tv Bloomberg Daybreak Australia Bloomberg May 30, 2021 6:00pm-7:00pm EDT
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the u.s. reports the lowest level of covid-19 infection since the and mx early days. the situation in india and asia pacific is turning bleaker. and canada planning to take on beijing over wine tariffs. and u.s. futures gaining a bit of ground as we continue in this long memorial day weekend in the u.s.. equity markets closed after stock made a comeback thanks to. we have three months of gains in may, the dollar in a tight range as we continue to see upsides on bitcoin, still struggling to break above that 200 day moving average. we are seeing wti coming in higher, around $56 a barrel. this come after the biggest
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weekly gain since mid april and as we head toward that meeting. here's what to expect for the rest -- that opec-plus meeting is one thing you have to be watching, expectations tilted toward no change. employers probably adding 600 50,000 positions and we have the g7 finance ministers and central bank governors meeting in london friday and saturday as well. haidi: a muted start to the asia trading week. in the u.s., the transportation secretary is suggesting time is running out for republicans to reach a deal with the biden administration on infrastructure spending before democrats go it alone. >> the president keep saying in action is not an option and time is not unlimited. the american people expect us to do something, they expect us to deliver and it's my hope that these continued conversations
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will be productive and lead to that direction. haidi: the two sides have been locked in negotiations over the package with the gop pushing for a smaller deal. the democrats are signaling they are ready to go it alone. where's the momentum when it comes to reaching a deal? guest: it seems like nothing much was achieved over the weekend but joe biden will meet in the coming weeks with the west virginia republican who has been one of the leading voices on this and other republicans as well. she believes biden once to reach a bipartisan deal but my kratz are very antsy about this and don't want to be seen as tricked by republicans. a lot of democrats, for example, kiersten gillibrand indicated that republicans are not negotiating in good faith and
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are just trying to draw it out. congress is due to come back in a week and if nothing more is achieved, some of the republicans may just pull the plug. shery: one of the key criticisms around the plan has been what infrastructure means. are we talking about bridges or human social infrastructure. is there a common definition at this point? guest: i looked back through our clips over the weekend and in april the same debate was going on about what infrastructure is and the haggling continues. republicans have said over and over that we -- roads, bridges, airports are ok and they've added broadband and some infrastructure facilities for electric vehicles. so they are moving into the 21st
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century but democrats, including his transportation secretary today have talked about social infrastructure, including payments for home health care and eldercare, which is funded at something like 400 billion dollars. according to pete buttigieg, that is a metaphorical bridge that can help people get back to work as much as an actual bridge can. so there is a golf there. she said that kind of spending is something we can talk about, and it's great but should not be in this bill. will it work to split off old school infrastructure and do that on a bipartisan basis and then have second or third measures on social spending? it seems like that is something that could have been achieved weeks ago. shery: we will continue watching
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the negotiations as we continue to focus on those fiscal pledges. our next guest says central banks are getting more hawkish and the talk is getting closer. let's talk with jane oliver. we continue to see more hawkish rhetoric, whether it's from the bank of korea, even the fed talking about talking about tapering. let's discuss what it means for the markets. it is a correction inevitable? guest: it is certainly a risk. i would not say it is inevitable. i tend to be pretty brief before the market makes a new high. a more difficult time, around the middle of the are going into the september quarter, central banks are saying unambiguous
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easing. now they are talking about tapering and particularly combined with ongoing use to power inflation, that could cause a bit of a connect -- bit of a correction. historically, we've only got one good example to look at and that's the taper that started in late 2014 and that time saw a bit of volatility in the run-up to it. but once it started, the u.s. share market continue to trade higher and that's because even though the central bank may taper, it's reducing the amount of stimulus. i think that's the key in all of this and why ultimately the trend is still high. shery: what are we seeing in terms of tightening from china? we continue to hear banking regulators say it is interest rate hikes in emerging economies
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that could lead to a bursting of financial asset bubbles as this chart shows, we continue to see more gains for the csi 300, it's best week since the new year open. what does chinese liquidity tightening mean in terms of not only the chinese market but the global markets as well? shane: it is certainly a dampener. the chinese recovery has been underway since the second quarter of last year with a huge boost to global growth. recently, the pace has slowed down. we saw that in the economic indicators for april. mixed pmi's and it looks as if china has started to take away the punch bowl to some degree. i think it reflects the dichotomy between high price multiples on a traditional basis and low interest rates.
