welcome to "on the money." i'm becky quick. the man who calls dow 18,000 calls dow 20,000, coming with a big warning. will you be spending your next vacation standing on the beaches. and inside on ice. inside the big business of "frozen "iend the people who make it happen. days are ticking down, if you haven't bought that last or even first holiday present we have ideas you don't want to

miss. this is "on the money." here's a look what's making news. hold on to your horses, or maybe your rain dear, santa claus rally is here with dow climbing more than 4%. thursday's spike was the first time since 2011 we've seen one that size. s&p 500 about 4.5% as well and stocks continue to rise on friday. federal reserve open market committee meeting was held this week, relieved the market as some thought a rate hike was imminent. oil still at i five and half year low. mcdonald's cutting eight food items and five extra value meals in an experiment in some stores.

they have been criticized for its bloeted number of choices and slow serving time. market up 4%. dow up 700 points in that time. does this mean investors will have santa claus rally wrapped in a bow? we're almost at the end of the year, what do you think. >> you know, calling the market in the short-run is a lot of luck. but i had a feeling last year that we were going to still have a good market this year and you know i said 18,000 and wow it came certainly very, very close. and i do think, you're asking about the santa claus rally, i think the last ten days of the market are usually good. that doesn't mean always. but really the week between

christmas and new year's eve is sometimes the very best week we have. >> unfortunately sometimes sets us up for a big give back in january, do you think that will happen this time. >> that's interesting as january goes so does the year and i began to worry because we did have a down january but a lot of those old sayings, they work 50% of the time 55% of the time. the rally between christmas and new year's eve is more reliable, certainly doesn't mean it's a sure thing. >> what surprised me the most is watching the markets reaction to the fed. as far as i could tell janelle jellen didn't say anything all that different. >> you know what everyone was prying for when they were going to remove considerable time. that was going to be a sell off. so everyone said don't get in until it is cleared.

and of course they tip toed away from it. they said we can be patient. that is not any different than consider bable time and the mart said this ain't such a big thing and we were off to the races. >> that's why i don't trust some of these moves but we know oil has been moving the market in every direction, it leads every other market from toin stocks t back on the records along the way. how long do you think it happens and is cheap oil good for stocks. >> it was impressive thursday, first time we broke the link, the very close link between oil and stocks. listen, we've all been saying as long as the u.s. is a net importer of oil which we still are despite the increase we have

had, a lower oil price is net good for the united states. it is easier to calculate the negatives on the oil producers and others than it is the positives because a lot of the positives is lower oil prices putting purchasing power in consumer's pockets. a lot of people say it could bring good christmas sales. most investors say it should but i'm not bringing my money there until i see it. >> i would agree. but i will admit i've had some questions kbauz oil prices have fallen so far and fast and you worry what it means for russia and other economies. >> i hear this. a lot of people say now that the economy is going to be so tough and russia, he's going to have to distract the russians with

more military moves. it does through a little bit of uncertainty into that. last week we had that three-hour news conference he was blaming a lot on the es and eu to begin with, i think he's looking around like wow what am i going to do. >> let's talk about next year. on u.s. stocks. you are looking for dow 20,000 potentially? >> i say potentially, you know, when i give a prediction, i say that's what my calculations say fair market value is. i think fair market value is around 20,000. a lot of people say isn't that a little bit rich in terms of the earnings and the answer is yes but my analysis says in a low

interest rate world, now we are going to get interest rates hike but nothing to be frightened off. we may finally see the ten-year treasure back at three which is what is it ended at in 2013 that's nothing to be scared of, still very, very low. all economists say you can't price stocks unless you know what interest rates are going to be. the lower the rates the higher the valuation. >> in other words the central banks will still be calling the shots in 2015. thank you. >> thanks for having me. up next we are "on the money" u.s. and cuba separated by 90 miles and more than 50 years of cold war tension but with the new president policy change could a vacation to cuba

be in your future. and we look at disney on ice. now look at how the stock market ended the week.

in a major policy shift after more than 50 years of cold war tensions president obama and cuba restoring diplomatic ties. let's bring in richard haass thank you so much for joining us. >> thanks for having me. >> how big of a surprise was this to you? it sho shocked me. >> the announcement was a big surprise. it had been quietly in the works for a year or even two years but

the fact did happen that did come as a surprise. >> there's been celebration in the streets there thinking this will change things for them and their prospects in the near future do you think is the right thought process. >> yes things will change, more americans will visit, but shorter fundamental restoform o the part of cube raw itself. this is a first step but in and of itself it is not transformational. >> the embargo needs action to be changedhow likely is that. >> not going to happen any time soon. most you could expect is a testing period, put in place new regulations seerks what the c e

cubans do, and congressional hearings, even then you don't get a full lifting of the embargo, just a partial lifting and that would be linked to political reforms. this is going to be very step-by-st step-by-step. >> do you think it will open the door to american tourists. >> it is going to be slow. there's ten categories under which americans can visit, journalist, medical reasons, but to play golf, that's not going to happen at that point. that would only come with the lifting of the embargo. >> was this the right move at

this point? >> the argument is 50 years of isolation and economic pressure sure haven't worked so let's at least try this approach. not as though the united states is giving away the store. it will be the cubans who pay the price at the end of the day, eleven million cubans have far more at stake than 310 million americans. >> let's talk about president putin did the capital markets do this week what other nations have been able to do many terms of making russia sit up and pay notice? >> it was an extraordinary week as weeks go. at times the free fall of the ruble was remarkable. russia is on an unsustainable trajectory. it's conset traited economy on the energy and gas sector so

russia really does need to think about what its options are. the only thing it can do in the short-run other than tactical intervention in the marketplace, is to try to improve its behavior so new sanctions are not introduced or better yet see if old sanctions are rolled back. >> thank you so much for joining us today. >> thank you. up next "on the money" disney's "frozen" has moved to the ice. we will find out how it has become an even bigger hit.

