we're in the mode of coming a long way in a hurry. see if there's much left in the short-term. >> closed half percent on s&p 500 and nearly full percent on the dow both up nearly 11. and 12 percent for dow we're out of time on "closing bell." "fast money" starts now. i'm melissa lee. this is "fast money. today's trader lineup -- tonight on fast, we are breaking out the bitcoin bug as the cryptocurrency soars to an all-time high. and bold call from a friend saying bit skoin -- bitcoin headed to $50,000. plus we're tracking shares of zoom, that stock down the company call is about to kick off

we'll be on and bridge you all of the -- bring you all of the big headlines. first the november to remember dow surging towards best month since january 1987 s&p and nasdaq handing in best work since april energy up more than 25 percent financials up more than 17 percent. small caps, best month ever. bulls weren't hiding, check this out, each of the past four monday he got big vaccine news before the market open and look at diminishing returns, the market fell despite moderna requesting emergency use of it's vaccine. so we've been talking talking black or white -- or red and green -- in terms of diminishing returns. >> i took that economic class my freshman year and learned all

about diminishing returns which is why i often invoke it here, i think so, absolutely tell you something, the vix is telling another story. i thought a day like today, month-end i thought the vix would close closer to 25 but here it is closing lower on the day, maybe it's a function of that specific security, but i'll tell you given what transpired the vix should be 25 that said, you know, i do think so much of this vaccine news baked in and should expect a bit of a pull back on the s&p 500, melissa. >> that's mean, tim, to the trade that led us here two new records, talking banks and energy, trade that's are dependent on an economy that reopens or at least finds some juice here. >> they're catching their breath, mel. i think you have a case here where on banks if you look at the xlf maybe not a pure read. dan has talked about this too because there's a lot burk shire

in there but look, xlf below pre-covid levels and banks will start unwinding the major reserves on the balance sheets the move you gave the numbers at the top of the show, not surprising to see a bit of a breath here. quietly inflation expectations are going higher look at tips, i won't get deep on it but those are built in and they've outperformed and there's sense of inflation out there, look at the price of copper and the dollar going lower, should tell you we'll be in importing some inflation and that should tell you all of the trades should work i think we have a case where retail drastically under performed for three years to a catch-up play for the last year. off the bottom has outperformed the s&p by 50 percent after 20 percent down move after the lull of the crisis from the beginning of the crisis.

i think those trade that you mentioned, bank small cap retail, these are trades that i think have more mean reversion to go. >> can the mean reversion though happen -- continue to happen, karen, in a world in which there is no stimulus, in a world in which the economic outlook is so uncertainty even though we have this great vaccine news. we saw it in the market today and mention every monday, if you look at more recent mondays the market reaction is less and less which would imply it's already baked in >> i think for the short-term the vaccine news is baked in by got to tell you, this, blip, is really what i think of what happened today, it just shaves the tiniest bit off the november performance i always look for things to buy. so a day like today provided actually zero opportunities of things for me to buy because they just, i mean, just a tiny bit of froth came off. so i think also there's the

expect -- or the hope that the biden administration will be able to get some sort of stimulus through so i think the stimulus as one of the sort of platforms of a continual rally is still there i don't know how big, we don't know what's going to happen in the senate so that is up in the air but i don't think a stimulus is dead we talked about santa claus rally couple weeks ago, a lot of santa's here already just trying to beat the rush, i guess. so now i think sort of sideways for a while. >> yeah, what could go wrong, dan, implying the quite you sent out, all of the positive in the market how many components above the 200 day moving average, et cetera, what could go wrong at this point >> that's it, it feels like santa con in the majority, if you're a new yorker and an early saturday in december you know santa con is a freaking mess that being said, i just think

there's a lot bake in right here i think that we keep talking about this vaccine, yeah, this is the fourth or fifth monday in a row we came in with good news. listen, the vaccine might prove to be the biggest challenge for the reopening of the economy in 2021, when you think about warp speed amazing, amazing endeavor here we have, at least a couple vaccine that's should work against this virus but distributing it, not just here in the u.s. but the world over and then kind of overcoming some of the trust issues about it but most importantly the logistics issues about it, inokay lating hundreds and millions of people in a short period of time. i'm not so confident that's going to happen the way we expect in the first three to five months next year. we might see continued push outs of the reopening trade when the economy gets back to pre-pandemic levels. last point, mel, the point you made about stimulus, does it look much smaller than the deal that was on the table in

