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tv   Power Lunch  CNBC  July 13, 2015 1:00pm-3:01pm EDT

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? facebook, new all-time high. >> i mentioned it. >> i'm in a zone at the beginning of the show. >> quick! >> all right. i'm done. next. >> kansas city southern. i bought it today. unusual activity. >> banks. jpmorgan. that's the one. "halftime" is over. "power lunch" and the second half of the trading day start right now. welcome to a new week be with everybody. along with mandy drury, i'm tyler mathisen. this is "power lunch." bulls are running, it is rally on! >> the dow is currently up by nearly 1%. the nasdaq is good for 1.2%. the s&p 500 up by .8%. as are the small caps. the russell 2,000 moving in that direction as well. >> also today, deal or no deal. three crucial talks at really critical points. greece and its creditors. puerto rico and the bondholders. iran and the nuclear talks. but straight to the rally on
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the street. hopes on greece fueling another big up day, not to mention another up day in china overnight. bob pisani is at the nyse. >> right now they're holding, 2-1 advancing to declining stocks. the s&p 500, really all the gains were frankly overnight around 3:00 when we got word that a deal was in the making. at that time s&p futures moved 15 points. we have held most of the gains from the open. tech consumer discretionary materials and industry good day for techs. facebook set a new high. buvlg bunch of tech stocks hitting 52- week highs. the greek etf everybody watches was positive and moved into negative territory. largely the belief that it is going to be a tough sell for tsipras and this deal is a long long way from being done. more on that in a moment.
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metals and mining have been strong. this is a separate story because china rallying in the last several doors has put a floor under these stocks. the steel stocks all the mining stocks are up again today. what's not participating is some of the interest rate sensitive groups. we had a little bit of move up in the 10-year yield. not far from their highs for the year. reits and utilities have been lagging. other than that entertainment stocks. new highs and and nice assortment of groups here. netflix and comcast, our parent company, time warner and disney all sitting at 52-week highs. >> robert thank you very much. over to greece now. we seem to have an agreement but not a deal done just yet. our senior economics reporter steve leisman is live in berlin the german parliament votes later this week though. first we go to chief international correspondent michelle caruso-cabrera in athens. i guess one question to get on the table is tsipras.
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how long is he going to be in this job? >> reporter: he has amassed an incredible amount of power despite what from the outside looks like a complete reversealreversal. it is widely expected that these bills that he needs to pass in order to get the money are going to pass actually quite easily. he's going to have to change some members of the cabinet because he'll lose what's called the parliamentary majority. typical of the way parliaments work here in europe. but other than that he's still immensely popular and from the people we have a he spoken with he's actually not being criticized. they actually blame germany and other people for the fact that they've had to sign a deal. he is back here in greece. local media reports he actually got some sleep. next thing is he's got to sell the deal to the public he's got to do a vote. he's got to pass some of the measures within the next two days. he's promised the european creditors that he will get a vote in parliament by wednesday. like i told you, political
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analysts say actually it is going to be easily done because the opposition parties very much want a deal because they very much want to stay in the euro. he's got to do this first before he gets even close to getting one red cent because there's been such a destruction of trust between the greeks and the creditors. listen to what the dutch finance minister said just a few minutes ago during a news conference in brussels. >> over the course of the last months, and in particular surrounding the referendum, a lot of that trust was lost and it has to be rebuilt. it still has to be rebuilt. i think for me personally it has always been the aim to maintain, keep greece inside the eurozone. but it had to be done in a credible way. >> he said that there wasn't --
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[ inl aud ][ inaudiblement? ] >> i think we got the nut of what we needed to hear. steve leisman, seems that germany got what it wanted. what about german chancellor angela merkel? did she maybe overplay her hand here? >> reporter: certainly one of the questions. i'm always loud mandy. as you know. not necessarily clear. three emotions wafting through the continent today and in germany. relief that greece exiting the eurozone looks to have been avoided and a bankruptcy or default by the country avoided. concern that maybe greece won't be able to live up to those terms. of course criticism in part of germany perhaps for imposing very, very harsh restrictions on greece remaining in the eurozone. in fact that criticism finding life on a social media where the #this is a coup being used about
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375,000 times on twitter. trended overnight in the united states. greece germany and of course in france. here in germany some of the harsher criticism coming from the green party a european parliamentary member from germany saying chancellor merkel finance minister schaeble and gabriel haven't burned up the trust in 25.5 days that was built up over 25 years. but we talked to some people on the street in berlin. >> in germany there was a lot in the past going -- and after the war with being so greece are not guilty to have done a war. >> we pay, we pay, we pay, and they do nothing. >> the greeks don't do enough to solve the situation.
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>> so what we understand now is that on friday the german parliament is set to me and consider a greek bailout. it is largely thought to pass. but as you know mandy, the key right now is here is do the greeks themselves on wednesday adopt these measures in parliament. >> thank you very much steve and also michelle. we're also waiting for a deal or no deal interest vienna where foreign ministers from the p 5 plus 1 are meeting. iran's foreign minister just said no deal. tonight there is a med night deadline tonight for the nuclear talks but that deadline is being pushed forward. checking on wti and brent, earlier on today wti was moving lower. right now it is slightly in positive territory at $52.80. in the back half of "power lunch." so in less than 90 minutes' time from now we'll be getting the oil close as well. brent is moving slightly lower at $58.54. we've been talking about the
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first two of those potential deals and where exactly they stand. the third one, the deal or no deal, involves puerto rico. officials from puerto rico meeting with creditors two hours from now. tough month for puerto rican bonds. the one over my shoulder. you can see what's been happening to its price. tanking in the last several weeks. alexandra sedanalexandra alexandra, what do we expect to hear if anything? >> first of all, if anybody is so inclined they are duly going to be live streaming the meeting on the government development bank's website. as i said on friday this is a preliminary meeting but one thing that investors are going to be looking for is some
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clarity coming from the government. you have over 300 investors who are going to be attending today's meeting. interestingly enough there are a group of about 35 hedge funds are are not i a tending today's meeting. why they wouldn't want to get additional information i'm not quite sure but some of the major hedge funds will be attending. again you have the governor last month say we can't pay the debt and i think they're looking for additional clarity on exactly what the government does intend to do or offer in terms of a restructuring plan. >> kate turning to you. alexandra mentioned that lots of big investors are there. who's meeting is it? who's there and who's conspicuously not, so far as you know? >> well tyler, as alexandra said we are expecting a big's attendance here. capacity is about 350. i understand they're just about there. bear in mind that puerto rican
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did set very widely held against u.s. municipal bond funds. you'll get traditional muni bondholders. according to what i've read oppenheimer funds a huge holder. you would expect them to have perhaps multiple people in attendance and watching the webcast as well in the office. in terms of hedge funds that are not going, i'm not aware of any specific names. i've talked to a few hedge funds. this is a place, puerto rico that is where hedge funds have been quite active and looking for reform saying they believe in the long-term value of the economy. they've tried to come up with some plans for restructuring but puerto rico has not been fafrl toward favorable toward them. if people are not attending or paying possible attention, i'm not sure it is a boycott situation but maybe alexandra is hearing differently. >> what do we expect to hear and
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on what timeline? >> one of the things i want to point out, somebody will be speaking as a former imf official, annkrueger, a co-author talking about what's led puerto rico to where it is today and talks about some of the things that could be factors in terms of restructuring. it is actually a fascinating report if anybody wants to read all 50 pages or so. talks about things like the fact that there are more teachers today, although there are less students than there were. so some of the things that would be necessary in terms of a restructuring. she will be speaking. what exactly she will do in terms of talking about actually restructuring and what the government will be doing and what -- and, kate you may know what role city will be playing or if at this point it will just be hosting the meeting. that i'm not quite sure. >> kate -- >> tyler, if i may. >> please. >> just to clarify that citigroup is the authorized