he . if you don't know who this is, you've been living under a rock, his name is olaf and he loves warm hugs, he's part of the movie frozen, highest grossing animated film of all time. frozen on ice is now a touring on ice show. the executive vice president of feld entertainment joins us now. thanks for being here. >> thank you for having me. >> i know you have been doing disney on ice and all of the other things from the kirklacird

beyond what is frozen like for. >> it has been a phenomenon, the film came out a year ago and we opened and debuted our touring season in september and went on sale in may we sold the highest grossing ticket sales in the first week sold 700,000 tickets. >> i know it is more than just that. it's all of the marketing that comes along you brought couple of the days, anna and elsa. >> they are sold only at disney on ice, these are the fastest selling plush ever. we have sold 120 mugs since september. >> that's phenomenal and speaks

to the popularity of "frozen" how do you get people to come out and come to your live performances. what do you do to keep it fresh and new. >> everything is really about entertaining families, so everything we produce whether monster jam, disney on ice, or marvel universe live, it is entertainment for the whole family. whether you're a small child, disney live is your child's first theater experience all the way to between a betwetween, we an outlet for you. >> do you see the economy track in your sales, what do you think the american economy looks like based on your ticket sales. >> our fourth quarter has been very, very strong. in the middle of the year we saw a little bit of a slump.

but first quarter always is really strong, you know, just in the first week we'll have over 30 live events debuting and play to a million people with all of the feld entertainment brands in the first week. that's really significant. we're looking forward to that. gas prices are a huge factor. when they are lower we tend to do better. people are able to travel more. >> feld entertainment started when your grandfather bought the rights to wringling brothers barnum and bailey. >> that's right and then in the 1980s they acquired ice follies holiday on ice, this is my dad and grandfather and disney on ice was the brain child of my father who went to disney and said i have a great idea to put all your characters on ice. they were taken back but

eventually agreed and we are now one of the longest licensees offer the disney company, it's been almost 40 years. >> you used to have some of the elephants at your birthday parties. >> that's true. >> what are some of the best and worst parts of your job. >> the greatest part i get to a think about kids all the time and be with kids and i sit in the audience and see the instant gratification and happiness we bring families. i think is always challenging to be an owner. i think my family feels a great responsibility to keep these brands moving forward. we're always looking for the next trend in live family entertainment. we know that we have to be the forerunners in whatever that is. >> nicole thank you very much for joining us. up next on the money a look at the week ahead. and making a list and checking

it twice.

on monday we'll be getting existing home sales for the month of november. on tuesday durable goods are released and new home sales figure out tuesday. wednesday the market closes early. yay.

and on thursday santa clause comes to town. merry christmas to all and to all a good night. just a few days to go. have you finished all your shopping? or have you started. we have last minute best bets so you can make it on time to slip those presents under the tree. it's your money. your future. what about it is, is it too late to rush ship everything, would you be missed the boat. >> then i'd be depressed because i'm in that boat. there's plenty of place that's can get it to you but you may pay a little extra. >> like a lot extra. >> so you want to try to find free shipping in two days, like amazon prime, it's a great way to get gifts under the tree, you

may get a free trial to take advantage of two day shipping. >> $99 is the best money i spend all year. >> but there's a cheaper way to do it. if you're american express holder, shop holder is offering a similar service. you will have to pay if you're not an american express card holder. . if you don't you will have to pay $8.95 or $79 annual fee. >> it works with all online retailers. >> it has a number of retailers. it has comparison shopping so you can compare the two and see which works best. >> what if i'm so late i don't have two days to get it here. >> you have to get creative

because a lot of the iitems you may be gone. think if they love coffee or if they are a food lover maybe some cooking utah ens iensils. music lovers an itunes gift card. gift cards are good for last minute shopping. >> listen up everybody. what if all else fails. >> there's a couple things to think about maybe think of giving a charitable gift in someone's name, you can also go to a website like just give.org. and think about the gift of time, think about what that person really would like to do. and maybe do with you.

because we're all so busy. if with he could give the gift of just spending time with someone who maybe wants to loose weight, let's be exercise buddies together. if we play the piano we're going to give private lessons to someone but not charge them, different things you can do that can be so special and meaningful for the holidays. >> thank you very much. that's the show for towed thank you so much for joining me. our guest next week, two of the smartest guys around tom friedenman and walter isaacson keep it here on the money. have a great week. see you next week. female announcer: sleep train's interest free for 3 event!

ends sunday. it's your last chance to get three years interest-free financing on beautyrest black, stearns & foster, serta icomfort, even tempur-pedic. plus, get free delivery, and sleep train's 100-day low price guarantee. but hurry! sleep train's interest free for 3 event ends sunday.

...guaranteed! ♪ sleep train ♪ your ticket to a better night's sleep ♪ [ticking] >> it is the mark of the yakuza: ornate, full-body tattoos that cover the members of the japanese mob. so how did one of their most notorious godfathers get into america and jump to the front of a line for a lifesaving liver transplant? this reporter found out and says it may cost him his life. >> as he was leaving and getting in his car, he said, "that"-- you know, "that--that goddamn american jew reporter. i want to kill him." [ticking] >> greg mortenson's book three cups of tea is a publishing phenomenon that has made him a celebrity, a cult-like figure on the lecture circuit, and inspired peo