tv Worldwide Exchange CNBC October 26, 2016 5:00am-6:01am EDT
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this is the new comfort food. and it starts with foster farms simply raised chicken. california grown with no antibiotics ever. let's get comfortable with our food again. good morning. earnings alert. apple shares under pressure as the tech giant reports its first annual revenue decline in 15 years. markets now. u.s. equity futures trading lower as investors focus on mixed earnings results. and play ball. the indians dominate game one of the world series. "worldwide exchange" begins right now. ♪ good morning. welcome to "worldwide exchange" on cnbc. i'm sara eisenment.
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>> i'm wilfred frost. good morning to you. >> let's look at global stocks this morning. starting with u.s. equity futures. it really has been a tale of earnings especially on the dow. yesterday pulled up by procter & gamble, pulled lower by 3m. dow futures under pressure to the tune of 62 points. s&p 500 futures down about 8. nasdaq down about 26. as for the ten-year yield, we are going into a heavy batch of economic data. 176 is the yield. that's sort of in the mid point of the range that we've been seeing, 170 to 180 a few weeks ago. see if we can climb over that threshold. the betting odds are that december is a go. november not so much. >> exactly right. yesterday we did see in terms of quantity more beats in the earnings releases that we saw than misses. but there was some high profile misses on stocks that consumer confidence data also had, also
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oil prices slipping below $50. >> apple after the bell a big weight. >> that's a factor on futures. let's look at european equities. they're in the red. quite significantly so today. the best part of a percent for the ftse 100. germany and france not far behind. seeing declines. oil again cited as one of the factors for that. asian trade was negative and there was some talk that the extent of lending may be clamped down upon. that's weighed on shanghai and hong kong. the nikkei eking out a small gain. as for the broader market, you mentioned oil. let's check in on prices. wti slips below $50 a barrel. under some selling pressure here. down 1.5%. brent to 50.06 down 1.4%. there's skepticism about the opec deal. we do have the government data release on wednesday for
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inventories later this morning in the session. >> brent was below 50 a few minutes ago. so it's hovering around that level. just a bit of fear. now it's below the high profile number of 50. will it continue? will the fall proliferate from there? either way we're still above where we were a while ago. just bit of concern in the market yesterday and today. >> you have the stronger dollar, which tends to push modi itcomm prices lower. the euro a bit firmer, 109.23. the dollar is also weaker against the yen. the strong dollar giving something back. the dollar yesterday reaching the highest level since february. the pound 1.2206. the pound has been all over the place. this is the new eamericans mmeis currency. >> when we're down, we recover, but still 1.220, as you say, a bit worrying.
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as for gold, let's show you on the flip side, gold getting a bit of strength, though not much. to today's top story, apple, the word's most valuable company reported its first decline in annual revenue an profits since 2001. revenue fell for the third straight quarter as iphone sales dropped from a year ago. earnings came in at 1.67 a share. one cent better than estimates. revenue fell 9% to more than 46 billion. that was in line with expectations. still, the tech giant issued a rosy outlook on hopes for strong sales of the iphone 7. tim cook addressed the numbers on the call. >> our results for the september quarter were very strong. we generated $46.9 billion in revenue in the quarter towards the high end of our guidance range. gross margin was 38%. at the very top of our range.
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we sold 45.5 million iphones, reflecting continued improvement in year over year performance compared to the last two quarters as we forecasted in january. iphone sales were up in 33 of our top 40 markets. >> part of the problem was china. sales declined 30% of the company's most haven't quarecen. >> it's very hard to gauge demand, as you know, when you're selling everything you're making. we'll find out more through the quarter. we're confident enough to give you guys guidance that we're returning to growth this quarter, which obviously feels good for us. and from a longer term point of view, out of the 90-day clocks, and so fourth, we are very bullish on china.
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>> joining us now on the cnbc news line to dissect the latest quarter is sean harrison, senior research analyst for supply chain electronics and industrial technology at longbow research. thanks for calling in. >> thank you. >> first we saw shares pop a bit on the number after hours, after what looked like a beat. then they gave it back. now they are under pressure into the open. i've seen excuses ranging from the average selling price for the iphone going down to bigger, longer-term questions about where the next growth spurt for apple is coming from. why do you think shares are reacting this way? >> i think the answer is in between. one of the larger questions is apple can't meet demand an how much of that demand is perishable meaning it can't capture maybe some of the interests into the quarter. it trails into the march quarter and competitors get some of the product. gross margins are lighter than street expectation expectations.
