Skip to main content

tv   Mad Money  CNBC  August 14, 2009 6:00pm-7:00pm EDT

6:00 pm
with its built-in 3g network, it's fast and small, so it goes places other laptops can't. i'm bill kurtis, and wherever i go, i've got plenty of room for the internet. and the nation's fastest 3g network. gun it, mick. (announcer) sign up today and get a netbook for $199.99 after mail-in rebate. with built-in access to the nation's fastest 3g network. only from at&t.
6:01 pm
6:02 pm
i'm jim cramer. and welcome to my world. you need to get in the game. go out of business. and he's nuts! they're nuts! they know nothing! i always like to say there's a bull market somewhere. "mad money," you can't afford to miss it. hey, i'm cramer. welcome to cramerica. welcome to "mad money." other people want to make friends. i'm just trying to make you some money. my job is not just to entertain you, but to educate you. write this number down. 1-800-743-cnbc. this show is all about what i can bring to the table for you. okay? different kind of thing. see, i talk about trying to help you make money, but the truth is, making money isn't that hard. it's not losing money that's difficult.
6:03 pm
so, tonight i'm putting all my advice about how to play defense. how to keep your money safe. how to avoid big losses, into one show. 25 rules that i use myself when running my charitable trust. when i say that i have something, it's because it's in a trust. i can't make any money, just charity does. you want to follow along, it's called actionalertsplus.com and you should be using these, too, because it's individual money. not institutional money. it could be your money. you need these different rules if you want to try to save yourself from losses. so you can celebrate your gains. 25 bite-sized tips that if you listen to all them should help protect you from the risks to the downside. that lets the glorious upside
6:04 pm
take care of itself. think of this as your "mad money" defensive game plan. number one, simple, most important rule of all, if you're going to stay in this game. you must stay diversified. diversification, as i say, as i say so often on this show, and people keep forgetting it or they don't understand how -- >> that was easy. >> -- easy it is, is the only free lunch. and it is the first and i think the most important rule for any investor to follow -- ♪ hallelujah you want to stay out of this. >> house of pain. >> diversifification is this. >> house of pleasure. >> never keep more than 20% of your portfolio in one sector. how about five stocks when we play "am i diversified?" when you own five stocks, there should be no overlap between any of the stocks in your portfolio. i'm talking poker. i will use any analogy i can. you can't own two of a kind! and you especially don't want four of a kind.
6:05 pm
investing is the opposite of poker. keep that in mind! four of a kind's a winner in one game. it's a loser in another. not being diversified has been the ruin of so many investors, that i got to repeat this one over and over and over even though i think many of you probably get it. in 2000, everybody wanted to be in the dot-come dot-coms. it was so hot it was sizzling. oh, you know how that turned out. people lost fortunes in these stocks. i made a small fortune at my hedge fund. i don't run that kind of money anymore. i just run the charitable trust. i made a small fortune in my hedge fund in 2000 shorting these stocks. and, frankly, this is a phrase that is always dangerous to use. if you get a call from someone telling you to buy something, but, indeed, shooting the dot-coms was like shooting fish
6:06 pm
in a barrel. oops. i did it multiple times. this is what knocked so many people out of the game. i had a lot of people that never got back in. they kept all of their eggs in one vulnerable dot-com basket and at the end of the day, all they were left with was egg on their faces, which you know i would put on right now, but i had a terrible outbreak of primples the last time i did it. in 1998, all people wanted to be was in the telcos. think about it. what did you end up, in worldcom, global crossing? level three? hey, you never know. intelligence, and a bunch of others that don't even exist, 360-something. they all went belly up. in 2001 it was the energy merchandisers. holy cow. i remember thinking, people saying i own every energy merchandiser! well, yeah, the hottest one was enron. >> ahh! >> enough said. if you were diversified and only
6:07 pm
had 20% of your portfolio in these hot at the time groups, you would have lost less money! than all the people who went in and got crushed. i know less money doesn't sound sexy. but do you know what, sometimes losing less money is really the most important thing in the world. another example, how about this? in 2003 do you know what the most hated group was, do you know what nobody owned? oil. if you owned an oil stock pure lir for the sake ly for diversification, you would have had huge gains over the following five years. it's not about losing money, diversification can make you money. the next rule is right out of one of the canons of my investing career, the toughest one, by the way, the one that was written as a guide to working with me. it's rule number three from "real money" the book, buy and sell slowly on what are known as
6:08 pm
