tv Squawk on the Street CNBC June 25, 2020 9:00am-11:00am EDT
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interesting dynamic is that all of that options flow that expired last week, almost 40% expired -- >> we are going to have to go. right. finish that thought just because we are up against a hard deadline. >> sure. you know, almost 40% of the options flow expired last week and that allowed us to move this week and that's really critical here. >> fair enough thank you so much. make sure you join us tomorrow, "squawk on the street" begins right now. ♪ good thursday morning, welcome to "squawk on the street," i'm carl quintanilla with jim cramer, david faber live in separate locations this morning. some lingering weakness in futures today coming off the worst day in two weeks as the u.s. posts a record for new cases in a single day, worries the economic reopening is threatened, jobless claims down slightly 1.48 million, oil is near 37 on pace for a third day
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down jim, it was nice to hear becky give you props for the caution you have telegraphed in the past couple days. watching your twitter feed it sounds like you are on alert for vying option at month end. >> you have could be cognizant of the fact that two days before july 4th the holiday are the two probably most strongest days in the entire year. i do think there's still too much froth you can watch nvidia today, there is a love affair with nvidia and the analysts which includes me. that one has to go up. the love for nvidia is so strong that you have to say, okay, that is your -- that's your bell cow here but i do think, again, that -- and, david, you've seen t there is that cohort of people who keep coming back to the airlines, keep coming back to the cruises, keep coming back to the tankers and those are the weakest part of the economy.
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>> it is, and for a reason you know the reason. i mean, look at the map, right that's really what you have to do at this point look at the map, jim we've been talking about it for weeks now, it's not as though this is news that cases have been going up in certain states but now we've gotten to a level where it's gotten everybody's attention of course it is worrisome. the death rate has been lower. we can hope that that continues. hospitalizations up, new cases up dramatically and percentage of those tested who are positive up dramatically as well, jim >> right. >> i don't know what that says for future air travel, but it can't be good or for vacations or more openings of parks like disneyland which obviously has been pushed back as a result of california regulators more than anything else. >> right. >> you do wonder whether we are going to see some roll on effects here how do you open parks in florida? >> it's back to the stay at home trade. that's what we didn't expect we didn't expect it's back to people working at home, having fun at home, hopefully there is -- we had a great number from mccormick today, i
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don't know whether it was as great as what people were expecting, there was an interesting, very interesting discussion kb homes on the conference call which talks about what's really going on the analysts are bulled up because rates are down, at one point the company says but you have to have a job you can't buy a house without a job. the $600 dunned dooesn't do it the $1,200 doesn't do it that's the way i read the thing. people who have aggressively moved into the america wakens trade, i think, should wait to -- you have to get up early early to what dr. gottlieb said which is it's going to be difficult to get this thing under ontrol it reads like a science fiction -- that's the line that we heard in the stand. it's going to be hard to get it under control. that was the president talking that's a fiction -- it's a fiction -- it's great stephen king book. gottlieb is reading a lot like king >> yeah.
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except in that -- in that novel there was actual direction from the federal government where really there is a lack thereof >> there was a plan. it didn't work. >> now it's just the silence is deafening. >> david, do you know what they did, remember, this he closed off the lincoln tunnel and remember what it did nothing. in "the stand. new york and connecticut and new jersey are trying to close off things and, i don't know, i had the governor of rhode island on yesterday, remember, they put the national guard out there i mean, this is an incredible story where it's state against state. i actually haven't seen it since -- what was that, like 1861 that caused silence. that was the civil war. >> that was not a good period, no. >> no, that was suboptimum. >> the states that the tri-state area are limiting travel from in terms of quarantine, alabama, arkansas, florida, north carolina interesting california is not on that list, jim
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given the problems they've got in terms of the surge records, of course, and as david mentioned the pressure on disney out west, we will see what it means for walt disney world. nevada, of course, now mandating masks. caesars doing a u-turn on that as well. we're seeing pockets of reversal kudlow is on the tape right now, says he sees unemployment sub 10 by year-end but says that hot spots will lead to shutdowns in certain areas, even though he says the economy at large will not be closed down again. >> i think that one of the problems is we were having a nice kind of gradual return in people flying and now we've slipped right back into the, i don't know, i mean, do i want a texan next to me, do i want alabama next to me phil lebeau is spot on where the head of airbus america is talking about the tentative
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thing. you can wear masks i don't want to hear you can wear masks i went in december to an island and i came back and i had a person next to me who was sick and i had a mask on because i had this premonition that things were going to go wrong and i still got incredibly sick, but if she had had a mask on maybe i would have been healthy. it wrecked the rest of my vacation i think people have to understand that if you're going to be -- here is what the airline people always say, hey, listen, same thing in buildings, i can tell you in a building you can go outside other than once in a really good twilight zone did i ever see anybody go outside rod sterling. >> mask wearing certainly seems to be at the center of a lot of controversy in the country and perhaps one of the reasons why we've seen this surge in texas, oklahoma, florida, montana, idaho, washington and a number of other states we've been talking about. you know, along with any number
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of other things, guys. but, jim, does it mean to your point back to that stay at home trade, back to that index that you created a couple of months ago or -- >> it's the cramer covid-19. >> -- is it just generally bad >> it's peloton, david we had a guy who upgraded positive on peloton today. peloton has become -- it's kind of like the mcguffit in hitchcock. hey, it's the one everyone seems to be after but are they really after peloton at this point? it's back to the covid cramer index or cramer covid index. that means you're talking about the october tiffs and the d scalers and the zen desk, ring central, david, how can i help you? that's where we're going you know ring central. >> i do. i know ring central. i know a lot of these names now as a result of you focusing on them for good reason. >> look at that c scaler how about fastly are you into fastly?
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>> fastly -- yeah, fastly is doing better than zoom or at least growing faster, i guess. you tell me. >> i'm going to date. >> you i look at zoom with a $72 billion market value, up from the last time i mentioned it a couple days ago. >> davie, fastly looks good here that's like, you know, it's like a horse race well, it is blue horseshoe in that sense look at zoom that's q2. that ain't everest, that's k2. a tougher climb just so you know. >> that is a very -- >> davie -- >> there is fastly >> davie search global >> is this one of his names? are we talking about that guy again? >> we are talking about dave portnoy, he is in a lot of those situations that are not necessarily as well capitalized or in the balance sheet that you may approve of, david.
