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tv   Mad Money  CNBC  January 8, 2020 6:00pm-7:00pm EST

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doing great job with the music give them props which i did. and eli lilly rallies into earnings brian. >> you guys are the out lad my mission is simple, no take you money i'm here to level the playing field for all investors. there's always a bull market somewhere and i promise to help you find it. "mad money" starts now >> hey i'm cramer. welcome to "mad money. welcome in friends, i'm just trying to make you money my job is not just to entertain but teach, and coach call me. or tweet me at jim cramer. what are we looking at resilience or complacency
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last night iran launched ballistic missiles at iraqi air bases that housed u.s. troops and none hurt, -- nasdaq was higher about an hour before the close -- so is this market being resilient or are investors being complacent sell sell sell. >> why not both. that's what it needs a combination of these two forces first let's cover complacency. few days ago the president of the united states ordered the killing of an extremely bad iranian general who has been major architect of state sponsorship in the region. i'm not litigating whether that matter what matters most commentators immediately assumed we were headed for war with
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iran do not pass go do not pass $200 they figured both sides would keep escalating and saw the price of gold soar and same time the stock market ignored it. even when it became obvious retaliation was imminent iran launched when the market closed more than a dozen air missiles and the overnight futures plummeted. equal to 500 dow points. next thing you know the president tweets there's no american casualties and all is well see the future start to rally. then a boeing 737 nonmax crashed after take off and a second wave of fear swept the market but when the iranian government tweeted their message of revenge had been sent the overnight
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futures reversed buy buy buy. and the traders were just plain wrong. like i tell you deescalation was always on the table and that's what both sides seem to be doing, the scare mongering played down the possibility. things got worse for the barrie when we got the bullish numbers that justified not only staying the course but outright buying stock. if you are complacent, that paid off, when the president demonstrated constraint baffles critics who can't see donald trump as an olive branch instead of a bazooka it wasn't just deescalation, that's part of it, but there's something bigger we have generally good news for companies. let's check it out first, ap, the nation's largest payroll processor with more than 200,000 jobs created last month
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that's the payroll figure that comes out on friday, it showed that the feds rate cuts are working. and we know the cuts are working because lennar reported today, every line item was a butte. and others are up over one fifth of the country and large housing market has bottomed. a lot of trouble out there numbers peaked a while ago now it's recovering. that's all about j pal working their magic. third. we had macy's remember namath, to me it's left with good stores, high quality. this is a smart strategy should have done it a while ago. we could see better numbers from retailers including nordstrom perhaps home depot, on the strength of macy's i got to believe the housing chain will
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reverse its under performance. and how about costco 9%. wow i got to go to costco. kirkland has great locks maybe i'll go there. fourth we needed enforcements and that's what we got from apple holiday sales. company relesioned data on holiday app sales and the air pod numbers were staggering. not easy to move the stock for the world's largest company but climbed $5 breaking through $300 you know my thesis, apple, own it, don't trade it this company has incredible track record to monetize 925 million iphone user. i was on vacation, recently, seven other iphone owners all
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older models unlike my spiffy 11 the naysayers were driving me crazy that there's nothing new under the apple sun but i think they believe now to go with the 11 my phone was the only one to take pictures, the other models, too dark fifth. steady drum beat incredible coverage of s ere g utilization. the tech show was amazing this year did you catch that regaled us about stories about products that seem impotential recently -- impossible as recently as couple years ago how about this morning, american express got the nod to open up a chinese franchise all on its own.
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no medals from joint venture partners good news, it's really kind of a thing i didn't expect to see right now and i think china is going to follow through with its promise on the phase one trade deal what's it mean for master card, visa, goldman sa sc ach achs achs -- how about company -- a story circulated yesterday that constellation might have sure fall because of slowing beer sales sure, beer sales, they're not as great as other times, but they were pretty darn good and compared to everyone else in the business these guys are crushing it we'll do a deep dive later on the fabulous ceo let me do a little bit more.