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broker/dealer on behalf of the puerto rican government. that means, among other things they are offering to buy back some of the publicly traded debt associated with the government development bank the gdb. that's just 1 of about 16 different issuers on the puerto rican island. but considered to be one of the weaker issuers. they also have a bond payment due on august 1st of a little under $200 million. so citi's going to try to maybe do a debt swap or repurchase some of that debt. i'm sure they'll engage in other transactions down the road and other issuers think about their alternatives to perhaps ease the credit arrangements they are now in. >> i'm sorry, we have to leave it there, alexandra. we'll see you again soon i'm sure! at least i hope. kate, the same to you. thanks very much. check out netflix. it is up more than 100% this year. a number of analysts are raising their price target again. just see howthy high they expect
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recapping the big headlines. walmart holding a massive sale on wednesday in response to amazon's prime day rolling back prices on more than 2,000 products with no membership needed. our parent company comcast
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testing a new $15 a month streaming service allowing internet customers to watch live tv from about a dozen networks including hbo, without a cable subscription. speaking of streaming, netflix hitting new highs today, up by 5%. $714. goldman raising its price target to $780 from $620. the stock more than doubling however, already this year ty. one million americans will be in severe storm areas by day's end today. air traffic also likely to be impacted. just the way this cattle is being impacted. this is the scene today in dodge county wisconsin where heavy rains have brought flooding. here's the weather channel's jennifer delgado. >> we're already seeing those storms firing up on the radar right now. they started off this morning. we'll time the storm threat out for you. we have a lot of people that are potentially going to be impacted by there. 47 million people in the path of strong storms. this is noon time moving right
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through areas including central parts of indiana, indianapolis, detroit we are talking to you. that first wave moves through and then it heads into areas like kentucky as well as even into tennessee. there's a chance we could be looking at some tornadoes developing today. we have a tore conof 4. in addition we have strong winds. we also can't forget about the threat of lightning. these storms have been firing up like crazy. later on tonight it moves into the carolinas, then we'll see things fizzle out once it gets into the mountains and we'll see some of that energy falling apart. we'll look at this pattern for tomorrow as well. everything riding right along that ridge. today here's your threat. we'll include areas like chicago, down to louisville. chicago you started off rough but as we show you the area including parts of illinois as well as indiana, that's where we'll see the greatest threat for the potential for some of those tornadoes out there. a big chunk in illinois but we're not including you, chicago. then we look at south central indiana, a tor:con today of 3.
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there are more than 300 big cap stocks in correction territory. peel's have the stocks feeling the most pain in this market ahead. plus -- coming up a swimwear start-up switching up your bottom line. >> our suits can be worn up to ten different ways bridging the gap between fashion and function. >> will the panel dive in? >> it is incredibly hard to protect your product from competitors in the fashion space. >> stay tuned to see if they are in or out.
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40% of the streetlights in detroit, at one point, did not work. you had some blocks and you had major thoroughfares and corridors that were just totally pitch black. those things had to change. we wanted to restore our lighting system in the city. you can have the greatest dreams in the world, but unless you can finance those dreams, it doesn't happen. at the time that the bankruptcy filing was done, the public lighting authority had a hard time of finding a bank.
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citi did not run away from the table like some other bankers did. citi had the strength to help us go to the credit markets and raise the money. it's a brighter day in detroit. people can see better when they're out doing their tasks, young people are moving back in town the kids are feeling safer while they walk to school. and folks are making investments and the community is moving forward. 40% of the lights were out, but they're not out for long.they're coming back. verizon say neversettle. t-mobile agrees. never settle for verizon's overpriced gimmicks. try the un-carrier risk-free for 14 days you'll love it, or we'll pay for you to go back.
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it's 1:21 eastern time. let's give you a market check. it is kind of a 1% day. the dow up about 1% at 17,934. russell up about 1% at 1,263. s&p 500 up about .85% at 2,094. the nasdaq pacing it all, up 1 .25%. time for "power pitch" where today a 25-year-old entrepreneur switching up the bottom line in the swimsuit business but does she have what it takes to be the next big thing? let's find out. >> imthe b side is the first transitional swimwear brand. our suits can be worn up to ten different ways troying support for an active and versatile lifestyle bridging the gap
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between fashion and function. i started this line because i was frustrated with my options. i had to buy two per season one for show one for play. then there was the issue of quality, value fit and overall function. it is time for that to change and the b side is the answer. with one move of our revolutional straps you can go from simply strapless and tanning to completely supportive and surfing. i know it is hard to believe that these suits fit varying body types but just ask our 100 customers who have yet to return a b suit. we've built the bsuit.com in under $80. we're not only developing better swimwear, we are developing a better way to buy it. >> you just saw the pitch for today but let's meet the final. early stage investor deborah jackson. ceo and founder of plum alley. an e-commerce and fund-raising platform that focuses on women entrepreneurs. the also with is alicia syrett.
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and from san francisco, eurie kim, for instance pal with forerunner ventures a female-run vc firm. hello, everybody. deborah, would you like to throw out the first question to if i haveny? tiffany? >> sure. tiffany, women care a lot about how they look on their baiting suit. how do you see that people will online. >> you give us your measurements, tell us how you like it to fit, loose or site and when you like leisure to active. we'll facilitate that to tell you not only what style but how to wear it. >> it is incredibly hard to protect your patent in the designer space. it is so easy for them to replicate replicate. >> first we did noncompete agreements and exclusive right agreements that i could make sure i had standing amounts of
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protection. >> what is it particularly about your design that stands you apart? >> it is our straps which is the emblem that it is a coated nylon spandex blend. it's never been made before. this is something that i created on the fabric as well as the construction. it is coated in pu so it offers this great functional that's great for moving the swimsuit around in different ways and also to tie together. >> you mentioned in your pitch that you were frustrated with having to buy two bikinis a season. at the same time you kind of want your consumers to buy more than one thing for you. how will you encourage repeat purchases. >> we have to differentiate ourselves with different styles that go along with the trends in the market. doing so we are creating a one piece high-rise bottom that can be adjusted so this is the idea that you can have more options from different pieces and we hope to expand in that day. >> your target demographic is millennial woman and you yourself are a millennial woman. what do you think that perspective gives you in terms
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of an advantage versus some of the big players out there? >> this is about women. this is about finding something that works with our lifestyle. we're so versatile in everything that we do. especially me and my pain points of being an athlete that just wanted to have some fashion and function in your swimwear. >> in the pictures here behind us they are all millennials and very skinny with very full busts. do you cater to the ladies who might need more support in this department? >> i created something that can go from tanning and surfing and everything in between. a lot of women were gifted this suit with bigger busts and they had an incredible experience with how they fit because i was able to create something that was full support. >> we need to know if the panel is in or out. >> women with busy so for them to actually go online and put in their measurements and see if it would work for them i think most women don't have that behavior. they actually want to get into the dressing room and try it on and look in the back mirror and check it out before they
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purchase. for that we're not in. >> what you really have to do is look at the entrepreneur. in tiffany i see someone who's a great spokesperson. she has industry experience and she's located her company in the fashion tech hub, that being new york city. but most importantly, she's a millennial woman who's focused exactly on her target demographic of millennial women so i'm going to take a chance on her and go in. >> i love the idea of being able to wear the b suit in multiple ways and be really flexible but i really think it is going to be hard to build a big brand out of this niche product so i'm out. >> okay. we have one in two outs. tiffany, what's your reaction? >> i'm so thankful for the feedback. we can't wait to make a difference on the swimwear market. it is such a big opportunity for us. >> fantastic. thank you very much. thank you very much to tiffany of the b side and also to our panel. that is today's "power pitch." >> what about you? are you in or out on the b suit?