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apple expediting get products to market, then there is the longer term question. they did touch on ai on the call. interest in tv and content, you can hear them talking about the car, with r&d spending up, and sales down t begs the question of when is the gratification going to come from an increased r&d spend. >> for hardware, china is meant to be the growth region. it fell significantly and is no longer a part of the pie. it's 20% of the revenues. how concerning is that? >> it is a bit concerning. as you played in the clip, apple is promising a return to growth here in the december quarter. very tough comps last year in the china market. the iphone 7 plus is preferred relative to the smaller foreign factor. we'll see how the december quarter plays out. also the services business in
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china is not as strong as the west. that's something to watch as well. the bigger question is debts quarter returns to growth, what about the march quarter and beyond. there are some questions beyond the december quarter. >> why doesn't the services revenue growth excite investors and analysts in services revenue growing 24% to a quarterly record of $6.3 billion. apple talks it up certainly. why isn't this the next growth area? why doesn't the company seem to get respect for that profitable division? >> you know, it is a funny dynamic. you sold $137 billion worth of iphones last year. $24 billion worth of services. it's a high market business growing 20% year over year, it's a relative scale to the iphone. the iphone still moves the needle. whether you can continue 20% growth year over year, apple suggests it can, but it's
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something they're watching. great business, demonstrating the apple ecosystem and the love for products, but it's still tiny relative to the iphone. what do you do with the stock? it's down 3.4% in the market. it had a strong run up into the report, up 20% in three months. how is it likely to trade for the rest of the year going into the all-important holiday quarter which tim cook sounded optimistic about in terms of iphone 7 demand. >> feels like we're getting a sideways trade in the stock. whether apple continue tossing bu continues to be bullish for the product, you are left with a dearth of demand rather than sell through. >> thank you, shawn. i was going to get your target quickly before we let you go. >> target price $140. >> got it. >> shawn harrison of longbow
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research. thank you very much. 15 years ago this week the ipod was released. >> it feels like a long time. i remember when i first got one. >> this time next year it will be ten-years from when the iphone was released. >> that's the key right now. more than 60% of the revenue comes from the iphone. that's what the street has started to focus on. if you read through conference call highlights. analysts used to love this stock. one analyst asked on the call, which is sort of a strange thing -- usually you focus on the quarterly numbers, dig deep, does apple have a grand strategy for the next three to five years, i know you won't tell us, but do you have one? tim cook responding we got the strongest pipeline we've ever had. we're confident about the things. but as usual we won't talk at all about it. he was pressed to follow up. this is what they're trying to figure out. what is the next thing as what we see, iphones can't continue
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to grow the way they have in the past. prices continue to come down, even if the iphone 7 has pleased. >> it's not just the iphone. 80% of sales are from hardware, add to that the ipad, watch and the mac saw declines. that's across the hardware suite of products. until you see that next product, people are worried. other stocks to watch today, a busy one for earnings last night. chipotle's third quarter profit plunging 95% as that company continues to struggle to recover from the food safety scares. last year the chain's same-store sales fell 22%. worse than expected. but forecast sales to rise in the high single digits in 2017. shares under pressure in the
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premarket to the tune of 2%. panera bread's third quarter results beat forecasts. same-store sales rose 3%. they were helped by price increases in the menu and raising full-year outlook. pandora's third year earnings falling short of expectations. also cutting their full-year guidance as the number of full time listeners falls and costs rise. akamai beat forecast. the company which helps to speed up delivery of content over the internet was helped by strong demand for its cloud security products. and today lloyds reporting third quarter profits sank. the uk's third largest bank setting aside cash for insurance products that customers didn't need. they say the brexit impact on the company was muted. some question whether they can generate enough capital to maintain the dividend plan.