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grub hub i've been bearish on the online food business, i think there's too many competitors it's ripe for consolidation. i think -- the industry needs more deals and grub today considering a merger, either bought by door dash or buy you beer eats, uber would go to 45 if that happened. of course one more day tesla steam rolled the shores thanks to price shore bumps -- bottom line. all these bullish notes create conviction, which creates resilience and causes complacency that keeps potential sellers from selling that's how stocks, that's how they have a spectacular rally. let's go to joe in pennsylvania. jo >> she >> caller: boo-yah i'm a first
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time caller long-time listener. >> thank you. >> caller: about 19 months ago you had a show mentioned cooper software is one of the best of the princes, the next day i bought 100 shares, yesterday they made a acquisition of a travel and expense specialist company and reached an all-time high today, i'm up 185%, do you think it has more room to run or should he sell. >> i thought that deal was have good, bulls make money, bears make money, hogs get slaughtered. so take off the little, let the rest run great store yix let's go to phil in new jersey. >> caller: boo-yeah how you doing. >> i'm doing good how about you. >> caller: i took average of the after hours market, hope to get
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more of that anyways. i want to talk about broad come. they came out with good earnings the company is solid now selling part of symantic off. all of the semi conductors are going up this teams to be on a down trend. i don't know if i should buy more. >> this stock is not valued correctly. i think it could have much more room to run, 13 times earnings, 4% yield, really fabulous management it's a winner. let's go to rod in wisconsin. >> caller: big boo-yeah from the frozen tundra in wisconsin. >> you got some big football coming up. what's going oftn. >> : i'm a retired bus driver and took hold of align, in august the market took a big bite out of it i like to follow rules so over the next couple months i bought
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$25 blocks and my average cost now is $200 a share. i sold half and made $75 a share profit i'm hanging on to the other half earnings are coming out for the end of the month, don't know if i should take my $4,000 and by super bowl tickets or -- >> no i love that call i think the stocks had a very big run. i want you to take a little bit more off the table it is a competitive industry and it's been a terrific, terrific buy. go see the packers all right. is this market illustrating resiliency or complacency? how about both on "mad" tonight what the dividend cut in core lacks a singles in overall whale market. and pets aren't just for cuddling man's best friend will help warm your market too, in the new year and consolation
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let's say will make you have a cocktail i'm breaking down the numbers with the ceo so stay with cramer. >> announcer: don't miss a second of "mad money" follow @jimcramer or send jim an e-mail or call 800-743-cnbc miss something head to madmoney.cnbc.com.
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when to if if what to i month so can a can to there if to plo skbr. >> > if fwlap. the news was shocking.
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devastating when earnings were cut by 50% and cut the dividends by nearly 55% doesn't make sense unless management has concluded that the oil business has fundamentally changed. at first glance the explanation -- okay despite an uncertain world where trades could be shut down by iran where international oil has shut down drastically. drilling isn't picking up. when you look at the favorite indicator in this country it's collapsing you look at 1,050 rigs now 773 that's staggering, right especially when you consider oil was $52 last year, $8 lower sththan it is now. that's why the stock refuses to
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freak out on iran. investors sell stocks when oil prices spike and devastate the economy or slow it down, yet it didn't happen this time, it barely budged, why, because you can lock in priepss u no -- prices now five years much lower than the current spot. there's three reasons, one, the demand for oil seems to have stopped growing, used more than 800,000 barrels per day last year than in 2018. substitution conservation you name it. it's taking the toll on the growth of the industry two. we have shelf finds in last 15 years in part president trump is pro oil meaning we have much easier time absorbing supply shut offs. three. technology of rig development has producers getting a lot more oil per rig so when tensions
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flare in the middle east it's not enough to send prices soaring, just turn the spigot and problem solved saw half of arabian production blowup in assessment, maybe can go off line and produce another million barrels a day if we want the russians want to encourage there's oil everywhere and not a drop to drill. when corp labs the brains of the oil complex cut its dividends last week they were telling you this situation is only going to get worse for the industry, not better maybe that's all you need to know stick with cramer.