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>> got it. got it >> carl, you know what we're buying i mean, honestly carnival that's a blue chip >> where is carl >> to get a handle on where we are in terms of new cases, hospitalization, positivity let's bring in our meg tirrell this morning good morning, meg. >> good morning, carl. let's look at the numbers, hit ago record in the united states in new daily cases yesterday, anywhere between 37,000 or 45,000 depending on which data source you use that continued uptick in the new cases. of course, the positive rate of tests also rising for more than a week 1/2, yesterday it was 6.7% that indicates it's not just increased testing contributing to this in multiple states reporting new daily highs in case numbers yesterday from california, reporting more than 7,000, texas
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and florida as well. arizona is now seeing testing capacity under strain and hospitalizations as you can see here continuing to rise. houston in particular calling out its icu capacity really coming under strain. last night houston's health authority was on the 7:00 show with scott wapner who asked them if they should put their reopening on pause or even reverse back to shutdowns. here is what he told scott >> there are consequences not only economic but there's also health care consequences to that, too. i try to tell people we are no longer at a point where we can eliminate the risk we now need to think about managing the risk. >> so not looking at going back to those shutdowns this is what we're seeing around the country, guys. if you look here it's mainly states putting their reopenings on hold rather than actually reversing course either states or various counties taking these actions. there is one county that encapsulates boise, idaho, that is going in reverse.
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they told bars and night clubs that they had to shut down again after a concerning surge in cases. they have been open for just a month. really what we're seeing is a pause even as public health experts say some places might need to consider going back to those more stringent mitigation steps. back over to you >> meg, yesterday goldman put out a note that said they think the line at which states would be under pressure to reverse the reopening process would be about 20% or hospital capacity below 20%. is that sort of the general line that you're hearing? >> there are a few gauges that you can use, you know, if you look at the guidelines put out by the federal government and the cdc's guidance on those guidelines, you know, if trends start going in the wrong direction, they've been saying you can move between negating stages if your trends are going in the right direction for two weeks, the cdc says
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municipalities should act swiftly if they see trends reverse and that's not what we're seeing perhaps that 20% hospital capacity is a good threshold to use and we are seeing many place was less than a available right now. >> they do point out alabama, maryland, 23% of icu beds available, 25 in arizona we will watch all of that. meg, we will talk to you in a little while thanks, meg tirrell. when we come back this morning we will get to some of the calls that jim and david were mentioning. new initiation on peloton, a downgrade of boeing. a lot more when "squawk on the street" continues. ♪
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what a mornings it's been already for data claims, durables, let's get to our rick santelli. >> hi, carl. in the most interesting a spect of what you just brought up, we had lots of data points and especially durable goods quite powerful we can argue on initial and continuing claims under 20 million is a positive on continuing we could argue whether initial claims was a disappointment based on expectations, but the point is that interest rates continue to be soft and the intraday of ten shows that all of those data, the litany of data didn't really change that dynamic. open the chart up for tens to a two-week chart and you can see how we have given up all these
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recent gains even though they have been small gains but many like myself look at rises in yield at a time where there's so many questions regarding the question as a positive as they get soft especially under the conditions of kind of a messy equity market of late it isn't really depicting a future that's good news and that's the way to read the treasuries currently. it's not only that if you look at short maturities, especially threes, fives and sevens they are within two basis points of their all time low yield closes which is really amazing. you have to go out to the ten year to find anything left on the bone and we are only about a dozen basis points above the all time low yield close in tens and on 30s what a difference the longer maturity makes, 99 is the low basis point in close for 30, they are currently hovering around 140 so there's some distance there which is why investors globally like that maturity you can see on the year to date sevens what i'm talking about,
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how close it is to the all time low yield close which is around 47 basis points. let's look at a three day of the dollar index, this is still obviously nowhere near where it was when it was over 100 but we have rallied one sent off the test on tuesday of unchanged on the year at 96.40 and that is a positive development, but it's a positive development in the dollar during periods of volatility in equities, carl, jim, david, back to you. >> rick, thank you rick santelli. we want to take a look at disney now, mentioned it briefly in the opening block of the show. the decision by the company to postpone the opening of its disneyland park saying that the state of california has indicate it had will not issue theme park reopening guidelines until sometime after july 4th and given the time required for us to bring thousands of cast members back to work and restart our business, we have no choice but to delay the reopening of our theme parks and resort hotels until we receive approval from government officials. of course, when it comes to
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disney overall, theme parks as we had pointed out many times are very important, it is going to be a rocky opening, no doubt, one way or the other you've also got production of movies that has been in hiatus, questions about the theatrical releases of movies given where we are right now in terms of attendance at movie theaters questions about sports programming, espn. don't forget media network still an important component overall of operating income as of course is parks, near yeexperiences an profits. disney plus, what a success it's been, its contribution to operating income is still going to be quite small while the revenue number keeps going up because they're spending so much on t you are talking about a company that has added a lot of debt to its balance sheet, you could see it trip into a 4.5 inches 5 times leverage ratio which could scare off some investors as well.
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>> it's well run financially and they did tap the market a couple times, but, david, i think one of the undercurrents of this era when you get off the desk and talk to people is there is a disbelief that all these different commissioners and owners are telling us about sports disney needs sports. it's very, very important. when someone says, do you know what, we're going to put all the players in a bubble in florida, well, remember, it's not just the players, you need the whole staff. if you are going to put football in a bubble you are talking about thousands of people that need to be put in a bubble put them on some sort of island? >> right. >> i think that disney needs professional sports, but the number of people who have come down with covid, i mean, maybe -- maybe it won't matter by then, there will be a 15-day dlcovid list hole joe cow, i don't want to be disney -- taking a beating here. i think that disney has to be sweating all these covid announcements versus the confidence that the owners are
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expressing, it's all systems go for all sports >> yeah, i don't even know where we are in all sports, carl i can't quite get it all together the nba, major league baseball very much unclear, hockey obviously not as widely viewed at least on national television and then the nfl of course as jim brings up is the biggest and most important one from that perspective, from so many perspectives we had hoped to have some clarity heading into july, we are not that far away at this point and still really we are lacking it in terms of a schedule and when everything is fully going to restart, if it will >> we need herd immunity. >> indeed. look at what they're doing with the hall of fame game, jim, that's an adjustment djokovic this week testing positive of course, this journal story about whether or not disney is considering delaying mulon which was going to be a big pivot back into theatrical distribution if and when that could happen. >> the reason i got more
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cautious is because these are all -- they are all the piece, they are the reopen trade that i had thought could occur. i listened to baseball, i thought for sure they had something cooking. adam aaron, putting face masks on, people go to the movies, have face masks. you had good travel numbers versus the week before now every one of those things has reversed i don't know how you can be as bullish if you lose the america awakens trade as we were before and we are back in the stay at home trade which is, you know, frankly -- look, there's $20 trillion that does well in stay at home but there's about $30 trillion that does well if we awaken and i don't feel very -- i mean, i've been up since 3:00 but i don't feel very awakened >> jim, we will talk more about that as we get closer to the opening bell corporate layoffs this morning announced over at macy's, we will get to some of dardens