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>> the ppi thing, it's a uk-focused insurance, the possibility of raising pore capital. switching to a bank over here, wells fargo, the newly appointed ceo, tim sloan, told employees he's sorry for the pain that the bank's employees have felt due to the bank practicing scandal. sloan acknowledged that the bank did not respond to the problem in branches soon enough and the role leadership played adding it still hurts that people felt that leadership blamed employees. wells is rolling out a new ad campaign to address the but admd expect more tough headlines. before the bell, we'll get numbers from boeing, coca-cola and comcast, the parent company of cnbc.
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snackmaker mondelez on northrop grumman. as for the economic data, the advanced report of trade deficit at 8:30, and new home sales at 10:00 a.m. cnbc hosted a net net summit at the new york stock exchange, the program designed to look at the way companies and executives are promoting innovation, using technology to accelerate growth. the summit offered financial executives a chance to think about tomorrow's trends in the context of today's challenges. among the highlights i moderated a panel with pepsico's ceo and her cfo, hugh johnson. have a listen. >> we argue, we fight about lots of issues. but when we come out to the executive committee, we have to show a level of unity. the reason being that it can't be that the cfo's disagreeing
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with the ceo. and then the question is who is running the company. you can't have that kind of confusion. i say who is running the company, he keeps nixing everything before it comes to me, that's not a good thing. on the other hand, if i override hugh, that's not good for hugh. it's important that the ceo and cfo see eye to eye. we discuss things ahead of time. >> i thought that was a good window there into the relationship into the corporate office of a company we talk about the summit finished with q&a between jim cramer and preet bharara, and cybercrime was a big issue. >> i think the government is a bit behind on understanding technology. we are doing the best we can to get ahead of it. some of the hackers who are hurting you guys and causing a threat to you guys and to the government and our infrastructure are way ahead of
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the game. >> the net net summit last night. still to come, nintendo cutting its profit outlook today. we'll tell you why and speak with an investor who went active on the stock a few years ago pushed mobile gaming and made a fortune in the process. where, in all of this, is the stuff that matters? the stakes are so high, your finances, your future. how do you solve this? you don't. you partner with a firm that advises governments and the fortune 500, and, can deliver insight person to person, on what matters to you. morgan stanley.
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the conference call. the ultimate arena for business. hour after hour of diving deep, touching base, and putting ducks in rows. the only problem with conference calls: eventually they have to end. unless you have the comcast business voiceedge mobile app. it lets you switch seamlessly from your desk phone to your mobile with no interruptions. i've never felt so alive. get the future of phone and the phones are free. comcast business. built for business. other earnings this morning to tell you about. then anyone cutting its profit
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outlook, but they got a bounce from pokemon go smartphone game and shares in japan under a bit of pressure. the activist investor oasis investment urged nintendo to go mobile and have benefits from success of pokemon go. joining us is seth fisher from oasis. he's in tel aviv for the annual conference there. good morning to you. thank you very much for joining us. let's quickly touch on this nintendo earnings report this morning. if you could tie it in, what they're doing there with the recent success of pokemon go. the benefits of pokemon go already been seen and passed by? >>. >> so we still saw revenue down, and net income was up. that's because pokemon go is below the line.
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that's super exciting, we've yet to see the full effect of super mario being available on the iphone 7. that's coming soon. that will be -- we'll see that impact. but, yes, pokemon below is below the line. >> does then anyonintendo remai way for millennials to get involved in smartphones? >> yes, absolutely. >> let's talk about the other reason why you're there at the sohn conference. you made a presentation on yum brands. what's your overall view on yum? >> sure. i actually spoke about yum china. yum coming november 1st will split off its business split between yum and yum china both are extraordinarily different businesses. yum will be an extraordinary asset-light business and continue do buy-backs. i think it's an interesting opportunity because all the passive money will have to sell
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their shares in yum china. yum china has an enormous amount of growth prospects. we looked at the footprint in china, they're in over 1100 cities. i' i'm suggesting over the next couple weeks, when it starts trading on november 1st there will be a lot of force selling which will create an opportunity to buy a good business at a good price. stock now trading at $25. might have an opportunity to buy that at $22 or $21. we think the stock is worth $35. >> it's predicated on a bullish view on the yum china business specifically? >> yes. i'm actually -- i was recommending the buy on yum china in particular. >> there have been problems with yum china and yum's operations in china over the last few years, especially with food safety. it's been vulnerable to any sentiment swing we get in the macro economic data.