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♪ i'm a big believer in finding powerful, long-term themes and sticking with them, maybe for years and years. that only works if you're willing to do the homework can't just bet on a major trend and forget about it, you have to keep checking in to make sure it's still playing out the way you expected bringing me to pets, the idea americans treat companion animals as part of the family and keep spending more and more money on high-quality food and health care. this is a fabulous story that made our viewers a lot of money over the years but, unfortunately this is a big but, we always like to talk about what we get wrong opposed to right
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last summer we create aid list of eleven ways to play this game and we got too aggressive. in the past i only recommended best of breed pet place. with etf decided to put them all in there, a little bit more risk, left tried and true names and few of them just constantly, what can i say, they blew up in my face. make mez mad -- makes me mad plenty of the pet stocks were working but still big individual losers and only rallied half a percent from by updated it to the end of the year versus 13% gain of the s&p 500 in the same period in particular, covetros has been an absolute dog. down 46% chewy, the ultra fast growing online pet retailer sacked
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almost 14% and fell from grace pet iq an over the drug animals plunged 19%. cut it in half until june. clearly should have taken it out entirely ela elanco down 6% even idexx got digged in the second half of last year as its always bankable chairman and ceo was injured and had to pass on to the successor what is the lesson for this etf? the lesson for a lot of etf's, right, i'm kicking myself because the main lesson is something i should have known. it's better to own extremely high quality stocks that you believe in than a broader basket mixing in the good with the not so good. there's times it makes sense to put your money in a basket of
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stocks, all those biotech companies we will see next week in the conference, but generally speaking trying to pick a few winners is better than owning an etf, even when created by yours truly. you're willing to put in the time and effort to invest in individual companies that's exactly what you should do, if you put most of your retirement money in an index fund twitter people, i know jimmy chill now, please don't hit me and say he doesn't like index funds because i love index funds. my daughter called me jumbo chill for the complete story what do we do with pet stocks, focus on two of the best opportunities rather than a basket my favorites for 2020 were some of the worse performers second half of 2019 but i believe in them i'm going elanco and i'm going chewy. which has these great portraits of your dogs, sends letters and stuff.
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these have a lot more room to run. let's start with chewy probably see the ups guys with the boxes on the truck they became public and immediately shot rose until september when company had not so high quarter and broke down by mid mif novembmid-infornovember mid-november -- has vaulted to $28 and change a typical growth ramp. >> why have they become so volatile -- well at the time investors were willing to pay for fast growing enterprises like chewy by september money managers got sick of these high flyers and stocks like chewy went out of style.
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the other culprit i think chewy's result are widely misunderstood. in the time they were up 43% year over year, i like that, higher than anticipated base margin up 300 basis points, you're getting really good news and people hated it. that's when you had to be a buyer. even though management gave bullish sales prieps and raised the final sales priels to boot c the final sales priels to boot ct -- k9d -- >> this time the stock rallied furiously. chewy is not an earning story it is a sales story every metric is on fire for these guys most importantly look at the
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percentage of the customers getting orders shipped to them wow. people who sign up for recurring shipments, accounting for more than 70% of chewy sales up from 66% from the year before there's some kicustomers who ar satisfied. it's huge. it makes the stock that much more valuable. chewy's valuation is extremely reasonable it trades at just under two times next year's sales. for a copy of 40% growth that is a steal. especially considering chewy might turn' profit next year and the lock up of insider sales expires last month huge overhang. clear sailing. another i think is long hold animal company that makes animal vaccines and treatments for common ailments like arthritis
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and ear infections this stock sold off hard over the course of july and august based on the worries they are playing for bayur, once people got their head around the deal the stock bound its footing again, i think it's a great move, need to raise cash to handle one of the worse averages ever. on santo, you see the adds, they got people looking for others to sue these guys full time the deal is elanco the world's number two animal health play and substantially shifts focus away from livestock and towards pet exposure, no wonder there was a drop shortly after since then analysts illustrated a important change elanco has been on guard compared to other big animal
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health places for animals which i went over earlier, plus it's really cheap stock currently sales for 20 times an incredible bargain for a company expected to post 15% to 20% earnings growth. the one running the company is terrific it sells for nearly 30 time it's next year's numbers i think elanco is too much of a discount, the stock is too cheap. if you want to keep playing this pet story, i think we should focus on the stocks with the potentially best products so "double play" down on elanco and chewy. kent in missouri, kent. >> caller: hi, jim, thanks for taking my call first time caller. hey, listen, crab times, i got into it. made some operationals and changes over the past few quarters but do i continue to hold or just give up on this
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one? >> i don't care for craft hines. i like growth and they have very lift growth. this is a show very much oriented towards picking growth stocks, that doesn't have it let's go to joe in illinois. >> caller: howdy jim. >> what's going on. >> caller: first time caller, long time follower of your show. >> love that. >> caller: my question is about merck. how about bristol myers. >> they're both terrific legality me make the case about merck they had a little problem one key a true to try, one of their wonder drugs, and merck is marvelously run. i say merck is fine. plenty of the pet stocks are still working. i think this is the year to double down on the best ones i'm liking this chewy and elanco but for "mad money",
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stocks are heading high for earnings got to ask ceo about what's to come and a company whose shares up 225% in 2019 you may never have heard of i will tell you what it was, a whoper more on the lightning round is stay with cramer per. more on the lightning round is stay with cramer apps are used everywhere...