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you could argue it's not that high but that debate will continue. i think we will probably see a continuing mobilization of policy in china and that takes away some of the support, particular for emerging markets. on the flipside, you got ongoing economic recovery and reopening, so that should be a positive. i think they will do ok, just not as strong as they did through the second half of last year. haidi: the deadline the rba set for itself for the bond yield and the future qe, what does that do if we hear guidance for the levels we are seeing on australian stocks? shane: a new record high on friday and that has been underpinned by a whole bunch of things like low interest rates
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and, to the extent the central bank starts to edge toward less monetary stimulus, it's a bit of a negative. it's all been about tapering with the reserve bank announcement probably coming in july. investors will look very closely at the meeting tomorrow but it's hard to see them providing anything different than they have the last two months, which is basically they are intent on not raising interest rates for some years to come. i think the basic problem is the rba is, yes, there's been a stronger-than-expected recovery, but you do need more wage growth to get the same inflation. i think it will be the way for some things but we are looking for tapering starting in
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september. i don't inc. they are going to say anything more than they will consider it in july. haidi: is an overshooting better risk, given it seems we've end up in a situation where every outbreak means a lockdown because of the slowness of the vaccine rollout? shane: it's helping to meet the share market meet a new high on friday. there's a view that it further delayed any tightening by the rba, so they are consistent with the view that as long as we keep having the lockdown, that's -- i think the reserve bank is worried through the past decade that maybe they jumped a bit too early and got a bit too hawkish to quickly.
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they continuously underperform and i think the reserve bank along with the fed change their reaction function and now have to wait a lot longer before tightening and i think that's the key in all of this market. going back to the situation or central banks were tightened and at the first sign of recovery have to wait a lot longer. haidi: always great to have you with us. let's take a look at how we are setting up at the start of this trading week. sophie: heading into the monday session, futures hitting a fresh record after we saw the benchmark hit fresh new highs on friday. we look through the state of victoria lockdown it started on friday.
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it is the rbc looking to me -- to be among the central bank to begin a tightening path that could help push the dollar. flipping the board and focusing on india, we are seeing it move after capping a five-week gain. seeing it be the best major performer in the world over the past year and economic earnings is helping to underpin the events. it does pose a risk of a hike. haidi: let's take a look at the bank of japan. the governor backing the feds
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vonnie: you are watching daybreak australia. u.s. covid death fell over the weekend to the lowest in months. johns hopkins university and bloomberg figures of that show the u.s. added slightly more than 12,000 new cases. does the fewest since the early days of the pandemic last year. deaths from the covid-19 virus have declined consistently as the vaccination campaign to cold.
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to u.s. disease experts say china's help is needed to chait -- to trace the origins of covid-19. the commissioner under the trump maturation said information supporting the wuhan lab leak theory has increased. he says beijing has not provided information to disprove it. another expert says not knowing how the virus started puts the world at risk of future outbreaks. president joe biden is said to raise human rights when he meets vladimir putin in geneva next month. tensions between the two countries remain high. the u.s. blames russia-based hackers for cyberattacks in the u.s.. biden fell short of accusing the kremlin over the pipeline hack. he also condemned russia's support for belarus after the forced landing of an air flight. russia's envoy to the u.n. says the round of talks aimed at reviving the iran nuclear report
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has resumed. there was an understanding among countries involved that the current round would be the final round. iran had agreed to a one month extension of surveillance on its nuclear arsenal. benjamin netanyahu's opponents are coming closer to ousting the long serving premise or. a former ally turned rival says he's joining forces with a former finance minister to form a new government. they say only a new coalition can prevent a sixth election in two years. netanyahu denies they charges against him. global news 24 hours a day on air and on bloomberg quicktake, powered by more than 2700 journalists and analysts in more than 120 countries. haidi: the bank of japan governor's backing the fed's view that inflation pressures are transitory in an exclusive interview. he said it remains the most
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relevant in the u.s. and will take some time to overcome inflation once it is entrenched. he said he learned from his japan experience dealing with prolonged inflation. >> i think a possible surge in inflation is particular to the united states. in accommodative stance of monetary policy and inflation at 2%, long-term inflation expectations are at around 2%. i think this is based on the recognition that it will take time to overcome inflation once it is entrenched. this is a lesson learned from japan's experience of long inflation. that said, it is true central
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banks around the world having conducted monetary policy are facing difficulties due to the shock of covid-19. in this situation, monetary policy and effective communication are important in terms of ensuring market stability. >> does this mean we will have to wait longer in countries like japan for a change in policy? >> of course. each central bank has to adapt its monetary policy to its own economy and financial situations. so that even if our economy