wide scales. never buy or sell your entire position in the stock all at once. this is something that seems counterintuitive to a lot of people. if you like a stock, shouldn't you buy it here because it's going to go up. but if you space out your purchases and buy at different levels and buy first and wait until it goes down, you can avoid losing money by putting down all of your money at the top which is something that so many people do and is so discouraging, i must stop it tonight. more important is when it comes to selling. when you're up big in a stock, you want to schnitzel some of those gains. strange term? not if you have the glossary to this one. schnitzeling is a proprietary "mad money" term, meaning taking something off the table. sell some of your stock to lock in the gains! >> sell, sell, sell! >> lots of people didn't want to sell in 2000. what were they afraid of? they were afraid of paying the
6:09 pm
tax man. rule number two, don't be afraid to pay the tax man. if they schnitzeled some of their gain, they wont have lost so much money. tax man got cheated in the end, because nobody had any gains. you also want to do this because a lot of stocks are like an egg on a red hot griddle. i'm bringing them back again. i'm bringing them back. now, i would say it's the griddle at the holland tunnel diner, but unfortunately, that closed. if you sell at the right time you make a lot of money. but if you wait too long you can get totally charred, inedible burnt eggs which awful after you've had a night on the town and you need a sopup. okay. look, this is what happened to natural gas, okay? as in july of 2008. look, it's the fuel. it's the fuel of the future. but the stocks got overheated. and we got burned. now, if you'd been selling slowly in large scales as the natural gas stocks moved higher, you could have already taken some profits before the stocks overheated. i even used the burnt egg
6:10 pm
analogy at the time. simply because taking a profit could never hurt anyone. buying and selling in wide scales is particularly important in big dollar stocks that fluctuate pretty wildly. stocks that tend not to split. i'm talking about the apples, the research in motions, okay? because there's rarely a time when you won't get a chance to sell higher or buy loafer, just because the market fluctuates. rule number three for our loss prevention show, this one comes straight, again, from the book that was my hedge fund handbook. your first loss is your best loss. it's important to take losses. to sell stocks you own that have gone down and lost you money. when the reason you bought them is no longer true. your thesis is broken. you thought that something was going to happen, maybe you thought that oil was going to get crushed and it didn't. maybe you thought the fed was going to ease and it didn't. you got to limit your losses. just because you thought that someone was going to have a
6:11 pm
better-than-expected quarter and it didn't, don't come up with new reasons to own it. take your loss. gains take care of themselves. i owned fannie mae for actionsorders.com my cherry trabl trust and the thesis started falling apart. i didn't come up with a new reason to own it. i told it in the 60s. i didn't care that it had lost me money. it would have destroyed me. i just didn't want to buy and hold. and i was right. i mean, that stock made its way down. i mean, single digits. fannie mae was way too painful to own given my fed rant heard around the world when it was clear that foreclosures were mounting. >> buy, buy, buy! >> when it was clear that people thought the stocks -- thought that housing this stabilized. >> buy, buy, buy! >> but then my thesis changed, because housing isn't stabilized. >> sell, sell, sell! >> the thesis changes you go. i never feel bad taking losses when the story changed. cramer's defensive game plan number four, dividends. ♪ hallelujah
6:12 pm
limit losses. as long as they are relatively safe. this is something i talk about in "stay mad for life." that's my personal finance book for those who say, jim, why don't you ever write about a 401(k), why don't you write about i.r.a.? that's what "stay mad for life" is about. you measure it by yield versus what treasuries are selling for ten-year federal treasuries, okay? and you look for stocks that can grow their dividends. they can protect you from the downside. grow the dividends meaning increasing every year, because as the stocks go lower the dividend yield goes higher and that protects investors. particularly comparing with bonds. you need to know is it fairly safe? can the dividend be covered? english for, let's bust that one, english means can it be paid, do they have to borrow money. does the company have cash on hand and the cash flow to pay out the dividends it's promising? in the first half of 2008, the bank stocks had yields of 9%, 10%, 11%, they were serial
6:13 pm
flashers. >> they know nothing! >> especially wachovia and washington mutual. why? they didn't have the money to cover the dividend and it was obviously the dividends were too big. but telco companies and utili utilities like con ed had no problem. you need to protect yourself from the dividends that can't be paid. i got another tip on how to spot a bogus dividend later in the show. here's the bottom line for my first four rules for stopping losses. stay diversed. buy and sell slowly and your first loss is your best loss and dividends can limit your losses as long as they are safe. let's take calls. let's go to justin in texas. justin? >> caller: booyah, jim. >> booyah, chief. >> caller: hey, how you doing? >> not bad. fill me in. >> caller: i'm a new investor with a simple question. >> first of all, congratulate