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one bad export review and yum china seems to suffer. how do you guide through those headwinds? >> the further aware you get from china, the more bearish you are. there's enormous growth in the eamerica emerging middle class, that middle class is eating out more often. the middle class, whether gdp is $6100 a person, $6500 a person. they're underserved by quick service restaurants. there's an enormous runway for yum china to continue to expand the footprint. and they have virtually no competitors in that footprint in china. >> you think they can win back the trust of the consumers after the safety scares? >> i think they have been. margins remain high. margins in cities are up by 20%. we did our own internal survey last week, the margins remain at 20%.
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demand remains well. all those city names, hunan, all those cities that i may not be familiar with, all are massiv y ly underserved. there's a large runway. seth, thanks for joining us right after coming off the stage. seth fischer of oasis management from the annual sohn conference from tel aviv. still to come, the top political stories including hillary clinton picking up an endorsement from republican colin powell. cme group can help you navigate risks and capture opportunities. we enable you to reach global markets and drive forward with broader possibilities.
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now to the politics news, colin powell says he will be voting for hillary clinton. the retired four star general endorsed her at a meeting of a business group yesterday praising clinton's leadership and experience also going after donald trump for some of his negative comments. he has played an interesting role in the campaign with some hacked e-mails showing he had some reservations about hillary clinton going back to 2014 in private e-mail conversations. >> some hints this was coming as well. >> yes. just the latest in the list of distinguished foreign policy experts, many of which are
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republican to endorse hillary clinton. more of a no vote i see it as for trump than for clinton. >> absolutely. still the clinton campaign welcoming it . coming up, the top stories, including the full story on apple's latest results. and later tonight, don't miss under armour ceo kevin plank joining the half time report.ew ustomers. ustomers. i know. can you believe we're getting orders from canada, ireland... this one's going to new zealand. new zealand? psst. ah, false alarm. hey! you guys are gonna scare away the deer! idiots... providing global access for small business. fedex.
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good morning. apple under pressure. shares of the tech giant down as the company reports its first annual revenue decline in 15 years. new day new test for the markets. boeing and coca-cola before the bell. we'll get you ready. and lady gaga as you have never seen her before. videos going viral. it's wednesday, october 26, 2016, you're watching "worldwide exchange" on cnbc. ♪ good morning. welcome back to "worldwide exchange" on cnbc. i'm sara eisen. >> i'm wilfred frost. good morning to you from me. let's check in on the global markets. yesterday we saw about a half percent decline for the nasdaq, a quarter for the dow and s&p. some high profile earnings misses, but probably more beats than misses. nevertheless the results were
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declines yesterday. today we're calling it lower, 80 points down for the dow. s&p down 9. the s&p down 28. apple shares in the premarket down about 8%. weighing on sentiment is markets around the world. europe down for the ftse 100. similar declines for germany and france. wti and brent below $50 this morning at certain points. asian trade, apart from the nikkei, soft, too. some conversations happening over there about whether the pboc will cut down on credit use taj. that's hurt stocks in hong kong and china. oil under pressure. wti slips below $50 a barrel. 49.24. there's some comments and talk from interfax russia that it might not be on board with the cuts in production that was
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agreed to by opec and other oil members going into a big meeting in november. brent 50.08, down 1.4%. gas prices down as well. the ten-year treasury note yield, 1.76, just below that number. flat. the big economic report of note today, september new home sales. those numbers expected 10:00 a.m. to drop 1.5% from august. 7.6% decline. so a bit of improvement expected on new home sales. dollar holds its recent highs. the highest level since back in february. gives a little bit back this morning. the euro at 1.0924 bouncing around between 1.08 and 1.09. the dollar/yen, 104.05. that's helping the japanese
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market come back. as for the pound, 1.22, stronger of a selloff yesterday against the u.s. dollar. add it up, the dollar still holding strong. to the breaking out, say, to highs of last year, but it is starting to be a head wind again for companies which continue to suffer. i'm thinking pe&g yesterday knocking three points off the top line. gold little movement in today's session. gold trading at 1 t.274. apple, earnings beating the street bay py a penny. they reported their first decline in annual revenue and profit since 2001. shares under pressure, down more than 3%. tim cook sounding upbeat on the call, projecting a return to growth on what he sees as strong sales of the new iphone 7.