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welcome back time for a mad dash. it's market cap is not quite in the trillion dollar club given it has not performed as well as apple, facebook or amazon. alphabet is the mad dash. >> this morning bare comes out, says, look, we are at the trough in spend and it's obviously true that there's a lot of travel spend that goes to alphabet and that's been weak, travel, leisure, but they're saying, listen, it's time. i think this is a very important call because right now we have to revert to what got us to these levels if we're going to keep going higher, that's apple where we got another estimate tweak up, facebook we are where bare gave us something positive, no one said anything about amazon but alphabet has been the laggard. this is the one that must hold, it's kind of braveheart, david >> i think was it ruth porter who got added to was it the
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blackstone board, jim? >> blackstone board. >> ruth? >> yeah. >> she is the best very rare that you look at a board and say, holy cow, that board is really filled with powerfully smart people and congratulations to ruth. >> right >> ruth is the cfo who is ama amazing. >> jim, on alphabet along with facebook, early in the pandemic there was a concern that small businesses, medium-sized businesses that are significant advertisers on the alphabet -- on the google search platform would not be there, but the last conference calls the only earnings we have so far during this period indicated things were starting to come back is that still a concern as we watch the pandemic spring up again in a significant way around the country >> these are nominee channel, this is the -- these are companies that they don't have this channel they can't survive to have this channel you need to go -- you have to go to those facebook shops, you have to go
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use alphabet aggressively. you cannot make it without that channel. that channel is too important. that's another big change that's happened in the stay at home economy. if you are in retail you must find another way to get your wears. if you are in restaurants you have to get a grubhub. these are all part of the changes that actually this is very good news -- there is no good news about a pandemic getting worse, but the stocks that do better would be google and facebook because of the small to medium sized business that is, david, the backbone of our country. you know that. >> yes, i do and they are more and more reliant, as you say, on the digital delivery of their services, jim. that's an important thing. something we're going to see coming out of this that has changed dramatically for many businesses as well if they want to stay in business that's what they've got to do. >> when i mention the c scalers
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i don't want to be too glib about it when you work at home you open up an incredible portal for the bad guys, that's why all these cybersecurity. >> there's the opening bell, guys, as we look for the market to trade maybe a little bit better than early overnight futures might have suggested jim, you mentioned facebook and alphabet, baird today raises targets on both on what they're calling a gradual recovery in digital ads, colin sebastian says that travel might be an overhang for alphabet in particular, but that the second quarter was likely the bottom overall. >> i thought that was a great piece. the two baird pieces i think they can be, again -- they can be a change in nasdaq will be led by those -- those two pieces, continuing recognition that apple's service stream is rather dramatic. microsoft switched directions for a couple days but it's ready to go up those are the stocks that work we are back in the stay at home. now, there is a lot -- like i
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said, a lot of the market does not work with stay at home, particularly anything related to travel and leisure, but, look, you can buy the food stocks again. i know it's a boring, boring method of investing, but the food stocks work look, i saw at apple 400 price target today i'm not going to disagree with it. i'm not going to disagree with it because the service stream is unbelievable when you are staying at home with not a lot to do. this is also a great netflix trade. it's a spotify trade, too. >> you're talking about web bush, but it's a bull case 500, not just -- on a bull case level. >> a trillion here, a trillion there, right, carl they are looking for 2 trillion. >> right >> look, these semi-conductors -- people who despise the narrowness of the big five i think that they should go today and watch golf because this is a big five day
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including the semis and zoom video. >> yeah. >> nvidia is up 1.5%. >> nvidia. yes. i can champion my own stocks, right? i mean, hey, we know that there's people who are against nvidia and i'm going to attack the them >> we have a number of stocks in the green this morning it is not a washout as yesterday was. man, this t-mobile, amazing, up 110 bucks a share. >> they priced that deal to move. >> 103, $21 billion in stock we've heard from softbank as well, massa stepping off the board of alibaba, they still own 25% of it, still the single best investment probably ever made and still accounts for a huge amount of softbank's overall value, but he is stepping off the board of alibaba just as
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jack mass stepped off the board of off bank as well. there is a look at mass is a who said we are not done yet what you think we are at softbank -- and they did make money from the print deal back to t-mobile. they still own 8 or so percent of the company but they ended up making a real return after years of struggling, trying to sort of make a go of it as the fourth carrier, finally getting the deal they always thought they would be able to but years after the fact and finally getting it done years after it was announced and yet they did come out with a what he says is a 25% irr. most people will take that as for the vision fund not looking quite as good on that one, guys. >> i have to tell you when they priced please big secondaries you have to be there the regeneron secondary was a gift the blackrock with pnc, gift this was just unbelievable
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this thing was up -- it was priced at 103. it was up from the very beginning. remember one of the worst days of the year. i want to thank you to the syndicate desk for actuall letting people make some money they are usually not that inclined, but they've been very nice so far. >> yeah, they have and we've got more coming. we have more coming, guys. >> we had some chinese deals next week, david. >> in terms of debt capital markets but also equity capital markets. pg&e as it emerges from bankruptcy going to be do that $4 billion deal, i think that's getting priced tonight for tomorrow now, remember, you had a bunch of very well-healed investors, appaloosa, a whole bunch that came in in a private placement for $3.5 billion very recently at $10.50. that made a lot of people feel good. >> yeah. >> now you are going to have the $4 billion in common sold and of course the stock is well below $10.50 we will see how that does. >> where are they going to price
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that >> i don't know. >> jim albertsons, which is also going to -- >> third time might be a charm they have cut back debt substantially. >> it's a great time to be a grocer that would seem to be a case. >> we profiled it last night look, we are not in the high quality phase, that deal has failed twice -- one time they pulled it back i would say this, that if they price is between $24 and $25 it's going to be okay. >> albertsons, yeah. >> yeah. >> that's a big offering >> oh, it's gigantic. >> one of the biggest we've seen. >> carl, i'm worried here. peloton is down. that will not stand. >> yeah, we've been talking about it all week about this time, it was stevel first, then it was cowan, today it's ray jay. initiate outperform. they are looking at 65, but they
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are at that you can being not just the market accelerating because of covid but lower acquisition costs and lower churn as people maybe get it into their head that the go i'm is not going to open anytime soon you saw new york delaying the opening of gyms and movie theaters. >> fly squeal trade. what people keep saying to me about peloton is, jim, it's actually technology, it's not a bike i think that a lot of people are liking the ecosystem the total addressable market these are all things when you want a stock to run you use all those terms. then you say it's also got a sass model and their go to market is absolutely terrific and it's hard to get the product. there it is. did i give you every buzzword we need right now to get that one going? >> you did you did. i like the sass model. got to have the sass model. >> it's a sass model. >> very important. now gyms are going to open is really going to be tough, guys. >> plexiglas that's the keyword
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david, this is the grad out. >> showers are an issue, apparently the virus hangs in the air, changing rooms and lockers. the idea of these gyms, jim, is to bring together as many people as you can, and it would seem you need to go the opposite direction not to mention spend a lot more money on constantly cleaning it's going to be difficult. >> no, it's just the clorox trade again which is unstoppa e unstoppable. i agree with you it may not be enough to dee plex is class, planet fitness has a game plan. people want to work out and peloton is the way to do it unless you want to go outside. nike reports today there's 17 analysts on that and four came out this week saying you must buy nike ahead of the quarter. i have brunswick on tonight, that's something you can do, you can go on a boat that's a way to get -- you don't get exercise but at least you kind of feel like the u.s.s.