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looking at constellation brand best known for corona and moldelo, but may be falling dead -- pumping $4 million into cannabis growth -- this morning reported a spectacular quarter and continue to be bullish on weed. posting 30% earnings on $1.34 and sales came in with strength
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to beer business and wine and spirits and management raised earnings forecast no wonder the stock foldinged today. could 2020 be a terrific rebound year for these guys, let's check in with the ceo, welcome back to "mad money"! >> thanks, good to be here >> hey, bill, your quarter was really incredible. what i think people seem to misjudge is it, as you said, you're just beginning to scratch the surface of sales in modelo why don't people understand this is the only real growth in the beer category. >> modelo, jim, is not a one-hit wonder when you think of the last decade, you came out of 2009 with roughly 35 million cases last year 140 million cases. the the number four beer brand in the entire beer category and it has tremendous upside we're just tapping into the general market opportunity
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around that brand. so even though it's been fantastic and has 31 consecutive years of double digit growth we think the sky's the limit. >> i have to compliment you, don't want to bury the lead but how have been done on your stock for the last ten years >> well, ten years ago, coming out literally of december 31, 2009, the stock was just over $15. coming out of 2019 it was $190 so people would have made 1,000% over a decade. as we say we think there's a long way to go. >> you are doing exciting things hard celtiselzer is taking the e by storm you said will you be offering a couple flavors and don't expect it to take share from your only beer only the domestic beers how's that going to work. >> well the betterment category is one that the selzer group is
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really appealing to.tzer group i really appealing to. nothing better than corona so our belief is our corona hard celtics erseltzer -- seltzer. we are going to get a significant share of the market. >> you do have to spend more to be in there, correct. >> we do we're prepared to have one of the biggest introduction spends we've ever had against a single brand but recognize we're spending it against a franchise, that's corona. so we're quite confident that we will get a significant share of this business and we can't wait for march 1 to roll around. >> well, i know it's popular, particularly with millenials let's talk about what david carolina is up to, over at canopy, there are some who fear you maybe overpaid, like with
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ba ballast point where you said $1 billion didn't work out. can you reassure us you didn't overpay and the prospects are bright for canopy. >> well, you know as well as anyone, any time you have a start up industry there's spits and spurts attached to it. we're excited that canopy is the share leader in canada and the largest seller of can ib is around the world and bringing in a great discipline and focus to the leader of that business. so we remain bullish we believe the long term play will be quite healthy. >> there's a lot of money in the corporate structure of canopy. you have a hard to understand warren situation we were to legalize in the united states would you be able to buy all canopy and take full opportunity of all of the money
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you put in it that's left? >> well we don't have any plans to do anything to put more money into canopy. we have warren opportunities those are in the money we'd certainly plan to exercise those. but we're quite satisfied with where we are owning roughly 37% of the company but we're acnxious to see what happens in the united states as you know we've introduced the first and free brand a cbd-based brand in the united states that you can get through the direct website so there's going to be a lot of opportunities going forward in the u.s. whenever that is legally available to us. >> you got to be happy about the way it looks like the new nafta is working out not that you would expect to make mexican beer in mix michigan but the tariff situation is coming together well for you, right. >> well, it has. and we expected as we talked before that the tariff situation didn't make a lot of sense as it related to mexico and the united states we're very tight trading pa
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partners and in fact the tariff issue has not been related to us in the least and we're pleased about that and focused on bringing great beer to the american public with our modelo and corona brands in particular. pacifico is a good option too. >> we can't get the especial, waiting for it at my place bill, thanks for coming on the show great to see you. >> good to see you too. >> that's president and ceo of constellation brands stz this is the only beer company with any credit. "mad money" back after the break. stay restless with the icon that does the same. the new rx, crafted by lexus. lease the 2020 rx 350 for $419 a month for 36 months.