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go to myself as well on twitter. to read more about this start-up and past power pitches cheg outck out our website, powerlunch.cnbc.com. china's stock market rallying for a third straight session. we've got five stocks if you're betting on a china rebound. presidential candidate hillary clinton now lining her economic blame an taking aim at the sharing economy. is it hurting growth in jobs? let's take a look at sectors it driving today's rally. 9 out of 10 higher. consumer discretionary, one of the big leaders. my businesses are definitely my life. my passion. this is what i was placed on the planet for. i'm truly a master of multitasking. yeah yeah. we'll get it done. that momentum is constantly going. that's what i'm here for. having that same process applied to my banking is amazing. chase technology is moving at the pace that the rest of the world is moving, allowing my momentum to kind of keep driving.
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technology designed for your business. so you can easily master the way you bank. you focus on making great burgers, or building the best houses in town. or becoming the next highly-unlikely dotcom superstar. and us, we'll be right there with you helping with the questions you need answered to get your brand new business started. we're legalzoom and we've already partnered with over a million new business owners to do just that. check us out today to see how you can become one of them. legalzoom. legal help is here. can a business have a mind? a subconscious. a knack for predicting the future. reflexes faster than the speed of thought. can a business have a spirit? can a business have a soul? can a business be...alive?
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hello, everyone. i'm sue herera. here is your cnbc news update for this hour. the iranian foreign minister says new cleear neglecter new clear negotiations will not be finished today. the white house says genuine progress has been made and the talks will continue. in a video posted on
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facebook, president obama says all of the prisoners would have already served their time if they had been convicted under laws today. the president has issued a total of 89 commutations the vast majority to non-violent drug offenders. north korea confirming that its defense chief was indeed purged for distoilloyalty to kim jong-un. in may they said the defense chief was killed by antiaircraft fire for talking back to kim and complaining about his policies. and tomorrow morning, nasa's unplanned spacecraft new horizons will make the closest fly-by of pluto ever. the craft has traveled 3 billion miles since being launched 9 1/2 years ago. it will zip past the icy planet at more than 30,000 miles an hour taking details measurements. that's the cnbc news update at this hour. >> i feel a little sorry for pluto. i thought it will been demoted from planet status. >> well it was demoted but because it is one of the
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furthest out it is one of the most interesting planets. at least that's what's nasa's saying. that we can learn an awful lot. i love stuff like that. >> i like the spacecraft there, it had ralph and alice as parts of it labeled there. >> indeed. gold prices closing right now. let's look at where they sit or stand or whatever you like. down by $2.40 at $1,155 an ounce. over the past week basically a small move down by 1%. silver copper platinum and palladium. silver is negative but just by 3 cents. the others slightly slightly higher. let's go to the bond market en issantelli at the cme. yields have moved up since last wednesday. >> they really have. but when you consider the distance they've traveled and how they ended up settling and especially how they act theeded
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pre-greece, it's been a little disappointing if you're looking for boat loads of movement and volatility. there's curve implications. an intraday of 5s. still a couple of basis points higher in yield on the day. the further down the curve you move, the more yields are at or below unchanged, meaning there's more buying and you see it on the 30-year which is actually one basis point in the green in terms of lower yield than it settled on friday. we call that flattening. there's been several basis points flattening in an environment that's been mostly defined last month and a half by steepening. flattening could be more fed or it j just be flight to safety for what may be regarding the outcome of greece. bundz, in their own backyard as high as 97, down as low as 84. that's where it settled. euro versus dollar getting very
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close to 110. that could be technically significant. >> rick santelli reporting. let's look at the markets right now. basically a 1% move on the day. >> 3:00 p.m. eastern we got word of after possible greek deal. nuts futures moved up 15 points. especially 1 %. the s&p. that move to the upside has been sideways ever since. we've got a couple of exchange traded funds that have got pretty heaven volume including some of the financials. the financial etf, iyf ahead of the banks for bank of america and jpmorgan. health care is also getting a lot of activity today. metals and mining have been doing very well. they've had very heavy volume really since china starting
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turning around and bottoming. those stocks very dependent on how china does. elsewhere, small group of new highs. not a lot of them. mohawk industries. lennar was at a new high earlier. it's come into negative territory now. o'reilly automatic o'reilly automotive a new high. gold stocks down rather notably. that trend has been going on for more than a month now as the air has been coming out of the gold stocks on any earlier concerns about what was going on in greece. >> bob thank you. uptown to nasdaq and check in with bertha coombs. >> seeing plenty of new highs here particularly media and streaming names. netflix ahead of its earnings getting its price target up. the the street was looking for 2,500 new skububscribers. amazon the streaming giant.
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apple as it has launched its streaming music today near the highs of the day. apple a big reason why we're seeing strength in the large cap tier but also the biotechs. the usual suspects. a year ago janet yellen said their al their valuations were stretched. that index is trading at 83 times earnings. nonetheless, you've got new highs today including biomarin which has doubled. gentlemen, thank you both for joining us today. burns, why do you say that the market here is not really probably pricing in what's happening in greece? >> well the markets today based on the current action clearly like what they saw but if you really just read the headlines, the headlines say that problem solved and the fact of the
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matter is you really dig beneath that, there's still a long way to go. we've move the passed the catastrophic risk rf greek exit and moved on to the latest buzzword is grimbo or greece in bim low. just a continuation of kicking the can down the road. the problem with that is the only thing that woosas really agreed upon were conditions that have to be met just to start talks over the next week. >> you think the rally is premature, burns? >> i would say conditions that have to be met are really a far, far more rigid and stricter than those that were voted down by the greek voters just a week ago. it is probably going to not going to be quite as easy a battle as what some of the pundits are saying. if someone saidky buy your car for $10,000 and you said definitively no they said how about $8,000. i mean it is certainly one to be an embarrassment to tsipras' government. >> what about you? do you feel the market is reacting appropriately? >> i think that they are. while there are lots of issues
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to be sorted out, i think as a concept everyone has agreed that greece is staying in. so it is grim rather than grimbo. so from that standpoint i think as far as the economic significance of greece is concerned, it is nothing. it is really an issue of can greece cause a contagion. i think what the markets are reacting to is the fact that it is unlikely that they will be a contagion in the market. >> we have to leave it there, unfortunately. but thank you very much for joining us. you can also go to powerlunch.cnbc.com to see how they are playing china. they've got some very interesting thoughts on the markets there. greece and i had its creditors have reached a deal but it is not a done deal yesterday. so what is next? let's get back to athens where our chief international correspondent michelle caruso-cabrera joins us once again. hi michelle. >> reporter: hey, mandy. the next stipep, the greek prime minister who's back in athens has to convince the parliament
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to pass a key number of reforms before the creditors will even consider giving greece any mono money. how easy is that going to be? joining us the former deputy finance minister of greece a few administrations go. also a former citigroup employee in new york for a long time. good to have you here. >> good to be here. >> can he get these reforms passed the next 48 hours? >> yes, le get them pass tdz byed aboutby over a two-thirds majority. he'll have more than 200 votes out of 300. he may have more than 230 votes out of 300. so it is a clear majority but he will have some leakages from his own party coalition. >> americans find this a little confusing. how is it possible that he can tell the voters that within 24 hours he is going to have a better deal, absolutely got a worse deal comes back and can still remain in power when it seems he's gone back on every promise he makes to them.