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minnow, go out for a little time. >> good luck trying to get a boat these days, jim. >> you can't. >> speaking of retail, we mentioned macy's cutting 3,900 corporate and management roles, begin net says we know we will be a smaller company for the foreseeable future we have l brands and gap all leading earlier today. >> a break up play earlier this week, l brands is a break up play how many people in management does macy's have for the last few months they have been firing people at the corporate level. i mean, i think you need people on the floor and people in technology i think that there's obviously too much in corporate at macy's because if there's that many people that can go, it's questionable how bloated that company is. >> well, this he say here they're taking the action to align their cost base with their anticipated lower sales. >> it's cash cash. >> to that point, jim, this idea somehow that there's going to be
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a lot of value in this empty space so you can monetize your real estate. really who is buying it and for what purpose are they going to actually remake it >> david, that's an existential question that you're asking and for that i have to go to sard or camu those are not stocks. >> okay. >> some guys will immediately start trading sart but it's actually re on the end. >> s-s-a-r-t-r-e. >> and camu. >> you had some of that. i remember you had some of that that was good. >> we got it all from boston down to baltimore. we took every bottle of camus. >> those were the days we used to be able to get together and actually have a party. you would bring all these people together to celebrate. >> carl, was the last time you were happy my surprise 55th birthday
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>> you always say this you always say this. the last day any of us were happy was when we were celebrating your birthday. >> well, it looks like some people are happy going to olive garden, look at that darden up $3. >> i was going to ask you about that so dri is higher, narrower than expected loss but some of these comps, jim, olive garden down 39, capital grill down 62 and current quarter is still on pace for a 33% decline. >> people are just happy to see that they are he a getting customers. i go back to chipotle and think how great chipotle's numbers are right now because he have the lanes. you have to go to a darden, inside an olive garden what people are excited about is the fact that customers are coming and people are willing to eat inside i come back to mccormick and say people still want to do with that stock up -- i wish lawrence were on the show today that would have been a good idea to have lawrence on. the stock is exploding higher up
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people stop what you're doing an listen to this. we are talking about spotify this thing is on a run it has doubled, doubled since bottoming back in february company quickly became the go-to platform for audio streaming and with us now is someone very happy to knows too much about con spotify's chief content officer dawn ostroff. >> thanks for having me, jim. >> i have to ask the obvious when you started doing the podcast thing i said this is brilliant and i immediately was told you idiot, podcast doesn't work, it's about music how did you know that podcasts would be huge? >> well, it's interesting because when you look at the growth of the medium it's hard to deny and not only is it growing to rapidly it's the fastest growing medium right now and when you look at the median
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age of who is listening to podcasts you will see that it's the youth, the young generations that are really driving this trend. so the median age is as an example on our platform is 26 years old, but what we know is that where the young people go the older generations follow and we have seen it time and time again. so we are seeing significant growth and in the u.s. as an example 88 million people were listening to podcasts in 2019 and its trajectory is to have 160 million listeners in just the next few years so that's just in the u.s. alone and podcast is really a global medium. >> we have been daniel lack on several times and he is i think one of the most brilliant people around but he is data driven when you pick a joe rogan and you pay him a lot of money i think you seem to have an ability to recognize how much someone is worth because the stock spiked when did you that
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deal how do you -- is it artificial intelligence that you know who is going to pop? >> well, in joe's case he has been the number within or number two podcaster for quite some time and he has millions of very passionate and loyal fans who we believe will follow him on to the platform joe rogan does not -- is not on spotify right now, but yet he is the most searched podcast that we have. so we were able to really say, okay, if he's the most searched podcast on our platform, we know that he has millions of very loyal fans that we believe will follow him on and he is the most profitable podcast at this moment in time, so for us it was an easy business decision. >> well, one other -- before i give you over to my colleagues who also want to speak to you, but sometimes i struggle to see what i can do or watch or listen to with my 28 soon to be 29-year-old. what we do is we do true crime
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we do people who have been convicted wrongly. somehow it resonates with us it obviously resonates with your listeners. >> well, true crime is actually the largest genre in podcasting so you are not alone what we see is that true crime tends to be a gateway genre which means we wind up seeing people come into podcasting through true crime and then they migrate and try other types of podcasts and other types of genres so it's a great way to bring people in and people get addicted to these true crime podcast series we actually acquired a company called parcast about a year and a half ago which is the leading producer of true crime genre and their numbers tripled since we bought them on the platform. we do know that true crime is still growing and there is a lot of room for innovation in that genre space. so you are not alone and i will
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say, though, that one of the most popular podcasts for women is true crime. so you also have some women listening with you >> dawn, it's david faber. you know, you guys are clearly in the market to spend what it takes to secure talent you think is going to help subscriptions howard stern, his deal is not that far off if i'm not incorrect. he is an awfully large name out there. i mean, would you guys go as far as trying to compete for talent like that? >> well, i can't comment on howard's deal, but, you know, i can say that we look at who is the largest in the podcast area and some of the deals that we've made are with talent that we really believe will either or already exist have a big following in this space. so although howard is great, i
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know that he has been tied to another company. but when you look at some of the deals that we have made, you know, we do believe that the companies that we've bought and the talent that we brought on to the platform will help us become the number one audio platform in the world. >> dawn, when it comes to your deals with the record companies, the likes of warner music, for example, which we know 30% of its rev news or 27% are spotify and apple together, are those deals simply licensing deals where you are just paying as a result of playing the music or are they getting a percent of your subscription fee because i wonder if that's the case, and your subscriptions are going up as a result not of music but of podcasting, would you need to rework some of those deals >> well, one of the reasons why we got into the podcast business is because we believe that there's a lot of growth opportunity on the podcast side
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and when you think about our monetization, david, you know, 90% of our monetization is on the subscription side, but 10% is on the ad side and we do think that there's real growth opportunity for us in the ad space, particularly with podcasts it's a business that has not been modernized. there's no digital access tod today -- data and audio analytics to the advertisers there that's been a focus for us on updating the ways there have been transparency on the ad side and podcast side for growth. >> there's a thought that if people in lockdown, your company would do poorly because what you love, people will be in the car. that turned not to be true it turned out co-vid schiffed your will beelisteners.
