tv Squawk Box CNBC June 11, 2020 6:00am-9:00am EDT
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economy. travel and leisure take a hit. showing you the drop in airlines, cruise lines, hotels and gaming >> what will sports look like in the fall looking at changes being made to stadiums to get ready for the reopening, which a little is happening today in the golf world. thursday, june 11, 2020. "squawk box" begins right now. >> good morning, i'm becky quick with joe kernen and andrew ross sorkin futures are under quite a bit of pressure dow futures down 480 points. this would come after a couple
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other. yesterday, down over 200 adding that, you are down more than 1,000 points of decline in early session right now. we'll see what the market does as we get close tore reopening and of course to the closing bell today s&p 500 down 33 and nasdaq down 101. the central bank indicated it would keep interest rates near zero projected that the u.s. economy will shrink by 6.5% in 2020. they do see a gain they are expected by 5% in 2021 followed by 3.5% gain in 2022 and will continue increasing bond holdings and mortgage backed securities at $40 billion a month. take a look at the 10-year note,
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yield now sitting at 0.698%. crude oil prices have also come down a little too. wti is down about 3% this morning. ticking at 38.38 a lot of this is because of what the fed is you no saying you are really expecting some tough economic sledding. the news out of 12, 13 states probably not great either. i think it would be hard for me to sell right now. you wait around. we don't invest. >> you would have wished you had done it three days ago >> that's the hard thing that makes me think, i don't
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know you get all the way back to 3,200, which you would have killed for now we are here. it is not gone we've got people out and about whichever example of people going out you want to talk about. people talking about demonstrations and beaches and opening up for whatever reason, there is a chance for transmission now, isn't there? >> is this the second wave or the first wave in arizona, they didn't go through the first wave >> did you hear meg terrell talking about how in places like arizona and texas, it is really hot. more than 100 degrees but people are inside where it is more transmissible because you are recirculating the air. if you are outside, that is healthier and less likely to transmit if close quarters.
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not necessarily in the house but the mall or inside dining area then it is more concerning if you don't have the outside air >> right we've been talking about four years to zero. the fed says it. they didn't even say four years to zero. they just said for an extended period >> if they had said to zero, the market would have panicked too andrew, i'm sorry. >> the only thing i was going to add, we saw the starbucks numbers yesterday and what the fed had to do. i was on the phone with a number of hedge fund managers there is a lot of profit making right now. it is hard to extrapolate out the bad news in the market but there is a few, by the way among a lot of professionals that some of this market was run up by retail we had that conversation
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yesterday and whether you think the professionals were sort of plague along and now starting to get out. i think there is something in that vein that is happening and part is trying to understand too. >> if you are one of these hedge funds and looking to be down 40%. you can say, forget it i can take that off the table. >> your person has always been all these stats. go back and add up the total dow point gains the week before and the week before that we were talking about that it is six days and peter is listening to the show all the time over the six days where we saw the dow just skyrocketed i was trying to figure out, 1,100 would be giving back >> we do talk about being up
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another 450, 500 just the nature of the news business >> volatility is here. remember, there used to be days where before this happened, we were up. not talking about the s&p futures but the dow. >> growing up and walking to school up hill both ways you are sick of my old stories joe granville crashed the market it was up 27 points with the most bearish comments and the dow dropped 27 points and we didn't know that we'd ever come back from that than he started dressing up in a pharoh outfit and he was the greatest ever. looking at other areas getting
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hard hit a airlines with big moves there. we noticed that in the overall averages, 8% cruise stocks, which had been hard to understand the big rally there. some of the speculations we were talking about as those came back hotel stocks does this look like fed or second wave worries. i don't know there is marriott and others >> those profit taking stocks went up. when bank rup stocks went from one to seven then you really start. it is probably zero. that's the attitude of some people you tell them they are stupid but they sell out from five. they say why am i stupid take a look at some of the biggest drags on the dow boeing accounting on 80 points
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of the selloff boeing, which also has run up an awful lot. up like 55% on the week. also would be affected if we are not totally out of the woods on the virus. andrew some corporate stories to tell but as well this one surprising the market shares of grubhub jumping after plans to merge with european food company, just eat takeaway. they weren't sure how uber would support. their offer valued grubhub at just under $70 a share the european stock fell on that news lowering the total offer to
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about $65.17 per grubhub share an interesting transaction i don't want to say it came out of nowhere there had been an expectation that uber or one of the u.s. players would come in and do this clearly that is not happening. interesting that antitrust was on people's mind there was a view that maybe in the pandemic and the need for these services that maybe antitrust would look the other way in some of these types of issues unique moment in time and maybe also a sign that elizabeth warren and others who tried put forth a bill it didn't get approve, to effectively end or postpone all transactions during the pandemic because of antitrust issues being one element of it. pretty interesting for those in the deal world this morning. >> the other thing on that,
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remember when we were talking about some of those issues how uber eats even with all of this, with the pandemic and people using it so much more is still not profitable you kind of look at those issues and anybody who looks at it and says, you have to have these numbers. all trying to cut into the customer until there is consolidation, a lot of people have thought it is just not going to be profitable. >> the question now is what happens to the doordash doordae world. the interest in grubhub, uber thinks it needs to do something. this is still a money losing enterprise part of the reason is maybe there is too much competition, which raises the competition
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issue. a little thing there we have a lot more coming up on "squawk box" ahead exclusive look at changes being made to stadiums as america looks to bring back live sports. take a look at u.s. equity futures right now. the dow off 500 points s&p down about 50 points, nasdaq down 150 points after some sober 'lbeig bk tethe federal reserve. wel rhtacafr is hrough multiple market cycles for over 85 years? with capital group, i can. talk to your financial professional or consultant for investment risks and information.
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welcome back as sports return, stadiums will look a lot different an exclusive look at what fans can expect >> barely six months ago, miami's hard rock stadium was rolling out the carpet for a super bowl crowd of over 65,000. now trying to look at what stadiums will look like post covid. already thinking of how to drop capacity to 15,000 fans. >> every venue in the country is having these conversations right now. we are talking to baseball owners, football, basketball owners and their operation staff
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literally every day. >> leading the global sports studio at architecture firm. >> we'll see many changes. creating virtual designs showing how seating could be modifies creating socially distance boxes resulting in only about 18% stadium capacity and then more socially relaxed standards as things change. >> we hope to have the threshold to start from and then move to different gradations also looking to expand more social viewing areas you might stand in a railing to watch the game or be in a bar environment. >> fans ordering and purchasing
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on apps from their seats and getting an alert when ready. ticket entry will also be contact free >> we put ticket scanning entry and that was a cost of about $1.5 million >> costs will vary as you run the gamut of facilities from pro arenas, colleges and even high schools. there will be sizeable investments across every sports franchise and venue. thank you for that report. as the post covid world is being reimagined, some states are seeing a spike in cases. for more on that and a bunch of other questions, dr. scott gottlieb, former fda and serves on the board of illumina and
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pfizer in the past couple of days where we've seen additional spikes put it in context for us >> look, i think we should be concerned but when you look at arizona, texas, south carolina, north carolina those are the big outbreaks. florida seems to be going up it is not a second wave. they never really got rid of the first wave look at texas and arizona, they really weren't that hard hit in february and march now we are seeing it start back up as they reopen. the cases are certainly concerning but they haven't been able to isolate the source of infection. in some states, it is related to facility or a particular prison or nursing home. in texas and arizona, it seems
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to be more purr vasive they haven't done the contact tracing to find the source they haven't been able to take effective public action yet. >> doctor, can you explain this, a lot of folks trying to figure it out looking at arizona that is clearly having spread but look at georgia, which was really the first to reopen not having spread and in l.a., which was one of the first places to close down and now all of a sudden, there is more spread happening there. how do you explain those differences? >> look, how do you explain the fact that new york had a horrible especialpidemic? the infection gets to certainly environments once it takes hold, it becomes hard to extinguish
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georgia isn't out of the woods this isn't the type of virus that could flair any time. if it gets into the right setting, it could start to propagate. you look at georgia and arizona right now. in phoenix, it is 110 degrees, houston is about 95 degrees. whatever seasonal benefit you you are going to get, they are probably tipping over right now. many people are in doors due to the heat that might explain the spread now in some of the hot states. i gather concern about the supply of remdesivir i wanted you to speak to that in terms of access and number of people who may need it and when we have run out of the initial supply that's been created >> it has been dependent on the
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cases we have this summer. the supply should last us through the next couple of months assuming the hospitalization rates don't go up from here it is a drug likely to be preserved for the signs and symptoms and comorbidity it will likely be given to patients that come in that present more sick. heading into the fall, we'll have more supply so that if we have another epidemic on the scale of what we had during the first go around, there should be enough for the more severely hospitalized patients. it is touch and go gillate has brought out new manufacturers and been able to surpresident those the same thing goes to the they are pew tick antibodies. those will come on to the market in the fall. both companies will likely only supply about 100,000 doses a month for treatment.
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they'll have more for prevention most will likely go for treatment. they'll only have about 100,000 per treatment. that should be enough for severely hospitalized patients and not likely for those who present with coronavirus we'll bring down the death rate with a second wave we've learned how to treat more effectively. it will not affect how many people ultimately get sick and hospitalized with it >> doctor, i got an email last night from a ceo who asked me to ask you a question, which is they are looking at various testing -- different types of tests to give their employees including the abbot test and some of the pcr tests that take longer what are you recommending. if you are running a company
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in this case, it is a factory and warehouses, thousands of employees, how would you be going about this >> there is a number of apps that came on the market. i work with one called collective health. that's just the one i know because i work with it that gives elaborate questionnaires if they fail any component or think they might have been in contact, they'll send them for testing. it is hard for a lot of businesses to bring testing on site there are businesses that will do that for you like cvs that will bring avit site and do testing on site. being able to refer or send tests home a lot more will come on to the market where you can get a kit in the house, take a self-swab or sample and mail it in that will greatly facilitate
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empliors to get tests to employees if they have an outbreak in the office or fail a test you wake up, go into the app and fill it out. answer all the questions if you fail any component of that, your reflex of testing if you don't, you don't come into work that day they screen that before they even come into the office. >> isn't that going to take people out of the work force, not to say that they shouldn't but if it is all going be done by mail or fedex i would imagine that whole process could be several days or longer people have taken tests who still haven't gotten results until a week later >> the turn around is getting better i'm talking at least 24 to 48 hours. people will be instructed to work from home you'll have to see what the prevalence is. we are assuming it won't be that high going into the fall
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people will be asked to work from home while they are awaiting results from a test the other way is to bring it on site, collect examples and run them there a lot of businesses don't want to mess around with testing. they don't want to have sample collection and handle the samples. the test at home paradigm to offset the testing and not have to take it on themselves >> dr. scott gottlieb, thank you. always appreciate and look forward to seeing you again soon thanks becky. andrew, i want to take a look at the dow over the last month. we were talking about the big moves we've seen we are taking a look at what happened it has made a massive move over the last six trading sessions where it added up so much that was a gain of 2,189 points. if you look at the last three
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sessions, yet down 282, the day before, down 300 this morning more than 500 that is more than 1,100 decline. looking at the last month, all of that has added up to some still extreme gains you've been watching in this market. one day where the dow was up 1,000 points i thought wow, that was a massive move biggest move since sometime in may. with err getting used to some of these big, big swings. down indicated down by 1,600 points amazon second company this week to make an announcement about facial recognition details after this as we head to the break, let's look at retail stocks getting hit hard in today's selloff. "squawk box" will be right back.