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recovers from the covid-19 pandemic, we expect by the end of this year, we would come back to the level before the pandemic. but as you know, the rate continues to be a little bit low and it will take time to achieve this 2% inflation target. i must say that in that sense, the bank of japan since of monetary easing will continue even after the economic recovery from the pandemic is achieved. haidi: the bank of japan
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haidi: let's take a look at the day ahead in australia -- watching the aussie dollar compared to the rba decision -- the central bank approaching a decision whether the economy is strong enough to join the likes of new zealand. we are watching austria's biggest ipo this year. the james torrents group will rename its brand and they are looking to raise $910 million. yes julia and u.k. continue to
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negotiate plans for a free-trade agreement with the trade minister speaking with his u.k. counterpart this week. the world trade organization will set up a panel to resolve the complaints against the folly imports and they may be taking up wine imports as well. what is the next step? >> just a year ago now that china first hit australia and alley with tariffs of 73%. australia sees it as retaliation and cause of looking into the coronavirus and while way. china continues to defend itself in a three-person panel will be set up to hear this matter. new zealand also in that dispute. the us trillion prime minister
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is in new zealand at the moment and this has been dominated by china's assertiveness in the indo pacific. new zealand has been criticized for not being as vocal as other allies but now reentering the fray with the foreign minister telling the exporters to prepare for potential reprisals from china. telling exporters to diversify. now we have a wine dispute as well, the australian minister saying a final decision will be made very shortly on that matter. shery: what do we know about the wrap up of the espionage trial in june? >> the trial happened behind closed doors. there was a message released afterwards saying that he would speak for five minutes and 100 pages of his own evidence was allowed to be submitted. he says he's accused of spying but doesn't know who for. he says the charges were
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espionage, but who did i work for? he is an australian citizen and former employee of the chinese ministry of foreign affairs and has criticized their economic policy and corruption inside the communist party. we are waiting to hear from him. the maximum penalty for this is that. haidi: paul allen in sydney. here's a check of the latest business flash headlines. the federal reserve is said to have warned deutsche bank about compliance failures. it came in an annual assessment which signaled the bank is adhering to confidential agreements aimed at fixing its risk-management management practices. we are told deutsche bank's top executives are bracing for potential sanctions. the nikkei news says japan is considering changing rules next year. discussions between regulators and governments is set to begin in the coming months.
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residents in wong joe have been ordered to stay home to detain a coronavirus outbreak. cctv reports it stems from india. five confirmed cases and 21 a symptomatically cases since may 21 originated from the variant. only select household members could leave home to buy daily necessities. singapore's prime minister is expected to outline a plan in a speech monday for reopening the economy. in a facebook post, he says the government aims to accelerate protocols and vaccination programs offering every eligible person a first shot by the end of august. 19 new cases were reported on sunday, including six not linked to known clusters. the u.s. says it has reimposed sanctions on nine state own entities in belarus.
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last week, the white house says it's working on penalties targeting the government of belarus after it forced down a passenger jet and arrested a dissident journalists trickle of the president. the british prime minister is tying the knot a small ceremony at winchester cathedral. the marriages his -- is her first and his third. he announced the engagement last year. she's environmental advocate and they have a one-year-old son together. global news 24 hours a day on air and on bloomberg quicktake, powered by more than 2700 journalists and analysts in more than 120 countries. shery: morning calls ahead of the trading day. bank of america calling emerging currencies at a fork in the road, what are they talking about? sophie: be of a is asking
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whether it's time to take profits or stay long. they are maintaining a positive outlook, keeping that risk on since they adopted in april. emerging markets might be in the darkest hour before the dawn and say they are seeing a significant narrowing with export demand improved and the bank noting positioning is not overcrowded, but there are watchful signs with shares hitting record highs with the index posting the best week this year. haidi: what specific trades are they lacking? sophie: the outperformance does bode well for the asia fx space. when it comes to commodity
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place, they are lunching plays as malaysia grapples with the increasing covid outbreak that has seen the country come back under lockdown. haidi: the asx is sitting at a fresh record high. a strong performance from major banks and tech and discretionary's driving those gains. we continue to see the futures rising to a record this morning. what is driving this? guest: the afx was one of the worst-performing markets last year. it underperformed as a lot of global markets were peeking and that's because we don't have that tech dominance that drove the rally in the u.s. you had the pickup in commodities at 20% of stocks in the benchmark, so that helped
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drive that gain in the benchmark in australia as well as the economy has proven to be quite strong and unemployment has been falling. there is a view that australia has been on top of the virus by shutting the borders and we have control of the vaccines and you are seeing another lockdown in melbourne which could have jeopardized the economic recovery but overall, there is a feeling the economy has proven resilient and unemployment is falling. it has been a commitment from the central bank to keep interest rates low and that has come together to underpin the market in us trillion. shery: -- what happens in australia. shery: we saw the yuan touching multi-year highs against a basket of peers. what does that say about that?