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>> this is a country where mythology was born. he's a very good and convincing charmer. people like him. people trust that if this is what he did, this is what he had to do. there was probably no other way. so they will excuse him from all his past mistakes and it's good for the country. we, on the conservative side on the reformist side are supporting him in this effort. we're not voting for him but we're supporting wholeheartedly this effort to get the page turned and move greece to a new era. we know the country needs to be reformed. we are appreciative of the fact that mrs. merkel and mr. hollande and others really put out a strong fight in our favor. but we need to change and we will clang.hange. >> throughout it the rest of europe, in germany, they say they'll never get this done. in greece people say, watch, this could be a nixon-china moment pmt moment. this could be clinton passing welfare reform and nafta.
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>> i think absolutely the country is ready for a change. there will be a lot of kivging and screaming especially from the radical left wings. even communists are a bit milder in the criticism. they haven't been that vociferous in the past few weeks but the citizens of the left governing party is probably going to split away from mr. tsipras. >> what about the vested interest? the accountants, doctors, engineers, everybody else and their mother who's got vested interest to protect and will be at first hurt by this? >> a lot of legislation is going to be rammed in to them. they won't have much of a chance to actually have time to go piecemeal and resist. things are going to happen very very fast. the country needs to be reformed. there's no reason anymore for anybody to have privilege in a country that's quasi sunk and very dysfunctional. i think when the prime minister who was a hard core leftist says enough is enough we need to change and all the conservative reformist party say we will support you, i think we will move in the right direction. we need some breathing space
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sometimes and we don't have any breathing space. but things will move and we need to settle the issue of bank reform and the issue of deposits. it would be a big mistake if greek depositors who trusted system especially middle class europe who really be screwed up by having their deposits haircuted by 10%, 20%, 30%. there's absolutely no liquidity in the system. there's no single country in greece that can borrow. >> thank you so much for joining us. really appreciate it. guys, the issue of the banks are front and center. part of the deal is recapitalizing the banks. but he's got to do all of these reforms first. they've got to pass a lot of hurdles before they can get to that point where depositors can feel safe. >> fascinating animalalogy to nixon and china, collin and welfare
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reform that only someone like tsipras could make these kinds of moves. best line of the week -- don't forget that greece is the country that invented mythology. china's stock market making quite a comeback after plummeting recently. and there are a number of u.s.efiting from the rebound. >> we look over the past ten years whenever there are stock market gains in china and these five u.s. stocks could be poised for even more gains ahead. all that next on "power lunch."
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china's stock market rallying big time for a third straight session. dominic chu has the top five stocks. top five stocks that you should be looking at if you're betting on a china rebound. >> our friends over at cnbc pro
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took a look at the number of times we've seen the chinese markets rebound over the last ten years and figured out which u.s. stocks have benefited in the past from this. this is all about historical precedent. this is not indicating that i have some crystal ball and i know the future. if you look at ishares ftse, china 25 large-cap stocks in china that are trading in hong kong, this fef t yearetf is up 3%. it's rebounded sharply. so our friends over at a data and analytics partner looked at some of the times we've seen this kind of move in the past. we looked at this etf and we figured out how many times there's been a five-day rally where it's pushed the stock or that index up about 10% or more. it's happened 26 times over the last decade and the u.s. stocks that rallied in tenandem with this particular move are what we looked at. among the names, five of them
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this time around shares of apple. apple has gone up an average of 7% over the five-day span when that etf has gone up by 10% or more. when those stocks rise apple's one of those stocks that goes along with it. there is a correlation. again, not a direct relationship relationship. first solar shares have gained an average of 9% during that span as we look at five-day gains. textron also up 9%. goodyear rubber up 10%. citigroup as well up by 10%. here are five of the stocks in various sectors that we look at. again these are correlations. it is not necessarily that one leads to the other but in the past these have been some historical patterns that have held. we'll see if it holds this time around. if it does these might be -- might be some of the stocks that go up. >> if people want to learn more about there, they can go to the story on cnbc pro. thanks very much for that. for more on how to play
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china's rebound jim oberwei four stars on morningstar. jim, you have just returned from china. several cities there, including shanghai. what did you see on the ground? what is the sense about the economy and the level of dislocation or "panic" in the especially the shanghai market? >> yeah. so i think you have is to look at it from the perspective of the business and the perspective of the retail investor. in terms of businesses, conditions are definitely slow but that's not new news. i think that's why they built in the stock prices. i think everybody understands that at this stage. from the retail investor shockingly there was a little bit of panic. i guess what's surprising is usually in the u.s. when you have those types of panics it is because the market is down a lot. in terms of the a-shares in china, they're really not. they just came down off of huge run-ups very quickly and a lot of people were levered up with margin in a way they hadn't been
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before. >> do you think that the a-shares the shanghai shares which are relatively more difficult for american investors to get into except in limited ways, do they have farther to fall and more volatility in front of them as compared with say the h-shares in hong kong? >> absolutely. it's really stemming from the starting point on valuations. you had such a massive run-up in h-share value uses. you didn't have the same degree in h shares. even though they did well they are still trading at the lower end of valuations. the same thing is true for benchmarks and indices on h-shares. a-shares, on the other hand, still trade a premium relative to the historical having aations alal valuations and it wouldn't surprise me to see them drift over the course of the next few months. >> these times of stress of major moves are where people if they're of a mind and stomach can make a lot of money.
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i would assume you'd advice them if they want to jump in here to lean towards the h-shares in hong kong. do you have some specific names? >> sure. yeah. i think the h-shares in hong kong or also some of the u.s. adrs look okay as well. ikang health care trades with china. they have 77 of the top 100 chinese companies as customers and 2.6 million individual lives. they're growing 25%, 30%, trading at under 20 times earnings. that would be one. kang on nasdaq. another one you might look at is shenzo international. their business isn't really levered to china and to the u.s. and a lesser degree europe. they basically make mechanics tiles for companies like adidas
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then export them back to the u.s. we are seeing 15% growth in roughly a pe of 18 times earnings. they are the largest manufacturers in china. so those types of companies i think when they get beaten down for reasons that don't even really correlate with china i think it makes a lot of sense to divide positions there. >> you also like car, inc. in hong kong and tarena international. but you mentioned those two. jim, we thank you for being with us. >> all four are great. thanks a lot for the opportunity. the greek agreement has no doubt stunned most people in athens but what do greek-americans think about the greek debt crisis? brian sullivan went out to a store and met out with some of them over the weekend. you might be surprised by what they had to say. also as we head out, take a look at the dow 30 stocks. by the way, folks, with the gain in the dow today it is back in the black along with the other major indices for 2015. so far the dow is currently up
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by 172 points and there's only a couple of shares there as you can see. united health and merck are currently in the red. all others moving higher microsoft the bigger gainer.
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the midnight deadline on the nuclear talks is set for tonight but talks are expected to continue. officials from puerto rico are meeting in new york in just over an hour. and presidential candidate hillary clinton laying out her economic plan and calling out the sharing economy as a potential factor of holding back wage growth. there is a downside to naming yourself after money particularly if you end up filing for bankruptcy. that story is straight ahead. 50 cent out of cents. you focus on making great burgers, or building the best houses in town. or becoming the next highly-unlikely dotcom superstar. and us, we'll be right there with you helping with the questions you need answered to get your brand new business started. we're legalzoom and we've already partnered with over a million new business owners to do just that. check us out today to see how you can become one of them. legalzoom.