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said that it might give congress time to implement appropriate rules and it might help if requested. researchers and activists have been sounding the alarm about racism and gender bias in the software interesting to see, you know, i wouldn't bet odds on congress coming up with legislation in the next year to deal with this. it will be interesting to see what amazon does if there is no legislation after that >> coming up -- yeah, this is i guess, as we pointed out yesterday. it is mute we'll all be wearing masks for the next 50 years anyway unless you got really detailed crows feet around your eyes. that's all you have to work
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with >> the other thing about this, this is going to be -- this is an economic issue for amazon unlike ibm who this was a very small part of their business not huge for amazon but it is significant and meaningful different because amazon has taken a much more -- not aggressive approach but said they want to be aligned with u.s. military and want to be aligned with the police in the united states in a way that so many other silicon valley companies have tried to step away intheir own way it is interesting to see them take this step >> it's probably why they are saying they're take a year rather than saying we are to the going to do it after that. they are letting congress see if they come up with anything that doesn't mean that this is going to stop. that just means the chinese companies will probably push further and further ahead.
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they've already gotten a lead. they take so many faces there. they have a massive data base to work with. the bigger data base, the smarter the ai gets with recognition because it is able to do more and more pattern recognition. more after the break on a lot. more on the pull back we are seeing in stocks talking about a potential catalyst from the fed to profit taking and many other things we'll find some reason to skplan it we head to break and look at yesterday's s&p 500 winners and losers
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good morning welcome back if you haven't seen it already, u.s. equity futures are under pressure at this hour. the last two sessions for the market closed down this morning, we are looking at even bigger losses dowdown by about 540 points after we heard from the federal reserve yesterday they are going to be keeping rates at zero for some is time to come they also gave their economic forecast which might have been a little worse than anticipated.
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looking at 6.5 decline in gdp in 2020 the reality of why they are keeping rates low catching up with the market and concerns about kwhaz happening with reopenings and increases in cases of coronavirus in states that have opened early target announcing 3% dividend increase putting the dividend at .68 cents a share up from .66 cents will be the company's 212th dividend it has paid 2020 is on track to be the 49th consecutive year in which target has increased the annual dividend we talk about tough times and companies have to get rid of it entirely not the case for target. it has been a retailer that has
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flourished in terms of numbers of people going there. this is the news they are giving us this morning. the fed seeing rates near zero through 2022 at that news conference yesterday, chairman powell used phrases like, quote, considerable risk. said, quote, we will do whatever we can for as long as it takes to support the economy the professor joins us this morning. steve liesman with more on all of it and how to read it, steve. how to read it >> i think, andrew, the way to read it is the fed through a little cold water on the markets over the outlook he gave them everything they could have possibly wanted when it came outlooks for rates it was the outlook for the economy that through cold water on the market yesterday. the fed is projecting rates being low for years. all the way out through 2022 it will continue $120billion o
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monthly qe why? because it is going to be a very long road back becky was talking about these numbers. let me show you a graph with them the yellow line is the gdp outlook. it was going to be 2%, 3%, whatever now it will be down 6.5 this year up five. above trend the next two years d do the math on that, you don't get back to where you were until the middle of 2022 elevated throughout the three-year phase so we don't get back to 3.5 in any hurry it takes a while i asked powell yesterday about the good news, about the idea that job report was better than expects and asked how we would process that here is what he said >> we are not thinking about raising rates. we are not even thinking about thinking about raising rates
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what we are thinking about is providing support for this economy. we do think this will take some time >> the reason for that is you have to take the ice cream you are getting with the idea that, hey, there is going to be something bad down the road, which is why you are getting all that ice cream he he does not see the labor market improving that quickly. >> my assumption is there will be significant chunk, well into the millions i don't want to give you a number because it is a guess but well, well into the millions of people who don't get to go back to their old job and if fact, there may not be a job in that industry for them for some time. >> andrew, powell has always emphasized the uncertainty of outcomes i feel like the change here among powell and maybe other members of the fed is that they are now more certain about
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difficult outcomes than in the past the idea that no matter what happens here, it will be a long road to recovery steve, the question i'd ask you is how much of a distinction do you think there is between jay powell's view of the markets between the administration's view and the market's view of the markets at least until yesterday. >> those are three questions mnuchin argued for stimulus suggesting it may not be such a quick rebound. other members have been much more up beat the market it is hard to say what the market was thinking. i think the market thought it could get all of the good stuff, the low rates and the qe without any of the bad stuff and a quick recovery i think powell yesterday put
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those two things together. yeah, you are going low rates but you are getting those because the economy is just not going to get back to where it was as requesticly as thought. i don't know if yesterday was the cold water that woke up the markets when it said the numbers or projections or heard what powell said. there is a reason why rates will remain low it is not all good that you'll keep those rates at that level it is because it has to be challenged >> you are talking about the type of economy we have that justifies what he's doing as being troubling. what about just the action unprecedented in terms of just blowing out -- modern monetary theory embraces central bankers around the world the people who have been preaching this -- obviously, there has been no inflation. it hasn't come back to ruft yet. i've seen a lot all the time on
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twitter and wherever else. what the heck do we do this this the dollar is already out of control and it will crash and the other stuff out there. we didn't even talk about that >> we talked about that yesterday. i don't know, joe if that is animating the markets. >> i don't either. >> my second question to powell if i got a second question was going to be, you couldn't get out of a $4.5 trillion balance sheet, how do you expect to get out of a $10,000,000,000,001 i think its going to be a time, maybe it should be maybe it should be and maybe these guys in washington what are we going to do about how they are spending? it is necessary but, you know, rates have gone up >> if i could say one thing
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about that i think it is important, which is that most of the analyses i read says it would be a lot worse if we didn't do these things the budget deficit would be even bigger if we weren't out there trying to provide stimulus and relief s if you don't do these things, you have balanced outcome. >> it helps to very people working to pay taxes from the money they are making. that might be better than having everyone unemployed. thank you, steve joining us now, investment manager at voya. paul, i want you to look at what we've been talking about in terms of the stock market and trying to wonder whether this
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two-day selloff, which is now three days if it ends like this. is that the beginning of something that will take us back down around 50% of the back off or something to be in big gains. >> the markets are up 45% from the bottom of the s&p. that is a big move perfectly natural to restrasment. 10% retracement from here would take us back to 2,900. mid-may, we would of been really happy to get here. it is perfectly normal to have a retracement like this. policy is set for stock markets to go up no better time when the fed is telling you we are not even thinking about thinking about raising rates that is good for
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stocks and a blip on the road. >> you think the economy will be growing and we won't have to hunker down again at some point? we are beyond that >> there is always a chance of a really bad outcome the probability is that we'll have really strong growth and tapering off and still be above trend as the fed said yesterday at 5%. that is reasonable the fed put down negative 6.5% in 2020. following, that will fall roughly 8% or 10% for the year so we'll grow. >> from what you heard yesterday, john, is there anything that would cause you to say things were worse than you thought the day before or pretty much in line and this is a normal reaction? >> no. i think it was very much in line with what expectations could
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have been going on one of the things about this moment is that things are so uncertain. uncertain about how the fed will act and whether there will be a second wave or another fiscal program. uncertainties, there are things we know for sure i agree that we should expect continued support for asset and the economy becauses th that's way our system works at the end of the day, the fed committed to something like $1.4 trillion qe in addition to keeping rates pushed down at zero until we've weathered the storm, whatever that precisely means is a little difficult to say. it is possible some of the market wanted them to go one step further and announce yield curve control or something like that really, what i see the market
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doing over the past 12 hours or so is just recalibrating after that new information from powell we have rates at zero. we have commitment to a qe program. we have commitment to scale that up and do more, if necessary >> no negative rates, john, in your view? >> no. it makes sense to study it we are at the moment of stress in financial and economic system everything should be on the table, that doesn't mean you have to do everything. the fed indicated, hey, we've taken a look at negative rates every single fomc member who commented doesn't feels it good for the u.s. >> right one of my pet peeves we need to have that conversation we have conversations about the most outlandish stuff. no, let's not have the
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conversation we are never doing it. stop saying that what does that do. conversation talk is cheap. thank you. just kidding paul, thank you. appreciate it. andrew coming up, when we return, dow futures down 2% this morning. much more on today's move before the opening bell we'll talk about it before we return take a look at this morning's biggest decliners in the a bk j wereacinust a moment today, that philosophy extends to how we connect with you. we call it, audi at your door. whether a remote test drive, shopping, trade-in, or even service pickup, audi at your door can do this and more at participating dealers. the premium audi dealership experience, on your terms. audi at your door.
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commission free today. still to come, the pressure is on for ceos to make changes for racial equality. more still do come, the pressure is on for ceos and racial equality check out shares of amazon the european union will reportedly file charges over the treatment of third party sellers. that's according to the wall street journal we'll be right back.