september and october that we couldn't get an agreement on we were at one point $8 trillion at $2.2 trillion and now talking about something much less than trillion that may not be enough to keep the market here where it is i think it's anticipating a lot of good news until the next six to twelve months >> not just inokay u lating people in general they have to go for two dos and might have some side effect so uncertainty around the vaccine and the stimulus, how about uncertainty around the economy, we heard from fed chair powell, let's go to steve with the latest >> melissa, thanks, dispute between the fed and treasury showing up in testimony to be delivered tomorrow by treasury secretary steve mnuchin and jay powell they say the fed will return the unused money to the treasury but notes demand for main stream

loans being closed by the treasury secretary may increase with the spread of the pandemic, unlocked $2 trillion of funding to state and local governments and nonprofit, how the economy continue to recover from the depressed second quarter levels but the pace of improvement have moderated and economic outcome is uncertainly and for the most part americans are getting back to work and our job is not complete, his job of course, until every american is back to work, and he notes half of the workers have come back who lost their jobs in the pandemic he sharply criticizes shutdowns say they continue to impair remarkable progress and quote cause grit harm to american businesses and workers and urging congress to use the $450 billion unused funds in the care act and say the the administration will support a

targeted fiscal package that passes we'll listen tomorrow from senators to see if there is any hint of progress on stimulus and if there's support to end the emergency programs. today some high frequency data suggest there's could be negative print on the jobs number on friday, some of the high-frequen high-frequency data supporting that, that could be a game changer on the progress on stimulus. >> that will be a wake up call if we do have a negative print. >> yeah, i think if you sort of listen to the tenor of the debate, when the jobs numbers have come in more strongly than expected, which they have, it's kind of caused the urgency of the need for stimulus to recede. along, by the way, with the market, the way the market has been reacting, it doesn't seem to negatively assess the lack of

stimulus. >> i would submit the it's the market reaction to negative print on friday could be the wake up call for zbrcongress. >> then you would get a double potentially. >> steve liesman, thank you. tim seymour this disagreement will seem quaint is yellen is confirmed. are the marketing seeking skinny or targeted stimulus between now and when congress leaves in just a couple weeks time? >> tough look, this is the detail on the big picture and themes here. we know that janet yell enhance largely been a markets positive dynamic, we know from her role at the fed and listening to powell today talking about all of the tools in the tool box, all of that, this was the yellen fed, the bernanke fed and

treasury that wants to stay close to that action i think there's dynamics here for the market ultimately normalization in terms of the economy is bad news for the market i don't think that' we're close to the normalized economy but when we start talking about normalized earnings and start pulling forward in couple of these sectors where maybe we come out of this faster, that's the time to sell those sectors, i don't think we're there yet. the dynamic of how much fiscal is coming down the pike is what the markets will weigh. if you look back to 2016 we didn't have covid but we had a presidential election and a seasonal rally. most of the trump rally for at least the boost that came out of election and then into the holiday season was done by the end of november and you essentially were flat for 34u67 of -- much of december. if you

look at the bull bear measure where's we have extreme optimism we're stretched, how could we not be stretched so i think the feds not going anywhere any time soon bad news good news but more important direction for the market right now is lopping off a little bit of this froth and then we're going higher. >> guy, do you think it's a replay of what happened in the last election as tim is say sng. >> the set up to me is completely different but i understand the dynamics behind it i want to add another wild card without going down political bend when candidate trump would then be president trump to talk about how the market would be a report card for his administration. by any stretch using that metrics it's been a wonderful administration by you know, if he concedes, i haven't figure out if there's a concession out there, one thing, it's one thing

to lose an election to ego, another thing to watch the market go higher on the back of that not unlike a ceo getting fired and watch his or her stock go up 8 percent in the aftermath it's a tough pill to swallow i'm wondering if that press conference he did when he trumped at the 30,000 level one we'd never seen again, in his head is that would be great way to go out with the market at an all-time high. i wonder what voice we'll hear to derail this thing going back to wilbr ross's congress in moth balls coming out saying the deficit is out of nowhere. >> if you go down that rant -- rabbit hole congress is in session almost until the day electoral college votes and fresno sta president trump