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the artist 50 cent was reportedly worth $270 million at one time. today the rapper filed for bankruptcy. julia boorstin live in l.a. >> tyler, that's right. quite a fall from grace for curtis james jackson iii, aka 50 cent, filing for chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in connecticut. jackson reporting both assets and debts in a range of $10 million to $15 million in court findings. this comes after 507 cent was cent was ordered friday to pay $5 million who he posted a sex tape of
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online. this is not the first multi-million dollar judgment against jackson. last fall jackson was ordered to pay $17 million to manufacturers sleek audio after a dispute over headphones that jackson had said he would promote. and his boxing promotion company, sms pro moepgssmotions filed for chapter 11 this past may. but jackson made about $100 million by selling vitamin water in 2007. he owns a majority stake in sms audio, competitor to beats which he launched in 2011. at the end of last year he closed a $78 million deal with high-end underwear company frigo revolution wear. he acts in the boxing movie "southpaw." of course he has his rap career and an ael and an album scheduled to drop in november. i have reached out to his attorney and pr team but they
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haven't gotten back to me yet. >> that pretty much does it for the first hour. but a whole lot more is coming up. including a trip to see what greek-americans think about what's going on in greece. it is 2:00 p.m. on wall street. 11:00 a.m. in anaheim, california. stocks are higher all on the hopes of a greek debt deegal. stocks and greece are both your top stories today. right now the dow is up 1 75 points. 27 of the dow 30 are higher. two stocks disney and nike not only hitting 52-week highs but new all-time highs. if you own those congratulations. right now bob pisani is on the floor of the notion.ew york stock exchange. is today really all about greece? >> i wish i could say it wasn't but it is. i tell you how you know. 3:00 a.m. this morning the s&p futures shot up 15 points on
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word that there was a greek deal. that's essentially where we are right now. right at the open we didn't quite gap up at the open but we moved right up to where we are. this is largely because of the greek deal. there are a lot of other things coming today, this week, including the earnings situation. but we've had a fairly broad rally, 2-1 advancing to declining stocks. we are off of the highs but not far. tech stocks consumer discretionary, materials and industrial have all had a very nice day and frankly are still sit something right near their highs. the big talk is about what's going to happen on earnings. of course we'll see the financials first. we'll have jpmorgan tomorrow wells fargo tomorrow bank of america on wednesday and citi group, goldman on thursday. the hope is one, better loan growth. and two, an expansion of the net interest margin. we'll have more on that tomorrow. >> bob thank you very much. let us stay on the stock story. dig in a little deeper to one of the bigger of the big cap indexes. if you just looked apartment the
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russell 1000 index from the outside for over a month, you'd say, eh, not terrible blgnot great, down fractionally. nearly the same performance as the s&p 500. but looks can be deceiving. dom chu back with us on why the russell 1000 may be the lesser of the sum of its parts. >> the interesting part, our data team at cnbc looked at that broader large company cap russell 1000 index. the etf iwb. out of the 1,000 stocks in that in index, over half of them over 500 of them are actually in correction territory or worse. that is as measured the pullbacks from the recent highs that they've seen over the course of the past year. we've picked out a handful of them just to give you an idea of some of the names you'll definitely know but maybe didn't know that they were already in correction or perhaps even bear market territory. take a look first at what's happening here with priceline. a nice pop today, up 2%. that takes them a little bit out
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of that correction territory but still, they were down 10%-plus over the course of their highs that we saw back last summer. priceline, one of those shares. another one to look at is one that's so -- very much deeply into correction territory and even into bear markets, and that's caterpillar. heavy machinery. those shares since last june are down 21%. caterpillar showing signs of weakness as well in the large cap space. one that's really seen a huge pullback on the consumer staples side of things is keurig green mountain single serve coffee. those shares have lost about half of their value during that time span. just a sampling of some of the many large cap stocks that are in that correction or even bear market territory phase. >> dom, thank you. for more on the markets and perhaps how to protect your portfolio, let us bring in jonathan gottlieb from rbc capital markets. when you were watching dom do
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that piece you leendzaned over and whispered, i've done research on this exact phenomena and it doesn't worry you. how come? >> the question isn't how many stocks are 10% below normal. the question is what is it normally. there's normally something like 50% or more stocks below that level. in fact right now it's less than it would normally be. >> yeah. but hold on. i want to defend dom's piece here a little bit because i don't think it is necessarily the volume of stocks. when you look at a caterpillar, a dow component and supposedly one of the leading mining and commitment companies as sort of a leading indicator on its own, and that's down that much is that a worrying sign for that one name? >> there is is a different point you are making is what's happening to the most economically sensitive stocks. if you look at areas like industrials, most people think that when the banks are doing well, the industrials are doing well, they drag the market along with it. what you're seeing is the industrials are having a harder time and yet it is many of the
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less cyclical companies that are actually doing better. areas like health care or software that are less dependent on the economy. that's been the way -- we've seen the last couple of years and i think it is what we're going to see going forward. >> i saw something and thought this must be a typo this was some sort sf editorial error and i said no it's true. you wrote that you believed that slower secular economic growth -- so a slowdown -- will be better for stock market returns. i said jonathan i think there is a mistake in your piece. you said no no that's why i feel that way. >> if you look on average, an economic cycle lasts for about seven years. if we're in here 6 of a 7-year cycle, it is time to start putting on the brakes and rotating out of stocks. but if the economy is slower this may be year 6 in a 12-year cycle. and if that's the case then have you potentially years to go before you really -- this market
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runs out of gas. i think that that's what we are. putting it differently -- >> the tortoise is still alive. >> we're putting it differently -- >> the hair may die but the tortoise is still running. >> or somebody says we're in inning number seven but maybe the baseball games doesn't have nine innings, maybe it has 15. i think maybe that's where we. >> your target s&p is more than 11% higher. apple trading higher right now but still not recovering all of last week's losses. two big headlines to hit on apple this hour. first, a note out saying apple commanded 92% of smartphone industry profits. apple sells less than 20% ever all smartphones. second, u.s. government regulators are looking into anti-trust claims about apple's streaming music service. brian white, managing director at cantor fitzgerald brian was talking about correction
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protection. as apple enters into earnings season, is it a surprise that its's been hit so hard about things like all these concerns plus china? >> yeah i think it is china, i think it is apple watch, a sloppy tech tape. i think all of those things have cut into play. the message we put out in our note today is really don't lose your way during this super cycle, stay the course. there's a lot out there that's very exciting. iphone has a multi-year cycle going on here. i think apple watch had a component issue so it got off to a slow start. china's stock market probably takes a little bit of the bling iphone buys but won't i think damage the trajectory there which is very very positive for apple. >> do you have a good sense of who is buying the iphone in china? softgen had a note out today upgrading apple to a buy. one-third of apple iphone sales in the third quarter came from china. are those the same people who might be hit hardest by the stock market collapse?
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>> i think definitely in the big cities. i think you are starting to see it in even some second and third-tier cities. i think at first it was the wealthy people in beijing, shanghai and shenzhen and i think know it is broadening out against klein. apple had a 8% market share a year ago in china. this last quarter it was just under 15. they're number one in china right now. >> at what point do you ratchet down my estimates or maybe take a look at my projections of sales in china specifically? >> again, i'm not concerned. >> you're not at all. >> i'm not. i think we are in a very early stage of this iphone cycle. 20% of the installed base have jaap grade upgrade. this is a multi-year event. why? a bigger iphone. it is also the fact that china mobile is now in full force with apple and the 4g is building out. >> thanks for stopping by brian. appreciate it. >> that's clearly -- when they cut the interview off, that's what they call a hard wrap in television.