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following nationwide protests, many corporate executives have committed to racial equality. joanne lipman says as ceos develop action plans to end systemic racism, they can reflect on the me too movement for what effects change and what doesn't. let's bring in joanne lipman she's a cnbc contributor and, joanne, i know that for several years now you've been traveling and talking to male executives, talking to them about the me too movement and what you've seen happen there shows you a lot of parallels to the corporate response we're seeing now to the black lives matter movement. what are you kind of seeing there? how do you think this kind of plays out from here? >> yeah, thanks, becky so there are a lot of parallels
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between what's going on now and the me too movement and also a lot of lessons that we need to learn because a lot of what happened we're seeing the same playbook we're seeing lots of corporate statements of support and maybe some donations we're also seeing some ceos who are starting to lose their positions like crossfit yesterday. i'm he sure we're going to see more of that to come and we're seeing the rise of this white allies movement i think this is really relevant because it's an outgrowth of what we're seeing where we have male allies. feminism, we never thought that was our cause. now we want to help. white allies are seeing exactly the same thing the issue is if we look at what actually happened with the me too movement and what corporate change has happened, we really have not had a lot of movement i mean, in terms of representation of women, in terms of promotions, in terms of pay.
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we're just not seeing the movement and so if we want to avoid those same missteps now, we've really got to put words into action and that is what's been missing from the me too movement. something for all of us to learn. >> yeah. >> so, i mean, there's a few steps that are -- there are some steps -- yeah. >> no, go ahead. >> yeah. there's steps that companies can take that have been effective and that we need to see more of. by the way, what you just mentioned with amazon, what you were talking about earlier is really relevant here, right? we have known for years that the artificial intelligence software, facial recognition software does not recognize black faces accurately it's only now that amazon is doing something about it if you look at representation in terms of companies, tech firms, for example, have terrible representation of people of color. less than 4% versus a population -- a black population
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that's like 13%. but there are things you can do. one of the first things and the easiest, you have to trust your data and look at your data and that means quantify, first of all, promotion rates look at your promotion gap companies have gotten so much better than they used to be in terms of hiring at the entry level diverse candidates, but then if you look at every level going up, it becomes less and less diverse, more white, more male if companies are really serious about this, you've got to look at where is the leakage? it's not the problem with the employees, you've got some sort of structural bias built into your organization and you can pinpoint it there. similarly, we've seen the same thing with wage gap analyses which can be very helpful. >> joanne, i saw a strain on twitter, a thread that had run through about let's say in
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journalism part of why you don't see more diversity in journalism is because for a very long time all of these news rooms relied on pain internships that cuts off people who have access to this that seems like a pretty significant thing that should be considered >> and, becky, you're right. not only that, it actually starts before the internship it starts before college a lot of college newspapers is considered an extracurricular activity those students are blocked out students on financial aid, disproportionately students on aid they can't work on papers if they don't provide a stiep pepd because they have to have a job to go with their student aid then you go into the internship phase. the internship phase if you're unpaid internships, by the way, also, you know, the fact that in journalism in particular, those entry-level jobs are very poorly live paid. so that's another issue to deal
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with but there's another issue that is really important which is who's doing the interviewing who's making the decisions who are the decision makers about who's hiring and also who's getting promoted who is making those decisions? in football, becky, i know you know this, there's the rooney rule that if you're hiring a coach, you have got to include a diverse slate of candidates. every company should have a rooney rule for their candidates, but they also need a similar rooney rule for their interviewers because if you've got -- if your interviewers, your people who make the decisions are largely white men and you've got a diverse slate of candidates, you're not goings to get the optimal result. you want to have that ability to understand -- to have people who are making those decisions who are -- have diverse points of view >> joanne, thank you we are out of time >> there's other steps that people -- >> thank you very much it's great to see you, joanne.
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and an update on covid hot spots. it's all straight ahead as the second hour of "squawk box" begins right now. i guess we can keep that promo where we're all this far apart from each other. looks weird now to me. we should -- i don't know. good morning welcome back to "squawk box" here on cnbc those are the good old days. i'm joe kernen and becky quick and andrew ross sorkin talk about equity futures. the dow is indicated sharply lower at 565 points after a couple of back-to-back losses and today the nasdaq is down significantly, though we should point out that the previous two sessions the nasdaq continued to outperform it was actually at levels never seen before. we should also maybe focus on
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the s&p just as much as the dow. the s&p closed up last night about 31.90. if you take another 60 points off there, we're still above 3100 a lot of people thought 3200 would be a good year end target even if everything worked out, they were very bullish we're still definitely near the high end of a forecast and ranges we'll see whether this is the beginning of something more significant or a normal pull back bonds, which were -- interest rates were sort of going in sync with the positive movement we saw on equity markets with rates rising 1%. you can see that didn't happen oil has maintained its recent move higher. back up almost 40 although it's down a little bit today at 38 for wti. becky? >> all right, joe.
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thank you. software industrial conglomerate, honeywell, one of the companies stepping up to produce ppe. joining us to talk about a lot of different things is honeywell ceodarius adamchek why don't you tell us about this. >> good morning, becky nice to see you again. nice to be with you. yeah, today's a very exciting day for us we're going to be announcing a partnership with s.a.p a national partnership with their expertise in the erp space, i.t. space and our expert in the o.t. space. it's a natural marriage, a natural partnership. the focus is going to be a cloud-based solution based on our forge platform and their s.a.p. platform for our connected buildings offering this is an exciting day for building owners, building
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operators as we're going to be bringing substantial energy savings. we're going to be bringing a better occupant experience i think what's most important, especially in these times, we're going to be bringing employees back to a much safer environment. initially when the covid crisis hit we responded very quickly and effectively to make sure that we bring the solutions that we needed, whether it's n95 masks, sensors for ventilators, hand sanitizers where we converted two plants to make hand sanitizer what we're focusing our energy on now is how does the world operate in a quasi state between a full medical solution and fully working from home. part of that solution is going to be our healthier buildings offering which is going to offer improved air circulation, cleaner air through the use of uv lights. some of our ai technologies are going to make sure people are
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social distancing. some cameras will not only measure temperatures on people entering the building but even through the use of ai make sure that they're actually wearing ppe in the proper way. we think this is going to be a great solution for people to transition back to the offices >> darius, that's huge and i think it would make people feel much more comfortable if they knew they could come into these environments, because so much of what we've heard to this point is inside air circulation could be a serious problem we've watched it in diagrams where you can see, for instance, at a restaurant, a church or something where they map out how close you're sitting and how many people on this floor of the office got it after one person came down with coronavirus what you're talking about sounds pretty intense how quickly can you roll some of these things out how quickly would you be able to scale things up? i know you have a huge presence when it comes to these non-residential buildings. over 25% of the world is
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non-residential buildings are powered by honeywell how quickly could you roll this out? >> we're ready to engage customers now. the solutions are ready. we started to roll them out in some of the honeywell buildings. we're ready to go now and engage customers in some of those discussions. i would also point out that our solutions are not just limited to buildings for example, we've also created a set of solutions for the airlines i'm happy to have some discussions with the airline ceos earlier this week about how do we make travel safer for passengers we had some ideas, they had a number of ideas. we're all focused on the same thing which is how do we make that environment safer the same kinds of things, healthier air circulation. making sure that the cabin is clean, that it's disinfected, that passengers at the end of the day need to feel safer in their travel we have a similar set of solutions there. we have them for an industrial
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plant, cyber security, all of these things that are going to become so relevant now as the world gets back to work. >> you say you have solutions that are ready to roll out right now. a couple of questions. what does it cost? how as an employee going into a building, as an air travel joer, how would i know those things in are in there everybody is ramping up with those partnerships amc theaters is teaming up with clorox to try to make people feel better about cleaning things more thoroughly what you're talking about makes me feel more comfortable about the ultraviolet rays in the duct system and trying to make sure people are social distancing what does it cost? whr we actually going to see, say, manhattan having all of this or any flight that i book would have all of that >> the costs are actually variable based on the size of the building, number of occupants, so on and so on the way you're going to know the
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systems are in place, for example, for our building offerings, every office occupant is going to have a user app where they could look up exactly what's happening on a daily basis. they're going to get a questionnaire in terms of who they've been around, what they've done we're incorporating another safety feature in this they could look up at the air quality. they can look at who's been around them in case there is somebody who comes down positive testing for covid. it's a fairly sophisticated user application as well that will further enable employees to feel safer in the environment it will be very visible here which will measure temperatures, check for ppe or whatever functionality the user wants to have in that building. >> i would imagine they may rule some of that out immediately but maybe in the united states there are some questions about
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privacy. i ask that because even when we were in the heat of the virus in new york city and other places, privacy concerns are a big issue particularly talking about people's health. there were times where you're not even told in your own workplace if someone tests positive or who that person is maybe you hear there was a positive case in the workplace and you don't hear about it because of privacy concerns. how do you deal with that? >> that's a very legitimate point. privacy issues are something we have to deal with. you know, believe' actually managed the whole covid crisis very well. very, very few outbreaks throughout our whole 110,000 employees. we've had a couple frankly, you can still manage this without telling people exactly who has been tested positive for the virus you have to take a look at where they work without divulging
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who's been tested positive and so on. that's part of the -- people's privacy so instead it's not evident to everybody in the office or manufacturing center who it is and what they're tested for those issues are critical and important. >> darius, what does the economy look like from your perspective? what do you see happening around the globe as places like china and europe start to open up and as some of the states here start to open up, too? >> i would say so far it's very consistent with what we've expected essentially we expected and continue to see in the results a little bit of a steady progression. i would define april as our low point. may was a little bit better. we expect june to be better. q4 to be better and 2021 to be better that's the basic financial model.
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whether it's our arrerospace business, whether it's our performance business it's starting to follow and dr. gottleib talked about this what's going to happen we're optimistic we're much more ready to deal with potentially a second group. we do think progress is going to be made in terms of a medical solution even in the fall or late this year so we think that the chances of another major event when everybody gets sent back to their homes, the economy's locked up, the probability of that we anticipate is going to be low. we see some level of recovery. we're not expecting a v-shaped recovery, but we are expecting a gradual improvement as we move throughout the year and certainly into 2021.
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>> dari ur s, we want to thank you for your time. hopefully you can come back and tell us how things are progressing. we appreciate hearing the update about the new news. >> thank you, becky. >> great to see you. >> good to see you. >> andrew? hey, thanks. great conversation fascinating what it could mean for all of us. in the meantime, take a look at the futures. we are in the red. the dow off about 630 points this morning nasdaq down 63 points giving up a lot of the gains over the past couple of days some of those gains, as we head to a break, a look at this morning's leaders and laggards in the dow we'll be back to discuss what's happening in the market.