6:14 pm
you on being a new investor. many people wait too long. how old are you? >> caller: i'm 25. >> fantastic. you got your whole life in front of you. let's make money. >> caller: please. i've been able to purchase a few stocks with a little bit of money and my question is simple. i need to be curious if i need to fill the positions now or should i start diversifying and build the positions later? >> never too late to diversify. it's the point-blank answer. the first $10,000 you save should be in an s&p 500 fund because it's the ultimate diversification. if you want to get five stocks you have to buy them one at a time. i don't want to buy ten shares, ten shares, ten shares. you pick a stock and you add a stock and you add a stock. when you're adding two and three you're still undiversified. get the game plan and figure what you like and figure out the five stocks ahead of time and then buy them. let the market take them to prices you don't think they deserve to be. tina in arkansas, tina? >> caller: hey buddy, how about i haven't talked to you in a boule and i sure have missed you
6:15 pm
booyahs. >> it's one of the encouraging b booyahs. >> caller: i follow all the rules and i own a few energy trust in one large core position stock for dividends only. now, when the market is really ugly and the stocks are down a few dollars and it is so very hard to separate facts from rumors, i need you to tell me exactly the things that you look for while doing your home work that lets you sleep at night, knowing that your energy trust dividends will stay inact, jim. >> all right. all right. the most important one is to know what you own! people don't know what you own and so, therefore, they get freaked out. secondly, understand why you bought it. you buy an oil trust because you believe that oil is going to stay higher. if you think or if the thesis changed or if oil goes lower, you got to change your thesis and you got to skedaddle. the key to all of these situations is knowing what you own so you can buy more if it
6:16 pm
goes down versus knowing what you own and having the thesis change. and if the thesis changes, it goes from -- >> buy, buy, buy! >> to -- >> sell, sell, sell! >> and i think, tina, for the kind words. my defensive rule, save yourself from losses. i got a lot more rules coming up. so, stick with cramer for more defense. don't miss a second of cramer. now you can find each full episode of "mad money" on itunes and download it for free. take all of cramer's picks, pans, plus the "lightning round" with you on the go. get "mad money" on itunes today. for more info go to madmoney.cnbc.com. miss out on some "mad money"? get your "mad money" text alert today. text "mm" to 26221 to get cramer right on your phone. for more info, visit
6:17 pm
madmoney.cnbc.com. or give us a call at 1-800-743-cnbc. bbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbb
6:18 pm
6:19 pm
6:20 pm
defense, defense, defense, defense, defense! >> no matter what kind of day we had in the market, you must keep one thing in mind. you must always be on defense. that's right, up day, down day, i do not care. i'm here tonight to help you play defense. that means avoiding losses. it means generally trying not to lose money so you can focus on making it. for 25 years i've run money, whether it be for my charitable trust or for wealthy people, i always focused on defense. tonight i'm trying to help you do the most important thing an investor can do. i'm trying to limit the amount of money you lose. you control your losses, and, believe me, your gains will take care of themselves. when you go to the bank, you can't say, oh, yeah, you know, i really did well, but there was one stock that i lost money on. no! so, let's get back to our "mad money" defensive game plan. 25 points of light, as i like to
6:21 pm
call it. here's rule number five. please don't look down on cash. it's always good to have a little cash on hand. hey, this is real money. this is a rule book, "real money." and it's something that separates the pros from the amateurs and stay alive. it's a rule i keep talking ab t about, pros, people who do this for a living, they always have cash on hand. amateurs every time i talk to them, they're fully invested. the only way they can buy more stock is to borrow money. they have no cash! too many people look at the rate of return on cash and say, darn it, they scoff. but we think you have to have -- look at cash as a tool. one way that lets you buy stocks that get sold down by the market when they don't deserve to be. no cash, you can't take advantage. so, you may be only making 2% on your cash. while at&t might be yielding 3%. okay? but let's say the market gets bad. and at&t starts dropping, all
6:22 pm