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how did you weather this >> we have an interesting business model we call it -- it's a free and subscription tier. many times we'll see users come through the free tier and convert to premium we have flexibility for the user if they want to convert back to free, they can what all the flexibility has done is allowed us to see how the habits have shifted and changed. both in the user consumption as well as where and how and what they're listening to as an example, although a commute is usually a place where people listen to audio content, we now see that at home they're listening on their consuls, their gaming consuls which has really been a big shift for us as well as their smart speakers at home. and the kind of content they're listening to as really shifted so we see them listening to everything from chill content, meaning, you know, chill music,
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or class cical music we see more kid's content and more wellness podcasts being listened to in addition to all the information podcasts that are giving them information about co-vid as an example we're seeing a big migration, but what's really interesting is we believe a lot of the changes in the habits will stick even after the world returns to normal and we think this group listening will continue to be the trend. >> okay. well, dawn, congratulations on your success double and also very exciting. we're big fans of spotify at home i think some of the other people on our set are, too. chief content officer, dawn, thank you. >> thank you so much, jim. thank you, dave and carl >> carl, back to you >> all right jim, thanks so much. obviously markets down once again after a down day for the
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news on beyond meat. that's what jim is looking at. >> holy cow. mcdonald's, reports out of canada saying the trial is done and that mcdonald's is not going to pursue it i spoke with mcdonald's the other day, they said their time will come, but it's clearly not yet. >> it's been a busy week for alternative meats. this is a setback. >> starbucks overseas. impossible has local because beyond meat has got a relationship with dunkin' donuts but look, it was pivotal that mcdonald's take it, and obviously the trial did not succeed. i am surprised
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particularly because the meat producers in the country have not distinguished themselves as i'm not going to pick on them because i've done that before, but wow. it's disappointing from beyond meat for the planet too, i would say >> jim, what are you going to tackle tonight >> we're going to go sin bwinne, brunswick, and marc benioff. t been one of the worst parts of this market other than the cruiselines and the airlines >> which are not doing well once again today. we'll see you tonight. >> okay, guys. see you later. >> mad money, 6:00 p.m. eastern time good thursday morning. welcome to "squawk on the
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street." i'm carl quintanilla weakness on this thursday morning. dow down 100 s&p at 3038. it's curious to see in a soggy tape, goldman and jtp leading the tape right now >> the financials are strong today, so to speak, at least, as you say in a down tape listen, one of the things i can come back is the extraordinary level of capital markets activity we've talked about so aub. we've talked about corporate bond issuance, whether it's investment grade or junk the wave of secondaries. the selling by soft bank but also ipos. we're going to have a big quarter there, one would expect. will that be outweighed by increases at the big banks unclear. that's one thing you can key off of this morning as one reason i'm sure there are others as to
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why the financials have some strength >> yeah. we'll learn more tomorrow. in the meantime, let's bring in bob doll, a chief equity strategist, and also a cio at exponens tina, let me ask you about the general narrative threading through the country regarding co-vid do you believe at this stage that broad reopenings are drtru being threatened and is the market king off that >> i think you will continue to see kind of rolling ws, if you will, localized w's within the economy. i will note some of the more serious case increases are in the emerging markets such as india, and mexico. but i will also say that if you
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look at sweden and iran provide an interesting case study where they are clearlybeginning to see a second wave of cases death rates are actually not increasing at the same level as the first wave i think that's in part because we learned to isolate the vulnerable better, improve our reaction times and have them pose better therapeutic measures and so -- >> that is a key point >> it challenges the notion of a v-shaped recovery. >> bob, how about you? the most constructive thing we can say right now about public health is the fact that hospitalizations are ticking up but it's not as dramatic as new
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cases and the death count continues to moderate. maybe it's about the median age coming down. maybe it is about better overall controls in terms of the epicenter of the virus >> i think, carl, that the co-vid data remains the most important set of data points when you get these worries about flairup as we've seen the last 48 hours, the market is red. and you know, another couple of days where it's kind of quiet and maybe there's rumors of a therapeutic or a vaccine make progress gresz, the market is up that's the main story and behind that, of course, is the economic story which is almost as important, but this is not going to be straight up. off the shutdown the economy, we've seen a lot of good news as a lot of data move from very low to less low, but the increase was impressive, and the markets liked that it's not going to be a straight line we'll have bumps along the way
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i would buy the bumps but the market is ahead of itself in my view >> yeah. tina, i mean, certainly fits and starts seems to be the phrase that's getting used a lot this week in terms of the mixed bag of numbers whether it is what we're seeing in terms of the coronavirus case flairups or the economic data, the latest economic data. i'm curious if you see this as rolling w's, what does that mean in terms of how you should be invested in the market >> i would agree that it will be -- but if you look at the markets have rapid -- continued downgrades in q-2 earnings estimates. but if you think stocks are expensive, check out bonds if you look at earnings deals which are well above bond yields so then you -- and then you also
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have quite a bit of cash, you know, if you look at mutual funds on the sidelines so are the fundamentals shaky and obviously there's the volatility of the virus out there, but you know, you've been getting into this fomo game or fear of missing out where i think the dips are buying opportunities. i would, however, have a barbell strategy between defensive and health and tech which i think has a stronger structural profit story. but also some cyclicals which will be playing off of chinese reflation nar policy, particularly in infrastructure and construction >> bob, i realize co-vid and
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countering co-vid seems to be the overarching theme in terms of what's driving the market on a daily basis right now, but there are some other currents underneath the surface right now, whether it's trade risk with a number of different countries. whether it's what people are talking about election risk. what a potential biden presidency would look like and there's technical positioning happening as well including the annual reconstitution tomorrow how much is that factoring into the gyrations we're seeing? >> i think it's definitely there. fomo is pushing the market up. thank you, fed they have all the money anybody ever wanted and we shouldn't fight the fed, but on the other hand, you put a litany of issues i think the market is not yet focussed on the election, and the probability of a democratic sweep, seems to be rising almost every day. if that's the case taxes are going to go up and regulation is going to go up i don't think that's real market friendly so i think there's a lot of
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toing and froing i think june will be the first month in a series of months where we look back and say the market churned it bumped around just when you thought it was okay, it gets smacked. just when you thought we're going to have a problem, it rallies. we have to adjust the amazing gains as we come off the nasty recession. >> bob, finally, there's continued discussion about fiscal cliffs we have with regard to households one is the 600 cares act benefit running out at the end of july and then in september, those who lost their job will see ui run out completely is that too far off for the market to digest is the music just playing too loudly at the moment >> probably is playing too loudly having said that the market is probably also saying look, the run around in washington trying to come up with another bill and my guess is they will and keep in mind, both of the cliffs.