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here's what's ahead for the rest of the hour. more on the greek deal that's no doubt, stunned most people in athens. we'll get a live report from greece. also, the view from america. we met with some greek-americans in queens over the weekend. we've got their thoughts on the whole debt drama. you might be surprised about what many of them had to say. and later on morgan stanley out of the list of nine stocks that could see a big break-out. those names coming with "power lunch" returns. if you can't stand the heat, get off the test track. get the mercedes-benz you've been burning for at the summer event, going on now at your authorized mercedes-benz dealer. hurry, before this opportunity cools off. share your summer moments in your mercedes-benz with us.
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it is a deal on paper for the greek drama perhaps not offense just yet. 7 european leaders agreeing to give the near-bankrupt nation up to $96 billion in aid, all in return for more strict austerity measures. the global markets rallying on the news. remember, it is not over yet. it is now up to the greek parliament to approve the harsh terms. and note this -- the greek etf -- ticker grek -- down today. though yields on the 2-year bonds in greece are down 25%, they're still high. michelle caruso-cabrera is live in athens. you've been there for a while. michelle listen. it looks like we got a deal but there's still a lot of work to be done on wednesday. >> yeah huge amount. they'll have to vote in the parliament, the building you see behind me to pass measures
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almost immediately before the creditor nations will even consider sitting down and negotiating a full legal written document for a bailout. in the meantime we do have a protest we should point out going on in front of the parliament. same group that protested last night. these are no-voters. no-voters who really meant no. in fact, really wanted at one point greece to leave the euro. they said they would be fine with that. they are not typical though. the vast majority of greeks still very much want to stay in the euro although they're upset with the details of the deal. they are relieved that they are actually going to stay in the euro. at least for now. like you said it is tough. . prime minister is backing greece. he's got to sell this to the parliament by all political considerations, it x loois going to be an easy deal to get through parliament because many of the opposition parties want a deal to stay in the euro. they've got to move quickly because in order to reopen the banks they have to prove to the ecb that they are committed and they need a fresh pile of cash to inject to the banks before they can reopen. that could be weeks, maybe even
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a month away. there's still a lot of hurdles. there's deep distrust that the greeks are going to be able to achieve it. >> most of the headlines lead us to believe that tsipras lost everything, that he came out of this with a swing and a miss. is there any way to say that tsipras and the greek people and the greek parliament did get something? anything? besides the $96 billion? >> yeah. yes. they did get consideration for an improvement on their debt -- they won't get their debt forgiven, but if they pass their first review and get the money, they will also get consideration for extending their maturities and lowering their interest rates. that's one thing. at the moment over the weekend, they were told we're going to put language in the documents because if you don't do this you take a five-year break from the euro. that was removed as well. and believe it or not, tsipras has turned out to be a winner. he's still incredibly popular. he's amassed a lot of power and
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everybody tells me that if they had an election tomorrow, he would still win. >> all right, michelle. sit tight. because while this certainly may not be athens, greece yesterday we went to the heavily greek-american neighborhood of astoria, queens. we sat down with some greek-americans and we asked them what they thought of the whole debt drama. check it out. ♪ >> i got to say, i've never been here. >> thank you. >> you were born in greece. you've been here for a long time. what do you think of the greek crisis? >> well i think they don't care enough. >> who doesn't care? >> the politics. >> who do you think is to blame ultimately? >> the people. it is the people who asked the politicians to be there. so i wonder if somewhere the citizens just are masochists? kind of want this?
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or are too scared? >> even as a greek-american -- >> it's all about greece. of course. it is all about greece. >> why is that? >> it was about time for the greek government and the greek people in general to take a step -- to step up and make the right decisions for our future our country's future. >> they made a deal what they should do and they only care about having big cars having big lives, enjoy themselves. >> i honestly did not expect to come out here and speak with greek-americans and have -- hear them blame greeks. i didn't think so. >> stii blame the politics. people are good. >> is it's the whole system. the whole system could have been this route, you know? like how to avoid taxes or how to avoid this, avoid that. >> my brother-in-law works for banking. >> in greece. >> yes.
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>> what do they say? >> oh they are mortified. he's been probably aging faster than he should have these past years. what's happening now is basically there's like this feeling of revolt but they don't know where to revolt to. >> can you blame the leaders or do you blame the people for voting in? >> i think if you always have someone to bail you out, are you ever going to learn your lesson in maybe greece needs this. i think greece deserves a chance but everything that's happened up until now has not worked. >> i'm hoping for the best. i'm just hoping. >> michelle it was very surprising. again, i thought i was going to hear sort of mixed. some people may put it on greece others blaming germany or merkel or europe. these are -- i want people to be very clear. we didn't seek out people's opinions and then put them on the air. i literally wandered around saying, hey, would you like to have lunch and let's talk about the issue? that's what happened. i was very surprised. do you ever get that where you are as well, people quietly
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whispering to you, you know michelle, we might be to blame here a little bit in. >> sometimes. it doesn't happen as often as what you saw there in the story. i put a couple of those sound bites on air but they're pretty rare, which is we have made big mistakes and we need to fix them ourselves. i think what you experienced, brian, is typical across a lot of countries. we get frustrated immigrants from all over the world who where they came from is dysfunctional and they come to the united states because they can make it there in a way that they can't do it back home whether that's in greece in france, in parts of the middle east. et cetera. so i think it is almost emblematic of a bigger story about the united states. >> you know dino the guy that we talked to the manager of the restaurant, he was a former professional basketball player in greece. i said are you going -- you're making money here. are you going to take it back and go back to greece? he said everybody kind of talks that way when they first come here. then everybody stays in america. they don't go back.
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all right all right, michelle. great stuff. by the way, not everybody that we did speak with yesterday felt the exact same about the greek situation. cnbc met up with a greek-american family who said you know, don't just blame the greeks. part of the problem is very simple -- there aren't any jobs to be found and you can see them right there watching a greek newscast. up next -- one stock getting a double upgrade today. and later on with all the greece talk, don't forget about puerto rico's problems. a leading expert on the country's debt situation coming right up. . >> announcer: the cnbc real-time exchange market snapshot is sponsored by the interactive brokers.
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. all right. welcome back time now for street talk. getting analyst recommendations on stocks you need to know about every single day. you ready? >> always ready. >> first stock, groupon.
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analysts cite the recent stock pullback left it 30% flat on the earnings call. they also like the cash position and the sales from the stake of the company ticket monster. still 40% up side. >> you got to wonder if part of this is a short covering rally. 70% of shares outstanding are held short according to thompson. the next stock i'm watching fitbit. a lot of analysts are watching today. animal lis believe the growth potential is already priced in here. business according to the animal lis in land grab mode and he believes over time users won't turn so much because they want to be able to measure their data against historical data. >> 12 analysts cover the name. the stock's done well. the average target price just under $46. we're getting close to the analyst target.
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third stock, edwards lifesciences. did not get one but two upgrades today. northland securities upgrading to an outperform with a $170 target. its partner study will be positive. the target boosted to $185 on ew, that's 25% up side from here. >> there was a lot of bullishness around transcat teheter aortic valve. the company could grow 25% each year for 2020. for the next five years. aerovironment. it got a hold rating with a $30 price target. analysts say long-term growth opportunities for commercial drones and charging products was positive but the higher spending
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environment creates uncertainty. >> it has the buzzword -- drone. the trailing screen is 207. finally, your under the radar name of the day, pbf energy ticker. $2.6 billion market cap. it is an oil refiner based in the oil capital of the world. they keep a buy on all the refiners but citi analysts say the market underappreciates are the position here in the northeast as well as a recent deal in june to buy a refinery outnew orleans. the stock pays a 3.5% dividend yield. >> since june the stock has been on a tear up almost 19%. >> all right. there you go. speaking of oil, the final trades are set to cross for the session. there you go.