right? i use at&t, because it's a high quality company. so, it drops and then because the dividend's constant, it begins to yield 5%, not 3%. you can buy it down there, because you've got the cash. and then you've more than doubled your return, particularly after the tax-favored treatment that dividends get. so, stop looking at the cost of being in cash. and start thinking about the price you'd pay for not having cash when you need it. you can't do this >> buy, buy, buy! >> without any cash. "mad money" defensive rule number six, don't own too many wildly swinging stocks. this is so important because people get involved with stocks and then they just say, i can't take it. i can't take the swings. we talk about being diversified all the time on the show. but if you're diversified among a bunch of high fliers, the copper companies, the steels, the fertilizers, some of the techs and the railroads and the stocks are over $100, again, i'm not caring -- by the way, i'm not caring about what the
6:23 pm
companies do, i'm just saying if all the stocks were over $100, all groups that can be very volatile, you aren't really diversified when it comes to the radical swings your portfolio will have. i'm not saying it's verboten, but can you handle the swings? most people can't. be honest with yourself, if every one of your stocks went down ten on the day, would you decide to sell everything and go home? i can't have that happen. here's rule number seven. know what you own. we talked about that earlier. this idea is in all my books "real money," "mad money," "stay mad for life," "because there's nothing worse than not knowing what you own. people that don't really know the stocks they own, will go like this >> sell, sell, sell! >> when the stock goes down and not like this -- >> buy, buy, buy! >> they don't know if they have damaged stocks or damaged companies. stocks are damaged by the stock market. companies are damaged by the management. you're just not in a position to make decisions, let alone good
6:24 pm
ones. if you're not familiar with the companies behind the stocks, you don't know whether they're buys or sells, but if you do know what the company really does and whether it doesn't borrow too much money, whether its balance sheet is good, its product line is a good one, you should be fine. i say this often about the big franchise names like where your kids could go, disney and mcdonald's. you still go there, they're in good shape. now, take a second and think. do you know what a sandisk does? how about an invidia? a sorand? how about a zolpec? western ditch? do you know what soljen does? a lot of people didn't know what it did when it lost 30 points at the end of 2007. then they ended up selling it at the low. not something they had have done if they knew what the company does. i asked the couple if they know anything about revelmid? that's the drug it makes. huh-uh.
6:25 pm
can't play it that way. rule number eight in my game plan, try not to lose money. it's generally not defensive to own $2 and $3. the little under $5 speculative names are some of the least defensive out there. sirius was at $3 before it went to $2 and $1 and if you bought 1,000 shares, you lost a lot of money. if this the reason for number four, low-dollar, amount speculation can wipe you out. take it from me. i bought charter communications and i sent out the e-mails over and over, my charitable trust, hey, listen how much could you lose at four bucks? what was i thinking? i lost a lot. how about the biggest loss i've ever taken in my charitable trust. the stock dipped below $2 i was lucky to be able to sell it on a little rally. but it occupied all my time and it lost me money. don't think just because the stocks have prices in the single ding it is, they can't hurt you. trust me.
6:26 pm
chances are they didn't get to the single digits because they were blowing the numbers away. by the way, in london, they like single digit stocks. we're not in london! and if anything, these are stocks that can do the most, not the least, damage to your portfol portfolio. the rule does not apply to the uk. rule number nine for protecting your portfolio from losses, accounting irregularities equal sell and stay away. i've never seen a company with accounting irregularities that recovered until we saw a big management change and the next quarter's earnings and those are a rarity. until then, i consider these stocks radioactive. i used a sign on my quotes that say your accounting irregularities equalled sell. i needed to remind myself over and over again. and the stock went down and i thought i should buy more or sell more. when a company reports an earnings shortfall, you need to stay away from its stock for at least two quarters. i have almost never seen a turnaround until after two quarters. that's the max -- minimum length
6:27 pm
of time the company can right itself. it takes six months for heavens sakes. it could take nine quarters, ten quarters. i ask you, can you wait it out? stay away from companies with recent shortfalls unless you have a real edge and believe me, you probably don't. bottom line, limit your losses. always keep cash on hand. don't own too many wildly swinging, volatile stocks, you'll get spooked. know what you own. recognize the danger in $2 and $3. it takes at least a quartzer to recover from accounting irregularities if not more and at least two quarters, sometimes many more, to recover from an earnings shortfall. drew in arizona? drew? >> caller: jumping jimmie. >> oh, man. thank you for that appellation. and what be shaking with you, sir? >> caller: hey, jim, i got smoked back in the year 2000 when the tech stocks and when they tanked. >> you're not alone! many, many of our viewers left the table. thank heavens bime bringing them back on this show!