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the first trials you've laid out a pretty substantial clinical trial plan here with four different study arms evaluating both prevention and treatment with this drug tell us about this approach. >> before we get to the trials, let me just start with the science and technology because that's where it always starts at regeneron. i do have to pause for a second here to consider what's happened here i'm not sure it's ever happened before the very same day that we announced publication of fundamental new scientific discoveries and back-to-back papers in the world's premiere scientific journal, on that very same day we announced that we are taking advantage of these discoveries already to start and treat patients we've already treated our first patient suffering from this
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horrific pandemic and i think it speaks to the incredible effort and dedication by so many throughout our bioindustry, and particularly the incredible effort of our scientists and people who ever since we realized this -- the incredible challenge that was put to the world, they have been working 24/7 combining their incredible ingenuity and old-fashioned blood, sweat and tears to turn this into a reality to try to save mankind i'm very proud of the entire bioindustry and particularly our people for making the science and technological discoveries and bringing them so rapidly to this point in which, as you say, we're starting to test them in trials and we have a very aggressive program. we work very closely with the fda. very innovative new way to combine all phases of testing, aggressive phase 1, phase 2, phase 3 adaptive design.
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very rapidly we will hopefully be able to test the safety and then start understanding the efficacy for four major different settings of this virus challenge. one to treat the sickest patients those that are in the hospital, who are on ventilators or requiring oxygen support that's one class the hospitalized patients. two is the people who are infected in early stages of disease, showing that we can stop the disease, reverse it so they don't progress and rapidly cure them and make them non-infectious third, to treat and prevent disease in the context of these very people who have recently been infected and, fourth, as a widespread prophylactic to prevent disease in people who are at high risk, for example, the heroes who are working at the front lines, the health care workers and so forth to make sure that we have something to give them so that they will be able to do their job and not worry about getting infected
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>> reporter: i want to ask you also about the scientific discoveries you just mentioned you have two papers accepted by the journal "science" we'll get to see them on monday. what you detailed today, a cocktail approach with antibodies can do similar things to what we saw with cocktails with antiviral drugs for hiv, which is to protect against the virus's ability for mutants to evade one single drug approach now your competitors, like eli lilly, have started human trials with one antibody. are you concerned that that approach is going to lead to mutant versions of the virus getting around that drug >> first of all, i don't view any of us during this pandemic as competitors we're all working doing our best together as you said, i think that the fundamental discoveries that we showed in the scientific papers
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is that just like with conventional old-fashioned antiviral drugs giving one can have enormous benefit initially, but it can lead to the selection and the rise of escape viral mutants which now could be very dangerous and risky, and what we showed is that in order to prevent this you have to give these antibodies in cocktails. i think that there are very serious risks to consider that we do not want to be selecting the same type of escape drug resistant mutants with single antibodies as was seen in the early days of hiv and aids i hope that everybody out there who's considering using single antibodies looks at the data, looks at the science and considers those risks. i think when we have an antibody cocktail like this available, the one that is already in clinical trials, i think people should think about whether they
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should be proceeding with single antibody trials. >> reporter: what do your time lines look like in terms of getting the first information back in terms of how well your drug is working? >> we're hoping within a week or two using this adaptive design to be showing that it's safer to go into larger numbers of patients once we're able to do that, this is going to be a collaboration working hand in hand, side by side with the fda, we're going to larger numbers of patients. we think it's possible if all goes well. this is biology and medicine and a lot of times you can't predict how things are going to go, but if things go incredibly well, within a month or two after that we could have definitive data that this antibody cocktail is really making a difference for a variety of these patients at risk i think there's a lot of reason for hope remember, we first pioneered these very same technologies creating an antibody cocktail
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against ebola. remember, that in a collaboration with the world health organization, that was tested in the congo and it went head to head with old refashioned drugs like remdesivir and it had remarkably greater benefit there with ebola which is a much more lethal disease. we think there's a lot of treen have hope, but like anything in this field of science and technology, biology can always surprise us. there's always reasons to be concerned and to be cautious so we're going to be moving forward very carefully hand in hand with the fda and we hope sooner rather than later we can get answers that really make a difference. >> reporter: doctor, thanks for being with us. stay tuned for the data in just a month or two hopefully becky, back over to you. >> meg, thank you very much. folks, let's take a look at the futures this morning we have seen increasing pressure on the futures in fact, the dow indicated down 56.66. s&p futures down by 66
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the nasdaq indicated down by 160. we've seen oil get weaker. down by 4% below $38 a barrel we'll talk more about what's happening. take a look at bond yields those bond yields came under pressure starting yesterday with the fed. the ten year indicated 0.7% the market kind of moved that. it was concern about the economic outlook, seeing a decline of gdp of 6.5% fears of a second wave growing as we head to a break, let's take a look at today's aflac trivia question. which popular vehicle maker's slogan is "think osi"?utde we'll give you the answer when we come back ty dollars. a hundred dollars. i had good health insurance. why isn't this covered? well, then they started getting bigger. eight-hundred dollars. eighteen hundred dollars. i saved for this. but not that much.
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welcome back the answer to today's aflac trivia question, which popular vehicle maker's slogan is "think outside" the answer, polaris. check out the move in the stock since april. people look to get outside wow, the -- it's almost above the left side. year to date, stock's down about 5% andrew okay a lot more to come right here on "squawk box. fed gloom and doom and fears the second wave fueling this morning's selloff. we'll speak to grant's interest rate observer, jim grant, in
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just a bit about the move in the market, the fed and all of it. shares of grubb hub saying they plan to merge just eat take away.com eat take away's offer at $75.15. given the way the stock is moving, we'll talk about what it means. another check on the futures we are in the red this morning we'll be right back right after this
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the s&p 500 looking to open down 65 points. nasdaq off 150 points. we should tell you there's a new dynamic in the market. retail investors making big bets in or near bankruptcy. seems to be paying off at the expense of hedge fund managers caught on the wrong side of this trade. want to get over to leslie picker spending a lot of time drilling down into almost day trading bankrupt companies these days. the retail investors buying up shares, they needed a way to make a quick buck, as you mentioned, at the expense of
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sophisticated hedge funds on the other side of that trade the hedge fund strategy is called capital structure arbitrage or colloquially cap structure arb. this involves shorting the equity while going long the bonds to capture mispricings up and down the capital structure the idea that they can trade differently and algorithmic trading can come in and capture the relative value, but when day traders bid up shares of bankrupt companies, it sent the stocks higher as hedge funds were set to cover the short positions. guys >> okay. leslie picker, thank you for that it helped explain a lot of what we've been debating of what's been going on. i think for a lot of us who watch this over the years, it's been a very unique shift in what's happening in the markets. for now though on what's happening in the markets and who's getting into the markets
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amid all of these wild market moves, i want to bring in paul hickey want to bring in mike santoli, cnbc senior markets commentator. let me start with you though, paul you've been looking at some really interesting numbers about what happens before and after the markets are open and you've come up with a pretty unique explanation that actually maybe we should really change the way we're all trading. >> well, i think the long-term performance of the market, all of the market's gains historically yeah i'm here can you hear me? >> yes go ahead >> okay. so virtually all of the markets gains have come during the overnight session of trading and it makes sense when you think about it because investors are taking the overnight risk. there should be no premium to
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equities or no compensation, extra compensation to hold equities during the day because you can always get out of that position holding the position overnight where investors have been rewarded for taking on that risk the reason they take on that risk and are compensated for it is for reasons like we saw in february and march when good or bad news tends to happen in after hours trading and it happened in a big way in february and march conversely, the regular session what we're seeing is, like we said, that performance has historically been relatively weak, but what we've seen especially since last october is regular session performance of the market doing much better if you look back to early october of last year, a big switch that changed was commissioned at schwab and other online brokers you've seen an increase in activity among the retail trade. you can also look at this in the breakdown of stocks based on their share price.
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since october when commissions went to zero at the online brokerages, the lowest priced stocks in the russell 3,000 have been the best performing stocks versus every other share price and then if you compare that to the year before commissions went down to zero, they were among the worst performing groups of stocks so lower priced stocks tend to be weaker lower quality stocks when it's a small share price and you have a limited capital, you tend to see retail money going into that area of the market >> and, mike, let's put this in context for the viewers because i think we should all just set up a programmatic trade here you sold at the open you'd be up 650% on the s&p. >> yeah. >> if you bought at the open and you just sold at the close every single day, you would be down 3% so should we just put a
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programmatic trade on and go home >> you're going to have to make your way across a lot of interim losses you have to account for certain times. by the way, i think there actually is a little pocket of the investment world that does something very much like that. by the way, it makes sense not just because as paul said you're taking the overnight risk, there has to be some implicit compensation for that. more news happens outside of market hours than before the rest of the world still exists outside of u.s. market hours. i do think you're going to have enough switchbacks and bumps and that's one of the trading strategies where because of the enormous sample size of all of the days you're calculating seems like a slam dunk there will be stretches where you're not going to feel that it's all that smart. it makes some sense on some level. what is interesting to me though is if this is a change in a rhythm or the last several months, you have seen a little bit more of a bell-to-bell type of push for people to buy
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stocks retailers mostly on the buy side, mostly pushing certain segments of the market the issue is small traders -- trading itself is a zero sum game during the day. that isn't necessarily an ongoing source of new money into the market it's a little more just kind of a little bit of a side show, a little bit of a speculative area of the market that gets moving when bull markets have been around or when you have massive volatility as we have in the last few months. >> hey, paul, just speak to where we are now -- go ahead i wanted to get your ideas on where we are in the markets right now given that we seem to be pulling back. >> yeah. i mean, i think today is -- the market's a little bit concerned about the upticks in case counts in certain states, but i think the market maybe got a little bit ahead of itself pricing in a very smooth recovery going forward from the summer into the fall
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there's going to be bumps in the road i think when you look at an issue like today, it's investors taking a look at concerns. when we look at the market we're continuing to see positive signs. i mention this pretty much every time i'm on. the relative strength of the semis hit another high yesterday. they're one of the best leading indicators of the broader market as long as that holds up, we're more comfortable than income tabl with equities. >> in terms of professional investor versus retail investor, how do you see this playing out? there's a view, we were talking about the bankrupt companies, that the retail investor is moving a lot of this is that what's happening in the market or no nkts ye >> yeah, so i thinkthere's som retail money coming in it's always referred to as the dumb money if you look at hedge fund returns historically, equity
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hedge funds are flat over the last 15 years so i'm not necessarily sure that the hedge fund money is smart money or that the retail money is the dumb money i think when you look at the overall trends of accumulation whether it be retail money or institutional money, that's what drives stock prices higher as you see that money coming in, which we're seeing as mike was saying earlier, it tends to be a zero sum game, just day trading. that's money consistently coming in and that's driving the market higher >> right hey, mike, we have to run. give me a 30-second assessment of the market this morning given where futures are, what you think is happening is this taking profits or is there something larger happening? >> reporter: i've been talking for a couple of weeks, speculation in the options market the overheating of the indexes you mhad a lot of stocks going. it does make sense the beginning of a routine pull back looks the same as a more significant one.
