welcome to "street signs." these are your headlines this morning. president trump hails the u.s. economy as the envy of the world as he calls for unity in his state of the union address and warns partisan politics could threaten to derail economic growth >> an economic miracle is taking place in the united states, and the only thing that can stop it.

>> red lights flashing for the rail merger. the european commission will reject a tie-up between siemens and rail units later today the top of the stock 600 after announcing a merger with airbus bernard charles tells cnbc global digitization is a big positive for the company where. >> all those projects around the world are now adoptinged digital world. >> growing 6% on new licenses, and i think we will replicate that success in 2019 and bnp paribas lowers its profitability and revenue targets for 2020 on a weak fourth quarter as the french lender shifts its focus to cost-cutting measures. >> on the cib side, we do adapt a little bit why?

because it is indeed true if you look at the overall fee evolution, the outlook is a tad more moderate than it was. that is why we step up on one hand, because of the reduction >>. >> good morning, everybody there is a lot to get through on this show. i want to start out by giving a recap of how things have panned out in equity markets overnight. we've had a lot of developments on the political front with the state of the union address we'll be delving into that shortly. essentially to stress border health care, foreign policy, perhaps not so much on the shutdown remember, the deadline is only nine days away now all eyes on markets. at least as far as investors are concerned on what that means in terms of whether or not there will be a long lasting agreement between the two sides there. a lot of the asian indexes are still closed because of the lunar new year nikkei slightly up in the green. european markets you can see as a whole opening up a little softer this morning to the tune of .2%

let's get to individual indexes to break it down across the board we're red ftse 100 is down .3% cac is trading weaker. today the story is really one of earnings, but a lot of stories driving some of the performance there. ftse where i 100 is giving back. dax as you were alluding to, some negativity being priced in there. especially ahead of that decision -- all-important decision on siemens there. cac, we also had some earnings on the banking sector weighing down right at the bottom.

>> the stock 600 up 10%. that's helping to drive performance on the tech sector up .6% then right at the bottom we've got autos underperforming. almost down 1% on the day as well we had some earnings out of daimler. we'll be speaking to anet about that shortly again, more cost pressures on their side whether it's on the terrorist front or on the roll-out of electric vehicles. that pretty much sums up activity it's a weaker start for european equities this morning, but our main story overnight, president donald trump has used his state of the nation address to call for a thawing of bipartisan relations. at times striking a kol silltory tone, he called on the united states to take action on a crumbling infrastructure immigration remained a divisive topic with trump saying he feels it's a "moral dultty" to rework

the system he hailed last month's unexpectedly strong jobs report, and he said his economic achievements were unprecedented. >> the u.s. economy is growing almost twice as fast today as when i took office, and we are considered far and away the hottest economy anywhere in the world. not even close [ applause ] unemployment has reached the lowest rate in over half a century. an economic miracle is taking place in the united states >> the president also failed to declare a national emergency to secure funding for his wall, and instead he referred to the southern border as a "urgent national crisis. >> in the past most of the

people in this room. they didn't get it built i will get it built. >> simply put, walls work, and walls save lives >> all right joining me now is mark, professor of political economy at brown university. thanks for joining the show today, mark. your take-away from last night's address, did you learn anything new? was it supposed to be a conciliatory reaching out, reaching the bipart zplan divide doesn't appear to be the case, does it? snoo well, it's groundhog day. it's the same every year it's theater you come out you pump up the base you signal to your friends in congress and you say who the enemy is and who is not. what clearly comes out of this is declaring the national emergency is too problematic they don't want to go down that way. trump's agenda has basically been reduced to somehow i'm going to build a wall, and i'm going to reach out to that

because that's the only foreign policy thing that i'm not blocked by you guys. >> obviously, the meeting with kim we know is going to happen tend of february it's interesting i was reading some statistics overnight that typically the president of the united states will use the state of the union address to spell out the policy pledges. in reality very few of them actually end up getting implemented on average it's about 25%. even less with a divided congress, such as what we have now. do you think yesterday's platform was more of a campaign speech rather than a speech to the entire u.s. population in terms of wanting to reach the divide between the two sides?