6:28 pm
>> caller: and then i got buried on 9/11, 2001, because i didn't hold any cash in my portfolio. i was fully invested. >> right. >> caller: so my question is during a bear market, what percentage of my portfolio should be in cash? >> well, i mean, remember i often talked about how we really don't want to view the market as bear or bull, because it's a market of stocks. not a stock market. some areas, as i end my show every night, there's always a bull market somewhere. but if you feel that the pain and pressure's too great, i would up my cash position which, you know, i don't mind having it be 10% in tough times as i do for my charitable tufrust, i wod up it if i couldn't take the pain. i care about the psychology. all the gray beards, all the people i see on tv who are distinguished people, i was going to say extinguished people, are people who feel like you have ice in your veins because they do, too. i know the truth. i want to beat the psychology of
6:29 pm
fear and panic. derek in washington, derek? >> caller: booyah, jim cramer from the pacific northwest. >> one of my favorite areas. i like the northeast. what's up? >> caller: are you coming to the university of washington anytime soon? >> you know, it's so up to some woman that i work with. i don't want to go into it. but she does look darn nice. maybe we'll take a quick look at her. cameraman, cameraman, she's got a nice outfit she got to next to nothing. let's bring it back to reality. what's up? >> caller: i want to know what's better for me, somebody who got burned a couple years ago in the market, is it better to buy a handful of well-established stocks like a google or a procter & gamble, or is it better to buy a lot of the speculative stocks? >> no, first of all, i'm the only guy out there who will ever say that i'm willing to let you buy a speculative stock. as a matter of fact, 1 out of 5 stocks be speculative, why?
6:30 pm
i need you to be excited and in the game. sometimes a speculative stock keeps you in, but the other four, i want the equivalent of what's blue chip. i don't like to say blue chips, because they change. look at the way the drug stocks went from great to bad. utilities from our parents great to bad. i like one speculative stock to keep in. my 25 rules to play defenses so you can control losses and you can take care of yourself. we've got a bunch more rules ahead. stay with cramer. you don't have to wait for midnight for the madness to stock. catch cramer every night of the week. take your dose of cramer at 6:00 and 11:00 eastern on cnbc.
6:31 pm
- oh, come on. - enough! you get half and you get half. ( chirp ) team three, boathouse? ( chirp ) oh yeah-- his and hers. - ( crowd gasping ) - ( chirp ) van gogh? ( chirp ) even steven. - ( chirp ) mansion. - ( chirp ) good to go. ( grunts ) timber! ( chirp ) boss? what do we do with the shih-tzu? - ( crowd gasps ) - ( chirp ) joint custody. - phew! - announcer: get work done now. communicate in less than a second with nextel direct connect. only on the now network. , hard of hearing and an people with speech dischities accessac.sprintrelay.com.
6:32 pm
6:33 pm
the hardest part of managing your own money is dealing with the really malevolent market that crushes stocks. >> ahh! >> house of pain. >> and makes you feel like there's really no way you'll ever make money again. and, believe me, every time -- and i've been at it since 1979. every selloff at a certain point i doubt myself. if i doubt myself, i know you doubt yourself. i say, can i ever make money
6:34 pm
again? but if you know what you're doing, then you should be able to turn anything, ranging from a short-term selloff to a monthlong bear market into an opportunity. tonight i'm making sure you know how to handle bad markets. enter the "mad money" big "d" game plan. now, you probably thought that on this show there was nothing more important -- >> defense, defense! >> just a sec. make it penn state. there's probably nothing more important than making money. i'll repeat it. there's nothing more than making money is wrong. i learned this from my old boss at goldman sachs. a great man. over and over again he said, i need you to know how not to lose money when things get rough. you can't asterisk your portfolio and say, wow, i was doing great but it weren't for that one stinker. no, you can't asterisk things. now we're up to rule 11. this is for anyone that uses a broker, okay? when your broker stops informing
6:35 pm
you about a stock that you own that he suggested. when you start hearing nothing from them about it, it pays to sell the stock, especially if it hasn't been performing well. i saw this all the time when i was running the hedge fund. often your broker will be too embarrassed that you own a stinker that the situation changed. especially if it's a stock that your broker had been really positive on. when i stopped hearing about things about the stock and it was going down, i booted it. here's a good one to remember. silence isn't golden in the stock markets. silence equals sell. number 12 for those of you with an interest in avoiding losses. after a big run, get defensive. this one is so hard. you start feeling really great at the card table and you think you can't lose, huh-uh. i use two instruments to figure out if we've had a too big a run and it's gotten where the air is thin. one is called the standard & poor's proprietary oscillator that tells the swing in the market. this is available from their website for a fee.