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guest: policymakers have come out to signal they are watching very closely, saying they don't want it to be a one-way bet. what investors and traders are saying the pushback is relatively mild. chinese policymakers are saying they don't want to see one-way and they want to slow what they are seeing rather than reverse it. they are largely seen as relying on weaker daily fixes and not intervening in the market, but basically they are trying to keep speculators at bay. haidi: our cross at it -- cross asset editor there. we will get manufacturing pmi's later expected to show the
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recovery continuing. let's go to tom mackenzie in beijing. how much resilience are these pmi readings expected to show? tom: certainly in positive territory. you are looking at a print of 51.1, which is in line of what we saw in april. a little more negative on this from bloomberg economics, expecting a slowdown between april and may. what they are saying is ultimately we are at the point where we are manufacturing out of china and in terms of non-manufacturing and construction services, you are looking at a much stronger number. 55.1 for the month of may, versus 54.9. nonmanufacturing very much in expansionary territory. some testing the gauge of sme's
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suggesting economic recovery continues at a slightly slower pace, so we will see if the pmi data round that out for us. haidi: we are hearing in the meantime from bank regulators talking about asset bubble risk. what are they saying? tom: they are saying there are extensions around monetary policy, pointing to recent rate hikes we have seen in emerging markets versus the continued expense rate policy, saying this could lead to some of these asset bubbles that you say exists in some areas bursting and that's a concern for regulators in beijing. they are calling for greater coordination of financial regulation globally. clearly china is concerned about this and say they are getting there own house in order,
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impacting debt. haidi: -- made some payments -- what do we know? tom: $900 million offshore, suggesting their liquidity continues in the short-term. we know from our own reporting that they have come to an agreement with some of the state owned banks at least until the end of august. the longer term bond suggesting there is a risk of default ahead in the bigger picture is they have about $6.2 billion of bonds that either need to be repaid or refinanced. short-term, they managed to make the payments but long-term questions rain for this bad asset manager. haidi: we will have more
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shery: there are currently 45 active covid 19 cases in australia's victoria state. these are record levels of testing and vaccinations over the weekend. our next guest says it's time for australia to consider how australia rolls out its effort. always great to have you with us. the criticism over the rollout is widespread. is this a situation where we are going to see lockdown over lockdown every time there is a new outbreak? guest: i think we will continue to see clusters and lockdowns until we get better coverage of the vaccine, particular amongst
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high-risk orders. what we are seeing is a slowness in getting the vaccine out, particularly two aged care, but also the workers have not been taking advantage of the offer to be vaccinated. that is the frustration, the slowness to all of this. some people just putting it off as well as the actual rollout to some of the aged care facilities in particular taking longer than anticipated. combining those things and we end up being vulnerable and we got a major outbreak starting to play out. haidi: how imperative is it to broaden the ainge rage -- the age range? guest: we need to focus on the whole population. if you want to slow the virus down, need to focus on all parts of the population where
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transmission is particularly likely. in younger adults, they are one of the key groups there. we saw them over represented among the second wave of cases in melbourne next year. they were represented, the workers who are still mixing now during the current lockdown have been young adults with little opportunity to be vaccinated, but particularly, high-risk workers of is essential workers have been targeted but haven't necessarily taken up the vaccine. it is important that we cover the whole population. the strategy is to focus on those most exposed and most vulnerable, but at the same time, we need to keep those and have an express cue for those who need to get vaccinated. but we have a situation where they were sitting idle. shery: how much do the snap lockdowns help?
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catherine: they should only be brought in when you cannot contain an outbreak. the contact tracing has been impressive. this was an outbreak where they had probably four generations of cases before they knew this was happening in the community, probably five, and that makes it more of a challenge, not trying to squash the virus but just slow everything down so it helps the health department assess the situation and now, it's unfolding and we have a lot of exposure but most people are returning negative results, so that is good news. hopefully we won't need to continue their lockdown to match the outbreak and close it down. haidi: an australian other parts of the world, we have seen a shortage of vaccines. how effective would it be to switch vaccines around and go from one vaccine to the next available brand?