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lightning round is sponsored by td amertrade. ♪ it is time lightening round are you ready? starting with diane in new york. diane. >> caller: hello i'm interested in the staff named teledock health. >> i think it's a way to keep
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cost down in health care and we're not budging. let's go to andrew >> caller: president cramer, proud resident of kr america >> tile take it what's up. >> i'll take that. what's up. >> caller: karuna. >> that's mental health, it's impossible, everybody trying to crack it, but unfortunately has failed let's go to bob in ohio. >> caller: hello jim. >> hey, bob. >> caller: i'm a long-time listener, first-time caller. >> oh, okay, thank you. >> caller: i enjoy your show and comments and suggestions i'm actually calling for my nephew who is finally started to get interested in stock. >> okay. >> caller: i open up custodial account for him. >> that's great.
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>> caller: when he was in his early teens, showed no interest now he's first year in college >> okay. >> caller: and he's taking computer classes and he's interested in the cybersecurity space. >> okay. >> caller: so one of the stocks that he was interested in was cloud flare. i know you reviewed it when it first came out after the ipo, you weren't too excited about it. >> no i don't think there's much to it, bob here's what your enough u should enough u should nephew should do, go over the stocks on the show, like cloud kick. it's been vetted and vetted. i'd feel so much better if he did that let's go to ray in pennsylvania. >> caller: boo-yah jim how's it going. >> all right how are you. >> caller: good. tellus pharmaceutical. >> it just ran and did an equity
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offering, it's up so much that i'm suspicion of the equity offer, i want you to wait. how about brandon in massachusetts. >> caller: doing good. how about pinterest. >> we're kind of luke warm we had high hopes but doesn't have the growth we like. i prefer twitter to it, certainly prefer facebook. reading the stories about facebook, the stock is soaring, i guess the print guys got tired of writing about it. let's go to joe in pennsylvania. >> caller: jim happy new year to you, hope you have a healthy happy new year. >> ah, same to you joe, thank you. >> caller: thank you for all you do question is, company called veeb. >> i like it that's peter gasster who has done great things in health care i'd buy it right here.
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it's one of the stocks i think is just about poised really poised to make a move let's go to mike. >> caller: happy new year jim. >> same. >> caller: ali baba. >> only chienl chinese company i recommend. faster sales than almost any other company on earth let's go to nick. >> caller: hey jim, i was wondering is uber in trouble in 2020 >> no, no, they just need to give uber sales, they have to, like, off load it, sell it to door dash, merge it with grub hub, get it the heck off the balance sheet and boom one more ritchie in pennsylvania. ritchie. >> caller: hey, cramer how's it going sir. >> all right, how about you. >> caller: i got a stock here i'm interested in cloud era. >> yeah, here's the thing, it's
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not as bad as it was that's enough to make you buy a stock that's fine with me. that ladies and gentlemen was the lightening round. >> the lightening round is sponsored by td ameritrade ♪(rocky theme music) fifty-six straight, come on! that's it, left trade right trade. come on another trade, i want to see it! more! ♪ 80s-style training montage? yeah. happens all the time. ♪ - [spokesman] if you've tried colleg(group cheering)shed, snhu lets you transfer up to 90 credits toward you bachelor's degree. - [woman] it doesn't matter how old you are, you can do it, you can finish. - [spokesman] finish your degree at snhu.edu
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♪ time toll catch up with some . time to catch up with some homework just before the holidays got a
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company in new york and promised to get back it to it this is a sensational story but too expensive stock. didn't want to make big deal about it but sea limited is a singapore company, in high growth areas indonesia, taiwan, singapore among thef-- among them -- bunch of exclusive games from other developers, mainly lets you play multiple player games online which is why they have the top esports business that's a killer business too. you know i'm a big believer in esports. how about shopping ecommerce
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platform in the region by merchandise value in total orders air pay is digital payments play putting it together looks like southeast version of amazon, pay pal and blizzard all rolled into one that's why the stock is sizzling when asked about it few weeks ago receipts were already up 243% for the year and the darn thing finished 2019 up 255%. i didn't want to a pine on the run until i did serious homework so what is the story initially after sea limited started trading two years ago i wish i had been there. the problem, while the company experienced tremendous sales growth, 100% in 2018, a lot of it was equal to empty calories --