the most remarkable thing is not just the jobs reports which keep going. the economy keeps expanding, despite everyone saying if must be the end of the cycle soon, but also the fact that his numbers hold up. >> that was my next point, right? on an absolute level his approval rating is around 40%, which is a record low since he started, but according to his base, the approval is still there. it's still very, very sticky is it the fact fa that the u.s. economy is doing well? i guess the question is is it trump himself, or is it just a reflection of the broader economy and the challenges that the economy faced before trump came in, the fact that the u.s. economy is doing well? can there be another trump in his place that could also resonate with the trump base, per se >> one way to think about this is if you go back a long time.

go back to the first globalization shock, which is basically japan and south korea. the migration of heavy industry from the midwest in the 1970s. then you have the nafta shock. then the china shock. >> how much it is a fukds of him being in the seats right now versus real serious shifts in terms of foreign policy and also

domestic policy in years to come >> certainly not too much. if we think about the problem with china or the trade surpluses, well, again, you have to see that in a wider global context. if you net all-out china is moving to almost the deficit position against the whole world. on the other hand, what really matters in these bilateral conflicts is the relationship long-term between china and the u.s. that's important throughout the rest of the world in financial markets. trump is adding to the problems rather than solving the problems in those areas >> all right mark, going to leave it there for the time being mark light, the professor of political economy at brown university talking about some of the bigger issues in his state of the union address. president trump also praised his administration's efforts in reversing decades of calamatous trade practices. he told congress that trade tariffs were working, adding any deal with beijing must be fair >> we recently imposed tariffs on $250 billion of chinese goods

and now our treasury is receiving billions and billions of dollars , but i don't blame china for taking advantage of us i blame our leaders and representatives for allowing this traversy to happen. have i great respect for president xi, and we are now working on a new trade deal with china. it must include real structural change to end unfair trade practices reduce our chronic trade deficit and protect american jobs. >> the big take-away, i guess is they're looking for structural changes when it comes to the relationship with china. what more can you tell us? >> that's right. because of that the negotiators are going to have to spend a lot

more time trying to make sure they're able to get every single bit done since there is so much work left to do. u.s. and chinese negotiators are expected to be meeting again the u.s. delegation is expected to arrive before talks next week. the u.s. delegation is going to be led by trade representative bob leitheizer and steven mnuchin who will be here in beijing. bob had issued a statement emphasizing what he thought was important in the speech. he said the president is confronting china's unfair trade practices and replacing nafta with an innovative landmark agreement for the 21st century this new agreement is a model for all future trade deals the secretary will be on cnbc live on "squawk box" in a couple hours. hopefully he can give us more

information on what he plans to do while in china. the chinese government, though, is officially closed for the lunar new year holiday however, there are officials who are still at work at least part of the time because they do have a lot of work left to do. it could be part of his trip out toiza, and he confirmed during his speech that he would be meeting with the north korean leader, kim yong you know, on february 27th and 2k8th in vietnam. >> all right thank you for breaking it down for us, eunice all eyes will be on how those

discussions transpire over the next couple of weeks that is as far as it concerns the china-u.s. relations i also just want to bring you some flashes that we had saying the e.u. competition chief margaret vestager will be giving a news conference today on two merger cases that is set for 10:45 gms. this is just announced by the european commission. of course, all eyes will be on what they have to say about that all stem siemens railway merger. they will most likely veto, but we'll be watching that also coming up on the show, it is a big day for earnings results. we'll have more on the huts and the misses in franc further and paris after the break.