6:36 pm
that's why i don't give the number at night. i don't own it, s&p does and i pay for it. i also get the charts that show the oscillator hand delivered to me every saturday. i've charted the oscillator since 1987 and every type it reads plus five, it updates daily and i'd give you the phone number but that would also violate the rules. it's paid to sell. the oscillator measures the swing. it measures how overbought and oversold when it's negative that the market is. when it gets to plus five, what does that mean? it's a signal that too many people are too positive and they're paying up, they're reaching to buy stocks never reach. you want to sell before the flurry of buying ends and stocks start heading lower. as people take profits and sellers come in to take advantage of higher prices. does it always happen at plus five? no, sometimes it can go up to plus ten. but it always has made sense to me because i don't like to give away profits. now, if you sell when the oscillator hits five, you might miss the top. there's every chance.
6:37 pm
there's every chance that this could be the golden one. but, believe me, my experience it's gone down. and here's an even more important, it's going to go down hard when it's overbought. you won't be able to get out when it's happening. selling when the oscillator hits plus five has stopped me from taking some really serious losses. i said i used two indicators. the second is the investors intelligence bull/bear ratio. it comes out on wednesday. it's proprietary to the outfit, investors intelligence. you have to look it up. i hate it. but do you know what, these people work really hard to put together these things and i can't steal them. it's not right. when there are too many bulls, when more than 50% of the investors professionals polled are bullish, even in the high 40s, it's time to play defense and take a lot off the table because if everyone a bullish, who else is there to buy stocks? too many bulls spoil the pot! they already in. you're not going to find new guys to come in and take you out. rule number 13 in the "mad money" game plan to avoiding losses is if you own a stock with a dividend yield that's
6:38 pm
twice that of the yield that you would get for owning u.s. treasuries of the ten-year variety, sell it. i'm going to repeat that. a dividend that you're getting that sells for twice the treasury, what the treasury's yield is, sell it. dividends that reach that level have almost always led me to believe that there's something wrong with the stock and that it will soon slash its dividend. we like high different dends on "mad money," but a dividend that's too high, that's a warning signal. there are a couple of general exceptions to this rule. tanker stocks. the big frontline kind of things, they pay dividends depending on the current rate of business and also they have to adjust them each quarter, so it may look high and then be low. master limited partnerships, trusts that do the same thing for oil and gas, it's okay. they can violate the rule. if you just use this rule of thumb, sell any stock with a dividend yield that's twice the yiel of u.s. treasuries or greater, you would have flagged many of the bank stocks before they crushed you. you would have flagged the autos before their enormous declines.
6:39 pm
good rule, right? 14th tip for trying to avoid stocks that will lose you money. if a company has a new ceo in his or her first year on the job, i don't want you to buy the stock. i don't trust these stories. a new guy comes in, he's usually unseasoned. needs time to develop. kind of like investing in a quarterback the first year after the draft. it's so rare that they are ready. think ellimanning, he's fabulous? he wasn't ready. a few years later he was winning the super bowl. all the greats spend the first year on the bench and watching and they take risks and get hurt. i think you should do the same thing with ceos. yes, again, there will be someone who comes in and shocks you from the get-go. there will always be exceptions to the rules, i'm worried about losses. rule number 15 in our defensive playbook, if you're trading, meaning you're buying a stock because of a specific catalyst, something that's going to happen in the future, you have to sell it no matter what when the catalyst occurs! no excuses here. in "royal money, staying investing in a sane world" this
6:40 pm
is my handbook for people who joined me at the hedge fund. this for the people that i dictated over, okay? i call this rule never turn a trade into an investment. if you don't sell after the catalyst, the event, you're owning a stock for no particular reason. and now i'm going to guarantee you something, there are better uses for your money than that. the media says i do the game plan every day. it's not true. on fridays i make suggestions ahead of next week's events. whether the event occurs, right or wrong, unchanged, up or down, you got go! don't create excuses for why you should hang out because the reason you bought the stock has come and gone. here's the bottom line, to keep your investments as safe as possible, remember to sell when your broker stops talking about a stock. sell after a big move as dictated and indicated by the oscillator. go to the website to subscribe or the investors intelligence bull/bear ratio. sell anything that wreeleds more than twice what u.s. treasuries
6:41 pm
yield unless it's a tanker stock or master limited partnership. stay away from companies with ceos in their rookie year, and never, ever turn a trade into an investment. stay with cramer! i'm racing cross country in this small sidecar, but i've still got room for the internet. with my new netbook from at&t. with its built-in 3g network, it's fast and small, so it goes places other laptops can't. i'm bill kurtis, and wherever i go, i've got plenty of room for the internet. and the nation's fastest 3g network. gun it, mick. (announcer) sign up today and get a netbook for $199.99 after mail-in rebate. with built-in access to the nation's fastest 3g network. only from at&t.
