in brazil and other issues, and oil up almost 2% in the u.s. is up another 1%, topping $66. year-to-date gains, 2021 has started off with their, -- a
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bang, 30%, return of motorists is adding to the demand for oil and gasoline. so you have the fact that china as many economists point out has been gobbling up a lot of supply, so there is optimism for these futures, and notably on the curves for lumber and copper, shortages as well. >> looks like a good time for oil, goldman seeing prices going higher? >> yes. goldman sang an increase in demand for the next six months as rollouts of vaccinations boost mobility could push oil above $80 a barrel. that is according to goldman. they also seek copper reaching $11,000 a ton. oil and the latest u.s. session topping $65, before getting
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about $66 in asia, a seven-week i. brent crude -- high. brent crude continuing higher, even though opec-plus is now easing on earlier supply cuts. again, it looks like in the banks are confirming the commodity rally has legs for now . back to you. >> was just getting a line that tokyo and osaka seeking an extension of the state of emergency, according to local media. we heard earlier that there were indications tuesday that they may seek an extension of the current coronavirus state of emergency due to the sheer number of new cases and pressure on the locals as well, but saying it would be difficult to loosen or into that emergency. the prime minister also reportedly struggling with that
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returned to the office, goldman sees employees in the building by mid june, after jp morgan announced workforce rotation. other firms are setting policies for an eventual return to the work place. let's get more from our investing reporter. what are the factors they are considering when making a decision about when employees should return to offices? >> banks, like so many firms worldwide, have been forced into these remote works set ups for a year now. in the u.s., vaccinations are on the rise. several big banks have started to come out with their plans for how they would like employees to come back to the office, so goldman sachs and jp morgan have just started to release their plans. goldman sachs wants its u.s. staff backed by mid june, and in the u.k., the end of june.
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you are seeing these companies bring back employees to the office. >> what does, how does that compare with other financial farms -- firms and their policies? >> there has been a variety of approaches across the industry. you have banks on one hand starting to look at how they might do, might bring employees back to offices, others have taken approach where they come out and say they are going to do a hybrid model. we heard from vanguard today say they are looking at a hybrid model for most of their staff, with two days of work from home flexibility, and office in between. >> that was our bloomberg investing reporter. daybreak: asia is next. this is bloomberg. ♪
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