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year 3.25 euros per share. anetta, you have been looking at the numbers. first blush, it appears to be disappointing on the cost side especially the outlook is disappointing to investors they're striking quite a cautious tone when it comes to the profit target for 2019 they're aiming now at a profit target of profit margin, i should say, between 6% and 8%. they're facing slowing demand in the nafta region that is weighing on the

profitability of the core brand car segment. in may a new ceo will take on the top job at daimler and face as well a challenging 20189 as the cooling down effect of the economy is not going away very soon they need to blow a lot of money into electrifying their fleet. this is costing them billions or millions and millions, and this is also why they've cut the dividend for the first time in nine years

>> very well encapsulated. daimler trading down about 2.4%. the who auto sector is down .9% as well. the software firm found a strong performance in the 3-d platform in the forty quarter and reported a 13% rise in revenue beating expectations now, the ceo bernard charles spoke to cnbc earlier in an exclusive interview saying increased digitization is good for business >> all those projects around the world are now adopting the digital world. basically the digital twin to validate before they can start to build things.

i think we will replicate that success in 2019. adoption of the digitalization across life science, mobility, energy, cities even. singapo singapore. also, on big projects. they are really adopting those technologies, which are now essential to save on reduced costs, and more importantly, to do things right the first time >> it's only 9:20, but we're going to talk about beer karlzberg has reported better sales due to a strong growth in china. they expect to have growth in 30 to 40 chinese cities that is compared to 20 12ez at the end of 2018. the company expects organic operating profit to grow in the mid single digits. that is below last year's 11% level. stay with us because we're going to be speaking to the ceo cees'

thart right after the show ing has posted better than expected fourth quarter underlying repraks earnings. this on the back of rising interest income, commissions, and fees the dutch financial group said it had seen long growth of 3.2 billion euros and a net growth margin of 1.56%. we spoke with the ceo earlier, and he said that the bank will seen a bump in new customers despite a scandal linked poor monitoring of money laundering by clients >> we've seen 1.1 million new customers coming in, one mule new primary customers coming in for the quarter. even 300,000 extra and in net lending continues to grow. just for the quarter we had 7.7 billion of new savings coming in that resulted into a result of

1,273,000 net result for the quarter, which is up 25% from last year's fourth quarter >> ing up 4% not so much for bnp paribas which has reported a miss driven by weakness in the french bank's investment banking division. the lender revised down its profitability in revenue growth targets for 2020 as it pledged to increase cost-savings let's get out it juliana who is in paris, and juliana, just looking at the earnings, it appears they really have a lot of challenges to confront in the investment banking space and that they've identified those challenges, and they're trying to do something about it namely, by undergoing this restructuring. >> they continue to see challenges in global markets in particular they saw weakness in fik and equities in q4 in equities they said a lot of that weakness came towards the end of q4. of course, all of that market volatility, we saw in december

as a result they have taken steps to try to mitigate the impact of this weakness. they have cut their 2020 revenue and profitability targets, and also announced additional cost-cutting measures that will -- an additional 600 million, 350 million, that will come from cib where, it wasn't all negative one of the key bright points in the release was their balance sheet which remains very solid analysts had been concerned around their rwa going up on the back of that volatility we saw in equity markets in december. in fact, their capital adequacy has improved corps tier one capital came in ten basis points higher than in september. now, looking beyond cib, domestic markets were also slightly better on the quarter this houses bnp's retail banking business this is more than one-third of group revenues, and this business actually saw revenues increase 0.4% year-on-year in the quarter. one of the big questions for this business, as we look at a macropicture in europe, which is

darkening, how will their businesses in france and italy fair as the economy deteriorates i put this question to the cfo, lars as well as the question around their client's preparedness for brexit. take a listen. there is some uncertainty. rates are very low yes, it is an environment which is a bit tougher than what you could have expected. >> italy is another topic in terms of the political risk in europe if you look in italy, there are

wonderful midcap that is are present there. they are exporting and basically need baimging to accompany them in their export and their trade. >> we are well prepared. let's not forget, we are a domestic bank in several european countries we have an international reach for us we basically are ready. it is true, it would be helpful if that uncertainty is lifted and that the market knows how to move >> do you feel like your corporate clients are prepared >> listen, what i see is in the

activities that we have with them there is some uncertainty that we are face, and that's what we will face. from what we see, it's that they are having and taeg steps to be prepared as well as they can >> now, putting it all together and looking ahead, the key question is even if they deliver on these new less ambitious 2020 targets, is it enough to get the stock going again? as you pointed out, jumana, bnp is under pressure. shares are down 35% over the last year. is this enough back to you. >> essential a big question. the reaction today in the stock price would suggest not for the time being juliana, thank you for bringing us the latest from paris also coming up in our show, the e.u. is set to announce its decision on the siemens merger today. we will have the latest on that right after the break. stay with us