6:42 pm
6:43 pm
6:44 pm
tonight i'm talking about one subject and one subject only, and in a tough market it is really important. it's how to limit your losses, okay? hey, but, listen, you know what, it applies to good markets, too, especially, though, the bad ones. we're digging into the "mad money" defensive game plan. hey, listen, tivo this one, okay? tivo this one. i mean, because it's everything i know about what made me compound to 24% after all fees when i was a pro. and it's everything i use to run charitable money. these are my 25 rules. so, let's get into it. now we're at rule number 16. i don't want you to ever to sell call options or put options -- boy, every broker is going to hate me for saying this. never sell call options or put
6:45 pm
options. i don't talk about options on the show. but i know many of you were talked into trading options. here's my rule to not get burned. never sell calls for common stocks. your common stock is called away. because selling a call option is really like agreeing to sell at a set price no matter how high the stock goes. you're giving someone else your upside. you sell a call for roman haas and they get a bid for dow chemical, hey, you don't get any of that gain. never do it! how about selling put options? people are talking about how much money they can bring in by doing that. you're limiting your upside because you can only make as much money as the put is worth. but giving yourself unlimited exposure to the downside. this is the most dangerous single strategy. i saw people in '87 close the doors in the '87 crash close the doors because they did this strategy. often puts do seem overpriced. they look fat and juicy, so selling them can look like a good idea and the brokers will pitch it over and over again to
6:46 pm
you. great commissions on options. trust me when i tell you that i think sose are the most dangerous strategy ever and brokers will say the worst that happens is you create the stock at a much lower price. one you might like. nonsense! you have no idea how low the stock can go. this strategy of put selling has really wiped out a lot of my friends and i just feel like it's really important to emphasize it because my friends would still me in the business if they hadn't done it. rule number 17 in the "mad money" game plan, a game plan about capital preservation. i had to lecture someone close to me recently about this one. this is really painful. never use margin. so many people get talked into borrowing money from their brokers because it's so lucrative from the brokers. it's a dangerous idea. do not buy stocks on margin. these are not homes. you can't live in them when the price goes down. it's not a mortgage. the stocks go down, you got to put up more money. when i was a broker, i had a very witch woman as a client who did this strategy endlessly at
6:47 pm
margin and she did great for so long the market was fabulous. then she lost it all in a couple days. and she had to send me the key to her house to pay it back. i'm not tony soprano, but she had to do it. once you get in the hole, let me tell you something, you never get back. i believe margin is worse than even credit card debt and that's saying something. i believe it's pure evil. a quick ticket to the poorhouse. don't use it. even as a professional, i very rarely used margins. too dangerous for me? definitely too dangerous for you. tip number 18 to help you avoid losing money, never buy a stock at its all-time high. i never do this. not ever. every time i have tried, i kicked myself, because it ended up lower and i didn't have enough capital to buy more. anytime i have even bought near the high, i've immediately lamented it with the first correction. this happens pretty darn near every time, so i don't do it anymore. be prepared to miss the stock. just say, i didn't get that one. rather than paying upward or
6:48 pm
reaching as we call it. once a stock starts coming down from its all-time high, i like to wait, these are my guide rules, until it falls between 5% and 8% before i pull the trigger. if you don't get that pullback, hey, too bad. you missed it. i just don't think it's worth it. number 19 to "mad money" defense handbook, whenever you can, i want you to play with the house's money. ♪ hallelujah nothing's more gratifying or defensive -- >> that was easy. >> -- than to take a lot of your position off the table when you have a big win. so, you're using pure profit. nothing else to continue investing in the stock. this is what we did with apple and a bunch of things before the first iphone, before the second iphone. i suggested you buy a ton of it in the second one at $120, $130, when it got to $180, identify said to sell. sell all but a quarter of your position, which meant you were playing with the house's money. ♪ hallelujah after that it just didn't matter. you couldn't lose because you already booked most of your gains.