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it won't be the same numbers, i hope it needs to be something lower we continue incentivize people to stay home if they're making more from the government than going to work. the cliffs are real if we don't address them >> something we'll be talking about obviously in about a month or two or three. bob, tina, thank you for kicking off the hour we appreciate it very much >> thank you >> thank you speaking of the cares act, the government accountability office is out with its first report card on carethe cares acw have more. >> in 400 pages of findings, there was a report released acknowledging the unprecedented nature of the crisis and the speed of the aid that was needed but finds significant lapses in the administration and transparency of the stimulus packages so far. in the report it notes treasury has sent $1.4 billion of stimulus checks to 1 .1 million
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dead people. it calls for collaboration between the social security administration and treasury not only to keep that from happening but also to ensure that that money can be returned as quickly as possible. it calls on the department of transportation to launch a comprehensive plan for the aviation industry and notes throughout the spring and as recently as may the plan had not been constructed it also notes sba and treasury in administering the paycheck protection program had significantly moved the goal post in terms of guidance and failed to provide critical data needed to borrowers and lenders alike. it goes into the most detail about the ppp and some of the lapses that took place there it said there was no system in place to keep people from obtaining both wages through the ppp program as well as unemployment insurance it says that sba was the only agency that did not provide gao
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the critical data to put together the program it notes it took sba 20 days to update guidance that would take publicly traded companies to get -- many of the companies required to return that money after they had already received it now, the gao is the watchdog for the whole of government. of course, given the size of the stimulus programs and the size of the government itself, and the response throughout many federal agencies, it is clear there will be a series of reports over the next several months that will look at the state department's effort, the cdc effort, the fda, hhs so this is the first of many in a series of reports that we are expecting them to take a very critical look at how the government responded back to you. >> yeah. of course, our reports we'll be watching closely i'm sure you'll bring us the meat on. thank you. it's worth noting how quickly the sba propped up the ppp program initially. we'll see how it continues to shake out.
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morning. trying to break a four-day losing streak. this is the bank etf still down more than 30% already for the year up almost two right now. let's get to willford frost with news on the sector ahead of those fed stress test results we're going to get after the bell later today >> morgan, yes the banks turned around 10, have a minutes ago on the news the fdic board meeting as we speak one of the agenda items is discussing the future of the volker rule. in particular that rule stops banks from proprietary trading of stocks and private equity funds, usually referred to as covered funds. what we understand they're discussing is changing the rules as it relates to the covered
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fund provision the relationship the banks can have with hedge funds as opposed to the proprietary trading parts of the rule and they have been voting on that and amending the covered fund provision as we speak today. that's allowed the banks to turn around having been a little at the open and now up at about 2%. a nice turn around for the banks, al bee it less than what they declined yesterday and banks have declined c significantly year to date and the same day as stress tests from the federal reserve around 4 p.m. >> sounds like it's going to be an extra busy day for you. thank you for joining us and breaking down those headlines especially at a time where liquidity is so very in focus for the financial markets. definitely key developments to watch. we'll continue to watch the bank stocks in the meantime, looking at the
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can i find an investment firm with a truly long-term view that's been through multiple market cycles for over 85 years? with capital group, i can. talk to your financial professional or consultant for investment risks and information. a single day high for new coronavirus cases. a travel advisory for those coming from some of the states seeing a spike that one reason the airline sector was down yesterday. today a mixed bag. let's bring in an analyst to help us break down what exactly is going on here
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he le helen, a lot of highly populated states are getting hid hard right now. what's your take on what that's going to mean for air travel and the companies? >> we're very concerned about the states in question, particularly florida and texas since they were seeing such a nice recovery. and in florida, specifically with orlando, universal and sea world opened a couple weeks ago and they were seeing a recovery and we're concerned about didsny world. the 600 plus people that traveled on monday was well ahead of the 400,000 we were forecasting by august but with this new continuation of the
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wave, it's issconcerning presumably testing is up so you would get more positive cases but hospitalizations are really what is driving i think people's concern right now. >> yeah. and the positive rate of those tests is quite high. i mean, arizona over 20% how are you viewing the industry overall at this point? 600,000 number certainly a positive, but as we head into the rest of the summer, july 4th, typical travel weekend and into the fall, you know, are they going to need more money are they going to expand in terms of capacity? or are they going to stay where they are >> okay. i think those are a lot of questions. first, i think they're going to mostly stay where they are i know delta is adding 1,000 flights next month and then 1,000 flights in august and then probably stay put. i think most of the airlines will not grow much past the numbers they have in place for
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august because i think after labor day without business travel coming back, demand is going to be very concerning. especially if schools reopen do people get back to work will business travel recover and on and on. we could spend an hour talking about this and so we're definitely worried about what happens after labor stay specifically, because usually things fall off anyway thursday friday and sunday and monday are peak days tuesday and wednesday are always weak days. and then we're looking at fourth of july. it will be important for travelers to feel comfortable traveling next weekend, and going out to some of those places, mountain states, the desert, golf vacations and so on, and so i think that if -- the industry is trying to
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salvage the summer and without summer traffic, it's going to be really concerning going into the winter months now, that said, we said last friday the industry has raised $46.5 billion in u.s., not including the cares act. and then this week you saw alaska air and american in the market with deals. american raised $3.5 million last night and they raised another 2 billion earlier in the week in an equity offering which you had asked me about a couple weeks ago when i was here last did i think they should sell equity and so i think from the liquidity perspective, we'll be okay going into the fourth quarter and the first quarter. but if there's a second or third wave and people are really reluctant to travel, we obviously will be very worried about the industry in 2021 and maybe not so much in the u.s. and by the way, i don't think the government will be willing
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to give more money to the u.s. airlines i think they're going to have to figure out a pay to raise capital and improve liquidity on their own. we're worried about the european airlines they make most of their money in the summer without a summer, there will be more bankruptcies in europe, i think. >> yeah. something to watch it's morgan. it's good to see you i'm curious. even before covid-19, we had another issue that was plaguing the airlines, that was boeing's 737 max. you reports today that there's a list of changes that european regulators want but in the u.s. at least you could see the recertifications starting to happen for the faa as soon as next week. if that plane actually does come online in the next couple weeks, is that a positive now for the airlines or is that a negative as we see all the aircraft being
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parked >>. >> it's interesting. it's the first max question i've had. here's what i'm thinking about it as it comes on. look, the way to think about it once it gets recertified, it takes at least 60 days for the airlines to get it back in the air. 30 days for the manuals to be appro approved by the faa and then the pilot training to get the pilots back anything i suspect that's already been financed if you look at through some of these financings that have been done, some are secured by future max deliveries those will be taken this year i suspect, especially by the u.s. airlines the ones that haven't yet been financed probably get pushed to 2021, because we just don't need the capacity yet and we continue to think that there's something like 800 to 1,000 aircraft that are 18 years of age and older that will never
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come back into the u.s. network or at least not for at least the next four or five years until there's a recover. as you know, i think the recovery is three to five years away well, recovery to last year levels is three to five years away >> yeah. well, those are the numbers a lot of people are keyed on thank you for the update appreciate it. >> thanks, david thanks, morgan >> meantime, we're getting a lot of news regarding covid-19 a news update now. >> here's your update at this hour the u.s. recording the highest daily increase for covid-19 yesterda turning now to paris, the eiffel tower reopening today after the pandemic led to its longest closure since world war ii visitors will only be able to climb up to the second level of
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the tower. and the 146th kentucky derby will be held september 5th and spectators will be allowed the venue will reduce the capacity but visitors will be encouraged, not mandated to maintain social distancing and wear face coverings. the chuck e. cheese parent company filed for bankruptcy protection for more, head to cnbc.com "squawk on the street" continues after the break.