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plunged from 37% in 2015 to 2% in 2018. hmm. retail payments are lower margin than gaming and the company was spending a fortune to build out these businesses and it created a cloud over what was happening that was good. not many will get excited about a company may or may not work out, it was burning a lost crash, and no guarantee the strategy would work, which is why adr fell from 15 october 2018 to 20 and change in 2018. then the stock exploded after picking up institutional supporters, the bulz nail it, over the course of last year the company reported series of fantastic quarters in february posted 137% sales growth including 1,262% gain for
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ecommerce business and meanwhile gaming business went global, terrific success and in -- when sea limited reported again in mid november then they knocked it out of the park buy buy buy. talk 214% revenue growth 212% gain in digital entertainment and 261% in e-commerce and quarterly active users rose 321 million. not a little company, no that's up 82% year over year this is a gigantic platform and the stock surged more than 18% every time sea limited shot lights out last year it was classic anointed winner kind of stocks hedge funds buy everyone knows
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will finish higher this thing is ready to rally everyone got behind them last year, brilliant call one problem it's gone from $11 to $40 in 12 months. no matter how great the business you got to be cautious after 255% run where do i come down sea limited is fabulous, there's no doubt this is a tremendous growth spurt i'm just worried that the easy money has already been made. the stock is not under valued and not undiscovered can it go higher, sure but it can also go lower the other issue. merging markets is an inherent risk you will also be betting on the economy of southeast asia, adding uncertainty though i am bullish on that part of the world. now 2020 is under way wonderful be surprised if sponsored decide to reregister.
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don't get me wrong, i think this stock is absolutely worth buying you got to wait for pull back. it's less than 2 points from its high appeared $40 no thanks. we set out to make the best bike on the market, find the best instructors in the world, and tie it all together with a world-class software experience. we ended up creating, as you all know, so much more. peloton is truly a category of one and we're just getting started. now, let's do this.
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together, we are going further than we ever thought possible. i can. the two words whispered at the start of every race. every new job. and attempt to parallel park. (electrical current buzzing) each new draft of every novel. (typing clicks) the finishing touch on every masterpiece. (newborn cries) it is humanity's official two-word war cry. words that move us all forward. the same two words that capital group believes have the power to improve lives. and that, for over 85 years, have inspired us to help people achieve their financial goals. talk to your advisor or consultant for investment risks and information. talk to your advisor or consultant because it's tailored to you! ...take the personal assessment
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and get matched with a proven weight loss plan. find out which customized plan can make losing weight easier for you! myww join today with the ww triple play! >> a lot of changes in retail. bed badge and beyond recor bed bath and beyond reported after the bell -- give them a chance i continue to believe nordstrom is terrific opportunity. it's way down with a good yield. cost co i'm stagger what they can do one of the largest retailers in the world. i think home depot and lows are doing better lowe's had a good management change and home depot is bound to bounce back i promise to always find you the money. i'm sven kramer and i'll see you tomorrow and tonight, the american dream continues.
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who wants to help fidget man make fidgetland a household brand? barbara, stay in your seat! -aah! -pull! -whoa! -oh! you're scaring the hell out of people to cause them to buy something. it's not a tchotchke because it's functional. there's a huge market out there for our product. -what are your sales? -i've made almost $8,000. think of your next business as fast as you can. there's no business. i'm going to give you an offer. -whoa! -you guys should grab that money and run. -you're sassy. -do you ever turn off? our counteroffer is 25% equity. you've got to really get focused. [ sobs ]

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