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>> thrilled with the customer response to iphone 7 and iphone 7 plus. these are the best iphones we've ever made with break through camera systems, immersive stereo speakers and the best iphone performance and battery life ever thanks to the custom design apple a10 fusion chip. they feature the brightest most colorful iphone displays. demand continues to outstrip supply. >> some people say he was talking about the gorgeous finish of the phones as opposed to what's in them. the reason shares are declining, they are trying to push the fact that services revenue increased, which it did, but hardware declined. iphone, ipad, mac and the iphone watch all saw revenue declines. so the big four hardware
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categories falling. yes, services up. but it's a small portion of the pie. 13% or so. when you dive into how the hardware performance disappointed, china fell as well. that was meant to be a growth factor. declined 30%. it's no longer a small part of the pie. it's 19% of overall sales. yes, they're trying to say we're shifting to be a services company, but they're not there yet. the hardware revenues were declining. >> tim cook addressed some of the short-term concerns. china should come back. growth in iphones should come back with a strong demand. analysts thinking longer term what is next? what will be the growth driver? still an iphone company. the average selling price was down. $618 or so. so lower growth. the question is, is it a buy on the next big thing? will that be an iphone 8? will that be television?
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questions on the call. a bit of frustration on the sell side community on those analyst calls after what was years of them loving this stock, recommending this stock, getting frustrated it wasn't catching up to forecasts. >> shares have been strong the last few months. the overall point, can we consider them a services company? three, four years ago, you bought an iphone because of the ios software. that's why -- >> the ecosystem. >> you could argue you're staying with it because of service. that's not even a strong argument anymore. because they're similar, the different operating systems. some of the key apps this cl were itunes years ago, that dominated music, now there's spotify, other programs. they're all much more similar. to suggested it's a software company, it's kind of fair but not as fair as it was a few years ago. >> though it is an area of growth. cramer pointed out they deserve
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respect pomore than they're getting as a services company. trying to hammer that point. they have a record cash pile. cook on the call saying they're open to acquisitions. >> did they miss the time warner win? >> there were reports that they were talking to them. jeff bukus played that down on "squawk box" yesterday. >> they need more content for that. have they missed the chance? we'll see. that's down about 3%. it's a big factor to keep your eye on. other stocks to watch, vertex pharmaceuticals sales rose 34%, driven by drugs to treat cystic fibrosis. express scripts reports slightly higher third quarter results and narrows guidance for the year. they received subpoenas asking for information about its relationship with drug companies charitable foundations and specialty pharmacies. it's up 1% today. juniper networks reports third quarter results that beat
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estimates. also forecasting higher than expected fourth quarter numbers. edwards lifesciences reporting third quarter revenues that missed due to lower than expected sales of the heart valves, particularly outside the u.s. down 12%. weatherford international posting a huge third quarter loss on several charges, excluding items, they also missed forecasts. down 8%. international investment managers are gathering in tel aviv for the sohn conference. joining us from that conference is alexander freeman. alexander just came off the stage giving his 12 to 18-month view of the global macro environment. welcome. you say u.s. stocks are likely to trade sideways or grade higher and underperform other regions. do you see this as a turning point here for u.s. stocks versus the rest of the world?