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right now it's routine we'll see how it goes. >> okay. paul, mike, thank you guys both. appreciate it. joe, over to you. >> coming up, a look at rising coronavirus hot spots. they're what's driving the spike in cases as we head to break, here's a look at the s&p winners and losers this morning. regeneron up almost 3%, 16 points on what we were just talking about. the chief scientific office. we'll be right back.
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take a look at the futures this morning. if you're just logging in, you'll see the dow is down by 650 points this morning. s&p down by 63 the nasdaq off by 146. it comes after big runoffs in the past few weeks. as states are up the new cases or hospitalizations from covid are accelerating once again. meg tirrell joins us and what's driving the spike in those areas. meg, this is a concerning story. >> reporter: it is, becky. i mean, if you look at the country right now, it really is in two different situations. states like us in the northeast are in recovery, whereas, states in the south and parts of the west are really starting to see an increase after having reopened a few weeks ago specifically epidemiologists are pointing out texas, florida, and arizona. we really want to hone in on arizona. if you take a look at the graph of their cases, you can see the reopening was in the early to middle of may. that blue line is the daily confirmed cases. you are seeing a spike there
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now there is some question of is this just due to increased testing. the red line is the test positive rate. in arizona that's approaching 13% and it's increasing. i talked with experts there including dr. michael bank who said this is not just increased testing. we are actually seeing more infection here when you look at the specific areas of the states, specifically phoenix is an area that saw the fastest growth in the entire country of cases in the past week, you can see here for arizona this is apple's mobility data. people are starting to move around again this is driving data showing it's reached baseline levels and even a little bit higher than baseline levels after dropping down when everything closed down they do say this is probably associated with reopening and one factor, guys, we've been talking about this morning is in many of these very hot states we're actually in indoor season. people are back inside and that could be contributing to spread.
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if you want to drill down to the county level at potential hot spots, this is a combination of potential indicators from carnegie mellon. the darker areas are where people are doing telemedicine on covid. they have symptoms or somebody they know has symptoms you can see a lot of places, california, arizona, southern part of florida you are seeing that a lot more. we could see potential up ticks there, guys. back to you. >> meg, the question is because these are the states that are opened and opened up, would we see similar trends here and places in the northeast where they were hot spots originally things have died down a bit. if we start to open up like we are gradually starting to do right now, will those similar trends pick up here? >> reporter: i've asked epidemiologists that question because i'm wondering the same thing. are we a few weeks away and the answer is, they don't know
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we don't know what the trends are going to look like the one thing they will note about arizona is they didn't see the spike already that we've seen they were saying they were kind of expecting this surge to potentially come in june because they hadn't seen it before so different curves but we're going to have to see how it looks as we reopen what steps we take to try to be careful. >> meg, thank you very much. great to see you again when we come back, jim grant talks interest rates the fed's outlook for the economy and much more. before we head to a break, take a look at airline stocks they're lower this morning a few news items yesterday united said passengers have to do a health self assessment demand is returning slowly but flight volume remains pretty uncertain. delta said it's issuing new debt to raise an additional $1.5 billion. all of these stocks have run up significantly over the last week this morning american is down by
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it's pretty much across the board. look at three representative issues in the dow. boeing is the biggest news this morning. it's down 9% $18 which adds a lot to what you're seeing on the dow selloff. exxon mobil, the oil is down it's down 5% more than 5% 5.5% and financial j.p. morgan chase is down about 4% in the pre-market benchmark interest rates are near zero. the fed made quite a bit of comments yesterday and some people indicating that those comments are unhelpful in terms of what's happening in the stock market today let's get to jim grant quickly here to discuss what this could mean jim grant, founder and editor of grant's interest rate observer what i was talking to steve liesman about earlier, many are
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saying the fed's appraisal of the economy put a damper on sentiment today for the stock market i just ask the question about whether the fed's overall action and the action of central bankers around the world, is there anyone worried about a day of reckoning for that at some point? and i think maybe you would be a person that thinks maybe this will be difficult to unwind at some point in the future >> yes, it will be difficult to unwind because it's been wipeding for years and years with every bit of difficulty, the central bank's weigh in the rates, bigger balance sheets and more intervention of all kind. so what we see now is certainly unique but it is -- it is
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unprecedented. there are precedents going back 25 years, arguably much longer the chairman talks about the smooth functioning of markets, but markets are not meant necessarily to be smooth they are meant to discount future cash flows and to express the best guess of the collective group of investors as to the risk of default and impairment of credit. and what the central banks have done is to deaden those sensors. junk bond spreads are back to slightly before yesterday, slightly below average for the past 10 or 20 years, which is astonishing given the state of things in the real world so i would say central banks have been instrumental in making markets less perceptive and to
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making them tell us less in the moment about how things really are. >> i guess, jim, in a real simple way to ask it is when do you think either the stock market or the bond market will start to view the fed and central bankers around the world as not part of the solution to all of our problems but maybe adding to the problem and being part of the problem instead of the solution we're not there yet, do you think? we're really hearing accoladines and praise do you think there comes a time where we can look back you can even throw fiscal moves in on this, too as the debt soars, the national debt does there come a time because we haven't seen a weak dollar or a lot of inflation or any of the things that hawks worry about we haven't seen. is that time coming? >> i think it is coming. you know, the muscled memory in
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the market is one of fed dominance and helpfulness and competence interest rates have been falling -- i guess they're falling, it will be 39 years the fed did not see the last crisis coming but emerged from that with greater powers and greater prestige no, this market has not chosen yet to discount the fed's ability or judgment or capacities i think the moment of truth we'll see it in a number of possible ways. one is if there is an unscripted rise in price inflation, most everyone doubts that possible. certainly the existence of more than $10 trillion worldwide, less than nothing, that's testament to a general conviction that price inflation is dead and decomposing but, you know, if you look at the rate of growth in various aggregates of
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money supply over the past year, you're looking at 15 to 20% year over year and higher never higher rates of broad money growth in peace time than at the present moment. the fed's balance sheet has shown, what,80% or so year ove year analyze it, it's now 700%. the atlanta -- one of the federal reserve banks, cleveland came out and said that come the next trial by fire we might be looking at idealized negative federal funds rate of 7.4% that's the conjecture on what the appropriate federal funds rate the federal reserve has taken it upon themselves to intervene in a way that is just to me astounding and what is equally marked as how well this has gone over with the fed and wall street
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people wait and i wait to hear someone saying this is just the road to financial surfdom. it's the handsiest federal regulatory agency i can think of we all collectively on wall street say, that's the fed doing what it can do, what it must do and such a humane organization, it wants to do well. but these interventions, these policies are radical policy with more radical policy which begets more leverage and frailty and right back in the soup so whatever question you asked five minutes ago, joe, that's the answer to it. >> so if i were to be really on guard, if i was a sentry, what would be the canary in the coal mine if we were to start to see this unraveling in some way from fed missteps >> two things, gold and silver >> gold and silver
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17 -- i mean, gold has finally challenged its old highs but it was supposed to break through 2,000 an ounce ten years ago never happened >> well, wait. >> okay. all right. gold and silver. you gave me those two. you know, i see it -- i see gold and silver advertised a lot on channels and silver's been trending higher. yeah, really it's been trending higher for like -- you know those commercials. it's the same commercial from three years ago. is it still trending higher? why hasn't it gone any higher? it has jim, thank you we appreciate it. >> you're welcome, joe. >> i love silver i love gold. jim graham, thank you. andrew >> okay. a lot more on "squawk box" ahead. senator ron johnson on the reopening of the u.s. economy. the fear of the second wave and getting more money to small businesses in the meantime, here are the
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futures at this hour we are in the red. the dow looking like it would open off by 722 points right about now. we'll talk about it on the back def is a big hour ahead provided for my fa mily and i've been running cranes for this will make 34 years. i'm ready to retire. it's been since 2011 that i've really started getting into precious metals, moving money out of the stock market trying to protect some of it. makes more sense to me than a piece of paper and it's an awesome feeling to hold that in your hand. i mean, it's been in monetary value for thousands of years and it'll be here for a 1,000 more. there's always a risk. i mean, you take a risk put your money in the bank, you take a risk putting in the stock and bonds. i know i worked hard for it and i know it'll be there tomorrow and the next day. precious metals has given me the security in my life knowing that my family's taken care of
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and more than a half a million clients worldwide, u.s. money reserve is one of the most dependable gold distributors in america. good morning a big stock selloff underway in the pre-market investors used to some big gains. now showing their nerves after the fed predicts a big economic contraction and covid cases rise in some states breaking information on unemployment plans exclusive numbers from yelp on which business is closed and who's reopening. plus, we're going to talk about the big run up in tech stocks and what comes next for the
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sector dan niles joins us straight ahead. the final hour of "squawk box" begins right now. move apart move apart good morning welcome to "squawk box" here on cnbc this we can do this we can do i'm joe kernen along with becky -- oh, wow okay i'm going to blush becky quick and andrew ross sorkin u.s. equity futures indicated down more than 700 points now. 720 points big losses in boeing and exxon mobil as we look at financials jpmorgan, those losses in percentage terms dow futures have trended down for much of the morning. there you can see we're down 2% in the s&p
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the dow jones down 2.7 and the nasdaq finally joining in on some of the pull back, which we did not see yesterday or the day before for the dow fell. treasury yields have backed up -- backed down. oil prices are also reflecting some of this down almost 5%, down 1.94. andrew >> okay. thanks meantime, we have news breaking on moderna. meg tirrell has some of the latest details >> reporter: hi. the news coming fast and furious. vaccines and drugs for covid moderna says they plan to start the trial in july in the united states randomized with half on placebo,
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half receiving 100 micrograms. that's towards the higher end of the doses. that's not the absolute higher end in the trial the primary goal is prevention of symptomatic covid-19 disease. they'll be evaluating whether the vaccine can prevent hospitalization and prevent infection by the virus completely they are on track to deliver 500 million doses per year, possibly up to 1 billion doses starting with 2021 with lanza they updated on the enrollment in the phase two study which just began a couple of weeks ago. they plan to enroll 600 people in the first two weeks of that trial they enrolled half the study already. those patients will be getting two doses of the vaccine 28 days apart, guys. this moving along quite at a record pace here with this first phase 3 large scale efficacy trial plan to start in july. guys >> that's great news
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meg, thank you very much we need to come to you about every 20 minutes just to keep up with what's happening on covid these days thank you. we will see you again very soon, i'm sure. in the meantime, let's get back to the arkets this morning's implied losses coming after the gloomy outlook from the federal reserve fed officials see the economy contracting by 6.5% this year though they think it will grow by 5% this year and 3.5 the year after that the central bank will keep interest rates near zero for some time. fed chair jerome powell says he's not even thinking about raising rates but powell also used last month's surprise jobs gain to point out no one knows what's coming for the economy. >> if you look at the may employment report it's a pretty good -- probably the biggest data surprise that anybody can rememb remember it's a pretty good illustration of how uncertain these times