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crude down a bit. where will it close? stick around. can a business have a mind? a subconscious. a knack for predicting the future.
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reflexes faster than the speed of thought. can a business have a spirit? can a business have a soul? can a business be...alive?
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hello, everyone. i'm sue herera. here is your cnbc news update this hour. democratic presidential candidate hillary clinton offering up ideas for improving the economy in a speech in new york city. she talked about income\s inee\s and ways to reduce that gap. >> the measure of or success must be how much incomes rise for hard working families. not just for successful ceos and money managers. and not just some arbitrary growth target untethered to people's lives and livelihoods. the fcc announced a settlement in an insider trading scheme regarding notes passed in grand central terminal in new york city. someone from brooklyn received the tip from a law firm clerk and relaid them to a stockbroker at the train station. the notes were then eaten.
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people in wisconsin cleaning up after a thunderstorm ripped through the city earlier this morning. that very strong storm brought very heavy rains, flooding in local residential areas and on farms as well. the president and ceo of japanese gamemaker nintendo has died. he passed away on saturday after fighting cancer of the bile ducts. he underwent surgery last year and was briefly able to resume his position but he has passed away at the age of 55. that's your cnbc news update this hour. >> for many of us of a certain age, myself especially the guy during that time i never knew who he was but i knew every machine he built and he changed video games. >> absolutely. absolutely. he was a real hero to a lot of kids, a lot off young people. he really was. the new president has a lot to live up to i think. >> they do. i will speak to a generation that's around my age. if i say two words they'll know what i'm talking about.
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pac mobile. thank you. now to jackie deangelis for the oil close. >> looks like we'll close 60. cents lower. just about over $52. still $1 off of the session lows. obviously traders tentatively watching the situation with the iran nuclear talks. the latest that we have is iran media reporting its officials are saying there will not be a deal by tonight. you also the dollar today that was stronger pushing prices down as well. opec saying that its demand forecast for its products are not going to be as robust as it was thinking. back to the supply/demand situation. but watching these prices just over $52. gas prices around the country are on a decline but in california they're spishgking. jane wells is in los angeles with more. >> reporter: gas prices in
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california are closing in on $5 a gallon again. here is $4.95. in some places it has topped $5 a gallon. this isn't even over yet, they're telling us. prices, on average, on friday were 3'nt 6$3.66 a gallon they're now $4.08 a gallon, though i can't find it that cheap anywhere. that's an 11-cent change in one weekend and we expect to see them go higher this week. what's the deal? nobody's sending their oil to california. it is not just worth it on the forward prices forward pricing. there are refinery issues to make california's special blend of gas and exxon-mobil refinery is still recovering from a february explosion. stock prices have tripled from their lows last winter. when will prices start to come down? there are only two ships right now bringing oil. it takes about three weeks to get through the refining process and these high prices will
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encourage others to begin shipping their oil back to california. we should start to see prices come down anywhere between five days -- and five weeks. but in five months he says prices in california will still be higher than the national average but about $1 lower a gallon than they are now. back to you. >> yikes. jane wells. take a look at this america. california is certainly the outlier. they are, on average, 30 cents more per gallon higher than the next most expensive state which is alaska. you've got hawaii and nevada rounding out the most expensive states for gasoline. on the other side of the pump the cheapest states to buy a gallon of gas, alabama, mississippi and south carolina, though i can personally say i paid less than those numbers in new jersey a couple of days ago. refineries in general like lower oil prices. they have done well. valero stocks up 35%. marathon up nearly 30% in the past year and western refining up about 25% just year to date.
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iran's foreign minister saying no deal today despite another deadline set for tonight. despite the latest missed deadline, talks will continue. the head of global commodity strategy at rbc strategy, always appreciate your insight. do you expect an iranian nuclear deal which would include exports of oil around the world to eventually get done? >> i feel like it is ground hog day. if you read the headlines every morning it seems imminent. we're into a year of overtime in the iran talks. the obama administration will push hard to get this done by the summer. sanctions, access for inspectors. i think it is a not tailwind scenario that this thing potentially blows up. >> there is a chance that a deal that does not get done that nothing happens. >> i think it is more likely a deal gets done but look at the red line laid out by the supreme leader a couple weeks ago.
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they're entirely incompatible with what the obama administration says was going to be an agreement. somebody's going to have to move off their position to get a deal done. >> how do you read the tea leaves in terms of talks? the longer it is drawn out, is it better for oil prices because less gets on to the market? >> absolutely. the longer this gets drag out, we are pushing out the timeline for the return of those barrels. it will be 68 months post-deal in terms of modifying the facilities before those barrels come back. iranians say it will come back right away. there's no way the eu and obama administration is going to sign on to a deal that has those barrels flowing right after it is signed. >> even if they flow it is material. some say it is as high as a million barrels a day. you say lower. >> yes. >> say 500,000 barrels a day. in a year from now -- >> it is like a 92 million barrel a day market. >> talking about .8%. but this is already a market that's dramatically
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oversupplied. even one barrel one barrel too many? >> i think that's a problem in the market right now. if you're oversupplied by 1.5 million barrels, adding additional 500,000 iranian barrels doesn't make your balances particularly pretty. you are going to have to see a producer roll in terms of production to pull prices higher, we believe. >> bottom line do oil prices deserve to be at $52.50? >> the problem right now is we are just oversupplied. the saudis keep saying demand is going to pick up but they keep pump rg ating at record levels. somebody has to pull back to bring price practices significantly higher. >> it's not us. 9.6 million barrels a day, baby! keep it going! thank you. appreciate that. it is time now trading nation. traders do trade better together. today let's talk about coffee stocks. dunkin' brands and starbucks both hitting new highs today. which of those two would be a
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better buy if you had to pick just one. todd technically what stock looks better? >> technically, starbucks looks better. i think from a taste point of view it is no contest. starbucks is much better than dunkin' doe nutsz. we'll leave that aside. the stock has held in extremely well. a strong stock within the outperforming consumer discretionary sector. that highlighted area in orange is the june sell-off in the nasdaq where with starbucks just maintained a firm bid. i've been trading this stock for the long side i continue to be long. we've broken out of that range from june that again saw the nasdaq around broader markets lower. we'll test it around the $58 mark. looks like they digested the price increases quite well. >> got it. digest it. heard it. i won't acknowledge it. dave, moving on to a stock perspective. fundamentally what with your analysts prefer? starbucks or dunkin'? >> i absolutely agree. i think starbucks is a better pick long term. this is a consensus long a
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consensus buy and hold stock. i know it feels expensive around 30 times but the peak in this multiple is roughly 35 times and we think it can get there. look it is a very different model. starbucks is predicated on same-store sales where dunkin' is predicated more on opening new stores from more of a franchise based model. i look at starbucks and say this is a company that's doing really well. management has a ton of credibility especially after laying off their five-year growth plan. here's a stock again from a long-term perspective i think can work out well and i think is a better choice versus dungeon. >> which is interesting because dunkin' dunkin''s got a lot of growth. dunkin' is not big on the west coast. that's where they're looking to go but you still say starbucks fundamentally and technically. dave, todd thank you both very much. reminder collection out more "trading nation." we do two additional segments every single day. go to tradingnation.cnbc.com. representatives from the government of puerto rico are meeting with their creditors in
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new york this afternoon trying to restructure puerto rico's debt.