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it is now a good time to invest and what's the public's confidence in the stock market steve liesman has the results of our new all america survey hey, steve >> good morning, carl. yeah n. stocks have taken a rebound. our survey shows a rebound in attitude to whether or not it's a good time to invest in stocks.
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april one of the worst readings. 41 % thought it was a good time to invest. 45% bad. that's now flipped and reversed. 43% say it's a good time to invest in stocks and 37% say it's a bad time. 19% are uncertain and saying they don't know which way to go. look agent the chart, we've been through a period, the last couple years of volatility in the attitudes. the good timers really ruled the day. that changed in december of 2018 when we had concern about the fed raising rates. again, the trade war of 2019 and you can see the back and forth at the end with the height of the coronavirus concern and then some relaxation here but we haven't seen but we often do see any kind of sort of increase in the popularity of gold as an investment. compared to 2017, 29 % still think stocks are the best
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investme investment 29% say real estate down from 37% and gold just 16% despite the low interest rates it's down from 24% no real surge into gold looking at the political findings we found that joe biden, the krk presidential contender extending his lead to 9 points in the head to head survey president trump lost just a point. but biden consolidated his base with more support from young people and democrats he's up to 88% from democrats. looking at the issues here of the issues we asked. president trump has the edge on the best policies on just the economy. foreign policy and the bigger one, police reform, dealing with covid-19, health care and racial inequality, joe biden has a commanding lead as you move to the right of the chart president trump doing okay on the economy, though, carl. even while the survey shows 60%
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think that the economy will not recover for another year, and only a third of the public believe their wages will increase in the next year. that's the lowest level we've had since 2012 carl >> great place to start with our next guest who manages $18 billion of hawaii pensions joinings us now elizabeth burton thank you for being with us. >> good morning. thank you for having me. >> i want to get your thoughts on the market, especially today where the low for the dow is down now positive by more than 100 points what do you see as the major themes or major factors driving the market right now and how is it shaping your investment thesis >> i think i originally said the
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equity and asset markets were telling different stories. as of yesterday it looks a little bit like maybe the markets are getting on the same page but what's interesting is why the market actually is as strong as it is given where the economy is where it is essentially if you think about where the levels are, is it -- i realize they project into the future, but are we saying the world is as good now as it was in february? i don't know the data emerging on that is mixed. only time will tell, but i think we're in a dislocation certainly between main street and the markets. zbl you're watching inflation or the possibility of surprise inflation very closely right now. how do you see it, and how is that, again, how is that shaping the decisions you're making in terms of investing opportunities
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right now? >> yes i spent quite a bit of time looking at inflation i spent the last year looking at it and then had to kind of redo all my analysis when co-vid hit. but one of the largest inputs into any asset allocation framework is the expectations about future inflation i think one of the difficulties for us is if you look at the twenties, there's few periods of inflationary periods to draw conclusions from the drivers in each of the environments were different. so i don't know whether inflation is on the horizon or not, but i think it's a risk that we need to be aware of, especially because in those types of environments, the correlation between stocks and bonds tends to be positive as you know when people said on your show many times, we think of the negative correlation, but that's a recent phenomenon so what does that -- we're not a risk party, but what uz it mean for diversification growth risk
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if inflation occurs? in general, all the assets are based off in those types of periods. the return to markets beta is lower which affects our ability to hit return which is 7%. >> i was going to ask about that this is david faber. 7% right now you're dealing with rates that are rock bottom there is not a sign of inflation to the extent there's any movement on the fed's part to think about raising them it would seem to indicate you have to stay largely in stocks if you're going to generate anywhere near that return you just stated. >> right david, you're 100% right i think long-term, you always have to be invested in the market and the equity market if you want to achieve your return over long-run, the only thing that has indicated they can do that are the equity markets. although, depending on where inflation shakes out, you may be able to tilt your portfolio one way or the other so the last couple decade winner, quality growth going
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forward, equity markets, maybe value in small cap i think there's time to tell but i think there are two different kind of scenarios if you move into an inflationary regime, especially a surprise inflationary regime, and some of the things that work when inflation is on the right don't work in deflation. you have to be careful about how you allocate your portfolio so the margins, maybe you make adjustments. it doesn't have to be all real assets or tips although, inflation sensitive asse assets, additions to the portfolio would be a great idea. >> yeah. elizabeth, something we might have talked about prior to the pandemic would be esg. i want to ask about it just curious, particularly hawaii, of course as well with all the islands. do you have an overlay for it, is it something you're focussed on at this point, or is it an abstraction -- or distraction?
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>> we are unpi signatories we're meeting with our board to discuss more in depth the trajectory we want to have in place in the portfolio for the policies going forward i think in hawaii as you mentioned it's a particularly important topic since we've been shut down for the last couple months with no real visitors coming to the island, the water has literally changed colors the sea life is coming back. i think the case has been proven that it does make a difference so we're exploring ways how we can get more robust in that area, for sure >> yeah. i'd imagine you probably watch the labor department proposals that are clarifying esg investing closely in light of that i want to get your thoughts on the fact that hawaii has a 26 billion short fall and future retirement benefits and unfunded liabilities. at a time where we're in
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recession, where this pandemic is hitting a lot of state bungts really hard right now, how are you navigating that in terms of being able to i guess yield greater returns and make up the difference on that short fall? >> yeah. morgan, great question i think that the investment strategy tool kit is different for fully funded pensions versus underfunded pensions in terms of our performance, i think we've done very well we're liquid we are not forced sellers and we've maintained a lot of our portfolio value. most important to us because we aren't fully funded was that we protect portfolio values that meant we didn't perform as well as some of the pensions who maybe had full risk on portfolios and higher betas. we protected our capital more. but it really paid off this year we actually structured the portfolio to pay off in these
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sorts of environments. so i can't project whether it's a v recovery or w recovery, and how fast we'll pull back on some of those diversifying strategies but they -- i think there's a next era in the portfolio management evolution of the portfolio, and the board is on board with that and the staff is i think we'll slightly pivot at the margins now that we saw that portfolio did what it was supposed to. now we can rebalance to things that may provide a higher return going forward. >> well, we look forward to hearing more about that. thanks for joining us today. elizabeth burton >> thanks for having me. well the markets have erased a 236-point drop on the dow. we're trading up about 40 points. financials helping out as we get the adjustments. texas now is sus spending
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one of the country's largest private fitness chains, lifetime has reopened more than 120 gyms across the country with just 25 fully closed nationwide despite the surges of covid-19 cases especially in the southern cases. the ceo joins us now it's great to have you thanks for being with us >> thank you so much thanks for having me >> so i think the last time you were on the show with us was back in late april one of the things you said is we need to use data, not fear to make decisions
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gi given the fact that the majority of your clubs are online in quite a number of states, nrkdinrk including where there's an up tick of cases. what are you seeing in terms of consumer reaction and people retaining their memberships and coming back to the clubs >> as i mentioned to you last time, we asked our members with a video to see what they wanted to do. between 60% and 90% of our members depending on the markets average about 75% said they're ready to come right back in right now. about another 20% of that basically said not just now. we want to come back later so we not only have worked with the government in every state, we developed a 400 page manual, how to reopen safely
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we have shared that with all the government agencies in every state. they have used those as well for other people as an example on how to do things safely. but our remembersare thrilled to be back as i was talking to a bunch of members a couple days ago, they were clearly saying that look, this is not just physical health but also their mental health, social well being. they feel like they need to do this i think if this question was asked from the general public in the u.s., i think overwhelmingly we would get the answer that people, people believe this is an essential business for them, not an arbitrarily shutdown business again, all of our focus is to take care of our communities, our members, and it's because of that that lifetime at -- despite how ward and how challenging this has been, we adapted our
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app to make it free and available to all people, not just the members, but also nonmembers, you can take the best classes, the spin classes, yoga, anything, completely free of charge. no advertisement no gimmicks. you can go to lifetime app, load it and get all that stuff. >> does that mean in states like arizona and california where officials seem to be on a local own state level contemplating what reopening or the move forward in terms of reopening looks like, would you consider closing those clubs or are you hanging tight with your 400-page manual and you're keeping them open unless instructed otherwise? >> we'll work with the government every which way we can. life brings challenges when there are challenges, you just suck it up.