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are. >> the fed will increase the bond holdings targeting $80 billion a month and mortgage-backed securities purchases at $40 billion a month. joe? >> thanks, beck. on the congressional side, with lawmakers debating more stimulus money, ron johnson says any additional funding should only be given to those that can demonstrate a need businesses can disclose what percentage of revenue they've lost due to the pandemic senator johnson joins us do we still need to fine tune the stimulus we already have or do we need more? >> good morning. it's hard to say how much is spent of the $2.9 trillion of financial relief it's around half, maybe less than half. we probably have 1.4, $1.5 trillion that has not been spent or obligated before we talk about authorizing more spending, we ought to take
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a look at what worked, what didn't work. let's face it, we had to do something massive. we had to do something fast. in hindsight it by and large worked we had to provide liquidity. we had to provide that type of certainty. you can take a look at what has not been spent, what has not been obligated let's try and reflect future financial aid and particularly those businesses that are viable, can reopen, might need more capital we need to be smarter about how we approach it in the future. >> dealing with covid in terms of shutdowns and reopenings, it's not even statewide, it's almost countywide specific to what's happening could you just comment overall on what we're seeing some of the troubling signs that we may be seeing in states that were not originally hot spots but now seem to be moving into that arena, like arizona or texas
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is it troublesome? does it mean that, you know, maybe the economy won't open as quickly as we had hoped? >> well, i was a pretty early advocate of trying to keep as much of our economy open as possible recognizing so much of the economy is integrated. if we want to keep hospitals and grocery stores open, we need to keep distribution centers open everything is essential to somebody i'm not being critical policy makers from the president on down had to deal with some very imperfect information at the time now we've learned. from my standpoint what we should have been focusing on are the nonessential businesses. remember, the goal here was to flatten the curve so we wouldn't overwhelm our health care systems and by and large that hasn't happened. what's happened is we've under whemd our health care systems. what's important is an elective procedure for one person may be somebody's life saving or
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diagnostic treatment from my standpoint we should try to keep as much of the economy open as possible as safely as we can recognizing the human toll of this economic devastation that we're undergoing right now >> would you vote no against more stimulus? >>. >> at this point, absolutely >> nothing that would make sense for you, something that's really in need if it could be proven that that's something that's needed too late >> i would absolutely vote to redire redirect, repurpose, remedy part of the $2.9 trillion right now we do not need to authorize more spending. that's the last thing we need to do we need to take a look at what needs to be done i think by and large that worked now we need to focus and really direct what we're going to do in the future based on what we're dealing with right now one of the biggest problems with
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the relief packages we passed, we wanted to help workers. no doubt about it, everyone wanted to do that. the $600 flat payment plus state unemployment, wall street journal ran an article 68% of people are making more on unemployment than they made in their job. that is a huge disincentive to return to the work force i hear from employers they can't hire people. they can't bring them back we have high levels of unemployment there are still jobs open going unfilled anything we do we need to provide incentives for people to come back into the work force and the capital for businesses. >> switching gears entirely. do you foresee a federal answer or solution to what we've been witnessing in terms of, you know, police reform or some way of just trying to make some progress on these infratractabl
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issues >> within the republican conference they're taking a look at what the federal government can do policing is by and large a state and local issue and i think you need to be a little careful in terms of the federal government imposing its wishes on state and local governments. i don't know that anybody that didn't take a look at what happened to george floyd and not just recoil at the horror of that just take a look at other instances, things that possibly can be done in terms of training, data gathering to provide better information take a look at police unions in terms of some of the protections they offer to bad cops i really do believe the vast majority of police officers are good people. they're doing a very difficult job. they're putting their lives on the line a lot of them lose their lives so i completely respect the position they're in and i do believe the thing that good cops hate most are bad cops we need to have a system to be able to weed those folks out, that very small percentage that
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should be weeded out of the profession. >> thank you, senator for all of the different topics we went over appreciate it. senator ron johnson. thanks a lot more on "squawk box" ahead. futures pointing to a pull back this morning we are in the red. we're going to get a progress check on reopening the economy looking at the dow off close to 750 points right now meantime, the ceo of arkansas based southern bancorp we're going to take to darrin williams after the break as we head to the break, take a look at the biggest premarket aycliners in the dow st tuned, you're watching "squawk box" on cnbc
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welcome back to "squawk box. the futures are in the red s&p 500 looking to open down 73 points the nasdaq looking to sell off 154 points some of this may be just taking profits. much of this may also be what the fed said yesterday about their expectations for the economy. meanti meantime, want to check out shares of some of the biggest u.s. banks in the premarket as well show you where they stand. looking at a screen of red across the board wells fargo down the most down 7, almost 8% you're looking at citi, bank of america all taking hits as well. want to get a broader look at the banking sector progress on reopening the economy. joining us is darrin williams. he's the ceo of southern bancorp
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which is providing 1200 protections for low and middle income communities darrin, i want to thank you for joining us straight to the news this morning given the selloffs in the market and the expectations for the fed for the next 12 months if not longer, what are you seeing as the ceo of one of the largest banks in your region >> well, we see a community -- a business community that's really still a little concerned you know, if we can open -- reopen the economy given the pandemic, the consumers have confidence, then our customers will be fine we're optimistic but if we can regain consumer confidence, the communities and the markets will open back up safely then i think we'll be in good shape
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>> you heard what jay powell had to say yesterday in terms of their expectations for what unemployment looks like in this country over the next 12 months. what's your expectation for employment in your region? >> understand we certainly look at a delta we've always had unemployment. we're concerned about that that's an issue for us we're going to continue to monitor that and watch that. we wanted to support the small businesses that provide the jobs for the people we serve. >> we just had ron johnson on the last segment and joe asked him about whether we needed more stimulus money, whether we need to get more money to small businesses what's your view on that >> stepping stone. the paycheck protection program which was a big help for the markets we started
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250 paycheck protection loans for 1150 most of that had to be spent on payroll but other things that businesses need to support themselves to allow them to survive this pandemic. so there may be a need for additional support of small businesses that are really the backbone of the economy. until the consumer confidence comes back, until we feel safe about going back into the market, going back into restaurants, going back into stores, these businesses will need additional support. >> there's some economists that are worried about what happens to employment come the end of this month given that some of these loans and the provisions around employment. you were just discussing how you think these loans are being used do you think there are people
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being kept on the payroll that may not be on the payroll come july >> it's quite possible consumer confidence comes back and people return to the stores to buy and purchase, many of the businesses may not need as many people so, sure, we're concerned about that the paycheck protection program required 75%, now it's produced 60% of those dollars had to be spent in keeping people on the payroll. that was a primary driver for that money there are people who may be on the payroll where businesses may not need them right now. that is a concern. >> what's loan rope look like? >> it's not nearly as high as we would have expected but -- prior to the pandemic. we are seeing loan rope a pretty good portfolio we operate in rural markets. our farmers are still planting so we have some loan growth but the vast majority is the
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paycheck protection program. loan growth while it's slow, it's not completely diminished we would love to see it increase even more. >> and what are you seeing in terms of delinquencies >> you know, again, we provided as much relief as we could both to our consumer and to our business borrowers so we provided a 90-day payment holiday for any consumer and on a case-by-case basis we work with our business borrowers providing them relief. we're not seeing any because we've given them 90 day payment reli relief our assets remain strong we'll see that in the first, second quarter of next year. we're monitoring that. so far so good we're cautiously optimistic. >> as you're speaking we're looking at the market pre-market as i mentioned, it's off now over 800 points.
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do you see a disconnect between the market right now and the economy as you're seeing it as a ceo? >> tlst -- >> does it make sense to you >> think of the markets we serve. we serve some of those poor communities all over the united states in the arkansas mississippi delta. very low income markets. so there appears to be some disconnect but, again, our markets, our communities are resilient. we believe we can bounce back. we're going to do all we can to support our borrowers and customers through this crisis. >> darrin, let me ask you this the country as you know so very well is reeling. it took place now two weeks ago. and we've been having some really i hope important and powerful conversations on this network and elsewhere about what needs to happen in this country to change the dynamic to really end the systemic racism and you guys are doing a lot where you are to try to get money into
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people's hands and trying to figure out what the private sector can do. what do you think can be done immediately? >> well, immediately we have to continue to have these conversations. i am pleased to see that so many people are speaking out, speaking against the type of injustice that we've seen -- that people of color have known for some time now. i'm glad people are becoming woke, they understand what's happening. they're speaking out that's not enough. we must act. every industry must look at itself what's been their role in the systematic and structural racism that's caused the problem we're seeing throughout the lives of people of color, not just in the criminal justice system, not just in police brutality but in almost every facet in health care, education. everyone's got to look at their own company, their own industry. in the banking industry, red lining was outlawed in 1968 but
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even today people of color have a much harder time accessing mortgage loans people of color, business owners are denied business loans at three times the rate of whites our businesses, our banks, we've got to look at what are the structural reasons for this. we've got to be very intentional about this we have to intentionally create programs and products that have served this community, build these communities and help solve this wealth gap that we see. that will go a long way in tearing down the structures and systems that have allowed for the basic racism that we see today. >> darrin, i want to thank you for joining us i hope you'll come on back it's a longer conversation and we appreciate you being with us this morning and offering your perspective on all of it >> thank you so much. >> thank you very, very much >> bet joe? >> thanks, andrew. coming up, breaking data on unemployment claims. it's thursday. estimates still calling for a number well above 1 million for
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the last week. almost 2 1.6 million. special look at some on the ground local business data from yelp helping us with the question who closed and who's reopening. the futures right now are at the worst levels that we've seen almost 900 now ay ted you're watching "squawk box" on cnbc achievable steps along the way... ...so we can spend a bit now, knowing we're prepared for the future. surprise! we renovated the guest room, so you can live with us. oooh, well... i'm good at my condo. oh. i love her condo. nana throws the best parties. well planned, well invested, well protected. voya. be confident to and through retirement.