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welcome back to "power lunch." i'm kate kelly in manhattan standing in front of the citigroup building at 399 park. right behind me hundreds of people are gathered to hear from puerto rican officials about the state of their $72 billion overall debt load and what they intend to do about it. in attendance today, bond insurers creditors, some hedge funds, many people are invested in puerto rican debt in some form and they want details from
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members of the governors working group who are trying to establish a restructuring or some other plan from meeting their debt load. meeting gets under way in just a few minutes. we'll bring you updates as it goes. andrew gadlin you specialize in puerto rico. andrew, greece has been getting all the attention. but i have a feeling once the greek situation has moved away americans will start looking to puerto rico and realize this is a major issue. how does this play out? >> well right now the government is probably pushing for a combination of a couple factors. certainly debt maturity extension, probably some debt maturity and principle extension before paying interest and possibly haircuts as well. >> if you're a creditor to puerto rico -- they are. u.s. municipal bond funds that have puerto rican debt in them. there are towns and cities in america where the treasure who
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are cio has bought puerto rican debt. furif you're a creditor what are your better options? >> earn isly extension would be a more amenable -- >> haircut is the last thing you want. >> absolutely. absolutely. it is clear that right now there is at at g.o. level, meaning the general fund of puerto rico there is a million dollars of debt service. then you throw in other quasi governmental entities it can add up. extension does kind of make sense in this context. >> bottom line is there a way the american taxpayer mom and pop in iowa will be liable for any puerto rican debt obligations? >> congress has made clear there is no appetite for a bailout. >> andrew if the worst case scenario in your views happens, that's a haircut, will that have ripple effects in the municipal bond market? could we be seeing the effects
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felt on other municipalities around the company with stocks they may own? >> there's concern certainly with illinois which is also having some funding issues particularly visa see its pension. but this issue seems fairly contained for now. >> melissa's point is very good one, as always andrew which is this. people may not care about puerto rican debt but this he might care if they live in chicago. do you think that puerto rico maybe as important as it is to itself and to certain parts of the bond market is going to be a bigger litmus test for chicago and perhaps other places? >> there's certainly a fear that that could be the case. to the extent that they're able to jam through huge cuts to creditors, it raises the issues for illinois and other issuers, do we want to do the same thing. >> is this going to be a multi-year -- >> is that is our expectation. >> puerto rico will be in the headlines for a while.
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>> many years to come. >> andrew good to meet you. thanks for coming in. melissa. 11 of the big financial firms report earnings this week. including jpmorgan and wells fargo tomorrow. we'll tell you where you can make money as the big banks report in. plus nine stocks that may be set to take off by the end of the summer. straight ahead on "power lunch." this summer, challenge your preconceptions and experience a cadillac for yourself. ♪ the 2015 cadillac srx. lease this from around $339 per month, or purchase with 0% apr financing.
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we promised you stock ideas in the show. since we like to keep our promises here on cnbc, here you go. morgan stanley out with a list of nine stocks that their analysts believe that one or more positive catalysts that could, and should drive the price higher by the end of the summer. get a pen, pencil whatever because here they are. amazon. animalalysts say the current doesn't appropriately price in their e-commerce business. other names, biogen carlisle group, canada based detour gold msci rockwell automation bank of america where morgan stanley believes expense management and
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higher interest rates will ultimately drive that stock higher. nine names they see a possible catalyst for in the next two months. morgan stanley also had three names they thought would have a negative for now, let's stay on the buggish side and speak with a guy who owns one of those morgan stanley names. you own bank of america. i would presume you agree with morgan stanley's thesis. >> we like them over the next three to five years. the biggest difference between us and morgan stanley is i'm glad they think they'll do well. we make no efforts to make predictions like that. here's the situation. the united states is just about to have its largest population group group, the millennials engage
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the banking system. they saved money and have yet to borrow it. the history of the stock market is you anticipate that. we have not yet seen these banks anticipate a dramatically better economy. that is the thing that would cause bank of america to do super well if they make a lot of auto loans to the millennials. >> is the headline risk for bank of america, because the countrywide deal is gone on a macro level? >> we are contrarians and we like that risk staying intact. the best performing stock the last 50 years is philip morris. they were sued and regulated and vilified constantly for those 50 years.
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>> we want businesses that should be liked. keep your trading costs down to a minimum. >> a big week for bank earnings. any other names out there you like? maybe mid cap or something? >> we stick to the big ones. we think the moat has widened dramatically. the share of deposits and car loans will go to jpmorgan bank of america and wells fargo. when the news or regulatory or political environment is negative, but your moat is widening, that lays the ground fork to be a good long other term holding. >> as you know and our smart viewers and listeners know the
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biggest banks now control more assets and capital than before the financial crisis. >> correct. >> thank you very much. appreciate it. chinese markets continue to rebound the shanghai composite breaking the 4,000 mark since july 2nd. pulled back a bit since. they've got a long way to go before they recover. what is china doing to beat the bear? it took tim morehouse years to master the perfect lunge. but only one attempt to master depositing checks at chase atms. technology designed for you. so you can easily master the way you bank.
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china's equity market has been nothing but a roller coaster ride with some drawing comparisons to the collapse of 2000 or the dow crash in 1929 despite rallying big time for a third straight session. is china in a bubble or boom? let's go to dee. we have so many analysts on particularly who cover companies that feed into the chinese economy, apple, semiconductor analysts. they are not concerned about the impact of the collapse of the chinese stock market because stocks are held by so few people even though most of the investing activity is done by retail investors. how do you look at it in terms of the impact on chinese consumption? >> we think, well i guess there's two aspects when you think about it. we were in the middle of last
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week, i would probably be more concerned saying the impact on consumption could be a little bit larger than what i'm sitting here right now and that could feed into the real economy which is the economy already slowing down. after three consecutive sessions of stock market going up the consensus will be the worst over in the chinese stock market and volatility still remains. now we can see valuation become compelling to us. >> are you concerned that maybe the worst is not over because so many companies were required to buy under government duress effectively and required to hold those stocks for a certain amount of time? this is a lock-up expiration. when that expiration expires, whether it be six months or a year down the line there could be another huge wave of selling? >> there were two aspects if you
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think about this. first the impact of this government intervention to the market as a whole. this is definitely a setback to the empire reform. this could delay the inclusion in the future and stepback for liberalizing the capital market and internationalization. but on the other hand let's look at the chinese market the large cap index versus small cap index. talking about valuation bubble. we are looking at small cap index which is trading at 80 times forward earning which is a level not sustainable by any means. if we are looking at the shanghai composite of large capital index forward pe was only at 18 times. right now has come down to 14 1/2 times.
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that looks to us as compelling. >> di thank you for joining us. it is the high of the day for the three major indexes. we have the dow jones industrial average up nicely. we are seeing a big rally there. bob pisani talked about it being on greece. it's a beautiful monday so let's be negative. the worst performing stock in the s&p 500 is joy global. i bring that up -- that's not the right one. >> worst performing today or to date? >> this month. demand is falling in china and undercut by cheaper chinese mining equipment company makers. >> that's an interesting one after that discussion. we'll see. >> what is on your show? >> comcast. new high for our parent company. unveiling a streaming service.
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will it attract new customers or will it cannibalize their business? >> i'll look forward to listening to it on the radio on my drive home. thank you. see you at 5:00. welcome to the closing bell. i'm kelly evans at the new york stock exchange. >> that would make me bill griffeth. a deal in greece they have. it's not done by any means. stocks are rallying on this pending agreement between greece and its european competitors. we'll talk about what could potentially derail this deal. >> as energy prices fall what other companies could be making a move in this

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