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embrace the suck, deal with it you work through the challenges and come back on top we were making 50 million of ebita per month before we shut down we lost approximately 50 million ebita. even if the clubs are open, we anticipate probably by august we can actually get back to positive and bring our people back to work and allow our members to get back and do what they love to do. >> your point about working out and the mental health aspect is a good one because people got to exercise or they're going to lose their minds, but i wonder if you worry about every passing day where someone is getting delivery of home exercise equipment or free weights, or a bench or a pel ton, and over time, whether or not the business model sees a slow degradation, maybe not a dramatic decline >> i think it's possible as i talk to members, while they
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have been doing things at home, they are even more determined -- now it's more clear to them while the workout is something they have to do when they don't have an option, they are aching for the opportunity to go to the clubs and join their communities and work in that group you know, it's like music. you know, you can listen to any song for free. in some app or something, but you still pay a large amount of money for live entertainment so i think there is a confusion between this moment in time in my belief is that eventually everything virtual will be practically free, because many companies like us will choose to offer things free of charge so people can have access to exercise, nutrition, good information at will without having to be bothered by advertising or having to pay a fee for it while they're doing
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it at home >> what's the protocol if some of your employees come down with the virus and/or any of your guests >> yeah. that's a great the dhs, th private carriers had to provide this data. you were finding the contraband. and it it needs to be improved or whether or not you think it is effective, they are coming entirely through the mail at this point >> the staffs, and the work, the
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cdc, it is a great partnership we have been working together for a very long time i mentioned a couple of times of the operation that we have done and we have went out to the corporate world, and a statement out there saying and we need some innovative ideas at hoe we can detect drugs in the mail and in the environment we're trying to continue to do th that we saw a dramatic increase coming from china. unfortunately they're just shipping now directly to mexico and it is coming across the land border zl
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zlen. >> let us know where we can be helpful. i think the thing that we can be the most helpful right now is the prevention and treatment side huge profits like you talked about earlier. i think now we're back up again. we are getting back to our higher level and we have to do a good job to help you reduce that demand otherwise you have an impossible job, very much the same we were talking about the importance of the e verify system. the magnet of jobs, on e verify,
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quickly, our big issue has been the identifier so e verify, i agree with romney on that, but the issue is that they accepted the social card and the license that was issued in my state and they seem valid but it is fraudulent what are (music) anncr: give customers access to precisely what they want, when they need it the most. with adyen, the payments platform that delivers convenience for all. adyen. business. not boundaries.
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. we have a special guest on a special santelli exchange. >> i would like to welcome the former fdic chair. thank you for joining me today the day we're going to learn stress test results but before that occ just approved two new rules. there is a lot going on in the banking industry real quickly, they are going to be allowed to invest in more risky ventures like venture capital funds and mar john requirements. it will be ul ters so they can
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save money >> i think they are significantly in the direction of deregulation. that is the path that we have been on for several years now. i think jexally it is the wrong way and we're paying for it now in terms of the larger capacity these are ill advised. the money that will no longer be in banks, their affiliates are imposing on them it is no longer there and i think that increases risk this, as i understand it, the rule change defers to banks to decide what is proprietary or not we were letting banks decide how
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much capital they had. so been there and done that in a different context. it is disappointing, but i'm getting used to what it is i respect all of them, but i think they are directionally still going the wrong way on all of this. >> so you think if we were tough on the banks in the last six months as we were the six months after the credit crisis that this would have turned out better it seems like it has not been an issue thus far >> no, that is not what i meant at all banks have been able to pay out more in disz try bugss, their levels have been going down. the fed did not have a capital
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buffer that there is a lot of good reasons to do that and we're seeing them now. when you get into economic turmoil,backs need to expand their balance sheets that is bhands for products. so you can go down without compromising integrity so now we are giving them a lot of relief. at the same time we're allowing them to distribute capital, and when it should be retained on bank blast sheets so it can be loaned out to the reel economy
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our banks are they voluntarily stopping the buy backs and you're still pushing back that they should be be paid out in this point in the cycle? >> yeah, they are reducing capital requirements right now the stress tests, they lowered the standards. we reduced it by about 100 billion. so they are rapidly reducing the minimums a better way to expand balance sheet capacity is to retain capital. when you get into a crisis banks need to expanse balance sheets
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no doubt about it. one is to let them take on more leverage, but if you give them more leverage they can expand. or you can require they retain capital. that sporupports additional capacity as well they paid out dividends to their holding companies. that would have freed up about 100 principal to take those deposits in and support government securities operations most of it is being paid out to shareholders, and that, you know, that makes them less resilient. so they want to reduce capital requirements, reduce capital to expand capacity which makes banks more fragile i think a combination of both
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would be the right approach. but they have voluntarily done it they agreed at least this quarter. i think that was kind of a no brainer. how many expresswcompanies have that >> we're on a hard break, so we have to leave it there, i can't wait to see the results of the stress test, we'll see if they will put a pault to give dands or not back to you. >> great segment in advance of this afternoon we're coming to you live from various locations as the s&p is down a couple points after a whip saw action in the first hour and a half. we're going to start with disney this morning, postponing their reopening of disney land possibly
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