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state of the union address, and warns partisan politics could threaten to derail economic growth >> an economic miracle is taking place in the united states, and the only thing that can stop it are foolish wars, politics, or ridiculous partisan investigations a press conference in just over an hour as sources tell cnbc bristol will reject a tie-up between siemens and all steps rail unit. announcing a tie-up with airbus on 3 t designs as the ceo tells cnbc global digitization is a big positive for the company. >> all those projects are adopting the digital world

growing 24% on new licenses, and i think that we will replicate that success in 2019 and bnp paridbas trades towards the bottom after lowering its profitability and revenue targets for 2020 on a weak fourth quarter as the french lender shifts its focus to cost-cutting measures >> on the cib side we do adapt a little bit if you look at the overall fee eflation, the outlook is that much more moderate than it was that is why we step up on one hand the cost reduction. a quick look at european markets to see how things are trading this morning ftse 100 down about one-third of a percentage point 22 points weaker as we said, some of the give-back from the quantities and minors which had been doing very well the last couple of sessions all eyes on the discussions that theresa may will be having in

brussels with the yourp even commission president that will happen tomorrow. that is the political back drop. we are through 114 now weaker cable through 130 as a level as well, and the catalyst for that were very weak pmi numbers coming out yesterday on the composite front. interesting setup for the bank of england tomorrow. let's not forget the meeting is happening no doubt there will be a lot of questions post systems. not just about the political back drop, but also about the slowing economic back drop as well.

digestion of some of the news that we had yesterday. today we've been talking about disney and snapchat's earnings we'll be talking about that a little bit later on in the show as well. our top story in europe, the e.u. is widely expected to reject the siemens and alstom rail merger. they have just announced that the competition chief will deliver a news conference at 11:45 cet on two cases now, according to cnbc, sources close to the industrial companies commissioners are currently in talks and preparing to veto the deal both the french and german governments have lobbied for the tie-up as they look to create a european champion that could

ward off chinese competitors now, speaking earlier this morning, french finance minister bruno la mere called for european rules on competition to be revised also speaking earlier in brussels at an e.u. industry days event, investors are warned that any market cannot rely on one big firm >> it's important not to fall into the trap to say that big is always better. speaking to cnbc, joe keiser said he was still optimistic, however, for a good outcome.

all eye on this all-important decision, and that's been going on for a couple of months now. even longer if i may say so. we've already heard from the french finance minister bruno la mere saying competition rules need to be somehow modified. in essence, probably a warning shot ahead of the expected decision as we heard cnbc sources have said that european commission may actually veto the deal what more can you tell us? >> well, actually, there's not a lot they can do, the national

regulators, because brussels is overruling you can as a minister issue a minister order to overrule your national regulator if you think it's necessary. with brussels, you can't do that the moment they are announcing the deal is not going to go through. the deal is blocked. siemens apparently has failed to do is to shed assets appropriate enough to satisfy the demands of the competition commissioner some people are arguing close to the companies that would have led to a case that the merger story wouldn't make sense anymore business-wise. currently what we are having is that the combined companies would have clearly dominated the european market by roughly 50%,

but if you look on the global scale, they will still -- they would have been still a tiny player compared to the chinese company. clearly, what national politicians are currently worried about is that china is backing its companies quite forcefully to get bigger and bigger and that those companies might actually, yeah, be too big to compete with when it comes to the european players that's what joe was also alluding to. fair enough, we can only say that most likely according to what we are all hearing the deal is going to be blocked, and there will be no merger between siemens and alstom >> all right anetta, thank you for breaking it down for us, and we will be linking out to you as the developments in the story take place in the next couple of hours. as i mentioned, we will have the