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catherine: there's good evidence coming out that that's a smart strategy. it gives more flexibility and allows you to ramp up vaccinations. it doesn't seem to have more mild side effects. it seems to be one that might be a strategy that gives countries more flexibility. if it does give you a slightly boosted response, that is important for the first round, but particularly important for the possibility of booster shots needed next year. all of that is encouraging news. just like the pfizer storage being more relaxed. it's much more liberal now, so all those things help just with the logistics of the challenge of rolling out vaccines around the world. haidi: we are hearing from local reports in japan that spectators will be required to show a negative test result.
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organizers have said there are ways to mitigate the risk but when you are talking about almost 3000 new cases on sunday alone for japan, is holding this kind of event foolhardy to you? it is high-risk when you've got that many cases and if you are bringing others and, we know testing is not infallible and people can be incubating the virus and not test positive but actually have the virus. that is always a challenge. in australia, we introduced testing offshore and find its somewhere between .5% to 1%, so it's not foolproof, but it's less about people coming and then the mixing that happens, particularly from around the world. it takes a lot of work and that
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has to be the prime thing. of mean some events without spectators, unfortunately that is what you need to do. but only if it is large enough between the sportspeople and support teams that they can manifest something like this. haidi: i want to get your thoughts on the wuhan laboratory leak being taken seriously again. just a year ago, this was dismissed as some of those french conspiracy theories. what is your take? catherine: i'm not sure we will ever know where the virus came from, unfortunately. people are looking back and if you did, the story really revolves around that time that you had a pneumonia like illness, that is not proof. what we did hear back from the scientist was compelling in terms of the appearance of it
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being a manufactured virus, so i think you have to be cautious when looking at circumstantial evidence, which is probably pretty weak at the moment but with more focus, they will keep looking at it. shery: catherine bennett, thank you very much for your time today, joining us from melbourne. online properties change and a tech site looking to raise $910 million. we will get you the details next. this is bloomberg. ♪
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shery: stock splits are back in vogue as share prices rise on 600 stocks in the russell surging above -- joining big names like apple and tesla, that's the most in six years. companies doing splits say stock splits are to make a share cheaper to buy, but it's harder to make that case because the rise of commission free trading. still, the recent rash of stock split's have sparked attention
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that amazon could be next. amazon has not done a split since 1999. the performance record shows the past year may be changing calculus for companies to decide splitting their stock. haidi: in australia, stearns group and some shareholders are looking -- joining us now is our australia m&a reporter. what has made them decide to go down the path of an ipo? guest: according to the terms of the deal that we got our hands on friday night, the company under this ipo will have an enterprise value of 3.3 billion and the private equity offer was 3 billion. he managed to find investors to buy slightly above what they
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were getting for a wholesale kind of buyout. on top of that, there's been a lot of lobbying from some of the investment funds and they want to be able to keep writing this business. they see a lot more growth there. it does about 80% of all property transactions in australia. it justifies it from that perspective and they would have got cash for the unit straightaway but it means they don't have to pay full tax on it either. shery: we have seen some underperformance lately. harry: it's more of a small number. there haven't been that many.
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the biggest listing so far this year was from a lending business that dropped about 17%. there have been a couple of those polled come as it is looking for the ipo market. there's going to be some really big ones later in the year so this could be back. the biggest one will be most likely woolworths, which is us truly is biggest grocery supermarket retailer. they are spinning off their hotel and liquor business of, so this is the biggest so far. likely the biggest for the year as a whole, so this gives some support to the market. haidi: the parent company receiving buyout interest last year. is that the last we will see of
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that? harry: the way it all ended, there were two offers, one from a private equity consortium called the carlyle group and a local company here. another offer from strategic. they ran the numbers and did not quite get there. they were more interested in buying link as a whole and more interested in the core business, which is basically back office administration for pension funds. that business has been struggling. they couldn't quite make the numbers work. we will see what market value the share market attributes to the remainder of this is the switch it's just been going sideways for a long time. we will have to wait for that to come out. haidi: we will have to leave it there. we have a quick check of the
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latest business flash headlines. a factory closing after they found more than 200 covid cases among its workers. the covid infections reached a record earlier this month as a new wave spread through prisons and factories. apple is said to be planning to add to its global retail presence. the company said retail locations offer an opportunity to experience new technology and ask questions after learning about the product online. emergency airline critics being extended after a wave of coronavirus infections and deaths. the loans were aimed at sectors like small borrowers and are available until the end of september. in the next hour, the economic week ahead -- we preview the
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