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>> i think we have to separate the short and medium term. short-term, it's a story of politics, there's two scenarios that would be very problematic for the u.s. markets, either trump winning or clinton winning and sweeping both houses of congress. in either of those scenarios, the risk is to the downside. assuming the markets priced in a clinton victory, the story is a handoff of monetary policy to fiscal policy, specifically should she enact a spending plan. >> could fiscal policy pick up the slack if we did see a significant tightening cycle from the fed? do you just not expect to see the fed tighten in a meaningful way? >> well, it's a chicken and egg dynamic. the fed wants to see a meaningful infrastructure pending plan given that there's full employment so it can raise rates faster than the market
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expects. the challenge for clinton, if she's president, entitlement spending accounts for two-thirds of the budget, so there's not much latitude left. if the house stays republican, she has to get any plan through the house which will be tough. in terms of overall gdp percentage contribution, maybe half a point of annual kind of contribution would be all we could expect, which is probably not enough to meaningfully change the story. >> you are more confident in the european political outlook with a few key elections next year and the european equity market? or is this a question of valuation, u.s. versus europe? >> yeah. europe, you have the italian referendum coming up. elections in france and germany against the brexit uncertainty. so i'm more excited about europe. there's a lot of near-term tail risk associated with those events. italy is the big one to watch. if we assume that the referendum
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doesn't pass and renzi is true to his word and steps down, he may be reappointed by the president, if the results are close. in any case, would see uncertainty. so there's probably a series of sideways volatile periods ahead for much of the developed world. unfortunately we're back to the global growth story. there's not a lot of global growth. as an investor you are required to look at individual stocks, for example, individual companies and find valuation stories as opposed to the broad rising tide environment which we have seen propel passive instruments. >> thank you very much for joining us. much appreciated. alexander freedman of gam holding group. >> good to get a taste of those ideas out of the sohn conference. lady gaga joining james corbin for car karaoke. the star who just got her driver's license which she talked about, even got behind
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the wheel. look. ♪ i want your love i want your love as your revenge ♪ ♪ oh oh oh ♪ i'm on the edge of glory ♪ and i'm hanging on the moment with you ♪ ♪ i'm on the edge with you ♪ show him what i got ♪ >> i love that cordon put on the helmet when lady gaga was driving. we have to applaud james corden, how often are we playing clip tclips from that show? >> constantly. they go viral me. >> cordon wasn't really in time with some of the hand movements.
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he was a little confused there. >> i was watching her. i thought she was fantastic. sticking on the music front. justin timberlake may have had good intentions when he took this selfie in a voting booth but also play have broken the law. he said he fly from l.a. flew f tennessee from l.a. to tennessee, but broke the law taking a pick inside a voting booth. >> i don't think he'll get anything. >> why should they let him off? >> they say it was good intentions. he was trying to get people out to vote. >> a law is a law. >> it is a statewide law. there are different laws in different states. >> such a rebel. >> in new york, you can't take ballot selfies. >> i do like to take a selfie, but not if it breaks the law. marcus lamonis looking for
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the perfect fan to donate his world seeries tickets to. he found this 92-year-old world war ii vet who waited 71 years to see the cubs make it back to the world series. the front-row seats are estimated to be worth more than $20,000 a piece on the secondary market. too bad for him the cubs lost last night. >> but only game one. only game one. >> he probably won't have front row seats for all of them. hopefully he had an enjoyable evening. still to come, today's must reads, here's a look at what europe is doing in terms of trading this morning. down about a percent. we're back in a couple minutes. gilman: go get it, marcus. go get it. ...coach gilman used his cash rewards credit card from bank of america
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welcome back to "worldwide exchange." now time for our must read stories catching our attention. my pick in the "usa today," five worst political ads of 2016. here's a taste of it from the "usa today's" editorial board. pointing out for one, joe arpaio, the controversial shear rif of arizona wants voters to be afraid of his opponent, former police officer paul penzone, so what could be better
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than an ad that claims penzone assaulted his wife. things are getting nasty in maricopa county. the charge goes back to an argument that penzone and his wife had 13 years ago, where they both claimed she hit him with a hockey stick, he responded claiming that he pushed her against the wall. no charges were filed. a judge dismissed restraining order attempts. the ex-wife came out this year saying it was not a big deal. still it makes its way into the political ads. >> highlighting that fights are getting nasty all the way down the ticket. >> i would say this is nothing different. >> also educating me to the point that you guys vote for sheriff. >> yeah. all sorts of hyper -- >> the head of the police force is a vote. >> a lot at stake. we are approaching the top of the hour. the team is getting ready for "squawk box." joe kernen has a look at what is coming up.