press conference at 10:45. keep an eye on that one. italy's deputy prime minister louigi met with the yellow vest movement in paris on tuesday. the five-star party, which he leads, said he met with one of the protesters touted to run as a candidate in the upcoming e.u. elections. he has previously said he was ready to offer his support to the group. meanwhile, european commission president jean claude says officials in brussels will talk about the economy in the coming weeks. italy's economy contracted for the second quarter in a row at the end of 2018 throwing it into a technical recession, and with me now is brunetta, the ceo and head of research at rosa and robini there's so much to unpack leer let's start with italy for the time being let's set aside the fact that he has been paying the trip to some of the yellow vest protesters meddling in someone else's politics let's put that aside for one

second the economic back drop is very worrying we've seen now that italy has technically entered into a recession. that is not boding well for the year to come how do you see things panning out economically and also in terms of financial markets as well >> sure. so you are right there was a second contraction in a row are in q4. there might be more to come in q1 and perhaps even q2 the prime minister said that they recovery in the second half of the yooer that will mark four quarters of contraction. that will go beyond the session. >> what bearing is that going to have on the political situation right now? we know they're in the slightly shaky colgs of sorts between the left and the right you've got the yourp even parliamentary elections coming in may with the economic back drop so weak, whose hand does it strengthen relatively? >> in theory, the entire political spectrum is moving in favor of slovenia, but it needs

to be careful because if the name of government -- with recession, contraction, net policies, at that point it becomes difficult to bear and spaebl for a person that aspierz to become prime minister for the years to come, in a different coalition, center coalition, and, therefore, his name cannot really be associated with this bad economic numbers >> since then we have seen a snap-back in the bopd space, but now there's more bad news on the economic data front. i just want to pint out that today italy have come out with a new 30-year bonds, and that has attracted orders of over $26 billion euros. why are investors still buying into the story even though there are so many flashing warnings signs out there politically and economically >> yes we need to distinguish the various beats. back in december before a deal

was reached, but when that deal seemed coming for us it was a good tactical entry point for the bdp bund spread. it went down to around 240. >> it will yield higher than other bonds. 370% and maturity. it could be a good investment in spite of the political tumult on the medium terms rising. considering the bund is back to zero again >> lots of potential mine fields

yesterday i got into a about the of a twitter war with someone about the deaf physician of a recession and whether or not euro zone is headed towards a recession. certainly we've had very weak pmi numbers, and certainly the back drop is slowing do you envision a euro zone recession at any point in the near future? >> we might see one. we don't think 2019 is the year of a recession it's more a year of the market slowdown where euro zone economic activity returns to potential or slightly below that the problem is that potential is very low it's around at euro zone level maybe around 1%. just consider germany is 1.25% unless the economic powerhouse of europe. you can imagine the entire euro zone having growth potential maybe around 1%. growth is returning towards that perhaps slightly lower more challenging for us would be 2020 because at that point a number of risk factors would have been accumulated for a few

months, and this is the time in which even the policy response that we have already seen coming from the ecb that is postponing potentially the beginning of the cycle that might not be enough, and in that case we might get into a recession >> we don't even know who is going to be heading the ecb. mr. draghi might not be with us in 2020. who will save us thank you for joining us on "street signs" today also coming up on our show, find out how disney is riding high in its latest earnings release. that's coming up next.

welcome back shares in snap jumped more than 20% in after hours trade after the social media company beat analyst expectations on user numbers. it reported that usage on its snapchat app in the fourth quarter remained unchanged at 186 million active users it also posted almost $390

million in revenues also beating estimates as well. despite the jump, snap shares are still only trading around half of their $17 ipo price from march 2017 disney has also beat earnings expectations on both the top and the bottom line. boosted by sales in its media network and theme park businesses julia borestein has all the details on the disney announcement. disney ceo bob iger focussing on the call, and disney's direct to consumer business announcing that espn plus now has two million subscribers. that's double the number from

five months earlier. he is also bullish on the upcoming disney plus service >> we're confident our iconic brands and franchises will allow us to effectively break through the competitive clutter and connect with consumers we'll also use our brands to help subscribers quickly navigate the content on disney plus creating an efficient interface that enhances their experience and their afint for the service. >> iger saying he is open to buying more brands to bolster their library that fit in with the company like they with the purchase of lucas film.