said he will abide by what they vote and maybe he will push for the stimulus bill to go out on a high note. >> he hasn't been contemplating his legacy, in his mind he's not out of the game and the point about december 14th is important. i will tell you this, he's going to bet first u.s. president who is during his term in 30 or 40 years or longer that actually had a net job loss. if you are thinking about your legacy you may want to try to push through some form of fiscal stimulus that would help the people it's not like his tax cuts in 2017 that went to the donor class and large cooperations this would be going to unemployed sit citizens and small businesses, that sort of thing. that might be something to take the tarnish off this period since the election so to me, i'm hoping for it, i wouldn't hold my breath though. >> our next guest warns december

chill may hit the markets, chief equi equity, always nice talking to you. how chilly frost bite unseasonably cold? >> unseasonably cold sound s about right. basically from our point of view, what november says about the near-term is very incontrovertible cluesive. -- incontrovertible cluesiv in we are seeing that there are very strong in-flows into equities and fund flow can fund a lot of flows fleer near or long term for us the near term is in tact

particularly you don't want to be in bonds because the feds not going to allow negative rates the rational or equity is there. we have a lot to overcome. 2021 earnings we are reasonably fully priced and not ready for negative surprises. >> what valuations would you buy in the markets for investor that's can't play it too cute. unless we're talking about a decent size pull back you're not going to get out and back in. >> right and we're not saying you should do that if you feel uncomfortable this is a time that perhaps looking out three months you might want to own some down side foot protection the volumeality -- volatility index is very attractive for hedging. in general we say otherwise sit

tight. in the last two and half years it's been massive roller coast aern coaster and the best strategy is to sit tight same in 2021, you have to get emotionally through what could potentially be the down part of the roller coaster >> thanks for being on as a counter weight to money coming into the majority, do you think there's -- into the market, do you think there's thought of strategy of selling big gains in this calendar year to get in front any tax changes that the biden administration could implement. >> actually we've started to see it a little bit, what people have called the growth to value rotation you know, we don't necessarily think that even if the democrats were to take both of those georgia seats that you would really have enough of an impetus to get past that kind of major

tax legislation. so whereas that might have been a consideration sort of in october coming into the election when you started to see the winners begin to under perform the lagers, obviously we don't think that's rationale to trend specifically those names, same time, they're not necessarily attractive enough at these valuations where we want to be aggressive about adding. >> julian, i have to ask you about bitcoin, you said recently, bitcoin to 50 k is reasonable right target for year end 2021 i wonder if that's the case, and you mentioned, you know, sort of the diminishing value of the dollar, et cetera, that's kind of force, does it have a place in investor's portfolio instead of cash? >> well, it's -- it's -- it's

not necessarily instead of cash, it is instead of the 40 percent that would be a traditional 60/40 bond allocation. again, going back to what we discussed earlier, if the fed is not going to permit negative rates, and we're seeing signs of inflation, it's reasonable to expect that you could have, you know, perhaps losses in bond portfolios in the foreseeable future and then when you combine that with the fact that you've got this entire cohort of young investors, the same ones that were really aggressively pushing technology stocks, you know, this summer who have 40-year investing horizons and alternative to bonds is very, very sensible and from our point of view while fed continues to add to its balance sheet and u.s. debt continues to go higher bitcoin is a viable alternative. >> to extrapol late that should

companies hold bitcoin on their balance sheets? >> it's certainly an alternative and we've seen several of them come to that conclusion. one of the facts of life is that you really haven't been rewarded and perhaps rightly so in a zero-interest rate environment for cash i don't know that i want to go quite that far again, that's an individual, you know, corporate management's perspective but in a diverse tied investment portfolio we do think there's a place for it. >> julian great to speak with you, thank you very much. >> thank you. >> julian emmanuel btig we have a story on cnbc.com/pro sign up sand check it out. guy, i asked julian about companies holding bitcoin on