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welcome back to "squawk box" this morning take a look at futures as the morning has progressed we've seen more red. the dow looks like it will open down 850 points. nasdaq up 176 points s&p 500 up 81 points it appears in large part based on some of the comments that have come out of the fed and jay powell, expectations about where the economy may or may not be
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and unemployment throughout the rest of this year, it may also be investors taking profits. big questions though about where things are headed. becky? >> andrew, in the meantime, let's take a look at shares of grubhub. the company has agreed to be acquired by just eat takeaway.com in a $7.3 billion all stock deal that transaction would create the world's largest food delivery system outside of china. the agreement comes after acquisition talks between grubhub and uber fell apart. it raises questions about what uber does next when we looked at that stock, it was down grubhub shares are up by over 7% just eat takeaway.com shares are flat. we have the latest initial jobless claims that are expected to top 1 million again as the virus keeps battering american businesses those numbers are next
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welcome back to "squawk box" on cnbc. we're just seconds away from the latest initial jobless claims numbers and consumer price data. could affect what we're seeing in the markets down 800 plus points on the dow. rick santelli has those numbers at the cme rick >> reporter: well, would we be looking for a tenth week in a row of claims being lower? it hasn't hit the wires yet. indeed, it's a definite yes on that last month of course or last week was 1.877 million so it was suddenly -- not revised. that's exactly the way it stood. this week 1.542 million on this week on initial claims and on continuing claims, 20.929 million. 20.929 million and if we look at
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that particular number, that follows an unrevised also, 21.487 million so definitely it is a bit lower. and if we continue to look at the drops in these numbers, maybe we'll actually get some positive comments from our fed chairman at the next meeting we look at ppi up .4 up .4. that is definitely a bit of a surprise on core energy, it's up. you only have to go back to 2009, joe, on ppi. in the last crisis they modified it a bit they wanted to have inflation be more, i guess, moldable in a way that they can control it that number is the worst it's ever been since 2009 or minus 110. there are revisions coming out to continuing claims, by the way. it now stands on initial at
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1.897. there was a bit of a delay it moved a bit higher. on continuing claims it also is revised to 21.268 million so that's a bit of a drop considering the last numbers of course in week's numbers are lower. let's go to year over year on ppi. minus .8 year over year core up .3. this data is pretty much a surprise on the up side for ppi on headline. tenth week lower should give the market some reprieve, of course. definitely we did i think suffer at the expense of you could call it maybe more realistic. so many experts would say more sensible view by jay powell on the economy. i would say, you know, if the economy's a restaurant, he saved it only to disthe food after he was done becky, back to you >> hey, rick, let me just clarify something. ppi up 0.4% when you strip out food and energy it's down 0.1%.
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>> yes. >> energy prices weren't higher but food prices skyrocketed. is that telling us this is food prices and that's been the big issue? >> well, i don't have the intricate aspects of this number so i'm not going to make a guess, but what i can tell you is is that all these numbers, of course, have different adjustments that are associated with them and my guess is part of that may be what's going afoul here but, indeed, we do see a divergence in many prices with regards to energy and food and some of the things we buy on a continual basis. i am sure that as we reopen parts of the country we will see more anomalies on pricing. >> okay. rick, stay around. we're going to talk a lot more on the market. steve liesman joins us too we want to get his reaction to these numbers we've seen steve, go ahead with your reaction >> yeah. there was a big jump in food prices i saw 6% jump, becky i'm still, i'm sorry, trying to
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learn to read these tables in real time. we used to get them from the wires but there's no more lockup out there so we're dealing with it in real time. i'm looking at the energy numbers. i thought i saw an energy increase which i can't quite square up 4.5% energy prices in the ppi. i don't know where that's coming from there was a turn around, as you know, in gasoline and oil prices and it must be picking up that even though while they're low, they're very high. back to claims it's a -- it's a debate i think within the market between the change, which rick emphasized, and the level. yes, it is down for ten weeks, but it's still 1.5 million it's still an enormous number of people are losing their jobs and filing for jobless claims. the continuing claims number, it's down a little bit but it's still north of 20 million.
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so you still have awful lot of pain gathering it's not like it's all in the rear-view mirror so, look, we have to square up the idea that everybody thought the jobless claims number was a good way to forecast what was going to happen in the payroll number that's no longer thought to be true we have to think about what the right way to think about it is, but what we know for sure is that there's still a lot of people filing for jobless claims it could be that it's catch up, it could be mandates that people refile every two weeks, but bottom line is, there's still a lot of pain in the job market. while the numbers are going down, i think 600,000 was the most you ever saw in a single week in the great financial crisis you're still at multiples of that you can focus on the change, maybe that makes you upbeat. you can focus on the level and you still see an awful lot of work ahead and still deterioration in the jobs market. >> we have been watching the futures all morning long and things have definitely taken a
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turn for the worse when we started this morning at 6 a.m. we were looking at futures. the dow down 460 points. now you're talking about the dow down by more than 900 points s&p 500 off by 86. nasdaq down by 185 again, this is a progression at this point the dow futures indicated down by 3.4%. that's the type of move that starts to catch your attention let's talk more about this morning's selloff. a couple of other guests joining us now mike santoli and jim muriel. mike, let's talk about what you've seen this morning what's happening >> reporter: first of all, becky, the setup was a little bit stretched. even opening at these levels, you're going back to the beginning of last week that last little push higher this is in hindsight we were talking about how the market was over heated and stretched and some of the sentiment and tactical indicators were extreme. we're seeing a little bit of a roll back of that. i do think often on the day after the fed meeting, mentioned this, a bit of a rethink
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the bond market is clearly rallying, yields getting compressed a reminder that we're in perhaps for a long slog here it's a little bit of a gut check on the idea that we had this runway towards momentum of a reopening. it was just going to be relatively smooth and strong i think we're just having a little bit of a check on that he enthusiasm at the moment not necessarily anything that has at this point certainly gotten beyond the level of a routine pull back. this has been a pretty fast-moving market so you have to stay on top of it. >> jim, let's talk a little bit about wti, too we were watching this morning. wti was down by 7% energy has been incredibly volatile which one is leading which is all of it being led by the fed's comments >> i think all of it is being led by the fed's comments. first to answer about the markets, on march 21st that was the day the fed said unlimited
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qe regardless of what camp you're in, whether it's forward looking or fed liquidity, you can't deny that at least part of it is fed liquidi liquidity. all of 24 is building up to yesterday where we want to hear from the fed and we want to hear that they're supporting the market and that's what the rally was up in. buy the rumor, sell the fact kind of thing, too secondly i think that news coming out of texas, arizona, florida, people haven't dug into this news yet but i think people are now a little bit worried that a second wave is upon us. that is more of an excuse to sell it than any real hard data. as far as the oil thing goes, you know, just the negative 40 print up to the positive 40 print in futures contracts over a month just shows how wildly volatile that it is. this is frank discovery. 40 seemed too high i think there's still a global, you know, recession/depression going on and even $1 at 96 is
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not going to help that yet. >> santoli, i know what powell said yesterday and all of that, but i immediately thought it had to do with worries about some of these states spiking >> reporter: yes. >> then i looked at the airline stock, boeing the biggest loss leader in the dow. it seems related to all of the covid cases, but then i realized that's also where the biggest gains have been. >> that's right. >> the most out sized gains. i don't know whether those got extended or it's concerns that we're not out of the woods >> reporter: i think it's all of the above. i think the fact that people felt as if the market was benefitting from the fact that if you were worried about complications to the reopening or switchbacks in some of these policies that were not going to be as good for the economy, you had weeks and weeks before that was ever going to come into play i think the data on texas and
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arizona, it's been bubbling in this direction for days and the market was ready to look at it at this point on the day, hey, by the way, the nasdaq closed at 10,000 tesla closes at 1,000 for the first time people were feeling pretty good. maybe a little bit too good. i think it's normal oscillations in the market. the normal kind of mood swings that animate stock prices. absolutely it's to say a legitimate excuse, as jim says, to have a little bit of a rethink but not necessarily a lasting change in trend. >> we'll see depending, right there's a lot of people out and about and we've said that. people shoulder to shoulder all over the place i mean, that might not -- we've heard this is the first wave in arizona and texas. it's not a second wave >> right. >> if we do get some kind of second wave on the east coast, then all bets are off, i would say, wouldn't you? >> well, it also speaks to this other big question that's been hovering over the market, we've
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seen big comb backs in air travel and mobility. what equilibrium does it find? where are we working towards this improvement the fears about possible rises in infection is something that's going to make that a little bit lower. >> there's still major states like illinois that are still in some form of lockdown. if these things -- if these news stories start to affect the decision makers, whether it's really happening or it's not really happening, those lockdowns stay longer and very, very clear economic effect we're living that in illinois. the people, like you see the restaurants open outside, people are absolutely flocking out. it seems like they're not ready to go on any sort of extended sort of lockdown i think the worry is, like these guys like j.d.pritzker gets spooked and holds the lockdown further. >> or they don't hold it down and the cases go up. either side of that. >> did rick santelli stick around, too? is rick still there? >> reporter: yes, i'm here
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go on. >> well, i just wanted to ask you about the yields that we're watching, too. those had gotten to the point where the ten year was above 0.9% earlier this week now you're back below 0.7% the swings in equity prices playing out in bond prices and yields, too. what does that mean to you >> reporter: well, it means to me that the market has got this cycle going, going into employment reports which most likely will continue to improve on the jobs front just due to the math and rate of change. as we led into that, on wednesday before the jobs number we topped 70 in a 10 year. on thursday we topped 75 basis points on jobs friday we had an interday high of 95. we settled a whisker below 90 and we haven't seen that since the fed meeting is coming up leading into the jobs report every first friday of the month, you'll see equities firm and
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rates going up going into the fed's meeting, you'll see the opposite. this is going to be around for a while. there is a tug of war in the market based on information that everybody is just guessing about but the one thing we're not guessing about is the t in trillions that jay powell and the treasury have jointly agreed to throw into the economy. i don't know how we can forget that and scratch our heads and wonder how all of this has occurred because that is a the the epicenter. jay powell in many ways bought and paid for the rally >> okay. that's a fair point. it's a fair point. it's been a huge criticism that's been around for quite a while. jim? >> there's no question about that, too. another thing as well is that us being disappointed about jay powell yesterday because we wanted to hear something about curve control. we wanted to hear him say that he was going to compress the long end, he gave us curve