>> iger saying he believes there's huge potential for hulu to grow as well as other direct to consumer players. disney will control 60% of hulu once its acquisition of fox is completed. cnbc business news, los angeles. now, the disney cfo christine mccarthy lamented the lack of a franchise title in its first quarter results with some analysts saying the answer laid in the hands of hans solo. to find out why head on-line to cnbc.com now, our other top story president donald trump has used a state of the nation address to call for a thawing of bipartisan relations. he urged the democrats to end cross-party investigations warning they could hurt economic growth, but at times he struck a conciliatory tone calling on congress to take action in america's "crumbling infrastructure." president trump hailed last month's unexpectedly strong jobs report and said his economic

achievements are unprecedented >> when i took office, and we are considered far and away the hottest economy anywhere in the world. not even close [ applause ] unemployment has reached the lowest rate in over half a century. >> an economic miracle is taking place in the united states. >> now, despite expectations, the president did not declare a national emergency to secure funding for his wall and instead referred to the southern border as a urgent national crisis. >> in the past most of the people in this room voted for a wall, but the proper wall never got built. i will get it built.

simply put, walls work and walls save lives >> all right nbc news's tracie potts joins us from washington. just to pick up on the president's comment there, he says he will get a wall built. what is the setup for that february 15th deadline as far as the shutdown is concerned, tracie are we inching towards yet another shutdown here? >> well, it certainly is possible, and the president saying that he will build the wall could be a bit of a challenge in trying to avoid another shutdown because he came in to the speech talking about unity democrats and republicans working together, coming to the middle, but insisting on a wall that he knows democrats will not pay for doesn't seem to follow that message of unity. especially on a short deadline like this. now, interestingly, the president did talk about something that he didn't mention by name, but it was sort of the elephant in the room

the russia investigation here's what he said about that. >> we must be united at home to defeat our adversaries abroad. >> he actually referred to it as a ridiculous partisan investigation. also, we heard from democrats, their representative last night delivering the response to the president's state of the union was former gubernatorial candidate from the state of georgia stacy abrams she lost that race by a hair, and in delivering this response last night, she talked about washington and pinned the government shutdown squarely on president trump.

>> making livelihoods as a pawn. the shutdown was a stunt engineered by the president of the united states. one that defied every tenant of fairness and aabandoned not just our people, but our values >> so interestingly, after the president's speech that started off talking about unity, he did lay down the gauntlet when it came to the wall that he doesn't appear to be compromising on, meaning there are still two very different schools of thought about how to deal with immigration with just days to go before that deadline for another possible government shutdown the real test of whether unity will happen in this congress between this white house and this congress starts today as some critics said after the speech last nightit's more tha just saying it what are the actions going to be to back it up? we'll start to see and continue to follow that today

>> certainly a lot of questions on that. tracie, is there any cause for optimism and in the sense that is there anything in the state of the union speech that actually can reach across the bipartisan line? there was talk of infrastructure as well. the president has talked about the foreign infrastructure plan, or has all of that about his comments on the border wall, on immigration, and the very antagonistic comments about his own fairs? >> not necessarily there was a number of things he had laid out, where you saw democrats stand in applause, and give him a standing ovation when it came to health care and protecting people with preexisting conditions health care lowering drug costs for a working class americans especially in making prescription drugs cheaper here. infrastructure, which you mentioned. research he talked quite a bit about children's cancer research these are all issues where we

could definitely see some compromise they are just not the issues that are going to keep the government open next week. >> big question for investors there as well. tracie, thank you for breaking it down for us from washington this morning now, our u.s. colleagues will discuss the state of the union speech with steven mnuchin, and that's at 2:00 p.m. cmt. stay tuned for that. they'll be speaking exclusively with former fed reserve chair janet yellen that is later today, and tune in for that interview at 20:30 cet. a quick check on u.s. futures before we head out all of the major indexes opening a little weaker today. that is it for the show. worldwide exchange is coming up next plaque psoriasis can be relentless. tremfya® is for adults with moderate to severe plaque psoriasis. with tremfya®, you can get clearer. and stay clearer. in fact, most patients who saw 90% clearer skin at 28 weeks stayed clearer through 48 weeks. gz

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gz. >> members of congress, the state of our union is strong.