their balance sheet because when you were off on hump day ahead of gobble gobble day last week we spoke to the ceo of micro strategy who took 75 percent of the cash on the balance sheet and put it in bitcoin. guess what rose today with bitcoin to record it highs micro strategy so it's a bitcoin proxy. from investment standpoint the question is is this what you want a company to do >> no. i don't believe so that to me is a bridge too far as they say. it's great the micro strategy shareholders are thrilled today but if bitcoin is 12,512,500twok from now are they going to be happy with the volatility. i don't know maybe i'm wrong. i'm sure bk has a different view but i would be a little concern ed they were putting theeggs i the bitcoin basket this early,

the infancy in the nascent state of bitcoin and cryptocurrency specifically so that would concern me i'm glad i miss hump day gobble gobble day, you know how i feel about it. >> you love it, you heart it coming up, zoom shares plummet in latest company call we'll break it down. and nikola share falling hard after gm pulls the plug on vestment plans it's down to the wire,

the team's been working around the clock. we've had to rethink our whole approach. we're going to give togetherness. logistically, it's been a nightmare. i'm not sure it's going to work. it'll work. i didn't know you were listening.

welcome back to "fast money. your kids do it. your bosses do it. your parents are even doing it talking about zoom we have an earnings alert on that stock debo with the numbers. >> you're right, everyone's doing it but as one of our colleagues put it, it's investors are a tough crowd. zoom does almost everything right and then some. better than expected guidance. third straight quarter of triple digit revenue growth doubled its most lucrative customers but investors come to expect big things and the quarter may not have been enough

weighing on zoom shares in the last few months what happens when the economy reopen and people are not on zoom all day also third quarter 367 percent blow out, going to expect next year's growth very difficult to compare. shares are down in the after hour but still up nearly 600 percent year-to-date this is very much the work-from-home darling key question going forward is whether it could ultimate wly be more than videoconferencing platform and evolve into core human interaction platform to justify its now sky-high valuation. their call kicks off in about five minutes from now. >> all right, thank you. by the way we'll hear from zoom ceo tomorrow on "squa"squawk bo the average price on the street is $480 close to where the stock

closed the session today dan? >> yeah, i think there's very few things that you can kind of look at and that say it's disappointing. the stock only down five percent tells you that investors want to be positive even up 600 percent on the year. i think debo made the point that, period over period we're going to see diesel ratio and year -- comps impossible year-over-year $135 billion market cap you say how does this company grow into that valuation especially as we start to see the other side of the pandemic and make no mistake about it, no matter what happens, in september or august our schools are opening nationally so the opportunity, the total addressable market probably hasn't shrunk too much but their ability to monetize it going forward on the other side of the pandemic is probably what

investors spend the next few months pricing the stock at. >> even when reopening nibbles away as the margins, there's competitive aspect like my teams and other platforms. true or false, the stock's best days are behind it >> false i guess it's a 50/50 guess from the 588 all-time high we saw you're down 24 percent at these levels if you go back to september 1st this level right here was at the time the all-time high so the symmetry lines up and you have to ask yourself down 25 percent even if this company is 75 percent, 80 percent in a post pandemic world maybe the stock is right here. so not going to get bought at the current market capitalizati capitalization, as a trading vehicle, 455 sets up pretty

fine. >> tim >> i think they could make acquisition with that currency which is their stock, maybe it's overpriced currency but i think the stock's performance in after hours extraordinary. we know what the stock has done this year, also rallied 30 percent into this number so year-over-year comp with greater than 10 percent customer growth is great. it's the evolution of the product portfolio, zoom phone is something people are talking about and enterprise software. i think they can stay in the game true false which is would you rather or maybe it's actually more of an over under, more of a betting call, mel. i take the over. but i'm not sure i'll take the over in the next six months. there needs to be a chance for the company to recalibrate and see life when we go back to work. >> truth of the matter, all of the games are the same, trade it

or bait it, are you buying or selling, that's the bottom line. shhh don't tell anybody i said that we got a market flash on tesla, eric has the details. >> that's right, tesla stock moving up in the after-hours because we're getting more clarity and details how it will get out of the s&p 500 three week from today, december 21st that monday morning, on that day, the entire full float adjusted market cap weight the full amount of tesla that will go into the s&p 500 all of it will go in on that monday morning three weeks from today so that got the stock up right now popping. they tried to figure how to do this, if it will be gradual or sudden they announced it will be sudden next friday after the close is when we'll find out what company tesla is knocking out of the