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control. he said he doesn't think we're going to raise rates until, you know, 2022, which by the way i think jay powell makes a decision, puts that out there based on what he thinks the market and the economic condition need now i don't think him saying that means he's really believing that the point is, that is curve control. if he's going to control the next year and a half of the yield curve, yes, the implication is there that he's perfectly willing to start extending that further of course this part of the rally has been a jay powell fueled rally. we're talking about all-time highs here to go through all-time highs i don't think it's unusual to request genuine needy economic data that's probably still months away this seems like a fairly normal breakdown in the stock market how long it goes i personally think just a couple more percent from here >> mike, how much of this is potentially professionals taking advantage of retail investors stepping back in
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we were talking yesterday with one of our guests about how he thought there was something -- massive amount of money on the sidelines from retail investors who had now felt like they missed out on this run back up andrew said he had talked to some hedge fund managers saying they were able to make good and get out to recoup losses. >> i certainly do think, becky, in a lot of the real speculative names, the story stocks, lottery tickets that people were paying more than face value for like the bankruptcy names, that, you know, is pretty easy to take the other side of that i don't think overall in the market, i mean, apple made a new high yesterday i don't necessarily think that was because small traders buying fractional shares of apple were taking it higher that's what the market does when it's feeling more defensive. i don't know that it was really a factor in the overall indexes stretching to that high and then
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professional selling the peak, but the retail getting is what we saw in pockets is emblematic of how people started to feel more belief in the rally and felt like it was upand away. you know, i don't know that there's a way to isolate exactly what the players were and the interaction between professional money and retail money, but to me it's, again, pretty normal rhythms of an exuberant rebound rally and now a little bit of a gut check. >> so the world is spinning out of control and there's a lot of -- so worried about so many different things i'm not making light of any of it, but if you've worn that ugly jacket today with the bi-color lapels -- >> it would be better. >> why not why not? >> it's in my closet i can go get it. >> it's not at the exchange. you've got it at home, right >> i do have it at home, yes
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>> i don't know why you wouldn't throw that ugly looking thing on to do it will you do it next time >> next time i will. make things more calm and seem more normal. i will do that. >> i don't want to make light of anything down 900 points. all that's happening in the world. 2020, right? santoli, if you're in there with doc and michael jay fox and you're in the car and it goes in the 2020, change as quickly as you can. that is not the year >> right. >> that is not the year to go. >> they never got that far, i don't think. >> they didn't go forward -- yeah, they didn't go forward they were flying around so elon musk has to get on the stick because we're not obviously doing that yet anyway, i digress. becky. >> want to thank everybody joe, i never thought of that what if you went back to 1919 and brought the spanish flu forward. you can't do time travel because you don't know what you're going to do? >> you don't want to do anything
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in the past. if a butterfly's wings do something, everything -- we wouldn't even be born probably or something i don't know it's very scary to mess with the past supposedly there are alternate universes going the other way. never mind we'll talk about that -- >> in this universe the dow is down by 889 points we will continue to watch this story closely. coming up, more on the markets as we make our way to the opening bell futures, 888, 890. the s&p down 85. nasdaq taking it on the chin down 185 the biggest pre-market decliners in the s&p 500 you can cierre lines, all energy related issues and a cruise ship take a look at some of the top stocks taking a hit again. stay tuned, you're watching "squawk box" on cnbc
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welcome back to "squawk box. watching futures this morning. they have continued to see quite a bit of pressure. dow futures down by more than 900 points started a the 6:00 a.m. on the east coast down 480. those losses have almost doubled. s&p futures down by 88 nasdaq off by 190, and this all comes as we've been getting additional news. saw the jobless claims, initial jobless claims posted 1.542 million down from last week at 1.897 million. continuing claims of 20.9 to 1 million. number we're watching closely. ppi up more than expected up 0.4% a lot of that came from food prices, which i believe were up about 6% and that is a significant issue we've been tracking the dollar index yesterday hit its lowest level since early march. today looking at dollar index up
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slightly 96.33. joe? >> get to cnbc headquarters jim cramer joins us now. have you gotten to see any of our discussions this morning the fed, you know, kind of a glum forecast. also spikes. >> right. >> and some renewed concerns about covid and a lot of people have been out, jim what do you think is accounting for this, and is it okay all in the course of doing business to get back gains of the last week? >> fine to give back some of the gains. you saw the spike yesterday, video e spike, good companies, but shares, got ahead of themselves a little. yesterday the most important guru in the market, which i'm not exaggerating, david portnoy, my friend from barstool. look, printing money why take profits when every airline goes up 20% every day. losers take profits. winners push chips to the middle i should be up $1 billion.
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and paid a lot of money and criticized by warren buffette. becky, you're probably interested, unloaded airline stocks at the wrong time there was strength in the airline stocks small retail stocks, oil stocks let's just say all the travel leisure, the cruise stocks they were all kind of emanating from people who had similar ethos to date. and i think what happens is, those get overheated you see them going down around 5:00 a.m actually reversed after the article market watch there was money congregating and in a couple of stocks, and those stocks got too high. you can see them on the board. nasdaq 100 juggernaut. everything got a little too hot. we have to come down a little. see what happens. >> i mean, look at tesla i read it went over -- went through 1,000, like, hot butter through a knife.
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>> yeah. ron barron, he was right in 100. price targets that may not happen instantly but could happen it makes people excited. people are very excited about this market the last couple of weeks. hit by the reopening people say forget the reopening. can you look at that in our sick i know people who got sick and who died, it's cavalier to say the hot spots mean nothing. >> right we've been through a lot i worry now about getting complacent get it now in new york, that's just -- bad luck, i guess. >> at least they know how to treat it better. >> we do we do. but, you know -- anyway. scary. we're all dealing with that anxiety on top of everything else thanks, jim. we'll see you in a couple minutes. andy >> great thank you. meantime, talk more about the markets and talk a little how
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tech could fare in this sell-off this morning the founding partner of of a fa one capital joining us this morning. dan, you look at what's happened over the past couple of days does it make sense to you? >> yeah. absolutely makes sense i mean -- step back from all of this sort of think, does it make sense to you that the s&p was up year to date with 13% unemployment that doesn't make sense. so -- you know, to have some of these stocks give back, definitely that's what should be happening, because the valuations right now are at record levels, and so that just gives you a sense of where risk is and you know, jim cramer just said a few moments ago i mean, a lot of these stocks have gone up too much, too fast. now you head into earnings season, and that's when, you know, the rubber meets the road and you're going to find out our expectations are still too high.
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yesterday you saw -- >> well, let me ask you about that, though i think there's a -- a view among some investors you're supposed to write off whatever earnings we get. discount completely and forget about it, because you just decide this quarter and then maybe the next quarter are, you know, a anomalies. idiosyncratic. you don't think that's how the market's going to react? >> don't view it that way. definite permanent changes have happened to the economy because of what's just occurred. we're not all going to be crammed together in a movie theater or in -- everybody's not goi going to be -- a lot of people are staying hol ining home the recovery was one of the weakest ever i think "the" weakest ever coming out of recession. look at this one to acoukussume things go back t
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normal is pretty cavalier and valuations of the big disconnect for me march of '09 market trading at 0.6 times market cap to gdp. today the market's trading 1. time times. today the risk is greater than at the depth of the financial crisis that's the big difference and a way to look at rick in terms of valuations. >> okay. let's talk about, from a valuation perspective you think makes sense, doesn't make sense and what you're doing about it >> sure. i think, really, tech being the leader of the market that makes complete sense. for a lot of those names, think about amazon to some degree's the poster child ecommerce, a trend happening before the virus or, amazon was actually up, if i remember correctly, first quarter, with the s&p down 20% if you look at some of the
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gaming companies i think actvation, another name up in q1 people spending more time online playing video games is a trend that trend got accelerated by the virus. so, you know, people connecting over social media. facebook's another one i think they're doing incredible and that accelerated the virus to a degree sped up trends that would have taken a couple of years, and they pulled for that couple of years, into a couple of months those stocks will continue to be strong that's where i'm really staying focused. we had owned an airline. we got rid of that had owned, you know, lithium near the bottom, got rid of that a lot of the names we bought for a bounce, we jettisoned and winners, reluctantly got rid of, like disney. numbers still have to go lower a lot of the big fang stocks, just sold one. that's facebook. at one point owned five out of the six -- >> but that's the question
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dan, if you have cash on the sidelines right now, would you be putting it into tech? try and go back into a disney? more value in some of these other companies that are outside of what's gone on the same way >> no. i mean, we're actually short disney now using that to hedge a viacom position we still like i think what you do, if you have money on the sidelines, you wait valuation has gone up too fast, too quickly. a lot of estimates have to go down saw wells fargo go down. starbuck, yeah, things reopened but their estimates are too high that stock went down yesterday as they updated guidance you'll see more going through earnings, definitely get back into names like amazon, or nvidia, or things like that. bigger names, google, et cetera, once the market's had a little, worked off some of the froth we've seen that's the way i think about it.
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yeah back to the winners of q1, those names will continue to win if the market goes down going forward. >> okay. dan, it's always a pleasure to spend time with you, get your insights appreciate you joining us. as everybody's watching this morning dow off over 900 points now. we'll see where things open. becky and joe, that was a fun show we'll do it again tomorrow make sure you join us tomorrow. >> it's friday. >> "squawk on the street" begins right now. good thursday morning. welcome to "squawk on the street." jim cramer is with me coming to you from separate locations. rick off today as futures suggest we'll unwind historic rallies of the past weeks. that reality check from the fed. nine states with strong increases in covid 1.5 million jobless claims this morning. oil below 37 and the vix above 31 take you back t
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