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i would ask you what your favorite political ad of the season is, but i'm scared to find out. >> you should be. wilfred, was the sheriff of nottingham was not elected? do you know? was he appointed? how did that work? >> i don't know. that was quite some time ago. we don't have sheriffs anymore. i was surprised that the head of a police force was not appointed. that was all. >> maybe it's different over there. you know, we've got -- i don't think we have a single -- speaking of politics, i don't think we have a single election related guest today. i looked at the list last night, i could see the day coming where that could be the case. so many earnings coming. i was actually happy. we have the ceo of ryder, ceo of southwest airlines, ceo of s santine which is interesting with the obamacare controversy coming out. and we also have -- also, wilf,
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have sir andrew -- i should say sir andrew witty who will be on. i was wondering -- explain to me, i cannot be sir yo self -- there's no way. what is the best i can do if the queen really likes me. >> you can be knighted. you could get a british knighthood, it would have to be something including serious services to britain. perhaps if you transferred to london and did a lot in the broadcasting community for the next decade, you could be knighted for services to british broadcasting. wow have your work cut out. >> to be one of the only people on tv that was happy about brexit and actually when it was happening -- that may be enough -- i would never be called a sir, would i? >> you could be. you don't have to be a british
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national. people who lived and worked there for a long time and achieved a great amount whether in philanthropy or their own field, they can still be knighted. >> there's hope. >> there is hope. but it's easier for you, right? >> presumably. but i'm not living and working there. also not looking very likely. joe, "squawk box" starts in nine minutes time. still to comings more insight on the markets when we're joined by chris rupkey from mufg union bank.
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u.s. economy. the economic data is taking a backseat to earnings and politics now. when does it come back to the forefront? >> well, that's interesting. it is almost as if the fed is not address much data dependent. remember what yellen said in september, it's not the economy doing what they want, they just wanted it to run more. in that context people are not going from data point to data point, from gdp to payroll jobs to unemployment claims. the market is squelched here just waiting. you can't say it's like a coiled spring getting ready for volatility to explode. it's just very quiet. the fed has put down their heavy boot on the fixed income market, yields are not moving. >> what about that data yesterday, consumer confidence, did that concern you? >> i wrote that it concerned me. yeah. it came down, but it's still above the average for the year.
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it is not signaling that the election jitters are getting to the consumer yet. consumer spending was strong in the second quarter. nothing wrong yet from that -- >> what sort of reads are you getting from the big earnings report? we have a lot of multinationals in terms of economic takeaways and the ability for companies to bounce back when it comes to corporate profits. >> that's interesting. especially interesting that hillary clinton's talking about making corporations come up with some more money to help on the budget. what we've seen with the budget, one reason the budget deficit went out to 587 billion in this fiscal year was the last six months, april through september, corporate earnings were weaker. so, i think we're doing okay. you know, the market looks at their earnings, economists look at their measured of earnings, and it looks like on the
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economist measures with gdp type earnings prof earnings profits that we turned the corner. >> on friday what do you expect for gdp? >> 2.5%. the fomc is bearish on growth. they have 1.8%, 2% in the next three or four years. >> so what will the fomc do for november and december? >> so it's between almost everyone is saying december now. every single person on the committee, thank goodness. the battle now is next year between two rate hikes or three rate hikes. that's how silly it gets. the problem for me is that once we get december, assuming we get it, they'll say nothing until june. ten-year treasury yields won't go up if we have to wait until june. >> except they're not. they don't give calendar dates, they give other signals like running hot. >> that running hot, put that
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apple shares under pressure as the tech giant reports its first annual revenue decline in 15 years. still a big revenue number and expected to ramp up with the iphone 7. chipotle shares falling after an earnings miss and just little progress in terms of the company's food safety problems that we all are familiar with. and a rough start to the fall classic if you're a cubs fan. the indians dominating the cubs in game one of the world series. shutout. it's wednesday, october 26, 2016. "squawk box" begins right now.
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♪ live from new york where business never sleeps, this is "squawk box." welcome to "squawk box." melissa lee is hanging out with us for the morning. u.s. equity futures at this hour, red arrows across the board. the dow looking like it would open down 68 points. nasdaq looking off, 25 points down. the s&p 500 would open off about 8 points. overnight in asia, you're looking at a bit of a mixed picture. most importantly the hang seng off about 1%. let's tell you what's going on in europe right now. the other thing there, you're seeing red arrows, keying off of that as well. oil prices under pressure this morning following a news report that showed a surge in u.s. crude stocks, a squabble
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