ind index. >> thank you current market value adjusted for float $470 billion would produce $72.2 billion in required trades on that single trading session. karen, does it -- i don't know, does it matter if it's added in one go or in couple traunches. >> why i don't think it really does, especially if it comes in a short time so that doesn't really make sense to me. i think also how much of this has been front-run already, right, clearly the stock is up suns that announcement -- since that announcement. the last things that interesting to me is why doesn't tesla take this tremendous opportunity to do a very big secondary. they don't need the money right this money but put away $10 billion in the bank or more. that wouldn't be crazy at all. that would help to feed that demand so, yeah, a agree with you though, why it's over three days

or one day, i don't know i don't think that really changes the value of tesla. >> if they did a secondary at these high valuations to feed this demand, would you be a buyer into that secondary as we've seen in the past >> history has suggested that, other than once or twice, i would say, you know, the other six or seven times, that's probably about right, it's been a tremendous entry level to buy or get on the stock on the secondary. so, yeah, again, you know, i'm not on the musk train, maybe i don't understand it butly tell you since may, june, i've sort of figured how this stock trades an the answer to that question would be yes. >> a lot more ahead on "fast money. here's what's coming up next. >> it's cyber monday and shaping up to be a surprisingly strong season for the consumer. what retailer stock should you be putting in your shopping cart we go off the charts for some

answers. plus, the best looking name in the retail space may not be the stock you think its. i we'll tell you what it is when "fast money" returns

♪ welcome back to "fast money. the holiday rush is officially on, 25 days left until christmas, and retailers hope for more big gains, s&p retail is up more than 20 percent this month sitting near all-time highs. now a look at two retailers off the charts this year now to ranked number two investors analyst congrats

what are the two charts. >> thank you twonames you want to own here, if you put it in context of broad discretionary sector what's remarkable on the first chart is how broad this move in discretionary has been 100% of sector is above the moving average good as anything in 30 years worth of data. it speaks to how broad this is and tells of any weakness in the coming weeks or months where you want to step in and be a buyer. if you look at discretionary verse staples, risk on versus risk off the distribution airy beating staples is reflective of the risk on certainly in contrast to what the last several years looked like. if you look at xrt, the retail etf, this is three years of nothing that just decisively broke out

no money was made here since earl 2018. that's over now, 50 to 60 very quickly. be a bouyer of -- buyer of pull back here. if you look at the names that comprise this, macy's continues to stand out in the months over recent weeks 7 to 11 on big volume. the stock is being accumulated whose $9.50, $10 support we think it finds buyers there and relative to the s&p this is turning up here as well, becoming an outperformer. if you look at ticker five, this is a different type of chart that just broke out to new-all-time highs we like using weakness to your advantage, this is a good long-term chart. >> tim, your macy's is looking good according to chris. >> well, i mean, you know, moving the stock is one thing

and i think chris probably has sized up the 35 percent short interest which is now starting to come in, maybe aggressively, most importantly they added 7 million new digital customers in the last earnings period think of 40 percent penetration of sales in digital. it's another story where covid accelerated trends, in this case a bad trend, at least restructuring. in other words, the stuff the company had to do but was doing but doing slowly i just think the numbers here, it's been a balance sheet story. look at cvs for macy's coming in dramatic meaning the credit investors are more bullish -- the fact the free cash flow last couple quarters has been there the question is, can they maintain that. >> chris thanks for the charts, always nice to speak with you. dan, you actually think there's

another company that could win forget about the retailers what is the best chart in the markets right now? >> i think the best looking chart is apple the stock has really under performed s&p 500 last few months last monday the stock went sideway because if you look at this chart and series of high and lows in the last few months and series of low or highs you see the tension building, see a rising 100-day moving average here, this looks like it is poised to win christmas, not because of a 5 j upgrade super cycle thinga-ma jiggy, that's not a great aspect but what is good gift to give is those air pods or the speaker, i already bought few of them so i think apple sets up nicely technically here i like the under performance