6:49 pm
playing with the house's money is one of your primary objectives and if there's such a thing as a true home run in the investing business, it's that, bulls make money, bears make money, hogs get slaughtered. tip number 20, keep your head clear. this will be very difficult for a lot of you. in times when it's hard -- and i have really, really screwed up -- i'm willing to consider throwing in the cards. or at least the low card. the ones that i think i have doubts about. and starting over. okay, poker hand. i got an ace and a king and three bad ones. i throw back the three bad ones even if i liked them when i bought them. you can always buy them right back if you think they're that good. but i bet you won't. sometimes you can't think with all these losses in your portfolio. it pays to get a fresh start. it's a clear your head psychology and it's very defensive. bottom line, mife advice for avoiding potential losses, never sell call or put options. never use margins. never buy a stock at its all-time high when you can --
6:50 pm
and when you can play with the house's money, ooh, i like that, and when you have a lot of losers, come on, clear your head. own up to it. that may mean selling stocks you have doubts about to see if you would buy them back. if you don't buy them back, i think you're a winner. stay with cramer.et been acting lately you may wonder if you've been doing the right thing. is the advice you've been getting helping or hurting? are the fees you're paying really worth it? td ameritrade's fees are fair and straight-forward. their research is independent and unbiased. their investment consultants are knowledgeable and there when you need them. so why not talk to one? announcer: call today to schedule a free investment check-up, or visit a td ameritrade branch.
6:51 pm
6:52 pm
6:53 pm
tonight we're all about big 6,000, my 25-point plan for helping you contend with a rough market and avoid losing money. it's not as radical as the ten-point plan the black panthers used to offer. pajama party, who cares? it does have better financial advice at least in my opinion. we're up to point number 21. don't use your retirement account all at once. space out your contributions over 12 months so that every month you're putting in 1/12th of your annual total. almost no one does this. i do it ritualistcally. i need to you take advantage of the declines that are going to occur because they're always going to be a part of investing instead of panicking. this is our defensive retirement strategy. cash in a systemic fashion.
6:54 pm
take advantage of the decline. rule number 22. if you're invested in mutual funds make sure you don't have all your money in the same kind of mutual funds, small cap growth is typically a trap. buy one diversified mutual fund f. you're going to have money in multiple funds like so many want, don't have it in all small cap growth. i viewed a woman's portfolio. i usually don't do this kind of thing but it was the mother of a friend and i was concerned because she had three mutual funds, one aggressive growth, small cap and one a technology fund. when i looked through the labels, closer look, they were practically the same fund. beware of the names and objectives when you look at mutual funds. the funds can be the same even at the titles are quite different. point number 23 for playing defense, stop waiting for a stock to come back in a tough market. come back to where you bought it. you don't have the option of waiting around when the market is being difficult. you have to be defensive. if you own a stock that's down and you don't like it, come on.
6:55 pm
don't wait until it comes back to even before you sell it. stocks are not kids in the mall who know their parents will always come back to them. they're stocks and the bad ones are more likely to go even lower. stop hoping. hope is not part of the equation. that's why taking losses is defensive. number 24, pick stocks with good buybacks. you'll own stocks with a ton of cash flows. believe and buy their own stocks especially when there's a decline to be taken advantage of. a buyback can stabilize the stock long enough for other buyers to come in and stop the decline. consider it a safety cushion. that's what you want to see. we make jokes on the show. we call it the sir mixalot. i like big buybacks and i cannot lie. that's just to keep it in front of you. finally my last play in my defensive game plan, don't stop looking at your statement. the worst thing people did in 2000 is put the monthly statements in their drawers. the losses were so big and
6:56 pm
painful, they couldn't stand to watch. you have to stay current no matter how much it hurts. the moment you stop looking is the moment things go really bad. you could have saved fortunes if you looked in 2000 and figured out which companies were falling apart from the losses. if you don't look, you can't. there were stocks that went down and you could have avoided a ton of pain by paying attention and getting out before the losses hit. here's the bottom line. you can't play defense with your eyes closed. so keep them open at all times.
6:57 pm
6:58 pm
6:59 pm
there's always a bull market somewhere. i'm trying to find it. i'm jim cramer and i'll see you tomorrow. up next on kudlow, obama blames tv, insurance companies and rich people for health care problems. the new bull market pulls back. that's healthy. and a madoff mistress, 20 years of pillow talk. he ran off with his secretary! she's 23 years old! - oh, come on. - enough! you get half and you get half. ( chirp ) team three, boathouse? ( chirp ) oh yeah-- his and hers. - ( crowd gasping ) - ( chirp ) van gogh? ( chirp ) even steven. - ( chirp ) mansion. - ( chirp ) good to go. ( grunts ) timber! ( chirp ) boss? what do we do with the shih-tzu? - ( crowd gasps ) - ( chirp ) joint custody. - phew! - announcer: get work done now. communicate in less

208 Views

info Stream Only

Uploaded by TV Archive on