the market makes a new high, i'm not certain it will, but i'd rather play it through apple and make a run at the high for apple. >> dan >> i think he's spot on. we've been pretty consistent i thought the stock would look at $98 and held at $105. we said after earnings you would get a shot, here it was. i think the entry point is fine. i think he's spot on there's been some comments made bullish comments and some luke capital to give support to the stock today, good for them and dan, in the face as eddie murphy said in "coming to america". >> i really wish we could have got a professional, technical analyst opinion, maybe the

number two analyst on wall street, dan. chris is back with us, it's a christmas miracle, everybody, the guest is back. so what do you make of dan's chart? >> i think dan knows his charts and this is a stock we think goes higher. it consolidated for three months and was massively over bought in august and september and work that off through time. no damage was done volume was really light. we think it resumes higher and runs back to the old highs of $138, 140 into year end. >> chris thank you, again. what did the late, great regis sregis say, dan knows a lot >> coming up, general motors bangs away, big news later, blockbuster deal brewing, what we can expect

sasfceleor to say in the earnings report tomorrow night stay tucned. you're watching "fast" (♪ ) you need to hire i need indeed indeed you do. the moment you sponsor a job on indeed you get a shortlist of quality candidates from a resume data base so you can start hiring right away. claim your seventy-five-dollar credit when you post your first job at indeed.com/promo ♪ should auld acquaintance be forgot ♪ ♪ and never brought to mind ♪ should auld acquaintance be forgot ♪ ♪ and auld lang syne ♪ we'll take a cup of kindness yet ♪ ♪ for auld lang syne next customer please. ♪ ♪

welcome back to "fast money. shares of nikola stock dropping more than 26 percent after

general motors pulled the plug under the terms of new daeal gm will supply nikola with new technology and nikola handing in its worse day since june we should note november 30th today is also lock up expiration day, estimated that as many as 161 million shares could be eligible to be unlocked. so tim, is this a surprise from the gm standpoint? >> you know, it shows a little rationality. it's definitely a case where, i've always viewed this as who needs who? nikola really needs good m and access to some of gm's technology and some of their oem manufacturing capabilities and their distribution the interesting thing about the gm stock is at one point found itself below

where that announcement was, almost as if nikola was hadding the opposite but i think it's the opposite, a lot of the nikola shares are founder shares and tomorrow is expected to be a very big day, obviously the stock seeing that today in advance of that news make no mistake this whole moment in time has illuminated gm plan in where they are involve in hydrogen dpfuel cells and where the stock is invested in this space. i'm not surprised. i think it's not a bad day for gm but is a day for showing rationality. >> from nikola standpoint you could argue they're going back to their roots starting as a hydrogen commercial truck company, not in the consumer space at all, an bd and to think about the ramp, ininvestment to get into the consumer space, beyond manufacturing but also in

terms of distribute -- distribution that's a steep ramp so from a nikola turn-around story, karen, do you think it's any more attractive? >> no i thought thing in pretty well considering all of the negative things today. i don't know what that negotiation between nikola and gm was, nikola had every cardinal and still couldn't come to a zedeal this will be a blip for gm. >> coming up, we're headed to the cloud and new pos rerton company planning to by slack

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salesforce has been able to do with mule and scale around this business nothing comes cheap in this world. think of the stock more of a rounding error when you think of the move there using that currency makes a ton of sense to me. >> more options action full show on friday, 5:30. up next final trade.

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time for the final trade let's go around the horn, dan nathan >> yeah, just reiterating the apple. you got the consumer staple and communications director a discretional, i love it. karen. >> first kudos to dan, slack power pick nice one there. my final is -- ihs. -- >> tim seymour >> did you survive this crazy weather in the northeast. >> i'm here. >> got blown around, just, i mean, surprised we weren't blown off the set. but if you look at the chinese mega cap names they're kind of getting blown off the set over there on regulatory concerns i think ten cent is most interesting in tech incubator or game stock in the world this is weakness i'd be buying

despite never want to challenge big brother in china but these are interesting stocks. >> guy, we unfroze you, what's your final trade. vi mck is going to win in the cod race >> my mission is simple to make you money. i am here to level the plain field for all investors there is always a bull market some where i promise to help you find it. "mad money" starts now hey, i am cramer welcome to "mad money. welcome to cramer america. i am trying to make you some money. my job is not just to entertain but educate and teach you. call me at 1-800-743-cnbc or tweet me @jim cramer i am so sick hearing it is time to rotat